IV. Environment and Conflict in History The database of conflict and environment cases shows a broad variety if issues but at a high level of inspection. This chapter intends to focus on a select set of cases for discussion and expansion of themes. The plan is to provide a basic typology of major issues and to follow them through time via selected case studies from the data set. Human beings are now the most dominant creatures on the planet in their ability to impact and alter the environment of localities, regions and the planet as a whole. A Brontosaurus might have held this claim in an earlier era, but their cumulative impact on the planet was surely far less than the modern human. This dominance needs context. First, our dominance is short lived compared to other species in other historical time periods. Second, while humans are now dominant, they are not the most populous of species by either number (behind flies and many species) or mass volume (behind termites). This chapter attempts to place the ascendancy of humanity – viewed from the prism of environment and conflict issues -- in a temporal perspective. Paul Shepard argues that human conflict was rare until the Agricultural Revolution. The settlement of humans led to a type of social organization that translated into aggregated power. This power resulted in the domestication of humans, by other humans. The size of such communities was much larger than in earlier times and thus created a greater potential for centralized control and power. The aggregate power became a means of expressing national interest vis-à-vis other aggregates of urban humanity that were also emerging. Shepard would not call the agricultural and food production breakthrough a triumph or a revolution. He would regard it as devolution in the quality of human life and the beginnings of permanent conflict. 154 "Domestication changed means of production, altered social relationships, and increased environmental destruction. From ecosystems at dynamic equilibrium ten thousand years ago the farmers created subsystems with pests and weeds by the time of the first walled towns five thousand years ago...Domestication would create a catastrophic biology of nutritional deficiencies, alternating feast and famine, health and epidemic, peace and social conflict, all set in millennial rhythms of slowing collapsing ecosystems."1 Shepard argues that the Agricultural Conjunction completed the subjugation of environmental and human rights by the development of warrior kingdoms. Usually, these kingdoms exhausted much of their own environmental resources and used war to make up for that deficit. The warrior was originally the herder of domestic ungulates: the person who tended the horses and oxen learned how to ride them in battle. The desire for the hunt combined with the efficiency of modern social systems led to the growth of state organized military power. The warrior restored the hunting ethos by changing the focus from animals to humans. These warrior societies, often built on conquest and slavery, were essentially farming farmers. "The hero, the warrior, and the cowboy are almost inextricable. For the most part of history they are all connected to horses or boats, although the Indo-European tool looks especially to the horse."2 A. The Cases in Context The concept behind this historical section is not only to examine the evolution of environment and conflict cases through time, but also to do so in some manner that focuses on some of the key sub-issues that define this dimension of interaction. Three basic dimensions 1 2 Shepard, Coming Home to the Pleistocene, pp. 82-3. Shepard, Coming Home to the Pleistocene, p. 115. 155 cover relationships involving environmental breadth, types and status. Each of these dimensions will include two examples, included as points of comparison and contrast, representing two major aspects of the dimension (as described earlier). In each time period, six cases are examined according to the criteria set forward in the prior chapter. These criteria consist of generic proto-types of behavior along three general dimensions that have dichotomous attributes. Table IV-1 shows the cases organized by time and in a chronological order. The actual discussion of the cases follows the chronological order. There are six issues selected: climate change, forest resources, arable land, water, the environment as a weapon, and the environment as a conflict boundary. Table IV-2 shows the cases organized by dimensional issue on a horizontal basis with temporal sub-sets shown on a vertical basis. The discussion of the cases follows the format in this table, focusing on three types of issues for three historical periods. This produces a total of 18 case studies. Each issue is then analyzed for comparison and contrast. 156 Table IV-1 Key Cases in Environment and Conflict: Organized by Time Ancient Cases Case Name NEANDERTHAL CEDARS MOHENJO NILE ASSYRIA GREATWALL Onset Year 35,000 BC 2,600 BC 1,700 BC 900 BC 600 BC 200 BC Describe The role of humans in Neanderthal extinction The Cedars of Lebanon and conflict over wood The decline of Mohenjo-Daro and loss of cropland Ancient and modern conflict over Nile River water Assyrian use of water as a weapon against Babylonians China's Great Wall, Mongols and the environment Type Climate Change Forests Arable Land Water Weapons Boundaries Middle Cases Case Name HADRIAN MAYA VINELAND ANASAZI ROBIN HOOD BUFFALO Onset Year 150 AD 800 AD 1000 AD 1200 AD 1450 AD 1870 AD Describe Hadrian's Wall, Soil, warfare, The Vikings, Picts, and and the decline Vineland, and environmental of Mayas Native impact Americans Water resources and the decline of the Anasazi Forests rights The US war in England with Native and Robin Americans and Hood the buffalo Type Boundaries Water Forests Weapons Arable Land Climate Change Modern Cases Case Name DMZ JORDAN KUWAIT KHMER RWANDA SAHEL Onset Year 1953 AD 1967 AD 1991 AD 1992 AD 1994 AD 1997 AD Describe The Korean DMZ, environment and conflict Conflict over the Jordan River waters Oil as a cause and a weapon in the Kuwait War Khmer Rouge military support and timber sales Population, deforestation and conflict in Rwanda The expansion of the Sahel and Niger tribal conflict Type Boundaries Water Weapons Forests Arable Land Climate Change 157 Table IV-2 Key Cases in Environment and Conflict: Organized by Issue Environmental Environmental Social Type Social Type Dimension Breadth Breadth Category Conflict over Conflict over Conflict over Conflict over General Specific Source Sinks Resources Resources Resources Conflict Conflict Dimension Dimension Non-Territory Territory Type Climate Change Forests Arable Land Water Weapons Boundaries Ancient Cases NEANDERTHAL CEDARS MOHENJO NILE ASSYRIA GREATWALL 35,000 BC 2,600 BC 1,700 BC 900 BC 600 BC 200 BC The role of humans in Neanderthal extinction VINELAND The Cedars of Lebanon and conflict over wood ROBIN HOOD The decline of Mohenjo-Daro and loss of cropland MAYA Ancient and modern conflict over Nile River ANASAZI Assyrian use of China's Great water as a Wall, Mongols weapon against and the Babylonians environment BUFFALO HADRIAN 1000 AD 1450 AD 800 AD 1200 AD 1870 AD 150 AD The Vikings, Vineland, and Native Americans SAHEL Forests rights Soil, warfare, Water in England and and the decline resources and Robin Hood of Mayas the decline of the Anasazi KHMER RWANDA JORDAN The US war with Native Americans and buffalo KUWAIT Hadrian's Wall, Picts, and environmental impact DMZ 1997 AD 1992 AD 1991 AD 1953 AD Oil as a cause and a weapon in the Kuwait War The Korean DMZ, environment and conflict Middle Cases Modern Cases The expansion Khmer Rouge of the Sahel support and and Niger timber sales tribal conflict 1994 AD 1967 AD Population, Conflict over deforestation the Jordan and conflict in River waters Rwanda 158 The three epochal periods also signify changes in dominant technologies at a macrohistorical level, which in turn indicate changes in structural systems. These systems, in turn, determine the mechanisms by which environment and conflict relate. Eventually, these changes impact patterns that may change in direction, from supporting one another to causing conflict between them. The approach here is to identify key issues in environment and conflict that persist throughout time and to follow that relationship to discern how it evolves. The discussion of these critical issues through time follows a series of case studies illustrating how relationships change to fit the structural configurations of the time. B. Environment and Conflict by Theme over Time This section examines ancient cases that revolve around the environment and conflict nexus. By “ancient”, the cases generally occurred before the year 0 in the modern calendar. Six cases will provide the basis for discussion on differing dimensions of interaction between conflict and environment. The point is not only to read the cases and their interaction across places and typologies, but to trace these types of interactions with examples over time. Thus, the results will combine an examination of both time and place in three historically consecutive case studies examined through six dimensional issues. The cases from this period tend to focus on the most basic resources required by early civilizations: land, water, and wood. These needs did not vanish with time but persist today. 1. Climate Change 159 The climate cases focus on three peoples -- Neanderthals, Vikings, and Fulani -- who experienced climate change and conflict in ancient, middle and modern times. The climate change cases are the oldest in the data set and help define the human experience. Climate change has both micro- and macro-climate dimensions. The early causes for climate change were driven solely by nature but in recent years humans have sharply accelerated the process. There are only five climate change cases in the entire ICE data set.3 No doubt in actual history there are many more cases. Further, many such cases are much older in time where records are not sufficient to detail or establish this link. This type of conflict system has a somewhat dichotomous nature. There are strong links to short and long-term cases that is focused on a particular resource, eventually results in a decisive victory, and is associated with habitat change. The average annual conflict deaths might be few, but the long-time deaths add up to a major conflict (see Figure IV-1). In ICE cases, this is captured by the attribute “Terra-forming Natural” under the category “Trigger”. 3 160 Figure IV-1 The Climate Change Causal System (The Yellow Loop in the Conflict Sub-System) Climate changes cases in ICE are few and diffuse over time. The historical cases then can provide some insight as to how environmental change generates conflict. These cases have extremely long-term durations in general, but periods of magnification or change may put this in a short-term perspective, especially in micro-climates. It appears that this is the case today. The first case -- regarding the Home Sapiens and Neanderthal wars -- is the longest term conflict included in the data set and the oldest. a. An Ancient Case of Climate Change: The Neanderthal, Humans and the End of the Last Ice Age Time Period Class Category Type Ancient Environmental Breadth General Resources Climate Change 161 The first case study begins with the emergence of the modern human. It largely predates large scale conflict between groups of humans. At this time, humans were in competition with other species – as predator and as prey – but also in competition with other primates. This was especially so since their economic subsistence patterns were quite similar. One of the most important intra-humanoid disputes was over environment and conflict with human’s closest ancestor – the Neanderthal.4 Theories about the end of the Neanderthal are controversial and unresolved. There is, however, no question that human beings played a role in their demise. It is also true that humans invaded lands that Neanderthals lived on for several hundred thousand years. Neanderthals survived several ice ages during this period. They could not survive humans. Changing climates certainly creates the conditions for conflict as people, their technologies, and their subsistence patterns all tend to intersect. In some cases, these technologies and patterns change and adapt as well over time. In other cases, people simply moved from the changed climate to one that more or less resembles the old climate and therefore the technologies and economic patterns need not change. Or, the people were displaced, killed or integrated into other groups. The conflict over environmental resources is of course inimical to human nature. Clear evidence for organized human warfare dates back more than nine thousand years, to the early Neolithic Age.5 It surely existed in the war against the Neanderthals and environment was a key 4 The Neanderthal was first discovered in August 1856 by Dr. Johan Karl Fuhlrott, a schoolteacher from the town of Elberfed, near the Dussel River in the western part of Germany. Technically, this was not the first Neanderthal skull ever found. Researchers did not realize until the 1860s, that a skull found in 1848 at Gibraltar was of a Neanderthal. Fuhlrott's find was in a valley called Neander (Tal or Thal means valley in German) that produced the name. Thus, the site and the creature are known as Neanderthal. 5 Ferrill, 1985, p. 20 and Roper, 1975, p. 304. 162 factor in that war at the end of the last Ice Age. Humans spread into Europe during this warming period, in many instances coming into conflict and ultimately displacing Neanderthals. Anthropologists generally agree that our species began in Africa and migrated from there to the other parts of the planet. The general belief is that humans came upon areas uninhabited, but in fact, these areas often did have other primate competitors who would and did compete over hunting grounds that provided economic subsistence. The conflict between two primate species occurred through direct warfare and through indirect warfare. The direct conflict was probably a draw – with the greater Neanderthal physical attributes matched by the higher technologies of the humans. Indirect warfare was probably a greater factor as humans proved more adept hunters than the Neanderthals and took more of the game. This led to larger human populations and less food for competitors. Anthropologists and geneticists disagree on the genetic relation of the human to the Neanderthal. Some believe that Neanderthal was simply another race of humans, perhaps most similar to aborigines from Australia. Most scholars believe Neanderthals were a completely separate species. The earliest human remains found in Europe date back 35,000 years. According to anthropologist Eric Trinkhaus the bones suggest interbreeding between humans and Neanderthals. Other researchers assert that on the whole there was little or no contribution to the human gene pool. Human are not directly related to Neanderthals, but they do emerge from a common tree hundred of thousands of years earlier.6 Neanderthals existed between 350,000 and 30,000 years ago. Perhaps as far back as 100,000 years ago they encountered the first human beings , probably in the Middle East. By 45,000 years ago, humans (Cro-magnons) invaded Europe and Asia and the Neanderthals were Bob Beale, “Euro jawbone rattles Neanderthal debate”, ABC Science Online, September 24, 2003, News in Science (online). http://www.abc.net/science/news/stories/s952446.htm 6 163 gone in 15,000 years. But this is a long time for two people to co-exist without serious conflict (or attempted mating), as noted in James Shreeve’s “The Neanderthal Peace”.7 Moreover, they met differing groups of humans over time, and perhaps they too were in conflict with one group but at peace with another. These first humans, the Aurignacians, entered into west Europe but retreated during a cooling period. They were followed by the Gravettians, who possessed more advanced technology in weapons and warmer clothing to protect them from the cold. While Neanderthals only had thrusting spears for close range fighting with animals, the Gravettians threw spears and other projectiles.8 Neanderthals were intelligent primates with customs and rituals and probably systems of communication. They were not the mindless brutes depicted in earlier "scientific" tracts and grade B movies, nor the muscle-bound hulks with hairy backs. Neanderthal had a long, narrow skull, with a large brain and a bony protrusion over each eye. Physically, the people were stout and strong, with short limbs and digits, and women had birth canals that were similar in size to modern human females. Ine find, in modern day Israel, was discovered at the Kabara Cave in Israel by a joint French-Israeli team. The team found a hyoid bone, which links muscles of lower jaw and neck, critical to speaking. This find led some to believe that Neanderthal had language abilities perhaps equal to modern humans. Neanderthals were beyond humans in physical capabilities, being much stronger and more agile. It would be wrong to stereotype about Neanderthals because they were a heterogonous group. The various finds from East Asia, the Middle East, and Europe show great diversity in form and feature, just as would be found in humans. Neanderthals ranged over a large area and James Shreeve, “The Neanderthal Peace, Discover Vol. 16 No. 09, September 1995. Jennifer Viegas, “Neanderthals couldn’t cope with the cold”, News in Science: Environment and Nature, January 8, 2004, accessed July 31, 2004, http://www.aabc.net.au/science/news/enviro/EnviroRepublish_1033326.htm. 7 8 164 experienced a wide range of climatic variations that influenced the development of their physical features and culture. The image of Neanderthal as the brute is slowly being replaced, at least in the scientific world, by a more sophisticated and advanced creature with social ties, cultural relations and a people who buried their dead. Neanderthals were intelligent hominids nearly equal to humans in intelligence. Perhaps some humans had Neanderthals as acquaintances or as trading partners over their long periods of co-existence. The human relation and reaction to the Neanderthal is perhaps also a cautionary tale for how humans might greet aliens from another planet. This was not the first time the two groups had met. The initial encounters between human and Neanderthal are thought to have taken place somewhere in the Middle East. It was probably near present day sites in Israel, Lebanon, Syria and Iraq as both groups expanded during the warming period. There was a gradual process of displacement and replacement. Similar to today, this narrow stretch of greenery (the Fertile Crescent) was a corridor for interaction between Asia, Africa and Europe and a sought after territory. Over time, humans pushed Neanderthals back into the less hospitable parts of Europe. The Neanderthal retreats often forced them onto lands where game was not as abundant and temperatures much colder. This deterioration in access to resources no doubt led to long term pressures on survival (see Figure IV-2). Figure IV-2 The Extent of the Neanderthal 165 The in-migration of humans into long-standing Neanderthal resource areas (hunting grounds) was an early conflict with environment causes. This inter-humanoid conflict is perhaps like forms of intra-human ethnic conflict, with of course broader differences. Researchers document a great die-off of certain mega-fauna after human arrival in the Eurasia and the Americas and perhaps the demise of the Neanderthal is evidence of other extinctions associated with our past. Perhaps the Neanderthals did not completely die out. Perhaps they live on in the human gene pool. During the thousands of years that humans and Neanderthals lived in close proximity to one another, there were no doubt raids that took females captives as spoils of war (by both 166 sides). Rapes as part of conflict also no doubt occurred. Perhaps children were born to humans that had some Neanderthal genes or vice-versa. Anthropologist Wolpott believes that intermarriage or at least inter-breeding was common between humans and Neanderthal. Neanderthal hunting technology was inferior to that of humans and more dangerous. Eric Trinkhaus notes that animals killed by the Neanderthal would have involved close contact using little refined, stone implements. Daniel Lieberman and John Shea suggest two other advantages in economic survival that humans held. First, humans migrated, sometimes over great distances, and took advantage of seasonality and animal migrations. Neanderthals were much more sedentary and this in a climate with extremely limited resources. Second, humans were not only better hunters they were also better gatherers. In the end, it may have been a long-gradual war of technology and adaptation. Neanderthals spent far more time hunting for sustenance compared to humans and thus had less leisure time for developing new tools. Both groups used a basic set of tools known as Mousterian technology, but the level of refinement by the humans was far superior. They no doubt adopted some Neanderthal techniques and exceeded them. Neanderthals also were able to control fire, but not to the extent of humans who used it to make pottery and weapons, for example. The evolving view of Neanderthals says little about them, but of course says a lot about humans. Neanderthals have not changed, human tolerance has, and this change mirrors a new look at how we view our nearest relatives. Thomas Henry Huxley believed the real measure of humanity is evident in our relation to other apes and other primates. 