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BOSON BOOKS liremhShasm.-rarI PublisIKAI hy Boson. Books Ficid Lane R;ik,igh, NC 2).f.0:11;: ISBN I -03242- 14-X if CALM Online Media hit. CorwriOit Richard H. Williams, Donald W. Z mmerman, Donald C. Ross, Bnmo D. Zumbo R3r thi.41.1q CALM Online Media Inc. T.10.S) Mcidow Field Latic R;i1cigh, NC 2 Fax: 9:919...t i.l. -41!.) v-niAillmsnivii;:cmonttriu.cfpni lilt wo-ip 1 E - 1 1 0 BOSON BOOKS 3 e 11V 13YIL.07 Si'LelLviNc 7. TWELVE BRITISH STATISTIC' S by Richard H. Williams University of Miami Donald W. Zimmerman Carleton University Donald C. Ross New York State Psychiatric Institute Bruno D. Zumbo University of British Columbia E 13 BOSON BOSON BOOKS Brefe.sk StabNe:CIOTS FABLE OF CONTENTS ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS INTRODUCTION CHAPTER I.Karl Pearson: Versatile Statistical Scientist Overview Educational Training and Fellowship Activities The Heart of Karl Pearson's Versatility The Controversial. Karl Pearson Concluding Comments References CHAPTER 2-R A. Fisher: Contributions to Analysis of Variance and Experimental Design Overview Family Background and Early Vocational Choice Experimental Design Small Sample Theory and the Various Sampling Distributions Population Genetics, Evolution Theory, and. Eugenics Controversies with Adversaries Sir Ronald A Fisher's Publications and :Honorary Awards Concluding Comments References. CHAPTER 3-Charles Spearman Behavioral and Statistical Scientist Overview Educational Experience The Classical Theory of Mental Tests Factor Analysis A Two.Factor Theory of Intelligence Concluding Comments References CHAPTER 4-Florenc.e Nightingale David: Pioneer Feminist Statistician Overview The Four Women Associated with Early History of Statistics David's Initial Vocational Frustrations David's Reactions to World Class Statisticians A Sample of David's Publications On Entering, Administration Nan Laird's Interview of Florence N. David Concluding Comments References CHAPTER 5•George Udny Yule: Premier British Statistician BOSON BOOKS I Tire Brwth Stat OVCEVIe'N Family Background and Vocational Choice Is Normality Realistic.? Professional Orimnizations Yule's Textbook Yule's Regression Approach Classical Mental Test Theory Yule's Con -elation Coefficients Yule's Desire to Fly Statistical Aspects of Literary Style A Demonstration of Yule's Research Versatility Concluding Comments References CHAPTER. 6-Maurice Kendall: Synthesizer and Commentator of Statistics Overview Early Childhood and Educational Experience Kendall Meets Yule Random Number Generators and Tests for Randomness Administrative Positions and Honors Concluding Comments References CHAPTER 7-George Box Pioneer in the Forecasting of Time Series Overview Educational Training Box's Research Contributions Vocational Experiences Two Interviews with George Box Concluding Comments References CHAPTER 8-Student: Inventor of Small Sample Inferential Statistics Overview Student's Background How Student Learned Statistics Student As A Man Student As A Statistician Concluding Comments References CHAPTER 9- Egon Sharpe Pearson: Contributions to Statistical Inference Overview Earl' Years and Educational Training Egon Pearson As Teacher and Administrator Reviews of R. A, Fisher's Stairs/kw/ Aierhoth for Rescarth. Workers BOSON BOOKS Iij .try lirrtrth Sian siicEans NeymamPearson Theory of Hypothesis Testing. Egon Pearson's 30 Year Service As Editor of Birmarika Publications In Honor of His Father Concluding Comments References CHAPTER 10- Francis Ysidro Edgeworth: Statistician and Econo Overview Educational Training and Vocational Experiences Francis. Bacon and Francis Ysidro .Edgeworth Francis Ysidro Edgeworth's Research and Publications Concluding Comments References CHAPTER 11-Maurice Bartlett: Time Series and Multivariate Statistics Overview Educational Training. Vocational Experience Research Contributions Conctudino. Comments References CHAPTER 12.David Cox Multivartable Analysis of Failure Rates Overy leVe' Educational Background • Vocational Experience Journal and Book. Publications Prizes, 'Medals, Awards, Memberships, Fellowships, and kniLhthoo Concluding Comments References SUMMARY BOSON BOOKS 6 AWAY Briti'd? Sitin.thi ran:, ' ACKNOWLEDCNIEN`LS We arc grateful to the Regents of the University of California for