UNIVERSITY OF SIENA Faculty of Economics Course on European Economic Policy (Prof. S. Tarditi) REMINDERS OF PRICE POLICY ANALYSIS AND EXERCISES Notes taken from lectures By Tommaso Albergotti David Sarri Incomplete draft To be revised Table of contents 1 2 3 4 CONSUMER SURPLUS ............................................................................................. 4 TAX ON CONSUMPTION ......................................................................................... 7 SUBSIDY TO PRODUCTION .................................................................................... 8 TARIFF ON IMPORTS ........................................................................................... 10 4.1 4.2 Small Country ....................................................................................................................... 10 Large country ........................................................................................................................ 11 5 NON TARIFF BARRIERS........................................................................................ 12 6 EXPORT SUBSIDIES .............................................................................................. 13 7 LARGE COUNTRY: EXTERNAL EFFECTS.............................................................. 16 7.1 Trade liberalisation ................................................................................................................ 16 7.2 Border tariff ........................................................................................................................... 17 7.3 Export subsidy ....................................................................................................................... 17 8 CUSTOMS UNION ................................................................................................. 18 9 PRODUCTION SUBSIDY ........................................................................................ 21 9.1 Trade effects. ......................................................................................................................... 21 9.2 Financial effects .................................................................................................................... 22 9.3 Domestic transfers ................................................................................................................. 22 9.4 Economic effects. .................................................................................................................. 22 9.5 Intersectoral redistribution. ................................................................................................... 22 9.6 Impact on social welfare........................................................................................................ 23 10 TAX ON CONSUMPTION ....................................................................................... 25 11 DUTY ON IMPORTS (SMALL COUNTRY) ................................................................... 28 12 DUTY ON IMPORTS (LARGE COUNTRY) ................................................................... 32 13 OTHER EXERCISES .............................................................................................. 36 13.1 Export Subsidy ...................................................................................................................... 36 13.2 Consumption subsidy ............................................................................................................ 37 13.3 Tax on production ................................................................................................................. 38 13.4 Export and production subsidy ............................................................................................. 39 13.5 Import duty and production subsidy ...................................................................................... 40 13.6 Minimum guaranteed price and co-responsibility levy ......................................................... 41 13.7 Import duty and production subsidy (2) ................................................................................ 42 13.8 Price reduction and compensation ......................................................................................... 43 13.9 Export and production subsidy (2) ........................................................................................ 44 13.10 Frame 14: Import duty and production subsidy (3) ............................................................... 45 13.11 Export subsidy and tax on consumption ................................................................................ 46 106747981, page 2 of 46 List of Frames Frame 1-1 Strategy A of water use ......................................... Error! Bookmark not defined. Frame 1-2 Estimating demand function .................................................................................. 4 Frame 1-3 Srategy B: single price, maximum revenue .......................................................... 5 Frame 1-4 Strategy C: full price discrimination, auction ..................................................... 6 Frame 2-1 Analysis of a tax on consumption .......................................................................... 7 Frame 3-1 Analysis of a subsidy to production ....................................................................... 8 Frame 3-2 Subsidy to production, numerical example............................................................ 9 Frame 5-1 Analysis of non-tariff barriers to trade ............................................................... 12 Frame 6-1 Effects of export subsidies ................................................................................... 13 Frame 6-2 Analysis of an export subsidy .............................................................................. 14 Frame 6-3 Export subsidy quota ........................................................................................... 15 Frame 8-1 Welfare analysius of a customs union ................................................................. 18 Frame 9-1 Subsidy to production ......................................................................................... 24 Frame 10-1 Tax on consumption ........................................................................................... 27 Frame 11-1 Duty on imports (small country) ....................................................................... 31 Frame 12-1 Duty on imports (large country ......................................................................... 