Type of Review: Annual Review Project Title: Urban Partnerships for Poverty Reduction Date started: 1 March 2008 Date review undertaken: 25 April - 3 May 2012 Introduction and Context What support is the UK providing? The UK is helping to improve the livelihoods and living conditions of 3 million poor people in 30 of the largest towns and cities in Bangladesh, through a grant investment of £60 million over 6.5 years (2007-2014). The programme is implemented by the UN Development Programme (UNDP) which is providing $US 3 million (£1.9 million), and in partnership with the Government of Bangladesh which is providing about £2.5 million. So far the Urban Partnerships for Poverty Reduction programme (UPPR) is working in slums and informal settlements in 23 cities and towns, with a special focus on women and children. It is organising communities so they can manage and improve their own lives and demand better services from Government. The project includes a settlement improvement fund (SIF) to finance safe water, toilets and a range of other physical and environmental improvements, and a socio-economic fund (SEF) providing grants for children to go to school, skills training and apprenticeships, and grants for women to set up small businesses such as shops or tailoring services. The SEF is also used to raise community awareness on key social issues like health and nutrition, domestic violence and early marriage. What are the expected results? By 2015, UPPR will improve the living conditions of 3 million slum dwellers in Bangladesh: The poorest urban settlements in 29 towns and cities will be identified, assessed and mapped so support can be targeted at those most in need; 3 million people living in slums will be represented in community governance structures, to help make sure their needs and views get attention; 2.75 million poor people will be covered by a programme of support to improve their nutrition (poor nutrition is a serious problem across Bangladesh, especially for women and children); 615,000 people will have access to an improved water supply and 717,000 to improved sanitation; Better footpaths and drainage will be provided for 1.6 million people; 260,000 poor households will be supported through savings and credit groups to access the finance they need e.g. to start small businesses or to cover short term needs; 72,000 people will be helped to improve their skills, incomes and assets and 140,000 extremely poor women will be helped to set up a small business to increase their income; 70,000 children will receive education grants to help them go to school (although schooling is free, there are still other costs like uniforms and books and transport costs which are a 1 struggle for the poorest families). The programme will also help Bangladesh as a country and affected communities to develop a better long term response to urban poverty. It is doing this by helping community groups to work together as federations and to make links with other organisations that can help them, so they can raise awareness of the challenges they face and push for action to tackle these problems. The programme also aims to help the Government of Bangladesh and other stakeholders to identify practical ways forward on difficult issues like secure land tenure for people living in slums and informal settlements. What is the context in which UK support is provided? Bangladesh has made impressive progress on many Millennium Development Goals, including poverty reduction, education enrolment and maternal and child health. But the population continues to grow and it is urbanising rapidly and this presents new challenges. The urban population grew from 1.9 million in 1950 to 46 million in 2011. This represents an increase from 4.3% to 28% of the total population in 60 years. By 2045 it is expected that half the population of Bangladesh will live in urban areas. According to the latest available data from 2010, 21.3% of the urban population (9.7 million people) are poor1. Most of them live in slums and informal settlements which are characterised by high levels of poverty and vulnerability and low socio-economic status; inadequate housing and insecure land tenure; high population density and limited access to health, water and sanitation services. The Government of Bangladesh has only recently begun to put in place a clear policy on urbanisation and urban poverty. The draft Urban Sector Policy is intended to provide better coordination and policy guidelines. The new national development strategy (the ‘6th Five-Year Plan’) allocates more resources for urban development. The Urban Forum held in Bangladesh in December 2011 (with support from DFID) brought together Government, private sector, experts, donor and civil society partners from across the country to discuss best to address the challenges the country faces, and to learn from best practice in other countries. 1 Household Income and Expenditure Survey 2010, conducted by the Bangladesh Bureau of Statistics. 2 Section A: Detailed Output Scoring Output 1: Urban poor communities mobilized to form representative and inclusive groups and prepare community action plans Output 1 score and performance description: Score: A - Output has met expectations Performance Description: Overall, the output has met expectations. Over 0.68 million slum households (2.86 million people) have been mobilised so far, including over 0.5 million households (2.1 million people) mobilised into primary groups. This exceeds milestone targets. However, the project has been unable to meet expectations on meeting milestone targets on supporting homeless people. There is sufficient evidence to demonstrate that the community mobilisation is inclusive and is effective for the preparation of community action plans. Progress against expected results: Indicators Milestones for Progress (as this review on 31/12/2011) 1.1 # of households and individuals in supported low-income settlements socially mobilised into primary groups (PGs) disaggregated by household type (a) Households mobilised 600,000 685,433 2,586,000 2,860,820 420,000 501,838 1,810,200 2,114,149 (e) Proportion of households into in PGs 70% 73% (f) Female headed households mobilised 37,583 46,061 161,983 198,062 70% 83% 9,830 12,462 42,367 53,586 70% 79% 4,050 6,067 17,456 26,088 (n) Proportion of ethnic minority households mobilised 70% 70% (o) Number of Schedule Caste households mobilised 3,121 4,323 13,452 18,589 (b) Individuals mobilised (c) Households mobilised into PGs (d) Individuals mobilised into PGs (g) Individuals mobilised from female headed households (h) Proportion of female headed households mobilised (i) Number of households with at least one disabled member mobilised (j) Individuals belonging to households with at least one disabled member mobilised (k) Proportion of households with at least one disabled member mobilised (l) Number of ethnic minority households mobilised (m) Individuals belonging to ethnic minority households mobilised (p) Individuals belonging to Schedule Caste households 3 mobilised (q) Proportion of Schedule Caste households mobilised 1.2 # poor homeless people supported under the programme 1.3 % of households satisfied with CDCs/PGs performance 70% 73% 5,000 3301 CDC – 70% > 70% PG – 70% Output Indicator 1.1: # of households and individuals in supported low-income settlements socially mobilised into primary groups (PGs), disaggregated by household type Results for all sub-indicators have moderately exceeded targets. Over 685,000 slum households (2.86 million people) are benefitting including 236,658 slum households originally mobilised under a previous project, the Local Partnerships for Poverty Alleviation Project (LPUPAP), and which are continuing to receive support under UPPR. Of the total, 39% of households are extremely poor. Representatives from over 500,000 households, most of whom are women, have joined primary groups (PG) (of around 20 members) from which 2,221 community development committees (CDCs) have been formed so far. About 317,000 PG members have become members of savings and credit groups generating savings of £2.3 million. Output Indicator 1.2: # poor homeless people supported under the programme Activities for this indicator have not achieved the milestone target. So far, 3,301 homeless people have been supported through piloting 3 multi-purpose centres which provide a secure place for belongings, sleeping and bathing facilities, access to health care, day care and nonformal primary education for children. The Centres facilitate the opening of savings accounts, birth and ID registration, apprenticeships, business grants, among others. The centres have also provided a focus for partnerships with the local Government and local voluntary organisations. The target was set in the expectation that more homeless people might be attracted to the centres but this was not based on any previous survey. Output Indicator 1.3: % of households satisfied with CDCs/PGs performance A beneficiary survey is planned for mid-2012 that would input into this indicator. Based on anecdotal evidence from field visits, it seemed that more than 70% of household members were satisfied with the performance of Community Development Committees (CDCs). In addition, sample self-assessment surveys of the performance of these community structures are positive. For example 95% of CDCs conduct monthly meetings and 88% of CDCs report that at least 75% of Primary Group (PG) leaders attend all CDC meetings. 81% of CDCs report that they are able to resolve conflicts. Thus it is likely that the present milestone of 70% households satisfied is met. Other Issues It is important that this Output is not seen as a ‘means to the end’ for implementing Community Action Plans (CAPs) and spending the Settlement Improvement or Socio Economic Funds. The foundation of the UPPR approach is social mobilisation – building community voice, self-initiative and partnerships building. It is an important end in itself. Thus, ensuring that community mobilisers are well trained and appropriately resourced is an essential input for the programme. The formation of Federations of CDC clusters is low at only 4 towns and this is limiting 4 the collective strength of community organisations and the building of confidence for independent initiatives. Activities such as exchanges within towns and between towns which can strengthen clusters and Federations are needed. The activities of CDCs, CDC clusters and Federations depend largely on UPPR activities and funds. The costs of managing these community governance structures rely in part on management fees on UPPR projects, rather than, for example a membership fee. UPPR has noted that PGs function less well than CDCs and that many CDCs are not holding annual general meetings and elections. Improved accountability to PGs is needed. The on-going improvement to community savings systems and the pilot governance improvement activities will help transparency and confidence in the groups. Sub-indicators of 1.1 are currently confusing. The first sub-indicator (1.1a) currently totalling 685,433 households (2.8 million people) is actually the population in CDC areas rather than the households/individuals mobilised. Mobilisation is more properly defined by 501,838 households in primary groups with a population of 2.1 million people. The first sub-indicator (population of CDC areas) is currently being used as the indicator of the Outcome target of a 3 million beneficiary population. Whilst this can be justified on the basis that all the population of the area, not just those organised into groups, will benefit from the improvements to living conditions provided by the programme, specifically for the infrastructure provision, and a discussion is needed on whether all the population in the area are either mobilised or benefitting from improved livelihoods. Finally, sub-indicator 1.1a – individual/households mobilised (population in CDC areas) should be disaggregated for poor/extreme poor in order to inform the Outcome target. Recommendations: UPPR should place greater emphasis on social mobilisation as an end in itself. This requires more focus on facilitating networking amongst CDCs promoting empowerment for independent activity, and on building capacity of cluster and federations to take on a support role. Community mobilisers, including those to be recruited under the newly developed Organisational Development Plan that responded to the 2011 Annual Review, need more thorough induction and refresher training on social mobilisation concepts as well as technical procedure. The successes of the pilot governance improvements (e.g. social audit, contract display boards, competitive bidding and Community Resource Centres) should be shared with other towns, and the improvements to community banking management should be scaled up as soon as possible. The sub-indicators of 1.1 need to be more clearly termed as: - a) individuals/households included in CDC areas, - b) individuals/households mobilised into primary groups, - c) poor and extreme poor individuals/households included in CDC areas, - d) poor and extreme poor individuals/households included in primary groups. Reduce the number of sub-indicators of Indicator 1.1 by summarising to: - 1.1 d) ‘proportion of extreme poor households and individuals mobilised into primary groups’. This may exclude households and individuals mobilised into PGs under LPUPAP. - 1.1 e) proportion of vulnerable and socially excluded group households i.e. female-headed households, households with one disabled member, ethnic minority or scheduled caste households A new indicator to reflect work of programme on developing leadership capacity of 5 women i.e. # of women serving as CDC Cluster and Federation office-bearers; and # of women CDC leaders standing as Ward Councillors should be included. The logframe milestones