Futures: Decision Making and Problem Solving Page 1/20 DECISION-MAKING and PROBLEM SOLVING Welcome to Decision-Making and Problem Solving, one of the series of Futures workbooks, which help students choose and prepare for their careers. Like the other workbooks in the series you can dip in and out doing the exercises which are most relevant to you. You might want to include the exercises or the output in your personal development plan or e-portfolio. The aim of this workbook is to introduce you to a number of techniques and models for making decisions and solving problems. The techniques and models have a general application in all spheres of life, but the examples in this workbook are concerned with career-related decisions or problems. This workbook can stand alone from the others in the Futures series, particularly if you have a specific career decision or a problem to solve in the near future. However, it also links well with the Futures workbooks Skills, and Personality and Values. A greater understanding or clarity about your skills, personality and the work values that are important to you will undoubtedly impact on the way you make future career decisions. Greater clarity or understanding of these dimensions in your life can help you to make more considered decisions about work. Contents What sort of decision maker are you? Page 2 Seven steps in decision making Page 7 Three techniques for making a decision Brainstorming Balance sheet approach Thinking Hats Action plan Page 9 Page 9 Page 11 Page 13 Page 17 If you still find it difficult to make a difficult decision, you can book an appointment with a Careers Adviser to help you. The Careers Service contact details are available from www.leedsmet.ac.uk/careers. Futures: Decision Making and Problem Solving Page 2/20 SECTION A: WHAT SORT OF DECISION-MAKER ARE YOU? Jan Throughout this workbook, the decision facing one graduate, Jan, will be used to illustrate how the three decision-making models work for one person. Jan is in her final year at university and has the offer of a job, which is a permanent one that pays well, but she is not sure if it is right for her. There is a post-graduate course that appeals to her too, and she is also drawn to go and live and work in Greece, but doesn’t know what she would do out there. She likes the country and the people and can speak some Greek. Her parents are not keen on this option; they are encouraging her to take the job. The post-graduate course will accept her, and it does appeal, but it’s expensive. She could get a loan if she wanted one. Decisions are often hard to make. There may be a number of possible and often conflicting options, and the outcomes of decisions can be unpredictable. Decisions are also not made in a vacuum; they can affect other people. And other people can express strong opinions on the options open to you, even if they are not directly affected by the decision you make. Career related decisions are particularly important, as an early choice of career can set you in a particular direction that might be hard to change or reverse. DECISION-MAKING RESPONSES Every day you will make hundreds of decisions: whether to hit the snooze button again, what to wear, what to have for breakfast. Most are so minor that you do so based entirely on gut feeling, to use rational decision making would not be time efficient. The three main methods people use to make decisions are: 1. Not making a decision: leaving the choice to another party 2. Using their gut feeling or intuition 3. Rationally analysing the pros and cons of each option. (Phillips, Friedlander, Pazienza and Kost, 1985) Whilst the first two decision making responses can be effective for small decisions, typically they are not good for career decisions(Singh and Greenham, 2003). Futures: Decision Making and Problem Solving Page 3/20 Your Usual Decision Making Style Listed below are a series of decision you may have had to make over the last few days, weeks, or months, look at each one in turn and assess which of the decision-making styles you think you have used that this decision, and then the one you think is most appropriate in making this type of decision. Which decision-making style did you use? Which decision-making style is most appropriate for this decision? Whether to go out on Saturday night Which modules you want to take next year Whether to buy the new CD you like Whether to apply for a particular job/course What to wear this morning Where to live next year (or who to live with) How much effort to put into exam preparation Whether to apply for a work experience placement Did you notice that you favour a particular decision making style regardless of the importance of the decision, or do you use a range of techniques? Write a few words here about what you noticed about your decision making style Futures: Decision Making and Problem Solving Page 4/20 INNER OR OTHER-RELIANT In addition, to what extent are you in general an inner-reliant or otherreliant decision maker? Inner-Reliant Decision Maker: you generally take responsibility for your own decisions Other-Reliant Decision Maker: you tend to leave decision-making responsibility to others (tick which applies to you) This definitely applies to me This definitely applies to me Applies most of the time to me Applies most of the time to me Applies some of the time to me Applies some of the time to me Applies none of the time to me Applies none of the time to me Look again at the styles you stated you have used in the earlier exercise and rank them in the frequency or significance in past decisions you have made (or not made!). List the most significant/frequent style as number 1. 