GEFAG Queries in Respect of New Floodplain Mapping. In March Norwich Union announced a new style of mapping to make what they claimed to be more accurate risk assessments for flood insurance. Using airbourne survey data known as SAR (Synthetic Aperture Radar) this gives ground levels in significant detail in comparison to the traditional Ordnance Survey mapping. However it has to be treated with extreme caution since it is associated with a significant degree of vertical tolerance. This tolerance can vary from +/-0.5m to +/-2m. GEFAG contacted the Environment Agency, Association of British Insurers and Norwich Union expressing concern that the press coverage led to an over-statement of the accuracy and validity of this new mapping. The various replies and comments are set out below. The EA statement is in full: the ABI and NU are edited. Norwich Union Flood Map EA Position and Briefing INTRODUCTION On March 3rd Norwich Union launched a newly developed flood map which they will use as the basis for flood risk insurance. This new data is tailored for the needs of insurers. It will provide greater detail than was available to Norwich Union in the past. The map uses a digital model as a base map. The Environment Agency (EA) is using a derivative of the same digital terrain model (DTM) as a base for developing the new Flood Map, which goes live on the Internet in September 2004 and is one of many outputs of the Agency’s 5 year mapping strategy. ENVIRONMENT AGENCY POSITION Norwich Union’s new map is a step forward: it uses the DTM as a first step assessment tool in providing people who live on the floodplain with flood insurance cover. The Norwich Union map is designed purely for insurance purposes. The EA is the lead authority on flood risk information for England and Wales. Our role is to protect people and the environment from flooding. In 2003 the EA embarked on a 5-yr flood mapping programme which represents a major step forward and provides the strategic direction to improve information on flood risk in England and Wales. The work aims to meet the many business and external needs for better flood maps. We are investing £5 million per year in this programme which maps flooding from rivers and the sea and the impact this has on land – not properties. The Agency provides flood mapping outputs based on land contours and not properties. The reason is that the Agency can not keep an up-to-date database of property type, form of construction, size, occupancy and threshold levels of the 2 million properties on the floodplain. All these factors will affect the actual level of flood risk. (The insurance industry may wish to translate flood data to determine the effect on specific properties of interest). We are constantly gathering and developing new data and information on flood risk and will be using the DTM as a significant part of the process. Our needs are to assess areas of risk and ensure people in those areas are aware of those risks and know what to do when warnings are issued and how to protect themselves. The EA will be producing Flood Zones in June 2004 showing the extents of flood risk for planning consultation purposes in accordance with PPG25. These show bands of flood risk (without flood defences): Flood Zone 3 represents a greater than 1 in 100 chance of flooding in any year. Flood zone 2 represents a chance of flooding between 1 in 100 and 1 in 1000. Flood zone 1 represents a lower than 1 in 1000 chance of flooding in any year. The most significant outcome of the flood mapping strategy for the public will be the new Flood Map which will be available on the EA website in September 2004. It shows the Flood Zones and also the location of defences and will give an indication of likelihood of flooding in a particular location taking these defences into consideration. People will be able to check if they live in a flood plain, see locations of defences and areas which benefit from them. It will also link to advice on what action hould be taken to prepare for flooding and which warning services are available. The new Flood Map will replace the existing Indicative Flood Plain Maps on the Internet. Over time the map will be developed to improve accuracy and indicate the impact of climate change and flood hazards which will be particularly useful for Emergency Planning. The EA’s Flood Map will incorporate broad national scale modelling (similar to that used by NU) but will also include more detailed local modelling. Our current information can be accessed by the public through the Internet or by contacting their local EA Area Office through Floodline. (Issued : March 22nd 2004) Norwich Union Comment GIS Manager / Jill Boulton NU is seeking to establish the correct risk rating for each property. If, from our flood map or EA data we believe there is a risk of flooding worse than 1 in 75 this is put as a ‘refer’ address which requires an underwriter to review the position. That review would ask a customer for any relevant information that would help us to assess the risk including floor levels, recent defences or any other mitigation measures that have been taken. Equally we are happy to take other relevant information into account – for instance some councils have had their own flood maps produced and, if they are willing to share them with the industry, these are incorporated into the results. Also - because we have this map in-house – we can discuss with customers if they believe they have been wrongly rated as “at risk”. Many properties that suffered flooding in 1998 and 2000 where not thought to be “at risk” at that time so past claims have been demonstrated to be a poor indication of likely future flood risk. Comment by Association of British Insurers Sebastian Catovsky / Natural Perils The Environment Agency Flood Risk Information continues to be the key resource for insurers to use to implement the ABI Statement of Principles on provision of flood cover. Pricing of premiums, however, continues to be a matter for individual insurers, and ABI encourages members to make use of more detailed risk information of their own and from other sources to develop appropriate products and set premiums for their customers. In this context, Norwich Union fully supports and flows the Statement of Principles. NU supplements the Environment Agency flood risk data with their own information on flood risk developed from SAR, and uses this information to make informed decisions about levels and price of flood cover. (Letter – 16 March 2004) TRENT FLUVIAL STRATEGY STUDY GEFAG has written to the EA Project Manager to clarify the predicted computer results for the Gunthorpe Area in this report. There appear to be two calculations of flood height in the area of A6097 giving significantly different results – and also being substantially higher than expected. This might be leading to the inclusion of more properties than might be necessary as shown on the map overleaf. Please remember that the map show ground cover and does not take account of floor height: nonetheless this map does have major insurance risk implications. What any insurance company is trying to do is charge the premium that the risk reflects each year so that when an event does occur the money is there to pay for it. STOP PRESS No insurer wants to see anyone flooded and we continue to campaign for better defences and no development on floodplains but this in hands of Government. GEFAG will be presenting various items at the ANNUAL PARISH MEETING Wednesday 26th May in Village Hall (E-mail response / 16 Mar 04)