Submission to 2020 Strategy from Forestry Assessment Companies* Minister Smith has sought views on what policies and structures would best enhance the future development of the agriculture, forestry, fishing and food industries, and has stated his belief that new thinking and strategic direction is needed to deal with the current challenging and changing environment. This submission comes from the forestry assessment companies. The forestry sector which has grown to be a significant land user, a significant employer and an area of strategic importance, albeit not yet reaching the scale identified in the 1996 Strategic Plan. Land has limited uses - building, development and infrastructure, production of food, production of timber and other fibres, protection of water and air and recreation. In Ireland we have considerable natural advantages in the production of grass, some tillage crops - and timber. The soils that are best suited to production of timber, particularly soft woods, are generally seriously disadvantaged in food production. Land is therefore our most vital natural resource; wood is infinitely renewable; land, surplus to our agricultural requirements, is excellent for growing trees; Ireland has an obligation to use it well; there is a cost - and a huge pay-off; we can create a land based industry second only to grassland. Potential outputs include: Wood Wood products Paper packaging Converted products Woodfuel Carbon sequestration/storage. Given Ireland's track record in technology there are big opportunities in engineered and derived products and forest cluster products and services. Our potential increase in supply fits neatly with constraints in the UK domestic supply. Our processors have shown considerable skill in developing export markets; this base can be developed to build on our natural growth advantage. Forestry is and can be an economic driver, with tremendous value adding potential. But policy makers need to learn from mistakes made in other primary sectors – there needs to be a focus on productivity, quality and market requirements with a sense of scale. There are valuable benefits in, for instance, climate change mitigation, water protection, amenity and tourism spin offs – these are mainly the public goods area of forestry. Because of the current lack of pricing and trading mechanisms, to adequately and transparently reward such public goods it is not possible to build a forestry resource on privately owned land unless that forestry is economically sustainable. Economic sustainability in this case is simple production of timber of types, volumes and / or quality that will be rewarded adequately by processors en route to end users. Interestingly research shows that maximising the harvesting of wood as a renewable resource produces the most sustainable improvement on the CO2 balance (FTP April 2008). The development of trading and pricing mechanisms to recycle funds that would otherwise be spent abroad to secure carbon credits – in part to offset agricultural emissions must be a priority. Since the emergence of the private sector as the major force in afforestation (in response to incentives geared to deliver particular responses (e.g. broadleaves) policy has increasingly sought to derive public goods from the private sector – ironically when - maybe even because - the State owned forests (in Coillte) were being required to operate under a remit far more commercial than that of the State Forest Service (arising from the 1988 Forestry Act). That is a contradiction inherent in the implementation of Forestry Policy in Ireland. Another is the promotion of afforestation, and related programmes, as Schemes that compete with other land based Schemes, most of which are income subsidies. The focus of ownership of much agricultural land has moved from production to justifying income support. This is not to argue against income need but against the linkages that impede productive and strategic land use. Given Ireland's island status, our position on the periphery of Europe and our long distance from other continents, a high degree of self-sufficiency is strategically desirable - both with food and fibre. There need be minimum conflict between the apparently competing land uses if we work to optimise production on the best suited lands for each. This can be done in a way that is compatible with the protection of the environment, provided that reasonable, informed and planned approaches are used to determine that compatibility rather than the divisive, broad brush, crude restrictions over the last ten years. As we head into an era where transport costs are likely to increase significantly the merits of increased self-sufficiency will become not just a strategic choice but an economic imperative. Even if the world oil tanks are heading less rapidly to 'Empty' than the most pessimistic forecasters predict there is still considerable urgency in ensuring that our land is used to the best economic effect. In addition to a planting programme of at least 15,000 hectares p.a. there are two straight forward and urgent requirements in the private forestry sector: Continued Investment in forest roads to ensure early production, boost of timber supply and also to increase production yields and thinning options, as well as deliver economic activity and secure and add jobs. Such an investment makes the private forest economically sustainable. The stop/go approach to funding is detrimental to jobs, market development and woodland improvement. 2. Continued investment in broadleaves capable of improvement so that some return can be achieved, for the State and owners, on the large investment by private owners, encouraged by directive State incentives. The recently introduced modest scheme needs to be put on a solid footing. 