1 Notes for Chapter 9: The Analysis of Competitive Markets Pindyck and Rubinfeld - Microeconomics 1. Evaluating the Gains and Losses from Government Policies When we evaluate the gains and losses from government policies, such as price ceilings, price floors, import tariffs, minimum wages etc., consumer surplus and producer surplus are the standard tools for the analyses. 2. Review of Consumer and producer surplus Consumer surplus is the consumers’ maximum willingness to pay minus the total expenditures on the good. This is used to evaluate the consumers’ welfare. Producer surplus is the sum over all the units produced of difference between market price of the good and marginal cost of production. Producer surplus is used to evaluate the producers’ welfare. Producer surplus is the benefit that lower-cost producers enjoy by selling at the market price. 2 Consumer Surplus for an individual consumer p, $ per magazine 5 a b 4 CS1 = $2 CS2 = $1 c 3 Price = $3 2 E 1 = $3 E2 = $3 E 3 = $3 Demand 1 0 1 2 3 4 5 q, Magazines per week p, $ per trading card Consumer surplus, CS p1 Expenditure, E Demand Marginal willingness to pay for the last unit of output q q , Trading cards per year 3 Fall in Consumer Surplus from as Price Rises: p, ¢ per stem 57.8 A = $149.64 million b 32 30 B = $23.2 million C = $0.9 million a Demand 0 1.16 1.25 Q, Billion rose stems per year 4 Some real world data: 5 Producer Surplus: (a) A Firm’s Producer Surplus p, $ per unit Supply 4 p PS1 = $3 PS 2 = $2 PS 3 = $1 3 2 1 MC1 = $1 MC2 = $2 MC3 = $3 MC4 = $4 0 1 2 3 4 q, Units per week 6 (b) A Market’s Producer Surplus p, Price per unit Market supply curve Market price p* Producer PS Variable cost, VC Q* Q, Units per year 7 Change in Producer Surplus due to a price change: p, ¢ per stem E = $4.05 million 30 Supply a D = $104.4 million 21 b F 0 1.16 1.25 Q, Billion rose stems per year Producer Surplus Original Price P=$0.30 D+E+F New Lower Price P=$0.21 F Change in PS (in $ millions) – D – E = $108.45 8 We can show the consumer surplus and producer surplus on a demand-supply diagram. Price S Consumer surplus PEQ Producer surplus D QEQ Output Welfare or Total Surplus = CS + PS Welfare is maximized at the competitive market equilibrium P and Q. (This, of course, assumes that there are no market failures or externalities.) On the next page, you will see two graphs, one with lower than equilibrium output, and one with higher than equilibrium output. At each of these (non-equilibrium Qs), total surplus (CS+PS) is less than that achieved at the competitive market equilibrium QEQ . 9 Why Reducing Output from the Competitive Level Lowers Welfare: p, $ per unit Supply A p MC e2 2 1 = p1 B D C E e1 Demand MC 2 F Q2 Q 1 Q, Units per year Why Increasing Output from the Competitive Level Lowers Welfare: p , $ per unit +F Supply MC 2 A e 1 MC 1 = p 1 p2 C B DE e2 Demand F G H Q1 Q2 Q, Units per year 10 3. Welfare effects of price ceiling With consumer and producer surplus, we can evaluate the welfare effects of a price ceiling. Welfare effects are the gains and losses caused by government intervention in the market. Here, we want to evaluate the welfare effects of price ceiling. Suppose that the following diagram shows the initial situation before the imposition of price ceiling. Price B S Consumer surplus PEQ C Producer surplus Pceiling D A QEQ Output As can be seen, the sum of consumer surplus and producer surplus is the area of the triangle ABC. Here, we will show the welfare effects by going over some exercise questions. 11 Price B S Consumer surplus PEQ C Producer surplus Pceiling D A QEQ Output Exercise 1 Q1: Suppose that government imposes a ceiling price (Pceiling in the diagram). What is the quantity supplied in the market? A price ceiling is a government policy such that the government makes it illegal for producers to charge more than the ceiling price. The price ceiling is the maximum price allowed. [Producers are allowed, however to charge less than the ceiling price.] Q2: What is the consumer surplus under this price ceiling policy? Show graphically. Q3: What is the producer surplus under this price ceiling policy? Q4: What is the sum of producer surplus and consumer surplus under the price ceiling policy? Show graphically. Q5: What is the change in the sum of consumer surplus and producer surplus compared to the market equilibrium?? From the exercise, we can see that the price ceiling is likely to reduce the sum of the consumer and producer surplus. The reduction is referred to as “deadweight loss”. Deadweight loss The reduction in the sum of the consumer surplus and producer surplus. 12 Effects of price ceiling: A Supply B p1 D p2 F C e1 E e2 p, Price ceiling Demand Qs = Q2 Q1 Qd Q, Pounds per year We can interpret D as welfare gain due to the decreased price, and C as the welfare loss due to the decreased consumption. If D is greater than C, then consumer surplus increases due to the price ceiling. But if D is smaller than C, then consumer surplus falls due to the price ceiling. A price ceiling always decreases producer surplus. 