ESA/P/WP.241
Department of Economic and Social Affairs
Population Division
World Population Prospects
The 2015 Revision
Key Findings and Advance Tables
United Nations
New York, 2015
DESA
The Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations Secretariat is a
vital interface between global policies in the economic, social and environmental spheres
and national action. The Department works in three main interlinked areas: (i) it
compiles, generates and analyses a wide range of economic, social and environmental
data and information on which States Members of the United Nations draw to review
common problems and take stock of policy options; (ii) it facilitates the negotiations of
Member States in many intergovernmental bodies on joint courses of action to address
ongoing or emerging global challenges; and (iii) it advises interested Governments on the
ways and means of translating policy frameworks developed in United Nations
conferences and summits into programmes at the country level and, through technical
assistance, helps build national capacities.
Note
The designations employed in this report and the material presented in it do not imply
the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the Secretariat of the United
Nations concerning the legal status of any country, territory, city or area or of its
authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.
Symbols of United Nations documents are composed of capital letters combined with
figures.
This publication has been issued without formal editing.
Suggested citation:
United Nations, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division
(2015). World Population Prospects: The 2015 Revision, Key Findings and Advance
Tables. Working Paper No. ESA/P/WP.241.
Cover photo credit: © UN Photo/Martine Perret.
ERRATUM: Values in the advance tables have been updated for
Cabo Verde, Cambodia, Cameroon and Canada.
WORLD POPULATION PROSPECTS: THE 2015 REVISION
SUMMARY AND KEY FINDINGS
Understanding the demographic changes that are likely to unfold over the coming years, as well as the
challenges and opportunities that they present for achieving sustainable development, is important for
designing and implementing the post-2015 development agenda. The 2015 Revision of World Population
Prospects is the twenty-fourth round of official United Nations population estimates and projections that
have been prepared by the Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the
United Nations Secretariat. The 2015 Revision builds on the previous revision by incorporating additional
results from the 2010 round of national population censuses as well as findings from recent specialized
demographic and health surveys that have been carried out around the world. The 2015 Revision provides
the demographic data and indicators to assess population trends at the global, regional and national levels
and to calculate many other key indicators commonly used by the United Nations system.
Snapshot of global population in 2015
According to the results of the 2015 Revision, the world population reached 7.3 billion as of mid2015 (table 1), implying that the world has added approximately one billion people in the span of the last
twelve years. Sixty per cent of the global population lives in Asia (4.4 billion), 16 per cent in Africa (1.2
billion), 10 per cent in Europe (738 million), 9 per cent in Latin America and the Caribbean (634 million),
and the remaining 5 per cent in Northern America (358 million) and Oceania (39 million). China (1.4
billion) and India (1.3 billion) remain the two largest countries of the world, both with more than 1 billion
people, representing 19 and 18 per cent of the world’s population, respectively.
TABLE 1. POPULATION OF THE WORLD AND MAJOR AREAS, 2015, 2030, 2050 AND 2100,
ACCORDING TO THE MEDIUM-VARIANT PROJECTION
Population (millions)
2030
2050
Major area
2015
2100
World ..........................................................
7 349
8 501
9 725
11 213
Africa ..........................................................
1 186
1 679
2 478
4 387
Asia .............................................................
4 393
4 923
5 267
4 889
Europe .........................................................
738
734
707
646
Latin America and the Caribbean ...............
634
721
784
721
Northern America .......................................
358
396
433
500
Oceania .......................................................
39
47
57
71
Source: United Nations, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division (2015).
World Population Prospects: The 2015 Revision. New York: United Nations.
In 2015, 50.4 per cent of the world’s population is male and 49.6 per cent is female (figure 1). The
median age of the global population, that is, the age at which half the population is older and half is
younger, is 29.6 years. About one-quarter (26 per cent) of the world’s people are under 15 years of age,
62 per cent are aged 15-59 years, and 12 per cent are 60 or over.
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2015 Revision, Key Findings and Advance Tables
1 Figure 1. Distribution of the world’s population by age and sex, 2015
Source: United Nations, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division
(2015). World Population Prospects: The 2015 Revision. New York: United Nations.
Projected growth in the world population
Currently, the world population continues to grow though more slowly than in the recent past. Ten
years ago, world population was growing by 1.24 per cent per year. Today, it is growing by 1.18 per cent
per year, or approximately an additional 83 million people annually. The world population is projected to
increase by more than one billion people within the next 15 years, reaching 8.5 billion in 2030, and to
increase further to 9.7 billion in 2050 and 11.2 billion by 2100 (figure 2).
Figure 2. Population of the world: estimates, 1950-2015, medium-variant
projection and 80 and 95 per cent confidence intervals, 2015-2100
Source: United Nations, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division
(2015). World Population Prospects: The 2015 Revision. New York: United Nations.
.
2
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2015 Revision, Key Findings and Advance Tables
As with any type of projection, there is a degree of uncertainty surrounding these latest population
projections. The results presented above are based on the medium projection variant, which assumes a
decline of fertility for countries where large families are still prevalent as well as a slight increase of
fertility in several countries with fewer than two children per woman on average. Survival prospects are
also projected to improve in all countries. The uncertainty surrounding the median trajectories is
accounted for with statistical methods that enable the Population Division to make statements about the
degree of uncertainty in these projections. For example, one can say with a 95 per cent degree of
confidence that global population will be between 8.4 and 8.6 billion in 2030 and between 9.5 and 13.3
billion in 2100. In other words, global population is virtually certain to rise in the short-to-medium term
future. Later in the century, global population is likely to continue to rise, but there is roughly a 23 per
cent chance that it could stabilize or begin to fall before 2100.
Africa is the fastest-growing major area
More than half of global population growth between now and 2050 is expected to occur in Africa.
Africa has the highest rate of population growth among major areas, growing at a pace of 2.55 per cent
annually in 2010-2015 (figure 3). Consequently, of the additional 2.4 billion people projected to be added
to the global population between 2015 and 2050, 1.3 billion will be added in Africa. Asia is projected to
be the second largest contributor to future global population growth, adding 0.9 billion people between
2015 and 2050, followed by Northern America, Latin America and the Caribbean and Oceania, which are
projected to have much smaller increments. In the medium variant, Europe is projected to have a smaller
population in 2050 than in 2015.
Figure 3. Average annual rate of population change by major area,
estimates, 2000-2015, and medium-variant projection, 2015-2100
Source: United Nations, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division (2015).
World Population Prospects: The 2015 Revision. New York: United Nations.
A rapid population increase in Africa is anticipated even if there is a substantial reduction of fertility
levels in the near future. The medium variant projection assumes that fertility will fall from 4.7 children
per women in 2010-2015 to 3.1 in 2045-2050, reaching 2.2 by 2095-2100. After 2050, Africa is expected
to be the only major area still experiencing substantial population growth. As a result, Africa’s share of
global population is projected to grow to 25 per cent in 2050 and 39 per cent by 2100, while the share
residing in Asia will fall to 54 per cent in 2050 and 44 per cent in 2100. Regardless of the uncertainty
surrounding future trends in fertility in Africa, the large number of young people currently on the
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2015 Revision, Key Findings and Advance Tables
3 continent who will reach adulthood in the coming years and have children of their own, ensures that the
region will play a central role in shaping the size and distribution of the world’s population over the
coming decades.
Population growth remains especially high in the group of 48 countries designated by the United
Nations as the least developed countries (LDCs), of which 27 are in Africa. Although the growth rate of
the LDCs is projected to slow from its current 2.4 per cent annually, the population of this group is
projected to double in size from 954 million inhabitants in 2015 to 1.9 billion in 2050 and further increase
to 3.2 billion in 2100. Between 2015 and 2100, the populations of 33 countries, most of them LDCs, have
a high probability of at least tripling. Among them, the populations of Angola, Burundi, Democratic
Republic of Congo, Malawi, Mali, Niger, Somalia, Uganda, United Republic of Tanzania and Zambia are
projected to increase at least five-fold by 2100. The concentration of population growth in the poorest
countries will make it harder for those governments to eradicate poverty and inequality, combat hunger
and malnutrition, expand education enrolment and health systems, improve the provision of basic services
and implement other elements of a sustainable development agenda to ensure that no-one is left behind.
Europe projected to experience shrinking population
In sharp contrast, the populations of 48 countries or areas in the world are expected to decrease
between 2015 and 2050. Several countries are expected to see their populations decline by more than 15
per cent by 2050, including Bosnia and Herzegovina, Bulgaria, Croatia, Hungary, Japan, Latvia,
Lithuania, Republic of Moldova, Romania, Serbia, and Ukraine. Fertility in all European countries is now
below the level required for full replacement of the population in the long run (around 2.1 children per
woman, on average), and in the majority of cases, fertility has been below the replacement level for
several decades. Fertility for Europe as a whole is projected to increase from 1.6 children per women in
2010-2015 to 1.8 in 2045-2050, but such an increase will not prevent a likely contraction of the total
population size.
Most of the increase in world population can be attributed to a short list of countries
At the country level, much of the overall increase between now and 2050 is projected to occur either
in high-fertility countries, mainly in Africa, or in countries with large populations. During 2015-2050,
half of the world’s population growth is expected to be concentrated in nine countries: India, Nigeria,
Pakistan, Democratic Republic of the Congo, Ethiopia, United Republic of Tanzania, United States of
America, Indonesia and Uganda, listed according to the size of their contribution to the total growth.
The new projections include some notable findings at the country level. For example, within seven
years, the population of India is expected to surpass that of China. Currently, the population of China is
approximately 1.38 billion compared with 1.31 billion in India. By 2022, both countries are expected to
have approximately 1.4 billion people. Thereafter, India’s population is projected to continue growing for
several decades to 1.5 billion in 2030 and 1.7 billion in 2050, while the population of China is expected to
remain fairly constant until the 2030s, after which it is expected to slightly decrease.
Among the ten largest countries in the world, one is in Africa (Nigeria), five are in Asia (Bangladesh,
China, India, Indonesia, and Pakistan), two are in Latin America (Brazil and Mexico), one is in Northern
America (United States of America), and one is in Europe (Russian Federation). Amongst these, Nigeria’s
population, currently the seventh largest in the world, is growing the most rapidly. Consequently, the
population of Nigeria is projected to surpass that of the United States by about 2050, at which point it
would become the third largest country in the world. By 2050, six of the ten largest countries in the world
are expected to exceed 300 million: China, India, Indonesia, Nigeria, Pakistan, and United States of
America.
4
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2015 Revision, Key Findings and Advance Tables
Future population growth is highly dependent on the path that future fertility will take
The population levels projected in the medium variant are an outcome of the substantial projected
declines in fertility. According to the medium variant of the 2015 Revision, global fertility is projected to
fall from 2.5 children per woman in 2010-2015 to 2.4 in 2025-2030 and 2.0 in 2095-2100. Steep
reductions are projected for the least developed countries, from 4.3 in 2010-2015 to 3.5 in 2025-2030 and
2.1 in 2095-2100. However, for countries with high fertility there is significant uncertainty in the
projection of fertility, even in the 15-year horizon of the post-2015 development agenda, and more so in
the long-term projection to 2100. Slower-than-projected fertility declines would result in much higher
population totals in all subsequent time periods. For example, a scenario in which all countries had a
fertility rate that was consistently half a child higher than in the medium variant would produce a
population of 16.6 billion in 2100, more than 5 billion higher than the medium-variant projection.
To realize the substantial reductions in fertility projected in the medium variant, it is essential to
invest in reproductive health and family planning, particularly in the least developed countries, so that
women and couples can achieve their desired family size. In 2015, the use of modern contraceptive
methods in the least developed countries was estimated at around 34 per cent among women of
reproductive age who were married or in union, and a further 22 per cent of such women had an unmet
need for family planning, meaning that they were not using any method of contraception despite a stated
desire or intention to avoid or delay childbearing.
Large variations in fertility levels across countries and regions
In recent decades many countries have experienced major reductions in average family size. Today,
countries of the world can be roughly classified into three groups depending on their current level of
fertility. It is now estimated that 46 per cent of the world’s population lives in countries with low levels of
fertility where women have fewer than 2.1 children, on average, over their life-times. Low-fertility
countries now include all of Europe and Northern America, plus 20 countries of Asia, 17 in Latin
America and the Caribbean, 3 in Oceania and 1 in Africa. The largest low-fertility countries are China,
the United States, Brazil, the Russian Federation, Japan and Viet Nam.
Another 46 per cent of the world’s population lives in “intermediate fertility” countries that have
already experienced substantial fertility decline and where women have on average between 2.1 and 5
children. Intermediate-fertility countries are found in many regions, with the largest being India,
Indonesia, Pakistan, Bangladesh, Mexico, and the Philippines.
The remaining 9 per cent of the world’s population lives in “high-fertility” countries that have
experienced only limited fertility decline to date. In these countries the average woman has 5 or more
children over her lifetime. Of the 21 high-fertility countries, 19 are in Africa and 2 are in Asia. The largest
are Nigeria, Democratic Republic of Congo, United Republic of Tanzania, Uganda and Afghanistan.
Adolescent childbearing can have important health and social consequences both for adolescent girls
and for the children they bear. Although fertility in this age range has fallen in most countries, high
adolescent fertility remains a concern in some areas. Among the major areas of the world, the adolescent
birth rate (births per 1,000 women aged 15-19) in 2010-2015 was highest in Africa at 98 per 1,000
women, followed by Latin America and the Caribbean at 67 per 1,000.
Increasing longevity around the world; progress against major challenges
The 2015 Revision confirms that significant gains in life expectancy have been achieved in recent
years. Globally, life expectancy at birth rose by 3 years between 2000-2005 and 2010-2015, that is from
67 to 70 years. All major areas shared in the life expectancy gains over this period, but the greatest
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2015 Revision, Key Findings and Advance Tables
5 increases were in Africa, where life expectancy rose by 6 years in the 2000s after rising by only 2 years in
the previous decade. Life expectancy in Africa in 2010-2015 stood at 60 years, compared to 72 years in
Asia, 75 years in Latin America and the Caribbean, 77 years in Europe and in Oceania and 79 years in
Northern America.
Under-five mortality, expressed as the probability of dying between birth and a child’s fifth birthday,
is an important indicator of development and the well-being of children. Globally, deaths among children
under age five fell from 71 per 1,000 live births in 2000-2005 to an estimated 50 per 1,000 in 2010-2015.
Absolute declines were particularly large in Sub-Saharan Africa (142 to 99 per 1,000) and in the least
developed countries (125 to 86 per 1,000). The reduction of under-five mortality, which has received
intense global attention as the target of Millennium Development Goal 4, has proceeded swiftly in many
countries in the past decade. In the majority of countries in Sub-Saharan Africa and the group of LDCs,
the annual pace of decline in under-five mortality accelerated after 2000.
Globally, life expectancy at birth is projected to rise from 70 years in 2010-2015 to 77 years in 20452050 and to 83 years in 2095-2100. Africa is projected to gain about 19 years of life expectancy by the
end of the century, reaching 70 years in 2045-2050 and 78 years in 2095-2100. Such increases are
contingent on further reductions in the spread of HIV, and combating successfully other infectious as well
as non-communicable diseases. Both Asia and Latin America and the Caribbean are projected to gain 1314 years of life expectancy by 2095-2100, while Europe, Northern America and Oceania are projected to
gain 10-11 years.
Volume of international migration continues to be high
Internal and international migration can be positive forces for economic and social development as
they offer a mechanism to rebalance labour markets in areas of origin and destination, and to accelerate
the diffusion of new ideas and technologies. Migration can also result in significant flows of remittances
to areas of origin. Overall, international migration is a much smaller component of population change
than births or deaths. However, in some countries and areas the impact of migration on population size is
significant, including in countries that send or receive proportionately large numbers of economic
migrants or those affected by refugee flows.
Overall, between 1950 and 2015, the major areas of Europe, Northern America and Oceania have
been net receivers of international migrants, while Africa, Asia and Latin and the Caribbean have been net
senders, with the volume of net migration generally increasing over time. From 2000 to 2015, average
annual net migration to Europe, Northern America and Oceania averaged 2.8 million persons per year.
When countries are grouped by income rather than geography, the attraction of high-income countries is
even more evident: from 2000 to 2015, high-income countries received an average of 4.1 million net
migrants annually from lower- and middle-income countries. In the future, net migration is projected to
be a major contributor to population growth in many high-income countries. Between 2015 and 2050,
total births in the group of high-income countries are projected to exceed deaths by 20 million, while the
net gain in migrants is projected to be 91 million. Thus, in the medium variant, net migration is projected
to account for 82 per cent of population growth in the high-income countries.
The movement of people from Asia, Africa and Latin America to Europe, Northern America and
Oceania have dominated the world migration patterns for almost half a century, but flows among
developing countries have also been important. Several high-income and middle-income countries in the
“global south” have also been attracting migrants in large numbers for several years.
6
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2015 Revision, Key Findings and Advance Tables
Large and persistent economic and demographic asymmetries between countries are likely to remain
powerful generators of international migration within the foreseeable future. Between 2015 and 2050, the
top net receivers of international migrants (more than 100,000 annually) are projected to be the United
States of America, Canada, the United Kingdom, Australia, Germany, the Russian Federation and Italy.
The countries projected to have net emigration of more than 100,000 annually include India, Bangladesh,
China, Pakistan and Mexico.
Populations in many parts of the world are still young; opportunity for demographic dividend
Populations in many regions are still young. In Africa, children under age 15 account for 41 per cent
of the population in 2015 and young persons aged 15 to 24 account for a further 19 per cent. Latin
America and the Caribbean and Asia, which have seen greater declines in fertility, have smaller
percentages of children (26 and 24 per cent, respectively) and similar percentages of youth (17 and 16 per
cent, respectively). In total, these three regions are home to 1.7 billion children and 1.1 billion young
persons in 2015. Providing these generations with health care, education, and employment opportunities,
including in the poorest countries and groups, is a pivotal focus of the post-2015 agenda.
Proportions of children in the populations of many countries of these regions are projected to decline
further in the near-term future, while the size and the proportion of populations in the prime working ages
can be expected to grow. Countries with a relatively high ratio of working to dependent populations have
the possibility of benefitting from a “demographic dividend,” provided that appropriate labour market and
other policies allow for a productive absorption of the growing working-age population and for increased
investments in the human capital of children and youth.
Globally, population aged 60 or over is the fastest growing
As fertility declines and life expectancy rises, the proportion of the population above a certain age
rises. This phenomenon, known as population ageing, is occurring throughout the world.
In 2015, there are 901 million people aged 60 or over, comprising 12 per cent of the global
population. The population aged 60 or above is growing at a rate of 3.26 per cent per year. Currently,
Europe has the greatest percentage of its population aged 60 or over (24 per cent), but rapid ageing will
occur in other parts of the world as well, so that, by 2050, all major areas of the world except Africa will
have nearly a quarter or more of their populations aged 60 or over. The number of older persons in the
world is projected to be 1.4 billion by 2030 and 2.1 billion by 2050, and could rise to 3.2 billion in 2100.
In the short-to-medium term, higher numbers of older population are inevitable, given that the relevant
cohorts are already alive.
Population ageing is projected to have a profound effect on the number of workers per retiree in
various countries, as measured by the Potential Support Ratio (PSR), defined as the number of people
aged 20 to 64 divided by the number of people aged 65 and over. Currently, African countries, on
average, have 12.9 people aged 20 to 64 for every person aged 65 or above, while Asian countries have
PSRs of 8.0, Latin America and the Caribbean 7.6, Oceania 4.8 and Europe and Northern America at or
under 4. Japan, at 2.1, has the lowest PSR in the world, although seven European countries also have
PSRs below 3. By 2050, seven Asian countries, 24 European countries, and four countries of Latin
America and the Caribbean are expected to have PSRs below 2, underscoring the fiscal and political
pressures that the health care systems as well as the old-age and social protection systems of many
countries are likely to face in the not-too-distant future.
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2015 Revision, Key Findings and Advance Tables
7 Key Findings
8
1.
In July 2015, world population reached 7.3 billion. The world has added one billion people since
2003 and two billion since 1990. In 2015, 50.4 per cent of the world was male and 49.6 per cent
was female. In 2015, 9.1 per cent of the world’s population was under age 5, 26.1 per cent was
under age 15, 12.3 per cent was 60 or over and 1.7 per cent was 80 or over.
2.
In 2016, it is projected that 83 million people will be added to the world’s population. Even
assuming that fertility levels will continue to decline, the global population is still expected to
reach 8.5 billion in 2030, 9.7 billion in 2050 and 11.2 billion in 2100, according to the medium
projection variant.
3.
Continued population growth until 2050 is almost inevitable, even if the decline of fertility
accelerates. There is an 80 per cent probability that the population of world will be between 8.4
and 8.6 billion in 2030, between 9.4 and 10 billion in 2050 and between 10 and 12.5 billion in
2100.
4.
Future population growth is highly dependent on the path that future fertility will take, as
relatively small changes in fertility behaviour, when projected over several decades, can
generate large differences in total population. In the medium-variant projection, global fertility
declines from 2.5 children per women in 2010-2015 to 2.25 children per women in 2045-2050
and 2.0 children per women in 2095-2100. If fertility were to be consistently half a child above
those levels, world population would reach 10.8 billion by 2050 and 16.6 billion by 2100.
Fertility levels consistently half a child below the medium variant would lead to a population of
8.7 billion by mid-century and 7.3 billion by 2100.
5.
In recent years, fertility has declined in virtually all major areas of the world. In Africa, where
fertility levels are the highest of any major area, total fertility has fallen from 4.9 children per
woman in 2005-2010 to 4.7 children per woman in 2010-2015. Fertility levels have also fallen in
Asia and Oceania over the same period, from 2.3 to 2.2 children per woman in Asia and from
2.5 to 2.4 children per woman in Oceania. Recent fertility declines have been slightly larger in
Latin America and the Caribbean where fertility has fallen from 2.3 to 2.15 and in Northern
America where fertility has fallen from 2.0 in 2005-2010 to 1.86 in 2010-2015. Europe is the
only major area that was an exception to this trend. In recent years, total fertility in Europe has
increased slightly from 1.55 children per woman in 2005-2010 to 1.6 children per woman in
2010-2015.
6.
The 48 least developed countries (LDCs) as a whole still have high total fertility (4.3 children
per woman in 2010-2015) and fast growing populations, at 2.4 per cent per year. Although this
rate of increase is expected to slow significantly over the next decades, the population of the
LDCs, 954 million in 2015, is projected to increase 39 per cent between 2015 and 2030, and to
double to 1.9 billion persons by mid-century.
7.
The slowdown in population growth brought about by a reduction in fertility is associated with
population ageing; that is, as the population growth rate falls over time, the proportion of older
persons increases while that of younger persons decreases. In 2015, there were more than twice
as many children under the age of 15 in the world as there are older persons aged 60 or above.
By 2050, however, there will be almost complete global parity between the number of older
persons aged 60 and above and the number of children under the age of 15.
8.
In Europe, 24 per cent of the population is already aged 60 years or over and that proportion is
projected to reach 34 per cent in 2050 and 35 per cent in 2100. Other major areas of the world
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2015 Revision, Key Findings and Advance Tables
are also projected to experience significant population ageing over the next several decades. For
Latin America and the Caribbean, the population will be transformed from having just 11 per
cent of the total aged 60 or over in 2015 to having 26 per cent aged 60 or over by 2050.
Similarly, Asia is expected to shift from 12 per cent aged 60 or over to 25 per cent by 2050,
Northern America from 21 per cent to 28 percent by 2050, and Oceania from 16 per cent to 23
per cent by 2050. Africa has the youngest age distribution of any major area. Nevertheless, it is
also projected to age rapidly over the next 35 years, with the percentage of its population aged
60 or over rising from 5 per cent in 2015 to 9 per cent by 2050.
9.
Globally, the number of persons aged 60 and above is expected to more than double by 2050 and
more than triple by 2100, increasing from 901 million in 2015 to 2.1 billion in 2050 and 3.2
billion in 2100. Sixty-six per cent of the increase between 2015 and 2050 will occur in Asia, 13
per cent in Africa, 11 per cent in Latin America and the Caribbean, and the remaining 10 per
cent in other areas.
10.
The number of persons aged 80 or over is projected to more than triple by 2050 and to increase
more than seven-fold by 2100. Globally, the number of persons aged 80 or over is projected to
increase from 125 million in 2015 to 434 million in 2050 and 944 million in 2100. In 2015, 28
per cent of all persons aged 80 and over lived in Europe, but that share is expected to decline to
16 per cent by 2050 and 9 per cent by 2100 as the populations of other major areas continue to
increase in size and to grow older themselves.
11.
Although the populations of all countries are expected to age over the foreseeable future, the
population will remain relatively young, at least in the short-term, in countries where fertility is
still high.
12.
The median age, that is, the age that divides the population in two halves of equal size, is an
indicator of population ageing. Globally, the median age is projected to increase from 30 to 36
years between 2015 and 2050 and to 42 years in 2100. The median age is higher in countries or
regions that have been experiencing low fertility for a long time. Europe today has the oldest
population, with a median age of 42 years in 2015, which is expected to reach 46 years in 2050
and then 47 years in 2100. By comparison, the median age for the least developed countries as a
whole is 20 years in 2015 and is projected to reach 26 years in 2050 and 36 years in 2100.
13.
Africa continues to experience very high rates of population growth. Between 2015 and 2050,
the populations of 28 African countries are projected to more than double. By 2100, ten African
countries are projected to increase by at least five-fold: Angola, Burundi, Democratic Republic
of Congo, Malawi, Mali, Niger, Somalia, Uganda, United Republic of Tanzania and Zambia.
14.
Forty-eight countries or areas are projected to experience population decline between 2015 and
2050. Eleven countries are expected to see their populations decline by more than 15 per cent by
2050: Bosnia and Herzegovina, Bulgaria, Croatia, Hungary, Japan, Latvia, Lithuania, Republic
of Moldova, Romania, Serbia, and Ukraine.
15.
Nine countries are expected to account for more than half of the world’s projected population
increase over the period 2015-2050: India, Nigeria, Pakistan, the Democratic Republic of
Congo, Ethiopia, the United Republic of Tanzania, the United States of America, Indonesia, and
Uganda, listed according to the size of their contribution to global population growth.
16.
The 2015 Revision confirms that fertility has continued to fall in the vast majority of countries,
particularly those where it was recently at high levels. Among countries with at least 90,000
inhabitants in 2015, the number with high fertility (5 children or more per woman) has roughly
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2015 Revision, Key Findings and Advance Tables
9 halved from 40 countries in 2000-2005 to 21 in 2010-2015. Afghanistan and Timor-Leste were
the only two countries outside of Africa where total fertility was above 5 children per woman
during 2010-2015. Among 126 countries where total fertility was above the replacement level
(2.1 children per woman) in 2005-2010, fertility has fallen in 108 of them between 2005-2010
and 2010-2015.