and targets should be revised to include the 236,658 households previously mobilised under the predecessor programme (LPUPAP). DFID has agreed to include these households in the overall 3 million population target as UPPR is providing ongoing services and grants benefiting these communities. The support to homeless beneficiaries should also be included in the targets in the same way. Strengthen indicator on homeless to reflect access to services of other programmes – e.g. # of homeless people receiving ID cards; and # of homeless obtaining employment following apprenticeships The planned survey capturing UPPR beneficiary’s perceptions of the value of community structures (PGs and CDCs) should be repeated annually. Impact Weighting (%): 20% Revised since last Annual Review? No Risk: Medium Revised since last Annual Review? No Output 2: Poor urban communities have healthy and secure living environments Output 2 score and performance description: Score: A - Output has met expectations Performance Description: This output has met expectations with regards to milestone targets. Although targets on sub-indicators (e.g. tube wells, reservoirs etc) are off track, the overall number of people benefitting from infrastructure investments has exceeded targets. The project has therefore met community demand for infrastructure as identified in their Community Action Plans (CAP) and total Settlement Improvement Fund (SIF) expenditure on community infrastructure such as toilets, footpaths etc. has exceeded the annual budget allocation. Surveys to assess health outcomes and time benefits from improved infrastructure are awaited but observation from field visits indicate that communities have benefited on both counts. Progress against expected results: Indicators Milestones for Progress (as this review on 31/12/2011) 2.1 # of beneficiary households in supported low-income settlements provided with improved access to: (a) Tube well 137,860 113,070 (b) Reservoir 87,300 10,246 (c) Sanitation/Toilets 99,219 89,901 (d) Drainage 137,860 60,845 (e) Footpath No target for 2011-12 period 149,249 No target for 42,305 (f) Cooking stove 6 2011-12 period Overall total number of households with improved access to one of the items listed above 2.2 Better infrastructure facilities leading to reflect improvements in sources of water and sanitation, decrease in time in collecting water, and health outcomes 462,239 465,616 No target for 2011-12 period Survey results awaited Output Indicator 2.1: # of beneficiary households in supported low-income settlements provided with improved access to water facilities, sanitation facilities (latrines), drainage facilities, footpath facilities and cooking stoves This indicator has moderately not met the target milestones. This is largely because of the demand-driven nature of the infrastructure delivery under SIF component, where community groups prioritise infrastructure requirement and, as result, it has been difficult for the UPPR to predict the likely requirements and to set milestone targets. Thus, while milestone achievement under water supply (especially reservoirs), sanitation and drainage are below target, delivery against footpath/access roads and cooking stoves, which do not have specified milestone targets, has been strong with an additional 190,000 households benefiting. UPPR also undertakes rehabilitation of water supply sources and these have not been included in the achievement numbers. The programme is meeting the needs of the community as articulated in their community action plans. Evidence from field visits indicates that the quality of infrastructure delivered is of high standard requiring low Operation and Maintenance (O&M) investments and thereby delivering value for money. One of the biggest achievements is that all infrastructure projects are identified, developed, implemented and maintained by CDCs. All CDCs have set up an O&M account wherein 10% of total project cost is contributed by the community towards ensuring proper O&M of the facility. To date, over £0.56 million (70 million BDT) has been collected by CDCs in 15 of the 23 towns towards O&M, with a proportionate sum expected in the other towns but not yet reported. Community management of the construction work required e.g. footpath building also ensured 60 days of employment for the poorest people within the community who did not have any employment for the last one month. The project promotes integrated provision of footpath and drains. However, site visits revealed that in some cases drains provided within slums were not connected to city-level drains primarily because city-level infrastructure have not reached peripheries of most slums. Efforts must be undertaken to link and integrate city-level services provided by GoB and through other donor funding agencies with UPPR infrastructure wherever possible. Output Indicator 2.2: Better infrastructure facilities leading to improvements in sources of water and sanitation, decrease in time in collecting water, and health outcomes No data/evidence is currently available. UPPR is planning to undertake a recall survey in target slums to establish baselines and progress against the above. However, anecdotal evidence from slum visits indicate that slum residents have benefitted from reduction in waterborne disease and reduction in time taken for collection of potable water. Other Issues Increase in rents in UPPR slums post infrastructure development is a concern – some beneficiaries reported paying increased rents to private land lords once a slum had been 7 improved with paths, drainage, water and toilets etc. In addition, the continuing threat of eviction of poor people from informal settlements and slums hampers local investments in infrastructure and housing. Improved living conditions may best be achieved by the integrated provision of the four critical infrastructure services – water supply, toilets, footpaths and drainage. Many CDCs are able to access several rounds of support from the CIF fund in order to address all of these issues, and where this has happened the impact appears to be highest. However, given that these investments are determined by communities themselves, UPPR should ensure that the community action plan planning process informs people of the benefits of the integrated approach as they are understandably more likely to prioritise investments like water supply over toilets Recommendations: • • • • • • • • UPPR should support CDCs to promote and monitor agreements to ensure that slum landlords do not increase rents for 3-5 years on account of infrastructure provided under the project. UPPR should explore working with favourable municipalities and, on a slum-by-slum basis with CDCs and land-owners, to obtain agreements or statements of intent that these communities will not be evicted at least for one generation (15-30 years) thereby allowing inter-generational benefits to accrue through the project. Any such agreements should be disseminated as examples for replication in other slums/towns/cities. Given the political sensitivities around land tenure, UNDP and DFID should support UPPR to facilitate such agreements by increasing their advocacy with Government to sustain the improvements and investments in the slum communities, especially where they are on Government land. Indicator 2.1 should be changed to the standard DFID indicator of ‘number of people with access to improved water supply’ and ‘number of people with access to improved sanitation for easier aggregation of DFID contributions to improved water and sanitation across a range of programmes. Better reflect demand-driven nature of Output 2 by rationalising annual milestone targets based on demand-driven trends of the last two years and projection of future trends based on existing investments (If communities have already invested in water supply, they are likely to prioritise other needs in subsequent CAP planning processes. Alternately, set formal milestone targets at a higher level e.g. number of community infrastructure projects completed, or number of people served overall, and then report against different types just for information, aggregation etc. Indicator 2.2 needs to be further strengthened focusing on ‘time taken for collection of water’. An indicator on ‘number of children reporting diarrhoea’ may be included at the Outcome/Purpose level as reduction in disease would be caused not only by improved water supply and sanitation provision, but also by improved access to health care and hygiene awareness. A 15-30 days recall period may be used for collection of health data. Alternatively, data available from ICDDR-B (International Centre for Diarrhoeal Disease Research, Bangladesh) can be used if found relevant. UPPR should improve health and hygiene education as a part of the Community Action Planning process and in association with water and sanitation provision. Include new indicator: - Proportion of CDCs with completed CAPs or re-CAPs - Proportion of community contracts completed within 12 months of CAP To achieve the intended Outcome, UPPR should encourage the provision of all four basic infrastructure services - improved water supply, improved toilets, footpath and drainage - so that health outcomes are not jeopardised. Specifically, improved water 8 supplies and footpaths must be designed with adequate drainage to avoid ponding and waterlogging. Town teams should work with municipalities to connect with off-site network drainage wherever possible. CDCs should be required to organise drain cleaning as a part of general health and hygiene awareness. Impact Weighting (%): 30% Revised since last Annual Review? No Risk: Medium Revised since last Annual Review? No Output 3: Urban poor and extremely poor people acquire the resources, knowledge and skills to increase their income and assets Output 3 score and performance description: Score: A+ - Output has moderately exceeded expectations Performance Description: This output has moderately exceeded expectations on account of strong performance of Savings and Credit Groups (S&CG) and overall benefits from skills development and wage employment schemes. It is estimated that S&CG groups have collected over £2.3 million of savings while beneficiaries of skill and wage employment programs have generated income of over £12.6 million. Progress against expected results: Indicators Milestones for Progress (as this review on 31/12/2011) 3.1. # of female and male beneficiaries in supported low-income settlements receiving skill development training (apprenticeship) 37,800 38,733 None 28,637 No gender disaggregated targets were provided 10,096 34,347 55,539 3.2. % of female and male beneficiaries in supported low-income settlements who are employed 3 months to 1 year after receiving 60% 78% (a) skills development training (apprenticeships) – female 60% 71% (b) skills development training (apprenticeships) – male 60% 85% (c) small enterprise block grant 60% 58% (a) skills development training (apprenticeships) – female (b) skills development training (apprenticeships) – male (c) small enterprise block grant 9 3.3. # of female and male children-years of education delivered in supported low-income settlements, by level of education: 36,350 (a) primary school TBD (b) secondary school TBD 3.4. % of beneficiaries in supported low-income settlements receiving iron and folic acid (IFA), and micronutrient powder (MNP) 47,377 None Reporting to start from 201213 210,000 317,546 35% 42% 3.5. # of households saving and having access to credit through savings and credit groups (S&CGs) (a) # of households in S&CGs (b) % of households in S&CGs Output Indicator 3.1: # of female and male beneficiaries in supported low-income settlements receiving skill development training (apprenticeship) and small enterprise block grants This indicator has moderately exceeded milestone targets with 38,733 poor people benefiting from apprenticeship scheme and 55,539 people benefiting from small enterprise block grants under the Socio-Economic Fund (SEF) component of UPPR. Under the apprenticeship scheme, beneficiaries are paid between BDT 1,500 – 9,000 (£12 -£70) every month; thereafter, beneficiaries have generated income worth over £10 million. Going forward, course selection should be based on a review of local market requirements to ensure trainees can get a job quickly in the trade for which they were trained. Enterprise grants of up to BDT 5000 (£38) have also been provided to women from extremely poor households to set up local businesses, helping them make a profit of up to BDT 1000 (£7) per month; to date, beneficiaries have generated additional total income worth over £2.6 million. In addition, there are other SEF and income-generating activities, such as urban agriculture that also have an impact on increasing income and reducing expenditure. Output Indicator 3.2: % of female and male beneficiaries in supported low-income settlements who are employed 3 months to 1 year after receiving skill development training (apprenticeship) and small enterprise block grants This indicator has met milestone targets with 71% female and 85% male beneficiaries of apprenticeship programme continuing to remain employed after their training. The lower retention of female beneficiaries is a concern. Anecdotal evidence from field visits suggests that women find it more difficult to travel far and work odd hours. UPPR should assess more closely the market potential of apprentice programmes before approving them for beneficiaries. With the enterprise grants, only 58% of beneficiaries have managed to sustain their businesses at a level of profitability (above BDT 2,000, or £15 monthly) which UPPR has set as making a significant difference to their livelihoods. The UPPR team indicated that a higher percentage would have been recorded as benefitting from block grants if this profitability level was