CCAFS CONCEPT NOTE Rural-urban food systems: ensuring food security under a changing climate Background Half of the world’s population currently reside in urban areas and virtually all of the projected 2.5 billion increase in human population over the next several decades is expected to occur in the developing world’s urban areas. High birth rates in urban areas, as well as accelerated migration from rural to urban areas is driving urban growth, with the highest annual rates of urban growth occurring in Africa and Asia. These regions face significant adjustment pressures, as poverty becomes increasingly urbanized and food producing environments along the rural to urban continuum face significant risks from climate change and other drivers of global change. Food security is a paramount challenge in these rapidly urbanizing low-income regions, where the urban poor typically allocate more than half their income to food (Cohen and Garret, 2009), and people in rural areas move to urban areas in search of non-farm jobs thus diminishing the on-farm labour pool. Climate shocks exacerbate food insecurity, and climate change is expected to intensify these effects. Over the last few years, food prices have become extremely volatile, owing in part to climate events. Extreme climatic events, such as drought, heatwaves and floods, in globally important food producing regions and agricultural land-use conversion from cereals to biofuel crops, along with an array of non-climate factors, have exerted upward pressure on food prices, which has triggered inward focused national food policies that further exacerbate global food price spikes (Von Braun, 2009). Responding to food insecurity in the larger context of adapting agricultural and food systems to climate change will require gaining a much better understanding of the strategies that the urban and rural poor employ to bolster food security, which include bidirectional flows between rural food production systems and urban remittances, and to understand how climate change could influence this dynamic. Currently, the knowledge base needed to inform adaptation-oriented policies and investments for urban and rural food security in a landscape scale of linked rural and urban areas is woefully inadequate (ISET, 2008). Description of activities The consortium of organizations represented in this concept note seek to advance understanding of the dynamics of food security across the rural-urban continuum—how and from where food is accessed and how it is differentially accessed across various socio-economic and environmental settings. The proposed work would have an explicit climate change focus in that it would examine how climate shocks and covariate risks affect food security of vulnerable groups, taking into account climate change in the context of multiple stressors and drivers of change. The proposed work would use a landscape approach where the two-way flow of people and resources is examined in the continuum between rural and urban settings. An integral part of this work will be the development of research methodologies that critically examine the theory of change and output-outcome-impact pathways in this context. 1 To address critical knowledge gaps in this research area, the team proposes to examine the following issues and questions. 1. The rural-urban continuum and food security: To the extent that rural and urban realms are mutually supportive and dependent, how do the flows of people, resources (i.e. goods and remittances) and information contribute to urban and rural food security? Where are there tradeoffs and synergies with respect to food security, economic diversification, and functioning of environmental services in the urban to rural continuum? How might these tradeoffs and synergies change over the next several decades given climatic and other global change trajectories? Do the spatial linkages between rural and urban spheres offer novel opportunities for advancing adaptation? 2. Urban food systems and urban and peri-urban agriculture: To what extent does urban and peri-urban agriculture (UPA) contribute to food and livelihood security in urban areas and to the flow of remittances to rural areas? How elastic is UPA as a response strategy to risks that produce food insecurity in urban areas? What is the nature of urban food supply chains (high value, staple, etc.)? How much do food insecure groups depend on the urban food supply chain (e.g. transporters, processors, storers, marketers, etc.) for their livelihoods, and how can these chains be made more resilient to warmer temperatures and greater incidence of extreme events? 3. Policy, governance and institutional factors and drivers: What are the critical policy, governance, and institutional capacity issues within and across formal and informal sectors that influence urban and rural food systems and food access and stability for the poor? What enabling and constraining factors need to be addressed to allow policies and institutions to work more effectively, in light of increased extreme climate events and other proximate and distant shocks to urban and rural food systems caused by interactions of climatic and non-climatic drivers? 4. Social differentiation and food security in the rural-urban continuum: How are the roles of poor men and women changing as they migrate from rural to urban areas? How do their new roles impact food security in both urban and rural areas? How could property and tenure rights shift to different groups as urban areas rapidly expand and how could this influence food security of men, women and children in urban and rural areas? Given the significant knowledge gaps around the issues described above, we propose to conduct a scoping study that would encompass one sphere of urban to peri-urban to rural in each of the three CCAFS regions. The areas would be located in close proximity to CCAFS benchmark sites. Because a landscape approach will be used, sites will be chosen that include cities and towns involved in urban and peri-urban agriculture and rural areas dominated by mixed cereals, livestock and agroforestry. Scoping studies in these three areas would inform CCAFS efforts to develop a more comprehensive research agenda for, and approaches to, advancing understanding of the 2 interlinkages between food systems and food security, and the changing role that bidirectional urban-rural migration plays as a food security strategy (or food insecurity response) under a changing climate. Such research would broaden understanding of how the rural to urban continuum through which flow food, resources for livelihoods and food production, and remittances, influence how rural and urban households address their food security needs. By integrating rural and urban spheres, such research could point to potential novel approaches for promoting food security and food systems resilience that could advance the adaptation agenda, which still largely dichotomizes rural and urban. The steps needed to begin the scoping study will require representatives from the collaborating parties (the core group and select experts) to develop key sets of questions that need to be answered in the scoping study; questions that would be refined from those described above. As part of this process, the core group will identify national level project partners in three CCAFS countries selected for the scoping study to collaborate with the core group in implementing the study. Outputs The scoping study will result in the publication of peer-review papers and a report containing recommendations for future research and communication/outreach, as well as provide policy recommendations related to enhancing food security. This project will contribute to developing a framework for how to conduct research on the rural-urban continuum taking into consideration various landscapes and contexts. This framework would be applicable to other rural-urban spaces for assessing food security in urban and rural areas in the context of urbanization and climate change. The proposed work is unique because it focuses on food security and climate change adaptation centred around critical dynamics between urban and rural areas. The proposed research directly addresses three important areas of CCAFS that heretofore have not received much attention, given that CCAFS is just beginning its 10-year initiative. These areas are 1) a broad focus on the food system; 2) an explicit focus on food security through an examination of food access, utilization and stability issues; and 3) a focus on the urban poor within the rural-urban continuum, a group that is rapidly emerging as not only as a critical food insecure group, but also a culturally heterogeneous group. Collaboration & Partnerships The strength of CCAFS as a vehicle for examining food security lies in its coupling of the CGIAR centres, with their historic mandate to increase food production, with researchers from within the CGIAR and the GEC research community with expertise in food systems approaches to understanding food security and environmental change. It is in recognition of the unique opportunities gained through an interdisciplinary coupling of these two research communities that a concept note is put forth jointly by START, IHDP, ICRAF, ILRI, CGC-Bangladesh, and ECI-Oxford to develop a proposal that would examine urban and rural food security and climate change within the CCAFS programme. 3 Results of this study have the potential to link to a wide range of stakeholders. At global and regional levels, these would include the UNFCCC’s impacts, vulnerability and adaptation work programme, FAO’s Food for Cities initiative, ASARECA, and RUFORUM. At the local level the potential stakeholders are quite diverse and include national scientists, urban planners, national ministries, NGOs, farmer-based organizations, and various rural and urban food networks. References Cohen, M. J. and J. L. Garrett. 2009. The food price crisis and urban food (in) security. Human Settlements Working Papers series: Urbanization and Emerging Population issues-2. International Institue for Environment and Development. ISET (Institute of Social and Environmental Transformation). 2008. Re-imagining the rural-urban continuum. Research gap assessment. von Braun, J. 2009. Responding to the World Food Crisis. Getting on the Right Track. IFPRI Discussion paper. S 4