1 2 3 4 5 6 Futures: Decision Making and Problem Solving Page 5/20 Now you have had opportunity to think about your usual decision-making style you might want to consider why you use that decision-making style. There are positives and negatives for each of the decision-making styles. In this exercise you need to think about different methods for making decisions and what the pros and cons of each are. The first one is filled in as an example for you. Let fate takes its course Pros Cons It requires little energy to make the decision The best option may not be taken The decision maker does not have to feel personally responsible if the outcome wasn’t successful The decision maker may dwell on what ‘might have been.’ Agonise but then don’t make a decision Pros Cons Do what everyone else does Pros Cons Do the opposite of what everyone else does Pros Cons Gather the information needed, analyse it as best you could and then used your instincts to make the final choice. Pros Cons Made the decisions based primarily on what you felt; using your intuition. Pros Cons Futures: Decision Making and Problem Solving Page 6/20 SECTION B: SEVEN STEPS TO DECISION-MAKING In this section we move on to looking at how good decisions can be made. Like most models or formulas it doesn’t always work though - as the ‘unexpected’ in life is a factor that no one can predict. But as a general rule, good decisions can often be made based on a blend of the following four elements: INFORMATION Gathering and analysing the best information from reliable sources SELF-INTEREST Doing what you feel is right for you, but... INTUITION Tapping into your instincts about what is right (this is where an understanding of your values is helpful) REGARD FOR OTHERS ...at the same time, having regard for the opinions of others But how do you get to this situation? There are seven steps in the decision-making process. Futures: Decision Making and Problem Solving Page 7/20 SEVEN STEPS IN THE DECISION-MAKING PROCESS: 1. Be clear about the decision that needs to be made 2. Gather the information 3. Analyse the information gathered 4. Weigh-up the options 5. Decide which is likely to be the best option 6. Work out an action plan 7. Review and monitor your progress It looks very logical doesn’t it? And it is ‘logical’, but we can’t always think rationally when we are in difficult or confusing situations and so steps 4 and 5 are the toughest for most people. Later in this workbook we are going to look at a number of exercises specifically to help with these two steps. How do the steps apply to Jan? See next page. Futures: Decision Making and Problem Solving Page 8/20 STAGES OF JAN’S DECISION 1. Be clear about the decision that needs to be made. Jan has reduced the options to three: a. Take the job that has been offered to her. b. Go to Greece, live and find work there and see what happens. c. Take up the place on the postgraduate course. 2. Gather the information (The University Careers Centre is the obvious starting place for researching and finding this type of information) Jan has already got information about the job she has been offered and about the post-graduate course, but it’s the work possibilities in Greece she doesn’t know much about. However, she went to the careers centre at the university to gather information on work opportunities in Greece. 3. Analyse the Information There is a reasonable to good chance that she could find fairly low-paid work in one of the tourist areas in a bar or cafe. There is a chance too, for her to become a holiday representative for a tour operator that specialises in Greek holidays and accommodation would be provided with this. There is also the possibility of doing some teaching of English as a Foreign Language, but this would mean going on to do a Teaching English as A Foreign Language (TEFL) course after graduation and before she left Britain. 