reduced to between BDT 1,000 and 2,000. Anecdotal evidence from the field raised questions regarding the effectiveness of enterprise grants, especially in generating sustainable income benefits. Currently they seem to be viewed more as social rather than economic interventions, sometimes for single, elderly women. If these are to continue, they need more considered analysis and design, building on successes from other DFID funded programmes in urban areas e.g. the Economic 10 Empowerment of the Poorest Challenge Fund. Output Indicator 3.3: # of female and male children-years of education delivered in supported low-income settlements by level of education in primary schools and secondary schools The indicator has moderately exceeded milestone targets primarily on account of the education grants provided to primary and secondary school drop-outs. Anecdotal evidence from field visits suggested that this has allowed children of extremely poor families to go to school who would have otherwise dropped studying due to cost of schooling. UPPR may want to consider monitoring of performance of these children (on a sample basis) by interacting with their respective schools. A recommendation of the previous DFID annual review has been incorporated and this support has been extended to primary school drop-outs. This indicator might usefully be disaggregated into grants for primary and secondary education. In addition to the above, the SEF Social Development component has enabled CDC Clusters to establish 35 pre-schools, 17 day-care centres, three basic education centres, and 30 adult literacy centres benefiting an additional 3,680 people. The possibility of charging for such services should be explored and could generate income for the community and make the facilities more self-sustaining. Output Indicator 3.4: % of beneficiaries in supported low-income settlements receiving iron and folic acid (IFA), and micronutrient powder (MNP) This indicator will be monitored from the 2012-13 period as implementation of this new component has not yet begun. Output Indicator 3.5: households saving and having access to credit through savings and credit groups (S&CGs) – number and proportion The indicator has exceeded milestone targets primarily on account of high perceived benefits observed by the community, and transparency and accountability ensured. Over £2.3 million of savings has been generated. Although targets are being exceeded, the overall proportion of households enrolling into S&CGs remains quite low (42%). In response, UPPR has taken a community banking approach rather than the traditional micro-finance approach. The latter has both higher interest rates and higher management fees. In the pilot CDCs in 5 towns, the improvements have increased the proportion of PG members enrolling in S&CG, encouraged a 14% increase in savings and 30% increase in loans. Loan repayment has increased from 95% observed last year to 98% this year. CDCs now have the confidence to create a CDC fund, cluster fund and welfare fund to, respectively, manage risk, support their cluster and provide a safety net for their members. S&CGs are essential to sustaining community actions within CDCs and any graduation/exit strategy for UPPR will need to keep S&CGs as the centrepiece of its approach. Recommendations: Under apprenticeship scheme, course selection should be done based on a review of local market requirements to ensure beneficiaries find a job quickly. Need to focus more on training for wage employment (i.e. jobs) rather than selfemployment in the informal sector as a more strategic approach to poverty reduction. Sustainability of SEF component needs to be closely reviewed. In addition to logframe indicators, SEF includes a number of other support initiatives. This adds to burden of the project team in terms of implementation. UPPR should review which components of SEF provide greatest value for money and, going forward, focus on these – in an easyto follow “menu” of “priced” choices outlining key benefits. 11 Stronger engagement with stakeholders is required so that UPPR can start phasing out the socio-economic grants provided to communities and link them with other public and private support. Handing over of SEF can be undertaken in a phased manner. UPPR should target to hand over by end of 2013, with UPPR team providing technical and administrative support to local Governments and other service providers after hand over of SEF activities. This initiative will also need to be supported by DFID and UNDP at Government level. Indicator 3.2 should reflect if beneficiaries are employed in the same field as the training provided. Include milestones for Indicator 3.3. Indicator 3.5(b) needs to be changed to proportion of primary group households in S&CGs. Impact Weighting (%): 30% Revised since last Annual Review? No Risk: Medium Revised since last Annual Review? No Output 4: Pro-poor urban policies and partnerships supported at the national and local levels Output 4 score and performance description: Score: A - The output has met expectations. Performance Description: Four UPPR towns have officially recognised the low-income settlement maps prepared by the Project; and UPPR has been successful in securing a sizeable number of partnerships (i.e. working together with other service providers) and linkages (contacts and liaison) with donors, civil society organisations and Government. Additional indicators are required to better reflect the influences that UPPR has on policy and practice at national as well as local levels. Progress against expected results: Indicators Milestones for Progress (as this review on 31/12/2011) 4.1. # of programme towns where low-income settlements are officially recognised by Pourashava Mayors 4.2. # of press reports covering urban poverty issues in low-income settlements by (i) UPPR-commissioned and (ii) others 3 Towns 4 Towns Newly introduced milestone – no targets yet Not yet available 40 92 4.3. # of town-led partnerships and linkages established by the programme (a) Partnerships 12 (b) Linkages 60 355 Output Indicator 4.1: # of programme towns where low-income settlements are officially recognised by Pourashava Mayors This indicator has moderately exceeded milestone targets. Mayors of four towns (Gopalganj, Tongi, Narayangonj and Savar) have officially recognised the existence, location and characteristics of low-income settlements in their areas, based on the Settlement Land Mapping (SLM) exercise undertaken by UPPR. This has the potential to guide the towns to plan for the improvement of low-income settlements and to direct future service provision. An indicator of this would be the direct budgetary allocations by towns to local CDCs and/or increased local Government budget allocations to infrastructure improvement and other investments that benefit these communities. Equally important is the potential this has for local recognition of land tenure security in low income settlements. Although falling well-short of formally securing tenure, the local Mayors’ signing-off on SLM maps, does at least provide a basis for a strategic examination of slum settlements in each town and for slum-by-slum approaches to securing more security for slumdwellers. This might be validated by adoption of some sort of agreement or ‘resolution’ developed between UPPR and municipalities. Output Indicator 4.2: # of press reports covering urban poverty issues in low-income settlements by (i) UPPR-commissioned and (ii) others As yet no evidence is available on the number of press reports published on low income settlements. UPPR has committed to entering into media monitoring arrangement from the current reporting year and has offered only anecdotal evidence of widespread press coverage. However, the team found that this is an inadequate and potentially misleading indicator of performance for policy advocacy efforts. We recommend that it be replaced by measures which reflect UPPR’s role within national lobbying, and its sponsorship of major advocacy events and initiatives. These are specified in more detail below. Output Indicator 4.3: # of town-led partnerships and linkages established by the programme This indicator has substantially exceeded milestone targets. The project achieved over 92 partnerships (defined as the formation of joint delivery and/ or advocacy arrangements) and 355 linkages (given by formal or semi-formal contacts with key stakeholders to obtain policy outcomes, service improvements and additional resources) at the town and national level. Partnerships have ensured real service benefits including among others: delivery of improved water and sanitation to 28,000 school children in partnership with Coca-Cola; an improved water supply to 3,000 slum households in Dhaka in partnership with DWASA (Dhaka’s Water Supply Agency); 13,650 poor people receiving training in handicrafts and shoe making in partnership with the Non-Government Organisation CARE; and improved access to healthcare for 600,000 community members through the Urban Primary Health Care Programme (UPHCP). It is estimated that the setting up of effective linkages has leveraged additional resources for UPPR communities of around £1.5 million from various partners. To facilitate and institutionalize these linkages and ensure sustained benefits, 28 clusters have established Community Resource Centres (CRCs). Other Issues UPPR contributed substantially to the organisation of the first Bangladesh Urban Forum (BUF) in December r 2011 where a range of national and international stakeholders, including the 13 Government of Bangladesh, UPPR staff and CDC members discussed and debated urban issues. The BUF closed with an “Urban Declaration” committing stakeholders to institutionalization of the Forum as a platform for informed debate, and a series of policy responses to the major challenges faced in the urban sector. The Project will follow-up these commitments, particularly in respect of the Urban Strategy published in 2010, but not yet enacted by Government. Secure tenure represents the primary policy challenge faced by the UPPR, and should be reflected within the log frame at outcome level. Success is likely to be incremental with individual practical advances at local level and the building of a coalition of interests at the policy level. UNDP and DFID should also be involved in policy level support for UPPR and the urban poor organised within the programme. Recommendations: Include new indicators: - 4.2: Number of towns where there is a basic public commitment to promoting the integrity of low income settlements and the security of land tenure; - 4.4: Value of municipal resources devoted to UPPR-related activities; or alternatively, the number of towns supporting CDCs directly from their own budgets. - Outcome indicator: National policy changes, notably adoption of the Draft Urban Strategy and a framework for improved security of tenure in low income settlements. Work with local Governments and local landowners to develop a more strategic approach to obtaining security of tenure for slum dwellers based on the Settlement Maps. This could include a process of slum categorisation and slum-by-slum examination of tenure options. DFID and UNDP should jointly examine coordinated policy interventions to support national policy changes, notably adoption of the Draft Urban Strategy. Impact Weighting (%): 15% Revised since last Annual Review? No Risk: Medium Revised since last Annual Review? No Output 5: Effective project management systems established and operational Output 5 score and performance description: Score: B Performance Description: Output has moderately not met expectations There are no milestones defined for this output. However, as a basis for the assessment a comparison to previous fiscal year outturns and total project budget have been used as a proxy. Indicators expressing spending levels compared to budget and share of staffing positions filled are however, not considered as the most appropriate indicators to express “effective project management systems”. Against these simple indicators UPPR is on track. 