More and more countries now have below-replacement fertility and in many cases have had
below-replacement fertility for several decades. Eighty-three countries had below-replacement
fertility during 2010-2015, and in 25 of those countries, fertility was below 1.5 children per
woman. In a number of countries, fertility rates have fluctuated slightly in the recent past. Fiftyfour countries with below-replacement fertility in 2010-2015 recorded a slight increase in
fertility at some point between 2000-2005 and 2010-2015, although 21 of these countries
subsequently experienced slight downturns in 2010-2015. Only four European countries have
experienced above-replacement fertility during any 5-year period since 1990-1995.
18.
In 2010-2015, the 83 countries with below-replacement fertility accounted for 46 per cent of the
world’s population. The most populous countries with below replacement fertility are China, the
United States of America, Brazil, the Russian Federation, Japan, Viet Nam, Germany, the
Islamic Republic of Iran, and Thailand, in order of population size.
19.
Globally, total fertility is expected to fall from 2.5 children per woman in 2010-2015 to 2.25 in
2045-2050 and to 2.0 in 2095-2100 according to the medium-variant projection. However, in
Europe and Northern America, total fertility is projected to increase between 2010-2015 and
2045-2050 from 1.6 to 1.8 children per woman in Europe and from 1.86 to 1.9 children per
woman in Northern America. In Africa, Asia, Latin America and the Caribbean, and Oceania,
fertility is expected to fall between 2010-2015 and 2045-2050, with the largest reductions
projected to occur in Africa. Thus, in all major areas of the world, fertility levels are projected to
converge to a level at or just below the replacement level by 2095-2100.
20.
Adolescent childbearing, which can have important health and social consequences both for
adolescent girls and for the children they bear, has fallen in most countries. Nevertheless, high
adolescent fertility remains a concern in certain parts of the world. Among major areas, the
adolescent birth rate (births per 1,000 women aged 15-19) in 2010-2015 was highest in Africa, at
98 per 1,000 women, followed by Latin America and the Caribbean at 67 per 1,000.
21.
The 2015 Revision confirms that substantial improvements in life expectancy have occurred in
recent years. Globally, life expectancy at birth has risen from 65 years for men and 69 years for
women in 2000-2005 to 68 years for men and 73 years for women in 2010-2015. The highest
levels of life expectancy at birth in 2010-2015 are to be found in China, Hong Kong SAR (84
years, both sexes combined) followed by Japan, Italy, Switzerland, Singapore, Iceland, Spain,
Australia, and Israel, in descending order. Globally, life expectancy is projected to rise from 70
years in 2010-2015 to 77 years in 2045-2050 and eventually to 83 years in 2095-2100.
22.
Life expectancy at birth has increased significantly in the least developed countries in recent
years. The six-year average gain in life expectancy among the poorest countries, from 56 years
in 2000-2005 to 62 years in 2010-2015, is roughly double the increase recorded in the rest of the
world. While significant differences in life expectancy across major areas and income groups are
projected to continue, they are expected to diminish significantly by 2045-2050.
23.
The under-five mortality rate, expressed as the probability of dying between birth and age 5, is
an important indicator of development and the well-being of children. Target 4.a of the
Millennium Development Goals was to reduce the under-five mortality rate by two thirds
10
17.
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2015 Revision, Key Findings and Advance Tables
between 1990 and 2015. While the MDG Target will not be achieved globally by the end of
2015, progress in reducing under-five mortality has been very significant and wide-reaching in
recent years. Between 2000-2005 and 2010-2015, under-five mortality has decreased by more
than 20 per cent in 156 countries, with widespread reductions of 20 per cent or more recorded in
Africa (42 out of 57 countries), Asia (43 out of 51 countries), Europe (39 out of 40 countries),
Latin America and the Caribbean (24 out of 38 countries), and Oceania (8 out of 13 countries).
Between 2000-2005 and 2010-2015, under-five mortality fell by more than 30 per cent in 86
countries, of which 13 countries saw a decline of more than 50 per cent.
24.
Although the HIV/AIDS epidemic continues to be a major global health concern, HIV/AIDSrelated adult mortality appears to have reached a peak over the past decade in most countries
highly affected by the epidemic due to the widespread availability of antiretroviral treatment.
Nevertheless, in countries where HIV prevalence has been high, the impact of the epidemic in
terms of morbidity, mortality and slower population growth continues to be evident. Thus, in
Southern Africa, the region with the highest prevalence of the disease, life expectancy fell from
62 years in 1990-1995 to 52 years in 2000-2005, then increased to 57 years in 2010-2015. Life
expectancy in Southern Africa is not expected to return to the level where it was in the early
1990s until the year 2030.
25.
A number of Eastern European countries experienced reductions in life expectancy at birth in the
late 1980s and 1990s. By 2010-2015 life expectancy in the region had recovered substantially,
but at 72 years, life expectancy in Eastern Europe lags far behind the level in the rest of Europe.
Belarus, the Republic of Moldova, the Russian Federation and Ukraine have the lowest levels of
life expectancy at birth in Europe (around 70-71 years).
26.
Since 1990, 58 countries have experienced declining life expectancy at least once between two
consecutive five-year periods. These included countries highly affected by the HIV/AIDS
epidemic, countries in conflict, and countries experiencing increased mortality after the breakup
of the Soviet Union. The number of countries experiencing decreases in life expectancy in any
given five-year period has fallen dramatically, from a high of 38 in 1990-1995, to 17 in 20002005, to 2 in 2010-2015.
27.
From 2000 to 2015, annual net migration to Europe, Northern America and Oceania averaged
2.8 million persons per year. When countries are grouped by income rather than geography, the
attraction of high-income countries is even more evident: from 2000 to 2015, high-income
countries received an average of 4.1 million net migrants annually from lower- and middleincome countries. Economic and demographic asymmetries across countries are likely to remain
powerful generators of international migration within the medium-term future. Large-scale
refugee movements have also had a profound influence on the level of net migration experienced
by some countries, including those affected recently by the Syrian crisis.
28.
In countries or areas where fertility is already below the replacement level, the total population is
expected to contract unless the excess of deaths over births is counterbalanced by a gain due to
net migration. However, international migration at, or around, current levels will be unable to
compensate fully for the expected loss of population due to low levels of fertility. Between 2015
and 2050, the excess of deaths over births in Europe is projected to be 63 million, whereas the
net number of international migrants to Europe is projected to be approximately 31 million,
implying an overall shrinking of Europe’s population by about 32 million.
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2015 Revision, Key Findings and Advance Tables
11 TABLE S.1. TOTAL POPULATION BY SEX IN 2015 AND SEX RATIO BY COUNTRY IN 2015
Country or area
Total
Population (thousands)
Male
Female
Sex ratio (males
per 100 females)
World ................................................
7 349 472
3 707 206
3 642 266
102
Afghanistan .......................................
Albania ..............................................
Algeria ...............................................
American Samoa ...............................
Andorra..............................................
Angola ...............................................
Anguilla .............................................
Antigua and Barbuda .........................
Argentina ...........................................
Armenia .............................................
Aruba .................................................
Australia ............................................
Austria ...............................................
Azerbaijan .........................................
Bahamas ............................................
Bahrain ..............................................
Bangladesh ........................................
Barbados ............................................
Belarus ...............................................
Belgium .............................................
Belize.................................................
Benin .................................................
Bermuda ............................................
Bhutan ...............................................
Bolivia (Plurinational State of) ..........
Bosnia and Herzegovina ....................
Botswana ...........................................
Brazil .................................................
British Virgin Islands.........................
Brunei Darussalam ............................
Bulgaria .............................................
Burkina Faso......................................
Burundi ..............................................
Cabo Verde ........................................
Cambodia ..........................................
Cameroon ..........................................
Canada ...............................................
Caribbean Netherlands ......................
Cayman Islands .................................
Central African Republic ...................
Chad ..................................................
Channel Islands .................................
Chile ..................................................
China .................................................
China, Hong Kong SAR ....................
China, Macao SAR ............................
32 527
2 897
39 667
56
70
25 022
15
92
43 417
3 018
104
23 969
8 545
9 754
388
1 377
160 996
284
9 496
11 299
359
10 880
62
775
10 725
3 810
2 262
207 848
30
423
7 150
18 106
11 179
521
15 578
23 344
35 940
25
60
4 900
14 037
164
17 948
1376 049
7 288
588
16 774
1 437
19 958
…
…
12 416
…
44
21 245
1 400
49
11 976
4 196
4 856
190
854
81 277
136
4 414
5 559
179
5 426
…
416
5 371
1 896
1 130
102 201
…
218
3 473
8 984
5 524
257
7 598
11 672
17 826
…
…
2 415
7 028
81
8 855
708 977
3 422
283
15 753
1 460
19 709
…
…
12 606
…
48
22 172
1 618
55
11 993
4 348
4 898
198
524
79 719
148
5 082
5 740
180
5 454
…
359
5 354
1 914
1 132
105 647
…
205
3 676
9 121
5 655
264
7 980
11 672
18 114
…
…
2 485
7 010
83
9 093
667 072
3 866
305
106
98
101
…
…
98
…
92
96
86
91
100
97
99
96
163
102
92
87
97
99
99
…
116
100
99
100
97
…
106
94
98
98
97
95
100
98
…
…
97
100
98
97
106
88
93
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2015 Revision, Key Findings and Advance Tables
13
TABLE S.1. (continued)
Country or area
Total
Colombia ...........................................
Comoros ............................................
Congo ................................................
Cook Islands ......................................
Costa Rica..........................................
Côte d'Ivoire ......................................
Croatia ...............................................
Cuba ..................................................
Curaçao..............................................
Cyprus ...............................................
Czech Republic..................................
Dem. People's Rep. of Korea .............
Dem. Republic of the Congo .............
Denmark ............................................
Djibouti..............................................
Dominica ...........................................
Dominican Republic ..........................
Ecuador..............................................
Egypt .................................................
El Salvador ........................................
Equatorial Guinea ..............................
Eritrea ................................................
Estonia ...............................................
Ethiopia .............................................
Faeroe Islands ....................................
Falkland Islands (Malvinas) ..............
Fiji .....................................................
Finland ...............................................
France ................................................
French Guiana ...................................
French Polynesia ...............................
Gabon ................................................
Gambia ..............................................
Georgia ..............................................
Germany ............................................
Ghana ................................................
Gibraltar ............................................
Greece................................................
Greenland ..........................................
Grenada .............................................
Guadeloupe........................................
Guam .................................................
Guatemala..........................................
Guinea ...............................................
Guinea-Bissau ...................................
Guyana ..............................................
Haiti ...................................................
Holy See ............................................
14
Population (thousands)
Male
48 229
788
4 620
21
4 808
22 702
4 240
11 390
157
1 165
10 543
25 155
77 267
5 669
888
73
10 528
16 144
91 508
6 127
845
5 228
1 313
99 391
48
3
892
5 503
64 395
269
283
1 725
1 991
4 000
80 689
27 410
32
10 955
56
107
468
170
16 343
12 609
1 844
767
10 711
1
23 744
398
2 311
…
2 406
11 546
2 045
5 722
73
594
5 180
12 300
38 533
2 814
446
…
5 246
8 071
46 240
2 875
433
2 619
614
49 608
…
…
454
2 709
31 342
134
144
872
986
1 908
39 653
13 635
…
5 345
…
54
217
86
7 993
6 322
916
385
5 297
…
Female
24 485
391
2 309
…
2 402
11 155
2 195
5 668
85
571
5 363
12 856
38 734
2 855
442
…
5 282
8 073
45 268
3 251
412
2 609
698
49 783
…
…
439
2 794
33 054
134
138
853
1 005
2 092
41 036
13 774
…
5 609
…
53
252
84
8 350
6 286
929
382
5 414
…
Sex ratio (males
per 100 females)
97
102
100
…
100
104
93
101
86
104
97
96
99
99
101
…
99
100
102
88
105
100
88
100
…
…
103
97
95
100
104
102
98
91
97
99
…
95
…
101
86
103
96
101
99
101
98
…
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2015 Revision, Key Findings and Advance Tables
Population (thousands)
Male
Country or area
Total
Honduras ...........................................
Hungary .............................................
Iceland ...............................................
India...................................................
Indonesia ...........................................
Iran (Islamic Republic of)..................
Iraq ....................................................
Ireland................................................
Isle of Man.........................................
Israel ..................................................
Italy ...................................................
Jamaica ..............................................
Japan ..................................................
Jordan ................................................
Kazakhstan ........................................
Kenya ................................................
Kiribati ..............................................
Kuwait ...............................................
Kyrgyzstan.........................................
Lao People's Dem. Republic ..............
Latvia.................................................
Lebanon .............................................
Lesotho ..............................................
Liberia ...............................................
Libya..................................................
Liechtenstein .....................................
Lithuania............................................
Luxembourg ......................................
Madagascar........................................
Malawi ...............................................
Malaysia ............................................
Maldives ............................................
Mali ...................................................
Malta..................................................
Marshall Islands.................................
Martinique .........................................
Mauritania .........................................
Mauritius ...........................................
Mayotte..............................................
Mexico ...............................................
Micronesia (Fed. States of) ................
Monaco ..............................................
Mongolia ...........................................
Montenegro .......................................
Montserrat .........................................
Morocco ............................................
Mozambique ......................................
Myanmar ...........................................
8 075
9 855
329
1311 051
257 564
79 109
36 423
4 688
88
8 064
59 798
2 793
126 573
7 595
17 625
46 050
112
3 892
5 940
6 802
1 971
5 851
2 135
4 503
6 278
38
2 878
567
24 235
17 215
30 331
364
17 600
419
53
396
4 068
1 273
240
127 017
104
38
2 959
626
5
34 378
27 978
53 897
4 036
4 691
165
679 548
129 688
39 835
18 437
2 340
…
3 999
29 070
1 391
61 559
3 889
8 512
23 017
55
2 186
2 940
3 385
904
2 939
1 057
2 270
3 157
…
1 325
285
12 082
8 593
15 026
182
8 885
208
…
182
2 047
629
118
63 181
54
…
1 465
309
…
16 989
13 666
26 335
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2015 Revision, Key Findings and Advance Tables
Female
4 039
5 164
164
631 502
127 876
39 274
17 986
2 348
…
4 065
30 728
1 402
65 015
3 706
9 113
23 033
57
1 706
3 000
3 417
1 067
2 912
1 078
2 234
3 122
…
1 553
282
12 153
8 622
15 305
181
8 715
210
…
215
2 021
644
122
63 836
51
…
1 494
317
…
17 388
14 312
27 562
Sex ratio (males
per 100 females)
100
91
100
108
101
101
103
100
…
98
95
99
95
105
93
100
97
128
98
99
85
101
98
102
101
…
85
101
99
100
98
101
102
99
…
85
101
98
97
99
105
…
98
98
…
98
95
96
15 TABLE S.1. (continued)
Country or area
Total
Namibia .............................................
Nauru .................................................
Nepal .................................................
Netherlands ........................................
New Caledonia ..................................
New Zealand......................................
Nicaragua...........................................
Niger ..................................................
Nigeria ...............................................
Niue ...................................................
Northern Mariana Islands ..................
Norway ..............................................
Oman .................................................
Pakistan .............................................
Palau ..................................................
Panama ..............................................
Papua New Guinea ............................
Paraguay ............................................
Peru ...................................................
Philippines .........................................
Poland ................................................
Portugal .............................................
Puerto Rico ........................................
Qatar ..................................................
Republic of Korea..............................
Republic of Moldova .........................
Réunion .............................................
Romania ............................................
Russian Federation ............................
Rwanda ..............................................
Saint Helena ......................................
Saint Kitts and Nevis .........................
Saint Lucia.........................................
Saint Pierre and Miquelon .................
St. Vincent and the Grenadines..........
Samoa ................................................
San Marino ........................................
Sao Tome and Principe ......................
Saudi Arabia ......................................
Senegal ..............................................
Serbia.................................................
Seychelles ..........................................
Sierra Leone ......................................
Singapore ...........................................
Sint Maarten (Dutch part) ..................
Slovakia .............................................
Slovenia .............................................
Solomon Islands ................................
16
Population (thousands)
Male
2 459
10
28 514
16 925
263
4 529
6 082
19 899
182 202
2
55
5 211
4 491
188 925
21
3 929
7 619
6 639
31 377
100 699
38 612
10 350
3 683
2 235
50 293
4 069
861
19 511
143 457
11 610
4
56
185
6
109
193
32
190
31 540
15 129
8 851
96
6 453
5 604
39
5 426
2 068
584
1 197
…
13 816
8 401
133
2 213
2 998
10 029
92 789
…
…
2 625
2 979
97 052
…
1 970
3 887
3 369
15 673
50 813
18 674
4 901
1 771
1 624
24 995
1 956
417
9 451
66 644
5 560
…
…
91
…
55
100
…
95
17 836
7 429
4 320
49
3 193
2 765
…
2 630
1 025
296
Female
1 262
…
14 697
8 524
130
2 315
3 084
9 870
89 413
…
…
2 586
1 512
91 873
…
1 959
3 733
3 270
15 704
49 887
19 938
5 449
1 913
612
25 298
2 113
444
10 060
76 813
6 050
…
…
94
…
54
94
…
96
13 704
7 701
4 531
48
3 260
2 839
…
2 796
1 043
287
Sex ratio (males
per 100 females)
95
…
94
99
102
96
97
102
104
…
…
101
197
106
…
101
104
103
100
102
94
90
93
265
99
93
94
94
87
92
…
…
96
…
102
106
…
99
130
96
95
103
98
97
…
94
98
103
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2015 Revision, Key Findings and Advance Tables
Country or area
Somalia ..............................................
South Africa ......................................
South Sudan .......................................
Spain ..................................................
Sri Lanka ...........................................
State of Palestine ...............................
Sudan .................................................
Suriname............................................
Swaziland ..........................................
Sweden ..............................................
Switzerland ........................................
Syrian Arab Republic ........................
Tajikistan ...........................................
TFYR Macedonia ..............................
Thailand .............................................
Timor-Leste .......................................
Togo ..................................................
Tokelau ..............................................
Tonga.................................................
Trinidad and Tobago .........................
Tunisia ...............................................
Turkey ...............................................
Turkmenistan .....................................
Turks and Caicos Islands ...................
Tuvalu................................................
Uganda ..............................................
Ukraine ..............................................
United Arab Emirates ........................
United Kingdom ................................
United Republic of Tanzania .............
United States of America ...................
United States Virgin Islands ..............
Uruguay .............................................
Uzbekistan .........................................
Vanuatu .............................................
Venezuela (Bolivarian Republic of) ..
Viet Nam ...........................................
Wallis and Futuna Islands..................
Western Sahara ..................................
Yemen ...............................................
Zambia ...............................................
Zimbabwe ..........................................
Other non-specified areas ..................
Total
Population (thousands)
Male
10 787
54 490
12 340
46 122
20 715
4 668
40 235
543
1 287
9 779
8 299
18 502
8 482
2 078
67 959
1 185
7 305
1
106
1 360
11 254
78 666
5 374
34
10
39 032
44 824
9 157
64 716
53 470
321 774
106
3 432
29 893
265
31 108
93 448
13
573
26 832
16 212
15 603
23 381
5 368
26 797
6 179
22 624
9 979
2 367
20 197
272
636
4 887
4 109
9 367
4 296
1 035
33 495
602
3 609
…
53
671
5 561
38 675
2 641
…
…
19 507
20 759
6 708
31 899
26 574
159 494
51
1 656
14 699
134
15 487
46 224
…
300
13 553
8 094
7 688
11 700
Female
5 419
27 693
6 161
23 498
10 736
2 302
20 038
271
651
4 893
4 189
9 136
4 186
1 044
34 465
583
3 695
…
53
689
5 692
39 991
2 733
…
…
19 525
24 064
2 449
32 817
26 896
162 280
56
1 775
15 194
131
15 621
47 223
…
273
13 279
8 118
7 915
11 681
Sex ratio (males
per 100 females)
99
97
100
96
93
103
101
100
98
100
98
103
103
99
97
103
98
…
101
97
98
97
97
…
…
100
86
274
97
99
98
91
93
97
103
99
98
…
110
102
100
97
100
Source: United Nations, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division (2015). World
Population Prospects: The 2015 Revision. New York: United Nations.
NOTE: Estimates by sex for countries or areas with less than 90,000 persons are not shown. They are
included in the totals for the world by sex.
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2015 Revision, Key Findings and Advance Tables
17 TABLE S.2. TOTAL POPULATION BY COUNTRY, 1950, 2015, 2030, 2050 AND 2100 (MEDIUM VARIANT)
Population (thousands)
Country or area
1950
2015
2030
2050
2100
World................................................
2 525 149
7 349 472
8 500 766
9 725 148
11 213 317
Afghanistan .......................................
Albania ..............................................
Algeria ...............................................
American Samoa ...............................
Andorra .............................................
Angola ...............................................
Anguilla .............................................
Antigua and Barbuda .........................
Argentina ...........................................
Armenia .............................................
Aruba .................................................
Australia ............................................
Austria ...............................................
Azerbaijan .........................................
Bahamas ............................................
Bahrain ..............................................
Bangladesh ........................................
Barbados ............................................
Belarus...............................................
Belgium .............................................
Belize ................................................
Benin .................................................
Bermuda ............................................
Bhutan ...............................................
Bolivia (Plurinational State of) ..........
Bosnia and Herzegovina ....................
Botswana ...........................................
Brazil .................................................
British Virgin Islands ........................
Brunei Darussalam ............................
Bulgaria .............................................
Burkina Faso .....................................
Burundi..............................................
Cabo Verde........................................
Cambodia ..........................................
Cameroon ..........................................
Canada ...............................................
Caribbean Netherlands ......................
Cayman Islands .................................
Central African Republic...................
Chad ..................................................
Channel Islands .................................
Chile ..................................................
China .................................................
China, Hong Kong SAR ....................
7 752
1 263
8 872
19
6
4 355
5
46
17 150
1 354
38
8 177
6 936
2 896
79
116
37 895
211
7 745
8 628
69
2 255
37
177
3 090
2 661
413
53 975
7
48
7 251
4 284
2 309
178
4 433
4 466
13 737
7
6
1 327
2 502
102
6 143
544 113
1 974
32 527
2 897
39 667
56
70
25 022
15
92
43 417
3 018
104
23 969
8 545
9 754
388
1 377
160 996
284
9 496
11 299
359
10 880
62
775
10 725
3 810
2 262
207 848
30
423
7 150
18 106
11 179
521
15 578
23 344
35 940
25
60
4 900
14 037
164
17 948
1376 049
7 288
43 852
2 954
48 274
57
71
39 351
16
105
49 365
2 993
107
28 482
8 844
10 727
446
1 642
186 460
290
8 977
12 019
472
15 593
59
886
13 177
3 584
2 817
228 663
35
496
6 300
27 244
17 357
614
18 991
32 947
40 390
28
71
6 490
21 946
174
20 250
1415 545
7 951
55 955
2 710
56 461
57
72
65 473
15
114
55 445
2 729
102
33 496
8 846
10 963
489
1 822
202 209
282
8 125
12 527
588
22 549
54
950
15 963
3 069
3 389
238 270
38
546
5 154
42 789
28 668
707
22 545
48 362
44 136
30
82
8 782
35 131
181
21 601
1348 056
8 148
57 638
1 755
61 060
40
60
138 738
11
114
58 572
1 793
84
42 389
8 335
9 636
498
1 602
169 541
259
6 916
13 210
677
35 544
42
793
18 118
1 919
3 681
200 305
36
489
3 406
80 990
62 662
680
23 928
82 382
49 668
32
99
12 515
68 927
182
19 744
1004 392
7 924
18
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2015 Revision, Key Findings and Advance Tables
TABLE S.2. (continued)
Population (thousands)
Country or area
China, Macao SAR ............................
Colombia ...........................................
Comoros ............................................
Congo ................................................
Cook Islands ......................................
Costa Rica .........................................
Côte d'Ivoire ......................................
Croatia ...............................................
Cuba ..................................................
Curaçao .............................................
Cyprus ...............................................
Czech Republic .................................
Dem. People's Rep. of Korea .............
Dem. Republic of the Congo .............
Denmark ............................................
Djibouti .............................................
Dominica ...........................................
Dominican Republic ..........................
Ecuador .............................................
Egypt .................................................
El Salvador ........................................
Equatorial Guinea ..............................
Eritrea ................................................
Estonia ...............................................
Ethiopia .............................................
Faeroe Islands ....................................
Falkland Islands (Malvinas) ..............
Fiji .....................................................
Finland...............................................
France ................................................
French Guiana ...................................
French Polynesia ...............................
Gabon ................................................
Gambia ..............................................
Georgia ..............................................
Germany ............................................
Ghana ................................................
Gibraltar ............................................
Greece ...............................................
Greenland ..........................................
Grenada .............................................
Guadeloupe .......................................
Guam .................................................
Guatemala .........................................
Guinea ...............................................
Guinea-Bissau ...................................
Guyana ..............................................
Haiti ...................................................
1950
2015
2030
2050
2100
196
12 341
156
808
15
959
2 630
3 850
5 920
100
494
8 903
10 549
12 184
4 268
62
51
2 365
3 470
20 897
2 200
226
1 142
1 101
18 128
32
2
289
4 008
41 880
25
60
473
271
3 527
69 786
4 981
20
7 566
23
77
210
60
3 146
3 094
535
407
3 221
588
48 229
788
4 620
21
4 808
22 702
4 240
11 390
157
1 165
10 543
25 155
77 267
5 669
888
73
10 528
16 144
91 508
6 127
845
5 228
1 313
99 391
48
3
892
5 503
64 395
269
283
1 725
1 991
4 000
80 689
27 410
32
10 955
56
107
468
170
16 343
12 609
1 844
767
10 711
720
53 175
1 081
6 790
23
5 413
32 143
3 977
11 237
175
1 300
10 461
26 701
120 304
6 003
1 054
76
12 087
19 563
117 102
6 408
1 238
7 311
1 243
138 297
50
3
940
5 706
68 007
381
313
2 321
3 105
3 868
79 294
36 865
33
10 480
57
112
491
200
21 424
18 276
2 541
821
12 578
838
54 927
1 502
10 732
24
5 759
48 797
3 554
10 339
189
1 402
9 965
26 907
195 277
6 299
1 186
74
13 238
23 013
151 111
6 390
1 816
10 421
1 129
188 455
52
3
924
5 752
71 137
546
330
3 164
4 981
3 483
74 513
50 071
32
9 705
52
110
498
228
27 754
27 486
3 564
806
14 189
1 023
45 321
2 307
22 015
21
4 993
101 154
2 615
7 103
208
1 386
8 774
24 842
388 733
6 838
1 126
52
12 027
24 499
200 802
4 420
2 984
15 616
904
242 644
52
3
696
5 857
75 998
891
297
4 466
8 896
2 438
63 244
73 033
28
7 393
41
72
437
242
34 812
49 049
5 489
595
13 544
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2015 Revision, Key Findings and Advance Tables
19 TABLE S.2 (continued)
Population (thousands)
Country or area
Holy See ............................................
Honduras ...........................................
Hungary .............................................
Iceland ...............................................
India ..................................................
Indonesia ...........................................
Iran (Islamic Republic of) .................
Iraq ....................................................