permission to reproduce the picture of Egon Sharpe Pearson from the frontispiece of The 5 eL Papers of E. S. Pearson (1960 Thanks to Springer Science and Business Media for permission to reprint three excerpts from Constance Reid's Neyrown,../i•oin Life (1982) They appear on pages 24 , 25, 115, and 133 of her book. We are indebted to John Wiley - R Sons, Inc. for permission to reproduce the picture of R. A. FiSher from the set of plates fonowing page 250 in Joan Fisher Box's R. A. Fisher: 11w Life of A Ncietist (1978) Thanks also go to this publishin4 house for permission to reprint two quotations from her book on pages 12 ,13 and 61 Thanks to The Annals of Human Genetics for permission to reprint the picture of William Sealy Gosset from volume 9, part 1 of the frontispiece of the 1939 Annals tqc Eugenics. The histitiav of Alarhematical Statisitcs and Statisticai St'ienci...c were quite helpful m giving_ permission to reproduce the pictures of George E. P. Box and Florence Nightingale David, the former in volume 2, page 240 (1987), and the latter in volume 4, page 236 (1989) of Sholistical Sctenee. Blackwell Publishing gave us permission to reproduce pictures of the following three British statisticians Sir David Roxbee Cox-His picture appeared as the frontispiece in the journal ()law Royal Statistical Society, Series A, 144(3), 1980. Maurice Stephenson Bartlett-His picture appeared as the frontispiece in the Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, Series A.,130(4), 1967 Francis Ysidro Edgeworth-His picture is from the facing page 238 in Annals of the Royal Statistical Society, 1934-1934, 1934 ES.S sup 54-55 BOSON BOOKS 8 five-Av &WA)? Siatist;cruny INTRODUCTION This slim volume provides a brief description of the lives and scientific contributions of twelve British Statisticians—Karl Pearson, R A Fisher, Charles Spearman, Florence Nightingale David, George Uriny Yule, Maurice G. Kendall, George F P Box, William Sealy Crosser ("Student"), Egon Sharpe Pearson, Francis .Ysidro Edgeworth, Maurice Stevenson Bartlett, and David Cox. The book is written in a non-mathematical mariner to make it accessible to a wider reading audience The Pearson product moment correlation coefficient is named in honor of Karl Pearson. In addition to studying mathematics and German he took a law degree. He and his wife co-founded the Men and Women Club that was designed to permit free discussion among men and women. His 18 publications in Plittosrphicai Transactions of the .Royal Society provided contributions in theoretical as weIl as substantive areas. Some scientists view Fisher's work in population genetics and evolutionary theory as being as important as his innovations in statistics R. A Fisher introduced pioneering work in the analysis of variance and covariance. These inferential statistical techniques are central tools in much empirical, scientific work, He also laid the groundwork f ir multivariate statistical analysis. Fisher derived important sampling, distributions for correlations and regression coefficients. His publications swept across many substantive disciplines. His work in experimental design, including the idea of randomization, is monumental It should be mentioned that Fisher was a controversial man and sometimes clashed with fellow scientists Charles Spearman developed fundamental models in factor analysis, mental test theory, and theories of intelligence. His two-factor theory contained a general factor of intelligence together with certain. specific factors. This theory of the intellect is still use d as the basis for hierarchical models. His achievements were based on both statistical procedures and empirical psychological studies. Florence Nightingale David's contributions opened the door to women desiring a career in Statistics, and she was justly rewarded fir her achievements. She generated 100 publications. One that is likely to interest both beginners and sophisticates is her 1962. book, Oa/tics, Gods, and Gambling. Students flocked to Dr. David's popular lectures. George tidily Yule conducted early work in time series and contingency table analysis. He is viewed as one of the pioneers of modem statistics. The highlight of his publications is probably the hook, Aim introduction to ilw :Theoryr..kf Statistics, which went through 14 editions and