35 106747981, page 3 of 46 Part I Reminders of price policy analysis 1 CONSUMER SURPLUS Frame 1-1 Strategy A for water use Strategy A: Free access Q 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 Frame 1-2 Estimating demand function P 11 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 E s tim atin g th e D e m an d fu n c tio n Q 0 10 20 30 106747981, page 4 of 46 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 Frame 1-3 Srategy B: single price, maximum revenue P 12 S tra te g y B : M o no po ly 10 8 6 P(Q d) 4 R' 2 Pd Q 0 - 20 - 2 50 120 -4 P ro d u c e r re v e n u e (R = Q * P ) 300 R 250 200 150 100 50 0 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 Q Q = f(P) P = f(Q) R = Q * f(Q) = F(Q) R' = f(Q) (MAX R) R' = 0 "Q" "P" = f("Q") 106747981, page 5 of 46 Q = 100 - 10P P = 10 - Q/10 R = Q * P = Q * (10 - Q/10) = 10Q - Q2/10 R' = 10-2Q/10 10-2Q/10 = 0 Q/5 =10 "Q"= 50 "P" = 10 - Q/10 = 10-50/10 = 10-5 = 5 Frame 1-4 Strategy C: full price discrimination, auction Strategy C: Full price discrimination 12 P(Qd) 10 8 6 4 2 Q 0 0 20 40 60 80 100 Consumers A: free access B: Monopoly C: Full price discrimination A: Free access B: Monopoly C: Full price discrimination D: Agreement on price Rank for efficiency: A = C, D, B Rank for equity: A, D, B, C 106747981, page 6 of 46 ? ? 0 Producers 0 250 500 Society ? ? 500 Losses 0 ? 0 Consumers 500 125 0 320 Producers 0 250 500 160 Society 500 375 500 480 Losses 0 125 0 20 2 TAX ON CONSUMPTION Frame 2-1 Analysis of a tax on consumption Pw Q0 Ed t Q =K*P^E Kd = Q0 / Pw^Ed P = Pw + t Q1 =Kd*P^Ed Q0 *Pw Q1*P (Pw - P) * 1 (Q1Q -Q0)*(P-Pw)/2 (P-Pw)*(Q1+Q0)/2 World market Price Quantity consumed (free trade) Elasticity of Tax on demand consumption Assumed demand function Demand intercept Domestic Demanded Price Quantity expenditure (ante) Consumer [M+H] expenditure (post) Consumer [M+N] to budget (taxpayer benefit ) Transfers [N] consumer surplus (social Lost Change cost) [G]in consumer surplus [N+ G] 30 700 -0,5 10 N 3834 40 606 21000 24249 -6062 -469 -6531 G H M Q 50 P D P 60 Q 40 Pw N 30 20 M 10 3 SUBSIDY TO PRODUCTION The analysis of a traditional subsidy to producers is indicated in Figure 3-1 and Figure 3-2. As a consequence of a direct payment to producers (P'-P) the per unit revenue of farmers increases and as a consequence domestic supply is expanded from S1 to S2. The domestic market price does not change, however the composition of total supply (St) changes from S1 + (D1-S1) to S2 + (D1-S2). Frame 3-1 Analysis of a subsidy to production Effects Producer Subsidy per unit (PS) Domestic market price Quantiy produced Quantity consumed Net trade Transfers: Taxpayers vs. Producers PS P'-P P=PR S2 D1 D1-S2 P c e PR P S c P' P =PR D a e b St Q O S1 S2 D1 For some commodities (e.g. some vegetables in the EU) public subsidies are granted to processors (sometimes for a fixed amount of production, a quota) under commitment of paying a higher price to producers equivalent to the subsidy received. Under such circumstances, the market price to producers is likely to increase up to P' in Figure 5.2 and such price increase can be considered a MPS. For example this was the case of the so-called "consumer aid" granted to olive oil processors only for the quantity of olive oil produced in the EU, not to imports. As a consequence such subsidy was benefiting EU producers and not EU consumers, actually in practice it was considered as a substitute to the larger 'producer aid' granted to olive oil producers. In order to lower the market price and benefit consumers the "consumer aid" should have been granted to all the olive oil consumed in the Union (Pieri, et al. 1981). 106747981, page 8 of 46 Frame 3-2 Subsidy to production, numerical example W orld market Price Quantity produced (free trade) Elasticity of supply Subsidy to production P Q E s 30 400 1 10 Assumed supply function Supply intercept Domestic Price Supplied Quantity Q =K *P^E K = Q / P ^E P=P +s Q =K *P^E 13.3 40 533 Producer revenue (ante) Producer revenue (post) Producer extra cost Budget expenditure (net) Change in producer surpl Social cost [C] [A+B+C+F] [F] [A+B] [A] [B] P Q *P Q *P (Q -Q )*P (P-P )*Q (P-P )*(Q Q )/2 (Q -Q )*(P-P )/2 12000 21333 4000 5333 4667 667 S A B P C F Q Q Q 106747981, page 9 of 46 4 TARIFF ON IMPORTS 4.1 Small Country P World market Price Q Quantity consumed (free trade) Q Quantity produced (free trade) E Elasticity of supply E Elasticity of demand Border Tariff t Q =K*P^E Assumed functions (constant E) K = Q / P ^E Demand intercept K = Q / P ^E Supply intercept P=P +t Domestic Price Q =K *P^E Demanded Quantity Q =K *P^E Supplied Quantity Consumer expenditure (ante) [C+F+L+H] Q *P Q *P Consumer expenditure (post) [A+B+J+C+F+L] Lost consumer surplus (social cost) [G] (Q -Q )*(P-P )/2 Total lost consumer surplus [A+B+J+G](P-P )*(Q Q )/2 Q *P Producer revenue (ante) [C] Q *P Producer revenue (post) [A+B+C+F] (Q -Q )*P Producer extra cost [F] (P-P )*(Q Q )/2 Producer surplus [A] (Q -Q )*(P-P )/2 Social cost at production [B] Trade balance (post) Budget benefit (Q - Q )*P (P-P )*(Q Q )/2 [L] [J] 30 700 400 1 -0,5 10 3834 13,3 40 606 533 21000 24249 -469 -6531 12000 21333 4000 4667 667 -2187 729 D S P A B P C G L F Q J Q H Q Q Q 106747981, page 10 of 46 Q 4.2 Large country Change in international terms of trade Total consumer welfare loss Net welfare loss Transfers to the budget (taxpayers) Transfers to producers Deadweight losses at production Producer surplus Transfers from Rest of World to budget Trade balance Pw - Pw' A+B+J+G G J A+B B A R L D P A B S J G R P C Q 106747981, page 11 of 46 L F Q H Q Q 5 NON TARIFF BARRIERS All other non-tariff barriers1 to trade imply a constraint on the amount of imports generating a reduction of the total supply in the domestic market and a consequent increase of the domestic price and of MPS. Such increase may be added to the market price support generated by an import tariff, as indicated in Figure 4-1. Frame 5-1 Analysis of non-tariff barriers to trade P S D c d P' g P PR St h b a e f Q O S1 S2 D2 S1 In this case, the average collected tariff (g h e f divided by D2-S2) should be equal to the nominal tariff (P-PR). However, in order to estimate the total MPS the difference between the domestic market price (P') and the reference price (PR) must be estimated. Estimated MPS (P'-PR) cannot be lower than the nominal or collected tariff (P-PR), conversely the extra MPS estimated by the difference between domestic and reference prices should by justified by existing non-tariff barriers. The benefits of NTB (area c d h g) are economic rents generated by the quantitative constraint to trade and usually benefit middlemen. 1 NTB include quantitative restriction and technical barriers. Technical barriers are import standards or regulations that reflect a country’s concern and valuation for safety, health, food quality, and the environment. They include: sanitary and phytosanitary measures related to food safety, animal and plant health; food standards of definition, measurement, and quality; and environmental or natural resource conservation measures. S. Tarditi, 106747981, page 12/46 6 EXPORT SUBSIDIES Although export subsidies are banned in principle by WTO and existing agricultural export subsidies were put under reduction commitments in the last GATT agreement in 1994, remaining export subsidies may provide further information for the assessment of MPS. In principle export subsidies should be lower than import tariffs otherwise it would be profitable to import and re-export the same commodities, however export subsidies are granted under various modalities, and especially after the 1994 GATT agreement some are granted only for a limited amount of commodity exported. Figure 5-1 indicates the effects of an export subsidy (XS) and