Ireland ...............................................
Isle of Man ........................................
Israel ..................................................
Italy ...................................................
Jamaica ..............................................
Japan..................................................
Jordan ................................................
Kazakhstan ........................................
Kenya ................................................
Kiribati ..............................................
Kuwait ...............................................
Kyrgyzstan ........................................
Lao People's Dem. Republic..............
Latvia ................................................
Lebanon .............................................
Lesotho ..............................................
Liberia ...............................................
Libya .................................................
Liechtenstein .....................................
Lithuania ...........................................
Luxembourg ......................................
Madagascar .......................................
Malawi...............................................
Malaysia ............................................
Maldives ............................................
Mali ...................................................
Malta .................................................
Marshall Islands ................................
Martinique .........................................
Mauritania .........................................
Mauritius ...........................................
Mayotte .............................................
Mexico...............................................
Micronesia (Fed. States of)................
Monaco..............................................
Mongolia ...........................................
Montenegro .......................................
Montserrat .........................................
Morocco ............................................
Mozambique ......................................
20
1950
2015
2030
2050
2100
1
1 487
9 338
143
376 325
69 543
17 119
5 719
2 913
55
1 258
46 599
1 403
82 199
449
6 703
6 077
33
152
1 740
1 683
1 949
1 335
734
930
1 113
14
2 567
296
4 084
2 954
6 110
74
4 708
312
13
222
660
493
15
28 013
32
20
780
395
14
8 986
6 313
1
8 075
9 855
329
1311 051
257 564
79 109
36 423
4 688
88
8 064
59 798
2 793
126 573
7 595
17 625
46 050
112
3 892
5 940
6 802
1 971
5 851
2 135
4 503
6 278
38
2 878
567
24 235
17 215
30 331
364
17 600
419
53
396
4 068
1 273
240
127 017
104
38
2 959
626
5
34 378
27 978
1
9 737
9 275
364
1527 658
295 482
88 529
54 071
5 204
96
9 998
59 100
2 867
120 127
9 109
20 072
65 412
142
4 987
7 097
8 489
1 806
5 292
2 486
6 414
7 418
41
2 655
678
35 960
26 584
36 107
437
27 370
428
56
391
5 666
1 310
344
148 133
118
40
3 519
618
5
39 787
41 437
1
11 217
8 318
389
1705 333
322 237
92 219
83 652
5 789
104
12 610
56 513
2 710
107 411
11 717
22 447
95 505
178
5 924
8 248
10 172
1 593
5 610
2 987
9 436
8 375
43
2 375
803
55 294
43 155
40 725
494
45 404
411
67
358
8 049
1 249
497
163 754
129
44
4 028
574
5
43 696
65 544
1
10 646
6 506
384
1659 786
313 648
69 637
163 905
6 372
114
17 285
49 647
1 704
83 175
14 147
24 712
156 856
244
6 484
9 046
10 411
1 278
4 741
3 548
15 977
8 144
47
2 013
1 030
105 499
87 056
40 778
438
92 981
348
75
289
13 059
952
752
148 404
116
55
4 487
437
5
40 888
127 648
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2015 Revision, Key Findings and Advance Tables
TABLE S.2. (continued)
Population (thousands)
Country or area
Myanmar ...........................................
Namibia .............................................
Nauru .................................................
Nepal .................................................
Netherlands .......................................
New Caledonia ..................................
New Zealand .....................................
Nicaragua ..........................................
Niger..................................................
Nigeria ...............................................
Niue ...................................................
Northern Mariana Islands ..................
Norway ..............................................
Oman .................................................
Pakistan .............................................
Palau ..................................................
Panama ..............................................
Papua New Guinea ............................
Paraguay ............................................
Peru ...................................................
Philippines .........................................
Poland................................................
Portugal .............................................
Puerto Rico ........................................
Qatar ..................................................
Republic of Korea .............................
Republic of Moldova .........................
Réunion .............................................
Romania ............................................
Russian Federation ............................
Rwanda..............................................
Saint Helena ......................................
Saint Kitts and Nevis .........................
Saint Lucia ........................................
Saint Pierre and Miquelon .................
St. Vincent and the Grenadines .........
Samoa ................................................
San Marino ........................................
Sao Tome and Principe......................
Saudi Arabia ......................................
Senegal ..............................................
Serbia ................................................
Seychelles ..........................................
Sierra Leone ......................................
Singapore...........................................
Sint Maarten (Dutch part) ..................
Slovakia .............................................
Slovenia .............................................
1950
2015
2030
2050
2100
17 527
485
3
8 483
10 027
65
1 908
1 295
2 560
37 860
5
7
3 265
456
37 542
7
860
1 708
1 473
7 728
18 580
24 824
8 417
2 218
25
19 211
2 341
248
16 236
102 799
2 186
5
46
83
5
67
82
13
60
3 121
2 477
6 732
36
1 944
1 022
1
3 437
1 473
53 897
2 459
10
28 514
16 925
263
4 529
6 082
19 899
182 202
2
55
5 211
4 491
188 925
21
3 929
7 619
6 639
31 377
100 699
38 612
10 350
3 683
2 235
50 293
4 069
861
19 511
143 457
11 610
4
56
185
6
109
193
32
190
31 540
15 129
8 851
96
6 453
5 604
39
5 426
2 068
60 242
3 272
11
33 104
17 605
311
5 103
7 033
35 966
262 599
2
56
5 945
5 238
244 916
25
4 781
10 057
7 845
36 855
123 575
37 207
9 845
3 638
2 781
52 519
3 839
947
17 639
138 652
15 785
4
63
202
7
112
210
33
256
39 132
22 802
8 281
101
8 598
6 418
46
5 353
2 054
63 575
4 322
11
36 159
17 602
363
5 607
7 863
72 238
398 508
2
51
6 658
5 844
309 640
28
5 599
13 240
8 895
41 899
148 260
33 136
9 216
3 367
3 205
50 593
3 243
989
15 207
128 599
21 187
4
68
207
7
109
241
33
353
46 059
36 223
7 331
100
11 392
6 681
52
4 892
1 942
56 026
5 730
9
29 677
17 220
419
6 094
6 996
209 334
752 247
2
29
7 845
5 751
364 283
29
6 012
17 951
8 665
41 557
168 618
22 289
7 407
2 212
3 170
38 504
1 856
870
10 700
117 445
25 692
3
63
168
7
77
262
30
538
47 586
75 042
5 334
81
14 489
5 593
63
3 732
1 693
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2015 Revision, Key Findings and Advance Tables
21 TABLE S.2 (continued)
Population (thousands)
Country or area
Solomon Islands ................................
Somalia..............................................
South Africa ......................................
South Sudan ......................................
Spain..................................................
Sri Lanka ...........................................
State of Palestine ...............................
Sudan .................................................
Suriname ...........................................
Swaziland ..........................................
Sweden ..............................................
Switzerland ........................................
Syrian Arab Republic ........................
Tajikistan ...........................................
TFYR Macedonia ..............................
Thailand.............................................
Timor-Leste .......................................
Togo ..................................................
Tokelau..............................................
Tonga ................................................
Trinidad and Tobago .........................
Tunisia ...............................................
Turkey ...............................................
Turkmenistan.....................................
Turks and Caicos Islands ...................
Tuvalu ...............................................
Uganda ..............................................
Ukraine ..............................................
United Arab Emirates ........................
United Kingdom ................................
United Republic of Tanzania .............
United States of America...................
United States Virgin Islands ..............
Uruguay .............................................
Uzbekistan .........................................
Vanuatu .............................................
Venezuela (Bolivarian Republic of) ..
Viet Nam ...........................................
Wallis and Futuna Islands .................
Western Sahara ..................................
Yemen ...............................................
Zambia...............................................
Zimbabwe ..........................................
Other non-specified areas ..................
1950
2015
2030
2050
2100
90
2 264
13 683
2 583
28 070
8 076
932
5 734
215
273
7 010
4 668
3 413
1 532
1 254
20 710
433
1 395
2
47
646
3 605
21 238
1 211
5
5
5 158
37 298
70
50 616
7 650
157 813
27
2 239
6 945
48
5 482
24 810
7
14
4 402
2 317
2 747
7 562
584
10 787
54 490
12 340
46 122
20 715
4 668
40 235
543
1 287
9 779
8 299
18 502
8 482
2 078
67 959
1 185
7 305
1
106
1 360
11 254
78 666
5 374
34
10
39 032
44 824
9 157
64 716
53 470
321 774
106
3 432
29 893
265
31 108
93 448
13
573
26 832
16 212
15 603
23 381
757
16 493
60 034
17 810
45 920
21 536
6 765
56 443
599
1 507
10 766
9 223
28 647
11 102
2 078
68 250
1 577
10 489
1
121
1 372
12 686
87 717
6 160
42
11
61 929
40 892
10 977
70 113
82 927
355 765
106
3 596
34 397
354
36 673
105 220
13
738
36 335
25 313
21 353
23 116
992
27 030
65 540
25 855
44 840
20 836
9 791
80 284
624
1 792
11 881
10 019
34 902
14 288
1 938
62 452
2 162
15 681
2
140
1 291
13 476
95 819
6 555
48
11
101 873
35 117
12 789
75 361
137 136
388 865
97
3 667
37 126
476
41 562
112 783
13
901
47 170
42 975
29 615
20 778
1 354
58 311
65 696
41 752
38 337
14 857
15 516
127 328
548
2 082
14 470
11 245
38 098
18 559
1 487
41 604
3 234
27 873
2
159
984
12 494
87 983
5 606
52
11
202 868
26 400
13 389
82 370
299 133
450 385
69
3 258
32 077
677
41 927
105 076
12
1 047
50 826
104 869
40 263
12 518
Source: United Nations, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division (2015). World Population
Prospects: The 2015 Revision. New York: United Nations.
22
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2015 Revision, Key Findings and Advance Tables
TABLE S.3. COUNTRIES ACCOUNTING FOR ABOUT 75 PER CENT OF THE WORLD POPULATION ORDERED BY POPULATION SIZE,
1950, 2015, 2050 AND 2100 (MEDIUM VARIANT)
Rank
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
9.
10.
11.
12.
13.
14.
15.
16.
17.
18.
19.
20.
21.
Country or area
China
India
United States of America
Russian Federation
Japan
Germany
Indonesia
Brazil
United Kingdom
Italy
France
Bangladesh
Nigeria
Pakistan
Ukraine
Spain
Mexico
Poland
Viet Nam
Turkey
Egypt
Population in
1950
(millions)
544
376
158
103
82
70
70
54
51
47
42
38
38
38
37
28
28
25
25
21
21
Cumulated
percentage
21.5
36.5
42.7
46.8
50.0
52.8
55.5
57.7
59.7
61.5
63.2
64.7
66.2
67.7
69.2
70.3
71.4
72.4
73.3
74.2
75.0
Rank
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
9.
10.
11.
12.
13.
14.
15.
16.
17.
18.
19.
20.
21.
22.
23.
24.
25.
26.
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2015 Revision, Key Findings and Advance Tables
Country or area
China
India
United States of America
Indonesia
Brazil
Pakistan
Nigeria
Bangladesh
Russian Federation
Mexico
Japan
Philippines
Ethiopia
Viet Nam
Egypt
Germany
Iran (Islamic Republic of)
Turkey
Dem. Rep. of the Congo
Thailand
United Kingdom
France
Italy
South Africa
Myanmar
United Rep. of Tanzania
Population in
2015
(millions)
1 376
1 311
322
258
208
189
182
161
143
127
127
101
99
93
92
81
79
79
77
68
65
64
60
54
54
53
Cumulated
percentage
18.7
36.6
40.9
44.4
47.3
49.8
52.3
54.5
56.5
58.2
59.9
61.3
62.6
63.9
65.2
66.3
67.3
68.4
69.5
70.4
71.3
72.1
72.9
73.7
74.4
75.1
23 TABLE S.3 (continued)
Rank
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
9.
10.
11.
12.
13.
14.
15.
16.
17.
18.
19.
20.
21.
22.
23.
24.
25.
26.
27.
28.
29.
30.
31.
Country or area
India
China
Nigeria
United States of America
Indonesia
Pakistan
Brazil
Bangladesh
Dem. Rep. of the Congo
Ethiopia
Mexico
Egypt
Philippines
United Rep. of Tanzania
Russian Federation
Viet Nam
Japan
Uganda
Turkey
Kenya
Iran (Islamic Republic of)
Iraq
Sudan
United Kingdom
Germany
Niger
France
Mozambique
South Africa
Angola
Myanmar
Population in
2050
(millions)
1 705
1 348
399
389
321
310
238
202
195
188
164
151
148
137
129
113
107
102
96
96
92
84
80
75
75
72
71
66
66
65
64
Cumulated
percentage
17.5
31.4
35.5
39.5
42.8
46.0
48.4
50.5
52.5
54.5
56.1
57.7
59.2
60.6
62.0
63.1
64.2
65.3
66.3
67.2
68.2
69.0
69.9
70.6
71.4
72.2
72.9
73.6
74.2
74.9
75.6
Rank
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
9.
10.
11.
12.
13.
14.
15.
16.
17.
18.
19.
20.
21.
22.
23.
24.
25.
26.
27.
28.
29.
30.
31.
Country or area
India
China
Nigeria
United States of America
Dem. Rep. of the Congo
Pakistan
Indonesia
United Rep. of Tanzania
Ethiopia
Niger
Uganda
Egypt
Brazil
Bangladesh
Philippines
Iraq
Kenya
Mexico
Angola
Mozambique
Sudan
Russian Federation
Madagascar
Viet Nam
Zambia
Côte d'Ivoire
Mali
Turkey
Malawi
Japan
Cameroon
Population in
2100
(millions)
1 660
1 004
752
450
389
364
314
299
243
209
203
201
200
170
169
164
157
148
139
128
127
117
105
105
105
101
93
88
87
83
82
Cumulated
percentage
14.8
23.8
30.5
34.5
38.0
41.2
44.0
46.7
48.8
50.7
52.5
54.3
56.1
57.6
59.1
60.6
62.0
63.3
64.5
65.7
66.8
67.8
68.8
69.7
70.7
71.6
72.4
73.2
73.9
74.7
75.4
Source: United Nations, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division (2015). World Population Prospects: The 2015 Revision.
New York: United Nations.
.
24
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2015 Revision, Key Findings and Advance Tables
TABLE S.4. COUNTRIES ACCOUNTING FOR 75 PER CENT OF THE ANNUAL POPULATION INCREASE IN THE WORLD, 1950-1955, 2010-2015 AND 2045-2050 (MEDIUM VARIANT)
Rank
Country or area
Annual
population
increase 19501955 (millions)
Cumulated
percentage
Rank
Country or area
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
9.
10.
11.
12.
13.
14.
15.
16.
17.
China
India
United States of America
Brazil
Russian Federation
Indonesia
Japan
Mexico
Bangladesh
Philippines
Viet Nam
Nigeria
Turkey
Thailand
Pakistan
Egypt
Ukraine
10.892
6.591
2.597
1.736
1.711
1.557
1.238
0.919
0.845
0.720
0.668
0.653
0.603
0.600
0.577
0.552
0.544
23.4
37.5
43.1
46.8
50.5
53.8
56.4
58.4
60.2
61.8
63.2
64.6
65.9
67.2
68.4
69.6
70.8
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
9.
10.
11.
12.
13.
14.
15.
16.
17.
India
China
Nigeria
Pakistan
Indonesia
United States of America
Ethiopia
Dem. Republic of the Congo
Egypt
Bangladesh
Brazil
Mexico
United Republic of Tanzania
Philippines
Turkey
Uganda
Kenya
18.
19.
Poland
Iran (Islamic Republic of)
0.489
0.435
71.8
72.8
18.
19.
20.
21.
Canada
Republic of Korea
0.399
0.391
73.6
74.4
22.
Colombia
0.377
75.3
WORLD
46.633
100.0
Annual
population
increase
2010-2015
(millions)
Cumulated
percentage
16.013
7.016
4.555
3.776
3.190
2.379
2.366
2.266
1.893
1.876
1.847
1.680
1.564
1.532
1.271
1.177
1.144
19.1
27.4
32.9
37.4
41.2
44.0
46.8
49.5
51.8
54.0
56.2
58.2
60.1
61.9
63.4
64.8
66.2
Iraq
Viet Nam
1.111
1.018
67.5
68.7
20.
21.
Iran (Islamic Republic of)
Afghanistan
0.971
0.913
69.9
70.9
22.
23.
24.
25.
26.
Sudan
Angola
Mozambique
Algeria
Niger
0.824
0.760
0.731
0.726
0.721
71.9
72.8
73.7
74.6
75.4
83.949
100.0
WORLD
Rank
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
9.
10.
11.
12.
13.
14.
15.
16.
Country or area
Annual
population
increase 20452050 (millions)
Nigeria
India
Dem. Republic of the Congo
United Republic of Tanzania
Pakistan
Ethiopia
Niger
Uganda
Egypt
Iraq
Kenya
United States of America
Angola
Mozambique
Sudan
Philippines
WORLD
Source: United Nations, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division (2015). World Population Prospects: The 2015 Revision. New York: United Nations.
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2015 Revision, Key Findings and Advance Tables
25 Cumulated
percentage
7.222
6.343
4.026
2.975
2.910
2.358
2.143
2.137
1.609
1.579
1.547
1.478
1.425
1.307
1.195
1.068
13.3
25.0
32.4
37.9
43.3
47.6
51.6
55.5
58.5
61.4
64.2
67.0
69.6
72.0
74.2
76.2
54.251
100.0
TABLE S.5. COUNTRIES WHOSE POPULATION IS PROJECTED TO DECREASE BETWEEN 2015 AND 2050
(MEDIUM VARIANT)
Population (thousands)
Rank
Country or area
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
9.
10.
11.
12.
13.
14.
15.
16.
17.
18.
19.
20.
21.
22.
23.
24.
25.
26.
27.
Bulgaria
Romania
Ukraine
Republic of Moldova
Bosnia and Herzegovina
Latvia
Lithuania
Serbia
Croatia
Hungary
Japan
Belarus
Poland
Estonia
Georgia
Greece
Other non-specified areas
Portugal
Russian Federation
Slovakia
Martinique
Armenia
Cuba
United States Virgin Islands
Puerto Rico
Montenegro
Thailand
28.
29.
30.
31.
32.
33.
34.
35.
36.
37.
38.
39.
40.
41.
42.
43.
Germany
TFYR Macedonia
Albania
Slovenia
Italy
Czech Republic
Trinidad and Tobago
Lebanon
Jamaica
Spain
Aruba
China
Mauritius
Malta
Barbados
St. Vincent and the Grenadines
Difference
2015
2050
Absolute
Percentage
7 150
19 511
44 824
4 069
3 810
1 971
2 878
8 851
4 240
9 855
126 574
9 496
38 612
1 313
4 000
10 955
23 381
10 350
143 457
5 426
396
3 018
11 390
106
3 683
626
67 959
5 154
15 207
35 117
3 243
3 069
1 593
2 375
7 331
3 554
8 318
107 411
8 125
33 136
1 129
3 483
9 705
20 778
9 216
128 599
4 892
358
2 729
10 339
97
3 367
574
62 452
-1 996
-4 305
-9 707
- 826
- 742
- 377
- 503
-1 520
- 686
-1 537
-19 162
-1 371
-5 475
- 184
- 517
-1 249
-2 603
-1 134
-14 858
- 534
- 38
- 289
-1 051
-9
- 316
- 51
-5 507
-27.9
-22.1
-21.7
-20.3
-19.5
-19.1
-17.5
-17.2
-16.2
-15.6
-15.1
-14.4
-14.2
-14.0
-12.9
-11.4
-11.1
-11.0
-10.4
-9.8
-9.7
-9.6
-9.2
-8.9
-8.6
-8.2
-8.1
80 689
2 078
2 897
2 068
59 798
10 543
1 360
5 851
2 793
46 122
104
1376 049
1 273
419
284
109
74 513
1 938
2 710
1 942
56 513
9 965
1 291
5 610
2 710
44 840
102
1348 056
1 249
411
282
109
- 6 176
- 141
- 186
- 126
-3 285
- 578
- 69
- 241
- 84
-1 282
-2
-27 993
- 24
-8
-3
0
-7.7
-6.8
-6.4
-6.1
-5.5
-5.5
-5.1
-4.1
-3.0
-2.8
-2.3
-2.0
-1.9
-1.8
-0.9
-0.3
Source: United Nations, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division (2015). World Population
Prospects: The 2015 Revision. New York: United Nations.
NOTE: Only countries or areas with 90,000 persons or more in 2015 are considered
26
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2015 Revision, Key Findings and Advance Tables
TABLE S.6. PERCENTAGE DISTRIBUTION OF THE POPULATION IN SELECTED AGE GROUPS BY COUNTRY, 2015, 2050 AND 2100 (MEDIUM VARIANT)
2015
2050
2100
Country or area
0-14
15-59
60+
80+
0-14
15-59
60+
80+
0-14
15-59
60+
80+
World................................................
Afghanistan .......................................
Albania ..............................................
Algeria ...............................................
Angola ...............................................
Antigua and Barbuda .........................
Argentina ...........................................
Armenia .............................................
Aruba .................................................
Australia ............................................
Austria ...............................................
Azerbaijan .........................................
Bahamas ............................................
Bahrain ..............................................
Bangladesh ........................................
Barbados ............................................
Belarus...............................................
Belgium .............................................
Belize ................................................
Benin .................................................
Bhutan ...............................................
Bolivia (Plurinational State of) ..........
Bosnia and Herzegovina ....................
Botswana ...........................................
Brazil .................................................
Brunei Darussalam ............................
Bulgaria .............................................
Burkina Faso .....................................
Burundi..............................................
Cabo Verde........................................
Cambodia ..........................................
Cameroon ..........................................
Canada ...............................................
Central African Republic...................
Chad ..................................................
Channel Islands .................................
Chile ..................................................
China .................................................
China, Hong Kong SAR ....................
China, Macao SAR ............................
Colombia ...........................................
Comoros ............................................
Congo ................................................
Costa Rica .........................................
Côte d'Ivoire ......................................
Croatia ...............................................
26.1
44.0
18.5
28.5
47.7
24.2
25.2
18.4
18.3
18.7
14.2
21.9
20.9
21.5
29.4
19.4
16.1
16.9
32.5
42.2
26.9
32.4
13.5
32.0
23.0
23.1
14.1
45.6
44.8
29.7
31.6
42.5
16.0
39.1
47.7
14.7
20.1
17.2
12.0
13.0
24.3
40.3
42.6
22.3
42.5
14.9
61.7
52.0
63.7
62.5
48.5
65.1
59.7
65.3
63.2
60.9
61.6
68.0
66.5
74.7
63.6
60.8
63.6
58.9
61.6
53.2
65.8
58.3
64.1
62.1
65.2
69.3
58.9
50.6
51.0
63.7
61.6
52.6
61.7
55.1
48.3
61.7
64.2
67.6
66.3
72.2
64.9
55.1
51.8
64.9
52.7
59.2
12.3
4.0
17.8
9.0
3.8
10.8
15.1
16.3
18.5
20.4
24.2
10.0
12.5
3.9
7.0
19.8
20.3
24.1
5.9
4.6
7.4
9.2
22.4
5.9
11.7
7.6
26.9
3.8
4.2
6.7
6.8
4.8
22.3
5.9
4.0
23.6
15.7
15.2
21.7
14.8
10.8
4.6
5.5
12.8
4.8
25.9
1.7
0.2
2.4
1.2
0.3
1.6
2.7
2.9
2.0
3.9
5.1
1.3
1.5
0.3
0.9
3.4
3.6
5.5
0.6
0.3
1.0
1.5
3.4
0.5
1.5
0.7
4.5
0.2
0.3
1.2
0.5
0.4
4.2
0.5
0.3
4.5
2.7
1.6
4.3
1.8
1.3
0.3
0.5
1.9
0.3
4.8
21.3
24.9
14.4
19.8
37.6
17.6
19.0
14.4
14.7
17.2
13.5
18.6
16.3
13.5
17.2
17.1
16.9
16.2
21.2
31.3
15.8
22.4
11.4
21.9
15.0
14.9
14.7
34.9
36.9
18.1
21.7
31.8
14.9
28.1
36.4
13.6
14.3
13.5
12.0
14.2
15.7
30.1
34.3
14.8
34.9
13.3
57.2
66.1
54.7
57.2
56.9
57.5
57.4
52.5
56.5
54.5
49.4
57.0
56.5
62.8
61.3
51.8
53.5
51.3
64.1
60.7
59.6
60.6
48.0
62.4
55.7
54.2
48.8
58.7
56.3
61.4
60.7
60.1
52.6
61.9
58.2
51.5
52.8
50.0
47.0
51.3
56.7
60.7
57.4
54.8
58.5
49.8
21.5
9.0
30.9
23.0
5.5
24.9
23.6
33.1
28.8
28.3
37.1
24.4
27.1
23.7
21.5
31.1
29.7
32.6
14.7
7.9
24.5
17.0
40.5
15.7
29.3
30.9
36.4
6.4
6.8
20.5
17.6
8.1
32.4
10.0
5.4
34.9
32.9
36.5
40.9
34.5
27.6
9.2
8.3
30.4
6.5
36.8
4.5
0.6
9.0
3.9
0.5
6.8
5.1
7.1
8.1
8.3
12.9
3.8
6.7
3.3
3.6
8.8
6.0
10.6
1.5
0.5
3.8
3.0
10.1
1.4
6.7
6.2
7.6
0.4
0.6
2.8
2.6
0.7
10.6
0.8
0.4
10.9
10.3
8.9
15.0
9.0
6.2
0.7
0.9
8.0
0.4
10.1
17.7
16.0
13.2
15.2
23.5
14.9
15.1
13.7
14.8
15.3
14.3
16.1
14.8
12.8
14.2
15.9
16.4
15.4
16.3
21.2
14.1
15.7
13.2
16.5
13.8
13.5
15.1
22.7
24.3
14.1
15.1
21.0
14.8
18.5
22.7
13.8
13.4
13.4
14.3
15.4
14.0
20.0
23.4
13.6
24.2
13.7
54.0
57.2
45.1
50.7
60.6
50.0
50.1
48.1
49.2
50.0
47.7
53.6
50.1
51.9
48.7
49.4
54.3
49.4
54.9
60.7
48.5
52.7
46.9
55.4
47.4
46.9
50.9
60.6
59.9
48.9
51.1
59.0
49.2
57.5
60.7
48.9
45.9
46.9
47.6
50.0
48.0
59.2
58.6
46.9
59.7
47.5
28.3
26.8
41.7
34.1
15.9
35.1
34.7
38.2
36.0
34.8
38.0
30.3
35.1
35.3
37.1
34.7
29.3
35.3
28.9
18.1
37.4
31.5
39.9
28.2
38.8
39.6
34.0
16.8
15.8
37.0
33.8
20.0
36.0
24.0
16.5
37.3
40.6
39.6
38.1
34.5
38.1
20.8
18.0
39.5
16.1
38.8
8.4
4.2
16.7
12.5
2.3
12.1
12.3
14.9
11.5
13.8
15.4
8.4
12.6
12.5
13.5
12.7
8.9
14.0
6.6
2.2
14.1
9.4
16.0
6.5
15.1
15.7
11.1
2.2
2.6
12.8
10.9
3.6
14.4
5.0
2.2
14.4
18.1
16.5
16.6
13.0
14.2
3.5
3.4
16.1
2.4
15.3
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2015 Revision, Key Findings and Advance Tables
27 TABLE S.6 (continued)
2015
Country or area
Cuba ..................................................