13 4. Price Floors or Minimum Prices The government mandates a price floor or a minimum price, such that it is illegal for the price to be below the Pmin. (The price is permitted, however, to be higher than the minimum price/price floor.) wage S E A Minimum wage B C D D Qd Qs Quantity of Labor Workers would like to supply Qs, however, firms only want to hire Qd at the minimum wage. Therefore, the difference Qs - Qd is “unemployment”. In the labor market, workers are suppliers, and firms are consumers. At the market equilibrium, CS = A+B+E PS = C+D Welfare = A+B+C+D+E With the minimum wage, CS = E PS = A+D Welfare = A+D+E Change in welfare due to minimum wage = – B – C (aka deadweight loss) 14 General price floor (for commodities) P S Price Floor E A B F2 C D F1 D Qd Qs Q At the price floor (artificially high price), quantity demanded is Qd, but producers (by setting p = MC) decide to produce Qs. There is excess supply. At the market equilibrium, CS = A+B+E PS = C+D Welfare = A+B+C+D+E With the price floor, CS = E PS = A + D – F1 – F2 Welfare = A + D + E – F1 – F2 Where – F1 – F2 represents the costs of production of unsold output. Change in welfare with price floor (compared to equilibrium)= – B – C – F1 – F2 = deadweight loss 15 Price Supports The government sets a minimum price, and buys all of the excess supply. This is a common agricultural policy. p, $ per bushel Supply A p = 5.00 Price support D B C E F e p1 = 4.59 Demand G 3.60 0 MC Qd= 1.9 Q1= 2.1 Qs = 2.2 Q g= 0.3 Q, Billion bushels of soybeans per year 16 Production Quotas Government reduces supply by setting a quota on production. Government might restrict the quantity that each firm produces, or reduce the number of firms able to produce. For example, in the U.S. cities may only issue a limited number of licenses to operate taxicabs. P S PQuota E A B C D D Quota At the quota, price is driven up to Pquota. At the market equilibrium, CS = A+B+E PS = C+D Welfare = A+B+C+D+E With the quota, CS = E PS = A+D Welfare = A+D+E Change in welfare (due to the quota) = – B – C = deadweight loss Q 17 Incentive Programs Government may try to encourage a reduction in quantity (by making a payment) to producers in order to raise price to a target price. P S P target E A F B D C D Q target Qhigh Q At the target price, producers will be tempted to produce Qhigh. Therefore, the government payment to producers must give them PS + payment (when they produce Q target) equivalent to PS they would have received from producing Qhigh. Minimum payment needed for producers to supply Q target rather than Qhigh is B+C+F. As before, at the market equilibrium, CS = A+B+E, Welfare = A+B+C+D+E PS = C+D, and With the incentive program, CS = E PS = A+D + B+C+F Change in welfare = Change in CS + Change in PS – Cost to Government =–C–B 18 Price Support + Production Quota Q , Quota Supply A p = 5.00 B C e p 1 = 4.59 E Demand F G1 0 Price support D2 D1 Qd=1.9 G2 Q 1= 2.1 Q 2= 2.2 Q g= 0.3 Q*g =0.2 Q, Billion bushels of soybeans per year G1 19 Imports If there is no restriction on imports, a country will import a good when the world price is below the (domestic) market price that would prevail if there were no imports. Price S P0 Pw D Qs Q0 Qd Quantity P0 is the price that would prevail if there were no imports. Q0 is the corresponding market equilibrium output if there were no imports. Suppose that the world price for this good is Pw, which is lower than P0. Then if the country imports the good, the producers in the country will have to sell their product at the world price Pw, not P0. This is because, if domestic producers sold their products higher than Pw, they would lose all their customers (assuming that world supply is unlimited and products are identical). This forces domestic producers to sell at the world price Pw. As can be seen, when the country imports the goods, the price of the good will be Pw, and therefore, quantity supplied will be Qs, and quantity demanded will be Qd. Qs is the amount which is domestically supplied. However, the quantity demanded (Qd) exceeds quantity supplied domestically (Qs). Therefore, the country will import the difference (QdQs). [Exercise] In the figure, graphically show the consumer surplus and producer surplus when the country imports the good. 20 5. The effects of import quotas and import tariffs. Import Quotas: Import quotas restrict the quantity of the good to be imported. [Exercise] As an exercise, we will consider the special case of zero import quotas. That is, forbidding any importation of the good. The diagram shows the demand and supply diagram when the country imports the good. What would happen to the consumer and producer surplus if the government eliminates all imports? Imports could be reduced to zero either by setting a quota = zero or by imposing a sufficiently high import tariff. Price S Pw D Qs Qd Quantity [Exercise] In the diagram above, to eliminate the import, how big should the tariff be? Notice that if government impose import tariff that is big enough to eliminate the imports, the revenue from the tariff would be zero since there is no imports. 