Soc 971 Week 5: Cohabitation February 16, 2006 Data and Methods Prepared by Nikki and Hongyun Data Sources Until the late 1980s, researchers used indirect estimates of cohabitation prevalence (e.g., the Census Bureau’s POSSLQ estimates) 1987-88 NSFH collected the first cohabitation histories. The dataset includes complete cohabitation histories from a sample of men and women at all ages, over-sampling currently cohabitated men and women. - Includes data on cohabiters’ marriage plans, the nature and quality of the relationship between partners, and attitudes relating to marriage and cohabitation In 1990, the census began to include the category “unmarried partner” as a possible response to the household relationship question. In 1995, the Current Population Survey (CPS) began to include the “unmarried partner” category as well. In 1995, the National Survey of Growth (NSFG) began collecting detailed information about cohabitation. NSFG-5 is a periodic survey conducted by the National Center for Health Statistics with the primary goal of providing estimates of actors affecting the US birth rates and the reproductive health of US women 15-44. Cycle-5 provides complete cohabitation histories. It interviewed 10,847 respondents over the first months of 1995. Longitudinal Study of the High School Class of 1972 (1972-86) (Brien, Lillard& Waite 1999) Marital Instability Over the Life Course (1980,1992,1997,2000) (Dush, Cohan&Amato 2003) Measures Indirect vs. Direct Methods POSSLQ: Partners of the Opposite Sex Sharing Living Quarters - Developed by researchers at the Census Bureau in the late 1970s - Indirect measure based on household composition - POSSLQ households are those that contain two and only two adults (age 15+) who are unrelated and of the opposite sex Limitations of traditional POSSLQ measure: - Includes adults who live together as roommates, not couples Excludes cohabiters who share households with other adults 1 - Excludes households with own children or other relatives age 15 or older “Adjusted POSSLQ” measure (Casper & Cohen 2000) - CPS data - Does not exclude households with multiple related adults (many of these related adults are 15- to 17-year-old children of one member of the cohabiting couple) Definition: Adjusted POSSLQ households contain: 1. A reference person (householder) 2. One other adult (age 15+) of the opposite sex who is not in a related subfamily, not a secondary individual in group quarters, and not related to or a foster child of the reference person 3. No other adults (age 15+) except foster children, children or other relatives of the reference person, or children of unrelated subfamilies Casper and Cohen (2000) compared Adjusted POSSLQ estimates to traditional POSSLQ estimates and new direct estimates. They found that the Adjusted POSSLQ represents an improvement over the traditional POSSLQ for estimating historical trends in cohabitation. The traditional POSSLQ measure underestimated cohabiters among middle-aged persons, those who were divorced or separated, and those with children. Direct estimates of cohabitation rates from the NSFH and NSFG (Bumpass & Lu 2000) are higher than the CPS indirect measures (see Casper & Cohen 2000 for discussion of possible reasons). However, the Adjusted POSSLQ produces relatively unbiased estimates of the characteristics of cohabiters. Cohabitation rates: - Percentage of all adults who are cohabiting - Percentage of all unmarried persons who are cohabiting - Percentage of all persons in unions who are unmarried Estimates of the prevalence of cohabitation may vary greatly depending on which rate is calculated. Example: racial differentials in cohabitation rates (and marriage rates) Cohabitation among same-sex couples – measurement challenges: - Estimates vary by the time frame and the measure used to identify sexual orientation Possible misreporting of relationship status Sample sizes of most national surveys that ask about sexual orientation are not large enough to obtain reliable estimates of same-sex cohabiting couples. Only the decennial census can provide these estimates. 2 Methods Quantitative Period Cox model and multivariate hazard model. (Bumpass & Lu2000, Bumpass and Raley1995, Bumpass, Sweet and Cherlin 1991) To estimate the children’s family experience, using women’s cohabitation histories: Percentage of births to unmarried mothers and cohabiting mothers Relative risk of transition into cohabiting family for children before age 16. Expected percentage of childhood yeas spent in cohabitation, marriage or single-mother families Continuous time-hazard models (Brien, Lillard& Waite 1999; Lillard, Brien and Waite 1995) In order to examine the interrelation of entry into marriage, entry into cohabitation, and nonmarital pregnancy, the author Assume that each event may occur multiple times over the period of observation for any particular women; the outcome of one process may influence the risk of another event or the risk of a repetition of the same event. Construct a model for the timing of each occurrence of the event, while at risk, is a continuous-time failure-time process represented by a hazard equation. Dependent variables are hazard of beginning a event; Explanatory variable include Time/Duration, previous relationship, presence of Children, education and background information. Regression analysis ( OLS regression for continuous marital quality and Logistic regression for dichotomous divorce) (Dush, Cohan&Amato 2003) In order to test the selection and experience of cohabitation perspective in explaining the relation between premarital cohabitation and marital dysfunction, the authors conducted two regression analysis. Dependent variable: (1) continuous Marital quality was measured by marital happiness and marital conflict; (2) Dichotomous Divorce Explanatory variable: (1) Selection factors, including race, parental divorce, marriage order, education, family income and welfare use. (2) Control variable include gender, age, and duration Qualitative Interview (Smock, Manning and Poter 2003) In order to examine how the economic consideration shape the decision of marriage among cohabiters, the authors conducted semi structured in-depth interviews with 115 young adults who were currently cohabiting or had recently cohabited in 2002. The authors classified the attitudes into five groups of consideration. The respondents lie 18-36 age intervals, representative as working and lower middle class. 3