PLASTICS CUSTOM RESEARCH SERVICES 695 Burton Road Advance, NC 27006 Phone: (336) 998-8004 Fax: (336) 998-8044 GLOBALIZATION: IMPLICATIONS FOR THE NORTH AMERICAN INJECTION MOLDING BUSINESS “Think globally”. Today this is the new, universal business management mantra. Yet globalization is not a new phenomenon. Rather it is the acceleration of an age-old process – namely, the international exchange of goods, services, technologies, and cultures. Moreover, globalization carries risks as well as rewards. Economists have for centuries advocated free trade as essential to improving efficiency and raising consumer welfare. Yet international trade presents both opportunities and challenges, and globalization is viewed by many as a threat as multinational enterprises proliferate and foreign outsourcing replaces domestic output and employment. Like all other manufacturing industries, the North American injection mold-makers and molders today confront the full force of globalization. The U.S. and Canadian economies have historically held competitive advantages on domestic and foreign markets in terms of innovating and utilizing leading-edge technologies in mold-making and molding. Yet today every country in the world, developed and developing, is able to access technologies of equivalent productivity. The Mexican economy has maintained a long-term competitive advantage derived from its low-wage structure, and its participation in the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) resulted in a business boom in its maquiladora free-trade zones in the second half of the 1990s. Yet by combining even lower wage structures with advantages of an infrastructural and institutional nature, Asian mold-makers and molders have been able to capture many U.S. part programs formerly outsourced to Mexico. Much of the current concern registered by the North American injection molding community is directed at China. The free-market reforms that have transformed China over the past quarter century into an economic power have radically changed the global marketplace. By investing in modern technologies and making them available to its low-wage labor force, China has rapidly progressed beyond traditional primary product exports to high value-added consumer and industrial products. As a result China holds major shares of key injection molding markets such as consumer electronics and toys, and it is setting its sights on other markets such as automobiles. To a large extent China’s advance in global trade is grounded in comparative advantages in factor endowments and factor productivities. Yet China is criticized for providing export subsidies, manipulating its currency, strictly regulating foreign investment, and engaging in other trade practices that violate WTO rules. Over the period September-December 2003 PCRS conducted telephone-based interviews with decision-making officials at over 100 companies with injection molding operations. The thrust of our inquiry was essentially three-fold – namely, 1) Has globalization, directly or indirectly, positively or negatively, impacted your operations?, 2) In what way and to what extent?, and 3) What strategic changes has your company made or is it contemplating in response to globalization? In this report we review some of the principal tenets of international trade theory and their applicability to the current and future opportunities and challenges that regional injection mold-makers and molders face in light of globalization. We examine recent trends in U.S. plastics industry exports and imports, and we explore shifts in market focus among the molders. We then provide case studies of custom and proprietary injection molders and the strategies that they are adopting to deal with new market dynamics brought about through globalization. Publication: January 2004 TABLE OF CONTENTS INTRODUCTION EXECUTIVE SUMMARY PART I: INTERNATIONAL TRADE THEORY: FIRST PRINCIPLES The Foundations of International Trade Theory International Trade Myths and Misconceptions Globalization: The Bright Side and the Dark Side Globalization and the Supply Chain The Increased Role of Developing Countries in International Trade The Increased Role of Multinational Enterprises in International Trade PART II: INTERNATIONAL TRADE PRACTICE: RECENT TRENDS IN U.S. PLASTICS INDUSTRY TRADE The SPI/Probe Economics Report The Evolving Competitive Position of the U.S. Plastics Industry PART III: THE CASES FOR AND AGAINST FREE TRADE The Case against Free Trade The Long-term Trend to Globalization The Economic Mandate in Support of Free Trade