14 However, assessing against how well UPPR Management have followed up on the 2011 Annual Review Recommendations reveals some delays, and some issues not yet resolved. For example, the Management Review and follow up Organisational Development Plan were delayed, and implementation of the recommendations has only just started. In addition, key issues such as development of an exit strategy from towns supported under the predecessor programme (Local Partnerships for Urban Poverty Alleviation Programme – LPUPAP) are still outstanding. The following presents progress against indicators in the current the log-frame (n.b. no specific 2012 milestones available). Progress against expected results: Milestones for this review Budget 2011 Expenditure 20112 Total budget 2007-2014 Total Expenditure 2007-2011 Percent of project budget 5.1. Amount of SIF budget delivered in GBP N.A. NA 4,677,138 24,000,000 9,513,373 40% 5.1. Amount of SIF budget delivered in USD N.A. 4,125,000 8,114,347 46,800,000 16,504,712 35% 5.2. Amount of SEF budget delivered in GBP N.A. NA 3,024,000 14,547,708 6,054,414 42% 5.2. Amount of SEF budget delivered in USD N.A. 4,800,000 5,246,325 28,358,031 10,503,777 37% Indicators Milestones for this review 2010 2011 5.3. % of project human resource positions staffed N.A. 93% 85% 5.4. % of new female staff recruited (yearly) N.A. 17% 21% Indicators Source: UNDP 2007 - 2010 certified statement of accounts and 2011 interim financial statement. Data for SIF and SEF includes only amounts that have been charged to DFID’s contribution. UNDP has provided additional funding to SIF and SEF. Output Indicator 5.1: Amount of Settlement Improvement Fund (SIF) budget delivered In 2011 a total value of 7.4 million USD (4.7 million GBP) was transferred as SIF grants to the CDCs as financial contributions in support of community and household investments. This exceeded the budget allocated and is significantly above the grants transferred in 2010 to CDCs. In total 16.5 million USD (9.5 million GBP) has been transferred as SIF grants to CDCs since project inception. This is equivalent to 35% of the total budget allocation to this grant. Measured in GBP the utilisation percentage is higher since the value of GBP to USD (exchange rate) has declined over the years. UPPR has positively responded to changing demands of CDCs in terms of the types of community based infrastructure investments they have prioritised over the years. While initially the project grants funded mainly basic water and sanitation infrastructure, other community (footpaths, drainage) and household infrastructure (like improved cooking stoves) have expanded with outreach to more communities and households The increase in grant utilisation is also due to a more efficient process of contracting suppliers and by diversifying contract entities to include CDC clusters. The contract approval process, however, still involves several steps from appraisal of CDC 2 Includes only the amount of SIF and SEF that has been charged to DFID. 15 proposals to final approval and transfer of grants to CDCs through bank accounts managed by the town administration. In some project localities there are insufficient technical staff to support contract implementation, or an absence of town leaders with authority to process CDC projects. UPPR is piloting web-based contract processing which will serve to reduce time required for processing and approval of projects and thus utilisation of the grant. Output Indicator 5.2: Amount of Socio-Economic Fund budget delivered (in GBP and USD) In 2011 a total value of 5.3 million USD (3.0 million GBP) was transferred as SEF grants to CDCs as financial contributions in support of various social and economic activities including employment generating opportunities. This is above the 2011 budget allocation of 4.8 million USD and significant increase compared to 2010 with an amount of 3.7 million USD transferred to CDCs. In total 10.5 million USD (6.0 million GBP) has been transferred as SEF grants to CDCs since project inception. This is equivalent to 37% of the total budget allocation to this grant. The grants are utilised to support communities and households among others to promote employment and income generation and school enrolment. Output Indicator 5.3: % of project human resource positions staffed According to data provided by UPPR there were 407 planned staff positions for 2011, of which 349 were filled i.e. 85%. The total number of UPPR staff increased from 2010 to 2011. Recruitment is still a challenge, but the percentage of positions filled has improved. Output Indicator 5.4: % of new female staff recruited (yearly) By end of 2011, 21% of UPPR staff members were female. According to UPPR project management, increasing this target is a challenge since female applicants for UPPR positions are few. This is likely to reflect the difficult working environment the programme presents for women staff members. However, given that the vast majority of target beneficiaries of the project are women, it is important to increase the percentage of women working at both town level and in senior management. Overall assessment Overall UPPR has continued to make great progress in the field. Although there were no specific targets for this year, the above indicators on spend on grants vs overall budget, staffing positions filled etc are overall on track. However, these are not the most relevant indicators to measure the output “Effective project management systems”. This Review has therefore also considered, for the purpose of scoring this output, how effectively the programme management have taken up key recommendations from the Annual Review 2011. While the DFID Project Memorandum specified that 65% of project contributions were to be spent directly by communities themselves, the amounts actually disbursed are also not a suitable indicator for this output. UPPR programmes SIF and SEF funds over the whole programme period based on a CDC budget threshold (limit per CDC). The delivery capacity of communities and delays in the contract approval process constrain funding for the community grants. Furthermore, over the years, formation of CDCs has generated an increasing demand for grants and in the last years demand has exceeded available funding. The current ratio of overheads to programme costs (community grants) will not be sustainable over the life of the programme (Please see Section B 2.1 on Costs and timescales). 16 CDCs decide themselves what type of investments/services their communities need. Some are quick disbursing (like block grants for cooking stoves, enterprise development and school grants). Others grants (like water and sanitation infrastructure) require more input in the form of technical support and contract supervision. It is important to ensure that indicators don’t incentivise ‘quick spend’ over the important principles of community led development, and maintaining quality delivery. Filling vacant positions is also a problematic indicator, as it does not allow for analysis of whether the most important posts are filled. It may also incentivise over-staffing in some areas – driving up costs, and not necessarily demonstrating improved programme management and value for money. An assessment of financial data suggests that the budget is not fully used as an effective management tool to contain expenditures within approved ceilings. It further shows that staff and consultancy costs have increased to improve programme delivery but this increase has been faster than the number of households and communities mobilised/receiving support. This is the opposite of what would be expected as a programme matured and began to be able to show efficiencies of scale etc. In addition, standard budget management and project progress reports are not always being produced on time, and do not in all cases appear to be informing decision making. There are several challenges associated with the quality and timeliness of project monitoring information, among others due to constraints in implementation of a management and monitoring system. The project has not been reviewed by external auditors. DFID is discussing with UNDP whether this would be appropriate, as part of efforts to further tighter up financial management. Whether audits are done internally or externally, it is vital that all audit recommendations are followed up in full and any issues resolved urgently. The Annual Review of 2011 noticed some areas of significant stress within overall programme management. They recommended that the UPPR and UNDP hired a team of consultants to do a Strategic Management Review (SMR) of the project. One of the outcomes of the review has been the development of an Organisational Development Plan (OD Plan). The SMR and OD Plan were somewhat delayed (and only agreed in March 2012). Therefore management resources for this large and complex programme are stretched in some key areas. Implementation of the OD plan recommendations will help to address the issues raised (e.g. lack of strategic management, centralised decision-making, absence of systematic monitoring, shortage of technical leadership capacity and too few community mobilisers). In addition to the management review, the 2011 annual review also recommended action in the following areas which have not been completed fully and remain as recommendations for this review. Specifically these are to: Developing clear work and resource plans, building ownership with Government counterparts; Improve Monitoring and Evaluation systems not just for inputs, activities and outputs, but also for outcomes, and develop economic cost benefit analysis materials; and Developing exit strategies from certain towns based on clear exit criteria (by 30 Sept 2011) For these reasons, we consider the programme to be moderately not meeting expectations in the area of management. 17 Recommendations: Urgent implementation of the OD Plan is necessary to complete the proposed restructuring and recruitment recommended in the SMR. Indicators of effective project management are already included under outputs 1-3 (like planned versus actual number of communities mobilised). In addition other indicators that better reflect effective project management could be; - processing time for different types of grants (i.e. reduction in time or within a service target set for processing of some CDC proposals for some or all investments/grants); - the share of personnel resources focussing on service delivery compared to general project management and administration declining over time contained within a set ratio (i.e. using the UPPR activity based budget to estimate a planned ratio); - the extent to which expenditures are contained within budget ceilings (i.e. measured by level of variance between budget and expenditures); - that top quality management information is produced in a timely manner to inform decision making (evidenced by output and financial data produced to agreed schedules, with subsequent decisions informed by evidence). The project management needs to explore ways to increase the proportion of women staff. It should pursue the gender consultancy as recommended by the Strategic Management Review to review the UPPR’s programmatic and organisational policies with a focus on ensuring they are addressing the needs of women and girls ensuring women are employed at all levels of the programme UPPR should target women in recruitment, and ensure their ongoing development and retention. This may include a review of the current working culture/environment and assessment of what can be done to attract and retain more women staff. Indicator 5.4 needs to be revised to encourage a greater gender balance of positions at every level including senior management. Impact Weighting (%): 5% Revised since last Annual Review? No Risk: Medium Revised since last Annual Review? No Section B: Results and Value for Money. 1. Progress and results 1.1 Has the logframe been updated since last review? Y Yes. As recommended by the 2011 annual review, the logframe was updated primarily to address: (i) overlap between output level indicators and purpose level indicators; (ii) need to 18 develop clearer indicators of impact and outcome which can be monitored more regularly; (iii) harmonisation and standardisation of indicators across all the extreme poverty programmes funded by DFID Bangladesh. At the time of this Review a number of indicators still do not have milestones and targets. It is expected that the logframe including milestones and targets will be finalised after this review. 1.2 Overall Output Score and Description: A: Outputs met expectation Output Scoring Output number Urban Partnerships for Poverty Reduction, Annual Review 2012 Output Description Impact Weight (%) Output Performance 1 Urban poor communities mobilized to form representative and inclusive groups and prepare community action plans 20% Outputs expectation (A) met 2 Poor urban communities have healthy and secure living environments 30% Outputs expectation (A) met 3 Urban poor and extremely poor people acquire the resources, knowledge and skills to increase their income and assets 30% Outputs exceeded (A+) 4 Pro-poor urban policies and partnerships supported at the national and local levels 15% Outputs expectation (A) 5 Effective project management systems established and operational 5% Outputs moderately did not meet expectation (B) 100% All outputs scored moderately expectation met Annual Output Scoring Annual Output Score A 1.3 Direct feedback from beneficiaries The UPPR does not systematically obtain feedback from beneficiaries. A beneficiary survey is planned for later in 2012. The Review team was able to meet a cross-section of beneficiaries during field visits to a number of slums in 4 towns and was impressed by the positive and confident responses from women CDC leaders and from grant beneficiaries. The positive feedback from the Mayors of the towns visited was also particularly encouraging. The UPPR team collected direct feedback from community beneficiaries and from local Government stakeholders including Mayors, member secretaries and ward councillors through a focus group discussion and workshop. They carried out these focus group discussions in Dhaka and Tongi. The following quotations were collected during those exercises. Whilst this is not a statistically representative sample of opinion, it does reflect the views heard and other 19 observations during field visits. Community feedback Impact of community mobilization, leadership and empowerment. “Before UPPR: We had limited control over our own development; our morale and self-esteem was very low; community disputes were difficult to solve; and women did not have control over the household’s financial resources. After UPPR: we can identify and solve community issues and plan actions that change our living conditions; solve community conflicts; lobby the local authorities to provide public services; get crime cases resolved; get other organizations to implement projects in the community. We have learned to manage our own bank accounts. Some of us want to run for ward councillor positions. Most of us are now in control of the household’s financial resources”. Impact of toilets. “Before UPPR: we defecated in open fields/hanging toilets and were not aware of hygienic sanitation practices. For privacy reasons, we women defecated only at night and were scared of being physically harassed. We and our husbands sometimes missed work and our children missed school due to suffering from diarrhoea, typhoid fever and skin diseases. After UPPR: toilets are very close to our houses, and the signage on our