appeared in five languages. Yule also investigated statistical aspects of literary style. Legend has it that he told Spearman the fundamental equation of mental test .theory, Maurice CI Kendall made contributions to nonparametric correlational techniques, random walk theory, random number generators and tests for randomness He published many books, some of them highly respected. A sample of these volumes is Advanced Theory e4SlatOslics (two volumes), Geometrical Probability, and Time Scries BOSON BOOKS 9 11,•1R: Stcicasricrirm George E. P. Box has published numerous academic and industrial journal articles as well as a good number of books and teaching materials. He holds both Ph. D_ and D.Sc, degrees in mathematical statistics from the University of London Dr. Box has made important research contributions to statistical quality control, Bayesian statistics, and analysis of time series. William Sealy (losset ("Student") developed the Student's t -test and related small sample statistics while working for the brewer y' of Arthur Guinness Sons & Company of Dublin This was a major breakthrough as until then the only statistical techniques available were those applicable to rather large sets of data. At the request of the brewery, he published all of his papers, many of which appea red in lliomertika, under the. pseudonym "Student." In his later publications he tried to omit mathematical concepts and he would ask colleagues and friends to view him as a non-mathematician. Egon Sharpe Pearson was a versatile statistical scientist Since his father was Karl Pearson, he had an impressive tradition to carry on Egon was a leading statistician. And he did important editorial work as Managing Editor of Lhonicirikel for three decades His research in developing the NeyinamPearson theory of hypothesis testing was important to statistical inference When his father retired he took over as Chairman of the Department of Applied Statistics at University College, London, He was a noted historian of statistics as well as a skilled teacher, Francis Ysidro Edgeworth possessed a mind with great intellect. Although his formal education was in modern and ancient languages, as well as law, he learned a great deal of mathematics, statistics, probability, logic and related disciplines on his own There is a great deal which is puzzling as to how he did this, Sometimes there were friends or colleagues who stimulated him, such as Francis Dalton or Karl Pearson He never married and might have been lonely, except for the intellectual stimuli that surrounded him Vocationally he was very stable. He was appointed to the Drummond chair of Political Economy at Oxford and was chosen as a fellow of All Souls in 1891, and retained both until his retirement. Similarly, he became the initial editor of the Economic J o u r n a l in the same year and remained in an editorial capacity until retirement. Sometimes he had controversies regarding priority of research findings, especially with Karl Pearson. Maurice Bartlett, like several of the other British statisticians in this book, was very good in mathematics. He lived a long and productive life, excelling in teaching„ research, and administration. His mast well known statistical finding was the test for homogeneity of variance in the analysis of variance. He was elected to many fellowships , medals,, foreign associateships and honorary memberships, and the University of Chic,ago and the University of Hull awarded him honorary doctorates, His research contributions spanned 55 years Bartlett's research interests in statistics and related disci plines covered a wide range of topics including statistical theory and methods., population and epidemic models, stochastic processes, time: series analysis., and multivariate analysis. David Cox's research interests are in inferential theoretical and appl ied statistics, hiostatistics, and applied probability. The applications that he especially focuses on are in the physical, biological, and social sciences. His best-known research contribution is the BOSON BOOKS 10 Twelve ilhtrsh SuistwtanN proportional hazards model, which has numerous applications m the analysis of survival data Both the references and the mathematical nntataon in this hook follow the manual of style of the American Psychological Association BOSON BOOKS