of an export subsidy quota (XSq) with reference to the following figures. Frame 6-1 Effects of export subsidies Effects Export Subsidy per unit (XS) Export subsidy quota (quantity) Export Subsidy quota (price effect) Domestic market price Quantiy produced Quantity consumed Net trade Transfers: Consumers vs. Producers Taxpayers vs. Producers Taxpayers vs. Middlemen (*) XS = Export subsidy XSq = Export Susidy quota XS P-PR XSq P-PR D2 - S2 P' - PR P P' S2 S2 D2 D2 S2-D2 S2-D2 P c e PR P' g c' PR cdfe g h f' e' c' d' h g In order to reduce supply on the domestic market and increase the MPS, export subsidies are granted to exporters (e.g. P-PR in Figure 7-1) in order to unable them to buy at an higher price (P) in the domestic market and sell in the world market at a lower price (PR). If we limit the perspective only to traders we could accept the funny name of "export restitutions" currently used by the CAP. Actually the real aim of such policy measure is not to repay money to traders (c d f e), but rather to create or maintain the existing transfers from consumers to producers (P c e PR) when domestic supply has grown larger than domestic demand. S. Tarditi, 106747981, page 13/46 Frame 6-2 Analysis of an export subsidy P D S P PR d c e a b Dt f Q O D2 D1 S1 S2 In principle information on the amount of such budgetary expenditure should be easily available at different detail: by product, by season, month, etc. In practice such information is not easily available at such detailed level, at least in the EU, however we are confident that the Commission will soon improve the transparency of the public EU expenditure. The average collected export subsidy could be a good indicator of the lower level of MPS. S. Tarditi, 106747981, page 14/46 Frame 6-3 Export subsidy quota P D S c' P d' i j g h Dt P' a l PR b e' k f' S O D2 D1 S1 S2 Q When export subsidies are limited to a limited amount of exports their effect on the level of the domestic price could be much lower2, as indicated in Figure 5-3. An export subsidy of P-PR if limited to the amount of exports S2-D2 generates only a limited MPS equal to P'-PR. Part of the amount of budgetary expenditure (g h f ' e') is passed to domestic producers, while the remaining part (c' d' h g) flows to middlemen in terms of economic rents. In this case the average budgetary expenditure per unit of exported product would overestimate the MPS generated by such export subsidy quota. 2 The full effect of the export subsidy would be i j k l S. Tarditi, 106747981, page 15/46 7 LARGE COUNTRY: EXTERNAL EFFECTS 7.1 Trade liberalisation Trade liberalisation Pa Pb Da Sa Db Sb Pe Pe Qe 0 Qe 0 Pa Pb Pw Da Sa Db Sb Pe ESb Pw Pw Pw ESa 0 Q1 Q e Q 2 0 T S. Tarditi, 106747981, page 16/46 Pe 0 Q1 Q e Q 2 7.2 Border tariff Border Tariff (large country) Pa Pb Pw Da Sa Db Sb Pe ESb Pa Pw Pw' Pww Pw ESa Pw' Pe Esa' Q 1 Qe Q2 Q1' Q2' 0 7.3 0 T' T Q1 0 Qe Q2 Q1' Q2' Export subsidy Export subsidy (large country) Pa Pb Pw Da Sa Db Sb Pe ESb Esb' Pw Pw Pw' ESa 0 Q1' Q1 Qe Q2 Q2' 0 T T' Pb Pww Pw' Pe 0 S. Tarditi, 106747981, page 17/46 Q1' Q1 Qe Q2 Q2' 8 CUSTOMS UNION Frame 8-1 Welfare analysius of a customs union Price harmonization Alternative policies [1] Pc = Pb [2] Pc = Pa [3] Pa<Pc<Pb Country A Consumers A+B+C+E A'+B'+C+E' Producers -A -A' Taxpayers -C -C' Overall B+E B'+E' Country B Consumers -F-G -F'-G' Producers F+G+H F'+G'+H' Taxpayers -G-H-I -G'-H'-I' Overall -G-I -G'-I' Customs Union (A+B) B+E -G-I B'+E'-G'-I' Invisible transfers from A to B CU budget proceeds Customs Union [1] Pc = Pb [2] Pc = Pa A+B+C+E -A -C B+E B+E [3] Pa<Pc<Pb A'+B'+C'+E' -A' -C = -(G+H+I) -C' -J -C = -(G+H+I) B'+E' -J -F-G F+G+H -F'-G' F'+G'+H' H -G-I H' B'+E'-G'-I' C = (G+H+I) (G'+H'+I') J - (G'+H'+I') S. Tarditi, 106747981, page 18/46 P P Da Db Sa Sb P Pa C A E B Pc=Pw Pw Q Q 0 Q1 Q3 Q4 0 Q2 Q5 Q6 P P Da Db Sa Sb P Pc=Pa F C G Pw Pw H I Q Q 0 Q1 Q3 Q4 Q2 0 S. Tarditi, 106747981, page 19/46 Q7 Q5 Q 6 Q8 P P Da Db Sa Sb Pa Pc A' B' E' J Pw 0 C' Q1 Q3 Pw Q4 Q 2 F' G' H' I' Q Q 0 S. Tarditi, 106747981, page 20/46 Q Q 5 Q 6 Q8 7 Part II Quantitatve analysis, exarcises 9 PRODUCTION SUBSIDY In country A, in free trade, at world market price €/t 100, the domestic demand of a perishable agricultural product is 2000 t and the domestic supply is 1000 t. Elasticity of demand is assumed to be -0.5 and elasticity of supply 0.8. Domestic producers are granted € 20 per ton as a subsidy. Find the likely effects3 of such policy on: 1. The most important trade variables: (a) demand price, (b) supply price, (c) demanded quantity, (d) supplied quantity, (e) internationsally traded quantity. 2. The resulting effects on: (f) consumer expenditure, (g) producer revenue, (h) trade balance (at border price). 3. The domestic transfers from or to: (i) consumers, (j) producers, (k) public budget. 4. The economic effects: (l) at consumption level, (m) at production level, (n) tax raising cost (assumed to be 5%) of transfers to the public budget), (o) programme administration cost (assumed to be 10% of transfers from the public budget), (p) transfers (to or from) the rest of world. 5. The intersectoral redistribution: (q) consumers surplus, (r) producers surplus, (s) taxpayers income. 6. The overall social welfare (t). 9.1 Trade effects. a) In the domestic market, the demand price does not change. b) The production price (producer revenue per unit) will grow by the same amount as the producer subsidy (€20) consequently the new producer price is €/t 100 + 20 = €/t 120. c) Impact on the demanded quantity: none. d) The estimated effect on supplied quantity We may follow two different approaches to quantify the likely effects on the quantity supplied: First approach (approximate, usually done by hart). The formula of the supply elasticity is the ratio between the percent variation of quantity and the percent variation of price = Q%/P%; knowing the percent variation of price, we can find the percent variation of quantity Q% = *P%. In our example P% = 20/100=20%, the percent variation of supplied quantity: Qs% = 0.8*0.2 = 0.16 =16%. Consequently QS = 0.16*1000 = 160 t. The new supplied quantity, will be Q2 = 1000 + 160 = 1160 t. 3 Our analysis is partial equilibrium and small country case, i.e. the effects of this sectoral policy on macroeconomic variables and on the international terms of trade are insignificant. In order to simplify our analysis in computing areas related to significant economic variables, we consider functions of demand and of supply as linear, in the considered interval. Second approach (more precise, in case the elasticity is reliably estimated). If we know the elasticity, we can find the supply function QS=A*P^ passing through the observed point on our diagram (whose coordinates are 1000,100). Then: 1000=A*1000.8; A=1000/1000.8 =1000/39.81 = 25.12; the supply function will be Qs=25.12*P0.8; at a price €/t 120, the supplied quantity will be: QS = 25.12*1200.8 =1157 t. The estimated effect on supplied quantity is: 1157-1000 = 157 t e) Imports grow from (-2000+1000) =-1000 t to (-2000+157)= -843 t, with a difference of (-847 +1000) = 157t. 9.2 Financial effects f) We don’t have effects on consumer expenditure as consumer price and the quantity demanded did not change. g) Effect on the producer revenue: at first the revenue was: 100*1000 =100000. After the subsidy is granted to producers: it becomes 120*1157 =138844. Effect of the subsidy € 138844-100000 = € 38844. h) Effect on trade balance (border price): at first the value of imports was € 100*1000 = 100000, after granting the subsidy it is € 100*-843 = -84297, resulting in a reduction of outlays of foreign currency € 100000-84297 = 15703 9.3 Domestic transfers i) There are no transfers to or from consumers. j) Transfers from the public budget to producers are € P*Q2 = 20*1157 = 23141, (rectangle P1-c-d-Pw in figure 1). k) The cost for public budget is € 20 per supplied unit: -20*1157 = -23141. 