4. Weigh-up the Information and 5. Decide which is likely to be her best option This is the hard bit! However, Jan could use at least one of the following techniques to help with this stage (see next section). Futures: Decision Making and Problem Solving Page 9/20 SECTION C: THREE TECHNIQUES FOR SOLVING PROBLEMS & MAKING DECISIONS The three techniques Jan could try for making a decision are these: 1. Brainstorming 2. Balance Sheet Approach 3. ‘Thinking Hats’ Approach 1. BRAINSTORMING Brainstorming is a simple idea-stimulation technique for exploring the elements of any complex situation, including difficult decisions. There are ways to make this technique work better for you: Get rid of normal constraints to thinking: loosen up your thinking Suspend judgement (don’t criticise your own ideas) Produce as many ideas as possible Use one idea as a starting point for others Wild ideas are good ideas; truths or insights are often found in wild ideas Clarify ideas on the list – by adding words that do just that GETTING STARTED Example: What to do after degree/graduation. Take a large sheet of paper, and write down the choices or decisions to be made, e.g. (1) take a particular job that has been offered to you (2) go on to do a non-vocational post graduate course in a subject you enjoy studying. Start with one option– and write down the first words that come into your head in relation to that choice - don't be afraid to do that. Write down the other option(s) – do the same, write down the first words that come into your head. Go back and forth between the options adding to the words as the ideas occur to you. Futures: Decision Making and Problem Solving Page 10/20 The solutions may not emerge, but the issues and problems will often become clearer. Some prompts to seeing the consequences of choices could be: Risk (financial or emotional) – the risk attached to a particular choice, but go off at a tangent from that, saying how you feel about taking the risk. Information – have you got all the information you need? Is it from a reliable source? Is it up-to-date and free from bias? Values – are my personal values having an effect on my thinking in some way? Is this good, or distorting my perception in some way? Instincts - what are your gut-feelings about the choices? Don’t ignore instincts. Other People – what do they think? Does it matter? Do you care? JAN’S BRAINSTORMING Job (the pros): Good money - can take driving lessons / buy a car/ clothes Had enough of being broke Go on holiday to Greece, pay off debts – a big factor in its favour Mum would approve of it; a ‘safe’ job she would say loadsadosh one job can lead to another, BUT I might get stuck in a groove ££££ and…it seems BORING and ...it’s not really what I want, but it’s better than nothing – but is it? job but... loadsa boring! Boring versus money – I don’t need to pay off the Student Loan until I get a job, so I could wait and get one I really like. Why do I think it could be boring? It just looks it, and felt it, and all seemed a bit vague. What would I be doing from day to day? I didn’t like the person in charge of the office. Bar work: be OK until the novelty wore off. A job in Greece: I would like that, but options a bit limited? Tour Rep: yes, not too bad – explore this one. TEFL: yes, again, like it, but need to do a course 2. BALANCE SHEET APPROACH first, but best bet in terms of prospects and would further. The brainstorming approach can satisfy/please be good for parents! shakingDefinitely up to theexplore surface the real issues and problems hidden in any situation. However, it doesn’t suit everyone, and another approach is to look at a decision in a balance Post-grad course: like This to study I enjoyedtaken it on the degree, but more debt – another sheetI’d way. is athis, technique from the business world where£5,000 to borrow for fees and then I have to live – can take out a loan, but it’s not leading to a particular job (does balance sheets are used to weigh up the assets, advantages and this matter, I’ll enjoy it?) But of theany cost venture. is the real problem. Parents would help, but I don’t want to get disadvantages saddled with another debt. 2. THE BALANCE SHEET APPROACH So...job in Britain (in the bag); a job in Greece (nothing yet, but I haven’t really looked properly) Futures: Decision Making and Problem Solving Page 11/20 2. BALANCE-SHEET APPROACH The brainstorming approach can be good for shaking up to the surface the real issues and problems hidden in any situation. It can also be used as a first step before moving onto the balance sheet approach. This is a technique taken from the business world where balance sheets are used to weigh up the assets, advantages and disadvantages of any venture. In this approach Jan must first decide which factors are important to her (these will be different for everybody) and then decide how relatively important these factors are against each other. For example, pleasing her parents may play a part in the decision, but not as large a part as the cost, so she may rate pleasing her parents out of 5, whilst rating cost out of 10. Jan’s balance sheet is shown below. Cost Stay in Leeds with friends Interesting Time to enjoy my self Parents will be pleased Impact on my long term career Postgraduate Course Work in Greece Job offer in Britain 2/10 3/5 4/10 3/5 10/10 4/5 4/20 5/10 20/20 10/10 5/20 5/10 4/5 0/5 5/5 10/20 0/20 12/20 When Jan has rated each option against her important factors she than adds them up for a total score