167 After the humans finished their conflict with the Neanderthals they apparently started turning against each other in ancient times. Two recent finds demonstrate this: one in Oregon and the other in Italy. The first example is from North America. In 1996 two hikers found a skeleton known as Kennewick Man near the town of Kennewick, Washington, along the banks of the Columbia River, just prior to the point where it meets up with the Snake River. (They said they had gone in a back entrance to an event with a cover charge, which they wished to avoid). The hikers stumbled upon the bones that only later were found to be ancient, dating back 9,200 years. Little is known about Kennewick Man because of a dispute over who owns the bones. His remains are a matter of dispute between scientists who want to study him and Native Americans who claim him under U.S. Federal Law. There is great debate about his characteristics. There is some preliminary evidence that he was shot with an arrow. His death may be related to territorial hunting claims. On February 4, 2004, the U.S. 9th Circuit Court of Appeals ruled that scientists may study the 9,200 year old body. The decision was the lack of existing connections between the modern tribes and the people of that time. His characteristics are alleged to be different from modern Native Americans who filed the case (the Umatilla, Yakama, Colville and Nez Perce tribes).9 The second example is from Europe. A couple from Germany, hiking in the Otzal Alps, happened upon bones later found to be about 5,000 years old. The area was near the Italian and Austrian border, in fact within 101 yards. The bones belonged to a man they called “Otzi” and were found a close distance within the Italian border. Belonging to Neolithic culture, he was part of a sophisticated socio-economy and technology, as shown by the artifacts with him. He was 9 Washington Post, “Kennewick Man Can be Studied, Court Rules”, February 5, 2004, A19. 168 likely a trader whose ancient path later became Roman roads and the main highways and routes for north south trade in Europe. “The copper in the ax probably came from the mountains, which, as the source of valuable metals used to make tools, were worshiped by miners throughout the world.” 10 Otzi’s best weapon was his bow-stave made of yew for its flexibility and workability. Many prehistoric bow and arrow systems in Europe relied on the wood of the yew tree. There was also an axe with a yew handle and a copper blade. The bow of the Iceman was made of yew, as were most ancient bows, due to its pliability. b. A Middle Case of Climate Change: The Vikings, Climate and the North American Experience Period Class Category Type Middle Environmental Breadth General Resources Climate Change After the invasion of Britain, Rome grew weary of continuous war and built Hadrian’ Wall (more on this later). The wall separated conquered Roman lands to the south from the Picts and Scots to the north, which were difficult peoples to conquer. The lands the Scots inhabited were marginal in terms of agricultural productivity and the value of victory seemed little. Over several hundred years, two distinct systems emerged on each side of the wall. To the north was a tribal based system still reliant on herding and grazing of animals for subsistence. To the south, a more market based system grew and increases in population created large sedentary 10 Did "Iceman" of Alps Die as Human Sacrifice? National Geographic News, January 15, 2002. www.nationalgeographic.com 169 populations reliant on cultivating agricultural crops. The social stability provided by the wall allowed the development of settled lifestyles, power structures and the acquisition of wealth. These differences grew and accumulated over time and two differing environments and economies emerged on each side of the wall (see the later story of Robin Hood). An unpredictable change in climate propelled events. The warming climate around 1000 AD made northern lands hospitable. Viking population surged in Scandinavia and they began move out to settle more distant lands. After invading Britain, to raid and in some cases settle, the Vikings traveled to Greenland and later on to North America. The word Viking comes from the Old Norse “vik”, a bay or harbor. The Viking lifestyle was a reaction to the lack of arable lands and limited alternative means to survive. Fishing was not a major occupation for them until the Middle Ages.11 Vikings also included men from Scandinavia who ventured out to acquire new lands, as well as those who looted and robbed as an occupation. The Vikings really came into being as a distinct group around 780 AD and rapidly spread in many directions. To the east, they conquered and traded throughout Russia and into the Ukraine. “The Vikings were infamous raiders and looters, but they were also farmers and herders at home and no less sophisticated in arts and invention than other medieval Europeans…They were successful ship builders who engaged in ever-widening trade, east to Russia and south to Rome and Baghdad. In their Iceland colony at the end of the 10th century, these people created the first democratic parliament. Their further western expansion brought about the first tenuous contact between the Old World and the New."12 11 12 Fitzhugh and Ward, p. 14. Wilford, 2000. 170 There are many explanations for the Viking migrations that include political, demographic, or religious factors. No doubt the truth is a blend of these many causal instruments and played differing purposes for the differing Viking groups that migrated.. "Many theories have been advanced to explain the events that propelled Vikings outward from their northern homelands: developments in ship construction and seafaring skills; internal stress from population growth and scarce land; loss of personal freedom as political and economic centralization progressed; and the rise of Christianity over traditional pagan belief have all been cited. Probably all are correct in degrees; but the overriding factor was the awareness of opportunities for advancement abroad that lured Norsemen to leave their home farms."13 What was remarkable about the journey of the Vikings was that their voyages to the New World, from the East, effectively made the reach of human beings a global one for the first time in history. “Our ancestors left Africa between 100,000 and 120,000 years ago. Coming up out of the Middle East, some of them turned left at Europe, and others turned right into the farther reaches of Asia. Their descendants would not meet until 100,000 years later, at the Strait of Belle Island [in New Foundland, Canada].”14 This first global encounter did not have a peaceful outcome. “It’s a pity that the first contact between the descendants of the People Who Turned Left and the People Who Turned Right should have ended in killing. Nevertheless, it is not surprising. The Vikings were a warrior culture with an in-built contempt for non-farming peoples and a major problem with impulse control. But frankly, it might well have ended 13 Fitzhugh and Ward, p. 17. Norse artifacts are found in many parts of northeastern North America, on Greenland and other sites such as Ellesmere and Baffin Islands in Canada. 14 Kevin McAleese, ed., Full Circle: First Contact: Vikings and Skraelings in Newfoundland and Labrador, St. Johns, Newfoundland, Newfoundland Museum, 2000, p. 8. 171 in fighting no matter who they were, because anybody including another group’s traditional land is likely to run into trouble.” 15 Why did this convergence occur? “The answer has mostly to do with the climate,”16 but also the chaos of events that often propels history. "The motivating force for the Norwegians sailing west, the colonization of the lesser Atlantic islands, and thereafter of Iceland and Greenland, and the attempted settlement of America, was a need for land and pasture."17 The Vikings controlled large parts of France, Britain, Scotland, the Shetland Islands and Ireland by 700 AD. Irish priests came to the Faeroe Island around 700 AD and Iceland was discovered and settled between 860 and 870. The period of expansion was actually quite shortlived and suitable land taken by 930.18 In 962, Eric the Red, kicked out of Norway and two places in Iceland for murder, was banished and headed west where he happened to find Greenland. He called it "Greenland", but even with relatively warmer conditions then, this was quite an exaggeration or a public relations stunt to attract settlers. By 986, he returned with 450 people that later grew to 4,000, all emigrants from Iceland. Later, Leif Ericson, his son, would venture from Greenland in search of lands to the west. The Vikings thought the lands they found would be as hospitable as Scandinavia – they were not. In the northern latitudes, the western edges of continents have better warmer climate conditions for human settlements, owing to the circulation of winds on the planet and the Atlantic Gulf Stream. “This explains why 20 million Scandinavians can live at latitudes north of Goose Bay [Canada] today. It also explains why even 1,000 years ago there were at least a 15 16 17 18 Kevin McAleese, ed., Full Circle, p. 21. Kevin McAleese, ed., Full Circle, p. 14. Jones, p. 269. Jones, p. 277. 172 million farmers in Scandinavia, but fewer than 10,000 hunter-gatherers in Newfoundland and Labrador.” 19 The westward migration of the Vikings was driven by a warming period around 1,0001,500 AD. A “Little Ice Age” followed and lasted from about 1500-1700. The cooling led to an eventual cooling of the planet's northern extremes and thus rendering uninhabitable many of the places the Vikings had settled. Climate research reinforces the sagas. “During the eleventh and twelfth centuries ice was virtually unknown in the waters between Iceland and the Viking settlements in Greenland, and the temperature in these settled areas was 2 degrees centigrade to 4 degrees warmer than at present. From the beginning of the 13th century a mini-ice age affected the northern hemisphere, plunging the seawater temperature to between 3 degrees centigrade and 7 degrees (about 23 degrees below the present day temperature). This change was enough to bring the ice further and further south. Seasonal ice floes began to appear in the sailing lanes and near the settlements; their quantity increased, the ice season lengthened, and the ice floes were followed by ice bergs."20 This period of Viking expansion was different from earlier ones. Earlier expansions reenforced a plundering lifestyle. This occupation changed as the Vikings became agriculturalists and adopted settled lifestyles. "The era of Viking marauding had long since passed. To some scholars the Norman invasion of England in 1066 was the last great Viking raid; many Normans were descended from helmeted Vikings who had earlier seized their land."21 19 20 21 Kevin McAleese, ed., Full Circle, p. 15. Logan, p. 78. Wilford, 2000. 173 This new lifestyle marked a dramatic change in the socio-economic context of the Vikings. The lifestyle was context-based in a narrow niche of survival in the mostly northerly lands inhabited by Lapplanders, Eskimos, etc. This required a stable environment. ”The [Viking] style of living they developed is called crafting: growing some vegetables, catching some fish, keeping sheep for wool and meat, raising cattle for milk and meat, and growing enough hay to see the animals through the winter.” 22 This lifestyle required a fairly static type of environmental climate. “During the 13th century the climate appears to have deteriorated, though the facts regarding this are not fully agreed upon. Climatic tables indicate, after a level, comparatively ice-free period 860-1200, a sharply rising level of marine ice in the years around 1260, declining thereafter only to rise again after 1300."23 After 1200, the northern Arctic regions of the planet grew colder, and by the middle of the fifteenth century, the climate reverted to its earlier state, if not even colder. Over much of Europe the glaciers advanced, the tree line crept south, and the alpine passes used for trade and travel were often impassable. “The northern coast of Iceland grew increasingly beleaguered by drift ice; and off Greenland as the sea temperatures sank there was a disabling increase in the ice which comes south from the East Greenland Current to Cape Farewell, and then swings north to enclose first the Eastern and then the Western settlement."24 The Vikings found artifacts in Greenland and Northeast Canada, and as they sailed south along the coast they could see plumes of smokes that indicated human presence.25 Bjarni Bardarson accidentally reached North America 986 where he was on a voyage to Greenland but 22 23 24 25 Kevin McAleese, ed., Full Circle, p. 12. Wahlgren, pp. 24-5. Jones, p. 308. Fitzhugh and Ward, p.11. 174 lost his way. Leif Ericsson took an expedition further south in 1002 into Vineland and continued periodic trips for hundreds of years. "It has been suggested that the motive for such voyages [to North America in 1347] was more likely for the acquisition of timber for Greenland's construction needs."26 There were at this time virtually no forest resources on the entire island of Greenland. "In Greenland, emigration may have be abetted by the fact that "the Norse population reached the carrying capacity of the habitat, which may itself have been decreasing."27 "According to the sagas, Ericson's party first headed northwest across Baffin Bay and came upon a rocky coast they called Helluland, present-day Baffin Island. Then they sailed south, hugging the shore, to the wooded place they named Markland, probably Labrador. Finally, they entered a shallow bay and waited for high tide to bring them ashore to a green meadow. Here at L'Anse aux Meadows, they established a base camp, their beachhead in Vinland."28 In Newfoundland the Vikings settled in a place known as Vineland, because the early explorers found wild grapes. (Later accounts verify these events. Adam of Bremen wrote in 1070 that in Vinland "there grow grapes.”) The grapes are further evidence of a warmer climatic period, compared to today, since these areas are now too cold and wild grapes do not grow there but have moved further south. Battling the changes in weather was not the only difficulty the Vikings faced. The Vikings interacted with the Native Americans who lived there, in terms of both commerce and conflict. The conflict, though relatively rare, proved fatal for the expedition. "The outbreak of 26 27 28 Fitzhugh and Ward, p. 241. Fitzhugh and Ward, p. 291. Wilford, 2000. 175 hostilities between Skraelings [the name the Norse gave them] and Norsemen was decisive for the Vineland venture. The Norsemen had no marked superiority of weapons, their lines of communication were thin and overlong, and there was an insufficient reservoir of manpower back in Greenland."29 The attempt at colonization of Vineland probably lasted only until about 1020. Soon after the arrivals of the Viking in Greenland, the few trees of birch, willow and elder were soon depleted and replaced with sorrel, yarrow and wild tansy. When the Greenland colony disappeared the trees soon returned. Both a cooling climate and human overuse of resources hurt the Viking chances for survival. As domesticated animals started to die off (cattle and sheep) "the colonists grew more dependent upon seal for subsistence." 30 In Greenland, "animals were even more destructive than people in changing local vegetation and ultimately whole landscapes, reducing forest and shrub lands, and through time, by overgrazing, converting grasslands to wastelands. These ecological stresses grew more difficult to manage in the harsher climates to the northwest and accumulated over time, more rapidly as the climate deteriorated generally after 1350." 31 The demise of Greenlanders probably took a very long time. Some suggest that Europeans lived there into the early 1500s. Toward the end, the Eskimos massacred many Greenlanders. (In 1492, ironically, Columbus arrived in North America and announced its discovery just as the Greenland colony was dieing out.) A combination of forces led to the demise of the Greenlanders and related to the changing climate and the arrival of too many people on the island. "I propose, therefore, that there was thus a conjunction of debilitating 29 30 31 Jones, p. 303. Fitzhugh and Ward, p. 74. Fitzhugh and Ward, p. 19. 176 forces, environmental (the waxing cold), economic (increasing denudation of the soil, the wasting away of cattle and the few crops, the dwindling supply of fuel, the pressing competition with the Eskimos for marine game), psychological (a gradual reduction in the birth rate) and spiritual (religious deprivation and lack of cultural stimulus)." 32 Climate was only one of many factors that led to the demise of the Greenland colony. "An explanation that stresses climatic changes and plays down politico-economic factors probably lies as near to the truth as we can get at the moment. In 1261, this small, self-governing land came under the control of the King of Norway, who, it is often said, restricted trade. Since much of Greenland's livelihood depended on the export of goods such as homespun clothe, skins of oxen, sheep and seals, walrus rope, walrus tusks, and polar bears as well as the importation of timber, iron, and grain, in particular. Such trade restrictions, it is argued, made life difficult."33 Trade was the only way that the colony could survive. In Greenland, "the Western Settlement was the first to be deserted. After 1349, the time of the Black Death, the Eastern Settlement' ties were hard-pressed." 34 The role of the church grew stronger. "Submitting to the nominal authority of Norway's Kind Hakon the Old in 1261, the Greenlanders were now subject of special clerical concern. Records show that a large part of the best land owned by the Greenlanders had gradually come into the possession of the church."35 Norway eventually abandoned Greenland and it remained uninhabited, at least by Europeans, for hundreds of years. The church played a key role in the process of recolonization many years later. Europeans re-colonized Greenland with the help of the cleric Hans Egede, who traveled from Copenhagen in 1721 to the island. 32 33 34 35 Fitzhugh and Ward, p. 176. Logan, p. 77. Fitzhugh and Ward, p. 97. Fitzhugh and Ward, p. 12. 177 Unlike Iceland and Greenland, people were living in North America when the Vikings arrived. The people living there also changed over time as the climate changed. The Thules, ancestors of today’s Inuits, began move eastward from the Bering Sea in Alaska. The fortuitous climate played an inviting role to many peoples. "The Norse arrived in the new world in A.D. 1000, a time of diverse social and political landscapes for the peoples living on the western shores of the North Atlantic. Members of several different ethnic groups -- the Dorset people of the eastern Canadian Arctic and northern Greenland, the ancestors of the Labrador Innu, the Newfoundland Beothuk, and the Maliseet and Micmac of the southern Gulf of Saint Lawrence and Nova Scotia -- had divided this territory into a multicultural region of discrete homelands where their ancestors lived for many generations. After A.D. 1200 and during the height of the warming, the Thule-ancestors of the Inuit---would also arrive on the scene."36 The Dorsets, in turn, had displaced Maritime Archaic peoples, the latter who had been there since 6,000 BC. It is also possible they interacted with Algonquin peoples who generally lived south of the Saint Lawrence River. The Thule displaced the Dorsets under similar conditions to the conflicts with the Norse: they had superior technology for surviving in the environment. "Armed with lances and with bows powered by a cable of twisted sinew, as well as with warlike traditions developed in the large competing communities of coastal Alaska, such a band of warriors would have been a formidable enemy. They could have easily displaced the small and poorly armed communities of Dorset people from prime hunting localities, forcing them to retreat to more marginal areas." 37 By the period 1200-1400 AD, the Inuit began to replace the older Dorset culture that had arrived earlier. 36 37 Fitzhugh and Ward, p. 193. Fitzhugh and Ward, p. 243. 178 The Norsemen encountered both peoples known as Native Americans and Eskimos. The Eskimos came to North America during the 11th century, much later than the Native Americans did. The Native Americans were "probably Beothuk, related to the Algonquians who occupied the coastal regions of Newfoundland during the summer, fishing and hunting sea mammals and birds - these would be puffins, gannets and related species - from birch bark canoes."38 The Eskimos were of the Thule culture. When the chance meeting of east and west took place, who was more surprised – the Norse or the Inuit? The Norse had seen "Karelians" (Northeast Russia from the Karelian Peninsula) or Laplanders in the Artic who were seemingly more Asiatic in ancestry. The Native American, however, had probably never encountered anyone like these tall, blond, blue-eyed people. The Norse military technology was somewhat superior to those of the Native Americans.39 However, there is clear evidence of trade between the two. Norse products wound up in the hands of the Native Americans with the appearance of metal arrowhead points sometime replacing stone.40 By 1350, the Vikings abandoned the Western settlement of Greenland, which the Skraeling or Eskimos soon took over, and retreated to the Eastern Settlement. The Vikings survived until 1500 where the Skraelings killed off most of the Norse Greenlanders, save for a few they kept as few slaves. The plague was a consequence of trade. It was also a vehicle for introducing disease and illness by bringing eco-environmental systems into a relationship. “Between 1339 and 1351 AD, a pandemic of plague traveled from China to Europe, known in Western history as The Black 38 39 40 Wahlgren, p. 16. Fitzhugh and Ward, p. 11. Fitzhugh and Ward, p. 21. 