9.4 Economic effects. Until now we have considered the effects on costs and revenues for different groups of citizens, now we analyse the effects on social welfare. l) At consumption level we don’t notice any economic costs or benefits. m) At production level, the worse allocation of resources produces an economic cost, shown by the triangle a-c-d in figure 1, that is: 0.5* P*QS = 0.5 *20*157 = € -1570. n) The administrative costs are assumed to be 15% of the public budget transfer: 5% for tax raising cost and 10% for the programme administration cost: -23141 * 0.15 = € -3471. Such costs may be considered as a net loss of resources not only for taxpayers but for the whole society . o) As international terms of trade are unchanged, we have no invisible transfers of resources from, or to the rest of the world. 9.5 Intersectoral redistribution. p) There is no change in consumer behavious and no impacton on consumer surplus. q) Effects on producer surplus: the net benefit for producers is indicated by the area of the trapezium P1-c-a-Pw in figure 1: 0.5 *P*(Q1+Q2) = 0.5 *20*(1000+1157) = € 21570. We can get the same result also by subtracting the cost of new marginal S. Tarditi, 106747981, page 22/46 production 0.5*157*20 = 1570, from the gross transfer of resources to producers (€ 23141), that is: € 21570. r) Effect on taxpayers’ income: it coincides with the budgetary cost of the subsidy previously examined (€ -23141) plus administrative costs € -3471, assumed to be 15% of the public budget transfer. In total: -23141-3471= € -26612. 9.6 Impact on social welfare u) The overall effect on social welfare is due to the economic costs at production level and to the administrative costs. They result in a reduction of social welfare -[m]-[n] = -1570-3471= € -5041. The same result is obtained by summing up the impact on producers’ and taxpayers’ surpluses: [q]+[r] =21570-26612 = € - 5042 S. Tarditi, 106747981, page 23/46 Frame 9-1 Subsidy to production Production Subsidy In country A, in free trade, at world market price €/t 100, the domestic demand of a perishable agricultural product is 2000 t and the domestic supply is 1000 t. Elasticity of demand is assumed to be -0.5 and elasticity of supply 0.8. Domestic producers are granted € 20 per ton as a subsidy. Find the likely effects on producers' revenue, trade balance, public budget and consumers' surplus. P 300 S D 250 200 150 100 50 0 0 1000 2000 3000 4000 10 TAX ON CONSUMPTION In country A, in free trade, at world market price €/t 100, the domestic demand of a perishable agricultural product is 2000 t and the domestic supply is 1000 t. Elasticity of demand is assumed to be -0.5 and elasticity of supply 0.8. A € 20 per ton tax on consumption is imposed. Find the likely effects4 of such policy on: 1. The most important trade variables: (a) demand price, (b) supply price, (c) demanded quantity, (d) supplied quantity, (e) internationsally traded quantity. 2. The resulting effects on: (f) consumer expenditure, (g) producer revenue, (h) trade balance (at border price). 3. The domestic transfers from or to: (i) consumers, (j) producers, (k) public budget. 4. The economic effects: (l) at consumption level, (m) at production level, (n) tax raising cost (assumed to be 5%) of transfers to the public budget), (o) programme administration cost (assumed to be 10%) of transfers from the public budget), (p) transfers (to or from) the rest of world. 5. The intersectoral redistribution: (q) consumers surplus, (r) producers surplus, (s) taxpayers income. 6. The overall social welfare (t). * * * Trade effects. a) In the domestic market, the demand price will grow by the same amount as the tax on consumption (€20), consequently the new consumer price is €/t 100 + 20 = €/t 120. b) The production price (producer revenue per unit) does not change. c) The estimated effect on demanded quantity We may follow two different approaches to quantify the likely effects on the quantity demanded: First approach (approximate, usually done by hart). The formula of the demand elasticity is the ratio between the percent variation of quantity and the percent variation of price = Q%/P%; knowing the percent variation of price, we can find the percent variation of quantity Q% = *P%. In our example P% = 20/100=20%, the percent variation of supplied quantity: Qs% = -0.5*0.2 = -0.10 =-10%. Consequently QD= -0.10*2000 = -200 t. The new supplied quantity, will be Q4 = 2000-200= 1800 t. Second approach (more precise, in case the elasticity is reliably estimated). If we know the elasticity, we can find the demand function QD=A*P^ passing through the observed point on our diagram (whose coordinates are 2000,100). Then: 2000=A*100-0.5; A=2000/100-0.5 = 20000; the demand function will be QD=20000*P-0.5; at a price €/t 120, the demanded quantity will be: QD = 20000*120-0.5 =1826 t. 4 Our analysis is partial equilibrium and small country case, i.e. the effects of this sectoral policy on macroeconomic variables and on the international terms of trade are insignificant. In order to semplify our analysis in computing areas related to significant economic variables, we consider functions of demand and of supply as linear, in the considered interval. The estimated effect on demanded quantity is: 2000-1826 = 174 t d) No impact on the supplied quantity. e) Imports fall from (-2000+1000) =-1000 t to (-1826+1000)= -826 t, with a difference of 26 +1000) = 174 t. Financial effects f) Effect on the consumer expenditure: at first the expenditure was: 100*2000 =200000. After the tax is imposed to consumers: it becomes 120*826 =219089. Effect of tax € 219089-200000 = € 19089. g) No effects on producer revenue as producer price did not change. h) Effect on trade balance (border price): at first the value of imports was € 100*1000 = 100000, after imposing the tax it is € 100*-826= -82574, resulting in a reduction of outlays of foreign currency € 100000-82574= 17426 Domestic transfers i) Transfers from consumers to the public budget are € P*Q2 = 20*1826 = 36515, (rectangle P1-e-f-Pw in figure 2). j) There are no transfers to or from producers. k) The revenue for public budget is € 20 per demanded unit: 20*1826 = 36515. Economic effects. Until now we have considered the effects on costs and revenues for different groups of citizens, now we analyse the effects on social welfare. l) At the consumption level, the worse allocation of resources produces an economic cost, shown by the triangle e-b-f in figure 