Synthesis Report International Conference on Corporate Governance in Emerging Markets Istanbul, Sabanci University 15-17 November 2007 Melsa Ararat, Stijn Claessens, and Burcin Yurtoglu 1. Background The First International Conference on Corporate Governance in Emerging Markets is built on the work of an informal research network supported by the Global Corporate Governance Forum (GCGF). The network was kicked off by the one-day workshop on the Future of Research on Corporate Governance in Developing and Emerging Markets at the World Bank in April 2002. The network has evolved over the years with support from GCGF as it has financed the organization of one global and five regional meetings.1 The network was reinvigoration in 2007 with the preparations for the First International Conference. A Call for Papers was issued with contribution from both senior scholars of the Network- focusing on research gaps and practitioners- focusing on priorities for practice. The conference was held in November 16-19, 2007 with participation of more than 100 researchers from 30 countries. The objective of the conference was to take stock of ongoing research on corporate governance in emerging markets and the expanding research in developing countries. More than 40 academic papers were presented and discussed and 4 keynote speeches were delivered. It attracted researchers from all key emerging markets and brought them together with internationally acknowledged senior members of the network. Unique was the involvement of GCGF’s Private Sector Advisory Group (PSAG) members as reflective practitioners which facilitated a lively debate between scholars and practitioners. 2. Conference summary 1 Global in April 2002; Chile in December 2002; South Africa in January 2003; Korea in May 2003; Hungary in July 2003, India in December 2003, and Turkey, May 2004. 1 The conference addressed two sets of broad issues: the impact of corporate governance on various aspects—valuation, performance, access to finance, etc—at both the country- and firm-level; and the impact and the drivers of corporate governance reforms, what is their effects, why do reforms (not) occur? We first provide a short summary of the papers highlighting their contributions to what is already known. A detailed account of each paper is provided in the individual sessions’ summaries. We then discuss the lessons of the conference for the EMCGN. a. The impact of corporate governance The impact of corporate governance can be measured at the country and firm level. Both approaches were used in papers presented, often with new data covering new countries, and using new methodological approaches. Country-level Evidence on the Relationship between CG Quality and performance Starting with the country level studies, one study found improvements in corporate governance quality in most countries, with convergence in corporate governance quality and a positive impact of these improvements on traditional measures of real economic activity (Nicola, Laeven and Ueda (2007)). Another study showed that measures of financial openness, political risk, local banking sector and stock market development, and "push" factors together with equity market openness explain almost half of the variation in the degree of segmentation of equity markets (Bekaert, Harvey, Lundblad and Siegel, 2008). This finding suggests that corporate governance reforms can help emerging markets integrate with global financial markets and thereby lowers their risk-adjusted cost of capital. It relates to the theory paper of Yavuz (2007) that explains why the effects of investor protection on the cost of equity cannot be fully diversified even in integrated markets and why investor protection is different from other country-specific factors that affect the cost of equity. This paper not only justifies many previous empirical findings but also provides a new prediction: the effect of minority investor protection on the cost of equity is stronger in countries with larger GDP and higher GDP growth volatility. The results of Sarkar (2007), however, are somewhat at odds with this prediction. While he documents improvements in legal shareholder protection measures from 1970 to 2005 in India, he argues that these are not causally related to the degree of India’s financial development. 2 Firm-level Evidence on the Relationship between CG Quality, Performance and Valuation While country level evidence is useful to document broad patterns, such studies do not always identify the channels. Firm level studies can more directly find effects of corporate governance reform and enhanced corporate governance practices on valuation and operational performance, sources and ease of financing, and reduced level of expropriation. Such studies have shown that the channels through which corporate governance adds value include: (i) improved operating performance (productivity, return on assets, etc.), (ii) lower cost of capital and higher valuations, and (iii) better access to external finance. Many such studies exist for developed countries, but only recently has similar evidence been documented for emerging markets, transition economies, and other developing countries. Several of these studies were presented at the conference. For the Ukraine, Zheka (2007) constructs an overall index of corporate governance and shows that it predicts firm level productivity