for each option. Totals 28 37 41 These total scores are an objective means of deciding which option is best. However it is important that Jan also considers how she feels about this outcome. Did the option she wanted score highest? What does this mean to her? She now needs to reflect on the scores to make an informed choice she is happy with. It is at this stage that intuition comes into play: you may naturally be an intuitive decision maker and taking this rational approach may feel artificial to you. Once you have the scores for each of your options you should immediately reflect on your initial response to them – did you think “Oh no, I wanted the gap year to score higher” or “Great, that’s what I wanted to come out highest.” Reflecting on your response at this stage will help you establish what the best choice is – you may now be able to identify a factor you didn’t put into the equation, or recognise that you did not put enough weighting on one issue. Don’t be afraid to juggle about with your balance sheet, because as you do so you will be reflecting on the decision. Futures: Decision Making and Problem Solving Page 12/20 If Jan feels bad about her scores, he may rethink how important one factor is to him: deciding to rate cost out of twenty instead of ten or adding in another factor which she hadn’t previously considered. Although the balance sheet approach is a rational decision making strategy, intuition should also play a part. There is space here for you to complete a balance sheet analysis of your decision. So firstly think about the criteria that are important to you and write them down in the left hand column. Then decide what you want to rate each one out of before completing each column. Finally add up the scores. Criteria Option 1: Option 2: Total Score There is still one other technique that Jan can use to test her motivations: the ‘Thinking Hats’ approach – see next page. Futures: Decision Making and Problem Solving Page 13/20 THINKING HATS ‘Thinking Hats' is a third technique you can use to look at options or choices from a number of perspectives. This can encourage you to move outside your habitual thinking style, and helps you to get a more rounded view of a situation. Many successful people think from a very rational, positive viewpoint. This is part of the reason that they are successful. Often, though, they may fail to look at a problem from an emotional, intuitive, creative or negative viewpoint. This can mean that they underestimate resistance to plans, fail to make creative leaps and do not make essential contingency plans. Pessimists may be excessively defensive about decisions and, conversely, people who rely on their intuition may sometimes fail to look calmly and rationally at decisions to be taken. The ‘Thinking Hats' technique therefore can help you make a more considered decision by helping to move you out of habitual modes of response to problem solving. (adapted from De Bono, E. (1999) Six Thinking Hats, Back Bay Books) HOW TO USE THE TECHNIQUE: You can use ‘Thinking Hats’ in groups or on your own. Imagine yourself wearing different coloured hats when considering a particular problem or decision. Each 'Thinking Hat' is a different style of thinking about the problem or decision from a range of perspectives. These are explained below: WHITE HAT With this thinking hat you focus on the data available. Look at the information you have, and see what you can learn from it. Look for gaps in your knowledge, and either try to fill them or take account of them. RED HAT 'Wearing' the red hat, you look at problems using your intuition; what feels right or wrong to you. Also try to think how other people will react emotionally to the same situation; how will they feel? The red hat is about your feelings and other people’s emotional responses to the situation you are in. Futures: Decision Making and Problem Solving Page 14/20 YELLOW HAT The Yellow hat helps you to think positively. It is the optimistic viewpoint that helps you to see all the benefits of a final decision and the value in it. Yellow Hat thinking helps you to keep going when everything looks gloomy and difficult. BLACK HAT Using black hat thinking, look at all the negatives that might flow from a particular decision. Look at the options cautiously and defensively. Try to see why it might not work. This is important because it highlights the weak points in a plan. It allows you to eliminate them, alter them, or prepare contingency plans to counter them. Black Hat thinking helps to make your plans 'tougher' and more resilient. It can also help you to identify flaws and risks before you embark on a course of action. Black Hat thinking is one of the real benefits of this technique - many successful people get so used to thinking positively that often they cannot see problems in advance. This leaves them under-prepared for difficulties. GREEN HAT The Green Hat stands for creativity. This is where you can develop creative solutions to a problem. It is a liberated way of