2, that is: 0.5* P*QD = 0.5 *20*174 = € 1743. m) At production level we don’t notice any economic costs or benefits. n) The administrative costs are assumed to be 15% of the public budget transfer: 5% for tax raising cost and 10% for the programme administration cost: 36515 * 0.15= € 5477. Such costs are a net loss of resources for taxpayers and for the whole society . o) Because the international terms of trade are unchanged, we have no invisible transfers of resources from, or to the rest of the world. Intersectoral redistribution. p) Effect on the consumers surplus: the surplus of consumers decreases by the area of trapezium P1-e-b-Pw in figure 2: 0.5 *P*(Q3+Q4) = 0.5 *20*(2000+1826) = € 38257. We can get the same result also by adding the further economic cost at consumption level 0.5*174*20 = -1743, to the obtained transfer of resources (€ 36515), that is: € -38257. q) The situation of producers remains unchanged therefore no effects on redistribution. r) Effect on the income of taxpayers: the proceeds of the tax (€ 36515) minus the further costs for public administration produced by the state intervention, € -5477 wich is assumed to be 15% of the public budget transfer. In total: 36515-5477 = € 31038. Overall social welfare u) The total effect on social welfare is given by the addition of economic costs at the consumption level and of the administrative costs. They represent a negative change of social welfare -[m]-[n]= -1743-5477= -7220. The same result can be obtained by adding the effects on distribution of the revenue between consumers and taxpayers: [q]+[r] =-38257+31038 = € -7220. If negative or positive externalities are generated by the examined policy measure, their estimated impact on social welfare should be added to these results. S. Tarditi, 106747981, page 26/46 Frame 10-1 Tax on consumption Tax on consumption In country A, in free trade, at world market price €/t 100, the domestic demand of a perishable agricultural product is 2000 t and the domestic supply is 1000 t. Elasticity of demand is assumed to be -0.5 and elasticity of supply 0.8. A € 20 per ton tax on consumption is imposed. Find out how large would be the cost or benefit to consumers, producers and the public budget. P 250 D S 200 150 100 50 Q 0 0 1000 2000 3000 4000 11 DUTY ON IMPORTS ( SMALL COUNTRY) In country A, in free trade, at world market price €/t 100, the domestic demand of a perishable agricultural product is 2000 t and the domestic supply is 1000 t. Elasticity of demand is assumed to be -0.5 and elasticity of supply 0.8. A € 20 per ton import duty is imposed. Find the likely effects5 of such policy on: 1. The most important trade variables: (a) demand price, (b) supply price, (c) demanded quantity, (d) supplied quantity, (e) internationsally traded quantity. 2. The resulting effects on: (f) consumer expenditure, (g) producer revenue, (h) trade balance (at border price). 3. The domestic transfers from or to: (i) consumers, (j) producers, (k) public budget. 4. The economic effects: (l) at consumption level, (m) at production level, (n) tax raising cost (assumed to be 5%) of transfers to the public budget), (o) programme administration cost (assumed to be 10%) of transfers from the public budget), (p) transfers (to or from) the rest of world. 5. The intersectoral redistribution: (q) consumers surplus, (r) producers surplus, (s) taxpayers income. 6. The overall social welfare (t). Trade effects. a=b) In the domestic market, we have a rise in the demand and supply price by the same amount as the import duty (€20) because the cost per unit of imports increases from €100 to 120. The erliest supply and demand prices increase by the same amount as the import duty. c-d) We may follow two different approaches to quantify the likely effects on the quantity demanded and supplied: First approach (approximate, usually done by hart). The formula of the demand elasticity is the ratio between the percent variation of quantity and the percent variation of price = Q%/P%; knowing the percent variation of price, we can find the percent variation of quantity Q% = *P%. In our example P% = 20/100=20%, the percent variation of demanded quantity: QD%= 0.5*0.2= -10% and this means QD = -0.1*2000 =-200 t. The new demanded quantity at price by €120, will be Qd’ = 2000-200=1800 t. In the same way, we can find the new supplied quantity: QS%= 0.8*0.2=0.16= 16%; Consequently QS =0.16*1000 =160 t. The new supplied quantity, will be: Qs’ =1000 +160 =1160 t . Second approach (more precise, in case the elasticity is reliably estimated). If we know the elasticity, we can find the demand function QD=A*P^ passing through the observed point on our diagram (whose coordinates are 2000,100). Then: 2000=A*100-0.5; A=2000/100-0.5 = 20000; the demand function will be QD=20000*P-0.5; at a price €/t 120, the demanded quantity will be: QD = 20000*120-0.5 =1826 t. In the same way, If we know the elasticity of supply, we can 5 Our analysis is partial equilibrium and small country case, i.e. the effects of this sectoral policy on macroeconomic variables and on the international terms of trade are insignificant. In order to semplify our analysis in computing areas related to significant economic variables, we consider functions of demand and of supply as linear, in the considered interval. find the supply function QS=A*P^ passing through the observed point on our diagram (whose coordinates are 1000,100). Then: 1000=A*1000.8; A=1000/1000.8 =1000/39.81 = 25.12; the supply function will be Qs=25.12*P0.8; at a price €/t 120, the supplied quantity will be: QS = 25.12*1200.8 =1157 t. The estimated effect on demanded quantity is: 2000-1826 = 174 t and the estimated effect on supplied quantity is: 1000-1157=157 t. e) Imports fall from (-2000+1000) =-1000 t to (-1826+1157)= -669 t, with a difference of (-669 +1000) = 331t. Financial effects f) Effect on the consumer expenditure: at first the expenditure was: 100*2000 =200000. After the duty is imposed to consumers: it becomes 120*826 =219089. Effect of duty € 219089-200000 = € 19089. g) Effect on the producer revenue: at first the revenue was: 100*1000 =100000. After the duty is imposed: it becomes 120*1157 =138844. Effect of duty € 138844-100000 = € 38844. h) Effect on trade balance (border price): at first the value of imports was € 100*1000 = 100000, after imposing the duty it is € 100*-669= -66871, resulting in a reduction of outlays of foreign currency € 100000-66871= 33129 Domestic transfers i) The equivalente tax on consumers: we have an increase in the cost related to the new demanded quantity and the higher price (rectangle P1-e-f-PW in figure 3): P *Qd’ = 20*1800 = € 36000. j) The equivalent subsidy to producers: the increase in the revenue related to new supplied quantity at the new price (rectangle P1-c-d-PW in figure 3): P*Qs’ = 20*1200 = 24000 Ecu. k) The effect on the public budget: the previously imported quantity was 2000-1000 =1000, after the duty was imposed: 1826-1157 =669. Before we have no duty, after the imposition of the duty the public income is € 20 per unit imported: € 20*669 = €13374 . Economic effects. Until now we have considered the effects on costs and revenues for different groups of