179 Death. Carried by rats and fleas along the Silk Road Caravan routes and Spice trading sea routes, the Black Death reached the Mediterranean Basin in 1347, and was rapidly carried throughout Europe from what was then the center of European trade.”41 The plague hit Viking settlements in Greenland and this had a direct impact on its ability to expand. By 1351, 25 to 50 percent of Europe people were dead, as well as the Middle East and south and East Asia.42 Theories of contact and migration to the Americas are undergoing a fundamental revision. Rather than a single entry point through the Bering Straits, it is now believed that there were probably multiple sources of migration in populating the hemisphere.43 In addition, some see the meeting of peoples as an important event. "Thanks to recent advances in archaeology, history and natural sciences, the Norse discoveries in the North Atlantic can now be seen as the first step in the process by which human populations became reconnected into a single global system. After two million years of cultural diversification and cultural dispersal, humanity has finally come full circle."44 c. A Modern Case of Climate Change: Conflict between Fulani and Zarma and the Role of Desertification Time Class Category Modern Environmental Breadth General Resources Richard Thomas, “The Role of Trade in Transmitting the Black Death”, TED Case Studies, No. 414, May 1997, p. 1, http://www.american.edu/TED/bubonic.htm. 42 Gottfried, Robert. The Black Death: Natural and Human Disaster in Medieval Europe, New York, Free Press, 1983. 43 Fitzhugh and Ward, p. 11. 44 Fitzhugh and Ward, p. 12. 41 180 Type Climate Change Climate change is an ongoing factor in the relationship between environment and conflict. It was largely responsible for the war that lasted for 20,000 years or more between Homo sapiens and Neanderthals. Climate change was an essential element in the later conflict between European Vikings and Native Americans in North America. Climate change creates new ecotones or areas of habitation by differing groups with differing technologies and economic subsistence patterns. The conflict in Niger is a classic case of ecotone shift. The Sahara desert, the largest arid area on the planet, moves periodically in a north-south line and has so over millennia. This ebb and flow of desertification brought differing people into confrontation. This line between habitable and inhabitable moves not only through Niger, but also the countries of Ethiopia, Somalia, Chad, Nigeria, Niger, Mauritania, Chad, Sudan and other parts of Africa (see Figure IV-3). Climate change today is magnified with the precarious balances between environmental supply and demand in some parts of the modern world. This is especially the case in Africa. There are changes in long-term cycles, as was the case with the end of the last Ice Age 50,000 years ago. These long-term cycles may involve changes in ecotones that involve large portions of the planet. There are also shorter ecotones that occur, such as the cooling in the North Hemisphere in the 1500-1700 AD Period. Climate and weather conditions in fragile zones over the short-term can have extreme consequences for inhabitants used to seasonal and yearly migration patterns. Climate change is decomposable by time and geography. There are long-term climate patterns but there are also shorter-term patterns that people ordinarily refer to as “weather”. Weather is the cycles of climate change limited to the lifespan of an individual and perhaps some 181 stories from parents and grandparents, or perhaps a span of 100 years. Within certain climates and micro-climates changes in weather can be significant over the short-term. Figure IV-3 Africa and the Approximate Limit of the Sahara and the Beginning of the Sahel 182 The southward drift of the Sahel during a dry period pushed Fulani tribe nomadic herders south towards greener pastures. Unfortunately, this encroached on lands of the Zarma, who were sedentary agriculturalists. These two groups clashed over diminishing pasture and water resources for economic and food subsistence. In 1997 in Niger seven people were killed and 43 wounded in separate clashes between Fulani herders and Zarma farmers in the sectors Téra and Birni N'Gaouré. State radio (La Voix du Sahel) reported seven deaths occurred near the village of Falmaye (Birni N'Gaouré), southeast of the capital Niamey.45 Zarma villagers allegedly attacked a Fulani camp, seeking revenge for the death of a Zarma in an earlier fight with Fulani herders. At least three of the victims were burned to death inside their straw huts. Later, there was fighting between Fulani herders and Zarma farmers in the Téra region, northwest of Niamey. There were no deaths, but 35 people were wounded, 19 seriously.46 The problem spread beyond Niger. “Water comes next to grazing land in importance among the pastoralists in Nigeria. The Fulani see the provision of water as an antidote against the predicaments of marginal environment.” Water rights accrue to the people who “dig the well, make a path to it, or rid the site of predator animals and harmful objects.”47 Sedentary groups do not recognize these rights. Niger’s people have dealt with climate change in both the short and the long term. In ancient times the climate in Niger was temperate. “During the Holocene period of the past 10,000 years there was a ‘warm’ climatic optimum roughly 5,000 years ago. At that time, more See Andrew H. Furber, “Desertification in Niger”, ICE Case Study Number 29, June, 1997, Case Name: NIGER. http://www.american.edu/TED/ice/niger.htm. 46 Mayer, Joel, ed. "Ethnic Violence Kills Seven." Source: AFP via Camel Express Telematique. May 16, 1997. Available http://www.txdirect.net/~jmayer/cet.html (online). 47 “Scarcity of Water as an Impediment to Pastoral Fulani Development”, Ismail Iro, http://www.gamji.com/fulani6.htm. Accessed January 5, 2006. 45 183 humid conditions generally were markedly contracted. Lakes existed even in parts of the central Sahara. The current state of climate was reached roughly 3,000 years ago.”48 The movement of the Sahel shows alternating patterns of global warming in the middleterm. “Observational records show the continent of Africa is warmer than it was 100 years ago…The 5 warmest years in Africa have all occurred since 1988, with 1988 and 1995 the warmest years. This rate of warming is not dissimilar to that experienced globally, and the periods of the most warming – the 1910s to the 1930s and the post-`1970s --- occur simultaneously in Africa and the world.” Africa’s precipitation patterns also show longer-term variations. The period 1800-50 was relatively dry, similar to today, 1850-1895 was much wetter and then another drier period ensued.49 Several diverse ethnic groups in Niger live in three different climactic zones in Niger. The three zones are divided by latitude and degree of intersection with the Sahara. The northern part of the country is the Sahara desert. To the south is a transition zone (the Sahel) characterized by a combination of desert and scrub. Nomads and sedentary groups inhabit the Sahel. Herding and animal husbandry characterize the livelihood of nomads. As animal stocks increase, grazing demands on the fragile ecosystem near the desert exhaust grassland supplies. These extra stresses on the vegetation, in addition to the changes in climate, can heighten impacts. The Zarma are farmers who live in the Sahel. They live primarily in Western Niger, but there are also some pockets in Burkina Faso and Nigeria. The Zarma grow subsistence crops, IPCC, “Climate Change 2001: Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability, 10.2.3.3. Paleoclimate of Africa,” Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, http://www.ipcc.ch/pub/tar/wg2/381.htm, accessed May 5, 2002. 49 IPCC, “Climate Change 2001: Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability, 10.2.3.3. Paleoclimate of Africa,” Integovernmental Panel on Climate Change, http://www.ipcc.ch/pub/tar/wg2/381.htm, accessed May 5, 2002. 48 184 such as millet, sorghum, rice, corn and tobacco and cash crops, such as cotton and peanuts. This production mode requires some irrigation. Milk is an important part of their diet and culture of both the Zarma and Fulani. The Zarma own cattle, but it is the Fulani or Tuareg people who tend the animals. This complex rental system is an outcome of both economy and culture. When mature, cattle are driven to coastal cities of West Africa for processing and trade. The Zarma were once skilled with horses, but this skill has been lost. They now specialize in raising cattle.50 Animal husbandry remains one on the main economic activities of Niger. Livestock products include cattle sheep goats and dromedaries. The Fulani, also called Peul or Fulbe, are a primarily Muslim people found in many parts of West Africa, ranging from Lake Chad to the Atlantic coast, with concentrations in Nigeria, Mali, Guinea, Cameroon, Senegal, and Niger. The typical Fulani are nomads, but after many years of integration with other cultures, and the depletion of their herds to environmental conditions, they now rely on farming for livelihood. The nomads make temporary camps of portable huts, exchanging dairy produce for cereal foods. The Fulani rarely kill cattle for meat. “Because animals need water, the demand for it among the Fulani exceeds that of the rural people.”51 Archeologists believe there is a tendency of the Sahara desert to “move” according to a prescribed model -- the pulse model -- and result in waves oscillating over thousands of years, leaving socio-economic impacts on the peoples living in its path. Archeologists found evidence of social clusters of communities that are grouped around Timbuktu but were not an integrated community. Archaeological findings combined with geological dating techniques suggest a 50 "Zarma." Encyclopedia Britannica. Internet Search June, 1997, http://bastion.eb.com. “Scarcity of Water as an Impediment to Pastoral Fulani Development”, Ismail Iro, http://www.gamji.com/fulani6.htm 51 185 "pulse" pattern to Sahara desertification. Every time a pulse period occurred, settled societies were uprooted. Research shows pulses of climate and weather changes occurring 10,000 years ago. Oscillations correspond to apparent changes in the archeological findings and societal identity of Late Stone Age people. The longer a community stays in one place, the more sedentary it becomes. The more sedentary the society the more traditions it develops. When forced to move, traditions are upset or lost and specialization diminishes. Today, there are a declining number of "microenvironments" that provide for safe haven during periods of weather shifts. French colonization of Niger in the 1920's led to an increase in grazing intensity and cash crop intensity in the Sahel. Change in the use of the environment effectively initiated a socio-economic correlation between human impact and desertification. Niger's agricultural policy is to achieve food self-sufficiency regardless of climate changes. There are several alternatives, including dry-cropping in rural areas; hydro-agricultural projects including the use of depressions and water-points to increase cultivation; and soil needs that apply nitrogen based fertilizers and manure. There is some recognition of problems caused by small-scale climate change and efforts to react to these problems. “Over 300 representatives of national, international, and nongovernmental organizations have expressed today full commitment to support Niger’s Programme to combat desertification and drought. Participants at the First National Forum to Validate the National Action Programme to Combat Desertification and Drought (6-8 September), evaluated and finalized the document presented by the National Council on Environment and Sustainable Development, that coordinated consultations since 1995.”52 52 Niamey, 8 September 2000, UNCCD, www.unccd.org. 186 There have been attempts at conflict resolution. “The positive aspects of water extraction include cooperation between the Fulani and the farmers. Mutual benefits accrue when the farmers agree to let the Fulani use the water facilities in exchange for milk or dung.” Sometimes these efforts also fail. “It is not uncommon to find the competing groups or individuals going to the extreme of sabotaging the very public water supplies, so as to monopolize the facility.”53 The Niger government and multilateral aid agencies have been attempting to increase water supplies (small dams and deeper wells, for example) but some warn that the increase in water without the increase in grazing land is a recipe for disaster.” More water attracts more farmers to the arid lands of the Fulani. “Fulani herdsmen around the Tiga Lake and the Kainij Dam in northern Nigeria complain against transient farmers who are building permanent camps around the marshy areas and taking way the grazing land.”54 Is desertification in part a result or a consequence of cultural and subsistence practices? Some point to the long-standing cultural practices as a problem. Fees required to keep facilities operating are usually ignored because of favoritism to kin or a basic belief in the sharing of the resource. Bribery is quite common in obtaining water. Some blame government policies for the conflict because recognition of Fulani water needs is a recent event. Others blame government policies for unintended consequences. Irrigation and water diversion projects centralize water demand, usually at the expense of the pastoralists. This will also disadvantage wildlife or domestic animals. The competition extends not only to water but also to the grazing lands nearby.”55 53 54 55 “Scarcity of Watert”, Ismail Iro. “Scarcity of Water”, Ismail Iro. “Scarcity of Water”, Ismail Iro. 187 d. Comparing and Reflecting on the Climate Cases There will be more focus on climate change cases in the future. Today there appears to be a relatively high rate of climate change, with people being in part responsible. Climate change impacts people most rooted in the environment and in low-level technological means of subsistence. These are often aboriginal peoples. Aboriginal (or original) peoples constitute a general term indicating humans who were the original inhabitants of a place. Aboriginal people, generally and specifically, survive in small pockets in many countries. There is some irony in that the oldest people in the place are the most impacted by changes in climate. It is the rapid pace of change which has created this situation. In the “ancient cases”, the climate change case focused on the historic conflict between humans and Neanderthals that was the result of significant changes in climate extended over extremely long time periods. This was largely the result of the pull factor. The end of the Ice Age brought on an expanded ecotone that invited conflict between competing, though related, species. Humans proved more adept than Neanderthals at changing with the evolution of the climate. The physical re-alignment also requires a social re-alignment, which is then a source of conflict. A slight change in history might have created a different view on environment and conflict among human species. Aboriginal peoples in Australia, Native Americans in North America, and the Ainu (a Caucasian people living on the island of Hokkaido in Japan) have often survived because of their isolation. What if a small population of Neanderthals survived? 188 Imagine if Neanderthals had been able to establish a stronghold in an isolated part of Siberia and learn some of the human technologies they no doubt encountered. It is thought that Neanderthal weapons were incapable of killing a mammoth, and this was a great advantage for the humans, especially weapons such as the Clovis-point spear. Perhaps if the Neanderthal survived in this area under their control, so too would the mammoths. Eventually, Neanderthal technology would have advanced. Perhaps the Ice Age lasted somewhat longer or a disease set back human advance. Perhaps over time Neanderthals might have adopted some basic human tool and agricultural technologies. Siberia has been relatively unpopulated until modern times. For millennia, Neanderthals would have faced limited contact all but Aboriginal Sinoid peoples. As Russia grew as a nation and spread east towards Vladivostok, the tsar’s troops would have encountered them and would no doubt be militarily superior. After a few violent encounters in which the Neanderthals would lose badly, they may send a representative to sue for peace and the Neanderthal’s swore allegiance to the tsar. The Neanderthals would begin learning more from humans and began moving out of their autonomous region to other parts of Russia. They would eventually learn to wear modern clothes and groom by modern standards. The Neanderthals might have been protected under the Communist rule which may have regarded them as the ultimate proletariat. When the Soviet Union broke up, the region like others could declare independence. The country of perhaps “Neanderthalia” would emerge and seek admittance to the United Nations. Current discussion about climate change and the potential for conflict is set on the time horizon of decades. Many researchers acknowledge this is an insufficient time horizon for 189 analysis. The role of climate change in the Viking story is an epic that stretched out over 500 years. This case certainly gives pause to conceiving of such problems over time and the range of impacts and complexities that occur along the way. Such a focus on mega-trends of environment and conflict interaction also becomes more complex. This complexity has a multi-disciplinary flavor and involves considerable feedback between the differing parts of the complexity. Micro-trends will have less of this complexity and breadth and tend to focus on a small set of key variables. Such problems are decomposable or related to other problems. That is, key cases of environment and conflict can be grouped by the time horizon of the problem, especially if we start from a mega-trend issues that spans 500 years. First, as the findings indicate, there were macro-level climate changes trends even within that larger period, that could be broken down into cycles of 100, 50 or even 25 years. Second, the macro-level changes in climate no doubt included many micro-level impacts where the differential impact would reveal differing implications for humans. These impacts can be either beneficial or detrimental in terms of human subsistence and economic value. For example, warmer weather in Greenland no doubt meant more trees could grow, which is a benefit as a key building and fuel material. On the other hand, warmer weather may well have caused the walrus to move further north, since it enjoys the colder weather, and no longer available as a food source. There movement would remove a potential food source and force social and technological change. In the end, the Vikings had little impact on the course of events in North America. With the exception of some limited technology transfer, the epochal meetings of these two peoples, the uniting of humanity once again, the actual connection of east to west would take another 500 years to really compete. “In summary, the Norse Sagas indicate that the Aboriginal People 190 whom the Vikings met in Vinland wished to trade, but that violence ensued as a result of Norse attacks. There is no evidence that the Norse had any recognizable effect on the aboriginal groups they encountered in Newfoundland and Labrador. The Vikings were simply too few to deal with the people who resisted the invasion for their homeland. Non-metal weaponry was not significantly superior to the arrows that used stone.”56 Imagine if events had been different. When the Vikings came to Newfoundland, the weather was warmer and was not to turn cold until several hundred years later. There was ample time to move further south, to build up systems of transportation, food production and infrastructure, and to survive the mini-Ice Age around 1500. At that time, Europe’s population was rapidly growing, and their level of technology was increasing. At this time, the military technology of the two was about the same. This technological growth is evident from the disparity in military technology at the time of Columbus between the two. “The Vikings looked pretty fierce but they really had no technological advantage at all in military terms.” 57 All of this suggests that the Vikings needed new waves of emigrants to sustain their colonies. Europe too was weakened by the Dark Ages and the Plague. It took several hundred years but Europeans populations recovered and technology started to become ascendant in the society. “By the 14th Century, things had changed. Due to technological innovations in agriculture, such as the three-field planting system, the population of Europe had risen to a level that it had not seen in millennia, during the Roman Empire. This growth is despite the "Little Ice 56 Kevin McAleese, ed., Full Circle, St. Johns, Newfoundland, Newfoundland Museum, 2000, p. 47. 