toilets reminds use of hygienic practices. As a result, diarrhoea, typhoid fever and skin diseases are decreased substantially. We women enjoy privacy and round the clock access to toilets; our social status has increased; and our health-related expenditures and work and school absences are reduced”. Impact of tube wells. “Before UPPR: water sources were stagnant and distant, about 30 minutes away; pregnant women in particular faced difficulties in collecting water; poor water quality caused diarrhoea, typhoid fever and skin diseases; people missed work and children missed school due to sickness. We spent our savings or took loans for medicine and medical care. After UPPR: drinking water is at most 5 minutes away; water is accessed round the clock; water borne diseases are decreased substantially; and health-related expenditures and in work and school absences are reduced”. Perceived tenure security after UPPR’s settlement and household improvement interventions. “After UPPR: most of us believe that our CDC will not be evicted. Most of us think that our community organisation will help us to avoid eviction should we become under threat”. Impact of micro-business grants and apprenticeships. “Before UPPR: many of us had no sustained income source; we had very limited skills; we could not contribute to family expenses; our parents and husbands were frustrated by their inability to conduct income generating activities; we faced discrimination and verbal abuse from other community members for being idle at home. After UPPR: our household income has increased; we can afford fish and meat more often; we invest part of our income in children’s education and household health; most of us are saving money regularly; our husbands appreciate and sometimes help in running our business. Impact of education grant. “Before UPPR: we were unable to afford school; we felt socially excluded as others were attending school; we faced dropping out, child marriage, and child labour; we had little confidence in finding a good job in future. After UPPR: we appreciate receiving an education that will lead us to qualified employment positions; we feel more included; and we drop out less.” Most valued UPPR intervention. “While we think that settlement improvement interventions are important, we rated household-level actions as the most important UPPR intervention, as that these represented direct interventions that improved our livelihoods and helped lift us out of out of poverty”. From the group discussion, 56% of people rated education grants as the most important, acknowledging that education is the “backbone of the nation”; 25% rated block 20 grants as the most important; 12% rated footpaths as the most, citing improvements in health and living conditions; and 7% rated drainage systems as the most important UPPR intervention, citing improvements in health and living conditions. An analysis by the UPPR team of the contents of the CAPs shows that demand within the SIF and SEF activities changes over time as initial demands are met. Second round CAPs place higher emphasis on household level provision such as cooking stoves or community facilities such as community centres, from SEF, on education grants. Local Government Feedback has been received from Mayors and local Government officials through letters, verbally and through an official workshop in March 2012. Overall they are very supportive of UPPR. Their support is reinforced by their willingness to increase their engagement with the programme. At a recent local Government meeting participants reached consensus that Local Government Institutions would formalise processes and mechanisms to provide support to beneficiaries under the programme, including through registering Community Development Committees, developing poverty reduction strategies for the town and supporting community linkages with other service agencies. 1.4 Summary of overall progress Overall, the programme has made good progress with most outputs either meeting or exceeding expectations. Where specific targets have not been met, notably for Output 2, this is not a reflection of poor programme delivery. It is the result of targets having been set in a ‘top down’ fashion which is not appropriate for a demand-driven programme which responds to community-identified needs. Since overall number of beneficiaries of Output 2 exceeded the milestone, this was scored as meeting expectations. The main concern remains the need to implement the Organisational Development Plan which has progressed somewhat slowly since the 2011 review identified the need for a Management Review. The programme is delivering at scale both in terms of social mobilisation and in the delivery of infrastructure and socio-economic benefits. Progress in 2011 shows a slight decline in social mobilisation over 2009 and 2010 (4,458 PGs formed with 361,000 members), following considerable acceleration in 2009. Expenditure of both investment funds (Settlement Improvement Fund (SIF) and Socio-economic Fund (SEF) is above the annual budget allocation for 2011 and showing an increase over 2010. 1.5 Key challenges Achieving poverty reduction impact: It is important for the programme to focus on those interventions that work best in helping to improving living conditions and livelihoods for the poor and extreme poor. This will mean monitoring: • The extent to which households are benefitting from the programme. This should look at whether impacts come from just access to services, or whether impacts require both services (e.g. water, toilets, drains, paths etc) and support for livelihoods. • The extent to which the programme is promoting a comprehensive approach to infrastructure improvement i.e. integrating provision of water, toilets, drainage and footpaths. This review suggests this approach may be necessary to achieve significant health and livelihood outcomes • whether this is a major change in livelihood security if people get formal wage employment i.e. a job • The extent to which SEF is being used for social welfare (e.g. for vulnerable elderly 21 women) rather than for enterprise development. If necessary, devise alternative mechanisms to provide for their needs e.g. social welfare grant or use of CDC funds for social welfare. • opportunities to achieve more secure tenure for slum dwellers both at national policy level and at a town level, developing practical options on a slum-by-slum basis • opportunities to work with local Governments to better integrate slum communities within municipal planning, resource allocation and service delivery • Poverty impact. The Participatory Identification of the Poor methodology measures relative poverty only and is therefore not an accurate measure of poverty impact. Furthermore it does not capture households’ graduation from poverty and as benefits are linked to poverty status, there is some disincentive for communities to acknowledge improvements in their livelihoods through this approach. The progress made on the Multi-dimensional Poverty Index (MPI) (see 3.1 below) may help with this and its completion and update surveys should be rolled out as soon as possible. Seeking sustainability for the UPPR model through: • At programme level, improved engagement, ownership and adoption by local Government to provide technical support and service delivery to CDCs and for a gradual transfer of responsibility and resource allocation from the programme to local Government • At community level, strengthened community organisation sustainability by supporting formation of clusters and Federations. Also improve financial sustainability of independent initiatives (such as child care facilities), and increase accountability to primary group members. Ensure sustainability of community infrastructure by integrating slum infrastructure and service delivery with municipal services, and effective use of CDC Operation & Maintenance accounts • At household level, through increased effectiveness of skills training and block grants to better reflect local markets and scaling up of the improved systems for Savings & Credit groups. Balancing the pressures to respond to needs and to develop sustainability for exit: The settlement and vacant land mapping exercise has highlighted the scale of need within the rapidly increasing urban poor population. Municipal leaders have limited resources for propoor expenditure and have expressed the desire to retain UPPR resources even in towns that have been receiving support from the project and its predecessor for over 5 years. UPPR was designed to leave behind strengthened capacity and partnerships to sustain initiatives for poverty reduction. Phasing out of CDCs and towns is a key aspect of success, and was part of the initial design. Meanwhile, there are 7 towns originally envisaged as being included in the programme which have not yet received UPPR assistance, and are pressing to be included. The UPPR urgently needs a strategic plan to identify conditions for exit from towns and/or communities within those town based on criteria of sustainability, UPPR also needs a clear model for expansion into new towns, defining a focused programme based on lessons learnt so far. Working in an unfavourable policy environment: It continues to be important for UPPR, UNDP and DFID to work together to promote pro-poor urban policy initiatives such as the Draft Urban Strategy and the Bangladesh Urban Forum. UPPR can demonstrate successes from the including partnerships and linkages with other service delivery agencies. It can also pilot possible models for improving security of tenure for the urban poor. It is also important to constantly reinforce the importance of policies and programmes to address the urban poor – whose numbers are unlikely to decline (Bangladesh’s population is likely to be 50% urban by 2045). Achieving effective project management for a large and complex programme is challenged by the scale of operation, the number of cities/towns in which the programme 22 operates, the number and variety of interventions, and the difficulty in recruiting and retaining qualified staff in a demanding work environment. More effective project management will rely on: • Efficient and appropriate organisational structure and human resources, including prompt implementation of the recommendations of the Strategic Management Review and Organisational Development Plan; • Improved monitoring and learning systems including data management and reporting, including external user satisfaction/verification of outputs, which should be undertaken as soon as possible: and a poverty impact assessment; • Systems for external oversight of programme financial management. These are needed to retain trust and confidence in the programme and to promote financial discipline. Project financing: Decisions are required on the future funding of UPPR, first and foremost how to compensate for exchange rate loss. With changes in exchange rate between the Bangladesh Taka, the UK Pound and the US Dollar, at the time of writing this report, the net overall UK contribution has now reduced by US$ 11.3 million. This may change (positively or negatively) as a result of further currency movements. If UPPR continues to scale up project expenditures following the trend of the last three years, additional funding may be required. Otherwise there will be a requirement to rationalise expenditures by: phasing out of CDCs/towns; focusing on allocations for activities that directly contribute to stated project outputs; and/or reduce allocations for community grants. Some of these choices will impact on project benefits for the target group. Another option is to engage with GoB to include additional funding from the state budget, e.g. state budget allocations to complement external funding for community grants, or to attract other donors. 1.6 Annual Outcome Assessment: Livelihoods and living conditions of 3 million poor and extreme poor people living in urban areas, especially women and children, sustainably improved On-Track. Outcome likely to be achieved Whilst there is no data yet on the specific Outcome indicators there is emerging evidence from Outputs: The population mobilised or benefitting from Community Development Committee (CDC) activities already totals 2.86 million and this figure together with those mobilised into Primary Groups (PGs) (2.1 million) represents good progress. The project is proving to be an efficiently targeted delivery model for infrastructure improvements and livelihood benefits. Whilst infrastructure delivery against specific pres-set targets is below logframe targets, overall the achievement of infrastructure prioritised in Community Action Plans is on track, and livelihood and education grant beneficiaries are above target. CDCs were observed to be targeting poor and extremely poor people for Settlement Improvement Fund and Socio-economic Fund (SIF and SEF) benefits, based on the participatory identification of the poor (PIP) methodology which measures only relative poverty in each slum using community assessments. In addition, the programme is generating or levering significant additional resources which are not captured in current reporting e.g. £2.3 million in savings, £0.5 million in O&M accounts, £12.6 million in wage and income generation, and £1.5 million in services accessed from other providers. Issues The Outcome target of 3 million poor and extremely poor people is taken to be the population of the areas covered by the CDCs – currently 2.86 million people. However there is uncertainty concerning the measurement of poverty in the slums covered by the CDCs. Using the PIP 23 analysis that 20% of the CDC areas are non-poor, current progress towards the end of project target of 3.017 million poor and extremely poor people stands at 2.29 million. This is somewhat behind the logframe target of 2.586 million by December 2011. However, the PIP analysis measures only relative poverty and could be misleading when measured against national poverty lines. This highlights the need for a more accurate measure of poverty. The proposed Multi-dimensional Poverty Index (MPI) will help to provide such a baseline. Sustained benefits will rely on a clear phase-out strategy from communities and towns which have benefitted from long-term support, identifying sustainability criteria and continuing but reducing UPPR support, and more effective project management. Recommendations: The UPPR should: Undertake a poverty impact assessment to review at household level the impact of infrastructure and livelihood benefits. Are households in areas covered by CDCs experiencing an improvement both in living conditions and livelihoods? Roll out the work on the Multi-dimensional Poverty Index to provide a more accurate measure of poverty incidence and impact. Review SIF and SEF activities to identify those which are most effective and providing best value for money. These should form the focus of funds expenditure for the remainder of the programme. Prepare a strategic plan to identify conditions for exit from CDCs/towns based on criteria of sustainability, and design a model for expansion into new towns defining a more focused programme based on lessons learnt so far. Review project financing in the context of decisions concerning phase-out and expansion. Reduce Outcome indicators if possible and provide baseline and mid-term data as soon as possible. 