Curaçao .............................................
Cyprus ...............................................
Czech Republic .................................
Dem. People's Rep. of Korea .............
Dem. Republic of the Congo .............
Denmark ............................................
Djibouti .............................................
Dominican Republic ..........................
Ecuador .............................................
Egypt .................................................
El Salvador ........................................
Equatorial Guinea ..............................
Eritrea ................................................
Estonia ...............................................
Ethiopia .............................................
Fiji .....................................................
Finland...............................................
France ................................................
French Guiana ...................................
French Polynesia ...............................
Gabon ................................................
Gambia ..............................................
Georgia ..............................................
Germany ............................................
Ghana ................................................
Greece ...............................................
Grenada .............................................
Guadeloupe .......................................
Guam .................................................
Guatemala .........................................
Guinea ...............................................
Guinea-Bissau ...................................
Guyana ..............................................
Haiti ...................................................
Honduras ...........................................
Hungary .............................................
Iceland ...............................................
India ..................................................
Indonesia ...........................................
Iran (Islamic Republic of) .................
Iraq ....................................................
Ireland ...............................................
Israel ..................................................
Italy ...................................................
Jamaica ..............................................
Japan..................................................
Jordan ................................................
28
0-14
16.3
19.0
16.6
15.0
21.2
46.0
16.9
32.7
30.0
29.0
33.2
27.0
39.3
42.8
16.1
41.4
28.7
16.3
18.5
33.9
22.1
37.1
46.2
17.3
12.9
38.8
14.6
26.5
22.0
25.5
36.6
42.5
40.8
28.8
33.7
31.8
14.6
20.3
28.8
27.7
23.6
41.0
21.8
27.8
13.7
23.6
12.9
35.5
15-59
64.2
59.9
65.5
60.0
66.3
49.4
58.4
61.0
60.3
61.1
58.9
61.5
55.6
53.0
58.7
53.3
62.0
56.5
56.3
58.2
66.3
55.6
50.1
63.4
59.5
55.9
58.4
63.4
57.8
61.5
56.4
52.4
53.9
62.9
59.2
61.0
60.5
60.5
62.3
64.1
68.2
54.0
59.9
56.3
57.7
63.6
54.1
59.0
2050
60+
19.4
21.1
18.0
24.9
12.5
4.6
24.7
6.3
9.7
9.9
7.9
11.5
5.1
4.2
25.2
5.2
9.3
27.2
25.2
7.8
11.6
7.3
3.7
19.3
27.6
5.3
27.0
10.2
20.2
13.0
7.0
5.1
5.3
8.3
7.1
7.2
24.9
19.2
8.9
8.2
8.2
5.0
18.4
15.8
28.6
12.8
33.1
5.4
80+
3.5
3.2
2.8
4.1
1.2
0.3
4.2
0.5
1.6
1.4
0.8
1.8
0.5
0.2
5.2
0.5
0.6
5.1
6.1
0.9
1.3
1.0
0.2
3.6
5.7
0.4
6.4
1.8
3.9
1.6
1.0
0.3
0.3
0.5
0.7
1.1
4.4
3.7
0.9
0.7
0.9
0.5
2.9
3.0
6.8
2.5
7.8
0.5
2100
0-14
12.4
17.2
13.3
14.5
17.1
35.5
16.1
22.2
19.5
19.5
25.7
16.5
29.6
29.6
15.4
25.9
21.0
15.6
16.8
25.0
16.0
27.0
35.6
15.8
12.4
29.7
12.4
17.6
16.7
18.2
24.2
32.4
31.2
21.1
22.6
18.3
13.8
15.9
15-59
47.9
54.1
53.5
48.5
58.5
58.0
54.0
62.4
59.4
58.7
59.1
59.4
61.2
61.2
49.5
63.7
59.1
52.1
51.4
57.9
55.7
61.2
58.5
51.2
48.3
60.7
46.9
57.2
49.3
57.0
61.6
60.1
60.5
65.1
62.0
62.2
51.6
53.3
60+
39.7
28.7
33.2
37.0
24.4
6.5
29.9
15.5
21.1
21.8
15.3
24.1
9.2
9.2
35.1
10.4
19.9
32.4
31.8
17.0
28.4
11.8
5.9
33.0
39.3
9.7
40.8
25.1
34.0
24.9
14.2
7.6
8.3
13.8
15.3
19.5
34.6
30.9
80+
14.3
9.4
8.0
9.1
4.2
0.6
9.6
1.5
4.5
4.8
1.8
5.2
1.2
0.6
9.1
1.1
3.2
10.7
11.1
4.0
7.0
1.3
0.4
7.5
14.4
0.7
13.0
3.9
13.4
7.1
2.1
0.5
0.5
2.4
1.7
3.2
7.4
9.6
0-14
13.2
15.4
14.1
14.8
15.4
22.1
15.5
16.9
14.5
14.4
17.2
13.1
18.6
18.9
15.0
16.2
15.3
14.8
15.5
17.6
13.8
18.3
21.7
14.5
13.4
20.8
13.2
13.0
13.5
14.1
16.0
20.8
21.5
16.0
16.4
14.1
14.5
14.1
15-59
45.4
49.7
48.7
49.7
51.6
59.8
49.7
56.0
49.3
49.2
55.0
45.4
57.5
58.1
50.0
54.8
50.9
48.8
48.6
52.5
47.5
56.7
61.7
49.5
46.9
60.4
46.4
46.7
44.8
47.6
53.1
58.7
60.8
54.5
54.3
48.9
50.2
47.3
60+
41.4
34.9
37.2
35.5
33.0
18.1
34.8
27.1
36.2
36.4
27.8
41.5
23.9
23.0
35.0
29.0
33.8
36.4
35.9
29.9
38.7
25.0
16.6
36.0
39.7
18.8
40.4
40.2
41.7
38.3
30.8
20.5
17.7
29.5
29.3
37.0
35.3
38.6
80+
18.2
12.7
14.6
13.7
9.1
3.0
12.6
5.5
12.4
13.2
7.3
15.7
5.2
4.6
13.2
7.2
10.4
14.5
14.7
10.6
15.1
5.7
1.8
13.7
16.2
2.5
17.9
15.1
19.0
15.4
9.1
3.7
2.1
5.6
7.1
12.7
11.8
16.2
19.1
61.5
19.4
2.8
14.7
51.2
34.1
10.3
20.0
14.9
33.0
17.6
22.5
13.0
16.1
12.4
23.7
60.8
53.9
58.2
51.4
55.6
46.3
55.9
45.1
60.5
19.2
31.2
8.8
31.0
21.9
40.7
28.0
42.5
15.8
2.3
3.8
0.8
8.5
5.8
15.6
6.5
15.1
2.0
16.4
13.8
22.6
15.4
16.1
13.7
12.9
13.4
15.5
54.6
49.6
58.9
49.5
50.8
46.4
45.4
45.6
53.0
29.0
36.6
18.4
35.2
33.0
39.9
41.6
40.9
31.5
6.4
13.5
3.4
14.5
12.9
17.9
15.8
18.5
9.2
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2015 Revision, Key Findings and Advance Tables
TABLE S.6. (continued)
2015
Country or area
Kazakhstan ........................................
Kenya ................................................
Kiribati ..............................................
Kuwait ...............................................
Kyrgyzstan ........................................
Lao People's Dem. Republic..............
Latvia ................................................
Lebanon .............................................
Lesotho ..............................................
Liberia ...............................................
Libya .................................................
Lithuania ...........................................
Luxembourg ......................................
Madagascar .......................................
Malawi...............................................
Malaysia ............................................
Maldives ............................................
Mali ...................................................
Malta .................................................
Martinique .........................................
Mauritania .........................................
Mauritius ...........................................
Mayotte .............................................
Mexico...............................................
Micronesia (Fed. States of)................
Mongolia ...........................................
Montenegro .......................................
Morocco ............................................
Mozambique ......................................
Myanmar ...........................................
Namibia .............................................
Nepal .................................................
Netherlands .......................................
New Caledonia ..................................
New Zealand .....................................
Nicaragua ..........................................
Niger..................................................
Nigeria ...............................................
Norway ..............................................
Oman .................................................
Pakistan .............................................
Panama ..............................................
Papua New Guinea ............................
Paraguay ............................................
Peru ...................................................
Philippines .........................................
Poland................................................
Portugal .............................................
2050
2100
0-14
26.7
41.9
34.9
22.3
31.4
34.8
14.9
24.0
36.1
42.3
29.8
14.5
16.4
41.7
45.2
15-59
62.6
53.6
59.0
74.2
61.5
59.2
59.4
64.6
57.7
52.9
63.2
60.5
64.5
53.6
49.9
60+
10.7
4.5
6.1
3.4
7.1
6.0
25.7
11.5
6.2
4.8
7.0
25.0
19.1
4.7
4.9
80+
1.1
0.4
0.4
0.2
0.9
0.5
5.0
1.5
0.7
0.3
0.7
5.3
4.0
0.4
0.4
0-14
22.5
30.9
28.2
17.2
24.5
21.6
15.3
14.3
27.1
32.0
18.7
15.7
16.1
32.5
33.9
15-59
58.9
59.5
59.8
62.7
59.4
63.8
51.6
54.9
63.8
60.0
59.5
54.4
54.9
59.2
58.5
60+
18.6
9.6
12.0
20.1
16.1
14.7
33.1
30.8
9.0
8.0
21.8
29.9
29.0
8.2
7.6
80+
2.5
0.8
1.4
1.9
2.0
1.6
7.8
7.5
0.6
0.5
2.8
7.6
8.8
0.8
0.6
0-14
17.2
19.8
20.1
15.1
17.3
14.6
15.5
13.7
18.1
21.4
14.9
16.0
15.4
21.7
22.0
15-59
56.3
58.3
58.7
55.1
55.7
51.0
51.8
45.6
57.9
59.9
51.9
52.3
50.5
58.4
58.4
60+
26.5
21.9
21.2
29.8
27.0
34.4
32.7
40.8
24.0
18.7
33.3
31.7
34.2
19.9
19.6
80+
6.6
4.6
4.0
8.4
6.7
10.1
10.5
16.4
4.6
2.7
10.2
9.5
13.2
4.0
3.7
24.5
66.3
9.2
0.8
16.9
59.6
23.6
3.6
14.7
50.2
35.1
10.9
27.5
47.5
14.4
17.2
40.0
19.3
41.7
27.6
34.1
28.2
18.7
27.2
45.3
27.6
36.7
32.7
16.5
22.2
20.2
30.0
50.5
44.0
18.0
20.5
35.0
27.2
37.1
30.1
27.9
31.9
14.9
14.1
65.7
48.5
60.0
56.6
54.9
65.9
52.7
62.8
58.4
65.4
61.1
63.1
49.6
63.6
57.9
58.7
59.0
63.3
59.5
62.2
45.3
51.5
60.3
75.1
58.4
61.9
57.8
60.9
62.1
60.8
62.4
58.9
6.8
4.0
25.6
26.2
5.1
14.7
5.6
9.6
7.5
6.4
20.3
9.6
5.1
8.9
5.5
8.6
24.5
14.5
20.3
7.8
4.2
4.5
21.8
4.4
6.6
10.9
5.1
9.0
10.0
7.3
22.7
27.1
0.8
0.3
3.5
5.4
0.4
1.7
0.7
1.5
0.7
0.7
2.8
1.1
0.4
0.8
0.5
0.7
4.4
1.9
3.6
1.2
0.2
0.2
4.2
0.4
0.6
1.8
0.3
1.1
1.4
0.6
4.0
5.9
16.5
36.8
13.1
14.7
31.1
13.8
26.9
16.9
23.3
21.2
14.9
18.8
35.2
18.8
26.8
17.4
15.1
17.2
16.7
17.3
43.9
35.2
16.8
16.0
25.0
18.9
27.5
20.5
18.5
23.7
12.4
11.7
58.2
57.4
50.7
49.4
59.9
55.6
59.8
58.4
64.4
57.7
54.6
57.8
58.6
62.4
62.2
64.6
51.6
57.8
53.9
59.4
52.1
58.4
53.7
59.4
62.1
57.5
62.5
61.2
58.3
62.3
48.2
47.1
25.3
5.8
36.2
35.9
9.0
30.6
13.3
24.7
12.2
21.1
30.5
23.4
6.2
18.8
11.0
17.9
33.2
24.9
29.4
23.4
4.1
6.3
29.5
24.5
12.9
23.5
10.0
18.3
23.2
14.0
39.3
41.2
3.7
0.4
10.4
18.0
0.7
7.4
2.6
5.4
1.3
4.3
6.6
4.1
0.6
2.1
1.2
2.4
11.8
5.8
9.8
4.4
0.3
0.3
8.8
3.5
1.3
5.6
0.9
3.0
4.8
1.6
9.7
13.8
13.6
21.8
14.1
14.0
22.3
14.2
15.9
13.5
16.7
16.7
14.3
14.6
22.5
16.6
17.7
13.1
14.9
15.0
14.4
13.3
26.5
23.6
15.6
13.5
16.8
14.8
19.5
15.3
14.0
17.2
13.3
12.8
48.2
59.7
46.6
44.6
60.3
48.3
51.9
46.7
53.6
52.1
48.9
49.3
59.4
55.5
57.1
47.1
48.5
50.1
48.2
46.6
60.9
61.0
50.1
49.2
56.9
49.9
59.9
52.2
48.5
56.7
47.2
45.8
38.1
18.5
39.2
41.4
17.4
37.5
32.2
39.8
29.7
31.1
36.8
36.1
18.1
27.9
25.1
39.8
36.6
34.9
37.4
40.0
12.6
15.3
34.3
37.3
26.2
35.3
20.6
32.5
37.5
26.1
39.4
41.3
15.0
3.1
15.2
18.5
2.2
13.3
11.5
15.7
6.4
12.5
12.6
12.6
3.1
5.3
5.3
13.4
14.3
12.4
15.2
15.8
1.5
1.7
13.0
15.6
5.3
12.7
3.3
9.3
14.0
5.1
16.4
18.4
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2015 Revision, Key Findings and Advance Tables
29 TABLE S.6 (continued)
2015
Country or area
Puerto Rico ........................................
Qatar ..................................................
Republic of Korea .............................
Republic of Moldova .........................
Réunion .............................................
Romania ............................................
Russian Federation ............................
Rwanda..............................................
Saint Lucia ........................................
St. Vincent and the Grenadines .........
Samoa ................................................
Sao Tome and Principe......................
Saudi Arabia ......................................
Senegal ..............................................
Serbia ................................................
Seychelles ..........................................
Sierra Leone ......................................
Singapore...........................................
Slovakia .............................................
Slovenia .............................................
Solomon Islands ................................
Somalia..............................................
South Africa ......................................
South Sudan ......................................
Spain..................................................
Sri Lanka ...........................................
State of Palestine ...............................
Sudan .................................................
Suriname ...........................................
Swaziland ..........................................
Sweden ..............................................
Switzerland ........................................
Syrian Arab Republic ........................
Tajikistan ...........................................
TFYR Macedonia ..............................
Thailand.............................................
Timor-Leste .......................................
Togo ..................................................
Tonga ................................................
Trinidad and Tobago .........................
Tunisia ...............................................
Turkey ...............................................
Turkmenistan.....................................
Uganda ..............................................
Ukraine ..............................................
United Arab Emirates ........................
United Kingdom ................................
United Republic of Tanzania .............
30
0-14
18.9
15.5
14.0
15.7
23.6
15.5
16.8
41.1
23.1
24.5
37.3
42.6
28.6
43.8
16.3
23.4
42.4
15.5
15.1
14.8
39.5
46.7
29.2
42.1
14.9
24.6
40.2
40.5
26.8
37.4
17.3
14.8
37.1
34.8
17.0
17.7
42.4
42.2
36.8
20.8
23.4
25.7
28.2
48.1
14.9
13.9
17.8
45.2
15-59
61.5
82.2
67.5
67.7
61.2
60.1
63.2
54.4
64.3
64.5
54.8
52.9
66.4
51.7
59.3
65.6
53.2
66.6
64.3
60.0
55.3
48.8
63.0
52.8
60.7
61.5
55.3
54.3
63.0
57.1
57.2
61.7
56.4
60.1
64.5
66.5
50.4
53.3
55.1
65.0
65.0
63.1
64.9
48.1
62.5
83.7
59.2
50.0
2050
60+
19.6
2.3
18.5
16.6
15.1
24.4
20.0
4.5
12.5
10.9
7.9
4.4
5.0
4.5
24.4
10.9
4.4
17.9
20.5
25.2
5.2
4.5
7.7
5.1
24.4
13.9
4.5
5.2
10.2
5.5
25.5
23.6
6.4
5.0
18.5
15.8
7.2
4.5
8.2
14.2
11.7
11.2
6.9
3.8
22.6
2.3
23.0
4.8
80+
3.7
0.1
2.8
2.2
2.3
4.1
3.1
0.5
2.3
1.6
1.1
0.7
0.5
0.3
3.7
1.8
0.2
2.4
3.0
4.9
0.4
0.3
1.0
0.4
5.9
1.5
0.4
0.4
1.3
0.4
5.1
5.0
0.7
0.6
2.3
2.1
0.5
0.2
1.4
1.6
1.6
1.4
0.8
0.4
3.4
0.1
4.7
0.5
0-14
13.5
12.2
11.4
12.7
16.1
14.3
17.7
25.8
15.2
16.3
28.1
31.2
18.7
34.1
14.6
18.5
29.3
11.0
13.7
14.5
28.2
38.0
21.4
31.9
12.7
17.3
28.8
30.1
19.0
27.5
17.4
14.6
21.8
27.0
14.3
12.7
32.6
32.3
27.5
16.3
17.4
16.7
19.4
36.0
15.9
11.7
16.6
35.9
15-59
52.7
68.0
47.1
53.7
53.1
49.3
53.5
62.1
57.4
58.0
57.8
59.2
60.4
57.8
53.1
54.1
63.1
48.6
50.1
46.5
61.1
56.8
63.3
60.5
45.9
54.1
60.9
60.7
59.6
64.8
53.0
50.9
61.8
59.8
52.9
50.2
59.3
59.5
59.5
55.5
56.1
56.6
62.4
58.0
52.6
64.8
52.7
56.9
2100
60+
33.8
19.8
41.5
33.6
30.9
36.4
28.8
12.0
27.3
25.6
14.1
9.6
20.9
8.1
32.3
27.4
7.7
40.4
36.2
39.0
10.8
5.2
15.4
7.5
41.4
28.6
10.4
9.2
21.4
7.7
29.6
34.5
16.4
13.2
32.8
37.1
8.1
8.1
12.9
28.2
26.5
26.6
18.2
6.0
31.5
23.5
30.7
7.2
80+
9.8
3.1
13.9
4.8
10.8
8.7
5.1
1.2
6.4
5.1
3.5
0.9
2.7
0.7
7.1
6.0
0.4
13.8
7.6
12.2
1.0
0.4
2.0
0.6
14.0
6.6
1.2
0.9
3.8
0.7
9.5
11.7
2.0
1.8
6.9
9.9
1.0
0.5
2.5
4.6
4.8
5.4
2.0
0.5
5.5
4.1
9.7
0.8
0-14
13.1
12.9
13.3
14.4
13.4
14.4
17.0
15.5
13.7
13.6
17.3
21.4
14.7
22.4
14.5
15.3
19.4
10.6
14.4
14.7
18.6
24.6
16.6
21.3
13.3
13.5
18.3
20.6
15.3
17.9
16.0
14.9
15.1
18.0
14.4
13.3
18.7
21.6
18.3
15.4
14.9
14.0
16.4
22.3
16.2
13.4
15.2
23.7
15-59
45.5
52.8
45.0
51.6
45.0
49.3
55.5
54.4
47.8
47.9
52.3
58.8
51.8
57.5
48.9
50.4
61.0
43.1
49.6
48.7
57.1
61.4
55.6
61.2
46.8
46.6
56.1
59.6
51.8
58.1
50.4
48.8
52.2
57.1
48.9
46.3
57.7
59.6
54.0
53.1
50.6
48.2
56.2
59.9
55.1
53.3
49.7
58.6
60+
41.4
34.3
41.6
34.0
41.6
36.3
27.5
30.2
38.6
38.5
30.3
19.9
33.5
20.1
36.6
34.3
19.6
46.4
35.9
36.5
24.3
14.0
27.8
17.5
39.9
40.0
25.6
19.8
32.9
23.9
33.6
36.3
32.7
24.9
36.6
40.4
23.6
18.8
27.7
31.5
34.5
37.7
27.4
17.8
28.7
33.3
35.1
17.6
80+
17.7
13.1
17.7
10.0
18.1
12.7
7.5
7.6
14.2
12.4
10.1
3.5
10.3
4.6
12.3
12.0
2.1
21.7
12.8
15.3
5.1
1.5
6.8
2.1
17.8
15.2
6.4
3.1
9.4
4.5
13.0
14.7
9.4
6.0
12.7
15.8
4.9
3.0
7.9
8.9
11.8
14.0
5.8
2.9
7.6
12.0
13.7
3.4
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2015 Revision, Key Findings and Advance Tables
TABLE S.6. (continued)
2015
Country or area
United States of America...................
United States Virgin Islands ..............
Uruguay .............................................
Uzbekistan .........................................
Vanuatu .............................................
Venezuela (Bolivarian Republic
of) ......................................................
Viet Nam ...........................................
Western Sahara ..................................
Yemen ...............................................
Zambia...............................................
Zimbabwe ..........................................
Other non-specified areas ..................
2050
2100
0-14
19.0
20.4
21.4
28.5
36.5
15-59
60.4
55.6
59.4
64.1
57.0
60+
20.7
24.1
19.1
7.4
6.5
80+
3.8
3.0
4.3
1.0
0.5
0-14
17.5
16.0
16.7
20.1
26.4
15-59
54.7
51.8
55.8
60.8
59.4
60+
27.9
32.1
27.5
19.1
14.2
80+
8.3
13.0
7.0
2.5
1.9
0-14
16.3
12.7
14.5
16.0
17.7
15-59
51.1
43.5
48.6
55.1
54.5
60+
32.6
43.8
36.9
28.9
27.8
80+
11.5
19.6
13.7
7.1
7.7
28.1
23.1
25.7
40.3
45.9
41.6
13.6
62.5
66.6
68.8
55.1
49.8
54.0
67.8
9.4
10.3
5.5
4.7
4.3
4.4
18.6
1.2
2.0
0.3
0.3
0.4
0.5
3.1
19.0
17.2
17.1
25.2
37.3
28.5
10.0
59.1
54.9
60.9
64.8
56.2
61.4
45.6
21.9
27.9
22.0
9.9
6.6
10.2
44.3
4.6
6.2
2.6
0.6
0.5
0.7
14.4
14.7
15.4
14.8
15.9
26.3
17.8
12.7
50.0
50.0
52.0
57.5
58.6
57.0
43.8
35.3
34.5
33.1
26.6
15.1
25.2
43.5
12.2
12.9
9.8
4.4
2.6
5.7
19.7
Source: United Nations, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division (2015). World Population Prospects: The 2015
Revision. New York: United Nations.
NOTE: Only countries or areas with 90,000 persons or more in 2015 are considered.
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2015 Revision, Key Findings and Advance Tables
31 TABLE S.7. TEN COUNTRIES WITH THE OLDEST AND THE YOUNGEST POPULATIONS, 1950, 1980, 2015, 2030 AND 2050
(MEDIUM VARIANT)
1950
Country or area
1980
Median
age
(years)
Country or area
2015
Median
age
(years)
2030
Country or area
Median
age
(years)
Country or area
2050
Median age
(years)
Country or area
Median age
(years)
A. Oldest populations
1.
Channel Islands
35.7
1.
Germany
36.4
1.
Japan
46.5
1.
Japan
51.5
1.
Other non-specified areas
56.2
2.
Austria
35.7
2.
Sweden
36.2
2.
Germany
46.2
2.
Italy
50.8
2.
Republic of Korea
53.9
3.
Belgium
35.5
3.
Austria
35.0
3.
Martinique
46.1
3.
Portugal
50.2
3.
Japan
53.3
4.
Germany
35.3
4.
Luxembourg
35.0
4.
Italy
45.9
4.
Spain
50.1
4.
Bosnia and Herzegovina
53.2
5.
Luxembourg
35.0
5.
Latvia
35.0
5.
Portugal
44.0
5.
Greece
48.9
5.
Singapore
53.0
6.
United Kingdom
34.9
6.
Channel Islands
34.9
6.
Greece
43.6
6.
China, Hong Kong SAR
48.6
6.
China, Hong Kong SAR
52.7
7.
France
34.7
7.
Switzerland
34.6
7.
Bulgaria
43.5
7.
Germany
48.6
7.
Portugal
52.5
8.
Sweden
34.2
8.
Hungary
34.4
8.
Austria
43.2
8.
Other non-specified areas
48.1
8.
Greece
52.3
9.
Switzerland
33.2
9.
United Kingdom
34.4
9.
China, Hong Kong SAR
43.2
9.
Slovenia
48.1
9.
Cuba
51.9
Norway
32.6
10.
Denmark
34.3
10.
Spain
43.2
10.
Republic of Korea
47.5
10.
Poland
51.8
10.
B. Youngest populations
1.
15.2
1.
Kenya
15.0
1.
Niger
14.8
1.
Niger
15.2
1.
Niger
17.8
2.
Niger
St. Vincent and the
Grenadines
15.4
2.
State of Palestine
15.1
2.
Uganda
15.9
2.
Somalia
17.7
2.
Somalia
20.8
3.
Tonga
15.5
3.
Yemen
15.3
3.
Chad
16.0
3.
Angola
17.7
3.
Angola
21.0
4.
Grenada
16.3
4.
Mayotte
15.4
4.
Angola
16.1
4.
Chad
17.9
4.
Zambia
21.4
5.
Paraguay
16.5
5.
Jordan
15.5
5.
Mali
16.2
5.
Mali
17.9
5.
Mali
21.4
6.
Djibouti
16.5
6.
Zimbabwe
15.5
6.
Somalia
16.5
6.
Uganda
18.1
6.
Chad
21.7
7.
Samoa
16.6
7.
Swaziland
15.6
7.
Gambia
16.8
7.
Gambia
18.3
7.
Burundi
21.8
8.
Fiji
16.6
8.
Syrian Arab Republic
15.6
8.
Zambia
16.9
8.
Burundi
18.5
8.
Uganda
21.9
9.
Vanuatu
16.8
9.
Zambia
15.9
9.
Dem. Republic of the Congo
16.9
9.