57 Kevin McAleese, ed., Full Circle, p. 21. 191 Age," a period of climactic deterioration and generally colder weather, which would not end until the mid-18th Century.”58 “The irony about the fate of the Greenland Vikings is that if they could just have hung on for another 80 years, they would have probably been all right.” 59 European technology, especially military, made enormous advances in this period and this technology would naturally “escape” to them from other Europeans. Their linkage to this group of nations who were undergoing a Renaissance of change would have given them an enormous advantage over the native peoples of North America. This advantage would have become clear long before 1492. Viking expansion may have advanced down the eastern sea board of the United States and voyages to South America would not be out of the question. The development of a Norse society in North America in the year 1000 could have produced a different history. An influx of settlers armed with these new technologies would have created Norse colonies of culture and life style, somewhat of a cross between the Old and New Europeans. Imagine a series of Norse colonies along the east coast of North America already in place when Columbus arrived to the south. If things were only slightly different, the United States and Canada might be speaking Norwegian or Swedish today. The conflict with the Neanderthals was a global cycle of climate change that spanned perhaps at least 10,000 years. The Viking expansion and contraction occurred within a smaller scope of change and thus a smaller cycle of history, perhaps 500 years. This case of the shift in the Sahel is an even smaller cycle of perhaps 20 years. This telescoping of the event (in the number of years it takes) and matching it to the consequence (the changes to an area and the 58 59 Gottfried. Kevin McAleese, ed., Full Circle, p. 27. 192 people in it as a result) can be a useful lens from which to judge a variety of environment and conflict issues These “modern cases” evoke issues that have roots in thousands of years of conflict between human beings over resources. Whether it is general conflict, resource conflict, or used to wage war, the environment is a constantly recurring theme. A similar case involves the Tuareg in a region near the Fulani-Zarma dispute.60 They came into conflict with a farming people, the Gada koi, who were supported by the government of Mali. The Fulani live in the Sahel but the Tuareg live in the even drier climate of the Sahara. The Tuareg, a people related to the Berbers, played an important historic role as traders between Arab and African worlds, but also were pastoralists. Tuareg independence was only lost to the French in Mali and Niger in the late 19th and early 20th century. Land reform programs in Mail in the 1960s encroached on traditional Tuareg lands and a guerilla war ensured with a severe government reaction. Many Tuareg fled to other parts of the Sahara. A peace treaty was signed in 1991 and violence generally stopped around 1996. A drought -- a seeming contradiction in a dry land -- between 1968 and 1974 worsened the situation for the Tuareg. Over-grazing of fragile Sahel lands exacerbated the problem. Animosity continued to simmer and conflict broke out again in the early 1990s. The patterns are periodic in nature, and related to the “harmattan”, a period from May to September that brings strong winds that move sand and lead to soil erosion. 2. Arable Land Ann Hershkowitz, “The Tuareg in Mali and Niger: The Role of Desertification in Violent Conflict “, ICE Case Studies, Number 151, August 2005. http://www.american.edu/ted/ice/tuareg.htm. 60 193 Arable land has been in great demand since the Agricultural Revolution. The cases of the abandonment of Mohenjo-Daro, the decline of the Mayan Empire and the genocide in Rwanda reveal instances over time where the struggle for control of arable land was exacerbated by ethnic and sectarian strife. Arable land cases fall under the attribute “territory” is the context of the conflict link in the ICE data base. The arable land cases have a significant relational factor and are part of longstanding tension. The causal representation of these cases is best represented by the red loop in the conflict sub-system. The dominance of the stalemate outcome in this loop is extremely central to behavior. The stalemate is intrusive because it lasts an extremely long period and revolves around long-standing territorial disputes. The disputes are accompanied by demographic shifts that gradually increase the tension in the cases as the arable land resources become limited. These cases are more medium term in duration, focused on tropical habitats and changes in them, and involve demarcation of border issues. This variable also has a key role in the environment sub-system noted in the causal system (refer back to Figure III-1 and Figure III-2). This loop of causality includes border conflict issues, temperate areas, and stalemate outcomes. 194 Figure IV-4 Arable Land Causal System (the Red Loop in the Conflict Sub-System) a. Mohenjo-Daro’s Decline, the Loss of Arable Land and Aryan Invasions Time Period Class Category Type Ancient Environmental Breadth General Resources Climate Change The end of the Ice Age and the extraordinary period of global warming about 10,000 years ago produced social impacts in South Asia, as it had in other parts of the world. As in the Middle East, “the melting of ice from the snow capped peaks of the Himalayas began ten 195 thousand years ago. The trickling flow of clean and pure water merged into streams and currents and turned into confluence of streams that turned into rivers flowing down the slopes into the plains of northwest India. The fertile area came to be other “edens” that emerged with early urban settlement patterns along the banks of lush and fertile rivers. This is especially true in South Asia where the Saraswati, Indus, Yamuna, Ravi, Beas, Sutlej, and Ganges are a few rivers that can be named as having formed out of this melting of ice caps.”61 (This was also the case in the Middle East.) As the ice receded, humans advanced. “With the ending of the Ice Age, around 10,000 years ago, Himalayan glaciers melted and flowed into the rivers of South Asia. One recipient was the Saraswati River, now a lost river that at one time supported many early city-states. Due to earthquakes and great floods it changed its course over six times.” With the end of glacier melt and a drying climate the river began to dry up and no longer flowed into the Arabian Sea. The many cities that developed along the river eventually expired. The only cities to develop outside of this region were Harappa and Mohenjo-daro. 62 From 8,000 BC, the Mesolithic age began and spread into the Indian sub-continent around 4,000 BC. During this time, hunters used sharp and pointed tools for hunting and killing fast-moving animals. The beginning of plant cultivation appeared. The Chotanagpur Plateau, central India and south of the Krishna River are various Mesolithic sites on the sub-continent. Neolithic (New Stone Age) settlements date back to 4,000 BC. 63 These cultures evolved into the Indus Valley or Harappan civilization. These were the Dravidian people. Dr. CS Shah August 5, 2001, “Indo-Aryans and Their History”, Copyright bojoli.com, Accessed Dec. 29, 2001 62 BJP Today, June 1-15, 2003 - Vol. 12, No. 11, Basudeb Ghose, “Redisovering Vedic Era”, http://www.bjp.org/today/june_0103/june_2_p_10.htm, accessed August 5, 2004. 63 Copyright © 1998 by Frank E. Smith. All rights reserved. (See on the web) 61 196 Urban settlements began in South Asia as they had in the Middle East, originating in river valleys. There was considerable technology transfer over a long period of time that included ideas of social organization. “Sometime around 6000 BCE a nomadic herding people settled into villages in the mountainous region just west of the Indus River. There they grew barley and wheat using sickles with flint blades, and they lived in small houses built with adobe bricks. After 5000 BCE [Before the Common Era], the climate in their region changed, bringing more rainfall, and apparently, they were able to grow more food, for they grew in population. They began domesticating sheep, goats and cows and then water buffalo. After 4000 BCE they began to trade beads and shells with distant areas in central Asia and areas west of the Khyber Pass and they began using bronze and working metals.”64 A wet period of climate followed and produced a myriad of environmental impacts. “The climate changed again, bringing still more rainfall, and on the nearby plains, through which ran the Indus River, grew jungles inhabited by crocodiles, rhinoceros, tigers, buffalo and elephants. By around 2600 B.C., a civilization as sophisticated as Mesopotamia and Egypt had begun on the Indus Plain and surrounding areas...Along the Indus and other major rivers in South Asia, there were seventy or more cities. The composition or peoples of cities varied with specialty.”65 The arrival of cities coincided with the arrival of new building techniques and the creation of houses (that replaced tents which had replaced caves). The invention of building technologies allowed humans to create their own personalized caves at locations nearby to food sources. “One of these cities was Mohenjo-Daro, on the Indus River some 250 miles north of the Arabian Sea, and another city was Harappa, 350 miles to the north on a tributary river, the Ravi. “Antiquity”, Chapter 6, India, Hinduism, and Religious Rebellion, to 480 BCE: The Lost Civilization of Mohenjo-Daro. 65 “Antiquity”, Chapter 6, India, Hinduism, and Religious Rebellion, to 480 BCE: The Lost Civilization of Mohenjo-Daro. 64 197 Each of these two cities had populations as high as around 40,000.”66 The infrastructure of the city used of the newest building technology – bricks. Most buildings in these early cities were constructed with manufactured, standardized, baked bricks. Over the centuries, the need for wood for brick making (for making a fire to bake the bricks) denuded the countryside and may have contributed to the downfall of the cities (through a declining energy supply). The Harappans used the same size bricks and standard weights as the people of Mohenjo-Daro, indicating some degree of technology transfer and standardization.”67 The technology of agricultural production that began along the Tigris-Euphrates River spread more rapidly to the east than the west. South Asian, Southeast Asian and East Asian cities arose and adopted similar subsistence production systems based on large, fertile river valleys that enjoyed seasonal fluctuations of flooding. Specialization led to surpluses and trade and thus the development of external relations. “Wheat, barley and the date palm were cultivated; animals were domesticated; and the cotton textiles, ivory and copper were exported to Mesopotamia, and possibly China and Burma in exchange for silver and other commodities. Production of several metals such as copper, bronze, lead and tin also began.” 68 The Aryan peoples began moving westward from their home in steppes of Eurasia sometime around 2000 BC. Their lifestyle was nomadic, based on raising cattle. Aryan peoples entered the Punjab about 1500 BC from the grasslands and steppes of central Asia and conquered the darker-skinned Dravidian peoples (and others). Over time, the Aryans drove further into the subcontinent and pushed the dark-skinned Dravidians to the south. The Aryans were illiterate, “Antiquity”, Chapter 6, India, Hinduism, and Religious Rebellion, to 480 BCE: The Lost Civilization of Mohenjo-Daro. 67 HARP - Harappa Archaeological Research Project. http://www.harappa.com/. 68 HARP - Harappa Archaeological Research Project. http://www.harappa.com/. 66 198 pastoral, spoke an Indo-European language. The Aryans created the basis for India’s caste system that favored them over the Dravidians. Aryans were mostly herders of animals and had little in the way of settled city areas. The Aryans replaced or melded with the earlier Dravidian cultures and imposed a new society. Extensive excavations at the key cities of Harappa and Mohenjo-daro suggest that Dravidian culture was fully in place by 2500 BC. The Dravidians were among the first people to enter India in the Indus River valley and found huge forests. “Clearing the forests over the centuries was an epic project and one that is still preserved in Indian literature.”69 “Mohenjo-Daro was a city located on the south of Modern Pakistan in the Sind Province, on the right bank of the Indus River.” Meaning “mound of the dead”, it was one of the major cities of the Harappan civilization. The city was abandoned around 1700 BC around the time of the Aryan invasions. It is thought that the underlying cause was a change in the course of the Indus River.70 There is little indication to show an integration of the cultures but this fact is disputed. Some scholars believe “Harappa was more or less a dead end (at least as far as we know); the Aryans adopted almost nothing of Harappan culture.”71 Was there some catastrophic event that destroyed the city more suddenly? Geologists suggest that earthquakes in southern Pakistan, through rock slides, could have dammed the Indus River and prevented it from running down to the Indian Ocean. The Indus River would have “Ancient India: The Aryans”, accessed August 6, 2004. ”Mohenjo-Daro”, http://www.mnsu.edu/emuseum/archaeology/sites/middle_east/mohenjo_daro.html, accessed August 5, 2004. 71 “Ancient India: The Aryans”, http://www.wsu.edu/`dee/ANCINDIA/ARYANS.HTM, accessed August 6, 2004. 69 70 199 broken its banks and flooded the surrounding plains, submerging many of the fields.” 72 It may have also drowned the city and people of Mohenjo-Daro. Mahenjo-Daro was a key Dravidian center and built with conflict in mind. “Defensively Mohenjo-daro was a well fortified city. Though it did not have city walls it did have towers to the west of the main settlement, and defensive fortifications to the south.”73 The city was built to be a military and commercial center. The early Rigvedic period last from roughly 1700 to 1000 BC and spawned the earliest literature in the region according to the Rig Veda poems. This period also initiated the caste systems. The Aryans started with only two classes, noble and common. After conquering the darker skinned Dravidians they “added a third: the Dasas, or “darks” and a fourth for the priests of the new religion.74 In the Later Vedic Period that lasted from 1000 to 500 BC, the Aryans cut through the forests and reached the Ganges River. During this time the great epics, the Mahabharata and the Ramayana, were written. The Indus Valley civilization of the Dravidians lasted from about 2500 BC to 1700 BC and the invasion of the Aryans. The Aryans were aided by other factors. “It is possible that the periodic shifts in the courses of the major rivers of the valley may have deprived the cities of flood waters necessary for their surrounding agricultural lands.” The food shortage led to structural weakness and vulnerability to Aryans raiders.75 Perhaps the wound was self inflicted. “People dammed the water along the lower portion of the Indus River without realizing the consequences: temporary but ruinous flooding up river, flooding that would explain “History & Culture, Moen-Jo-Daro”, http://www.rpi.edu/dept/union/paksa/www/ Meghan A Porter. 74 “Ancient India: The Aryans”, accessed 8/6/2004. 75 Encyclopedia.com, http://www.encyclopedia.com/html/section/India_history.asp, “From the Indus Valley to the Fall of the Mughal Empire”. Accessed August 8, 2004, 72 73 200 the thick layers of silt thirty feet above the level of the river at the site of Mohenjo-Daro. Another suspected cause is a decline in rainfall and an accompanying drop off in the abundance of food. This could also indicate an insufficient military strength and will to secure food supplies from distant areas. Whatever the causes, people abandoned the city in search of food. Later, a few people of a different culture settled in some of the abandoned cities such as Mohenjo-Daro, in what archaeologists call a "squatter period." Then the squatters disappeared. Knowledge of the Mohenjo-Daro civilization died -until archaeologists discovered the civilization in the twentieth century.” The changing environmental periods produced substantial impacts on the society. “Nearing the end of the Indus Valley Civilization, the cities began to wither and the strong economy slowly deteriorated. Most likely the intermittent floods put an end to this civilization. Floods wiped out the irrigation system that supplied water to the crops, and many of the buildings were smothered.”76 Mohenjo-daro may have been a victim of its own success. “Another theory suggests that the decline was led by population boom. Houses became increasingly overcrowded; increasingly, buildings and even courtyards were sub-divided. Space available for occupation diminished due to the steadily rising levels of the Indus.”77 The domestication of the horse in Eurasia provided a critical step in both political and technological development in South Asia and may have been the force behind Aryan military power. Originating in the steppes of Asia, the horse with a stirrup provided a considerable economic and military advantage. Some scholars believe that the horse was the key to the 76 See on the web also Economics of the Indus Valley Civilization, by Chad Greenwood and Wheeler 1966: pp. 76-9.” 77 “History & Culture”, Moen-Jo-Daro, http://www.rpi.edu/dept/union/paksa/www/ 201 Mongol’s ability to create the largest empire in human history around the 13th century. Much of the later military domination of the New World by the Old World is attributable to the differential natural endowments of the Middle Eastern and American eco-systems. This is especially true in the case of the horse. The extinction of potential animal domesticates among the Pleistocene mega fauna rendered the American Indians vulnerable to military conquest by European adventurers mounted on horseback.78 Drawing from rather mundane inventions such as the stirrup and the animal-driven plow, the chariot was the next great military invention. One factor in the fall of Mohenjo-Daro was the vast migrations of chariot peoples in the 2nd millennium BC. These people’s possessed superior military resources and technology compared to the Dravidians. This technology gradually spread through trade. For example, during King Solomon's reign over Israel (970-931 B.C.), chariots and horses were imported from Egypt and exported to Asia Minor.79 The Bharatiya Janata Part (BJP) became the opposition leader in India in 1991 and “took power in four key Indian states. The BJP-led opposition ordered the rewriting of history textbooks so that they refer to a glorious Hindi past and denigrate Muslim kings.”80 The BJP believe that it was the Dravidians who civilized the nomadic Aryans. “Hence, our alternative explanation is that Barbarians came to India from outside and established Aryan civilization by coming in contact with Indian or Hindu Aryans.”81 78 Harris, Culture, People, Nature, p. 177. Bible, 'They imported a chariot from Egypt for six hundred shekels of silver, and a horse for a hundred and fifty. They also exported them to all the kings of the Hittites and of the Arameans,” 1 Kings 10:29 (NIV). 80 Ajay Singh, “A Real Textbook Case: The BJP has begun to rewrite India’s history”, Asiaweek online, http://www.asiaweek.com/asiaweek/99/0326/natt7.html, accessed August 5, 2004. 81 BJP Today, June 1-15, 2003 - Vol. 12, No. 11, Basudeb Ghose, “Redisovering Vedic Era”, http://www.bjp.org/today/june_0103/june_2_p_10.htm, accessed August 5, 2004. 79 202 “The BJP contends Aryans were the original inhabitants of the entire country and they were the founders of the two main Hindu cultures, Vedic and Harappian.” Archaeological finds suggest that Aryans were related only to the Vedic culture. The BJP perspective intends to provide a unified history of all Indians, both north and south (generally Aryans versus Dravidian peoples). This is currently aimed at identifying Indian Muslims as foreigners and latter day invaders. This view would be diluted if their origins were from Aryans, who themselves were foreigners.82 The understanding of migration into the Indian sub-continent has a long history and a long period of debate. “British, Germans, Europeans as a whole, and interestingly Indian intellectuals in British ruled India as well, believed that about 1500 BC a nomadic people, called Aryans, invaded northwest frontiers of India, coming from the Central Asia or some part of Europe through the passes like Khyber in Hindu Kush range and defeated and drove away the local inferior Dravidians.”83 To some extent, the British saw themselves as the inheritors of the Aryan tradition. b. The Decline of the Mayans Period Class Category Type Middle Social Type Source Resources Arable Land Ajay Singh, “A Real Textbook Case: The BJP has begun to rewrite India’s history”, Asiaweek online, http://www.asiaweek.com/asiaweek/99/0326/natt7.html, accessed August 5, 2004. 83 Dr. C.S. Shah August 5, 2001, “Indo-Aryans and Their History”, bojoli.com, accessed December 29, 2001. 