in Ukraine. The results imply that a one-point-increase in the index results in around 0.4%-1.9% increase in performance; and a worst to best change predicts a 40% increase in company’s performance. Using data on companies in many African countries, including Ghana, South Africa, Nigeria and Kenya, Kyereboah-Coleman (2007 (forthcoming)) shows that better governance practices are associated with higher valuations and better operating performance. Baker, Godridge, Gottesman and Morey (2007) using a unique dataset from Alliance Bernstein, an international asset management company, with monthly firm-level and country-level governance ratings for 22 emerging markets countries over a five year period, report a significantly positive relation between firm-level (and country-level) corporate governance ratings and market valuation, suggesting lower cost of equity for better governed firms. Finally, Kowalewski, Stetsyuk and Talavera (2007) construct a Transparency and Disclosure Index (TDI) to measure the quality of the corporate governance for listed Polish firms and show that a higher TDI is associated with a higher level of dividend payouts. They also document that concentrated share ownership and deviations from the one-share-one-vote principle lead to lower dividend payout ratios. Since dividends affects firm value, this evidence supports that better corporate governance practices are associated with higher valuations. Another related line of research studies how changes in the corporate governance framework and other reforms affect firms’ performance and valuation. Choi, Lee and Park (2007) take advantage of a unique experiment arising from the first target announcement of the so-called Korean Corporate Governance Fund, which has the explicitly stated goal of investing in 3 companies whose stocks are undervalued due to governance problems and generating profits by actively addressing those problems. The authors find that companies whose governance structure empowers corporate insiders at the expense of outside shareholders experience a more positive stock price reaction to the Fund’s first target announcement. This provides direct evidence that worse (better) firm level governance is associated with lower (higher) valuations. Importance of Easier Access to External Finance In addition to studies that address the first two channels (i.e., improved operating performance and lower cost of capital), some have focused on better access to finance as a third potential channel through which improved corporate governance translates into better economic performance. One such contributions is by Gugler and Peev (2007) who analyze the investment decisions of 25,000 firms in 15 transition economies over the period 1993-2003. They report that investment becomes less sensitive to the availability of internal funds over the transition years and that ownership changes induce further declines in this sensitivity. They also document hardening of the so-called soft budget constraints for state owned firms and more efficient investment by foreign companies, a finding which highlights the differences in the identity of owner categories. The importance of external finance as a corporate governance channel is also documented for China by Du, Rui and Wong (2007) where the government-guided financial resource allocation favors large-scale state-owned enterprises (SOEs). Smaller SOEs and most nonstate enterprises are at a disadvantage in securing external financing and thus have an incentive to acquire controlling stakes in listed companies, which have more access to external financing. Consistent with this motive to seek sources of financing rather than operationally based value adding synergies, the paper shows that the post-acquisition financing activities, in general, do not help to improve the operational performance of target companies and retard or even worsen the earnings performance. Corporate governance is also important for access to equity forms of finance. Kim, Sung and Wei (2007) show that international investors display a strong aversion to high-ownership-control disparity firms in Korea, highlighting a further channel through which bad governance practices hurt the availability of external finance. Evidence of Expropriation Corporate governance also matters for minority shareholders that otherwise can be exposed to expropriation by large shareholders. Three papers provide evidence of such expropriation at 4 the firm level. Deng, Gan and He (2007) using detailed data from China's share issue privatization, report two expropriation channels: one is through related-party transactions, including assets sales, transfer pricing of goods and services, and extracting trade credits; the other is through dividend policies so that corporate resources are kept in the firm and under their control. Not surprisingly, expropriation significantly reduces firm valuation and performance. Joh and Ko (2007) examine how ownership and control structures affect share repurchases in Korea. Firms more likely adopt corporate payout programs and increase the magnitude of repurchases when insider’ ownership is high and control rights are weak, while foreign ownership reduces the amount of share repurchases. Additionally, the market responds negatively to share repurchase announcements by firms with low insider ownership and low control rights. These