The Political Mandate in Support of Free Trade The Moral Imperative in Support of Free Trade PART IV: THE CHINESE DRAGON: THE CHALLENGE POSED TO NORTH AMERICAN INJECTION MOLDMAKERS AND MOLDERS Chinese Factor Endowments Chinese Factor Productivities: The Role of Infrastructure Chinese Institutional Advantages Chinese Institutional Disadvantages Fair and Unfair Chinese Trade Practices The Linkage of the Chinese Yuan to the U.S. Dollar The Effect of China on the U.S. Balance of Trade in Plastics The Response by the U.S. Government to the Chinese Trade Imbalance The Cost/Benefit of Chinese Competition Looking to the Future of Sino-U.S. Plastics Industry Trade PART V: STRATEGIC OPTIONS AVAILABLE TO THE NORTH AMERICAN INJECTION MOLDERS The Perfect Storm: The Confluence of Domestic and Foreign Challenges to Growth The Challenge to Companies with Mold-Making and Molding Capabilities Going on Defense The Weak Case for a Weakened U.S. Dollar Export Subsidies Tariff and Non-Tariff Barriers: Lessons from the Steel Industry Buy American Campaigns: Lessons from the Military Orderly Marketing Agreements: Lessons from the Automotive and Textile Industries Going on Offense Strengthening Regional Integration: The Free Trade for the Americas Agreement Fortifying Sales/Marketing Departments Exploiting Export Opportunities Recent Shifts in Leading Injection Molding End-use Markets Restoring U.S. Competitiveness through Innovation PART VI: RECENT INFRASTRUCTURAL CHANGES IN NORTH AMERICAN INJECTION MOLDING Capital Intensity The Trend of Presses per Plant The Trend of Sales per Press Labor Intensity The Trend of Employees per Plant The Trend of Employees per Press Corporate Consolidation: The Quest for Economies of Scale The Distribution of Injection Molders by Number of Plants The Trend of Sales per Plant PART VII: CASE STUDIES: THE RESPONSES OF INJECTION MOLDERS TO GLOBALIZATION (100 Companies in Total) ABC Group AMP Industries Acsys Technologies Aim Corporation Allegheny Plastics Armin Tool & Die Atlantis Molded Plastics Avail Medical Products Berry Plastics CTP Carrera Capsonic Group Cary Products Channel Commercial Circle Plastic Products Custom Molded Products Custom Plastics International Deimling-Jeliho Durden Enterprises East Coast Plastics Erie Plastics Hoffer Plastics Kamco Plastics Key Plastics Mac Closures Mack Group Magna Donnelly Midwest Plastic Components Molded Plastic Research of Illinois Nyloncraft Nypro ORC Plastics Phillips Plastics Pixley Richards Plastek Industries Sajar Plastics Sonoco Crellin International Technimark UFE Unimark Plastics Winzeler Gear 170 Pages 22 Tables 12 Figures ABOUT THE AUTHOR Dr. Peter J. Mooney is the founder and president of Plastics Custom Research Services. Dr. Mooney holds a Ph.D. in economics from the University of North Carolina, and he taught courses in microeconomics, macroeconomics, international trade, and economic growth and development theory at the University of Connecticut from 1982 through 1995. He has covered the plastics industry as a technical/economic market research analyst and consultant since 1980. He is a member of several plastics industry associations such as the Society of the Plastics Industry and the Society of Plastics Engineers. He is also a member of the National Association of Business Economists. He has researched and written over 60 multi-client reports, as well as over 100 single-client reports, in the field of plastics and related industries. He has also organized, chaired, and made presentations to numerous conferences on critical issues facing the domestic and global plastics industry. ABOUT PLASTICS CUSTOM RESEARCH SERVICES Plastics Custom Research Services was formed in 1993 in response to the growing demand for accurate and insightful market research tailored to the evolving needs of plastic industry participants. PCRS is able to utilize research methods developed through over 20 years of experience in this field - methods that yield cost-effective and timely data and insights of relevance to the product and service offerings of the plastics industry. These research methods include telephone-based and in-person surveys of key decision-making officials in the field, as well as hard-copy and electronic searches of trade literature and patents. Research findings, conclusions and recommendations are provided in written and oral reporting formats. PCRS also researches and publishes multi-client Plastics Industry Reports, dealing with subjects that are part of its core competencies and that have relevance to a wide range of plastics industry operatives.