82 203 Climates change and the societies that survive in them develop quite calibrated survival instruments. If the climate changes or if the society does, as in increases in population or technology, the system of balance is easily upset. Jared Diamond uses microclimate impacts on societal development in his book Guns, Germs, and Steel to illustrate the consequences.84 These microclimates may often represent desired ecotones. Diamond’s work is similar to that of archaeologist Carole Crumley’s. She finds that ecotones correspond to behavioral limits of certain cultural and ethnic groups. For example, Bantu groups in Southern Africa were able to thrive in areas with heavy summer rains, but further south with the Mediterranean-like climates, their agricultural techniques were quite ineffective. Technologies fit the climate. As climates change, these technologies and economic subsistence systems may fail or are forced to undergo change. Several scholars have discussed the role of climate in history including Durant and Durant and Braudel.85 Climatic regimes or “ecotones” define not only environmental systems but also the cultural systems that accompany them, especially those based on agriculture. Crumley examined changes in Europe’s major ecotone regimes (oceanic, continental and Mediterranean) from 1200 to 500 BC. The oceanic climates favored the Celts and tribes of northern Europe while the Mediterranean climates regimes favored the Romans. Their cultural and agricultural systems could effectively operate in one regime but not the other. Crumley points out that change in political boundaries mirrored change in climate. People moved to the Mayan lowlands about 8,000 BC and farming began around 2,000 BC. Researchers put the range of population from four to 14 million, rather large centers of 84 85 Jared Diamond, Guns, Germs, and Steel. Durant and Durant (1968) and Braudel (1973). 204 civilization for that time in history. Around 800 AD, prolonged drought hit the region and within 100 years, the area was for the most part depopulated.86 The shift in climate that occurred over the last portion of the first millennium (700 to 1,000 A.D.) led to a warming trend especially in the Northern Hemisphere. This allowed the Vikings to move to Iceland, Greenland and Newfoundland in the New World. But the warming up north saw a parallel warming in the south. This warming was not beneficial to humans (and other beings that rely on water), and periods of heat and drought settled in across Central American. Due to the shift in climate to a drier pattern, there was an overexploitation of the rainforest ecosystem, on which the Maya depended for food. The changing temperature patterns during this period in the Yucatan were part of a widespread shift. The period 790-950 AD was characterized by “widespread cold throughout the Northern Hemisphere and drought in the Mayan lowlands. California tree rings from the White Mountains show a sharp drop in temperatures from AD 790 to 950.” 87 This evidence mirrors other findings in Sweden and Greenland. Thus, the climate changes produce entirely different kinds of behavior for Vikings and Mayans (see earlier Viking and later Anasazi case studies). Hansen points to an earlier such collapse of civilizations in the area around 150-200 AD, and others such as Bruce Dahlin and Richard Adams support this view. Perhaps these long-term changes in climate, which alter ecotone types and boundaries resonate differently in different parts of the world, also resonate across time. The Mayan civilization stretched though the Mexican Yucatan, Guatemala, Belize, and into portions of El Salvador and Honduras. By the year 500 AD they had developed advanced writing, agricultural, astronomy, and other breakthroughs during a time when Europe was in the 86 87 Culbert, p. 3. Drennan, 1984, pp. 288-289. 205 Dark Ages. But the civilization abruptly collapsed long before the Spaniards arrived in the Americas. The Mayan case is a classic example of overshoot and collapse, where the technology, size of population and intensity of agriculture overwhelmed the capacity of the land to hold its arability. Declining agricultural yields, coupled with dry climactic conditions, precipitated the collapse of the human system. It was not only a collapse of human but also of plants and animals in the system as it went through a transition phase. Richardson Gill believes that the “collapse occurred of external natural circumstances that the Mayans neither controlled nor caused.” 88 In both the priesthood and the ruling class, nepotism was apparently the prevailing system for institutional power of the Maya. Primogeniture (the choosing of a first born son as an heir) was the form for choosing new kings. After the birth of an heir, the kings performed a sacrifice by drawing blood from his own body as an offering to his ancestors. A human sacrifice marked the new king's installation in office. To be a king, one must have taken a captive to serve as victim in the accession ceremony. The ritual killing was part of nature’s cycle. The religious explanation that upheld the institution of kingship and the basis for authority was that Maya rulers were necessary for continuance of the “Universe”.89 External and internal warfare was a key factor in Mayan civilization. There were ongoing wars between peoples; torture and human sacrifice were a regular part of social practices, including religious holidays, sporting events and building dedications.90 Blood was a constant part of Mayan society. To start a war, the king would impale himself (usually through the penis) with a sharp object (like the stinger of the sting ray) and show his blood to the troops. 88 89 90 Culbert, p. 4. Glenn Welker, http://www.indians.org/welker/natlit.htm. Glenn Welker, earthlink.net, http://www.indians.org/welker/natlit.htm. 206 Captured enemies were decapitated and their heads used to play a ball-like play sport. It was the captain of the victorious team however that was the sacrifice. Ritual execution was a norm if the crops failed or to counter a variety of other societal maladies. Blood letting was partly a means to control population, but it was also symbolic of a society with endemic, ongoing violence. Uncontrolled warfare was probably one of the main consequences of the decline in soil arability. In the centuries after 250 AD, the start of the Classic period of Mayan civilization, the occasional skirmishes grew into vicious wars accompanied by scorched earth polices, where the total existence of the enemy was burnt and destroyed. Arthur Demarest's Mayan excavations suggested two distinct periods: before 761 AD and after. Before then, wars were well-orchestrated battles to seize dynastic power and procure royal captives for very public and ornate executions. But after 761, he notes, "wars led to wholesale destruction of property and people, reflecting a breakdown of social order comparable to modern Somalia." In that year, the king and warriors of nearby Tamarindito and Arroyo de Piedra besieged Dos Pilas. "They defeated the king of Dos Pilas and probably dragged him back to Tamarindito to sacrifice him."91 One explanation for the abrupt change was the intense rivalries for power among its members. These rivalries, alongside shrinking food resources, perhaps exploded into civil war and triggered the social collapse and state failure. Archaeologist T. Patrick Culbert reported that pollen found in underground debris suggests there were almost no tropical forest left at the time of the Mayan collapse. A sediment sample taken from the Cariaco Basin off Venezuela in the Caribbean Sea shows a series of three 91 Demarest. 207 massive droughts led to the decimation of the Mayan civilization.92 Mayan communities relied on a system of canals and artificial reservoirs. This provided them with power and control over the people, as water is almost the only source of life for a farming community. Sediment cores taken last year from the bottom of a lake on Mexico's Yucatan peninsula indicate that a series of extended droughts coincided with major cultural upheavals among the Maya inhabitants of the area.93 Between 500 B.C. and A.D. 1000, major dry spells occurred about every 200 years, including a decades-long drought that coincided with the collapse of socalled Classic Maya civilization in the 9th century. Water shortages played a role in the collapse: Vernon Scarborough found evidence of sophisticated reservoir systems in Tikal and other landlocked Maya cities. Since those cities depended on stored rainfall during the four dry months of the year, they would have been extremely vulnerable to a prolonged drought. Richardson Gill believes there was more to the collapse than simple drought. In fact, it was a sustained period of a dry climate. "Sunny days, in and of themselves, don't kill people…but when people run out of food and water, they die."94 Overpopulation was another problem. Based on data collected from about 20 sites, Culbert estimates that there were perhaps 200 people per sq km in the southern lowlands of Central America. "This is an astonishingly high figure; it ranks up there with the most heavily Gerald H. Haug, Detlef Günther, Larry C. Peterson, Daniel M. Sigman, Konrad A. Hughen, and Beat Aeschlimann, [need title], Science Magazine (Volume 299, Number 5613, Issue 14, Mar 2003, pp. 1731-1735. 93 “Lake sediment tells of Maya droughts”, Science News, January 6, 2001, Vol. 159 Issue 1, p. 15. 94 Richardson B. Gill, The Great Maya Droughts: Water, Life, and Death , 2000, University of New Mexico Press. 92 208 populated parts of the pre-industrial world. And the north may have been even more densely populated."95 These urban areas were reliant on a few major sources of fresh water. Was the socio-economic system that developed the cause of the society success and eventual failure? “One of the most elegant solutions attributes the Maya collapse to a collapse of the environment’s carrying capacity due to population pressure in a swidden subsistence system: an expanding population leads to decreasing fallow times which in turn produce decreased yields per hectare and increased grass invasion.” 96 Some however question this theory because, with climate change, grass invasion is very short-term and the habitat quickly reverts to a forest. Second, the Mayans had a much more complicated system of economic exchange and subsistence strategies than just simple swidden techniques would suggest.97 One inevitable consequence of overpopulation and a disintegrating agricultural system would be malnutrition--and in fact, some researchers have preliminary evidence of undernourishment in children's skeletons from the late Classic period. Given all the stresses on Maya society, Culbert believes that what ultimately sent it over the edge "could have been something totally trivial--two bad hurricane seasons, say, or a crazy king. An enormously strained system like this could have been pushed over in a million ways." Christopher Jones says that “at Tikal, the collapse appears to have occurred over many decades…Tikal was weakened by the shifting of trade from inland rivers and trails it controlled 95 Culbert. John W. G. Lowe, The Dynamics of Apocalypse: A Systems Simulation of the Classic Maya Collapse, Albuquerque: University of New Mexico Press, 1985, p. 46. 97 John W. G. Lowe, The Dynamics of Apocalypse, 1985, p. 46. 96 209 to maritime routes dominated by rivals on the coast of what is now southern Mexico. Drought, warfare, and environmental degradation may slowly have finished it off.”98 Dry conditions beginning about 760 AD are evident in the Cariaco Ti record by two large inferred rainfall minima. Over the next 40 years, there appears to have been a slight long-term drying trend. This culminated in roughly a decade of more intense aridity that, within the limits of the present chronology, began at about 810. Drought again began about 860, indicating a short but apparently severe event. Finally, low contents in the Cariaco Basin sequence indicate the onset of yet another drought at about 910. We suggest that the rapid expansion of Maya civilization from 550 to 750 A.D. during climatically favorable (relatively wet) times resulted in a population operating at the limits of the environment's carrying capacity, leaving Maya society especially vulnerable to multiyear droughts…The control of artificial water reservoirs by Maya rulers may also have played a role in both the florescence and the collapse of Maya civilization. Noting that the scale of artificial water control seems to correlate with the degree of political power of Maya cities, it has been suggested.99 Chichen Itza (“the mouth of the Itza’s well”) was a Mayan city is located in the Yucatan region of modern Mexico. The city evolved in two stages. There was a classic Mayan period that lasted from about 400 to 850 AD. The old city was built in part because of a fresh water cavern nearby (a cenote) and the culture was based on Chaac the rain god. With the decline of the Mayan Empire this city too was gradually abandoned, although visited for religious ceremonies and burials, by its former inhabitants and their descendants. . Colin Woodard, “Unraveling the lost world of the Maya”, Christian Science Monitor, October 26, 2000, Vol. 92 Issue 234, p. 13. 99 L.J. Lecero, “The collapse of the Classic Maya: A case for the role of water control”, American Anthropologist 104 (3): 814-826 September 2002. 98 210 The city had a rebirth and was rebuilt after the invasion in 850 by the Toltec, a people from central Mexico. The Toltec introduced new technology and architecture styles and a new culture based on Kukulcan, the serpent. A second of invaders wave ruled the city in 1150, a dynasty which lasted until 1300. The city of Mayapan took over Chichen Itza and ruled until 1400 when it was abandoned. The Pyramid of Kukulcan sits at the center of Chichen Itza. It is four sided structure each with 91 steps. A structure at the top represents a single day and the total together is of course 365 days. (The Mayan calendar has special short “month” to deal with leap years.) Certain dates such as the equinox illuminate the inner chamber of the pyramid and the serpent carved into the rock (see Figure-IV-5). 211 Figure IV-5 Chichen Itza and the Kukulcan Pyramid Without the large domestic fauna in the New World, such as oxen, horses, or camels, that were abundant and domesticated in the Old World, the Mayans had no animals to provide for bulk transport. This had a crucial impact on the economics of food trade during the drought. Robert Drennan calculates that, with some overhead and profit taken into consideration it was not worthwhile to trade over distances exceeding 165 miles, using human transportation power. Assuming a round-trip basis, at that point the transporter -- a person – would need to eat most of the food that he or she carried simply to survive.100 Not only were there these longer-term changes in temperature patterns, there are also a great amount of variation in precipitation within the Yucatan regime ecotone. This created “haves” and “have nots” and a powerful push factor that led people to move to other far-off lands. “It would appear, then, that the severe drought was coincident with the final abandonment 100 Drennan, 1984, p. 107. 212 of Teotihuacan and, as we have seen, conflict, famine, and drought often go hand in hand. A severe drought, then, does not rule out the possibility that conflict may also have occurred as part of the complex of effects driven by drought.”101 State failure was not the cause for famine or the social collapse. There were several Mayan states during this period and the states were never a monolithic empire or system.102 Following Morton Kaplan’s classification, they included examples of both bipolar and multipolar systems of international relations. The causes no doubt are similar to causes for state failure in the modern era.103 Arthur Demarest was able to head a team to translate the some recovered glyphs, and he found that "Rather than being an independent actor, as previously thought, it now appears that Dos Pilas was a pawn in a much bigger battle," said Demarest. "In today's terms, Dos Pilas was the … Vietnam of the Maya world [at the time close to its collapse], used in a war that was actually between two superpowers." The two superpowers at this time were Tikal (northern Guaremala) and Calakmul (southern Mexico), separated from each other by about 60 miles. The inscriptions indicated that Dos Pilas was a “puppet” state for years. Most experts point to the environmental aspects of the decline. Culbert believes that "the Maya were overpopulated and they overexploited their environment and millions of them died.” Scholars differ on how far one can generalize about the Mayan experience and its lessons for today. Culbert adds that “knowledge isn't going to solve the modern world situation, but it's silly to ignore it and say it has nothing to do with us.” Stephen Houston, on the other hand, says that 101 Million: 1993, pp. 32-33 in Gill p. 293. T. Patrick Culbert (ed.), The Classic Maya Collapse, Albuquerque: University of New Mexico Press, 1973, pp. 318-19. 103 Dan Esty, et asl, State Failure article. 102 213 one should be “careful of finding too many lessons in the Maya. They were a different society, and the glue that held them together was different."104 c. Conflict and Deforestation in Rwanda Time Class Category Type Modern Environmental Breadth General Resources Arable Land In Mohenjo-Daro and the Maya cities there were wars to control arable land during times of decline. This control involved elements of internal and external power struggles. One reason was over-population and over-exploitation of the land. Relative imbalances in supply and demand invite conflict when the carrying capacity is too little or when it is too much demand put on it. In Rwanda, over population and the decline in the quality of the soil are the results of both overuse of the land, deforestation and population growth. The resulting internecine warfare is Rwanda eerily reminiscent of what happened to the Mayas. In both instances, peoples that were from the same general ethnic group fought against one another. Is the Rwanda case the beginning of a new period or is it a continuation of what has been underway for many years? During three months in 1994, about 500,000-800,000 people died as a result of ethnic civil war and genocide in Rwanda.105 Rwanda’s population at the time was about 7.5 million and had a population growth rate of 3.7 percent per year. At this rate the population would double 104 Stephen Houston See Tara Mitchell,” Rwanda and Conflict”, ICE Case Studies, Spring 1997, http://www.american.edu/TED/ice/rwanda.htm. Accessed January 6, 2006. 105 214 every 18.9 years. It also had one of the highest population densities in Africa. Rwanda's geography and demography makes it susceptible to certain types of environmental problems. The degradation of Rwanda's natural resource base is a direct result of the limited arable land under stress from a rapidly growing population, where 90 percent are engaged in agriculture. Environmental scarcity was just one of the many reasons for the conflict in Rwanda and a problem that extends throughout central Africa into neighboring countries of Burundi, Uganda, Congo, among others. Rwanda's population lives and farms at elevations between 1300 and 2300 meters above sea level, which makes one think of Switzerland rather than tropical Africa. The mountain ranges and highland plateaus create the headland waters of the great Nile and Congo River basins. The land is fully used and every slope is intensively cultivated, even those with more than a 50 degree gradient. Intensive culture is especially prevalent where farms were subdivided several times, as they pass from one generation to another.106 In many cases, inherited farm lots are too small to support a family, averaging less than 1.2 hectares on average. This situation is reminiscent of the situation of the Irish just prior to the potato famine. In the early 19th century, a similar system created smaller and smaller land holdings for each generation Reliance on the potato for sustenance became so overwhelming that the famine killed and dispossessed millions. Both Irish and Rwandan farmers attempted to compensate by growing more than one crop on the same land in very short cycles, often without adding natural fertilizers to enrich the soil. Fragmentation of family holdings through generational transfers has led to a severe decline in agricultural production, resulting in malnutrition and soil exhaustion. Over population 106 See Theresa Purcell, “Irish Potato Famine and Trade”, TED Case Studies, http://www.american.edu/TED/ice/potato.htm 215 in Rwanda affects agricultural cycles by shortening fallow periods and an increasing intensity of soil use. With declining acreage, farms replaced ranches and the conversion of pastureland into cropland has decreased the production of animal manure, therefore decreasing soil fertility. Most land in Rwanda is already being used with exception of two sub-regions, the Nyabarngo Valley and Akagera Park, which are protected areas. Rwanda's remaining natural forests, the Nyungwe Forest, the Gishwati Forest and the Mukara Forest have a high degree of biological diversity and contain many animals, including mountain gorillas, ruwenzori colobus monkeys and golden chimpanzees. The natural forests in Rwanda fell from approximately 30 percent of the country around 1900 to 7 percent today. Before the 1990 civil war, Rwanda was annually importing 2.3 million cubic meters of wood and 91 percent of wood consumption was for domestic use. Rwanda's remaining natural forests have a high degree of biodiversity and rare animal species are threatened by the encroachment of refugees fleeing conflict. In the Nyungwe National Forest Reserve, where there are more than 190 species of trees, 275 species of birds, and 12 species of primates, is particularly vulnerable. Poaching has wiped out all the buffalo and most of the forest antelopes known as duikers. There are perhaps six elephants left in the Nyungwe Forest, although ironically Rwanda remains a leading exporter of elephant ivory. The difference is its role at a trans-shipment for ivory originating in other African countries. Rwanda is unique among African nations in terms of its basic character as a nation-state. Most African states were created based on artificial boundaries that were imposed as part of colonialism and most often these limits combined rather than isolated national ethnic groups and contiguous geographic boundaries. The people of Rwanda speak a single language, Kiyarwanda, and comprise a single nationality, Banyarwanda. Among them, there are three major groups: the 216 Hutu, Tutsi and Twa. In 1994, 90.4 percent were Hutu, 8.2 percent Tutsi, and 0.4 percent Twa. This monogenetic population is more similar to European rather than African countries. Belgium colonized Rwanda (as well as the Congo) and under colonial rule ethnic status defined occupation. (This tactic was adopted worldwide in creating colonial systems of governance. It is similar to the roles of Tamils and Sinhalese under the British rule in Sri Lanka.) In Rwanda, the Tutsis were generally ranchers or herders and the Hutus farmers. Belgium’s policy favored the minority Tutsi’s who were taller and lighter in color than the Hutus. The minority Tutsi became the haves and the majority Hutu became the have-nots. Resentment toward the Tutsi resulted in the Social Revolution of 1959, in which 150,000 Tutsi were either killed or fled to nearby Uganda, Burundi, Zaire, or Tanzania. The Belgians shifted support from the Tutsi ruling class to the majority Hutu at the time of Rwanda's independence in 1961. The new Hutu government installed a hierarchical administrative systems once again modeled after Rwanda's pre-independence system of government. Many of the same discriminatory practices from pre-independence were put into place against the Tutsi, including ethnic identity cards. In an attempt to ease social tensions and legitimize Hutu supremacy, the government resettled Hutu’s into new lands during the 1960's and 1970s under a program known as the “payasannat”. This program relocated over 80,000 farmers and their families and led to a mass exodus westward into both unsettled areas and Tutsi grazing lands. The government sponsored conversion of pastures into cultivated lands, further decreasing soil fertility. Tutsi grazing lands gradually became Hutu farming lands. Hutus advocated a policy promoting agricultural production needed to cope with the rapid population pressure and social unrest. 