2. Costs and timescale 2.1 Is the project on-track against financial forecasts: Y/N No. Overall the UPPR programme has some major financial constraints which need to be reviewed carefully. The four main issues are: 1. Exchange rate fluctuation: While the main project components were priced in Taka (grants, national project staff, locally procured inputs and operational costs) and USD (international staff), the main source of external finance is from DFID with a contribution of 60 million GBP. The exchange rate of GBP to USD and Taka declined significantly from the time of budget formulation until September 2009, although since then has remained relatively stable. DFID has disbursed a total of 28.3 GBP in 10 instalments to UNDP since December 2007.The amount has been converted into USD at the date of each disbursement. With a decline in USD/GBP exchange rate the USD value of DFID’s contribution has been reduced by 12.9 million USD (28%) compared with the initially approved budget. Since the project is budgeted and accounted for in USD while more than 90% of the costs are in Taka, the project has made an exchange rate gain of 1.6 million USD. The net impact of these exchange rate fluctuations have been a net 24 reduction of project funding by 11.3 million USD. 2. Costs of certain budget lines exceeding planned budgets - Costs have exceeded budget forecasts in certain areas of the programme budget – specifically for international and local staff as well as equipment and training. Additional budgets recommended by the Strategic Management Review and resulting Organisational Development Plan. The Strategic Management Review undertaken as a result of the 2011 review has proposed additional staffing to strengthen project management. 3. Expansion to the 7 towns still not covered – while not yet exiting from towns supported by UPPR and a predecessor project. As highlighted above, the programme implementation rate continues to accelerate. The Government of Bangladesh is keen for the programme to expand further, as planned, into 7 additional towns. However, as also planned, UPPR has not exited from any ‘old’ towns covered by both UPPR and a predecessor project (Local Partnerships for Urban Poverty Alleviation Programme, LPUPAP). Even if exchange rates remain stable for the next 3 years, the reduced project funds (caused by the exchange rate net loss) and the increased staffing costs will mean that the budget allocations for staff and training will need to be reduced and/or compensated by reductions in SIF and SEF community grants. The latter would require a reduction in the proportion of the project budget which is devoted to grants from the previously committed level of 65%. Recommendation: Decisions are required on the future funding of UPPR, first and foremost on how to compensate for exchange rate loss, and secondly whether to proceed with further scaling up project expenditures and phasing out of CDCs/towns. There are several measures to consider among others; 1. Rationalization of expenditures to focus on activities which are most cost-effective in directly contributing to stated project outputs. 2. Scale down allocation for grants (reduce the nominal 65% share for grants originally included in the UPPR design). 3. Source funding for grants from the GoB state budget. 4. Source additional funding from development partners like DFID. Clearly these measures need to be informed by planned reviews and other assessments suggested here e.g. to assess the effectiveness of different SEF grants. Measures 2, 3 and 4 may also depend on the success of partnership and policy influence. Fundamentally however they need to be considered in the light of the programme’s exit strategy including decisions concerning phasing out of CDCs/towns and scaling up into new towns. This is considered at 2.3 below. 2.2 Key cost drivers The main cost drivers in UPPR are community contracts financed from community grants (64% of overall budget), and international and locally recruited staff costs (20% of overall budget). From the inception of the project the target allocation for grants was set at 65% of the total project budget. Hence the project has been budgeted each year with due consideration for amounts that can be allocated to finance staff, training, equipment and other operational expenditures if to achieve the target of 65% of project costs allocated to grants. The review of overall programme finances needs to look for ways in which fixed costs (e.g. staff salaries, 25 etc) can be contained to ensure grants for communities are not compromised. 2.3 Is the project on-track against original timescale: Y/N The agreed timescale is now 1 March 2008 to 31 August 2014- a duration of 6.5 years. Yes. The project is on track to reach the expected Results (improving the living conditions and livelihoods of 3 million people living in slums and informal settlements) within the agreed duration of 6.5 years (1 March 2008 - 31 August 2014). The project is not on track with regard to the phase-out from the 11 towns which were covered within the predecessor project (LPUPAP). This phase-out was due to take place in 2010 and to be combined with expansion into 7 new towns so that a total of 30 towns were covered under UPPR. Neither phase-out nor expansion has occurred. The programme has been debating whether the Outcome target of 3 million people should be met within the existing 23 towns or whether to expand to the remaining 7 towns. Furthermore, the programme is not on track with regard to financial forecasts (see 2.1 above), and rationalisation of the budget is required. Recommendations: UPPR needs a clear exit strategy. This should include: - A clear vision of the long-term sustainability of the programme and the short-to-medium targets for hand-over and capacity-building. - A costed programme for phasing-out from the 11 towns. This requires renewed focus on CDC maturity and detailed, town-by-town planning for a reduction of UPPR financial and technical support balanced by an increasing role for CDC Clusters and Federations. The proposed expansion to 7 new towns should only be planned for when the costed phaseout programme is completed and available resources are known. The nature of the programme in expanded towns should be more focused, informed by the reviews recommended above of the SIF and SEF grants so that the most cost-effective ‘menu’ of activities is offered to communities. Expansion will depend on implementation of the Organisational Development Plan to ensure that management structures and resources are in place. Time is likely to be a critical additional constraint. Funding partners (DFID, UNDP and GoB) should begin the process now to consider the design of a possible new phase of the programme. 3. Evidence and Evaluation 3.1 Assess any changes in evidence and implications for the project The project has undertaken numerous assessment surveys and studies (e.g. homeless mapping and baseline, CDC self-assessment of business grants and apprenticeships, CDC maturity index, day care needs survey and study of the urban food production component), but these have not been programmed according to a planned overall monitoring and evaluation system. The level of disaggregation of data by sex, age or other variables varies by dataset. Project administrative data, for example recipients of SEF, can be disaggregated by sex, locality and poverty status, and other variables (such as educational status). In general, any householdbased sample data (for example the MPI baseline) cannot be further disaggregated (e.g. to 26 give data for just female household members). This is either because is it not possible (i.e. household sample data is rarely gender disaggregated) or that UPPR does not capture gender-disaggregated data at household level (i.e. different impacts on men, women, girls and boys). Data is not robust enough at below the project level. UPPR have committed to providing the gender-disaggregated data by town, through larger sample sizes and using town level stratification. There is no new evidence to challenge the Project’s theory of change. While the original project documentation does not explicitly identify a theory of change, the logical framework provides the output to outcome rationale. The de facto approach is rooted in community empowerment and social mobilization to achieve better livelihoods and living conditions for poor communities. This is done directly (via SEF and SIF funds) and indirectly (through creating demand side pressures and social capital). The following three initiatives are used for overall programme targeting, monitoring and evaluation: 1. Settlement and Vacant Land Mapping (SLM): There is now new evidence from SLM maps on which to base the project’s targeting. The original target populations were based on 42% of the 2001 urban population assumed to be in poverty. But urban populations have grown significantly since then and most of the newcomers are settling in poor settlements or slums. The maps show that existing settlements have expanded and identify more settlements dispersed throughout cities and towns. The SLM data has made clear the differences in living conditions between areas, with some towns and settlement with significantly higher levels of poverty and deprivation than others. This has implications for the allocation of resources between localities, and potentially the balance between SEF and SIF resources. Additionally, the SLM exercise has provided a wealth of other data which might be used to improve the targeting and delivery approach. This should be followed up in later reviews. 2. Participatory Identification of the Poor (PIP) – This is an exercise carried out by CDCs to identify the poverty status of their members – as either extreme poor, poor or non-poor. This is important as it determines eligibility for SEF schemes (small grants, school stipends etc) and somewhat shapes the Community Action Planning for infrastructure provision. Careful monitoring is needed to review the graduation of households towards non-poor, and remedial actions required if graduation is not recorded. However, the current negative incentives for ‘graduation’ out of extreme poverty need to be addressed. Households rapidly learn that being identified as extreme poor leads to a higher level of programme support, so are not incentivised to report success. 3. Poverty Baselines - have been collected, giving the Multiple Poverty Index (MPI) for 7 of the initial towns (Outcome indicator 1). However, the remaining four indicators at outcome level have yet to be collected (no baselines have been completed, nor progress followed up). UPPR plans to do this through the use of recall-based surveys. Whilst this is less than ideal, it should be rolled-out as rapidly as possible, given the project is already at an advanced stage. It could be argued that there are too many indicators at this level and these might be rationalized. 3.2 Where an evaluation is planned what progress has been made? The UPPR commissioned an independent review of its M&E systems and instruments in 27 February 2012. This made a series of recommendations including: the collection of any outstanding data; the undertaking of recall surveys for outcome reporting; and the development of a series of short term outcome surveys. The Review Team endorses the conclusions of this review and urges UPPR and UNDP to progress with its recommendations. It is especially important that progress is made on short term outcome surveys - on small business start-up grants, education grants and apprenticeships; and on infrastructure investments in toilets, tube wells, drains and footpaths. No independent evaluations are planned in the near future, although a beneficiary survey is planned. There is no in-built external verification of project deliverables and outcomes (this is only internal). This Review therefore recommends that a planned pilot user satisfaction/verification of outputs should be undertaken as soon as possible. In addition, we recommend that an independent poverty impact assessment should be commissioned by DFID, to inform future programming. A UNDP Office of Audit and Investigation (OAI) audit will take place in Autumn 2012. 