1. These two headline measures are required to ensure that the existing private forestry resource is productive and sustainable. Any failure, or even delay, in making that commitment will result in higher costs to the State in the long run through the loss of economic activity and the necessity for income subsidies, whether paid for in forestry or elsewhere. Wood is infinitely renewable. Land, surplus to our optimal agricultural requirements, is excellent for growing trees. Anyone or any country that grows energy will be rich. Forestry uniquely provides the opportunity to provide timber and energy – along with essential offsets for agricultural emissions.. We need to keep a focus on this multi-purpose crop and not be distracted by short rotation crops that won’t reach any significant scale compared to the well established forestry base. We have a biomass resource – in our woodlands. We need an increased afforestation programme to ensure scale and confidence for investment in downstream processing and utilisation. We need a continued commitment rather than the stop/go/delay that has been a feature of forestry over the last few years. The cost of the forestry programme to the State is driven by competition with unproductive agricultural subsidies. Arguably farm income supports should be divorced from maintenance of agricultural land, thus ensuring that land use would be market guided and that productive agriculture and productive forestry would be complementary rather than competing land uses. Current prescriptive practices for afforestation should be reassessed so as to permit, indeed encourage, market guided investment. Investment Drivers for forestry include: Employment GDP / processing sector Rural Development Energy Exploit existing private resource Utilise “redundant” land Environmental / public good National Benefits Employment – mainly rural Security of fibre supply (and good for the environment – less transport) Energy replacement – and renewable, proven technology Carbon Good value for money – sustainable land use with well chosen species Public Good Impediments Lack of clarity for private investment Security / continuity of supply – uncertainty re future planting, lack of data re existing Other “schemes” Land sterilisation Lack of dynamic inventory related to industry / processing needs Fragmentation (incomplete jigsaw) Stop /go re support schemes Too many “small time” projects, no overall framework Age structure of ownership (similar issue in agriculture) Requirements Headline goals Prioritisation (re land use) Removal of entry barriers Planning framework Aggressive management of private (and Coillte) resource User driven inventory Clarity on carbon / public good value and trading / pricing mechanisms In the absence of pricing mechanisms transfer environmental e.g. broadleaf requirements to the public sector Focussed / targeted / managed / afforestation programme Forestry, if approached from the perspective of creating a renewable resource for economic and environmental benefit (as opposed to being a scheme), can deliver sustainable jobs, strategic benefits (import substitution – e.g. energy), and climate change mitigation – but only if positioned as a major land use for 2020 and beyond. In particular a 2020 vision for Forestry, with specific goals, needs to be an output of the 2020 deliberations. While not proposing to comment in any detail on the “Irish Forestry Sector” background paper, we note the comment that a critical factor in the failure to achieve planting targets was the 1999 EU decision that Coillte was not entitled to forest premiums. Coillte was a purchaser of land, competing with private capital for such land, and it is unlikely that that it’s withdrawal from the market led to significant land suitable for forestry remaining unsold. In fact the main impact on planting targets was the introduction of REPS which gave a more attractive option to farmers to retain land in low production agriculture and the gradual introduction of various constraints and obstacles to planting, thus reducing the land pool and the eligible owner pool as well as the gradual erosion of the return necessary to drive investment so that private investors, even though entitled to non farmer premiums, also effectively withdrew from afforestation during the last decade; capital went abroad. Again this brief submission cannot address the stated Forestry Sector weaknesses in the background document in detail. However it is worth commenting that: The fragmentation of the private sector estate is due to State policy and design of State schemes; The observation that growers tend to market their timber individually is, perhaps, a market factor, but hardly a sectoral weakness; the so-called lack of knowledge among farm forest owners must be put in the context of the aging population – farmers tend to plant when older / retiring and there is a gradual transfer of ownership to family successors (often living elsewhere and of better quality plantations to institutional / private / fund investors. the support costs currently being incurred in developing a small number of producer groups could not be sustained across the 15,000 or so private woodland owners. The knowledge base will, as in State forestry, reside primarily in the professional businesses who service growers although it is accepted that decision making capacity by some private owners, and investment making capacity by many, may be issues. Clear, consistent, continuous support policies that encourage market participation and expansion are more important than ad hoc projects which, almost by definition, focus on the small group of active owners rather than on the large resource that is private woodlands. That afforestation and forest management activities are allegedly over dependent on State support needs to be put in context – State policy has sought increasing public good services from private woodlands; Forestry costs (to the State) are driven by competition from State funded schemes; Annual expenditure on afforestation and management activities (excluding premiums) equates to, for instance, about four days of annual DAF expenditure or about 1% of State capital investment. The benefits to the State in various ways are substantial and significant and studies have shown that these outweigh the costs. Other specific action areas for forestry should include: Recycling of carbon tax; A dynamic private sector based inventory (as opposed to the estimates produced by various studies); Certification; CPD for forestry professionals and operatives; Market development with a strategic focus – for instance does it make sense to direct forest products to electricity generation? What are the best uses for residues? Public specification and procurement policy, particularly for energy and construction (to positively favour home-grown renewable so as to enable market development); *References to Coillte are not necessarily endorsed by Coillte.