Economic News Analysis Karen Chan (1) Cynthia Cheung (7) F.4A NEWS South China Morning Post Friday April 16 2010 Cheese prices rocket, but it's not all bad news Amy Nip Cheese topped the list of price increases among 200 top-selling items last year, soaring 25 per cent, the Consumer Council found. This was more than eight times the average 3 per cent increase of the items sold by supermarket chains ParknShop, Wellcome and Vanguard. The survey divided the products into 12 categories. The prices of all but two increased, but the average overall was much lower than in 2008, when prices rose 13 per cent. By category, the prices of milk powder and baby products showed the biggest increase. The dairy and yogurt category, which includes cheese, followed, at 7.6 per cent. Consumer Council chief executive Connie Lau Yin-hing said the soaring price of cheese could be attributed partly to an appreciation in the currency of Australia, a key source of imports. Among subcategories, nuts, milk powder and packaged rice had some of the biggest increases, with 10.5 per cent, 10.3 and 9.2 respectively. 'Many people from the mainland buy milk powder in Hong Kong, and their demand could have lifted prices,' Lau said. The vice-chairman of the council's publicity and community relations committee, Ron Hui Shu-yuen, said the higher Australian dollar also made rice from that country more expensive. But for those who like wine with their cheese, some relief came from a plunge in the price of red and white wines of 9.7 per cent, the biggest drop in all the subcategories. Meanwhile, a study by the council warns people to beware of luncheon meat. Seven out of 10 samples of canned luncheon meat were high in sodium - containing more than 0.6 gram per 100 grams of food. The saltiest one, Ma Ling pork luncheon meat, contains 2.2 grams of sodium in three slices of meat. The amount exceeds the World Health Organisation's recommended limit on the daily intake of sodium. 'If you eat it with instant noodles, then you would have way too much sodium,' Hui said. An earlier study by the council found one instant noodle pack contained as much as four grams of salt, double the WHO's daily limit. Too much salt in one's diet increases the chance of hypertension and heart disease, Hui said. Two canned sardine samples, Golden Dragon brand XO sardines and Red Marubean Japanese sardines in tomato sauce, also had high salt contents. Eating a can of Red Marubean sardines in oil would account for half the daily limit for fat as recommended by the WHO. Over the limit The worst offenders* (per 100 grams) Ma Ling Pork Luncheon Meat: 2.2g of sodium Hormel Foods SPAM Classic: 29g of fat Red Marubean Brand Japanese Sardinesin Tomato Sauce: 0.6g of salt * WHO recommends daily limit of two grams of sodium and 60 grams of fat Supermarket items with the greatest price changes Cheese: +24.7% Nuts: +10.5% Milk powder: +10.3% Rice: +9.2% Potato chips: +8.2% Biscuits: +7.9% Bread: +6.6% Noodles: +6.2% Cooking oil: -4.8% Wine: -9.7% SOURCE: CONSUMER COUNCIL Source to support answer 超巿物價去年升 3% 芝士果仁奶粉加最多 (明 報 )2010 年 4 月 16 日 星 期 五 05:10 【明報專訊】消委會 08 年 調 查 顯 示 , 本 港 超 市 貨 品 瘋 狂 加 價 12.8%。 該 會 今 年 發 現,09 年 本 港 超 市 持 續 加 價,平 均 加 價 3%,比 同 期 綜 合 消 費 物 價 指 數 0.5%的 加 幅 更 高 。 眾 多 用 品 中 , 芝 士 的 加 幅 最 高 , 一 年 來 加 價 達 24.7%, 其 次 為 加 價 約 10% 的 果 仁 和 奶 粉 , 食 米 亦 加 價 9.2%。 僅酒類即冲飲品跌價 消委會調查了惠康 、百佳 、 華 潤 萬 家 三 大 本 地 超 市 約 200 項 貨 品 , 共 分 為 12 大類,結果除了酒類飲品和即冲飲品售價下跌外,所有貨品售價都錄得升幅,酒類 飲 品 平 均 售 價 跌 幅 較 大 , 達 7%, 估 計 是 本 港 減 酒 稅 所 致 。 百佳發言人回應表示,因匯率、通脹、氣候等因素令貨品價格上升,如澳元和紐西 蘭 元在去年上升兩、三成,因調查涉及的芝士由澳紐入口,因此錄得價格升幅, 而果仁失收,令價格上升。華潤萬家發言人表示,澳洲 米入口價亦受匯價影響, 加上內地奶粉發生問題,增加自由行旅行來港搶購奶粉,供不應求下奶粉加價。 消委會主席劉燕卿表示,本港是自由經濟體,難以規管超市加價,但希望超市能提 供準確的價格資訊,同時不要有「先抬價再減價」的假減價情况出現。 