thinking, in which there is little criticism of ideas. You let your imagination roam and think wacky! Key points: ‘Thinking Hats’ is a good technique for looking at the effects of a decision from a number of different points of view. It allows necessary emotion and scepticism to be brought into what would otherwise be purely rational decisions. It opens up the opportunity for creativity within decision-making. The technique also helps, for example, persistently pessimistic people to be positive and creative. Plans developed using the 'Thinking Hats' technique will be sounder and more resilient than would otherwise be the case. It may also help you to spot good reasons not to follow a course of action before you have committed to it. Try it yourself with a decision you are facing, or may have to make in the future. Futures: Decision Making and Problem Solving Page 15/20 Think about the decision/choice and summarise a way of looking at the issues involved according to the hat you are wearing: Your Responses: White Hat (focus on the information available) Red Hat (your gut feeling or intuition about the options open to you) Yellow Hat (all the positives that could flow from the decision) Black Hat (all the negatives that could flow from the decision) Green Hat (any creative/wacky ways forward?) Futures: Decision Making and Problem Solving Page 16/20 JAN’s THINKING HATS WHITE The information on work possibilities in Greece that Jan obtained from the university careers centre stresses the need to develop language skills. It also emphasises the fact that there is unemployment in Greece, which will make it difficult for someone with limited Greek language skills to secure work, other than temporary, practical and low paid work in tourist areas. There is a chance that Jan could find work as a travel rep, or she could train to be a teacher of English and work in a Greek language school. This is the option that most interests her. So she is looking at intensive TEFL (Teaching English as a Foreign Language) courses and at the cost of these. RED Her intuition tells her not to take the job in Britain just yet; it doesn’t feel right and she would only regret it if she did. Her instincts tell her to go to Greece while she is young enough and free enough to enjoy it. It doesn’t have to be for a long period, but it is something she needs to get out of her system. YELLOW Jan has a long list of the positive things she hopes she would get from going to Greece to work for a while in her life. Most of all she would enjoy living in a country she has grown very fond of. BLACK The problematic aspects of this decision would be with her parents and their negative reactions; they want her to take the job. Also, if she spends a lot of money on the TEFL course and it doesn’t lead to work in Greece, she would be back to square one. She wonders too, about the reality of living in Greece, not as a tourist, but as a resident. Would she see the country in the same way: would it lose its gloss on closer acquaintance? And what about the longer term? If she came back to Britain, what could she do for work? GREEN Jan thinks about how she could turn her work experience to her advantage if she returned to Britain. She has an idea about organising history and culture holiday trips to Greece, where she could turn her teaching experience to good advantage. Futures: Decision Making and Problem Solving Page 17/20 SECTION D: ACTION PLAN The final stages of the ‘seven steps’ involve action planning and, later, reviewing the decision and action taken. Jan now has to make a final decision and then implement a plan of action to reach her goal. To work toward goals that you have identified you can produce an action plan. You can use the spaces below to work out a plan to get you to where you want to be. My goal is.... The action steps I need to take to achieve my goal are as follows, and in the order shown: 1 2 3 4 5 6 Time Schedule Your Skills Futures: Decision Making and Problem Solving Page 18/20 It is important to have a specific time schedule to work toward, otherwise things can drift and not get done. At the end of your time schedule you can look back to review progress, then look forward to see what remains to be done to reach your goal. So try completing the following sentences: Tomorrow I will Over the next week I will Over the next month I will Over the next three months I will Over the next six months I will My review date for this process will be: Futures: Decision Making and Problem Solving Page 19/20 Other Topics in the Series There are several topics in the Series of Futures workbooks looking at self-assessment, job selection methods and effective communication with employers. They are available to download from www.leedsmet.ac.uk/careers/siteindex Assessing Your Skills Other Your Personality and values Selection Methods Graduate Interviews Skills Decision Making and Problem Solving CV’s and Letters to Employers Job Search Work Experience Futures: Decision Making and Problem Solving Page 20/20