4. Risk 4.1 Output Risk Rating: Medium 4.2 Assessment of the risk level Each of the Outputs were originally given a risk rating of medium giving the overall output risk rating of medium. Within Output 1, there is a risk that CDCs will not be able to sustain themselves after UPPR has phased out. Phase-out requires assessment of CDC capacity (using the existing CDC maturity index), and development of a plan for gradual reduction of support. The greater risk is associated with expansion to address the growing population in informal settlements as well as potential entry into new towns. There is insufficient time and budget in the remainder of the current programme to ensure that all CDCs have sufficient capacity and cohesion to continue without UPPR support. The main risk to the programme identified at this review concerns Output 5 - the financial and management resources of the programme and the capacity to continue at the current rate of expenditure. Exchange rate fluctuations have caused a net reduction of project funding by 17% - equivalent to US$11 million. The same exchange rate conditions mean that costs for international and local staff as well as equipment and training are exceeding budget forecasts. An expansion to new towns without a phase-out from other CDCs/towns will require an associated increase in personnel. In this case, without additional funds to address the funding gap, the allocation for grants will need to be scaled down from its 2011 level. If the same level of grants is maintained for the remaining three years it will require a reduction in staff within the total budget allocated for the project, which would most likely reduce programme quality. The management capacity is stretched to deliver the programme at the current rate. The recommendations of the Strategic Management Review and the OD plan are required to introduce improved management capacity. This will require time to establish, and in itself increases pressure on the stretched budget. The risk rating for Output 5 remains the same but risk mitigation depends on a clear strategy for phase out and expansion and improved management capacity. The risk rating of other outputs remains the same. 28 4.3 Risk of funds not being used as intended The project is guided by UNDP rules and regulations for financial management. UNDP provides general oversight of project budget execution and UPPR is managed using the UNDP accounting system. It follows standard UNDP procedures for financial management with adequate internal controls and procedures for monitoring use of funds at the project management levels. The project has four main cost components: 1. Grants disbursed to communities through bank accounts with the town administration; 2. Salaries/fees for international and national recruited project personnel and consultants; 3. Procurement of project equipment; and 4. Payments for other project operational expenditures including lump sum payments to compensate for UNDP General Management Services. The bulk of project funds are spent at town/community levels in the form of community grants transferred from UNDP and UNHABITAT (63%). The UNDP/UPPR project management executes spending for project personnel including community mobilisers, and other project costs (31%). LGED received approximately 6% of project funds for financing of their inputs. At the project management level UNDP supervises project execution and all expenditures and transfers are entered into the UNDP accounting system. The project makes transfers to UNHABITAT which in turn transfers money for infrastructure grants (the SIF). Both SIF and SEF funds are transferred to separate bank accounts under the town administration/city corporation. The process is supervised by project town teams led by a “Town manager” and under the oversight of the UPPR project management and UNDP/UNHABITAT. At the town administrative level, decisions on utilization of funding is made by a Project Implementation Committee and Town Steering Committee. Cash transfers are made by the town administration/city corporation with additional internal controls executed by UPPR town teams with supervision from UPPR project management. At community level, fund management is supervised by town teams employed by the project as well as through internal oversight within the CDCs. The CDC Clusters provide additional oversight as per UPPR guidelines; however, evidence of their effectiveness has yet to be determined. The national project director and his team in LGED also receive transfers for execution of their portion of the budget. The LGED accounts are subject to audit by the Foreign Aid Project Audit Directorate (FAPAD) within the Office of the Comptroller and Auditor General (OCAG) of Bangladesh. There are at present 2212 CDCs targeted by the program of which 1619 CDCs were established during 2007 – 2011. Most of them of them have received SIF and SEF grants in support of their community action plans. In total the above constitute a complex fund management arrangement with several “cost centres” managing project funds. More than 60% of the funds are disbursed as community grants with cost for personnel/consultants as the other main cost component. From a fiduciary perspective the main risk areas are associated with CDC and “town team” cash management as well as cash management within the Town administration. 29 The Strategic Management Review (SMR) found that additional checks and controls are required to ensure that project funds are used according to their intended purpose, that records are maintained including adequate registration of assets and monitoring of their use. Accordingly, the SMR has recommended that a new Mutual Accountability Unit (MAU) should be established and should design and implement systematic community audits and inspections on a sampling basis, as well as implement ad hoc management inspections. Terms of reference for MAU and staff have been drafted. While internal control and oversight are ensured with UNDP, internal procedures for financial management including annual audit and inspections by the OAI, the project accounts have yet to be selected as a sample for this audit. The project has not been subject to an external audit since its inception. However, the OAI of UNDP is planning to contract an independent external audit firm to implement an audit of the project during September – November covering all years from 2007-2011. There have been some allegations of misappropriation of funds and claims that assets procured through the project have not been used for the intended purpose. UPPR management investigate all allegations, and only a handful of these allegations could be substantiated. In these cases, appropriate corrective actions were taken, contracts terminated and funds recovered. However, the project lacked a clear strategy on how to report and follow up suspected cases of fraud and corruption. This is an issue that has been addressed as part of the Organisational Development plan – which has proposed a Mutual Accountability Unit (MAU). This recommendation must be followed up as a high priority. Recommendation: As an added assurance to the annual project audit, an external expenditure tracking study of a sample of towns and CDCs should be implemented. These studies track the use of funds, and help to determine the extent to which grants reach the intended beneficiaries and are used for the intended purpose. The studies check the assets generated from community grants (for example – was the toilet constructed as planned), and assess if the community oversight mechanisms are effective. It will also serve as feedback to the project management on opportunities to strengthen management and supervision of grant utilisation. 4.4 Climate and Environment Risk There is no evidence that UPPR activities are having a negative impact on the environment and climate. Overall people living in slums and informal settlements are particularly vulnerable to extreme climate events and degraded environmental conditions. They often live close to water bodies, or in low-lying or flood-prone areas. People often depend on unsafe water supplies, and they lack access to toilets – all of which contributes to an unhealthy living environment. The project is actually supporting climate change adaptation and improved environmental conditions in vulnerable communities. Provision of infrastructure through the SIF component (improved water supply, drainage, plinth height raising, etc.) helps reduce exposure to environmental hazards, and increases people’s resilience to climatic and health shocks (e.g. increased diarrhoea during floods). Activities to strengthen local livelihoods through the SEF component (block grants, urban food production, etc.) support slums dwellers livelihoods and also help their overall resilience to shocks. Anecdotal evidence from field visits to locations facing extreme weather events (Chittagong) indicates that communities are concerned about the need to adapt to extreme weather events and climate change (e.g. strengthen sea walls). UPPR focuses primarily on adaptation activities at the community level – leaving Government agencies to address larger infrastructure measures such as flood defences. UPPR has also piloted climate change mitigation measures including climate friendly cooking stoves, which are now being used by over 40,000 slum households, and use of interlocking compressed soil blocks instead of burnt bricks for infrastructure such as toilets. 30 The UPPR slum settlement mapping exercise could also be used by local decision makers and development agencies to inform planning for strengthening climate and environment resilience of poor communities. The potential of these maps as a tool for climate risk assessment and identifying communities that are at most risk should be promoted more strongly by UPPR with concerned stakeholders. 5. Value for Money 5.1 Performance on VfM measures UPPR had not previously undertaken a value for money assessment although this annual review has undertaken some assessment work. Economy: Inputs are procured at competitive prices using UNDP contracting and procurement procedures in accordance with UNDP Rules and Regulations. Community-contracting follows Government Public Procurement Guidelines and applies Local Government Engineering Division (LGED) standards for investments. Community teams as well as UPPR management supervise the procurement process by CDCs to ensure they achieve the best quality/cost ratio among bidders. Designs of community infrastructure investments and components are reviewed periodically to achieve improved quality over time. For example, interlocking compressed soil blocks are being piloted as a replacement for burnt bricks in latrine construction and community centres. Beneficiaries are contributing 10% of their own savings to an Operation and Maintenance (O&M) fund for newly constructed infrastructure. This creates an incentive for ensuring that investments are maintained. Efficiency: UPPR has improved efficiency through: • the deployment of local community organisers to work in offices in wards; • the engagement of local community-facilitators to leverage the work of community organisers; • use of more cluster and federation contracts that cover multiple CDCs to reduce transaction costs; • community oversight and monitoring by clusters of CDCs; • development of a web-based procurement system to improve processing time and monitoring of CDC contracts; • a survey, mapping and assessment of all poor settlements in all towns are used as a tool to ensure pro-poor settlement targeting; • Community participatory identification of poor (PIP) households to enable pro-poor targeting to households and individuals; • Pro-poor annual budgeting to ensure that budget allocated reflects the number of poor and extreme poor households in the CDC. There are also mechanisms to ensure there is a fair allocation of budgets across CDCs, which includes an overall maximum budget for each CDC during the project life. ; • A results monitoring system included disaggregated data by gender, ethnicity, caste and disability. In total the above has contributed to more efficient planning and allocation of resources to CDCs, improved processing of CDC proposals for SIF/SEF funding and stronger CDC 31 monitoring and oversight. Effectiveness: The infrastructure and socio-economic support financed by the CDC grants are determined by the CDCs themselves (i.e. a demand driven approach). The CDCs plan and prioritise how they want to use the grants through a community participatory planning process. They work with the community to develop a Community Action Plan. The composition of infrastructure/services actually financed by the CDC grants therefore varies between CDCs as well as over time for the individual CDC as their priorities change. Key visible results of CDC grants include infrastructure like toilets, pathways etc, employment and income generation opportunities and access to social services such as education grants for children who are out of school. The main result of the project however is empowerment of the people living in slums and informal settlements, through the formation the different groups. Membership of Primary Groups and Community Development Committees significantly strengthens people’s collective bargaining power – they work together to decide on investments for their community, form self-sustaining savings/credit groups and help the poorest members of their community. The project is based on experience that shows that a combination of infrastructure, grant support and community organisation will generate sustained benefits for the target group improving their income and well-being. Data on CDC performance shows that some CDCs are sustaining their activities e.g. through savings & credit groups. They also mobilise additional resources for infrastructure and services without external funding. It is therefore expected that UPPR assistance in empowering the target groups through training, counselling and organising them into CDCs can sustain benefits over time even after UPPR grants are discontinued. Cost-effectiveness Data for CDC grants from 2008-2011 across all types of investments/services shows that the unit cost has been reduced by approximately 20% from 2008 to 2009 and since then remained constant. The costs include all costs for programme management, supervision and counselling by town teams. While the average unit costs have been reduced over time for most of investment/services, the cost for management and supervision has slightly increased. 