Description According to the news, the Consumer Council found that Cheese topped the list of price increases among 200 top-selling items by supermarket chains ParknShop, Wellcome and Vanguard. This is because of the appreciation in the currency of Australia. Nuts have increased 10.5%, which is among the second. For milk powder, it’s the third, which has increased 10.3%. This is because the mainlanders came to Hong Kong to buy the milk powders. However, the red and white wines have the biggest drop among the list. Furthermore, 7 out of 10 samples of canned luncheon meat have found to be harmful to our health due to a high content in sodium. The amount of sodium exceeds the World Health Organization’s recommended limit on daily intake of sodium, which may increase the change of hypertension and heart disease. The supermarkets are oligopoly The news is about the products sold by the 3 dominant supermarkets in Hong Kong. They are ParknShop, Wellcome and Vanguard, which are called oligopolists. The goods sold by them are heterogeneous, such as cheese, wines and luncheon meat. As the goods sold are heterogeneous or homogenous, the buyers and sellers have imperfect information such as the price, quantity and quality of goods sold as they can change the price without losing customers. Consumer council stated that the 7 out of 10 samples of canned luncheon meats sold by these supermarkets have high sodium, this shows that the oligopolists (the supermarkets) have imperfect information about the luncheon meats’ quality. Rise in demand for the milk powder leads to increase in price According to the news from P South China Morning Post, it shows that the demand for milk powder for babies has increased 10.3% because mainlanders came to Hong Kong to buy the milk powders. The milk powders in Mainland were found to be harmful to babies’ health, hence, the demand for the milk powders in Mainland decreases. Milk powders in Hong Kong are substitutes of the Mainland’s S P2 P1 D1 0 Q1 Q2 Hong Kong’s milk powder D2 Q milk powders. This leads to an increase in demand for Hong Kong’s milk powder. Therefore, the suppliers have to raise the price in order to eliminate excess demand. All in all, this increases the equilibrium price and equilibrium quantity of milk powder in Hong Kong. Decrease in price of wine due to the reduction of tax As mentioned from the news, P the prices of red and white wines fall for 9.7%. This is because of the reduction of P1 wine tax in Hong Kong. Unit CB sales tax is imposed when P2 same amount of tax is imposed PB on each unit of the good regardless of its price. Reduction of per unit tax on wine will lead to an increase in supply of wine. Hence, equilibrium price falls and equilibrium quantity rises. S1 S2 T LOSS D 0 Q1 Q Q2 Red and white Wines Increase in price of nuts due to the bad harvest According to the news, the P price of nuts has increased greatly for 10.5%. This is because there was a bad P2 harvest on nuts farm, thus the supply of nuts decreases. P1 Hence the equilibrium price rises with a decrease in S2 S1 equilibrium quantity. D 0 Q2 Q1 Nuts Q Increase in price of cheese due to the rise in exchange rate According to Consumer P S2 Council chief executive, Connie Lau Yin-hing, the increase in the price of P2 cheese is because of an appreciation in the currency P1 of Australia. When the exchange rate of Australia increases, this will increase the import price of Cheese imported from Australia and eventually increase the production cost. Thus, the 0 Q2 S1 D Q Q1 Cheese supply of the cheese imported from Australia decrease and leads to rise in price and fall in quantity. As Australia is the main source of imports in the Hong Kong’s cheese market, hence, the increase in price of Australian cheese has a big impact on the entire cheese market in Hong Kong. Thus, equilibrium price increases and the equilibrium quantity decrease due to the fall in supply. Prediction of fall in demand for luncheon meat According to the news, the P Consumer Council warns people to beware of luncheon meat, 7 out of 10 samples of canned luncheon meat were high in sodium, which is unhealthy to people, as the amount P1 of sodium exceeds the World Health Organization’s recommended limit P2 on daily intake of sodium. This may increase the chance of hypertension and heart disease. We can predict that the demand for canned luncheon meat will decrease and thus the equilibrium price and the equilibrium quantity of canned luncheon meat will fall. S D2 0 Q2 Q1 Canned luncheon meat D1 Q