Zambia
18.5
9.
Gambia
22.1
United Republic of Tanzania
16.9
10.
Rwanda
16.0
10.
Burkina Faso
17.0
10.
Dem. Republic of the Congo
18.6
10.
United Republic of Tanzania
22.2
WORLD
23.5
WORLD
22.5
WORLD
29.6
WORLD
33.1
WORLD
36.1
10.
Source: United Nations, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division (2015). World Population Prospects: The 2015 Revision. New York: United Nations.
NOTE: Only countries or areas with 90,000 persons or more in 2015 are considered.
32
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2015 Revision, Key Findings and Advance Tables
TABLE S.8. MEDIAN AGE OF THE POPULATION BY COUNTRY, 1950, 1980, 2015, 2050 AND 2100 (MEDIUM VARIANT)
Median age (years)
Country or area
1950
1980
2015
2030
2050
2100
World .....................................................
23.5
22.5
29.6
33.1
36.1
41.7
Afghanistan.............................................
Albania ...................................................
Algeria ....................................................
Angola ....................................................
Antigua and Barbuda ..............................
Argentina ................................................
Armenia ..................................................
Aruba ......................................................
Australia .................................................
Austria ....................................................
Azerbaijan...............................................
Bahamas .................................................
Bahrain ...................................................
Bangladesh .............................................
Barbados .................................................
Belarus ....................................................
Belgium ..................................................
Belize ......................................................
Benin ......................................................
Bhutan.....................................................
Bolivia (Plurinational State of) ...............
Bosnia and Herzegovina .........................
Botswana ................................................
Brazil ......................................................
Brunei Darussalam..................................
Bulgaria ..................................................
Burkina Faso ...........................................
Burundi ...................................................
Cabo Verde .............................................
Cambodia ................................................
Cameroon ...............................................
Canada ....................................................
Central African Republic ........................
Chad........................................................
Channel Islands.......................................
Chile .......................................................
China ......................................................
China, Hong Kong SAR .........................
China, Macao SAR .................................
Colombia ................................................
Comoros .................................................
Congo .....................................................
Costa Rica ...............................................
Côte d'Ivoire ...........................................
Croatia ....................................................
Cuba........................................................
19.4
21.2
19.4
19.4
20.6
25.7
22.4
18.5
30.4
35.7
22.8
20.7
18.9
19.3
24.6
27.2
35.5
20.8
24.2
18.0
20.5
20.0
19.2
19.2
22.4
27.3
19.5
19.5
23.0
18.7
20.3
27.7
22.5
21.5
35.7
22.1
23.7
23.7
26.5
18.7
21.2
20.0
18.2
18.3
27.9
22.3
17.0
21.4
16.7
16.5
22.5
27.3
23.5
26.0
29.4
35.0
21.1
20.2
22.3
17.3
24.3
31.3
34.2
16.4
17.5
18.9
18.7
25.7
16.6
20.2
20.4
34.2
17.1
17.6
16.0
19.1
17.7
29.2
18.9
17.5
34.9
23.1
21.7
25.1
25.5
18.9
17.2
17.5
20.6
17.5
33.5
23.9
17.5
34.3
27.6
16.1
30.9
30.8
34.6
40.2
37.5
43.2
30.9
32.4
30.3
25.6
38.5
39.6
41.5
23.5
18.6
26.7
24.1
41.5
24.2
31.3
30.6
43.5
17.0
17.6
24.5
23.9
18.5
40.6
20.0
16.0
42.6
34.4
37.0
43.2
37.9
30.0
19.7
18.7
31.4
18.4
42.8
41.2
22.5
39.0
31.9
17.7
35.3
34.1
41.4
42.0
39.8
46.5
37.1
37.6
35.6
31.5
41.9
42.8
43.6
28.4
21.1
33.7
28.2
47.2
28.0
37.4
37.8
47.1
19.1
18.5
30.8
28.6
20.8
43.5
22.9
17.9
46.1
40.1
43.2
48.6
43.7
36.4
22.1
20.1
38.0
19.8
46.5
46.4
29.8
47.6
37.1
21.0
40.6
38.6
46.9
45.6
41.4
49.7
38.6
42.0
42.2
39.6
43.4
42.2
44.6
34.0
25.1
41.9
33.6
53.2
33.6
44.8
45.4
47.8
22.7
21.8
38.4
34.5
24.9
45.5
27.7
21.7
48.0
46.9
49.6
52.7
47.0
43.4
26.3
23.3
45.3
22.8
49.6
51.9
43.0
52.3
46.9
32.6
47.2
46.9
50.5
47.7
46.6
49.1
44.2
47.3
47.9
49.0
46.1
43.6
46.9
43.4
35.1
49.0
44.8
51.4
42.9
50.2
50.9
47.0
33.5
31.9
49.0
46.5
35.8
47.6
39.3
33.3
49.0
51.4
51.1
49.2
46.4
49.7
37.0
33.2
50.7
32.1
50.3
52.2
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2015 Revision, Key Findings and Advance Tables
33 TABLE S.8. (continued)
Median age (years)
Country or area
1950
1980
2015
2030
2050
2100
Curaçao ...................................................
Cyprus.....................................................
Czech Republic .......................................
Dem. People's Rep. of Korea ..................
Dem. Republic of the Congo ..................
Denmark .................................................
Djibouti ...................................................
Dominican Republic ...............................
Ecuador ...................................................
Egypt ......................................................
El Salvador .............................................
Equatorial Guinea ...................................
Eritrea .....................................................
Estonia ....................................................
Ethiopia...................................................
Fiji ..........................................................
Finland ....................................................
France .....................................................
French Guiana.........................................
French Polynesia.....................................
Gabon .....................................................
Gambia ...................................................
Georgia ...................................................
Germany .................................................
Ghana......................................................
Greece .....................................................
Grenada...................................................
Guadeloupe .............................................
Guam ......................................................
Guatemala ...............................................
Guinea.....................................................
Guinea-Bissau .........................................
Guyana....................................................
Haiti ........................................................
Honduras.................................................
Hungary ..................................................
Iceland ....................................................
India ........................................................
Indonesia.................................................
Iran (Islamic Republic of) .......................
Iraq..........................................................
Ireland .....................................................
Israel .......................................................
Italy .........................................................
Jamaica ...................................................
Japan .......................................................
Jordan .....................................................
Kazakhstan .............................................
22.6
23.7
32.5
18.0
18.1
31.7
16.5
17.1
20.4
20.8
18.5
23.8
17.3
29.9
17.9
16.6
27.8
34.7
26.6
18.7
28.1
19.5
27.3
35.3
17.4
26.0
16.3
20.9
22.8
17.5
21.9
21.8
20.4
20.2
18.8
30.1
26.5
21.3
20.0
21.9
22.0
30.0
25.5
28.6
22.2
22.3
17.2
23.2
23.3
28.3
33.0
21.9
17.7
34.3
16.5
18.1
18.8
19.8
17.9
17.3
16.9
33.9
17.6
19.5
32.8
32.6
23.1
19.5
21.6
17.8
29.1
36.4
17.0
34.3
18.8
22.0
22.6
17.2
19.1
19.2
17.9
19.1
16.4
34.4
26.9
20.2
19.1
18.1
16.6
26.2
25.0
34.1
19.2
32.6
15.5
23.5
40.5
35.9
41.5
33.9
16.9
41.6
23.6
26.1
26.6
24.7
26.7
20.5
18.6
41.7
18.6
27.6
42.5
41.2
24.5
31.5
21.4
16.8
37.5
46.2
20.6
43.6
27.2
39.4
30.1
21.2
18.5
19.4
24.7
23.0
23.4
41.3
36.0
26.6
28.4
29.5
19.3
36.9
30.3
45.9
29.1
46.5
22.5
29.3
41.0
41.9
46.9
37.3
18.6
42.3
27.7
30.6
31.2
26.5
33.1
22.3
21.7
44.9
22.9
30.5
44.4
43.0
27.6
37.3
24.0
18.3
42.0
48.6
22.7
48.9
33.4
43.0
34.3
25.5
20.5
21.4
29.9
27.2
29.9
45.7
40.1
31.2
31.9
38.3
21.1
41.3
31.8
50.8
35.6
51.5
26.3
31.9
42.9
47.5
48.1
41.0
22.3
44.1
33.4
37.1
37.4
31.0
41.8
26.5
26.7
45.9
29.2
35.4
45.1
43.9
32.0
43.2
29.0
22.1
45.0
51.4
26.8
52.3
40.0
45.5
39.9
31.5
24.5
25.4
34.0
33.1
38.2
47.8
44.3
37.3
36.5
44.7
24.3
42.6
35.2
51.7
43.8
53.3
32.4
34.3
47.1
48.7
47.7
46.0
34.2
46.4
42.2
48.4
48.3
42.0
52.6
39.2
38.6
47.4
43.4
46.5
48.0
47.2
42.3
50.1
39.9
34.3
48.5
50.8
35.6
51.7
52.1
52.7
49.6
44.2
36.1
34.8
44.1
43.4
49.0
47.7
49.8
47.0
43.5
49.4
33.9
47.0
45.1
50.8
52.8
51.7
45.1
41.8
34
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2015 Revision, Key Findings and Advance Tables
TABLE S.8. (continued)
Median age (years)
Country or area
1950
1980
2015
2030
2050
2100
Kenya......................................................
Kiribati....................................................
Kuwait ....................................................
Kyrgyzstan ..............................................
Lao People's Dem. Republic ...................
Latvia ......................................................
Lebanon ..................................................
Lesotho ...................................................
Liberia.....................................................
Libya .......................................................
Lithuania .................................................
Luxembourg............................................
Madagascar .............................................
Malawi ....................................................
Malaysia .................................................
Maldives .................................................
Mali ........................................................
Malta .......................................................
Martinique ..............................................
Mauritania...............................................
Mauritius.................................................
Mayotte ...................................................
Mexico ....................................................
Micronesia (Fed. States of) .....................
Mongolia.................................................
Montenegro.............................................
Morocco ..................................................
Mozambique ...........................................
Myanmar.................................................
Namibia ..................................................
Nepal ......................................................
Netherlands .............................................
New Caledonia .......................................
New Zealand ...........................................
Nicaragua ................................................
Niger .......................................................
Nigeria ....................................................
Norway ...................................................
Oman ......................................................
Pakistan...................................................
Panama ...................................................
Papua New Guinea .................................
Paraguay .................................................
Peru .........................................................
Philippines ..............................................
Poland .....................................................
Portugal...................................................
Puerto Rico .............................................
20.0
19.2
21.5
25.3
19.8
30.5
23.2
19.8
19.1
21.0
27.8
35.0
20.9
17.1
19.8
18.6
20.8
23.7
21.9
17.9
17.3
30.3
18.7
19.8
25.0
21.6
19.5
19.1
22.4
20.9
20.5
28.0
22.5
29.4
18.2
15.2
19.1
32.6
18.8
19.8
18.8
20.3
16.5
19.1
18.2
25.8
26.1
18.4
15.0
19.4
20.6
20.8
17.7
35.0
19.9
17.6
17.5
16.1
31.9
35.0
16.8
16.3
19.6
17.1
17.9
28.9
23.5
17.1
21.5
15.4
17.2
16.3
17.8
26.7
17.7
17.9
19.2
16.7
19.3
31.2
22.2
27.9
16.4
16.3
18.0
33.3
17.6
18.5
19.1
17.3
18.4
18.5
18.1
29.3
30.7
24.6
18.9
22.4
31.0
25.1
21.9
42.9
28.5
21.0
18.6
27.5
43.1
39.2
18.7
17.2
28.5
26.4
16.2
41.5
46.1
19.8
35.2
19.0
27.4
21.5
27.3
37.6
28.0
17.1
27.9
21.2
23.1
42.7
33.1
38.0
25.2
14.8
17.9
39.1
29.0
22.5
28.7
21.2
24.9
27.5
24.2
39.6
44.0
36.3
21.6
24.2
33.9
27.5
26.4
44.7
37.6
23.1
21.1
31.8
43.3
41.0
20.9
19.3
34.5
33.9
17.9
45.8
47.0
22.1
40.4
23.2
33.1
25.6
31.2
41.6
33.1
18.9
32.4
23.9
29.3
44.7
36.5
40.0
31.7
15.2
19.3
40.9
34.2
25.5
33.0
24.3
29.8
32.4
27.7
46.1
50.2
41.4
25.7
28.4
37.8
32.1
33.7
45.3
46.8
28.0
24.7
38.4
44.3
42.7
24.5
23.5
40.5
41.4
21.4
50.2
48.0
25.5
47.1
29.3
40.9
30.9
35.4
45.5
38.6
22.4
38.0
28.8
38.9
46.2
40.8
43.0
40.1
17.8
22.5
42.8
40.1
30.9
38.5
28.2
35.5
38.7
32.0
51.8
52.5
48.3
37.3
37.1
44.1
41.8
47.4
45.8
51.2
39.7
35.1
46.7
45.0
46.1
35.1
34.7
47.3
50.3
34.6
49.8
51.5
34.0
49.0
44.8
51.0
43.3
43.9
48.7
48.3
33.9
42.7
40.6
51.5
47.9
47.0
48.8
51.4
29.4
32.4
46.1
49.3
41.8
47.5
37.5
45.7
49.3
41.5
51.1
52.3
52.3
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2015 Revision, Key Findings and Advance Tables
35 TABLE S.8. (continued)
Median age (years)
Country or area
1950
1980
2015
2030
2050
2100
Qatar .......................................................
Republic of Korea ...................................
Republic of Moldova ..............................
Réunion...................................................
Romania ..................................................
Russian Federation..................................
Rwanda ...................................................
Saint Lucia ..............................................
St. Vincent and the Grenadines ...............
Samoa .....................................................
Sao Tome and Principe ...........................
Saudi Arabia ...........................................
Senegal ...................................................
Serbia ......................................................
Seychelles ...............................................
Sierra Leone............................................
Singapore ................................................
Slovakia ..................................................
Slovenia ..................................................
Solomon Islands .....................................
Somalia ...................................................
South Africa............................................
South Sudan ............................................
Spain .......................................................
Sri Lanka ................................................
State of Palestine ....................................
Sudan ......................................................
Suriname .................................................
Swaziland ...............................................
Sweden ...................................................
Switzerland .............................................
Syrian Arab Republic .............................
Tajikistan ................................................
TFYR Macedonia ...................................
Thailand ..................................................
Timor-Leste ............................................
Togo........................................................
Tonga ......................................................
Trinidad and Tobago...............................
Tunisia ....................................................
Turkey.....................................................
Turkmenistan ..........................................
Uganda....................................................
Ukraine ...................................................
United Arab Emirates .............................
United Kingdom .....................................
United Republic of Tanzania ..................
United States of America ........................
18.9
19.0
26.6
20.3
26.3
24.3
18.0
20.7
15.4
16.6
24.5
19.0
19.2
25.8
26.1
20.4
20.0
27.0
27.7
18.3
19.5
20.9
18.1
27.5
21.6
17.3
18.1
20.1
18.4
34.2
33.2
20.3
22.3
21.8
18.6
19.6
19.4
15.5
20.9
20.3
19.7
23.5
18.2
27.6
18.9
34.9
16.9
30.0
23.3
22.2
27.7
19.8
30.4
31.4
16.0
17.5
17.4
16.4
16.3
18.0
16.6
30.9
19.9
19.4
24.5
28.8
31.6
16.3
18.1
19.1
17.7
30.4
21.7
15.1
16.5
18.9
15.6
36.2
34.6
15.6
18.0
25.9
19.7
19.3
16.8
18.3
21.7
18.6
19.8
18.7
16.2
33.5
26.1
34.4
16.6
30.0
30.7
40.6
35.6
34.3
42.1
38.7
19.2
31.2
29.8
21.2
18.5
28.3
18.0
40.6
32.6
18.5
40.0
39.1
43.1
19.9
16.5
25.7
18.6
43.2
32.3
19.3
19.4
29.0
20.5
41.0
42.3
20.8
22.5
37.5
38.0
18.5
18.7
21.3
33.8
31.2
29.8
26.4
15.9
40.3
33.3
40.0
17.3
38.0
34.0
47.5
42.6
38.7
47.0
42.4
23.2
36.8
35.7
24.0
21.2
32.3
19.6
43.5
37.2
21.3
47.0
45.2
48.1
23.2
17.7
29.3
20.6
50.1
37.0
22.3
22.3
32.7
22.6
41.8
45.1
27.2
24.8
42.6
44.8
19.2
21.0
24.6
40.2
36.5
35.2
31.5
18.1
44.1
36.6
41.9
18.8
40.0
41.0
53.9
49.3
44.4
48.1
40.8
29.7
43.9
42.1
28.5
25.5
38.2
23.5
46.8
39.7
26.4
53.0
49.0
49.3
27.9
20.8
33.9
24.6
51.8
42.5
27.4
26.2
37.9
27.5
42.0
46.9
33.7
29.6
47.2
50.6
24.3
24.6
28.4
42.6
40.4
41.8
36.7
21.9
43.7
43.4
43.3
22.2
41.7
46.3
52.0
47.6
52.4
48.5
42.4
44.5
50.2
50.9
42.5
35.4
46.7
34.5
48.4
46.8
37.4
56.8
48.2
48.4
39.3
31.3
42.5
34.9
51.3
51.6
40.0
36.2
46.0
39.8
45.4
47.7
46.1
40.1
48.5
51.9
39.0
34.9
40.4
45.5
47.2
49.4
42.8
34.0
43.6
46.0
46.9
32.8
44.7
36
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2015 Revision, Key Findings and Advance Tables
TABLE S.8. (continued)
Median age (years)
Country or area
1950
1980
2015
2030
2050
2100
United States Virgin Islands ...................
Uruguay ..................................................
Uzbekistan ..............................................
Vanuatu...................................................
Venezuela (Bolivarian Republic of) .......
Viet Nam ................................................
Western Sahara .......................................
Yemen.....................................................
Zambia ....................................................
Zimbabwe ...............................................
Other non-specified areas .......................
22.0
27.8
24.1
16.8
17.2
24.5
18.7
18.9
17.5
19.0
19.1
22.0
30.1
18.8
17.5
18.7
19.1
21.2
15.3
15.9
15.5
22.7
41.0
34.9
26.3
22.2
27.4
30.4
29.4
19.3
16.9
18.9
39.7
42.4
37.8
31.4
25.2
32.1
37.0
34.9
23.0
18.5
21.6
48.1
44.6
42.5
36.4
30.2
38.0
41.9
39.8
29.6
21.4
27.5
56.2
54.4
48.6
43.7
41.6
47.6
46.7
46.4
43.1
30.1
40.4
53.8
Source: United Nations, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division (2015). World
Population Prospects: The 2015 Revision. New York: United Nations.
NOTE: Only countries or areas with 90,000 persons or more in 2015 are considered
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2015 Revision, Key Findings and Advance Tables
37 TABLE S.9. TOTAL FERTILITY BY COUNTRY FOR SELECTED PERIODS (MEDIUM VARIANT)
Total fertility (average number of children per woman)
Country or area
1975-1980
1990-1995
2005-2010
2010-2015
2015-2020
2025-2030
2045-2050
2095-2100
World .................................................
3.87
3.04
2.56
2.51
2.47
2.38
2.25
1.99
Afghanistan ........................................
Albania ...............................................
Algeria ................................................
Angola ................................................
Antigua and Barbuda ..........................
Argentina ............................................
Armenia ..............................................
Aruba ..................................................
Australia .............................................
Austria ................................................
Azerbaijan ..........................................
Bahamas .............................................
Bahrain ...............................................
Bangladesh .........................................
Barbados .............................................
Belarus ................................................
Belgium ..............................................
Belize ..................................................
Benin ..................................................
Bhutan ................................................
Bolivia (Plurinational State of) ...........
Bosnia and Herzegovina .....................
Botswana ............................................
Brazil ..................................................
Brunei Darussalam .............................
Bulgaria ..............................................
Burkina Faso.......................................
Burundi ...............................................
Cabo Verde .........................................
Cambodia............................................
Cameroon ...........................................
Canada ................................................
Central African Republic ....................
Chad ...................................................
Channel Islands ..................................
Chile ...................................................
China ..................................................
China, Hong Kong SAR .....................
China, Macao SAR .............................
Colombia ............................................
Comoros .............................................
Congo .................................................
Costa Rica...........................................
Côte d'Ivoire .......................................
Croatia ................................................
7.45
3.90
7.18
7.35
2.24
3.44
2.50
2.45
1.99
1.65
3.62
2.95
5.23
6.63
2.16
2.09
1.70
6.20
7.00
6.67
5.89
2.19
6.37
4.31
4.71
2.19
7.02
7.48
6.62
5.42
6.47
1.73
5.95
6.87
1.52
2.93
3.01
2.31
1.41
4.25
7.05
6.35
3.70
7.81
1.90
7.48
2.79
4.12
7.15
2.09
2.90
2.38
2.17
1.86
1.48
2.90
2.64
3.40
4.06
1.73
1.68
1.61
4.35
6.56
5.07
4.70
1.65
4.32
2.60
3.28
1.55
6.93
7.43
4.93
5.13
6.22
1.69
5.65
7.39
1.46
2.38
2.00
1.24
1.41
2.84
6.10
5.21
3.01
6.41
1.52
6.35
1.60
2.72
6.60
2.17
2.40
1.74
1.74
1.95
1.40
2.29
1.91
2.23
2.48
1.77
1.43
1.82
2.84
5.31
2.62
3.39
1.28
2.90
1.90
2.00
1.50
6.08
6.52
2.62
3.08
5.21
1.64
4.85
6.85
1.42
1.88
1.53
1.03
0.94
2.10
4.90
5.05
2.01
5.36
1.52
5.13
1.78
2.93
6.20
2.10
2.35
1.55
1.68
1.92
1.47
2.30
1.89
2.10
2.23
1.79
1.58
1.82
2.64
4.89
2.10
3.04
1.28
2.90
1.82
1.90
1.52
5.65
6.08
2.37
2.70
4.81
1.61
4.41
6.31
1.46
1.78
1.55
1.20
1.19
1.93
4.60
4.95
1.85
5.10
1.52
4.25
1.78
2.62
5.79
2.03
2.27
1.51
1.62
1.86
1.53
2.22
1.83
1.98
2.08
1.80
1.64
1.83
2.46
4.50
1.93
2.83
1.23
2.67
1.74
1.82
1.60
5.23
5.66
2.19
2.53
4.46
1.56
4.02
5.79
1.49
1.73
1.59
1.30
1.34
1.83
4.23
4.64
1.76
4.77
1.48
3.02
1.76
2.26
4.98
1.94
2.13
1.52
1.63
1.81
1.62
2.09
1.77
1.79
1.84
1.82
1.73
1.85
2.19
3.84
1.69
2.51
1.29
2.35
1.66
1.72
1.71
4.48
4.89
1.94
2.27
3.84
1.58
3.35
4.85
1.54
1.70
1.66
1.44
1.54
1.69
3.63
4.10
1.67
4.20
1.51
2.09
1.77
1.96
3.64
1.84
1.94
1.63
1.70
1.78
1.73
1.94
1.75
1.67
1.67
1.84
1.82
1.88
1.89
2.96
1.59
2.13
1.51
1.97
1.67
1.69
1.81
3.34
3.69
1.74
1.97
3.01
1.67
2.55
3.46
1.62
1.73
1.74
1.63
1.74
1.67
2.86
3.29
1.69
3.39
1.63
1.74
1.82
1.87
2.20
1.83
1.84
1.79
1.81
1.82
1.83
1.86
1.81
1.77
1.78
1.87
1.88
1.90
1.78
2.04
1.77
1.82
1.76
1.81
1.79
1.79
1.88
2.16
2.33
1.79
1.80
2.08
1.80
1.90
2.12
1.72
1.82
1.81
1.80
1.87
1.79
2.00
2.30
1.80
2.31
1.79
38
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2015 Revision, Key Findings and Advance Tables
TABLE S.9. (continued)
Total fertility (average number of children per woman)
Country or area
Cuba ...................................................
Curaçao...............................................
Cyprus ................................................
Czech Republic ...................................
Dem. People's Rep. of Korea ..............
Dem. Republic of the Congo ..............
Denmark .............................................
Djibouti...............................................
Dominican Republic ...........................
Ecuador...............................................
Egypt ..................................................
El Salvador .........................................
Equatorial Guinea ...............................
Eritrea .................................................
Estonia ................................................
Ethiopia ..............................................
Fiji ......................................................
Finland ................................................
France .................................................
French Guiana ....................................
French Polynesia ................................
Gabon .................................................
Gambia ...............................................
Georgia ...............................................
Germany .............................................
Ghana .................................................
Greece.................................................
Grenada ..............................................
Guadeloupe .........................................
Guam ..................................................
Guatemala ...........................................
Guinea ................................................
Guinea-Bissau.....................................
Guyana................................................
Haiti ....................................................
Honduras ............................................
Hungary ..............................................
Iceland ................................................
India ....................................................
Indonesia ............................................
Iran (Islamic Republic of) ...................
Iraq .....................................................
Ireland.................................................
Israel ...................................................
Italy.....................................................
Jamaica ...............................................
Japan ...................................................
Jordan .................................................