citizens, now we analyse the effects on the social welfare. l) At the consumption level the worse allocation of resources produces an economic cost (“social cost”, according to the nomenclature used by Gandolfo) shown by the triangle e-b-f in figure 3, that is: -0.5*P*QD = -0.5 *20*174 = € -1743. m) At the production level, the worse allocation of resources produces an economic cost, shown by the triangle a-c-d in figure 3 that is: -0.5 * P* QS = 0.5 *20*-157= € 1570. n) The administrative costs are assumed to be 15% of the public budget transfer: 5% for tax raising cost and 10% for the programme administration cost: 13374 * 0.15= € 2006. Also those costs represent a net loss of resources not only for taxpayers but for the whole society . o) Because the international terms of trade are unchanged, we have no invisible transfers of resources from, or to the rest of the world. Intersectoral redistribution. p) Effect on the revenue of consumers: the consumers expenditure increases by the area of trapezium P1-e-b-Pw in figure 3: 0.5 *P*(Q3+Q4) = -0.5 *P*(Qd+Qd’) = 0.5*20*(2000+1826) =-38257. We can split this area in to 3 parts: (i) the income S. Tarditi, 106747981, page 29/46 transfer to producers 20*1157 = € 23141, (ii) the income transfer to taxpayers 20*669 = €13374, (iii) the net loss of welfare related to the reduction of consume0.5 *20*174 = € -1740. q) Effect on the revenue of producers: the revenue of producers increases by the area of trapezium P1-c-a-Pw in figure 3: 0.5*P*(Qs+Qs’) = 0.5*20*(1000+1157) = € 21570. We can get the same result also by subtracting the further cost of new marginal production 0.5*157*20 = 1570, from the obtained transfer of resources (€23141) from consumers, , that is € 21570. r) Effect on the income of taxpayers: it is consists of the net revenue of duty previously examined (€ 13374) minus the further costs for public administration produced by the state intervention, € -2006 wich is assumed to be 15% of the public budget transfer. Total: 13374-2006= € 11368. Overall social welfare u) The total effect on social welfare is given by the addition of economic costs at the consumption level, at the production level and of the administrative costs. They represent a negative variation of social welfare –[l]-[m]-[n]= -1743-1570-2006= 5319. The same result can be obtained by adding the effects on distribution of the revenue between consumers and taxpayers: [p]+[q]+[r] =-38257+21570+11368= € 5319. If negative or positive externalities are generated by the examined policy measure, their estimated impact on social welfare should be added to these results. S. Tarditi, 106747981, page 30/46 Frame 11-1 Duty on imports (small country) Import duty and production subsidy (3) In country A, in free trade, the world market price is €/t 100, the domestic demand for a perishable, and therefore not stored, agricultural product is 1200 t and the domestic supply is 1000 t. The elasticity of demand is assumed to be -0.5 and the elasticity of supply 1. An €/t 5 import duty is imposed and a €/t 15 production subsidy is granted to producers. The world market price is expected to react with a €/t 10 change. Find out how large would be the cost or benefit to consumers, producers and the public budget. P 140 D S 120 100 80 60 40 20 Q 0 0 500 1000 1500 2000 12 DUTY ON IMPORTS ( LARGE COUNTRY) In the example of a large country, the adopted policies, affect the international (world market) price; in other words, the policies change the international terms of trade with other countries. In the next table and in the figure 4 the effects of an import duty in a big country with the same caracteristics as in the exercise 3 are described. The import duty increases the price, so reduces consume and grows the domestic production reducing, as a consequence the importations. The quantity demanded in the world market fall drastically, because it concerns with a large country. Consequently, we have a reduction in the world market price.(from PW to PW') and therefore the effect of the duty is lower: the domestic price raises from P W’ to P (instead of from PW to P). To solve this exercise in the case of a big country, we should therefore know, the effect on the international terms of trade. In the table, we assume that the imposition of the duty causes a reduction of € 5 in the world market price. * * * Trade effects. In the domestic market, we have a rise in the demand and supply price by €/t 15 as the cost per unit of imports increases from € 100 to € 115 /t. The earliest supply and demand prices increase by the same amount as the import duty, minus the change in the world market price. c-d) We may follow two different approaches to quantify the likely effects on the quantity demanded and supplied: First approach (approximate, usually done by hart). The formula of the demand elasticity is the ratio between the percent variation of quantity and the percent variation of price = Q%/P%; knowing the percent variation of price, we can find the percent variation of quantity Q% = *P%. In our example P% = 15/100 =15%, the percent variation of demanded quantity: QD%= -0.5*0.15= -0.075= -7.5% and that means QD = -0.075*2000 =-150 t. The new quantity demanded at price of €/t 115, will be Qd’ = 2000-150=1850 t. In the same way, we can find the new supplied quantity: QS%= 0.8*0.15=0.12=12%; QS = 0.12*1000 = 120 t. New quantity supplied will be: Qs’ =1000 +120 =1120 t. Second approach (more precise, in case the elasticity is reliably estimated). If we know the elasticity, we can find the demand function QD=A*P^ passing through the observed point on our diagram (whose coordinates are 2000,100). Then: 2000=A*100-0.5; A=2000/100-0.5 = 20000; the demand function will be QD=20000*P-0.5; at a price €/t 120, the demanded quantity will be: QD = 20000*115-0.5 =1865 t. In the same way, If we know the elasticity of supply, we can find the supply function QS=A*P^ passing through the observed point on our diagram (whose coordinates are 1000,100). Then: 1000=A*1000.8; A=1000/1000.8 =1000/39.81 = 25.12; the supply function will be Qs=25.12*P0.8; at a price €/t 115, the supplied quantity will be: QS = 25.12*1150.8 =1118 t. The estimated effect on demanded quantity is: 2000-1826 = 135 t and the estimated effect on supplied quantity is: 1000-1157=118 t. e) Imports fall from (-2000+1000) =-1000 t to (-1865+1118)= -747 t, with a difference of (-747 +1000) = 253. Financial effects f) Effect on the consumer expenditure: at first the expenditure was: 100*2000 =200000. After the duty is imposed to consumers: it becomes 115*1865 =214476. Effect of duty € 214476-200000 = € 14476. g) Effect on the producer revenue: at first the revenue was: 100*1000 =100000. After the duty is imposed: it becomes 115*1118 =128604. Effect of duty € 128604-100000 = € 28604. h) Effect on trade balance (border price): at first the value of imports was € 100*-1000 = 100000, after imposing the duty it is € 100*-747= -70937, resulting in a reduction of outlays of foreign currency € 100000-70937= 29063 Domestic transfers i) The equivalente tax on consume: we have an increase in the cost related to the new demanded quantity and the higher price (rectangle P-e-f-PW in figure 4): P *Qd’ = 15*1865 = € 27975. j) The equivalent subsidy on production: the increase in the revenue related to new supplied quantity at the new price (rectangle P-c-d-PW in figure 4): P*Qs’ = 15*1118 = € 16774. k) The effect on the public budget: the previously imported quantity was 1000-2000=1000, after the duty was imposed: 1118-1865 =-747. Before we have no duty, after the imposition of the duty the public income is € 20 per unit of imports, but the domestic price changes only by €/t 15; therefore, the transfer from consumers to taxpayers is only € 15 per unit imported: € 15*747 = € 11201. Economic effects. Until now we have considered the effects on costs and revenues for different groups of citizens, now we analyse the effects on the social welfare. l) At the consumption level the worse allocation of resources produces an economic cost (“social cost”, according to the nomenclature used by Gandolfo) shown by the triangle e-b-f in figure 4, that is: -0.5*P*QD = -0.5 *15*135= € -1012. m) At the production level, the worse allocation of resources produces an economic cost, shown by the triangle a-c-d in figure 4 that is: -0.5 * P* QS = 0.5 *15*118= € 887. n) The administrative costs are assumed to be 15% of the public budget transfer: 5% for tax raising cost and 10% for the programme administration cost: 11201 * 0.15= € 1680. Also those costs represent a net loss of resources not only for taxpayers but for the whole society . o) As the international terms of trade changed, we have transfers from or to the rest of the world: imports are cheeper now (PW’ instead of PW), and as a consequence we have lower expenditure: (Qd’-Qs’)*(PW-PW’) = 747*+(-5) = € 3734, corrisponding to an equal reduction of revenue for producers in the rest of the world. Those transfers of resources from, or to the rest of the world. (defined as “invisible” because they are due to changes in price system), represent also an increase in the overall social welfare, therefore they are included in economic effects. S. Tarditi, 106747981, page 33/46 Intersectoral redistribution. p) Effect on the revenue of consumers: the consumers expenditure increases by the area of trapezium P-e-b-Pw in figure 4: -0.5 *P*(Qd+Qd’) = -0.5*15*(2000+1865) = €28988. We can split this area in to 3 parts: (i) the income transfer to producers 15*1118 = € 16774, (ii) the income transfer to taxpayers 15*747 = €11205, (iii) the net loss of welfare related to the reduction of consume-0.5 *15*135 = € -1012. q) Effect on the revenue of producers: the revenue of producers increases by the area of trapezium P-c-a-Pw in figure 4: 0.5*P*(Qs+Qs’) = 0.5*15*(1000+1118) = € 15887. We can get the same result also by subtracting the further cost of new marginal production 0.5*118*15= 887, from the obtained transfer of resources (€16774) from consumers, , that is € 15887. r) Effect on the income of taxpayers: it is consists of the net revenue of duty: (P-Pw’)(Qd’Qs’) = 20*747 minus the further costs for public administration produced by the state intervention, € -1680 wich is assumed to be 15% of the public budget transfer. Total: 14934-1680= € 13254. Overall social welfare u) The total effect on social welfare is given by the addition of economic costs at the consumption level at the production level, the transfer to or from the rest of the world and of the administrative costs. They represent a positive variation of social welfare –[l]-[m]-[n]+[o]= -1012-887-1680+3734= 154. The same result can be obtained by adding the effects on distribution of the revenue between consumers, producers and taxpayers: [p]+[q]+[r] =-28988+15887+13254= € 154. To this result it would be necessary to add the effects on social welfare of negative or positive externalities and the effects on social welfare connected on revenues redistribution generated at interpersonal level. Those two elements are not considered here. S. Tarditi, 106747981, page 34/46 Frame 12-1 Duty on imports (large country Duty on imports (large country) In country A, in free trade, at world market price100 €/t , domestic demand of a perishable, and therefore not stored, agricultural product is 2000 t and domestic supply is 1000 t. Elasticity of demand is assumed to be -0.5 and elasticity of supply 0.8 A €/t 20 import duty is imposed. As a consequence, the estimated variation of €/t 3 of the world market price is expected. Find the likely effects on producers' revenue, trade balance, public budget and consumers' surplus. P Elasticity of Demand Elasticity of supply World market price a b c d e 250 D Ante S 200 f g h i j k 150 P l m n o Pw 100 Pw' p q r s t u v 50 0 0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000 Figure Post Figure Differen. Figure BASIC PARAMET ERS -0.5 €/t 0.8 100 -0.5 Pw 0.8 95 0 Pw' 0 -5 POLICY MEASURES Import duty €/t 20 20 Production subsidy Consumption tax T RADE EFFECT S ON: Demand price €/t 100 115 P 15 . Supply price €/t 100 115 P 15 Quantity demanded t 2000 Qd 1865 Qd' -135 Quantity supplied t 1000 Qs 1118 Qs' 118 Foreign trade t -1000 Qs-Qd -747 Qs'-Qd' 253 FINANCIAL EFFECT S ON: Consumer expenditure € 200000 QdxPw 214476 Qd'xP 14476 Producer revenue € 100000 QsxPw 128604 Qs'xP 28604 trade balance (foreign exchange) € -100000 [Qs-Qd]xPw -70937 [Qs'-Qd']xPw' 29063 DOMEST IC T RANSFERS Consumers (equivalent tax) € -27975 Qd'x[P-Pw] Producers (equivalent subsidy) € 16774 Qs'x[P-Pw] Public budget (from consumers to budget) € 11201 [Qd'-Qs']x[P-Pw] ECONOMIC EFFECT S At consumption leves € -1012 [P-Pw]x[Qd'-Qd]/2 At production level € -887 [P-Pw]x[Qs-Qs']/2 Administrative costs € -1680 T ransfers to (or from) the rest of world € 3734 [Pw-Pw']x[Qd'-Qs'] INT ERSECT ORAL REDIST RIBUT ION Consumers' surplus € -28988 [P-Pw]x[Qd+Qd']/2 Producers' surplus € 15887 [P-Pw]x[Qs'+Qs]/2 T axpayers' income € 13254 [Qd'-Qs']x[P-Pw']-n EXT ERNALIT IES Positive externalities € Negative externalities € CHANGE IN SOCIAL WELFARE € 154 l+m+n+o Check on overall social welfare € 154 p+q+r Parameter in demand function 20000 Parameter in supply function 25.1189 S. Tarditi, 106747981, page 35/46 13 OTHER EXERCISES 13.1 Export Subsidy Export Subsidy In the country A, in free trade, the world market price is €/t 100, the domestic demand of a perishable, and therefore not stored, agricultural product is 400 t and the domestic supply is 1000 t. The elasticity of demand is assumed to be -0.4 and the elasticity of supply 0.6. An €/t 20 export subsbidy is granted to producers. Find the likely impact of such policy on producer and consumer surplus, budget and trade balance. P 250 D S 200 150 P' Pw 100 50 0 0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 1600 1800 S. Tarditi, 106747981, page 36/46 13.2 Consumption subsidy Consumption subsidy In the country A, in free trade, the world market price is €/t 100, the domestic demand of a perishable, and therefore not stored, agricultural product is 2000 t and the domestic supply is 1000 t. The elasticity of demand is assumed to be -0.4 and the elasticity of supply 0.6. An €/t 20 subsbidy on consumption is granted to consumers. Find out how large would be the cost or benefit to consumers, producers and to the public budget. P 300 D S 250 200 150 P'd 100 50 Pw Qs Qd 0 0 500 1000 