217 In 1990, the Hutu controlled government of President Habryarimana was under intense pressure. The Rwandan Patriotic Front (RPF), comprised mainly of Tutsi refugees from Zaire, invaded the country from Uganda. The Rwandan government based its legitimacy on its ability to provide for the basic needs of its population. But the economic situation in the country was deteriorating. A dramatic decrease in coffee and tea prices led to a downturn in the Rwandan economy. Ninety percent of export earnings came from 7 percent of the land where coffee and tea was grown. The state of the Rwandan economy in 1990 contributed to onset of the civil war. Rural poverty and environmental degradation were important factors in the eventual collapse of the Habryarimana regime. The regime ignored the many warning signs. Rwanda received sizeable foreign assistance, but the Habyarimana government channeled most of the aid into the northwest, the president's home region, further aggravating ethnic tensions with opposition parties mainly centered in the south. Tropical moist forests in Central Africa, home to both people and wildlife, are disappearing at the rate of nearly 2 million hectares each year. Farmers desperate for arable land enter protected forests to farm or to hunt animals. The demand to convert more land to agriculture led to the destruction of many habitats including Rwanda's wetlands (marais). The loss of these natural “sponges” resulted in flooding, loss of wildlife habitats and oversedimentation. Demographic pressures led to overuse of marginal land, shortened fallow periods, and conversion of pasture and natural forests into cropland. In April 1994, President Habyarimana's plane exploded shortly after take-off, an event that plunged the country into chaos. The resulting violence killed over 1 million people and displaced over 2 million. Evidence suggests that Hutus in the government were responsible for 218 the president's death. The Hutus feared the reforms called for in the Arusha Accords, which provided for a transitional government until scheduled elections in 1994, because they threatened the Hutu elite’s position of power within Rwanda. The death of Habaryimana was the spark that ignited the civil war. Environmental scarcity was used as a political tool to engage the rural population for violent purposes. A decade later the war still persists. Laurent Kabila led a rebellion in east Congo, supported by the Ugandans and Rwandans. Kabila had a long history as an insurrectionist. In 1960 Kabila aligned himself with the first president of the Congo, Patrice Lumumba whose left wing government won both friends and enemies. Lumumba’s government was overthrown by an officer, Colonel Mobutu, and Lumumba was later assassinated. In 1964, Kabila led one of three groups that launched counter-insurgencies in support of restoring Lumumba. His effort was supported by an Argentine doctor called Ernesto “Che” Guevara who quickly grew disillusioned with Lumumba. They were defeated the following year by Mobutu. More than 30 years later in 1996-97 the two old antagonists meet again. Kabila, supported by Rwanda and Uganda launched another rebellion. Kabila’s forces spread west rapidly and in a short period overthrew Mobutu. Kabila was allied with the Ugandans and Rwandans. A split among the victorious parties and a new rebellion threatened to unseat Kabila, who then allied with Zimbabwe, Angola and Namibia and forced a stalemate, with perhaps the eastern one-half the country outside his control. Kabila was assassinated by a body guard and was succeeded by his son, Joseph Kabila. That Rwandan and Congolese civil wars was combined into a single, larger struggle. Rwanda sought to eliminate the Hutu rebels (the Interhawame) who continued to operate from the Congo. Both Rwanda and Uganda sent military forces into the Congo and this led to a larger 219 regional conflict. Part of the conflict is ethnic but part is also the access to resources. Zimbabwe, Angola, and Namibia have military forces in the country in support of the Congo government. “Everywhere you look, the DRC is being plundered of its natural resources. The Rwandan army seized many of the region's tantalite mines. Tantalite is used in the production of gun barrels.”107 d. Comparing and Reflecting on the Arable Land Cases The relevant “ancient case” is that of Mohenjo-Daro and how shifting water resources led to an end of that society and how conflict was a culminating part of the process. The resources shift in turn with macro-level forces, such as climate. Similarities between the three cases are quite compelling. They illustrate situations involving healthy and growing human societies that were confronted by their own success, a threshold level of water availability, and climate changes that altered the honed economic survival equation. This is a classic model of an “overshoot” and “collapse” system models where human needs exceed the carrying capacity of the environment. The finds at Mohenjo-Daro and other archaeological sites across Pakistan and India are part of another debate that challenges this view of history. The BJP party in India, now the ruling party, has been rewriting school textbooks to downplay the importance and even the existence of the Aryan invaders from Afghanistan. They argue that the early inhabitants and creators of the modern civilization were native to the area. Modern battles are being fought in the interpretation of the history of environment and conflict. Controlling the past controls the future. Jamie Doward, “Mineral Riches Fuel War, Not the Poor”, The Observer, June 18, 2000. www.globalpolicy.org/security/docs/resourc1.htm 107 220 The end of the Ice Age spurred the growth of civilization in South Asia. The Indus culture followed the traditions of other great river basin peoples such as in Egypt and Mesopotamia. The system was based on irrigation and natural, silt-bearing floods that were annual and predictable.108 Cities were a triumph of idea and humanity over nature and represented the victory of humans over nature. A relic from Mohenjo-Daro has a seal that “shows a Gilgamesh-like figure standing between two upreared tigers and another man tackling a buffalo with a barbed spear".109 Lifestyles of the Mayans today and millennia ago are quite different. In southern Mexico, an area with generally good soil, it is now more profitable to loot ancient Mayan artifacts rather than to farm. This trend is also in part due to the availability of cheap corn imports from the United States after the signing of the NAFTA agreement. A large proportion of the stolen artifacts make their way to the United States and Europe via Cancun, Mexico. It is “a huge market and very well developed. Because of television and the Internet, more people are realizing the true value of these artifacts. And looting is a lot more profitable than subsistence farming."110 The past now has more value in the present, so there is a race between progress and history. At sites such as Chichen Itza, more is to be made from selling faux artifacts to tourists than from tilling the fields. Perhaps there was no huge collapse after all. By 930 AD, Mayan populations had fallen by an incredible 95 percent. Surely people would have begun migration from the area long before these levels of fatality were reached. New evidence shows that “drought spikes” hit the 108 Hawkes, 1973, p. 267. See on the web also Economics of the Indus Valley Civilization, by Chad Greenwood. 109 Hawkes, 1973, p. 268. 110 Colin Woodard, “Unraveling the lost world of the Maya”, The Christian Science Monitor, October 26, 2000, Vol. 92 Issue 234, p. 13. 221 area around 810, 860 and 910 AD. However, given that this occurred over many centuries, many scholars now believe that there was no collapse of the Mayans. Rather, “they simply moved: north to Yucatan and Mexico, eastward to Belize and to highland settlements on the edges of the rain forest.”111 They may have traveled and established new cities in new places, perhaps even heading north to the relatively less populated plains. The desire for arable land is a relative calculation, insofar as limited numbers of humans could survive in areas even where there was no arable land (assuming they could still engage in hunting and gathering). In both Mohenjo-Daro and in Mayan-ruled lands, growing populations so overwhelmed the amount of available land and conflict was a natural outcome. Given the invention of irrigation, the amount of arable land is also a function of the availability of fresh water. Irrigation was a means that humans in fact were able to exceed natural rainfall limitations on the amount of arable land and thus the natural limits to the size of population. Controlling the flow of water was a key part of the conflict. The Mohenjo-Daro case was one in which environmental changes led to human conflict. This was not unnatural, since part of the problem was the natural meandering of the Indus River that moved water supplies away from the urban center. The cases of Rwanda and the Mayans are instructive in a different manner: too much natural rain coupled with deforestation led to soil erosion and the decline in the fertility of the soil. In other words, the one natural advantage of the land became a disadvantage without the proper vegetative cover. In both cases, there was a domestic violence factor, which later became an international factor and thus had a type of cascading affect. Guy Gugliotta, “No Cataclysm Brought Down Mayans”, Washington Post, March 14, 2003, p. A13. 111 222 The events echo across the region as the historical ebb and flow of peoples overwhelms the relatively recent creation of national boundaries. The Rwandan civil war was the spark for not one but many conflicts. It marked a war between differing ethnic peoples that ignored boundaries. The collapsing eco-systems were not only limited to Rwanda. Environmental problems in one area exacerbated problems in other areas. 3. Forests With population growth brought on by the Agricultural Revolution, cities grew and the demand for wood resources became enormous. Wood was not only the main building material for houses, bridges, boats and or structures, it was also the basis for creating and using tools. The clearing of forests also opened new lands for agricultural development and thus there was a positive incentive to cut the forests. The cases that follow show three differing aspects of the role of forests and conflict: the Cedars of Lebanon, Robin Hood, and the Khmer Rouge. The role of forests in the analysis is closely tied to habitat change which is also part of the stalemate outcome. This is a sub-loop within the environmental sub-system and a feedback loop (red) that relates to tropical areas in particular, suggesting these are somewhat modern cases (see Figure IV-6). Deforestation cases are highly centralized in longer-term time durations, especially the 8-16 year period. Tropical cases of deforestation account for about 75 percent of the total. These cases are long-term stalemates with gradually building casualties and an end result where one human population wins, but does not alter the patterns of environmental degradation. There is certain inevitability with forest use. The forest needs only to be cut down once to disappear. 223 Figure IV-6 The Forest Causal System (the Red Loop in the Environmental Sub-System) a. The Cedars of Lebanon and Conflict Time Period Class Category Type Ancient Environmental Breadth Specific Resources Wood Ralph Solecki made a remarkable discovery in a cave near Shamidar, Iraq. Between 1953 and 1960 he found 9 Neanderthal skeletons. Not only were they buried, showing signs of culture, they were buried with flowers as part of a custom or ritual. One male individual died of a recent wound, possibly by a spear, meaning they cared for him for some time. The bones are thought to be 60,000 years old. Only casts of the bones survive in the Smithsonian Institution in Washington, D.C., because the real bones disappeared somewhere in Iraq. Located in the Zagros Mountains near the borders with Iran and Turkey, it is now an area with a largely Kurdish population and a place of continuing conflict. 224 Shamidar is also home to some of the earliest human settlements that have been found, dating back to 10,000 BC. Over time, the general demands for resources became more specific and particular as human lifestyles and economies became more sophisticated and developed. Thus, the types of environmental conflicts and the causes for them also changed with time. As the climate continued to change, the lush, fertile areas of the Middle East became much drier and the vegetation changed from forests to dry grasslands. As villages spread south from the Shamidar region and grew into urban centers grew along the Euphrates River, the supply of wood for warmth, for cooking and for building purposes was soon exhausted. Securing abundant and reliable sources of wood, and the transportation of them, became a key strategic interest of growing city-states. Trees may have been the first domesticated plant and as a result, they have long been important aspects of human subsistence strategy. Trees important to human diet are often cultivated. Trees for other purposes are often taken from the wild. How cultivation began is a matter of conjecture. One theory is that some person ate a fruit or a nut and threw the seed outside the cave door that served as the tribal compost pit. Compost provided great fertilizer and when a tree grew and bore the same fruit or nut, someone made the connection. Wild trees are not cultivated but are conquered (along with the land they sit upon). Some trees have been especially critical to national strategy and one is the cedar. The cedar is a key forest resource whose value is noted early in human history, as far back as the Babylonian Epic of Gilgamesh, which pre-dates even the Bible. Written about 2,600 B.C., the earliest stories in the Gilgamesh tale occurred not long after the advent of the Agricultural Conjunction and the invention of writing (about 3,000 B.C.). Many historical writings, including those of Theophrastus, Homer, Pliny and Plato as well as the Old Testament of the Bible, document the 225 (once) rich and luxuriant cedar forests of Lebanon. In fact, the cedar grew widespread throughout the region. The Epic of Gilgamesh, written on a series of tablets found in modernday Iraq, is a story of the conflict between humans and the environment, the opening of trade, and the incorporation of these events into culture via mythology. Forest use is a long standing source of conflict. Gilgamesh is a "modern" man by the standards of 2,600 B.C. and the King of Uruk, a city-state that existed along the Tigris-Euphrates River in the Middle East. He is a super-human (two-thirds god and one-third human), the result of gods mating with mortals. There was no person in Uruk who could match his strength and power. Gilgamesh was a cruel king who stole from and subjugated his people. He commanded, for example, that every bride have sex with him before her husband on their wedding night. The people of Uruk cried out to the gods for relief from the harsh rule of Gilgamesh. The god Anu answers their plea by creating Gilgamesh's doppelganger, Enkidu. Anu hoped Enkidu could match both wits and strength with Gilgamesh and therefore occupy him and lessen the suffering of the people of Uruk. Enkidu was a forest creature, but nonetheless human, living like and with animals (Tarzan may be a comparable image) with the strength of twelve men. The son of a trapper discovers him because Enkidu had been freeing the animals in the traps. The trapper’s father brings a priestess/prostitute called Shamhat from Uruk to lure Enkidu out of the forest and domesticate him. She seduces Enkidu and gradually civilizes him during six days and seven nights of lovemaking. After this period of human socialization, his animal friends will have nothing to do with him. Adam and Eve are sent out of Eden for biting into the apple and so too 226 is Enkidu, expelled for tasting human pleasure. The forest creatures also symbolically expel him from the forest “Eden”. Shamhat brings Enkidu to Uruk. As they enter the city, they find Gilgamesh on his way to interrupt another bride and bridegroom. Enkidu is enraged at the behavior of Gilgamesh. Enkidu confronts him and stands in the doorway of the house, blocking Gilgamesh’s path and literally standing in the way of his abuses. The two enter into a terrible battle that goes back and forth. Gilgamesh eventually gets the upper hand, but no man before dared to fight Gilgamesh and fought him to a virtual draw. Because of their match in abilities, Gilgamesh and Enkidu become great friends. To cement their friendship the two comrades agree to challenge a formidable foe to test their friendship. They travel to the great cedar forest to the west (modern day Lebanon and Syria) to kill the protector of the cedar forest--Humbaba in Akkadian texts and Huwawa in Sumer, Hittite and Assyrian texts--and take the mighty cedars. This is, of course, a symbolic event. The defeat of the guardian of the forest may cast in mythic form an historical event, the capturing of valuable woodlands or the establishing of trade involving wood--a precious commodity almost totally lacking in the plain that constitutes Sumer (southern Iraq).112 From 2,600 B.C. to 138 A.D., Canaanites, Aegeans, Armenians and Phoenicians populated the Middle East. During this time, these peoples gradually finished the destruction of the famed Cedars of Lebanon that Gilgamesh earlier had begun. Perhaps most conspicuous in this role were the Phoenicians. To build their thallasocracy (maritime empire), the Phoenicians constructed enormous sea-faring fleets for exploration, conquest and trade. For nearly three millennia, cedar and other timbers from Lebanon served a variety of needs: fuel, ship material, John Gardner and John Maier, Gilgamesh: Translated from the Sin-leqi-unnunni version, New York: Alfred A. Knopf, 1984, p. 16. 