1975-1980
1990-1995
2005-2010
2010-2015
2015-2020
2025-2030
2045-2050
2095-2100
2.15
2.45
2.29
2.36
2.68
6.46
1.68
6.64
4.76
5.05
5.60
5.42
5.68
6.62
2.06
7.18
4.00
1.66
1.86
3.30
4.23
5.57
6.34
2.39
1.51
6.69
2.32
4.30
3.52
3.52
6.20
6.45
6.25
4.52
5.80
6.60
2.13
2.45
4.97
4.73
6.28
6.80
3.25
3.47
1.89
4.00
1.83
7.38
1.65
2.28
2.33
1.65
2.25
7.10
1.75
5.85
3.31
3.55
4.12
3.69
5.89
6.20
1.63
7.09
3.35
1.82
1.71
4.05
3.11
5.22
6.08
2.05
1.30
5.34
1.37
3.46
2.10
2.88
5.15
6.51
6.50
3.44
5.15
4.92
1.74
2.19
3.83
2.90
3.95
5.65
1.91
2.93
1.27
2.84
1.48
5.09
1.63
1.98
1.51
1.43
2.00
6.60
1.85
3.70
2.67
2.73
2.98
2.23
5.36
4.80
1.66
5.26
2.75
1.84
1.97
3.63
2.17
4.15
5.79
1.80
1.36
4.29
1.46
2.30
2.14
2.54
3.61
5.54
5.23
2.77
3.55
2.99
1.33
2.13
2.80
2.50
1.79
4.64
2.00
2.91
1.42
2.28
1.34
3.59
1.63
2.10
1.46
1.45
2.00
6.15
1.73
3.30
2.53
2.59
3.38
1.97
4.97
4.40
1.59
4.59
2.61
1.75
2.00
3.48
2.07
4.00
5.78
1.81
1.39
4.25
1.34
2.18
2.17
2.42
3.30
5.13
4.95
2.60
3.13
2.47
1.34
1.96
2.48
2.50
1.75
4.64
2.01
3.05
1.43
2.08
1.40
3.51
1.58
2.05
1.42
1.54
1.94
5.66
1.76
2.99
2.38
2.44
3.16
1.87
4.52
4.02
1.66
3.99
2.48
1.77
1.99
3.28
1.99
3.68
5.53
1.82
1.44
3.95
1.30
2.08
2.10
2.32
3.03
4.73
4.56
2.47
2.85
2.25
1.40
1.90
2.34
2.36
1.62
4.35
2.00
2.93
1.49
1.99
1.46
3.20
1.59
1.98
1.46
1.65
1.87
4.77
1.80
2.55
2.13
2.21
2.82
1.73
3.72
3.41
1.74
3.11
2.27
1.79
1.98
2.97
1.86
3.16
4.87
1.83
1.51
3.47
1.37
1.90
2.00
2.14
2.64
4.02
3.89
2.27
2.46
1.99
1.50
1.83
2.14
2.14
1.49
3.86
1.98
2.71
1.59
1.86
1.57
2.74
1.67
1.90
1.60
1.78
1.82
3.43
1.85
2.09
1.84
1.92
2.38
1.66
2.70
2.67
1.82
2.28
1.98
1.82
1.96
2.56
1.76
2.54
3.48
1.86
1.62
2.83
1.56
1.76
1.91
1.93
2.19
3.04
3.00
2.00
2.03
1.76
1.64
1.78
1.89
1.91
1.61
3.17
1.95
2.38
1.71
1.77
1.69
2.18
1.80
1.87
1.79
1.86
1.83
2.13
1.88
1.81
1.79
1.80
1.90
1.77
1.92
1.93
1.87
1.79
1.83
1.85
1.95
2.02
1.79
1.93
2.04
1.87
1.74
2.03
1.77
1.80
1.87
1.83
1.83
2.06
2.05
1.83
1.80
1.78
1.77
1.82
1.80
1.84
1.79
2.24
1.93
1.94
1.81
1.81
1.81
1.80
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2015 Revision, Key Findings and Advance Tables
39 TABLE S.9. (continued)
Total fertility (average number of children per woman)
Country or area
Kazakhstan .........................................
Kenya .................................................
Kiribati ...............................................
Kuwait ................................................
Kyrgyzstan..........................................
Lao People's Dem. Republic ...............
Latvia ..................................................
Lebanon ..............................................
Lesotho ...............................................
Liberia ................................................
Libya...................................................
Lithuania.............................................
Luxembourg .......................................
Madagascar .........................................
Malawi ................................................
Malaysia .............................................
Maldives .............................................
Mali ....................................................
Malta...................................................
Martinique ..........................................
Mauritania ..........................................
Mauritius ............................................
Mayotte...............................................
Mexico ................................................
Micronesia (Fed. States of) .................
Mongolia ............................................
Montenegro ........................................
Morocco..............................................
Mozambique .......................................
Myanmar ............................................
Namibia ..............................................
Nepal ..................................................
Netherlands .........................................
New Caledonia ...................................
New Zealand.......................................
Nicaragua............................................
Niger ...................................................
Nigeria ................................................
Norway ...............................................
Oman ..................................................
Pakistan ..............................................
Panama ...............................................
Papua New Guinea .............................
Paraguay .............................................
Peru.....................................................
Philippines ..........................................
Poland .................................................
Portugal ..............................................
40
1975-1980
1990-1995
2005-2010
2010-2015
2015-2020
2025-2030
2045-2050
2095-2100
3.06
7.64
5.10
5.90
4.05
6.15
1.87
4.23
5.69
6.93
7.67
2.10
1.49
7.00
7.60
3.93
6.85
7.15
2.12
2.65
6.57
3.11
7.91
5.40
6.40
6.65
2.31
5.90
6.53
5.21
6.60
5.80
1.60
3.91
2.18
6.35
7.63
6.76
1.81
8.10
6.60
4.19
5.87
5.20
5.40
5.46
2.23
2.55
2.55
5.57
4.55
2.40
3.61
5.88
1.63
2.80
4.70
6.27
4.22
1.82
1.66
6.14
6.70
3.42
5.16
7.15
1.99
1.96
5.85
2.25
5.25
3.25
4.79
3.27
2.05
3.70
6.12
3.20
4.91
4.97
1.58
2.94
2.07
4.20
7.74
6.37
1.89
6.27
5.67
2.92
4.70
4.31
3.57
4.14
1.95
1.48
2.54
4.80
3.88
2.55
2.78
3.50
1.49
1.58
3.37
5.23
2.66
1.42
1.62
4.83
5.80
2.07
2.26
6.70
1.39
2.04
4.97
1.70
4.60
2.43
3.62
2.37
1.82
2.49
5.65
2.55
3.60
2.96
1.75
2.24
2.14
2.56
7.68
5.91
1.92
2.90
3.98
2.54
4.13
2.89
2.60
3.27
1.37
1.37
2.64
4.44
3.79
2.15
3.12
3.10
1.48
1.72
3.26
4.83
2.53
1.57
1.57
4.50
5.25
1.97
2.18
6.35
1.43
1.95
4.69
1.50
4.10
2.29
3.33
2.68
1.71
2.56
5.45
2.25
3.60
2.32
1.75
2.13
2.05
2.32
7.63
5.74
1.80
2.88
3.72
2.48
3.84
2.60
2.50
3.04
1.37
1.28
2.53
4.10
3.58
2.04
2.93
2.77
1.55
1.71
3.01
4.47
2.32
1.63
1.61
4.21
4.88
1.90
1.98
5.92
1.49
1.88
4.39
1.44
3.73
2.14
3.08
2.54
1.65
2.38
5.12
2.13
3.31
2.09
1.77
2.04
1.99
2.16
7.46
5.41
1.81
2.51
3.38
2.36
3.58
2.45
2.35
2.87
1.33
1.24
2.35
3.56
3.23
1.92
2.64
2.34
1.65
1.70
2.64
3.86
2.01
1.72
1.68
3.71
4.23
1.79
1.72
5.03
1.57
1.81
3.86
1.47
3.18
1.90
2.70
2.33
1.63
2.13
4.47
1.95
2.88
1.85
1.80
1.91
1.90
1.93
6.68
4.74
1.83
2.06
2.88
2.16
3.17
2.22
2.12
2.59
1.38
1.31
2.10
2.85
2.74
1.86
2.28
1.89
1.77
1.72
2.21
3.02
1.77
1.81
1.75
3.03
3.32
1.72
1.67
3.57
1.69
1.80
3.10
1.61
2.48
1.72
2.24
2.10
1.69
1.88
3.39
1.79
2.34
1.69
1.83
1.81
1.82
1.74
4.87
3.59
1.85
1.69
2.31
1.92
2.63
1.94
1.84
2.20
1.56
1.52
1.88
1.97
2.05
1.86
1.91
1.79
1.85
1.81
1.85
2.09
1.81
1.87
1.82
2.14
2.23
1.79
1.80
2.13
1.81
1.84
2.18
1.79
1.83
1.79
1.83
1.93
1.80
1.82
2.19
1.80
1.85
1.78
1.86
1.83
1.82
1.79
2.49
2.27
1.87
1.79
1.83
1.83
1.98
1.79
1.79
1.83
1.78
1.76
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2015 Revision, Key Findings and Advance Tables
TABLE S.9. (continued)
Total fertility (average number of children per woman)
Country or area
Puerto Rico .........................................
Qatar ...................................................
Republic of Korea...............................
Republic of Moldova ..........................
Réunion ..............................................
Romania..............................................
Russian Federation .............................
Rwanda ...............................................
Saint Lucia ..........................................
St. Vincent and the Grenadines...........
Samoa .................................................
Sao Tome and Principe .......................
Saudi Arabia .......................................
Senegal ...............................................
Serbia ..................................................
Seychelles ...........................................
Sierra Leone........................................
Singapore ............................................
Slovakia ..............................................
Slovenia ..............................................
Solomon Islands .................................
Somalia ...............................................
South Africa .......................................
South Sudan ........................................
Spain ...................................................
Sri Lanka ............................................
State of Palestine ................................
Sudan ..................................................
Suriname .............................................
Swaziland ...........................................
Sweden ...............................................
Switzerland .........................................
Syrian Arab Republic .........................
Tajikistan ............................................
TFYR Macedonia ...............................
Thailand ..............................................
Timor-Leste ........................................
Togo ...................................................
Tonga ..................................................
Trinidad and Tobago ..........................
Tunisia ................................................
Turkey ................................................
Turkmenistan ......................................
Uganda................................................
Ukraine ...............................................
United Arab Emirates .........................
United Kingdom .................................
United Republic of Tanzania ..............
1975-1980
1990-1995
2005-2010
2010-2015
2015-2020
2025-2030
2045-2050
2095-2100
2.76
6.11
2.92
2.44
3.12
2.55
1.94
8.43
5.20
4.42
6.49
6.50
7.28
7.45
2.37
4.27
6.25
1.84
2.46
2.16
7.04
7.00
5.00
6.92
2.55
3.61
7.50
6.92
4.20
6.73
1.66
1.54
7.32
5.90
2.54
3.92
4.31
7.28
5.50
3.24
5.65
4.65
5.32
7.10
1.98
5.66
1.73
6.73
2.18
3.74
1.70
2.11
2.41
1.51
1.55
6.55
3.15
2.85
4.92
5.68
5.55
6.35
1.96
2.57
6.62
1.73
1.87
1.33
5.53
7.53
3.34
6.65
1.28
2.38
6.61
6.00
3.16
5.30
2.01
1.54
4.80
4.88
2.12
1.99
5.69
6.02
4.62
2.18
2.98
2.87
4.03
7.06
1.62
3.88
1.78
6.05
1.70
2.23
1.23
1.27
2.40
1.45
1.44
4.85
2.04
2.13
4.47
4.90
3.15
5.15
1.56
2.30
5.51
1.26
1.31
1.38
4.40
7.10
2.55
5.60
1.39
2.28
4.60
4.83
2.54
3.75
1.89
1.47
3.19
3.48
1.46
1.56
6.53
5.04
4.03
1.80
2.02
2.18
2.50
6.38
1.38
1.97
1.88
5.58
1.64
2.08
1.26
1.27
2.24
1.48
1.66
4.05
1.92
2.01
4.16
4.67
2.85
5.18
1.56
2.33
4.79
1.23
1.37
1.58
4.06
6.61
2.40
5.15
1.32
2.11
4.28
4.46
2.40
3.36
1.92
1.52
3.03
3.55
1.51
1.53
5.91
4.69
3.79
1.80
2.16
2.10
2.34
5.91
1.49
1.82
1.92
5.24
1.59
1.95
1.33
1.23
2.12
1.53
1.72
3.62
1.82
1.90
3.90
4.36
2.59
4.83
1.59
2.21
4.28
1.26
1.44
1.65
3.76
6.12
2.28
4.73
1.38
2.03
3.95
4.13
2.28
3.06
1.93
1.57
2.77
3.32
1.55
1.46
5.33
4.35
3.58
1.73
2.07
2.01
2.22
5.46
1.56
1.73
1.91
4.92
1.57
1.76
1.45
1.31
1.95
1.62
1.79
2.98
1.69
1.75
3.46
3.81
2.23
4.22
1.65
2.03
3.44
1.31
1.55
1.74
3.29
5.22
2.09
4.00
1.48
1.90
3.40
3.57
2.08
2.63
1.93
1.65
2.39
2.95
1.62
1.43
4.30
3.77
3.22
1.68
1.93
1.86
2.02
4.62
1.65
1.62
1.90
4.33
1.65
1.65
1.60
1.52
1.84
1.72
1.87
2.21
1.66
1.69
2.86
3.04
1.84
3.36
1.73
1.86
2.53
1.38
1.68
1.83
2.68
3.79
1.87
3.01
1.61
1.80
2.71
2.85
1.86
2.13
1.94
1.75
1.94
2.46
1.71
1.58
2.99
3.00
2.72
1.70
1.83
1.75
1.81
3.37
1.76
1.63
1.89
3.42
1.79
1.78
1.76
1.77
1.84
1.82
1.91
1.73
1.79
1.80
2.04
2.14
1.78
2.28
1.82
1.85
1.86
1.49
1.80
1.89
1.94
2.28
1.80
2.04
1.75
1.82
1.95
2.03
1.81
1.80
1.94
1.83
1.77
1.91
1.81
1.78
1.94
2.07
2.01
1.81
1.84
1.80
1.79
2.12
1.84
1.79
1.89
2.32
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2015 Revision, Key Findings and Advance Tables
41 TABLE S.9. (continued)
Total fertility (average number of children per woman)
Country or area
United States of America ....................
United States Virgin Islands ...............
Uruguay ..............................................
Uzbekistan ..........................................
Vanuatu ..............................................
Venezuela (Bolivarian Republic of) ...
Viet Nam ............................................
Western Sahara ...................................
Yemen ................................................
Zambia ................................................
Zimbabwe ...........................................
Other non-specified areas ...................
1975-1980
1990-1995
2005-2010
2010-2015
2015-2020
2025-2030
2045-2050
2095-2100
1.77
3.49
2.89
5.20
5.75
4.47
5.50
6.23
8.50
7.38
7.30
2.64
2.03
2.79
2.49
3.77
4.83
3.25
3.23
3.96
8.20
6.35
4.77
1.79
2.06
2.44
2.12
2.48
3.63
2.55
1.93
2.44
5.10
5.90
4.02
1.26
1.89
2.30
2.04
2.48
3.41
2.40
1.96
2.20
4.35
5.45
4.02
1.07
1.90
2.18
1.98
2.33
3.22
2.28
1.95
2.06
3.79
5.14
3.65
1.03
1.91
2.01
1.90
2.11
2.90
2.08
1.93
1.85
3.02
4.59
3.10
1.15
1.92
1.86
1.83
1.89
2.45
1.85
1.92
1.68
2.16
3.73
2.43
1.45
1.93
1.84
1.83
1.83
1.90
1.80
1.91
1.78
1.69
2.58
1.85
1.75
Source: United Nations, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division (2015). World Population Prospects: The 2015
Revision. New York: United Nations.
NOTE: Only countries or areas with 90,000 persons or more in 2015 are considered.
42
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2015 Revision, Key Findings and Advance Tables
TABLE S.10. TEN COUNTRIES WITH THE HIGHEST AND THE LOWEST TOTAL FERTILITY, 1975-1980, 2010-2015, 2025-2030 AND 2045-2050
1975-1980
Rank
Country or area
2010-2015
Total fertility
(average
number of
children per
woman)
Rank
Country or area
2025-2030
Total fertility
(average
number of
children per
woman)
Rank
2045-2050
Total fertility
(average
number of
children per
woman)
Country or area
Rank
Country or area
Total fertility
(average
number of
children per
woman)
A. Highest fertility
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
9.
10.
Yemen
Rwanda
Oman
Mayotte
Côte d'Ivoire
Libya
Kenya
Niger
8.50
8.43
8.10
7.91
7.81
7.67
7.64
7.63
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
Malawi
State of Palestine
7.60
7.50
9.
10.
Niger
Somalia
Mali
Chad
Angola
Dem. Republic of the Congo
Burundi
Uganda
7.63
6.61
6.35
6.31
6.20
6.15
6.08
5.91
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
Timor-Leste
Gambia
5.91
5.78
9.
10.
Niger
Somalia
Mali
Angola
Burundi
Gambia
Chad
Dem. Republic of the Congo
6.68
5.22
5.03
4.98
4.89
4.87
4.85
4.77
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
Nigeria
Uganda
4.74
4.62
9.
10.
Niger
Somalia
Zambia
Burundi
Angola
Nigeria
Mali
Gambia
4.87
3.79
3.73
3.69
3.64
3.59
3.57
3.48
Chad
Dem. Republic of the Congo
3.46
3.43
B. Lowest fertility
1.
1.41
1.
Other non-specified areas
1.07
1.
Other non-specified areas
1.15
1.
Singapore
1.38
2.
China, Macao
SAR
Luxembourg
1.49
2.
China, Macao SAR
1.19
2.
Bosnia and Herzegovina
1.29
2.
Other non-specified areas
1.45
3.
4.
Germany
Channel Islands
1.51
1.52
3.
4.
China, Hong Kong SAR
Singapore
1.20
1.23
3.
4.
Republic of Moldova
Singapore
1.31
1.31
3.
4.
Bosnia and Herzegovina
Portugal
1.51
1.52
5.
6.
Switzerland
Netherlands
1.54
1.60
5.
6.
Republic of Korea
Republic of Moldova
1.26
1.27
5.
6.
Portugal
Greece
1.31
1.37
5.
6.
Republic of Moldova
Greece
1.52
1.56
7.
8.
Austria
Finland
1.65
1.66
7.
8.
Bosnia and Herzegovina
Portugal
1.28
1.28
7.
8.
Poland
Thailand
1.38
1.43
7.
8.
Poland
Thailand
1.56
1.58
Sweden
Denmark
1.66
1.68
9.
10.
Spain
Hungary
1.32
1.34
9.
10.
China, Hong Kong SAR
Republic of Korea
1.44
1.45
9.
10.
Bhutan
Cyprus
1.59
1.60
WORLD
3.87
WORLD
2.51
WORLD
2.38
WORLD
2.25
9.
10.
Source: United Nations, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division (2015). World Population Prospects: The 2015 Revision. New York: United Nations.
NOTE: Only countries or areas with 90,000 persons or more in 2015 are considered.
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2015 Revision, Key Findings and Advance Tables
43 TABLE S.11. TEN COUNTRIES WITH THE HIGHEST AND THE LOWEST LIFE EXPECTANCY AT BIRTH, 2010-2015, 2025-2030 AND 2045-2050
2010-2015
Country or area
2025-2030
Life expectancy
(years)
2045-2050
Life expectancy
(years)
Country or area
Country or area
Life expectancy
(years)
A. Highest life expectancy at birth
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
9.
10.
China, Hong Kong SAR
Japan
Italy
Switzerland
Singapore
Iceland
Spain
Australia
Israel
Sweden
83.7
83.3
82.8
82.7
82.6
82.3
82.3
82.1
82.1
81.9
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
9.
10.
China, Hong Kong SAR
Japan
Singapore
Italy
Switzerland
Chile
Israel
Spain
Iceland
Republic of Korea
86.0
85.5
85.4
85.3
85.0
84.8
84.7
84.7
84.7
84.7
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
9.
10.
China, Hong Kong SAR
Singapore
Martinique
Japan
Italy
Chile
Republic of Korea
Switzerland
Israel
Guadeloupe
88.7
88.3
88.1
88.1
88.0
87.8
87.7
87.6
87.5
87.4
Swaziland
Lesotho
Chad
Sierra Leone
Nigeria
Côte d'Ivoire
Angola
Central African Republic
Guinea-Bissau
Somalia
52.7
54.7
55.5
55.8
56.7
56.9
57.5
58.6
58.8
59.8
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
9.
10.
Chad
Sierra Leone
Swaziland
Nigeria
Guinea-Bissau
Angola
Lesotho
Côte d'Ivoire
Somalia
Benin
61.6
62.1
62.3
62.3
63.6
64.7
65.0
65.1
65.4
65.6
WORLD
75.9
WORLD
81.8
B. Lowest life expectancy at birth
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
9.
10.
Swaziland
Lesotho
Central African Republic
Sierra Leone
Côte d'Ivoire
Chad
Angola
Nigeria
Mozambique
Guinea-Bissau
49.2
49.5
49.5
50.2
51.0
51.1
51.7
52.3
54.6
54.7
WORLD
68.7
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
9.
10.
Source: United Nations, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division (2015). World Population Prospects: The 2015 Revision. New York: United Nations.
NOTE: Only countries or areas with 90,000 persons or more in 2015 are considered.
44
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2015 Revision, Key Findings and Advance Tables
TABLE S.12. LIFE EXPECTANCY AT BIRTH, BOTH SEXES COMBINED, BY COUNTRY FOR SELECTED PERIODS
Country or area
World ................................................
1990-1995
64.5
2005-2010
68.8
Afghanistan ........................................
Albania...............................................
Algeria ...............................................
Angola ...............................................
Antigua and Barbuda .........................
Argentina ...........................................
Armenia .............................................
Aruba .................................................
Australia.............................................
Austria ...............................................
Azerbaijan ..........................................
Bahamas.............................................
Bahrain...............................................
Bangladesh .........................................
Barbados ............................................
Belarus ...............................................
Belgium .............................................
Belize .................................................
Benin..................................................
Bhutan ................................................
Bolivia (Plurinational State of) ..........
Bosnia and Herzegovina ....................
Botswana ...........................................
Brazil .................................................
Brunei Darussalam .............................
Bulgaria .............................................
Burkina Faso ......................................
Burundi ..............................................
Cabo Verde ........................................
Cambodia ...........................................
Cameroon...........................................
Canada ...............................................
Central African Republic ...................
Chad ...................................................
Channel Islands ..................................
Chile...................................................
China..................................................
China, Hong Kong SAR ....................
China, Macao SAR ............................
Colombia ...........................................
Comoros.............................................
Congo.................................................
Costa Rica ..........................................
Côte d'Ivoire.......................................
Croatia ...............................................
Cuba ...................................................
51.8
71.7
67.2
41.4
71.9
72.1
68.1
73.6
77.6
76.0
63.8
71.1
72.9
60.0
71.9
69.5
76.3
70.6
54.8
54.5
56.5
70.1
61.0
66.3
73.5
71.1
49.3
47.3
66.7
54.3
53.6
77.7
48.1
47.1
76.1
73.8
69.4
78.2
76.0
68.7
57.8
53.8
76.1
51.4
72.8
74.8
58.0
76.3
73.1
49.6
75.0
75.2
74.0
74.7
81.4
80.1
70.1
74.3
75.7
69.0
74.6
69.3
79.5
69.6
58.2
66.7
64.9
75.5
61.1
72.6
76.7
73.0
55.8
53.7
72.5
65.1
52.7
80.7
46.1
48.7
79.6
79.6
74.4
82.4
79.2
72.9
60.9
56.5
78.4
49.2
76.1
78.7
Life expectancy at birth (years)
2010-2015
2015-2020
2025-2030
70.5
71.7
73.7
59.8
77.5
74.4
51.7
75.8
76.0
74.4
75.4
82.1
81.1
70.6
75.1
76.4
71.0
75.4
71.1
80.5
69.8
59.2
68.9
67.7
76.3
64.1
74.1
78.4
74.0
58.1
56.1
73.0
67.6
54.9
81.8
49.5
51.1
80.4
81.2
75.4
83.7
80.3
73.7
62.8
61.4
79.2
51.0
77.0
79.2
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2015 Revision, Key Findings and Advance Tables
61.5
78.4
75.6
53.7
76.7
76.9
75.4
76.0
83.0
82.1
71.1
76.0
77.1
72.9
76.2
71.7
81.4
70.5
60.3
70.7
69.6
77.0
64.6
75.4
79.5
74.5
59.8
58.1
74.2
69.9
57.0
82.6
53.3
52.5
81.2
82.7
76.5
84.5
81.3
74.7
64.2
63.9
80.1
52.8
77.9
80.0
64.3
80.3
77.7
57.5
78.3
78.7
76.8
77.3
84.6
83.9
72.2
77.6
78.4
75.5
77.8
72.8
83.2
71.7
62.3
73.4
72.6
78.6
67.5
77.9
81.4
75.6
63.0
61.6
76.4
73.8
61.4
84.2
58.6
55.5
82.7
84.7
78.6
86.0
83.4
76.6
66.6
67.8
81.9
56.9
79.7
81.8
2045-2050
77.1
2095-2100
83.2
68.2
83.7
81.4
64.7
81.6
82.2
79.7
80.0
87.2
86.6
74.5
80.8
81.2
78.7
81.0
75.1
86.0
74.3
65.6
77.2
76.8
81.7
71.5
82.2
85.0
77.8
67.7
68.2
79.9
78.8
68.6
86.8
68.3
61.6
85.5
87.8
82.5
88.7
86.5
80.2
70.4
72.8
84.9
65.1
83.0
84.9
74.9
89.5
87.9
75.4
88.1
88.5
85.8
85.9
93.1
92.5
80.9
87.5
87.0
84.9
87.5
81.3
91.7
81.2
72.6
84.5
84.4
87.8
78.7
88.6
91.2
83.9
75.5
76.7
87.2
86.3
77.2
92.2
78.4
75.9
91.1
93.5
89.9
93.9
92.4
87.2
78.8
79.0
90.1
77.7
88.8
90.4
45 TABLE S.12. (continued)
Country or area
Curaçao ..............................................
Cyprus ................................................
Czech Republic ..................................
Dem. People's Rep. of Korea .............
Dem. Republic of the Congo..............
Denmark ............................................
Djibouti ..............................................
Dominican Republic ..........................
Ecuador ..............................................
Egypt..................................................
El Salvador.........................................
Equatorial Guinea ..............................
Eritrea ................................................
Estonia ...............................................
Ethiopia ..............................................
Fiji......................................................
Finland ...............................................
France ................................................
French Guiana ....................................
French Polynesia ................................
Gabon.................................................
Gambia...............................................
Georgia ..............................................
Germany ............................................
Ghana .................................................
Greece ................................................
Grenada ..............................................
Guadeloupe ........................................
Guam .................................................
Guatemala ..........................................
Guinea ................................................
Guinea-Bissau ....................................
Guyana ...............................................
Haiti ...................................................
Honduras ............................................
Hungary .............................................
Iceland ...............................................
India ...................................................
Indonesia ............................................
Iran (Islamic Republic of) ..................
Iraq .....................................................
Ireland ................................................
Israel ..................................................
Italy ....................................................
Jamaica ..............................................
Japan ..................................................
Jordan.................................................
Kazakhstan.........................................