results suggest that incumbent insiders adopt repurchases to protect their control positions. And Bae, Baek and Kang (2007) show that during the 1997 Korean financial crisis, firms with weak corporate governance experience a larger drop in equity price, but a larger rebound during the post-crisis recovery period. Their results confirm earlier studies which suggest that controlling shareholders' incentives to expropriate minority shareholders go up (down) during the crisis (boom) period due to the fall (increase) in expected return on investment and are consistent with the view that controlling shareholders' expropriation incentives create a relation between corporate governance and firm value. b. The drivers of Corporate Governance Reforms While the evidence that better corporate governance is associated with better outcomes from the perspective of countries and firms is mounting, there is still a suspicion that this relationships is due to other factors and merely reflects that better countries and better firms have better performance and better corporate governance (practices), but there is no causal relationship from corporate governance to performance. As such there is need for more evidence on how corporate governance reforms can lead to improvements in performance. And, most importantly, as also highlighted by the practitioners at the conference, there remain many puzzles on the lack of reforms by countries. And it is also surprising that many corporations do not yet adopt better corporate governance practices. It remains hard to introduce the legal and institutional changes which would enhance good governance, support efficient financial markets and protect minority shareholders. And many corporations do not see the rewards, in part because the domestic institutional environment and financial markets do not yet sufficiently support corporate governance. The reason that many emerging markets do not yet take steps to achieve the economic advantages should be sought in their political systems. 5 Importance of Reforms While large scale reforms can be blocked in many countries by insiders (managers and owners) of corporations, a number of papers presented at the conference show that reforms had substantially positive effects. Atanasov, Black, Ciccotello and Gyoshev (2006) analyzes the impact of changes in Bulgarian securities law in 2002 on two common forms of financial tunneling, dilutive equity offerings and below-market freeze-outs. After adoption of new laws in 2002 restricting both forms of tunneling, minority dilution via equity issuances virtually disappears, and the mean price of freeze-outs (measured by price/sales ratio) quadruples. Black and Khanna (2007) analyze India's adoption of major governance reforms (Clause 49) requiring among other things, audit committees, a minimum number of independent directors, and CEO/CFO certification of financial statements and internal controls. They document that reforms benefited more those firms that need external equity capital and cross-listed firms, suggesting that local regulation can sometimes complement, rather than substitute for firm-level governance practices. Beltratti and Bortolotti (2007) document a similar positive impact from improvements in the regulatory regime in the context of the Non-tradable Share Reform in China. Further evidence on the importance of the regulatory environment is provided by Farooq and Ahmed (2007) in the context of Pakistan. Market Pressures Changes are not just due to (lack of) reform. Much improvement in corporate governance has come about as a result of market pressures. But these can remain limited without some other legal or regulatory supports. An example of such market induced changes is provided by Dewenter, Kim and Lim (2007) who analyze the outcome of regulatory competition in the context of Korea’s two stock exchanges KSE and KOSDAQ. They show that successive efforts to tighten the regulation of the delisting rules ended up with no clear winner. Other examples of market induced changes include voluntary adoptions of higher corporate governance quality by Brazilian firms joining Bovespa’s New Market (Silveira, Leal, Carvalhal-da-Silva and Barros (2007)), the use of tag-along rights by Brazilian companies’ controlling owners to increase investor protection for non-controlling owners (Bennedsen, Nielsen and Nielsen (2007)), and decisions to cross-list in a better investor protection country (Ke, Rui and Yu (2007)). While these changes added value, they were also helped by legal and regulatory changes. More generally, it is important to differentiate between firm-level and country-level corporate governance and to investigate whether there is substitutability or complementarity between 6 rules and practices. Chhaochharia and Laeven (2007) find that many firms choose to adopt governance provisions beyond those adopted by all firms in the country, and that these higher corporate governance practices are positively associated with firm valuation. These results indicate that the market rewards companies that are prepared to adopt governance attributes beyond those required by laws and common corporate practices in the home country. Aggarwal, Erel, Stulz and Williamson (2006) also analyze the links between country-level and firm-level governance mechanisms. They report that investment in firm-level governance is higher when