112 227 building material and household usage. Through cities such as Sidon and Tyre, wood exports went to Palestine and Egypt, areas with large populations and relatively little forest cover. The result was large-scale deforestation. The scarcity of trees was so noticeable that, over time, the few remaining tall trees became objects of worship. Cedar was also the most prized wood because of geography, none more than the unsurpassed Cedars of Lebanon (see Figure III-7) 228 Demand from outside Figure IV-7 Phoenician Soldier, Photograph, Natural History Museum, Washington DC Phoenicia increased the pace of cedar deforestation. By 3,000 B.C., Babylonia, along with Egypt, imported cedars and required it as a tribute of conquest. Egyptian and Mesopotamian records of military campaigns include information on "captured" timber, along with “captured” slaves and gold. However, neither was as critical as cedar wood. "Cedar was thought to be the prize which all states of the Near East coveted, and for which the empires of Egypt and Mesopotamia were prepared to fight."113 King Solomon of Israel contracted for the delivery of cedar logs from the Lebanon Mountains (as well as for some pine). The wood was for the reconstruction of the First Temple that was destroyed by the Babylonians about 2,500 years ago. David’s transaction is noted in the Bible [II Chronicles, ii.3]: "as you dealt with David my father and sent him cedar to build himself a house to dwell in, so deal with me." Solomon also sent forced laborers to Phoenicia to 113 See Lee for citation and source. 229 help cut and transport the cedar. Historian C.A. Meiggs surmises that Solomon’s effort to obtain cedar for the Temple was a show of extravagance for internal political reasons. Ship builders revered Lebanese cedar for its strength, size, beauty and workability. For Pliny, cedar was the standard by which to measure all other timbers and Diodorus documented its relative strength and beauty. Around the time of Plato, deforestation was widespread in Greece and Athens began importing extensive amounts of Phoenician timber. Athenian timber imports thus contributed to the expansion of their city-state's naval capacity against the Persians. Both combatants in the war used wood from the cedars for building battleships. Phoenician timber was also central to the construction of the Persian fleet that battled the Greeks during the fifth century B.C. Some suggest the motive for the Phoenician invasion of Cyprus (11th century B.C.) was to preserve forest resources at home. However, shipbuilding was the primary, but not the sole use of cedar. Fuel for producing specialty products was another use for the cedar. Theophrastus, the Greek historian, noted that cedar can burn at a sufficiently high temperature to make mortar or pitch from mined limestone. Temple builders used cedar to make lime. In Sidon and Tyre, the burning of cedar made possible bronze manufacturing. Sidon was renowned for its glass crafts, which required great quantities of wood fuel. With the eventual loss of the cedars, the soils that lay underneath the trees washed away and there was a drop in biological richness. This led to the decline of many other native plants and animals in the ecosystem. Grazing sheep and goats destroyed ground level plants, new seedlings, and saplings. Eventually, the entire topography became to a semi-arid climate with the loss of the cedars and the entire forest eco-system.114 114 See Ben Kasoff, TED Case Studies, http://www.american.edu/TED/ice/cedars.htm. 230 The demand for all products of resinous woods was relatively greater in antiquity than now. They were employed for the preservation of ship wood and all ship equipments, for coating the interior of earthenware wine jars, and for the preparation of volatile oils, salves and ointments, which were almost universally used in ancient times. Resin and tar were the chief basis for cough medicines prepared by Greek physicians, and were ingredients for salves for external use. Civilization's struggle with nature (epitomized in Humbaba the forest monster) portrays a battle of good against evil. Humbaba lacks the civility of humans: he lives in the wild in a giant cedar house and had never been seduced. Humbaba's death, the two thought, would not only impress the gods (despite the fact that the god Enil appointed Humbaba as forest guardian, something which would later haunt the two friends), but also open the way for Gilgamesh to take the precious cedars and open trade routes. Upon reaching the forest, Gilgamesh and Enkidu eventually lure Humbaba to a confrontation with an act of environmental destruction. Gilgamesh took the axe in his hand [and] felled the cedar, [When Huwawa] heard the noise he became angry. "Who has come and slighted the trees grown on my mountain and has felled the cedar?"115 115 Gardner and Maier, Gilgamesh, p. 146. This particular quotation comes from a Hittite account and contained in E.A. Speiser and A. K. Grayson, in ed. James B. Pritchard (ed.), Ancient Near Eastern Text Relating to the Old Testament, Princeton: Princeton University Press, pp. 76-83 and pp. 503-507. 231 After felling seven cedars, and a not-so-epic battle with Humbaba, the god Shamash intervenes on the side of Gilgamesh and Enkidu. Humbaba sues for peace, offering all the trees in the forest and to become the servant of Gilgamesh. Enkidu argues that Humbaba will not keep his word (he can never be civilized) and an unfinished battle cannot lead to peace. Convinced, Gilgamesh strikes Humbaba with his axe and Enkidu follows suit and eventually beheads the beast. With Humbaba dead, the taming of nature was complete and the cedar forest and its riches were for the taking. Humbaba cries out as he dies: “Of you two, may Enkidu not live the longer, may Enkidu not find any peace in this world." The two then commence to cutting down the cedars, especially the tallest trees, and float them down the Euphrates River on cedar rafts, returning to Uruk triumphant. The people use the cedar to build a huge wooden gate to the city. Gilgamesh is a hero and the gate is his monument. This is only the beginning of the struggle of economy, environment and culture for the city of Uruk and Gilgamesh. The goddess Ishtar, hearing of his exploits as the conqueror of Humbaba, offers to become the lover of Gilgamesh. Gilgamesh rejects her entreaty, in part because of the bad habit of her previous lovers all being dead. His mistake is that he also insults her. She then has her father, who happens to be the god Anu, let loose the Bull of Heaven on the city of Uruk. Gilgamesh and Enkidu battle the giant bull and eventually slay it. This would be their last great victory. The gods eventually have their revenge and Enkidu later dies due to the “paralysis demon”. Humbaba cried bitter tears. Gilgamesh was not alone in the practice of basing ancient construction projects on stolen resources. It also involved bribery and conscription of labor. “Esarhaddon II (680-669), king of Assyria, whose stele is seen at Nahr al-Kalb [near Beruit] to this day, undertook a vast building 232 program. He forced the tributary kings of ancient Lebanon, including Milkiashapa of Byblos, to produce cedar and pine timber for him and to transport the logs to Nineveh.” 116 Other ancient monarchs, such as the Egyptian kings Thut-Mose III and Ramses III, as well as Babylonian King Nebuchadnezzar, also describe the taking of cedar as part of conquest. Nebuchadnezzar described his efforts as follows. I cut through steep mountains, I split rocks, opened passages and [thus] constructed a straight road for the [transport of the] cedars. I made the Arahtu [the trees] float and carry to Marduk, my lord, mighty cedars, high and strong, of precious beauty and of excellent dark quality, the abundant yield of Lebanon, as [if they be] reed stalks carried by the river.117 Contemporary writers of that time recognized and rued Nebuchadnezzar's exploits as a pillager of wood and destroyer of forests. In the Old Testament of the Bible, the book of Isaiah is quite clear on the subject of Nebuchadnezzar's role in causing deforestation, noting on his death in 562 B.C. that: The whole world has rest and is at peace, it breaks into cries of joy, The pines themselves and the cedars of Lebanon exult over you, Since you have been laid low, they say, no man comes to fell us.120 b. Conflict over Specific Resources (Wood): Robin Hood and Sherwood Forest Rights Nina Jidejian, “Cedars of Lebanon, September 28, 2004. As quoted in Marvin W. Mikesell, "The Deforestation of Mount Lebanon," The Geographical Review, Volume LIX, Number 1 (January, 1969), p. 13. 116 117 233 Period Class Category Type Middle Social Type Source Resources Forest The building of Hadrian’s Wall ended the expansion of the Roman Empire. Its decayed status today belies the important role in history it played. The wall provided stability for a long period that allowed agriculture and settled communities to develop on the south side of the wall. North of the wall, the Pict or Scot tradition of herding and grazing continued to dominate. Stability led to population growth and this led to the cutting of forests for agricultural production. This system of agricultural production survived over centuries and expanded as populations grew even after the departure of the Romans. More than one thousand years later, around 1400, substantial portions of the forests of England had been cut down. Large portions of the land were used for subsistence agriculture by peasants. The remaining resources, both flora and fauna, of the forests found their way into elite hands. The pockets of forests lay largely unused except for the royal hunts. The hunts themselves were more a type of sport and were a kind of bonding experience for the elite. The elites sought wild game, especially deer, for royal feasts. While the elites enjoyed their fine hunts and cuisine the situation for the peasants living near the forest was quite different. Locals were forbidden to take food or wood from these forests and in times of hunger this became a bitter controversy. A dispute over environmental right to access the forest resources set the stage for conflict. Robin Hood is remembered as a thief who stole from the rich and gave to the poor but his background, and the context of the time, is much more complex. He lived in Britain in Middle 234 Ages around the area of Nottingham and the Sherwood Forest.118 The locale was closer to Hadrian’s Wall than it was to London. Robin did rob the elite who transported goods or traveled through the forest and probably was involved in some kidnappings. At the heart of the dispute is the forest itself and its resources. Robin and other vagabonds lived in and hunted in the royal forest. This lifestyle was forbidden. The Sheriff of Nottingham was in charge of enforcing local royal law and thus became Robin’s antagonist. The deer of the forest became rarer as their habitat shrunk. By this time, Britain’s forest cover was mostly converted to pasture or agricultural land. This meant that deer, which lived in the forests for cover and left to browse on grasses, became rare. Sherwood Forest was a sort of medieval theme park. The written record related to Robin Hood took place later. “Actual Robin Hood texts first appear in the fifteenth century, initially as fragments of verse, then in a handful of complete tales.”119 Robin Hood was invented out of several personas of myth and reality. He was probably an amalgamation of many Cumbrian outlaws who lived in the 1400s with elements of Celtic mythology mixed in. Robin Hood’s emergence as a myth in this time is also surely the offspring of the larger social movements and discontents of the time. The Peasant’s revolt of 1381 “held that the discontent expressed was that of the lower stratum of the gentry, petty landholders who were affected by rising labour costs and other economic changes in the 118 The name "Sherwood" derives from the term "shire wood", meaning the forest local to a shire or region. As such, it is a generic term. Rather than being a single physical place, Sherwood is more likely an abstraction, representing "the wilderness" as a whole. 119 Jeffrey L. Singman, Robin Hood: The Shaping of the Legend, Westport and London: Greenwood Press, 1998, p. 5. 235 fourteenth century.” 120 Robin Hood games, fetes of archery to support public causes, lasted from the 1500s to about 1600. With time, the commemorations invigorated the myth of Robin Hood. This spread to the personalities of the Sheriff of Nottingham, Maid Marion and Friar Tuck and the development of a group of disciples similar to the Bible. Robin the poacher preceded Robin the robber and he was likely more a criminal early on a social activist later. “Interpretations of Robin Hood’s greenwood have focused heavily on the Forest Laws and royal ownership of the forest. These elements are present in the legend, yet they are ultimately a structural feature. Robin is undeniably a bold poacher of venison, and doubtless his violation of the Forest Laws colored the audience response to his adventures, yet his infringements of the royal prerogative is very rarely mentioned in the ballads. The significance thus is not legal but practical.”121 Robin demands social rights and a type of social contract. “His poaching of deer likewise impinges on royal prerogatives, and his antipathy to the Sheriff sets him at odds with the enforcement of royal policy.122 Robin’s pagan origins are clear. He wears green clothes because he is an incarnation of the Green Man, Cernunnos. Cernunnos is the god of vegetation and fertility, the Lord of the Trees (perhaps similar to Humbaba, the forest protector in the Epic of Gilgamesh). In the Celtic pagan tradition, the Green Man is the consort of the May Queen. The Green Man has a human face camouflaged by leaves and is able to blend in with the forest surroundings. He wore a perfect camouflage. In his element he became invisible to his opponents. Robin may also be a manifestation of the Celtic horned god Herne, Lord of the Deer, a being that ate only venison. It 120 Stephen Knight, Robin Hood: A Complete Study of the English Outlaw, Oxford and Cambridge: Blackwell, 1998, p. 51. Also, see J.C. Holt, in “Past and Present” (Hilton, ed., 1976). 121 Jeffrey L. Singman, Robin Hood: The Shaping of the Legend, p. 146. 122 Jeffrey L. Singman, Robin Hood: The Shaping of the Legend, p. 44. 236 is said that Robin wears a cap to hide his horns. Robin Hood’s Merry Band was collectively known as the “Foresters” which says something about the ultimate philosophy. They were selfproclaimed stewards of the forest. The forest itself provided a cover that allowed Robin Hood’s guerilla movement to continue and flourish. An army moving through a forest has fewer resources to draw on compared to agricultural communities and they are susceptible to ambush. This use of the forest as an element of warfare is not so different from the use of forest covers in warfare that occurred in other cases in other middle and modern eras. In the U.S. Revolutionary War (roughly 1776-1783) Americans forces lost control of many larger coastal cities. Forces retreated inland and were able to develop systems of supply along the Appalachian Trail. The trail was originally a trading system created by Native Americans long before the arrival of Europeans and followed the eastern side an ancient mountain range in the eastern United States. The trail became vital for supply and movement of American troops. In the Vietnam War the Ho Chi Minh Trail served a similar role. U.S. and South Vietnamese forces controlled the coastal cities and the trail was beyond the reach of these lines of control. The fact the trail had spurs that ran through the neighboring countries of Laos and Cambodia complicated the extent of the conflict. The trail in part brought these countries into the conflict but like the Apppalachian Trail, was a vital transportation conduit during the conflict. While one strategy of warfare related to environment uses trees to hide forces and movements another focuses on tree removal to avoid that threat. Mughal armies in India cut down forests around cities they were about to siege. This form of warfare emerged long after the Aryan invasions. This tactic also was used in Europe by armies who attempted to storm castles. 237 The lines of transportation in these environments run through heavily forested areas. Abilities to destroy these supply lines are often hindered by the forest. Robin Hood used the forest as cover to raid the supply lines of the royalty. The royal right to the forest and its resources often imposed great hardships on the people who lived in or near the areas. Robin Hood is known for his crime of stealing deer. This was only one part of his complaints. There were also bans in differing places on hunting boars and even smaller animals such as birds and rabbits. Felling of timber was also restricted in some places by locals. This would have depressed home building and energy use by the local population. Ballads were the first way that stories of a man named “Robyn Hod” spread among the people of England. The high rate of illiteracy brought about the oral tradition of passing on stories and history. Because the wandering minstrel would sing in different areas to different audiences, the lyrics of the ballads would change to reflect the type of audience and their interests, and the story grew and changed over time. There grew a variety of myths about Robin Hood depending on the part of the country. Robin uses a longbow as his weapon. His bow was made of the English “ewe" or “yew”, the same wood used by Otzi the Iceman many millennia earlier. It was a pliable but strong wood and the technology was well-developed. It was important to be skilled at the bow and arrow in the 13th and 14th centuries because it was the means of hunting and survival. The weapon was also a means of protection, perhaps similar to the gun in the American west of the 1800s. The legend of Zorro in California in many ways evokes the myth of Robin Hood. 238 Robin became a mythical legend. Similar to William Tell, he was the greatest archer of all. The bow and arrow still reigned as the dominant weapon of warfare as well as for hunting subsistence. Prowess in the skill of archery was much revered. One story that demonstrates Robin’s archery skill is the Golden Arrow contest set up by the Sheriff to bring him out of hiding. “The myth of yeomanry is reflected symbolically in the outlaws’ choice of weapons. One of the most consistent elements in the legends is Robin’s prowess as an archer, and the practice of archery figures prominently in many of the early ballads.” 123 British excellence at archery was one of their advantages over the French in the Hundred Years War. 124 Robin Hood was a figure in society for several hundred years. The myth of Robin receded with the growth of the British Empire and the growth of Empire. It was revived during the Industrial Revolution when lives were not necessarily improving and class distinctions were at their height. At this time, some thought that taking from the rich through progressive taxation, should be state policy. “Robin Hood the national fiction is not a simple product; like all the other versions of the outlaw, from local play-game leader to renaissance pastoral figurehead, he is contrasted in a set of interlinked sometimes contradictory maneuvers across a range of places and times. The process starts around 1800 in a context of raised socio-cultural awareness, when political and industrial revolutions are in the forefront of the minds of writers.”125 123 Jeffrey L. Singman, Robin Hood: The Shaping of the Legend, Westport and London: Greenwood Press, 1998, p. 38. 124 Jeffrey L. Singman, Robin Hood, p. 39. 125 Stephen Knight, Robin Hood: A Complete Study of the English Outlaw, Oxford and Cambridge: Blackwell, 1998, p. 142. 239 c. Khmer Rouge and Forest Resources Time Class Category Type Modern Environmental Breadth Specific Resources Wood Forests have long had a role in conflict as a means of camouflage, defense and escape for guerilla armies. This was the case in ancient India, the American Revolution, and a host of other conflicts. Beyond a venue for conflict, wood is an object of desire and conquest in the Cedars of Lebanon case as an economic resource with high value more than 2,000 years ago. The economic value of forests has grown stronger today, through both the huge increase in human population and the huge decrease in the area of forestland. The Khmer Rouge military effort in Cambodia relied on wood exports and the granting of concessions to harvest the wood. Wood is one of the oldest of prized commodities that used to fund conflict, but today it is one of many. The list of commodities used to support conflict today includes: diamonds (Liberia), oil (Sudan), tantalum (Congo), uranium (Libya), gold (Brazil), guano (Peru) and others. Wood however is perhaps the commodity that has one of the longest records of conflict related to it. The ancient case on the Cedars of Lebanon and the middle-era case of Robin Hood both illustrate the endurance of conflict over the use of wood and forest resources. The Khmer Rouge, (an extreme Maoist guerrilla faction), took over control of Cambodia in the 1970s and launched a program of savagery that left 2 million dead until the Vietnamese overthrew them. The Khmer Rouge continued to fight after their fall from power. One chief means of acquiring funding was through exported timber to Thailand. Thailand banned logging in its own territory following severe flooding in 1988. The impact was to redirect demand to 240 Cambodia for wood resources. This moratorium brought about a dispute regarding the relation between trade, environment, and politics in Cambodia. Cambodia's forests were devastated by a decade of conflict. Funds for raising armies also came through trade in raw and finished gem exports, especially to Thailand. It was not only the Khmer Rouge that adopted this tactic. Until the ban on log exports, the three guerrilla factions (FUNCINPEC, KPNLF, and Khmer Rouge) and the Cambodian government were involved in logging to finance war.126 While the government exported mostly to Japan and Vietnam, the three guerrilla groups (mostly Khmer Rouge) sent logs over the border into Thailand from their territory in western and northern Cambodia. For reasons of both deforestation and funding of civil insurgency, in 1992 Cambodia's provisional national council agreed to a moratorium on log exports. The moratorium was in response to intensive deforestation that led to massive flooding. The flooding that damaged the rice crop led to food shortages. The moratorium had a political goal as well: to deprive the Khmer Rouge access to funding from sales of timber. Khmer Rouge guerrillas benefited from uncontrolled deforestation. The loss of Cambodian forest cover has had consequences and has led to more rain drainage and flooding. Cambodian floods of 1995 in the northwest killed two people and cut the country's main supply line to areas threatened by food shortages. In Battambang province, two children and 77 cows were swept away.127 Severe flooding in the west central province of Pursat 126 The conflict involves four factions Front Uni National pour un Cambodge Independent, Neutre, Pacifique et Coop ratif (FUNCINPEC), Khmer People's National liberation Front (KPNLF), the Party of Democratic Kampuchea (DK or so-called Khmer Rouge), and the State of Cambodia (SOC). 