46
1990-1995
74.5
76.9
72.3
70.0
49.6
75.2
57.0
69.0
70.2
65.4
66.1
49.2
50.3
68.5
48.1
66.1
75.7
77.2
72.8
69.5
61.2
52.7
70.1
75.9
57.8
77.4
69.0
74.6
72.5
63.6
51.3
49.9
63.8
55.4
67.7
69.4
78.5
59.2
64.2
66.9
67.4
75.3
77.1
77.3
72.0
79.4
70.4
65.5
2005-2010
76.1
79.0
76.9
68.4
55.5
78.6
59.1
72.2
74.6
69.9
71.1
54.6
59.9
73.8
59.1
68.8
79.5
80.8
78.0
75.0
60.8
58.7
73.7
79.8
60.0
79.8
72.0
79.4
77.4
70.3
54.5
53.0
65.8
60.2
72.0
73.8
81.4
65.5
67.7
72.7
68.0
79.6
80.8
81.5
74.2
82.6
73.0
65.7
Life expectancy at birth (years)
2010-2015
2015-2020
2025-2030
77.8
78.6
80.3
79.9
80.8
82.4
78.3
79.1
80.6
69.9
71.1
73.3
58.1
59.9
63.4
80.0
80.7
82.3
61.6
62.7
64.7
73.2
74.1
75.8
75.5
76.7
78.9
70.8
71.8
73.5
72.6
73.9
76.0
57.1
58.6
62.2
63.1
65.1
68.5
76.5
77.2
78.7
63.1
65.7
69.6
69.7
70.6
72.2
80.5
81.5
83.3
81.8
82.8
84.4
79.0
80.3
82.8
76.1
77.2
79.4
63.7
66.0
69.3
59.8
61.1
63.3
74.6
75.4
76.9
80.6
81.5
83.3
61.0
62.0
63.8
80.6
81.6
83.4
73.2
73.9
75.3
80.5
81.9
84.0
78.7
80.0
82.5
71.5
72.6
74.7
58.0
60.2
64.1
54.7
56.2
58.8
66.3
66.8
67.8
62.3
63.9
66.6
72.8
73.8
75.7
75.0
75.6
76.9
82.3
83.1
84.7
67.5
69.1
71.7
68.6
69.5
71.1
75.1
75.9
77.3
69.2
70.0
71.5
80.6
81.5
83.4
82.1
83.0
84.7
82.8
83.8
85.3
75.4
76.1
77.5
83.3
84.1
85.5
73.8
74.6
76.0
69.1
69.7
70.9
2045-2050
83.6
85.3
83.6
77.1
69.2
85.1
68.2
78.9
82.7
76.7
79.8
69.6
72.8
81.7
74.5
75.3
86.0
87.0
86.1
83.4
73.7
66.4
79.8
86.1
66.8
86.0
78.3
87.4
86.1
78.2
70.7
63.6
69.8
70.8
79.0
79.5
87.2
75.9
73.9
79.8
74.0
86.1
87.5
88.0
80.3
88.1
78.9
73.4
2095-2100
89.1
90.9
89.2
85.1
77.7
90.6
75.9
85.6
89.0
84.3
86.4
80.4
80.4
87.4
81.3
83.1
91.6
92.7
92.5
90.1
79.5
72.4
86.4
92.0
73.5
91.7
85.5
93.7
92.7
85.4
80.3
71.8
75.9
78.9
86.1
85.8
92.8
84.6
81.2
85.4
80.6
91.5
93.6
94.2
86.6
93.7
85.8
80.2
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2015 Revision, Key Findings and Advance Tables
TABLE S.12. (continued)
Country or area
Kenya .................................................
Kiribati ...............................................
Kuwait ...............................................
Kyrgyzstan .........................................
Lao People's Dem. Republic ..............
Latvia .................................................
Lebanon .............................................
Lesotho ..............................................
Liberia ................................................
Libya ..................................................
Lithuania ............................................
Luxembourg .......................................
Madagascar ........................................
Malawi ...............................................
Malaysia.............................................
Maldives ............................................
Mali....................................................
Malta ..................................................
Martinique..........................................
Mauritania ..........................................
Mauritius ............................................
Mayotte ..............................................
Mexico ...............................................
Micronesia (Fed. States of) ................
Mongolia ............................................
Montenegro ........................................
Morocco .............................................
Mozambique ......................................
Myanmar ............................................
Namibia .............................................
Nepal..................................................
Netherlands ........................................
New Caledonia...................................
New Zealand ......................................
Nicaragua ...........................................
Niger ..................................................
Nigeria ...............................................
Norway ..............................................
Oman .................................................
Pakistan ..............................................
Panama...............................................
Papua New Guinea.............................
Paraguay ............................................
Peru ....................................................
Philippines .........................................
Poland ................................................
Portugal ..............................................
Puerto Rico ........................................
1990-1995
57.3
61.6
72.4
66.3
54.8
67.7
71.0
60.0
47.7
69.3
69.7
75.8
52.7
43.4
71.3
63.6
47.3
76.5
75.7
58.9
70.3
73.1
71.8
66.5
60.8
74.7
66.0
44.3
59.6
61.2
56.4
77.3
71.5
76.3
66.1
45.5
46.1
77.1
68.5
60.8
73.5
56.5
68.5
66.8
65.7
71.2
74.7
73.8
2005-2010
56.5
65.1
73.7
66.7
63.2
71.5
77.7
45.6
58.1
71.8
71.3
79.5
62.2
52.5
73.8
75.7
54.9
79.5
80.1
61.3
72.8
78.0
75.7
68.3
66.1
74.2
71.5
51.9
64.3
60.1
66.8
80.2
75.2
80.2
72.8
55.6
50.2
80.6
75.1
64.4
76.4
61.5
71.8
73.1
67.5
75.5
78.7
77.9
Life expectancy at birth (years)
2010-2015
2015-2020
2025-2030
60.6
63.3
66.0
65.7
66.8
68.5
74.3
74.8
76.0
70.3
70.9
72.1
65.5
67.6
71.4
73.9
74.5
75.6
78.9
80.3
82.9
49.5
50.4
54.7
60.3
62.0
65.2
71.5
72.2
73.8
73.1
73.7
75.1
81.3
82.3
84.1
64.5
66.4
69.7
61.0
65.8
69.8
74.5
75.3
77.0
76.4
77.6
79.5
57.2
59.7
64.4
80.3
81.2
82.9
81.2
82.6
84.6
62.8
63.6
65.0
74.1
75.0
76.6
79.3
80.6
83.0
76.5
77.5
79.4
68.9
69.6
70.9
68.9
70.5
73.5
76.0
76.6
77.7
73.6
74.9
77.0
54.6
56.2
60.6
65.6
66.5
68.0
64.3
65.3
67.5
69.0
70.9
73.7
81.3
82.1
83.6
76.2
77.3
79.4
81.6
82.4
84.1
74.5
75.9
78.3
60.7
62.8
66.4
52.3
53.7
56.7
81.3
82.1
83.7
76.4
77.5
79.8
65.9
66.8
68.4
77.3
78.2
79.9
62.3
63.2
64.9
72.7
73.2
74.2
74.2
75.5
77.9
68.0
68.7
70.1
77.1
78.0
79.6
80.5
81.7
83.8
79.2
80.2
82.0
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2015 Revision, Key Findings and Advance Tables
2045-2050
71.7
71.4
78.3
74.5
76.6
78.0
86.5
65.0
69.6
76.7
77.7
87.0
74.1
74.8
80.1
82.7
71.2
85.8
88.1
67.5
79.9
86.2
83.1
73.4
78.0
80.2
80.5
68.8
70.6
71.9
78.0
86.2
83.2
86.8
82.4
70.9
62.3
86.2
83.7
71.3
83.0
67.9
76.5
82.1
72.7
82.8
86.7
84.7
2095-2100
79.5
78.6
84.6
81.0
84.8
84.2
92.0
76.3
76.2
84.1
83.8
93.0
82.0
80.4
86.9
87.8
80.5
91.5
94.2
72.7
86.8
92.4
89.4
80.8
85.7
86.2
86.9
76.8
77.0
79.4
85.6
91.6
89.5
92.6
88.6
77.3
73.5
91.7
89.6
79.0
88.3
75.0
83.3
89.0
79.8
88.4
92.9
90.0
47 TABLE S.12. (continued)
Country or area
Qatar ..................................................
Republic of Korea ..............................
Republic of Moldova .........................
Réunion ..............................................
Romania .............................................
Russian Federation .............................
Rwanda ..............................................
Saint Lucia .........................................
St. Vincent and the Grenadines ..........
Samoa ................................................
Sao Tome and Principe ......................
Saudi Arabia ......................................
Senegal...............................................
Serbia .................................................
Seychelles ..........................................
Sierra Leone .......................................
Singapore ...........................................
Slovakia .............................................
Slovenia .............................................
Solomon Islands .................................
Somalia ..............................................
South Africa .......................................
South Sudan .......................................
Spain ..................................................
Sri Lanka............................................
State of Palestine ................................
Sudan .................................................
Suriname ............................................
Swaziland...........................................
Sweden...............................................
Switzerland ........................................
Syrian Arab Republic.........................
Tajikistan ...........................................
TFYR Macedonia ..............................
Thailand .............................................
Timor-Leste .......................................
Togo ...................................................
Tonga .................................................
Trinidad and Tobago ..........................
Tunisia ...............................................
Turkey ................................................
Turkmenistan .....................................
Uganda ...............................................
Ukraine ..............................................
United Arab Emirates ........................
United Kingdom ................................
United Republic of Tanzania .............
United States of America ...................
48
1990-1995
75.2
72.9
67.3
73.6
69.6
66.6
23.1
71.3
70.5
66.2
62.2
70.0
57.6
71.7
70.6
36.0
77.0
71.6
73.7
58.3
45.0
62.3
45.3
77.4
70.0
68.9
56.0
67.6
59.0
78.1
77.9
70.8
62.2
71.5
70.2
50.5
55.8
69.9
68.2
70.3
65.5
62.7
44.1
68.7
72.2
76.2
49.2
75.6
2005-2010
76.9
80.0
68.3
78.2
73.1
67.1
59.2
74.0
71.9
71.5
65.5
73.3
62.2
73.3
72.4
45.9
81.2
74.7
78.6
66.4
53.2
52.2
52.3
81.2
74.1
71.8
60.9
69.6
47.4
81.1
81.8
74.4
67.3
74.4
73.1
66.4
55.7
71.8
69.3
74.6
73.4
64.7
54.3
67.9
75.9
79.6
58.7
78.1
Life expectancy at birth (years)
2010-2015
2015-2020
2025-2030
77.9
78.7
80.3
81.4
82.8
84.6
71.3
71.8
72.7
79.5
80.8
83.0
74.5
75.1
76.5
69.8
70.4
71.6
63.1
66.0
69.6
74.8
75.6
77.0
72.7
73.3
74.4
73.0
74.3
76.7
66.2
66.9
68.2
74.1
74.8
76.1
65.8
67.8
71.1
74.6
75.4
76.8
72.9
73.7
75.5
50.2
52.1
55.8
82.6
83.7
85.4
76.0
76.7
78.0
80.1
81.0
82.8
67.5
68.7
70.6
54.9
56.5
59.8
57.1
57.7
60.9
55.1
57.1
60.8
82.3
83.2
84.7
74.6
75.5
77.3
72.6
73.5
75.1
63.1
64.2
66.4
70.9
71.6
72.9
49.2
48.7
52.7
81.9
82.8
84.4
82.7
83.6
85.0
69.5
70.7
72.8
69.1
69.9
71.4
75.2
75.9
77.4
74.1
75.1
76.9
67.7
69.3
71.7
59.0
61.1
64.7
72.6
73.4
75.0
70.2
70.7
71.8
74.6
75.5
77.1
74.8
76.2
78.6
65.4
66.1
67.4
57.2
61.0
63.9
70.7
71.2
72.0
76.7
77.5
79.2
80.4
81.2
82.8
64.0
66.4
69.8
78.9
79.6
81.1
2045-2050
83.5
87.7
74.7
86.2
79.3
73.9
74.6
80.0
76.7
80.7
70.4
78.7
75.9
79.6
78.7
62.1
88.3
80.7
85.5
73.8
65.4
68.2
66.1
87.3
80.7
78.1
70.0
75.6
62.3
86.9
87.6
76.9
74.2
80.5
80.3
75.3
70.1
78.1
74.0
79.9
82.5
69.8
69.1
73.8
82.7
85.6
74.2
84.0
2095-2100
89.0
93.6
80.4
92.4
85.9
80.3
81.3
86.5
83.2
87.6
76.0
85.3
84.9
86.1
85.4
70.2
94.1
86.7
91.3
81.4
74.1
77.6
73.0
93.0
87.3
85.2
77.1
82.8
75.7
92.3
93.4
84.4
81.0
87.0
87.0
83.0
77.7
85.3
80.5
85.9
88.5
76.1
77.0
79.1
88.8
91.0
80.0
89.3
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2015 Revision, Key Findings and Advance Tables
TABLE S.12. (continued)
Country or area
United States Virgin Islands ..............
Uruguay .............................................
Uzbekistan .........................................
Vanuatu ..............................................
Venezuela (Bolivarian Republic of)...
Viet Nam............................................
Western Sahara ..................................
Yemen ................................................
Zambia ...............................................
Zimbabwe ..........................................
Other non-specified areas...................
1990-1995
75.5
73.0
66.2
64.2
70.2
71.2
58.7
58.6
42.8
55.8
74.4
2005-2010
78.9
76.2
67.6
70.0
73.4
74.7
66.0
62.0
53.5
45.0
78.2
Life expectancy at birth (years)
2010-2015
2015-2020
2025-2030
80.0
81.2
83.4
77.0
77.7
79.3
68.2
68.8
69.9
71.5
72.7
74.7
73.9
74.9
76.7
75.6
76.3
77.8
67.6
69.3
72.1
63.5
64.5
66.3
58.8
62.3
66.0
54.8
62.4
65.9
79.3
80.3
82.2
2045-2050
86.4
82.4
71.9
78.4
80.2
80.9
76.4
69.2
71.8
71.2
85.2
2095-2100
92.0
88.3
77.7
86.0
87.0
87.0
85.1
76.0
78.5
78.2
91.1
Source: United Nations, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division (2015). World Population Prospects:
The 2015 Revision. New York: United Nations.
NOTE: Only countries or areas with 90,000 persons or more in 2015 are considered.
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2015 Revision, Key Findings and Advance Tables
49 TABLE S.13. INFANT MORTALITY RATE BY COUNTRY FOR SELECTED PERIODS
Country or area
World.................................................
1990-1995
63.0
Afghanistan ........................................
Albania ...............................................
Algeria................................................
Angola ................................................
Antigua and Barbuda ..........................
Argentina ............................................
Armenia ..............................................
Aruba..................................................
Australia .............................................
Austria ................................................
Azerbaijan ..........................................
Bahamas .............................................
Bahrain ...............................................
Bangladesh .........................................
Barbados.............................................
Belarus ...............................................
Belgium ..............................................
Belize .................................................
Benin ..................................................
Bhutan ................................................
Bolivia (Plurinational State of) ...........
Bosnia and Herzegovina .....................
Botswana ............................................
Brazil ..................................................
Brunei Darussalam .............................
Bulgaria ..............................................
Burkina Faso ......................................
Burundi...............................................
Cabo Verde.........................................
Cambodia ...........................................
Cameroon ...........................................
Canada................................................
Central African Republic....................
Chad ...................................................
Channel Islands ..................................
Chile ...................................................
China ..................................................
China, Hong Kong SAR .....................
China, Macao SAR .............................
Colombia ............................................
Comoros .............................................
Congo .................................................
Costa Rica ..........................................
Côte d'Ivoire .......................................
Croatia ................................................
Cuba ...................................................
111.3
30.7
47.7
150.7
18.3
24.4
44.1
18.8
6.7
7.1
81.8
15.6
14.9
90.3
16.7
15.1
8.0
29.7
102.6
75.6
84.9
18.4
56.7
42.8
12.8
15.4
104.0
120.6
42.4
86.1
89.9
6.3
111.6
119.2
13.7
19.6
40.5
5.2
10.5
27.6
81.0
79.7
14.6
103.3
10.2
9.9
50
Infant mortality rate (infant deaths per 1,000 live births)
2005-2010
2010-2015
2015-2020
2025-2030
2045-2050
41.9
35.8
31.8
25.8
17.0
79.5
16.1
34.2
104.3
10.0
14.6
21.0
16.0
4.5
3.8
41.1
10.0
8.0
43.3
11.0
6.3
3.8
17.0
73.8
39.5
51.0
9.0
38.6
23.9
6.5
9.9
78.2
86.3
21.5
45.0
82.5
5.1
105.8
106.0
8.7
7.7
16.7
1.9
5.1
19.0
66.7
64.3
10.0
84.6
5.7
5.7
71.1
14.4
30.3
96.2
9.1
13.7
13.2
14.8
4.0
3.1
39.6
9.1
6.9
33.1
9.6
4.0
3.3
14.3
68.7
30.5
42.9
7.6
32.5
20.3
4.2
9.0
66.5
77.9
20.1
29.9
73.5
4.7
93.5
95.8
8.0
7.2
11.6
1.8
4.1
17.9
58.1
50.6
9.3
73.4
3.9
5.5
63.5
12.7
25.4
87.7
7.7
11.7
11.6
13.7
3.3
2.5
36.3
7.8
6.0
25.5
8.0
3.6
2.8
12.4
63.2
24.4
35.0
6.5
29.0
16.2
4.1
8.1
58.5
70.9
17.2
20.4
65.3
4.0
83.6
86.8
7.3
5.7
9.6
1.6
3.1
15.4
52.2
43.6
8.1
62.9
3.3
4.8
51.5
9.7
17.2
71.4
6.0
8.8
9.0
11.6
2.6
1.9
29.7
6.1
4.7
16.9
6.0
2.9
2.1
9.9
54.0
16.9
24.1
5.3
22.0
10.7
4.0
6.8
44.9
59.1
13.0
9.5
51.8
3.1
66.0
70.2
6.2
4.2
6.7
1.2
1.9
11.2
42.2
34.5
6.1
47.1
2.7
3.7
2095-2100
7.4
35.4
6.0
9.1
45.1
3.7
5.6
6.5
8.5
1.7
1.3
19.5
4.4
3.3
10.6
3.9
2.0
1.4
6.6
40.2
9.7
13.4
3.8
15.5
6.1
2.9
4.9
27.1
37.1
8.4
3.5
32.9
2.1
36.0
47.2
4.5
2.7
3.6
0.8
1.0
6.9
27.6
23.3
3.9
25.3
2.0
2.4
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2015 Revision, Key Findings and Advance Tables
15.4
2.4
4.0
17.8
1.7
2.6
3.4
4.8
0.8
0.7
8.0
2.4
2.1
4.1
2.1
0.9
0.8
3.1
17.1
3.3
6.1
2.2
8.2
2.5
0.7
3.2
9.7
16.3
3.6
0.9
15.2
1.0
13.7
9.6
2.1
1.1
1.4
0.4
0.4
3.1
9.5
12.9
1.9
5.0
1.2
0.9
TABLE S.13. (continued)
Country or area
Curaçao ..............................................
Cyprus ................................................
Czech Republic ..................................
Dem. People's Rep. of Korea..............
Dem. Republic of the Congo ..............
Denmark .............................................
Djibouti ..............................................
Dominican Republic ...........................
Ecuador ..............................................
Egypt ..................................................
El Salvador .........................................
Equatorial Guinea ...............................
Eritrea .................................................
Estonia................................................
Ethiopia ..............................................
Fiji ......................................................
Finland ...............................................
France .................................................
French Guiana ....................................
French Polynesia ................................
Gabon .................................................
Gambia ...............................................
Georgia ...............................................
Germany .............................................
Ghana .................................................
Greece ................................................
Grenada ..............................................
Guadeloupe ........................................
Guam ..................................................
Guatemala ..........................................
Guinea ................................................
Guinea-Bissau ....................................
Guyana ...............................................
Haiti....................................................
Honduras ............................................
Hungary ..............................................
Iceland ................................................
India ...................................................
Indonesia ............................................
Iran (Islamic Republic of) ..................
Iraq .....................................................
Ireland ................................................
Israel ...................................................
Italy ....................................................
Jamaica ...............................................
Japan ..................................................
Jordan .................................................
Kazakhstan .........................................
1990-1995
14.8
9.2
9.4
42.1
109.8
6.5
76.1
47.7
43.1
59.6
41.1
110.8
89.9
16.3
114.2
25.2
5.1
6.8
20.7
18.1
60.1
75.2
45.0
6.2
72.5
8.3
17.5
13.7
20.8
54.8
128.3
121.6
44.9
85.8
43.0
13.2
4.8
81.9
56.2
39.8
36.6
6.8
8.4
7.6
22.6
4.4
29.1
51.1
Infant mortality rate (infant deaths per 1,000 live births)
2005-2010
2010-2015
2015-2020
2025-2030
2045-2050
13.0
10.3
9.1
7.0
4.3
4.4
4.2
3.5
2.6
1.9
3.1
2.5
2.1
1.7
1.2
27.3
22.0
19.4
14.9
8.4
83.9
73.2
66.2
53.3
33.8
3.8
3.5
3.5
2.9
2.2
63.4
55.3
50.4
42.6
29.8
29.6
25.1
22.5
17.2
11.0
23.4
21.1
18.7
13.6
8.1
23.5
18.9
15.6
11.6
7.4
20.7
17.0
14.4
10.2
6.7
80.4
70.1
62.1
48.4
29.0
53.9
46.5
36.9
23.4
11.6
4.7
3.2
2.9
2.6
2.1
59.9
50.0
42.6
31.7
20.1
17.9
16.0
13.3
9.6
5.9
2.8
2.3
1.9
1.5
1.1
3.7
3.3
2.8
2.2
1.5
10.6
9.5
9.0
6.5
4.2
8.8
6.9
5.6
4.2
2.7
52.7
43.2
37.3
29.9
21.2
50.9
47.1
42.5
35.9
27.4
19.4
13.7
11.8
9.3
6.4
3.7
3.1
2.6
2.0
1.3
55.4
51.1
46.8
40.3
30.0
4.2
2.8
2.4
1.8
1.3
10.2
9.6
8.5
6.7
4.2
7.0
5.8
4.7
3.5
2.2
11.4
9.7
8.3
6.3
4.1
30.1
22.6
18.7
13.8
8.3
81.0
59.2
50.5
35.8
14.2
101.9
91.9
82.3
68.6
47.4
34.4
33.2
31.0
27.4
20.4
52.2
47.0
41.5
32.9
19.1
29.4
27.8
24.3
18.6
12.1
5.6
4.6
4.2
3.8
3.7
2.0
2.0
1.8
1.5
1.1
50.1
41.4
33.9
23.1
11.5
29.7
25.0
22.4
18.3
12.1
18.9
14.8
12.9
9.7
6.5
33.3
32.1
27.9
21.2
13.6
3.7
2.9
2.4
1.9
1.4
3.9
3.5
2.9
2.2
1.5
3.5
2.3
1.9
1.6
1.2
17.9
15.0
13.4
10.7
7.4
2.6
2.2
1.9
1.4
0.9
19.7
17.1
14.8
11.0
6.8
27.0
14.1
12.5
10.1
7.0
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2015 Revision, Key Findings and Advance Tables
2095-2100
2.1
1.0
0.8
2.0
14.6
1.2
11.4
5.3
2.7
5.7
3.2
10.9
5.2
1.4
10.4
3.0
0.7
0.8
1.7
1.4
12.2
14.2
3.0
0.7
13.1
0.7
2.4
0.9
1.6
4.0
4.4
19.2
9.3
7.9
5.3
2.1
0.7
4.4
2.7
3.8
6.0
1.0
0.7
0.7
3.6
0.4
2.7
4.2
51 TABLE S.13. (continued)
Country or area
Kenya .................................................
Kiribati ...............................................
Kuwait ................................................
Kyrgyzstan .........................................
Lao People's Dem. Republic ..............
Latvia .................................................
Lebanon ..............................................
Lesotho ...............................................
Liberia ................................................
Libya ..................................................
Lithuania ............................................
Luxembourg .......................................
Madagascar ........................................
Malawi ...............................................
Malaysia .............................................
Maldives .............................................
Mali ....................................................
Malta ..................................................
Martinique ..........................................
Mauritania ..........................................
Mauritius ............................................
Mayotte ..............................................
Mexico ...............................................
Micronesia (Fed. States of).................
Mongolia ............................................
Montenegro ........................................
Morocco .............................................
Mozambique .......................................
Myanmar ............................................
Namibia ..............................................
Nepal ..................................................
Netherlands ........................................
New Caledonia ...................................
New Zealand ......................................
Nicaragua ...........................................
Niger ..................................................
Nigeria................................................
Norway ...............................................
Oman ..................................................
Pakistan ..............................................
Panama ...............................................
Papua New Guinea .............................
Paraguay .............................................
Peru ....................................................
Philippines ..........................................
Poland.................................................
Portugal ..............................................
Puerto Rico .........................................
52
1990-1995
71.7
64.3
12.7
59.9
95.7
17.6
25.1
69.4
154.6
32.9
16.5
7.3
100.1
139.2
11.9
60.5
128.1
9.8
13.7
79.7
18.5
13.9
33.1
42.3
67.6
17.9
53.0
135.4
72.8
60.4
87.6
6.2
24.3
7.5
48.0
129.7
126.0
5.9
30.9
101.7
26.3
66.7
42.9
55.5
36.0
16.4
9.5
11.6
Infant mortality rate (infant deaths per 1,000 live births)
2005-2010
2010-2015
2015-2020
2025-2030
2045-2050
59.3
52.5
48.1
38.9
23.8
49.4
46.7
42.5
35.6
25.7
9.7
8.6
7.6
6.0
4.1
36.4
19.6
17.3
13.6
9.0
56.7
46.8
38.1
24.4
12.3
7.8
6.5
5.6
4.9
4.0
10.6
9.3
8.0
6.0
3.9
75.7
60.1
50.1
36.7
21.9
71.8
61.2
52.4
38.5
20.8
24.3
24.3
20.8
16.2
9.9
6.0
3.8
3.2
2.8
2.5
2.3
1.6
1.3
1.1
0.8
45.5
36.8
29.9
19.2
9.4
79.6
60.1
51.8
43.0
33.1
6.8
6.8
6.7
6.5
6.1
14.8
9.0
7.1
5.1
3.4
89.4
84.0
70.0
46.5
18.0
5.8
4.8
4.0
3.1
2.0
7.6
6.4
5.0
3.7
2.2
72.7
67.3
62.5
54.1
40.5
13.2
12.0
10.2
7.6
4.9
5.6
4.2
3.4
2.5
1.7
19.9
18.8
16.3
12.3
7.5
34.9
32.7
30.2
25.7
18.7
30.5
25.8
19.2
10.5
3.5
10.9
4.4
3.8
3.4
3.3
31.8
26.3
20.8
13.7
7.8
73.8
64.4
56.8
44.9
29.0
52.3
46.5
42.9
36.8
27.3
43.2
33.5
29.1
22.2
15.5
41.3
32.4
25.9
17.8
11.2
4.1
3.5
3.1
2.4
1.5
15.1
13.1
11.4
8.9
5.9
5.0
4.3
3.8
3.0
2.1
24.0
20.0
16.4
11.4
7.0
63.7
59.8
50.1
34.5
18.0
89.9
76.3
67.7
55.0
36.7
3.0
2.5
2.1
1.7
1.2
9.8
7.3
5.9
4.6
3.2
76.9
69.8
63.5
50.9
31.9
16.8
15.2
13.7
10.9
7.1
50.1
47.6
44.8
39.8
31.3
32.0
28.8
27.6
23.6
16.2
21.0
18.6
15.1
10.7
6.1
25.9
23.2
21.3
18.1
12.7
6.1
4.6
4.0
3.4
2.5
3.4
3.3
2.6
1.9
1.3
7.0
6.3
5.4
4.4
3.1
2095-2100
12.1
10.1
2.0
4.8
4.9
2.7
1.8
9.9
8.8
6.3
2.1
0.5
4.1
19.6
2.3
2.2
5.3
1.1
0.8
19.9
2.3
0.8
3.1
7.6
2.3
3.3
4.9
14.3
12.0
8.2
5.6
0.5
2.6
1.0
3.3
8.3
10.2
0.7
1.8
9.2
3.6
15.8
6.3
2.6
3.2
1.5
0.6
1.5
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2015 Revision, Key Findings and Advance Tables
TABLE S.13. (continued)
Country or area
Qatar ...................................................