a country becomes more economically and financially developed and better protects investor rights, supporting the complementarity view. Bruno and Claessens (2007), however, find that for companies with poor corporate governance practices, there is very little or no impact of better country-level investor protection and for companies with good corporate governance practices, there is a discount from better investor protection, as there are costs involved with (too) high standards. There are other examples of problems and frictions in the regulatory environment. Tian and Megginson (2007) focus on distortions imposed by the government in the Chinese initial public offering market — in the form of pricing caps, “IPO quotas” and lockup contracts — lead to a severe IPO underpricing. Effectively, their analysis suggests that the Chinese government pursues its political interests at the expense of its financial interests. Another paper (Cheung, Rau and Stouraitis (2007)) shows that political motives are behind tunneling such as related party transactions between Chinese publicly listed firms and their state owned enterprise (SOEs) shareholders. One common theme of the papers presented in the conference is the need for enforcement. Some contributions implicitly confirm the notion that under weak enforceability most of the governance mechanisms, whether required by rules of voluntary corporate governance practice, will be ineffective. Whether this leads to the superiority of firm-level practices compared to publicly provided mechanisms depends on the degree of complementarities between these two factors. As such enforcement can be important as a determinant of improved country- as well as firm level performance. 3. The lessons of the conference Besides the substance lessons, there are three lessons from the conference and the format that was followed. Networking among academics is very valuable to exchange methodology, data, and research experience. The large number of papers with authors belonging to different 7 institutions in different countries and the lively discussions after academic and practitioner presentations confirm the importance of networking. Practitioners can add value as they can introduce real life perspectives and help guide research. The open discussion forum on boards was a good example of such an interaction. After Bernard Black’s academic presentation on the issue of a causal link between board structures and firm performance, Paulina Beato gave examples from her professional life suggesting that the reason why most boards in emerging markets are not functioning well can be explained by the fact that they are not independent. This view is also supported by some of the participants of the forum, leading to discussions that range from how econometric methods capture such effects, to identifying the top priorities in corporate governance reform in emerging markets. There is a large leverage of key agents and sponsors. For many young scholars from emerging markets, the conference was a milestone in capturing the state of the art research and for joining the debate on corporate governance in emerging markets. The post-conference evaluations of the participants revealed that the conference was rated as ‘excellent’ in terms of not only contributing to our understanding of CG in emerging markets, but also in terms of encouraging collaboration between senior and junior researchers, and opening new research perspectives. This was only possible thanks to the generous financial support provided by Global Corporate Governance Forum at IFC and Asian Institute of Corporate Governance (AICG) of Korea, as well as to the organizational efforts of the host; Corporate Governance Forum of Turkey (CGFT) at Sabancı University. All in all, we believe that these factors demonstrate how the conference has filled a gap that other academic conferences would not be able to fill both in terms of the mix of papers selected for presentation and the involvement of practitioners. 8 List of papers presented at the conference: Aggarwal, Reena, Isil Erel, Rene M. Stulz, and Rohan Williamson, 2006, Differences in Governance Practices between U.S. and Foreign Firms: Measurement, Causes, and Consequences, Available at http://ssrn.com/abstract=954169. Atanasov, Vladimir, Bernard Black, Conrad S. Ciccotello, and Stanley B. Gyoshev, 2006, How Does Law Affect Finance? An Empirical Examination of Tunneling in an Emerging Market, ECGI - Finance Working Paper No. 123/2006. Bae, Kee-Hong, Jae-Seung Baek, and Jun-Koo Kang, 2007, Do Controlling Shareholders’ Expropriation Incentives Derive a Link between Corporate Governance and Firm Value? Evidence from the Aftermath of Korean Financial Crisis, Available at SSRN: http://ssrn.com/abstract=1089926. Baker, Edward, Benjamin Godridge, Aron Gottesman, and Matthew Morey, 2007, Corporate Governance Ratings in Emerging Markets: Implications for Market Valuation, Internal Firm-Performance, Dividend Payouts and Policy, Paper presented at the International Research Conference on Corporate Governance in Emerging Markets, Istanbul, 15-18 November. Bekaert, Geert, Campbell R. Harvey, Christian T. Lundblad, and Stephan Siegel, 2008, What Segments Equity Markets?, Available at SSRN: http://ssrn.com/abstract=1108156. Beltratti, Andrea, and Bernardo Bortolotti, 2007, The Nontradable Share Reform in the Chinese Stock