21 a 2 Demand S = S p, 1988 dollars per barrel A e2 29.04 B 14.70 0 C e1 D 8.2 9.0 10.2 11.8 S 1, World price 13.1 Imports = 4.9 Q , Million barrels of oil per day 22 6. Import tariff. More general case Suppose that the government imposes an import tariff, amount of which is equal to T in the diagram below. Then price of the good in the market will be P*. Price S Tariff “t” P* Pw D Output We will see the effects of the import tariff by going over some exercise questions. [Exercise] Q1. What is the quantity demanded and supplied before the import tariff is imposed? Q2. What is the producer surplus and consumer surplus before the import tariff is imposed. Q3. What is the quantity demanded and supplied after the import tariff is imported? Q4. What is the producer surplus and consumer surplus after the import tariff is imposed? Q5. What is the tax revenue from this import tariff? Q6. What is the net welfare effect of this tariff? 23 p , 1988 dollars per barrel Sa = S 2 A 29.04 e2 A e3 S3 19.70 = 5.00 B 14.70 F D C e1 E G S1, World price H Demand 0 8.2 9.0 11.8 13.1 Imports = 2.8 Q , Million barrels of oil per day 24 Welfare Cost of Trade Barriers for the U.S. (millions of 1999 dollars) 25 7. Effect of tax and subsidy Effects of a specific tax Specific tax: A tax of a certain amount of money per unit sold. This tax can be levied on either producers or consumers. If this is levied on producers, they have to pay the tax to the government for each unit they sell. If the tax is levied on consumers, they have to pay the tax the government for each unit they purchase. Here, we will see the effects of a specific tax. Suppose that government imposes a tax of t-cents per unit on widgets; The government must receive t-cents for every widget sold. First, notice that this means that price the buyer pays must exceed the net price the seller receives by t-cents. 26 Here, we want to know the effects of the specific tax on the market quantity, prices, consumer surplus and producer surplus. Suppose for simplicity that this tax is levied on producers so that for each unit sold, the producers should pay t-cents to the government S1 S0 t Pb P0 Ps D0 Q1 Q0 Before the tax is imposed, equilibrium market price and quantity are Q0 and P0. (i) The market quantity after the imposition of tax. To figure out the market quantity, first, shift the supply curve vertically by t-cents to S1. Then, the market quantity after the imposition of tax is determined by where new supply curve S1 and the demand curve D0 intersect. Therefore,Q1 will be the new market quantity. We shift the supply curve upward by t-cents because the producers have to pay t-cents for each unit sold and this increase marginal cost. (ii) The price that the consumers pay This is given by Pb in the graph. (iii) The net price that producers receive. This is given by Ps. This is because, even if the producers receive Pb from consumers, they have to pay t-cents per unit sold. 27 (iv) Burden of tax for producers. This is given by (P0 Ps). Producers are burdened by the tax in the sense that they are receiving a lower net price (Ps) compared to the initial market equilibrium price (P0). (v) Burden of tax for consumers. This is given by (Pb P0). Consumers are burdened by the tax in the sense that they have to pay higher price (Pb) compared to the initial market equilibrium price P0. Important: From (iv) and (v), notice that, even if the tax is levied on producers in this case, the burden of tax is split between consumers and producers (or sellers). [Exercise] What is net welfare effect of this tax? 28 We considered the case where the specific tax is levied on producers in the previous page. Next we consider the case where specific tax is levied on consumers. We will see that regardless of whether it is levied on producers and consumers, the results will be the same: that is, the price that consumers pay, and price that producers receive, market quantity and welfare effects are the same. Suppose for this tax is levied on consumers so that for each unit purchased, the consumers should pay t-cents to the government. S0 Pb P0 Ps t D0 D1 Q1 Q0 Before the tax is imposed, the market equilibrium quantity is Q0. (i) The market quantity after the tax is imposed. We can figure this out, first by shifting the demand curve down by t-cents. We shift the demand curve downward since for every unit purchased, the consumers have to pay t-cents. (You may think of this as the tax reducing the marginal utility b/c demand curve is basically the marginal utility curve). Then, the market quantity is given by the intersection between the new demand curve D1 and S0. 29 (ii) Price that the producer receives. This is given by the intersection between D1 and S0 (iii) Net Price that the consumer pays. This is given by Pb because, even if the producer offers the price Ps, the consumers have to pay tax of t-cents to government. Notice that regardless of whether the specific tax is levied on producers or consumers, the price for consumers, price for producers and the market quantity will be the same. We can simply find those by finding the market quantity where the distance between demand and supply curves is exactly t-cents. Then the price for consumers and producers are given in the graph below. S0 Pb t Find the output quantity where the distance between S0 and D0 is t-cents. P0 Ps D0 Q1 Price that consumers pay Price that producers receive 30 Supply p, ¢ per stem A B 32 30 = 11 D e2 C e1 E Demand 21 F 0 1.16 1.25 Q, Billion rose stems per year