Republic of Korea ..............................
Republic of Moldova ..........................
Réunion ..............................................
Romania .............................................
Russian Federation .............................
Rwanda...............................................
Saint Lucia .........................................
St. Vincent and the Grenadines ..........
Samoa .................................................
Sao Tome and Principe.......................
Saudi Arabia .......................................
Senegal ...............................................
Serbia .................................................
Seychelles...........................................
Sierra Leone .......................................
Singapore ...........................................
Slovakia ..............................................
Slovenia ..............................................
Solomon Islands .................................
Somalia...............................................
South Africa .......................................
South Sudan .......................................
Spain ..................................................
Sri Lanka ............................................
State of Palestine ................................
Sudan..................................................
Suriname ............................................
Swaziland ...........................................
Sweden ...............................................
Switzerland.........................................
Syrian Arab Republic .........................
Tajikistan ............................................
TFYR Macedonia ...............................
Thailand .............................................
Timor-Leste ........................................
Togo ...................................................
Tonga .................................................
Trinidad and Tobago ..........................
Tunisia................................................
Turkey ................................................
Turkmenistan......................................
Uganda ...............................................
Ukraine ...............................................
United Arab Emirates .........................
United Kingdom .................................
United Republic of Tanzania ..............
United States of America ...................
1990-1995
14.7
9.8
29.0
13.9
23.0
22.0
288.7
17.3
22.3
36.1
57.5
30.4
71.6
17.2
11.5
160.6
4.6
11.6
7.3
77.9
129.6
48.3
130.0
6.5
20.0
33.1
80.0
34.6
69.3
5.3
6.1
26.3
88.2
26.5
26.1
118.8
83.5
26.4
28.2
35.2
56.2
75.5
109.9
17.1
16.5
6.9
103.1
8.8
Infant mortality rate (infant deaths per 1,000 live births)
2005-2010
2010-2015
2015-2020
2025-2030
2045-2050
7.5
6.5
5.6
4.6
3.3
4.6
2.9
2.1
1.4
0.7
15.5
10.9
9.9
8.5
6.4
5.6
4.2
3.4
2.5
1.7
12.0
9.6
8.4
6.5
4.3
10.7
8.2
7.4
6.3
4.9
58.8
49.2
42.6
31.6
20.1
11.9
10.9
9.6
7.5
5.7
18.5
16.5
15.3
12.8
8.8
22.4
19.7
17.6
14.6
10.8
46.1
43.5
41.2
37.1
30.3
16.2
15.3
13.2
9.9
6.5
54.1
44.3
33.5
19.0
8.3
12.4
9.8
8.4
6.6
5.4
10.2
10.2
8.1
6.3
4.1
117.0
94.4
81.3
61.7
39.1
2.2
1.8
1.5
1.1
0.7
6.3
4.9
4.4
4.1
3.7
2.9
2.9
2.8
2.2
1.6
42.9
38.0
33.6
26.6
17.9
89.8
79.5
69.9
58.5
39.7
51.9
38.3
33.5
27.1
18.8
89.1
77.7
67.9
54.3
36.4
3.6
3.0
2.5
2.0
1.4
10.1
8.2
6.9
5.2
3.5
23.1
20.6
18.5
15.0
10.3
59.7
53.3
48.4
40.0
26.0
22.2
17.4
15.3
12.1
7.9
75.9
64.6
57.9
45.4
26.5
2.5
2.8
2.4
2.0
1.5
4.2
3.7
3.1
2.4
1.6
14.9
17.9
14.9
10.3
5.5
45.1
39.9
35.7
28.3
18.5
11.9
10.1
8.5
6.3
4.3
13.4
11.2
9.5
7.2
4.6
50.2
43.9
37.5
28.4
16.9
64.3
50.2
42.0
30.7
14.7
22.0
20.4
18.9
16.1
11.7
26.6
24.8
23.0
18.9
13.0
18.7
18.7
16.5
12.3
8.5
16.4
12.6
9.9
6.7
4.1
50.5
46.7
43.4
37.5
27.5
69.5
61.2
55.9
47.6
30.9
12.6
9.2
8.4
7.5
6.1
6.9
6.2
5.2
4.0
2.5
4.9
4.2
3.6
2.9
2.1
52.4
37.0
31.6
25.8
19.1
6.9
6.0
5.3
4.3
2.9
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2015 Revision, Key Findings and Advance Tables
2095-2100
1.9
0.2
4.3
0.8
2.2
3.7
10.4
3.2
4.6
5.6
17.5
3.6
2.8
4.8
2.5
17.8
0.4
3.6
0.8
7.2
17.4
10.2
19.8
0.7
1.8
4.7
11.7
4.2
10.6
0.8
0.7
2.4
8.3
2.4
2.3
4.0
6.0
5.6
6.4
5.5
2.0
10.0
14.9
4.7
1.3
1.3
11.5
1.6
53 TABLE S.13. (continued)
Country or area
United States Virgin Islands ...............
Uruguay ..............................................
Uzbekistan ..........................................
Vanuatu ..............................................
Venezuela (Bolivarian Republic of) ...
Viet Nam ............................................
Western Sahara...................................
Yemen ................................................
Zambia ...............................................
Zimbabwe...........................................
Other non-specified areas ...................
1990-1995
15.2
20.1
59.5
51.6
23.4
33.8
75.9
84.0
115.0
58.9
5.4
Infant mortality rate (infant deaths per 1,000 live births)
2005-2010
2010-2015
2015-2020
2025-2030
2045-2050
10.6
9.4
8.5
6.9
5.0
13.4
12.7
11.0
8.8
6.1
47.1
44.0
40.8
34.4
24.6
28.7
23.9
20.6
15.7
10.0
15.9
13.8
12.1
9.2
6.1
22.2
19.3
17.2
13.6
8.9
44.1
37.2
30.7
21.8
12.5
61.3
53.6
48.6
40.4
26.7
69.5
55.4
46.5
35.6
23.9
61.8
48.4
39.1
32.0
22.2
5.2
4.2
3.5
2.5
1.6
2095-2100
2.4
3.1
10.2
4.2
3.2
4.2
4.7
9.4
13.1
13.1
0.8
Source: United Nations, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division (2015). World Population Prospects:
The 2015 Revision. New York: United Nations.
NOTE: Only countries or areas with 90,000 persons or more in 2015 are considered
54
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2015 Revision, Key Findings and Advance Tables
TABLE S.14. UNDER-FIVE MORTALITY BY COUNTRY FOR SELECTED PERIODS
Country or area
1990-1995
Under-five mortality (deaths under age five per 1,000 live births)
2005-2010
2010-2015
2015-2020
2025-2030
2045-2050
2095-2100
World ................................................
90.5
58.8
49.6
44.1
36.0
23.4
9.5
Afghanistan ........................................
Albania ...............................................
Algeria................................................
Angola ................................................
Antigua and Barbuda ..........................
Argentina ............................................
Armenia ..............................................
Aruba..................................................
Australia .............................................
Austria ................................................
Azerbaijan ..........................................
Bahamas .............................................
Bahrain ...............................................
Bangladesh .........................................
Barbados.............................................
Belarus ...............................................
Belgium ..............................................
Belize .................................................
Benin ..................................................
Bhutan ................................................
Bolivia (Plurinational State of) ...........
Bosnia and Herzegovina.....................
Botswana ............................................
Brazil ..................................................
Brunei Darussalam .............................
Bulgaria ..............................................
Burkina Faso ......................................
Burundi...............................................
Cabo Verde ........................................
Cambodia ...........................................
Cameroon ...........................................
Canada................................................
Central African Republic....................
Chad ...................................................
Channel Islands ..................................
Chile ...................................................
China ..................................................
China, Hong Kong SAR .....................
China, Macao SAR .............................
Colombia ............................................
Comoros .............................................
Congo .................................................
Costa Rica ..........................................
Côte d'Ivoire .......................................
Croatia ................................................
162.5
37.1
60.2
253.4
22.6
28.2
52.7
22.0
8.2
8.6
100.0
23.2
18.6
128.9
20.3
18.2
9.4
36.5
168.4
124.8
138.2
21.5
73.3
49.5
15.8
19.2
203.9
202.8
53.6
118.6
144.0
7.6
182.3
198.8
15.9
25.2
50.0
6.9
14.1
38.0
113.8
124.6
17.5
149.0
11.9
111.8
17.6
41.3
170.5
12.5
17.1
23.7
18.7
5.3
4.6
47.6
14.9
10.6
55.6
12.8
8.1
4.7
19.9
116.1
50.1
85.2
10.6
48.4
28.7
7.8
11.8
126.5
137.7
25.4
53.9
130.6
5.9
172.6
173.4
10.1
12.6
19.6
3.1
6.9
26.8
91.4
98.3
12.3
120.0
6.8
98.6
15.7
36.0
155.7
11.4
16.0
16.2
17.2
4.7
3.8
47.1
13.3
9.3
41.0
11.0
5.3
4.1
16.6
108.2
37.3
72.2
9.0
40.1
24.3
4.9
10.8
108.4
123.2
23.6
34.9
115.5
5.4
150.7
155.0
9.2
11.9
13.5
2.6
5.5
25.2
77.9
74.6
11.4
105.0
5.0
86.5
13.8
30.3
140.2
9.6
13.7
14.3
16.0
3.9
3.1
43.2
11.5
8.1
31.7
9.2
4.7
3.4
14.4
99.7
30.0
59.4
7.7
35.5
19.5
4.7
9.7
95.5
111.0
20.0
24.0
101.1
4.6
133.3
141.4
8.5
9.6
11.2
2.2
4.2
21.8
68.6
62.6
10.9
90.7
4.2
67.5
10.7
20.5
111.2
7.5
10.4
11.2
13.7
3.0
2.3
35.5
9.0
6.3
21.3
7.0
3.9
2.6
11.5
85.1
20.9
40.2
6.2
26.3
12.9
4.3
8.1
73.3
90.0
15.1
11.3
77.3
3.6
102.1
116.0
7.2
6.9
7.9
1.7
2.6
15.7
53.3
47.3
8.5
69.1
3.4
43.7
6.7
10.8
65.2
4.6
6.7
8.0
10.2
2.0
1.5
23.3
6.3
4.4
13.5
4.7
2.7
1.8
7.7
62.6
12.1
21.3
4.5
18.3
7.4
3.0
5.9
43.4
51.4
9.8
4.3
44.8
2.4
49.9
77.5
5.2
4.1
4.3
1.1
1.4
9.5
33.2
29.7
5.6
37.0
2.5
17.9
2.7
4.8
22.2
2.1
3.1
4.1
5.8
0.9
0.8
9.7
3.4
2.7
5.4
2.5
1.2
1.0
3.6
24.2
4.2
8.6
2.6
9.7
3.0
0.7
3.9
13.9
20.4
4.2
1.1
19.1
1.2
17.2
13.9
2.4
1.5
1.6
0.5
0.5
4.0
11.0
16.7
2.6
6.9
1.6
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2015 Revision, Key Findings and Advance Tables
55 TABLE S.14. (continued)
Country or area
Cuba ...................................................
Curaçao ..............................................
Cyprus ................................................
Czech Republic ..................................
Dem. People's Rep. of Korea..............
Dem. Republic of the Congo ..............
Denmark .............................................
Djibouti ..............................................
Dominican Republic ...........................
Ecuador ..............................................
Egypt ..................................................
El Salvador .........................................
Equatorial Guinea...............................
Eritrea .................................................
Estonia................................................
Ethiopia ..............................................
Fiji ......................................................
Finland ...............................................
France .................................................
French Guiana ....................................
French Polynesia ................................
Gabon .................................................
Gambia ...............................................
Georgia ...............................................
Germany .............................................
Ghana .................................................
Greece ................................................
Grenada ..............................................
Guadeloupe ........................................
Guam ..................................................
Guatemala ..........................................
Guinea ................................................
Guinea-Bissau ....................................
Guyana ...............................................
Haiti....................................................
Honduras ............................................
Hungary ..............................................
Iceland ................................................
India ...................................................
Indonesia ............................................
Iran (Islamic Republic of) ..................
Iraq .....................................................
Ireland ................................................
Israel ...................................................
Italy ....................................................
Jamaica ...............................................
Japan ..................................................
Jordan .................................................
56
1990-1995
14.0
17.5
10.9
11.1
56.4
182.3
7.9
120.0
54.7
54.7
80.4
53.0
184.1
130.1
19.8
190.6
34.5
6.1
8.2
24.4
19.7
90.9
155.7
49.0
7.7
114.3
9.3
23.6
16.4
24.5
74.3
215.9
204.5
57.7
126.9
60.0
15.1
5.9
115.6
73.1
50.4
48.2
8.1
10.1
8.9
27.2
6.1
34.2
Under-five mortality (deaths under age five per 1,000 live births)
2005-2010
2010-2015
2015-2020
2025-2030
2045-2050
7.1
6.9
6.0
4.7
3.1
15.4
12.2
10.8
8.3
5.2
5.2
5.0
4.2
3.1
2.2
3.9
3.1
2.7
2.2
1.5
34.6
27.9
24.2
18.1
9.6
134.3
115.1
102.8
80.0
45.7
4.5
4.2
4.3
3.6
2.7
97.5
83.4
76.1
64.3
44.4
32.8
28.1
25.3
19.4
12.6
28.8
25.4
22.6
16.5
9.9
30.0
24.2
19.9
14.8
9.3
24.1
19.7
16.7
11.9
7.9
126.5
109.0
95.3
71.3
38.4
71.7
59.8
47.5
30.0
14.8
6.0
4.3
3.9
3.4
2.7
91.3
74.0
60.9
42.8
25.5
22.5
19.9
16.6
12.1
7.5
3.5
2.9
2.4
1.9
1.3
4.5
4.0
3.3
2.7
1.8
12.3
11.0
10.5
7.8
5.1
9.6
7.6
6.2
4.6
3.0
77.4
61.9
51.8
39.7
26.8
89.6
82.9
75.1
62.8
46.3
22.4
16.4
14.2
11.2
7.8
4.5
3.8
3.1
2.4
1.6
83.9
77.5
71.2
61.3
45.1
4.9
3.5
2.9
2.3
1.6
13.9
13.1
11.6
9.1
5.7
7.8
6.4
5.2
3.9
2.5
13.2
11.2
9.6
7.4
4.8
39.6
31.6
26.5
19.4
11.7
139.5
100.7
86.1
60.8
23.3
168.1
151.8
137.1
114.6
78.1
42.9
41.1
38.4
34.1
25.7
85.9
77.4
68.3
53.4
30.3
42.5
40.1
35.3
26.7
16.8
6.6
5.5
5.1
4.7
4.5
2.9
2.6
2.3
1.9
1.4
65.7
52.6
43.4
29.3
14.6
36.6
30.3
27.0
21.8
14.0
22.3
17.2
15.1
11.4
7.6
38.8
37.5
32.6
25.0
16.1
4.5
3.6
3.0
2.3
1.7
4.9
4.4
3.7
2.8
1.9
4.1
2.7
2.3
1.9
1.4
21.2
17.9
15.9
12.8
8.9
3.5
3.0
2.6
2.0
1.3
22.8
19.8
17.2
12.9
8.0
2095-2100
1.2
2.4
1.2
1.0
2.3
18.4
1.5
15.9
6.2
3.2
6.9
3.8
13.8
6.5
1.8
13.1
3.9
0.8
0.9
2.0
1.6
15.4
21.1
3.7
0.9
18.2
0.9
3.1
1.1
1.9
5.3
6.5
28.1
11.7
11.7
6.9
2.6
0.8
5.5
3.0
4.5
7.2
1.2
0.8
0.8
4.3
0.5
3.2
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2015 Revision, Key Findings and Advance Tables
TABLE S.14. (continued)
Country or area
Kazakhstan .........................................
Kenya .................................................
Kiribati ...............................................
Kuwait ................................................
Kyrgyzstan .........................................
Lao People's Dem. Republic ..............
Latvia .................................................
Lebanon..............................................
Lesotho ...............................................
Liberia ................................................
Libya ..................................................
Lithuania ............................................
Luxembourg .......................................
Madagascar ........................................
Malawi ...............................................
Malaysia .............................................
Maldives .............................................
Mali ....................................................
Malta ..................................................
Martinique ..........................................
Mauritania ..........................................
Mauritius ............................................
Mayotte ..............................................
Mexico ...............................................
Micronesia (Fed. States of) ................
Mongolia ............................................
Montenegro ........................................
Morocco .............................................
Mozambique.......................................
Myanmar ............................................
Namibia ..............................................
Nepal ..................................................
Netherlands ........................................
New Caledonia ...................................
New Zealand ......................................
Nicaragua ...........................................
Niger ..................................................
Nigeria................................................
Norway ...............................................
Oman ..................................................
Pakistan ..............................................
Panama ...............................................
Papua New Guinea .............................
Paraguay .............................................
Peru ....................................................
Philippines ..........................................
Poland ................................................
Portugal ..............................................
1990-1995
60.6
108.5
87.3
16.5
72.4
137.1
21.4
30.0
93.7
233.6
39.2
19.6
8.8
152.3
215.0
15.6
82.0
246.3
11.2
16.5
122.5
21.2
16.9
40.4
53.8
91.4
20.3
68.2
228.7
100.8
80.5
124.5
7.6
29.0
9.3
61.9
293.2
213.3
7.3
40.2
132.3
33.2
91.5
54.7
77.3
48.1
18.4
12.3
Under-five mortality (deaths under age five per 1,000 live births)
2005-2010
2010-2015
2015-2020
2025-2030
2045-2050
32.8
17.5
15.4
12.5
8.7
89.5
78.0
70.3
54.3
30.3
64.1
60.1
53.7
43.8
30.8
12.5
11.2
9.8
7.8
5.3
45.7
23.0
20.4
16.1
10.8
75.8
60.2
47.5
29.1
14.3
9.4
7.8
6.8
5.9
4.9
12.3
10.8
9.3
7.0
4.5
104.9
82.0
66.7
46.8
26.7
99.9
85.2
73.2
54.1
29.1
28.7
28.8
24.7
19.3
11.8
7.4
4.7
4.0
3.6
3.2
3.3
2.0
1.8
1.4
1.0
67.4
54.5
44.3
27.9
13.4
105.6
76.8
63.8
51.2
38.8
8.5
8.3
8.0
7.5
6.6
17.2
10.5
8.3
6.0
4.0
153.3
122.5
102.4
68.5
26.5
6.8
5.8
4.8
3.7
2.5
8.9
7.4
5.9
4.3
2.6
104.4
90.1
83.8
72.9
54.8
15.2
14.2
12.2
9.2
5.9
6.6
4.8
3.9
2.9
1.9
24.6
23.2
20.2
15.3
9.3
43.1
40.0
36.6
30.6
21.9
37.0
32.0
23.1
12.0
3.8
11.7
7.6
6.6
5.6
4.9
39.1
31.7
25.2
16.6
9.5
116.1
99.5
86.0
64.9
38.4
68.7
59.7
54.3
45.5
32.8
55.8
42.0
35.7
26.4
18.3
52.0
39.5
30.9
20.8
13.2
4.9
4.1
3.7
2.8
1.8
17.5
15.2
13.2
10.3
6.8
6.2
5.3
4.6
3.7
2.6
28.7
23.5
19.3
13.5
8.3
149.0
104.2
87.6
59.9
30.2
142.2
122.2
109.4
89.6
59.4
3.7
3.0
2.6
2.0
1.5
11.8
8.9
7.2
5.6
4.0
96.6
86.7
78.9
63.3
39.6
21.9
19.7
18.2
14.5
9.5
65.8
62.0
57.9
50.6
38.7
38.5
34.7
33.5
28.6
19.6
32.6
29.1
24.1
16.7
9.3
34.0
30.3
27.7
23.2
15.9
7.0
5.4
4.8
4.0
3.0
4.3
3.9
3.1
2.3
1.5
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2015 Revision, Key Findings and Advance Tables
2095-2100
5.2
15.2
11.7
2.5
5.9
5.7
3.4
2.1
11.7
11.9
7.5
2.7
0.6
5.5
22.8
2.4
2.6
7.5
1.4
1.0
26.3
2.7
1.0
3.7
8.8
2.5
4.3
5.8
18.0
13.8
9.5
6.5
0.6
3.0
1.2
3.9
12.3
14.7
0.9
2.3
11.2
4.6
18.5
7.7
3.5
3.6
1.8
0.7
57 TABLE S.14. (continued)
Country or area
Puerto Rico .........................................
Qatar ...................................................
Republic of Korea ..............................
Republic of Moldova ..........................
Réunion ..............................................
Romania .............................................
Russian Federation .............................
Rwanda...............................................
Saint Lucia .........................................
St. Vincent and the Grenadines ..........
Samoa .................................................
Sao Tome and Principe.......................
Saudi Arabia .......................................
Senegal ...............................................
Serbia .................................................
Seychelles...........................................
Sierra Leone .......................................
Singapore ...........................................
Slovakia..............................................
Slovenia..............................................
Solomon Islands .................................
Somalia...............................................
South Africa .......................................
South Sudan .......................................
Spain ..................................................
Sri Lanka ............................................
State of Palestine ................................
Sudan..................................................
Suriname ............................................
Swaziland ...........................................
Sweden ...............................................
Switzerland.........................................
Syrian Arab Republic .........................
Tajikistan ............................................
TFYR Macedonia ...............................
Thailand .............................................
Timor-Leste ........................................
Togo ...................................................
Tonga .................................................
Trinidad and Tobago ..........................
Tunisia................................................
Turkey ................................................
Turkmenistan......................................
Uganda ...............................................
Ukraine ...............................................
United Arab Emirates .........................
United Kingdom .................................
United Republic of Tanzania ..............
58
1990-1995
13.7
18.5
12.9
34.6
16.9
28.7
26.1
466.4
24.2
28.0
45.3
87.4
38.7
137.9
20.2
15.5
272.8
5.8
13.5
8.8
109.2
221.9
62.7
219.5
8.5
25.6
40.5
129.7
44.8
95.1
6.3
7.5
31.7
114.5
29.5
31.3
174.0
142.0
32.0
34.4
40.5
72.7
95.7
175.0
21.0
19.3
8.2
164.8
Under-five mortality (deaths under age five per 1,000 live births)
2005-2010
2010-2015
2015-2020
2025-2030
2045-2050
9.1
7.2
6.3
5.2
3.7
9.2
7.9
6.9
5.6
4.0
5.9
3.7
2.7
1.7
0.9
19.2
13.4
12.2
10.5
7.9
6.6
4.8
3.9
2.9
1.9
14.2
12.7
11.1
8.7
5.8
13.2
10.2
9.2
7.8
6.1
89.7
72.7
61.0
42.5
25.4
16.0
14.8
13.0
10.2
7.6
23.4
20.9
19.4
16.2
11.1
26.8
23.4
20.9
17.3
12.8
67.1
62.6
58.5
51.3
40.1
18.0
16.8
14.5
11.0
7.2
82.1
53.6
40.6
23.3
10.4
14.7
11.6
10.0
7.9
6.5
12.7
12.7
10.2
7.9
5.2
180.1
134.2
116.6
90.1
57.5
2.8
2.3
1.8
1.4
0.9
7.6
6.0
5.4
5.0
4.5
3.6
3.4
3.2
2.5
1.8
54.3
47.4
41.2
31.9
20.9
147.0
131.2
116.4
94.3
58.7
71.7
50.8
42.8
33.7
22.7
142.2
122.3
107.3
84.3
52.5
4.8
3.6
3.0
2.4
1.6
11.7
9.6
8.1
6.1
4.1
27.3
24.3
21.6
17.5
12.0
93.3
81.5
74.0
59.4
36.0
29.5
23.2
20.5
16.2
10.6
113.5
92.0
80.6
60.6
33.8
3.2
3.3
2.9
2.4
1.8
4.9
4.2
3.5
2.7
1.8
17.4
20.9
17.5
12.2
6.5
58.5
51.3
46.0
36.5
23.7
12.5
10.7
9.0
6.7
4.6
15.6
13.1
11.1
8.4
5.4
64.5
55.7
47.0
34.7
19.9
99.8
85.9
72.2
52.3
24.3
26.3
24.3
22.4
18.9
13.6
33.5
30.9
28.7
23.7
16.2
20.4
20.4
18.1
13.6
9.6
23.0
18.6
14.8
9.9
5.9
64.3
59.5
55.4
47.7
34.8
106.3
93.5
84.2
69.8
41.4
15.1
11.0
10.1
9.0
7.3
8.1
7.2
6.1
4.6
2.9
5.7
4.9
4.2
3.4
2.5
77.2
51.5
42.6
33.2
24.2
2095-2100
1.8
2.3
0.2
5.3
1.0
2.9
4.5
13.1
4.1
5.6
6.6
22.3
4.1
3.7
5.8
3.2
24.9
0.5
4.4
1.0
8.3
20.3
12.0
23.2
0.8
2.1
5.4
13.5
5.4
12.9
1.0
0.8
2.9
10.4
2.7
2.7
4.5
8.8
6.5
7.8
6.5
2.6
12.5
18.8
5.6
1.6
1.6
14.5
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2015 Revision, Key Findings and Advance Tables
TABLE S.14. (continued)
Country or area
United States of America ...................
United States Virgin Islands ...............
Uruguay ..............................................
Uzbekistan ..........................................
Vanuatu ..............................................
Venezuela (Bolivarian Republic of) ...
Viet Nam ............................................
Western Sahara...................................
Yemen ................................................
Zambia ...............................................
Zimbabwe...........................................
Other non-specified areas ...................
1990-1995
10.6
17.9
23.1
71.6
67.6
29.0
46.0
105.9
118.9
181.6
81.0
8.3
Under-five mortality (deaths under age five per 1,000 live births)
2005-2010
2010-2015
2015-2020
2025-2030
2045-2050
8.0
7.0
6.2
5.1
3.5
12.3
10.9
9.8
8.0
5.8
16.0
15.0
13.1
10.5
7.4
57.1
53.3
49.5
41.8
30.0
34.6
28.4
24.2
18.2
11.6
18.5
15.9
14.0
10.7
7.1
28.1
24.3
21.7
17.2
11.4
56.1
46.1
37.3
25.7
14.5
83.2
72.8
66.1
54.6
35.6
105.6
83.0
67.9
49.1
30.4
91.4
71.8
55.3
43.2
28.3
6.5
5.3
4.3
3.1
1.9
2095-2100
2.0
2.8
3.6
12.4
5.0
3.7
5.4
5.5
11.9
16.5
16.9
1.0
Source: United Nations, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division (2015). World Population Prospects: The 2015
Revision. New York: United Nations.
NOTE: Only countries or areas with 90,000 persons or more in 2015 are considered.
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2015 Revision, Key Findings and Advance Tables
59 United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2015 Revision, Key Findings and Advance Tables
60