Market: The Role of Fundamentals, Paper presented at the International Research Conference on Corporate Governance in Emerging Markets, Istanbul, 15-18 November. Bennedsen, Morten, Kasper Meisner Nielsen, and Thomas Vester Nielsen, 2007, Private Contracting and Corporate Governance: Evidence from the Provision of Tag-Along Rights in an Emerging Market, Paper presented at the International Research Conference on Corporate Governance in Emerging Markets, Istanbul, 15-18 November. Black, Bernard S., and Vikramaditya S. Khanna, 2007, Can Corporate Governance Reforms Increase Firm Market Values? Event Study Evidence from India, Journal of Empirical Legal Studies 4, 749-796. Bruno, Valentina, and Stijn Claessens, 2007, Corporate Governance and Regulation: Can There Be Too Much of a Good Thing?, CEPR Discussion Papers 6108. Cheung, Yan-Leung, Raghavendra Rau, and Aris Stouraitis, 2007, The helping hand, the lazy hand, or the grabbing hand? Government shareholders in publicly listed firms in China, Paper presented at the International Research Conference on Corporate Governance in Emerging Markets, Istanbul, 15-18 November. Chhaochharia, Vidhi, and Luc Laeven, 2007, Corporate Governance, Norms and Practices, ECGI - Finance Working Paper No. 165/2007. Choi, Jung Yong, Dong Wook Lee, and Kyung-Suh Park, 2007, Corporate governance and firm value: Endogeneity-free evidence from Korea, Paper presented at the International Research Conference on Corporate Governance in Emerging Markets, Istanbul, 15-18 November. Deng, Jianping, Jie Gan, and Jia He, 2007, Privatization, Large Shareholders’ Incentive to Expropriate, and Firm Performance, Paper presented at the International Research Conference on Corporate Governance in Emerging Markets, Istanbul, 15-18 November. Dewenter, Kathryn, Chang-soo Kim, and Ungki Lim, 2007, Race to the top among stock exchanges: Theory and evidence, Paper presented at the International Research 9 Conference on Corporate Governance in Emerging Markets, Istanbul, 15-18 November. Du, Julan, Oliver M. Rui, and Sonia M.L. Wong, 2007, Financing-Motivated Mergers and Acquisitions: Evidence from Corporate China, Paper presented at the International Research Conference on Corporate Governance in Emerging Markets, Istanbul, 15-18 November. Farooq, Omar, and Sheraz Ahmed, 2007, Do Governance Reforms Increase Information of Analysts’ Stock Recommendations? Evidence From a Newly Emerging Market, Paper presented at the International Research Conference on Corporate Governance in Emerging Markets, Istanbul, 15-18 November. Gugler, Klaus Peter, and Evgeni Peev, 2007, Ownership Changes and Investment in Transition Countries, ECGI - Finance Working Paper No. 169/2007, Available at SSRN: http://ssrn.com/abstract=961782. Joh, Sung Wook, and Young Kyung Ko, 2007, Ownership Structure and Share Repurchases in an Emerging Market: Incentive Alignment or Entrenchment?, Paper presented at the International Research Conference on Corporate Governance in Emerging Markets, Istanbul, 15-18 November. Ke, Bin, Oliver Rui, and Wei Yu, 2007, The effect of cross listing on the sensitivity of managerial compensation to firm performance, Paper presented at the International Research Conference on Corporate Governance in Emerging Markets, Istanbul, 15-18 November. Kim, Woochan, Taeyonn Sung, and Shang-Jin Wei, 2007, Home-country Ownership Structure of Foreign Institutional Investors and Control-Ownership Disparity in Emerging Markets, Paper presented at the International Research Conference on Corporate Governance in Emerging Markets, Istanbul, 15-18 November. Kowalewski, Oskar, Ivan Stetsyuk, and Oleksandr Talavera, 2007, Corporate Governance and Dividend Policy in Poland, Paper presented. Kyereboah-Coleman, Anthony, 2007 (forthcoming), Corporate Governance and Firm Performance in Africa: A Dynamic Panel Data Analysis, Studies in Economics and Econometrics. Nicola, Gianni De, Luc Laeven, and Kenichi Ueda, 2007, Corporate Governance Quality: Trends and Real Effects, IMF Working Papers, No 06/293, Avaiable at http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/wp/2006/wp06293.pdf. Sarkar, Prabirjit, 2007, Does Better Corporate Governance lead to Stock Market Development and Capital Accumulation? A Case Study of India, Paper presented at the International Research Conference on Corporate Governance in Emerging Markets, Istanbul, 15-17 November (Jadavpur University, Kolkata, India). Silveira, Alexandre Di Miceli da, Ricardo Pereira Câmara Leal, André Luiz Carvalhal-daSilva, and Lucas Ayres B. de C. Barros, 2007, Evolution and Determinants of FirmLevel Corporate Governance Quality in Brazil, Paper presented at the International Research Conference on Corporate Governance in Emerging Markets, Istanbul, 15-18 November. Tian, Lihui, and William L. Megginson, 2007, Regulatory Underpricing: Determinants of Chinese Extreme IPO Returns, Paper presented at the International Research Conference on Corporate Governance in Emerging Markets, Istanbul, 15-18 November. Yavuz, M. Deniz, 2007, Why does Investor Protection Matter for the Cost of Equity?, Paper presented at the International Research Conference on Corporate Governance in Emerging Markets, Istanbul, 15-17 November. 10 Zheka, Vitaly, 2007, Does Corporate Governance Causally Predict Firm Performance? Panel Data and Instrumental Variables Evidence, Available at http://ssrn.com/abstract=877913. 11