Online Resource 1 Miller, JRB (2015) Mapping attack hotspots to mitigate human-carnivore conflict: Approaches and applications of spatial predation risk modeling. Biodivers Conserv Table S1 Main mammalian carnivore species in the world responsible for depredating livestock. Adapted from Breitenmoser et al. 2005 Family Canidae Ursidae Common Name Golden jackal Coyote Grey wolf Dingo Black-backed jackal Red wolf African wild dog Andean bear American black bear Brown bear Asiatic black bear Mustelidae Wolverine Hyaenidae Spotted hyaena Brown hyaena Striped hyaena Felidae Cheetah Caracal Puma Asiatic golden cat Eurasian lynx Bobcat African/Asiatic lion Jaguar Leopard Tiger Snow leopard Scientific name Canis aurenus C. latrans C. lupus C. l. dingo C. mesomelas C. rufus Lycaon pictus Tremarctos ornatus Ursus americanus U. arctos U. thibetanus Gulo gulo Crocuta crocuta Hyaena brunnea H. hyaena Acinonyx jubatus Caracal caracal Puma concolor Felidae temmincki Lynx lynx L. rufus Panthera leo P. onca P. pardus P. tigris Uncia uncia 1 Table S2 Published spatial risk modeling studies on carnivore-livestock interactions through March 2015 Citation Country Continent Specific region Davie et al. 2014 Mongolia Asia Edge et al. 2011 Kaartinen et al. 2009 USA North America Finland Europe RungwaRuaha National Park Western Colorado Hamedan providence Ikh Nart Nature Reserve, Dornogobi Aimag Upper Peninsula, Michigan southern and central Asia Kanha Tiger Reserve, Madhya Pradesh Abade et al. 2014 Baruch-Mordo et al. 2008 Behdarvand et al. 2014 Karanth et al. 2012 Karanth et al. 2013 Kissling et al. 2009 Tanzania USA Africa North America Iran Asia India India Western Ghats, Karnataka Argentina Asia South America Marucco and McIntire 2010 Italy Europe Patagonia western, central and eastern Alps Meena et al. 2014 India Asia Gir Protected Area, Gujarat Carnivor e family alphabeti cal) Carnivore Leopard (Panthera pardus), lion (Panthera leo), spotted hyaena (Crocuta crocuta) American black bear (Ursus americanus) Felidae, Hyaenidae Prey (alphabetical) Modeling method Correlation modeling (ensemble modeling using Maxent, Ecological Niche Factor Analysis and Support Vector Machines) Ursus Cattle, goat, sheep Alpaca, cattle, goat, llama, pig, poultry, sheep Canidae Cattle, goat, sheep Correlation modeling (Maxent) Wolf (Canis lupus) Canidae Camel (Camelus bactrianus), cattle (Bos tarus), goat (Capra aegragus), horse (Equus ferus caballus), sheep (Ovis aries) Spatial association (Mahalanobis D2 (k) analysis) Wolf (Canis lupus) Canidae Cattle, sheep, poultry, rabbit Wolf (Canis lupus) Leopard (Panthera pardus), tiger (Panthera tigris), wild dog (Cuon alpinus) Leopard (Panthera pardus), tiger (Panthera tigris),wild dog (Cuon alpinus) Puma (Puma concolor) Canidae Sheep Correlation modeling (single-sample discriminant-function analysis) Correlation modeling (general additive models) Buffalo, cattle, goat Correlation modeling (logistic regression) to identify landscape attributes associated with risk; spatial interpolation to map risk probabilities Wolf (Canis lupus) Asiatic lion (Panthera leo persica) Wolf (Canis lupus) Canidae, Felidae 2 Spatial association (Getis-Ord G* clustering) Canidae, Felidae Buffalo, cattle, goat Felidae Sheep (Ovis aries) Correlation modeling (logistic regression) to identify landscape attributes associated with risk; spatial interpolation to map risk probabilities Correlation modeling (generalized linear models) Canidae Sheep Spatially explicit, individual-based model* Felidae Cattle, buffalo, goat, sheep Spatial association (Getis-Ord G clustering) Miller et al. 2015 Shrader et al. 2008 India South Africa Asia Soh et al. 2014 Treves et al. 2004 Treves et al. 2011 Wilson et al. 2006 China USA Asia North America North America North America Mexico North America Zarco-González et al. 2013 USA USA Africa Kanha Tiger Reserve, Madhya Pradesh Riemvasmaak, Northern Cape Hunchun, Jilin Wisconsin, Minnesota Wisconsin Montana Leopard (Panthera pardus), tiger (Panthera tigris) Caracal (Caracal caracal) Tiger (Panthera tigris) Correlation modeling (resource selection function using logistic regression) Felidae Cattle, buffalo, goat, pig Felidae Goat Felidae Cattle Wolf (Canis lupus) Canidae Bison, cattle, poultry, sheep Spatial interpolation (giving-up density) Correlation modeling (negative binomial zeroinflated) Correlation modeling (single-sample discriminant-function analysis) Wolf (Canis lupus) Grizzly bear (Ursus arctos) Canidae Cattle Correlation modeling (logistic regression) Ursus Cattle, sheep Felidae Cattle, goat, sheep Correlation modeling (logistic regression) Correlation modeling (ensemble modeling using Artificial Neural Network, Environmental Distance, Genetic Algorithm for Rule-set Production, Support Vector Machines, Ecological Niche Factor Analysis and Maxent Jaguar (Panthera onca), puma (Puma concolor) *Note: This study is not discussed in the review of modeling methods because it specifically addresses the recolonization of carnivores. To estimate livestock depredation hotspots, the study multiplied the probability of wolf pack presence by the number of available livestock pastures, which is less precise than modeling carnivore-livestock interactions more explicitly. 3 Fig S1 Maps compiled to examine global potential livestock depredation in Fig. 2. Top: Livestock density from the Gridded Livestock of the World v.2.0 (Robinson et al., 2007). Bottom: The world’s primary carnivore species responsible for depredating livestock (species list in Table S1 adapted from Breitenmoser et al. 2005; species range maps from the IUCN Red List of Threatened Species v.2014.2 and Letnic et al. 2012) 4 References Abade L, Macdonald DW, Dickman AJ (2014) Assessing the relative importance of landscape and husbandry factors in determining large carnivore depredation risk in Tanzania’s Ruaha landscape. 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