1500 2000 Qd' Q 2500 S. Tarditi, 106747981, page 37/46 13.3 Tax on production Tax on production In the country A, in free trade, the world market price is €/t 100, the domestic demand of a perishable, and therefore not stored, agricultural product is 400 t and the domestic supply is 1000 t. The elasticity of demand is assumed to be 0.3 and the elasticity of supply 0.5. An €/t 10 tax on production is imposed. Find the likely impact of such policy on producer and consumer surplus, budget and trade balance. P 300 D S 250 200 150 100 50 Q's Qd Qs 0 0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 1600 1800 S. Tarditi, 106747981, page 38/46 13.4 Export and production subsidy Trade liberalization (export and production subsidy) In an imaginary country the guaranteed minimum price for a perishable product is €/t 100, and a €/t 10 subsidy is granted to farmers. The world market price is €/t 50, the average annual production is 9000 tonnes and exports are 5000 t. As a result of international negotiations production subsidies are abolished and the government's support to market price is reduced by 30%. The world market price is expected to register a 10% change. Assuming a -0,6 demand elasticity and a 0,8 supply elasticity ,find out how large would be the cost or benefit to consumers, producers and the public budget. P 180 D S 160 140 120 Ps Pd P' 100 80 60 Pw' 40 Pw 20 Qd Q'd Q's Qs Q 0 0 5000 10000 15000 S. Tarditi, 106747981, page 39/46 13.5 Import duty and production subsidy Impo rt duty and pro duc tio n subsidy In the country A, in free trade the world market price is €/t 100, the domestic demand of a perishable agricultural product is 1500 t and the domestic supply is 800 t. The elasticity of demand is assumed to be 0.5 and the elasticity of supply 0.6. A €/t 20 import duty is imposed and a €/t 10 subsidy is granted to producers. As a consequence a €/t 5 estimated variation of the world market price is expected. Find the likely effects on producers' revenue, trade balance, public budget and consumers'surplus. P 200 D 180 Pd Pw € € € € 100 Pw' 80 €/t €/t t t t € € € Ps 120 €/t € € € S 160 140 €/t € € € 60 40 € € € € 20 0 0 500 1000 1500 2000 S. Tarditi, 106747981, page 40/46 13.6 Minimum guaranteed price and co-responsibility levy Minimum guarante e d price and co-re sponsibility le vy In an imaginary country, in free trade, the world and domestic price for a perishable product is €/t 40, 1500 t are consumed and 2300 t are supplied. The estimated demand elasticity is -0,5 and the supply elasticity is 0,8. The local government is willing to guarantee a minimum domestic price to producers at €/t 80 by enforcing variable levies (or variable export subsidies) at the border. The world market is expected to react by a 10% change. In order to reduce the budgetary outlay and ease the new policy, producers are willing to pay a €/t 10 co-responsibility levy. Find the likely impact of such policy on producer and consumer surplus, budget and trade balance. P 160 140 D S 120 100 Pd Ps 80 60 Pw 40 Pw' 20 Qd' 0 0 1000 Qd 2000 Qs Qs' 3000 4000 5000 Q 6000 S. Tarditi, 106747981, page 41/46 13.7 Import duty and production subsidy (2) Liberalization (import duty & production subsidy) In an imaginary country the guaranteed minimum price for a perishable product is €/t 100 and a €/t 10 subsidy is granted to farmers. The world market price is €/t 50, the average annual production is 1000 tonnes and exports are 400 t. As a result of international negotiations the production subsidies are abolished and the government's support to market price is reduced by 30%. The world market price is expected to register a 10% change. Assuming a -0,6 demand elasticity and a 0,7 supply elasticity, find out how large would be the cost or benefit to consumers, producers and the public budget. P 200 D 180 S 160 140 120 Ps Pd P' 100 80 60 Pw' 40 Pw 20 0 0 500 1000 1500 S. Tarditi, 106747981, page 42/46 13.8 Price reduction and compensation Cereals: Price reduction and compensation In a large country cereals are cultivated on 13 mn ha, average anual production is 65 mn t and net exports are 7mn t. Domestic price is supported at €/t 155 while average world market price is €/t 80. A proposal for reforming the agricultural policy envisages a reduction of the guaranteed minimum price at €/t 100, while compensating farmers by means of a partially decoupled subsidy related to the cultivated area. Under this condition a low supply elasticity 0,2 is assumed, while demand elasticity could be higher, for example - 0,5 due to the likely increase of cereal use in animal feed ratios. The world market price is expected to react by a €/t 10 change. Compute the likely impact of this policy on producer surplus (without compensation), on the surplus of cereals users and on the trade balance. Compute also what percentage of the producers' loss could be compensated by the savings of the public budget. € € € € € € € P 250 D 200 € € € S € € € Ps=Pd 150 P' Pw' 100 € € € € € Pw 50 0 Q 0 20 40 60 80 S. Tarditi, 106747981, page 43/46 €/ha € 13.9 Export and production subsidy (2) Trade liberalization ( Export and production subsidy) In the country A, in free trade, the world market price is €/t 100, the domestic demand of a perishable, and therefore not stored, agricultural product is 400 t and the domestic supply is 1000 t. The elasticity of demand is assumed to be -0.5 and the elasticity of supply 0.5. An €/t 5 export subsidy and a €/t 20 production subsidy are granted to producers. Find the likely effects on: the intersectoral redistribution: consumer surplus, producer surplus, taxpayer income, on the trade balance and on the foreign trade. P 200 D S 180 160 140 P's 120 P'd 100 Pw 80 60 40 20 Q' Qd Qs Q's Q 0 0 500 1000 1500 2000 S. Tarditi, 106747981, page 44/46 13.10Frame 14: Import duty and production subsidy (3) Import duty and production subsidy In the country A, in free trade, the world market price is €/t 100, the domestic demand of a perishable, and therefore not stored, agricultural product is 1200 t and the domestic supply is 1000 t. The elasticity of demand is assumed to be 0.5 and the elasticity of supply 1. An €/t 5 import duty is imposed and a €/t 15 production subsidy is granted to producers. The world market price is expected to react by a €/t 10 change. Find out how large would be the cost or benefit to consumers, producers and the public budget. P 140 D S 120 100 80 60 40 20 Q 0 0 500 1000 1500 2000 S. Tarditi, 106747981, page 45/46 13.11Export subsidy and tax on consumption Export subsidy & Tax on consume In the country A, in free trade, the world market price is €/t 100, the domestic demand of a perishable, and therefore not stored, agricultural product is 1500 t and the domestic supply is 2300 t. The elasticity of demand is assumed to be -0.4 and the elasticity of supply 0.8. An €/t 15 production subsidy is granted to producers, but in order to reduce the budgetary outlay a €/t 8 tax on consume is imposed. The world market price is expected to react by a 12% change. Find out how large would be the cost or benefit to consumers, producers and the public budget. P 200 D S 150 100 50 Q 0 0 1000 2000 3000 4000 S. Tarditi, 106747981, page 46/46