5.2 Commercial Improvement and Value for Money UPPR procurement follows UNDP procurement guidelines and procurements through communities follow LGED standards, with oversight by UNDP and UN HABITAT to ensure a quality end product. To increase value for money and accountability at community level, UPPR is piloting: social audit – i.e. surveys to gather the perceptions of local people on municipal service delivery and their views on the UPPR programme; procurement committees to ensure transparency and accountability; public display of community contract information; and enhanced capacity for competitive bidding to procure materials for physical works. Following a recommendation by the strategic management review, UPPR will strengthen internal controls at town/community levels by introduction of a Mutual Accountability Unit. This Unit will strengthen oversight on use of programme resources. Furthermore, an audit by the UN’s central auditor will be conducted in 2012 which will promote fiscal discipline and accountability. In addition DFID has engaged with UNDP in closer cooperation to further improve on 32 procedures related to procurement, with due consideration for the trade-off between controls and efficiency in processing. 5.3 Role of project partners The Government of Bangladesh (GoB) is a key partner in implementation of UPPR. A key measure of overall VfM will be the extent to which the programme promoted greater Government support for the poor and extreme poor living in slums and informal settlements. The majority of these areas are not currently covered by key Government services, and social safety nets largely exclude the urban poor. GoB has recently shown an increased interest in urban poverty reduction as evidenced by forming the Bangladesh Urban Forum (by the Ministry of Local Government, Rural Development and Cooperatives (MLGRDC) and the Ministry of Housing and Urban Development), the Urban Declaration, and finalisation of the Draft Urban Sector Policy. The Sixth Five Year Plan also highlights the need for a Comprehensive Social Protection Policy to address the needs of the urban poor. The Local Government Engineering Department (LGED), the executing agency of UPPR (under MLGRDC), has strengthened its staffing in the UPPR HQ, has seconded officers to the UPPR town teams and deploys its officers regularly for field monitoring. Local Government partners take an active role in ensuring delivery of the packages of support and in recovering funds if misappropriated. They also support economy and efficiency within UPPR by providing technical support to community infrastructure projects. Evidence from field visits indicates infrastructure provided through UPPR is constructed to a high standard, and are well maintained by communities. This is also supported by a community-mobilised fund for Operation and Maintenance. UNDP has oversight of programme implementation and finances – including means of driving VfM as discussed above. It regularly reviews project performance through monitoring visits, and supports the development of the project’s internal control framework. UNDP also investigates allegations of fraud/misappropriation of funds and assets. UPPR management team and UNHABITAT provide quality assurance by appraising contracts submitted for funding. UPPR can demonstrate successful models for urban slum improvement and with the support of DFID and UNDP is in a good position to continue to exert influence on Government and municipalities for greater policy commitment and financial commitment to urban poverty reduction. 5.4 Does the project still represent Value for Money : Y/N Yes. Taking into account the VfM assessment above, the project still represents Value for Money. It will be important going forward that a clear financial plan is developed to ensure key recommendations in the Management Review can be funded, while sustaining delivery as planned. It will be important to contain the cost of management and supervision at current levels relative to number of new PGs and CDCs supported. There are also opportunities to rationalise project activities, as there is a huge diversity of activities being supported at community level which stretches programme managers and may not significantly strengthen impact. 5.5 If not, what action will you take? Not applicable 33 6. Conditionality 6.1 Update on specific conditions Not applicable 7. Conclusions and actions The UPPR programme represents an effective model for the delivery of improved living conditions and livelihoods for the urban poor and extreme poor, delivering at considerable scale. The programme has continued to maintain a high level of delivery against targets set. Over the year an additional 361,000 people, mainly women, have been brought into Primary Groups (PGs); Settlement Improvement Fund expenditure of £4.65 million has resulted in the provision of much-needed basic infrastructure and Socio-Economic Fund expenditure of £3.03 million has benefitted extremely poor people with grants to develop small businesses, give school age children the opportunity to enrol or stay in school, and train young people with the skills to access jobs. At the national policy level, the UPPR has supported the Bangladesh Urban Forum promoting pro-poor urban policy and practice. At the mid-point of the programme key issues moving forward are: 1. Defining conditions for exit from communities and towns including: a. engagement, ownership and adoption by local Government to provide technical support to Community Development Committees and for a gradual transfer of responsibility and resource allocation; b. strengthened community organisation through clusters and Federations and increased accountability to primary group members; 2. Sustainability of community infrastructure by integrating slum infrastructure and service delivery with municipal services, and effective use of CDC O&M accounts. 3. Defining conditions for expansion to new towns in terms of time, resources and management capacity for social mobilisation, infrastructure delivery and a core set of livelihood interventions. Reviewing project financing to address exchange rate losses and other issues that have led to financial constraints to project delivery. Summary of main recommendations: 1. Revise some log-frame indicators - A number of changes are suggested in this document to logframe indicators at Output level mainly to assess efficiency of inputs and to better reflect intended outputs. Milestones and targets need to be more closely defined particularly for Output 2. Outcome indicators need baseline and mid-point data as a matter of urgency. 2. Sustainability of Community Groups - UPPR should renew its efforts to encourage the strength and sustainability of community organisations particularly by the formation of Federations, facilitating exchange activities within and between towns, and by promoting improved governance of CDCs including accountability to PG members. 3. Build on successful pilots - The successes of the pilot governance improvements (e.g. social audit, contract display boards, competitive bidding and Community Resource Centres) should be shared with other towns, and the improvements to community banking management should be scaled up as soon as possible. 34 4. Support communities to negotiate with landlords - UPPR should promote and monitor agreements to ensure that slum landlords do not increase rents for 3-5 years on account of infrastructure provided under the project. 5. Develop a more strategic approach to tenure security - UPPR should work more closely with local Governments and local landowners to develop a more strategic approach to obtaining security of tenure for slum dwellers based on the Settlement Maps. This could include a process of slum categorisation and slum-by-slum examination of tenure options. The aim should be to obtain agreements that slum communities will not be evicted at least for one generation (15-30 years) thereby allowing inter-generational benefits to accrue through the project. 6. Strengthen market analysis and business support - Improved analysis of local market conditions should be undertaken to identify appropriate new businesses and employment opportunities for Socio-economic Fund (SEF) support. Small enterprise grant recipients need continuing business development support. 7. Streamline activities under the Socio-economic Fund - Review SEF activities to identify those which are most effective and providing best value for money. These should form the focus of SEF expenditure for the remainder of the programme. 8. DFID and UNDP to work together on policy - DFID and UNDP should jointly examine coordinated policy interventions to support national policy changes, notably adoption of the Draft Urban Strategy. 9. Seek ways to increase proportion of women staff - The project management needs to explore ways to increase the proportion of women staff, including at senior management level. This may include a review of terms and conditions and training opportunities. 10. Undertake Poverty Impact Assessment - Undertake an external poverty impact assessment to review at household level the impact of infrastructure and livelihood benefits. Are households in areas covered by CDCs experiencing an improvement both in living conditions and livelihoods? Is progress being made at the outcome level as expected? 11. Address issues related to funding - Decisions are required on the future funding of UPPR, first and foremost how to compensate for exchange rate loss. If it is decided to proceed with further scaling up of project expenditures following the trend of the last three years, then additional funding will also be required on top of the exchange rate loss. Otherwise there will be a requirement to rationalize expenditures by phasing out of CDCs/towns, focusing on allocations for activities that directly contribute to stated project outputs and/or reduce allocations for community grants which in turn will impact on project benefits for the target group. Another option is to engage with GoB to include additional funding from the state budget, e.g. state budget allocations to complement external funding for community grants. 12. Develop Exit Strategy - UPPR needs a clear exit strategy from towns and communities. This should comprise: - a clear vision of the long-term sustainability of the programme and the short-tomedium targets for hand-over and capacity-building; - a costed programme for phasing-out from the 11 towns. This requires renewed focus on CDC maturity and detailed, town-by-town planning for a reduction of UPPR financial and technical support balanced by an increasing role for CDC Clusters and Federations. 13. Avoid committing to 7 additional towns before exit strategy and financial issues are resolved - Proposed expansion to 7 new towns should only be planned for when: 35 the costed phase-out programme is developed; financial constraints have been addressed, and available resources within the current programme are known; expansion will depend on implementation of the Organisational Development Plan to ensure that management structures and resources are in place. time available is sufficient to make a meaningful contribution to new communities within the existing programme lifetime. 14. The programme in new towns should focus and build on lessons learnt. The nature of the programme in expanded towns should be more focused, informed by the reviews recommended above of the SIF and SEF grants so that the most cost-effective ‘menu’ of activities is offered to communities. The opportunity to strengthen Government contributions should also be seized. 15. Planning for Future Urban Programme - Funding partners (DFID, UNDP and GoB) should begin the process now to consider the design of a possible new phase of the programme. 8. Review Process An independent team of four consultants was contracted by DFID and UNDP and this team was joined by DFID India’s Urban Adviser and UNDP Bangladesh’s economist. This Annual Review was also combined with a Mid-Term Review. The review took place in Bangladesh from 25th April to 3rd May 2012. The Review Team visited slum communities in Dhaka and in 3 separate groups visited 3 other towns: Chittagong, Tangail and Tongi. Key stakeholders interviewed included: CDC leaders and programme beneficiaries in slum communities; UPPR partners including CARE Bangladesh and Concern; Local Government stakeholders including Mayors, Ward Councillors and officers Government of Bangladesh representatives including Secretary, Ministry of Local Government, Rural Development & Cooperatives; the Chief Engineer, Programme Director and staff of LGED; DFID and UNDP staff; UPPR team. The main source of information for the review was UPPR documentation and reports, and information from key stakeholders including participants. Feedback was collected on overall progress and benefits to the slum dwellers and is integrated throughout this review report. The UPPR team did an initial self-assessment of progress during the year, which was reviewed by the Annual Review Team and quality assured by DFID staff. The final review report was produced by DFID Bangladesh staff, drawing together all these inputs and evidence, and taking account of wider factors including progress against last year’s Annual Review recommendations. 36