1 Auxiliary Material 2 “Break-up of the Larsen B Ice Shelf Triggered by Chain-Reaction Drainage of 3 Supraglacial Lakes” 4 Alison F. Banwell, Douglas R. MacAyeal and Olga V. Sergienko 5 Methods 6 1. Exact analytic solution for elastic plate subject to disk-shaped load 7 We use an azimuthally symmetric solution valid for r>0 to the thin-elastic-plate flexure 8 equation (also known as the Kirchoff-Love equation, but modified to account for 9 buoyancy associated with ocean water below the thin plate) in which meltwater loads, or 10 anti-loads associated with dolines (both of uniform load area density), are confined 11 within a region r ≤ R using polar coordinates r, , and where R is the radius of the lake or 12 doline. The vertical displacement of the elastic plate, (r), for 0 ≤ r ≤ ∞, is expressed in 13 terms of Kelvin-Bessel functions (as derived by Lambeck and Nakiboglu [1980]), and is 14 displayed in MacAyeal and Sergienko [2013]. 15 To illustrate the basic features of the solution, we plot in Figure S1 the vertical deflection 16 resulting from the drainage of a lake 1 m in depth and 500 m in radius, (r), radial stress, 17 Trr, and azimuthal stress, T, and the von-Mises stress (TvM), all evaluated at the upper 18 surface of the ice shelf, TvM = (Trr2 + T2 – TrrT1/2, as functions of any given distance, r, 19 from the lake center (given both in km, and expressed in units of the intrinsic flexural 20 length scale L = {D/(sw g)}1/4 ~ 923 m, where D = EH3/[12(1-2)] is the flexural rigidity, 21 sw = 1028 kg m-3 is the density of seawater, g = 9.81 m s-2 is the acceleration of gravity, 22 E = 10 GPa is Young’s modulus, = 0.3 is the Poisson ratio, and H = 200 m is ice 23 thickness). The black line in the left panel of Figure S1 depicts the uplift associated with 24 hydrostatic rebound of the missing load [MacAyeal and Sergienko, 2013]. A photograph 25 of an uplifted doline on the George VI Ice Shelf surrounded by a down-warped moat is 26 shown in Figure 1 of MacAyeal and Sergienko [2013]. 27 28 Figure S1. Analytic solution for axisymmetric (disk shaped) lake drainage-induced 29 unloading. a) Radial stress, Trr, azimuthal stress, T and vertical deflection, , 30 introduced by drainage of a circular lake of radius 500 m and depth 1 m (note separate 31 vertical scale, in cm, for ) as evaluated at the upper surface of the ice shelf. The two 32 stress components vary linearly through the vertical dimension of the ice shelf, are zero at 33 the neutral surface (central plane of the ice shelf half way between surface and base) and 34 are equal but opposite in sign at the upper and lower surfaces of the ice shelf. Arrow and 35 dot signify location of maximum compressive stress at the surface of the ice shelf, and 36 maximum tensile stress at the base of the ice shelf, within the moat area. b) Von-Mises 37 stress, TvM, associated with the stress conditions at the surface of the ice shelf. Shaded 38 regions in both (a, b) denote the footprint of the lake. 39 2. Replacement of exact shapes of observed lakes with circular disk loads 40 Here, we justify the replacement of exact shapes of observed lakes (with equally 41 distributed loads) with circular disk loads. In Figure S2, we display the geometry of the 42 lakes and dolines observed in February 2000 (see Glasser and Scambos [2008] and 43 Banwell et al. [in press]). Comparison of the observed lakes with their circular 44 representations suggests that relatively few lakes are not well represented by circles. 45 These few lakes tend to be the larger ones that are also long and narrow, with long 46 dimensions aligned with the direction of ice flow, likely indicating the influence of a 47 suture zone within the ice-thickness field of the ice shelf. 48 To display the performance impacts of representing the lakes as circles, we use 49 COMSOL® to numerically solve the ice-shelf elastic flexure equations for an idealized 50 ice-shelf domain that is rectangular in which we arbitrarily place a given lake (or its 51 circular representation) in the center. The resulting solutions for displacement, , and 52 von-Mises stress, TvM, under the assumptions of either the observed lake geometry or 53 circular lake geometry are shown in Figures S3 and S4. Figure S3 depicts the 54 comparison between results of the exact observed geometry with the results of the 55 circular representation for a typical lake. We regard the comparison to be sufficiently 56 similar as to affirm our decision to simplify the lakes on the LBIS as circles so that the 57 analytic solution could be used. For comparison, and to motivate future investigation, we 58 show a worst-case performance of the circular representation of an observed lake that is 59 long and narrow in Figure S4. Despite the relatively poor comparison of the two 60 solutions in Figure S4, the relative rarity of large, long lakes on the LBIS motivated our 61 decision to stick with circular lake representations. 62 A comparison of the numerical and the exact analytic solutions for a circular lake is 63 provided in MacAyeal and Sergienko [2013]. 64 65 Figure S2. Observed lakes (as observed in February 2000, see Glasser and Scambos 66 [2008]) and their representation using circles of equal area. a) 2758 lakes and dolines on 67 the LBIS. b) Representation of the lakes in a by circles. c) Close-up of lakes represented 68 as circles in region outlined by box in (b). d) Close-up of lakes and dolines in region 69 outlined by box in (a). 70 71 Figure S3. Numerical demonstration of the effect of representing arbitrary lake shapes 72 as circles—a typical lake showing acceptable performance of the circular representation. 73 a) The deflection, , for a typical lake on the LBIS assuming a uniform lake depth of 5 74 m. b) The von-Mises stress, TvM, evaluated at the ice-shelf surface associated with the 75 solution shown in (a). c) As in (b), but for a circular representation of the lake. d) As in 76 (a), but for a circular representation of the lake. Gray shading indicates the footprint of 77 the lake or circular representation of the lake. Color bar for (a) also applies to (d), color 78 bar for (b) also applies to (c). Only areas where TvM >70 kPa, are colored in panels (b, c). 79 80 Figure S4. Numerical demonstration of the effect of representing arbitrary lake shapes as 81 circles—an atypical lake showing worst-case performance of the circular representation. 82 a) The deflection, , for an atypical lake (long and narrow) on the LBIS assuming a 83 uniform lake depth of 5 m. b) The von-Mises stress, TvM, evaluated at the ice shelf 84 surface associated with the solution shown in (a). c) As in (b), but for a circular 85 representation of the lake. d) As in (a), but for a circular representation of the lake. Grey 86 shading indicates the footprint of the lake or circular representation of the lake. Color bar 87 for (a) also applies to (d). Color bar for (b) also applies to (c). Only areas where TvM >70 88 kPa, are colored in panels (b, c).