127 "Two die as northwest area is hit by severe flooding," The Cambodia Times, October 22-28, 1995. 241 killed eight people, which included seven children, devastated 421 homes, and destroyed 36,235 hectares of rice fields, and killing at least 80 farm animals.128 After the Cambodian ban, Thailand switched to wood imports from Burma and Laos. In the case of Burma, the trade was with both government and other rebel groups, creating an odd patchwork of alliances. Conflict desperation also can produce a new means of resource acquisition. In an attempt to save what remains of Thailand's devastated forests, many Thai companies (some linked to Thai military) imported wood from Cambodia by purchasing concessions from the Khmer Rouge. The Khmer Rouge controlled a huge part of the ThaiCambodia border zone.129 The Cambodian conflict and massive logging was intended to end when four factions signed the cease-fire agreement in France. In October 1991, the Paris Agreements provided for a comprehensive political settlement of the Cambodian conflict that included: (a) establishment of a transitional authority, (b) creation of conditions for a lasting peace; and (c) the holding of free and democratic elections. The 1992 UN Transitional Authority in Cambodia (UNTAC) recognized the Supreme National Council of Cambodia (SNC) as the legitimate governing body during the transition period. Sale of forest resources continued to support anti-government forces that came to the knowledge of both government and non-government groups. “Global Witness's accusations and the new U.S. sanctions caused the Thai government to close most of its land border crossings to log imports by the dry season of 1996, and pushed the U.S. Embassy in Bangkok to seriously investigate the border trade. Global Witness estimated that the resulting economic squeeze on 128 "Paddy fields damaged, eight killed in severe flooding," The Cambodia Times, October 29 - November 4, 1995. 129 "Paddy fields damaged, eight killed in severe flooding," The Cambodia Times, 29 October 29 - November 4, 1995. 242 the Khmer Rouge substantially contributed to the first large-scale defection to the Cambodian government in September 1996.”130 Top grade Cambodian timber is worth $80 per one cubic meter (35 cubic feet).131 Thai officials estimate the Khmer Rouge earned about $1 million per month from both wood and precious and gems.132 The types of trees in Cambodia are pine, rosewood, and teak. Timber exports, estimated to be worth between $40-50 million a year is one of Cambodia's biggest income earner.133 “The logs are being sold off cheap – for “a mere $740,000”, according to Patrick Alley but are worth $3–10 million. What’s more, we know that the total exports were scheduled to be 100,000 cubic meters, so Military Region 1 stood to gain $3.7 million. ” Global Witness estimates that such illegal timber sales deprive the Cambodian treasury of $157–337 million per annum, compared with the annual national budget of c. $400 m.”134 One estimate put forest cover at 10.4 million hectares, including 3.5 million hectares in national parks, out of the country's total area of about 18 million hectares (data for 1992-93). Total forestation has fallen to 30-35 percent of overall area.135 “Between 1973 and 1993, 3.6 million acres of the country's forest were lost and much of the remaining area was negatively Katherine Knight, “War, Politics and the Environment”, Conservation Law Foundation, www.clf.org/pubs/war.htm. 131 Sutin Wannabovorn, "Logging Profits Fuel Cambodian Fighting," Reuter News Service, March 7, 1994. 132 Angus MacSwan, "Cambodian to Ban Log Exports," The Reuter Library Report, September 23, 1992. 133 Maja Wallengren, "Cambodia's Sihanouk Calls For Log Export Ban,"Reuter News Service, October 18, 1994. 134 “Last Cambodia rainforests under threat from loggers”, Plant Talk On-Line #16, published January 19, accessed May 2, 2002, http://www.plant-talk.org/Pages/16cambod.html. 135 "King Sihanouk Alarmed at the Rate of Rampant Deforestation," The Cambodia Times, 29 Oct-4 Nov. 1995. 130 243 affected, says a report by the United Nations Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO).”136 King Norodom Sihanouk warned about the rate of rampant deforestation in the country and called on foreign companies to plant three trees for every one felled. King Sihanouk said that "since the 1980's until now some foreign countries and companies as well as illegal groups and individuals, have destroyed or are destroying Cambodia's forests, so vital for agriculture and the survival of the Cambodian people”.137 Further, there had been a marked increase in deforestation and at this rate the country would become a desert in the 21st century. The Tonle Sap Lake, a huge body of water created by the Mekong River’s monsoon overloads, may turn into a vast mudflat. “The biggest threat is to Cambodia's Tonle Sap (Great Lake), which has been described as one of the richest freshwater fishing grounds in the world. Because of deforestation, the lake is silting up. Cambodian Environment Minister Mok Mareth warned that at the present rate, the lake could disappear within 25 years.” Thai loggers take advantage of a loophole in the ban by setting up sawmills in Cambodia to ship timber across the border as "processed" wood. “138 The water problem may become even more critical as China continues its plans for a system of dams to capture the upstream waters of the Mekong in Yunan province. Even though the Khmer Rouge often violated the cease-fire agreement, in 1992 the SNC activated the moratorium on log exports. The UN Security Council then adopted the September 22 moratorium (the UN Security Council resolution 792). The UN resolution did not mandate but rather “urged” importing countries to cooperate. Under the resolution, UNTAC was to take “Loggers Use Loophole to Decimate Cambodia's Disappearing Forests”, Christian Science Monitor, May 1, 1997. 137 “Loggers Use Loophole to Decimate Cambodia's Disappearing Forests”, Christian Science Monitor, May 1, 1997. 138 Loggers Use Loophole”, Christian Science Monitor, May 1, 1997 136 244 measures to implement a moratorium on the export of logs from Cambodia and was enacted on January 1, 1993. Despite the agreement, the Khmer Rouge earned about $20 million per year by selling timber to Thai government and military officials. The Khmer Rouge also sold sapphires and rubies mined near its stronghold in Pailin. “The Cambodian government, during the latter half of the last decade, signed secret illegal deals to allow Vietnamese loggers to fell Cambodian timber, much of which was subsequently made into garden furniture and sold across Europe under bogus 'environment-friendly' labels. The money found its way into the pockets of key military officials who were instrumental in establishing a coup d'etat in 1997.” Global Witness reported that in 1996 the Cambodian government earned $100 million per year from selling timber concessions.139 To protest the UN Security Council resolution 792, Thailand barred UN flights before the enactment of the ban. The Thai parliament's House Committee for Foreign Affairs agreed to seek measures to minimize the effect of a UN Security Council ban on oil exports to end timber imports from Khmer Rouge controlled areas in Cambodia. Illegal timber trade nonetheless continued, although there was a reduction in Cambodia log exports. The ban made timber trade between Thailand and the Khmer Rouge illegal, but with only limited success. Illegal logging exports to Thailand also came from Royal Cambodian military, which were handed jurisdiction. Under pressure from the IMF, there was a transfer of jurisdiction regarding timber sales from the defense ministry to finance ministry.140 Jamie Doward, “Mineral Riches Fuel War, Not the Poor”, The Observer, June 18, 2000. www.globalpolicy.org/security/docs/resourc1.htm 140 Maja Wallengren, "Government Scraps Controversial Timber Deal," Reuters World Service, 12 Aug. 1994. 139 245 The Thai government occasionally cracks down on the movement of logs from Khmer Rouge to comply with provisions in the US 1997 Foreign Operations Act that prohibits aid to the military of any country which "is not acting vigorously" to stop the logging trade.141 “During 1997 and into early 1998 at least 250,000 cubic meters of Cambodian timber, all felled illegally, was exported to Vietnam. The World Bank estimates that Cambodia’s commercial forests will be soon exhausted. The timber is refined and re-exported, both as timber and sawn wood…Manufacturers use timber from adjacent countries, notably Cambodia, as the law prohibits the export of Vietnamese timber. Global Witness believes this furniture trade, worth more than $70 million annually, to be fully sanctioned by the government of Vietnam.”142 Cambodia's co-Premiers, Prince Norodom Ranarriddh and Hun Sen authorized a logging contract with a Malaysian company (Samling Corporation) in February 1995.143 The deal provides for a 60 year logging concession covering 800,000 hectares or 4 percent of the entire country. The Royal Government also approved a massive logging deal with an Indonesian timber company (Panin Banking and Property Group). The 50-year contract allowed the Indonesian company to harvest logs on 1.4 million hectares, roughly 15 percent of the Kingdom's remaining forest. Together, almost 20 percent of the future revenues from forest resources have been sold. “The Khmer Rouge had gained control of 20% of Cambodia as a benefit of initial cooperation with the peace process, and they controlled much of the densest hardwood forest as well as its rare gem deposits.” Thai gem traders and logging companies were Loggers Use Loophole to Decimate Cambodia's Disappearing Forests”, Christian Science Monitor, May 1, 1997. 142 “Last Cambodia rainforests under threat from loggers”, Plant Talk On-Line #16, Published January 19, Accessed May 2, 2002, http://ww.plant-talk.org/Pages/16cambod.html. 143 "Cambodia's Sihanouk Warns About Logging," Reuter News Service, 20 Feb. 1995. 141 246 given access to the area and began trading an estimated $300 million annually in resources with concessionary payments to the Khmer Rouge. A logging ban was begun on January 1, 1993 by the U.N. interim government, but this had little impact…Analysts observed that Pol Pot’s ability to continue his ‘low-intensity’ guerilla operations now relied on resulting cash pouring into his Thai bank accounts.” 144 With declining forests, international sanctions, and cooption, the Khmer Rouge has largely disappeared. Pol Pot died in 1998 and with him the Khmer Rouge. d. Comparing and Reflecting on the Forest Cases It is evident that human populations were becoming of sufficient size and advancement to have large-scale impact on plants, just as they had on animals. Securing the necessary biomass for the population and their domesticated animals became a key aspect of the national interest. Securing wood in treeless landscapes was essential to building structures, creating military defense, and in constructing military weapons. This “push” factor was met by the “pull” of the resources in some other geographical space. The need to secure biomass required another key ingredient -- water. Water availability in a water-stressed region also became an issue in the national interest. Most water use then and now was for crop irrigation. With the growth of populations the need for more area under crop cultivation grew and thus the need for irrigation water. As technology grew the focus was not only on trees but on certain tree types. The yew is a favored wood for making a bow. “Why were the cedars of Lebanon so coveted by all the Katherine Knight, “War, Politics, and the Environment”, Conservation Law Foundation, accessed May 2, 2002. http://www.clf.org/pubs/war.htm 144 247 conquerors in the old world? Because the cedar tree provided the long beams necessary for masts for building ships and its wood did not decay.”145 This was especially important to the Phoenicians in building their ships that spread out over vast distances. Certain trees were either extinguished due to its value or standardized from mom-culture farming. Despite the importance of the wood there was little attempt to protect it. The critical role of the cedar in ship building and naval supremacy did not go unnoticed to all. “Only one man, the Roman Emperor Hadrian, in the 2nd century of our era, made an attempt to restrict logging in the mountains of Lebanon. He however restricted the cutting of trees in the forests for use by the Roman state and considered they were the private domain of the Emperor.” 146 The commercial and military reach of Rome, like Phoenicia, was quite dependent on sea transportation for commerce and sea power for maintaining control over conquered areas. Thus, cedars were important part of its military-industrial complex. “The Roman fleet was moored off the Phoenician coast. Timber was necessary for maintenance of the fleet and building new ships. In Hadrian's time the northern mountain ranges of Lebanon were covered by cedars and other species of coniferous trees. Over a period of seven millennia not once was thought given to replanting trees which were cut down. It was only Hadrian who thought of setting up forest markers to define the boundaries of the Roman state forest reserves.” 147 After Hadrian, the cutting of cedar resumed and its territory continued to shrink. A once massive resource of importance to state-of-the-art technology in ancient times had become an Nina Jidejian, “Cedars of Lebanon: the backbone of ancient traditions and culture”, Dailey Star, September 28, 2004, accessed March 18, 2005. http://www.dailystar.com.lb/article.asp?edition_ID=10&article_ID=8782&categ_id=4 146 Nina Jidejian, “Cedars of Lebanon: the backbone of ancient traditions and culture”, Dailey Star, September 28, 2004, accessed March 18, 2005. http://www.dailystar.com.lb/article.asp?edition_ID=10&article_ID=8782&categ_id=4 147 Nina Jidejian, “Cedars of Lebanon”. 145 248 isolated curiosity. “The mass cutting of cedars, pines and cypresses for trade, naval and building purposes allowed the inevitable process of erosion to set in. After Hadrian no competent measures were taken to protect the forests that remained. Today the few cedars that majestically stand at Bsharri are testimony to the ruthless exploitation through the ages by state and individual of the magnificent coniferous cedar forests of Lebanon.” Hadrian had a perspective on conflict that was extremely environment based. He protected the cedars in Lebanon, built a huge stone wall across the north England, used the Rhine and Danube Rivers as a boundary markers, and built timber fortifications that connected the boundaries of the two rivers. He used the environment to create the boundaries and extent of the Roman Empire. There is a clear parallel between the myth of Robin Hood and that of Humbaba from the Epic of Gilgamesh. The viewpoint on the two stories of wood and forest resources takes on opposite perspectives. Gilgamesh needs to slay Humbaba so he can take the forest resources while Robin avoids being slain by the Sheriff of Nottingham so he can also protect them. The perspectives reflect the reality of times when forests were plentiful and when they were scarce. Within these Middle cases, there are also clear links to the cases on Hadrian’s Wall and the expansion and contraction of the Vikings. The Vikings settled in this area -- and raided it beforehand -- and added to the growth of population. Hadrian’s Wall was effective at dividing the island of England into two distinct parts with two different economic systems. The wall permitted relative security for those to the south under Roman rule and thus populations steadily grew over time. Perhaps the forests would not have been quite as depleted if not for the wall. 249 Owning forests and acquiring their wood was essential for the continued growth of citystates such as Uruk in the Epic of Gilgamesh. Similar to the Khmer Rouge, Gilgamesh used war to fund his economy and economic expansion. It was the basis for the building of cities. Transport of the logs also involved the environment. “A report to the U.N. Conference on Environment and Development in 1992 described Cambodian forests as ‘the lungs of Southeast Asia.’ But aerial surveys showed a 30 percent drop in forest cover in the course of only 20 years. Moreover, during 1992, an estimated 620,000 acres were deforested since the Khmer Rouge granted six Thai companies concessions to cut wide swaths of Cambodian forest.”148 Owning the forest meant owning the animals, such as deer that lived there, during the time of Robin Hood in the 1400s. In the case of the Khmer Rouge, owning the wood was useful because it could be sold and in return, weapons could be acquired in order to further their conflict. Owning forest resources have also been used to fund civil conflict movements in many species that are trafficked. 4. Water With the growth of population, agricultural lands expanded, cities were built out of forests, and water was the key resource that allowed the places to survive in generally dry climates. With time even this resource, once so abundant, became scarce and thus a cause for conflict. Three cases describe the relations between water and conflict in three different places: Katherine Knight, “War, Politics and the Environment”, Conservation Law Foundation, http://www.clf.org/pubs/war.htm. 148 250 the Nile River, along the Jordan River, and in the land of the Anasazi. These cases represent large, medium and small rivers and differing types of dependencies. Water cases show up significantly in the ICE dataset, especially in relation to conflict in the Middle East. These Dry habitat cases are related to conflicts that do have definitive outcomes since the stakes are so high. These conflicts are also often based on overtly political decisions. The cases also show examples of compromise and sharing and the avoidance of conflict. Of the water cases in the ICE database, one third of the cases fall in the duration period of 32-64 years. This phenomenon is similar to forests, where the long-term depletion of the resources gradually increases tension and conflict in the case as the resource becomes exceedingly scarce under growing demographic pressures. The data show that the water cases are inordinately concentrated in dry regions (about 80 percent) that are to be expected. Many of these cases involve large rivers that flow through the boundaries of several countries. Water cases fall under the group called “resources” and is part of the yellow loop of the environmental sub-system (see Figure IV-8). This loop is quite different from the red loop involving territory, forests, and the stalemate outcome. The yellow loop includes the environment and the conflict links to resources and access to them. The outcome however is more definitive and results in a victory or loss (depending on perspective). They are also much shorter in duration. It may be that the loss of forest resources can be somewhat lessened by trade and the import of forest products from elsewhere. This is not the case with the loss of water. 251 Figure IV-8 The Forest Causal System (The Yellow Loop in the Environmental Sub-System) a. Conflict over Specific Resources (Water): The Nile River Conflict Time Period Class Category Type Ancient Social Type Sink/Source Water The warming climate after the end of the last Ice Age changed the nature of environments. While Europe warmed from a frozen to a cold climate, the Middle East evolved from cool forests in the time of the Neanderthal to temperate forests in the time of Nebuchadnezzar to deserts in modern day Iraq. Nebuchadnezzar lived in a place that was 252 becoming increasingly arid. The lands further west had the desired forest resources, such as cedars. The lack of forests was the result of the lack of water, except for a few large rivers that were a prime resource for irrigation and other uses. Larger rivers also became important transportation corridors. As a result, human cities grew up along the Tigris-Euphrates and Indus Rivers. Like the Tigris-Euphrates and the Indus Rivers, the Nile River was the lifeblood of ancient and modern Egyptian civilization. The need for water as resource is perhaps greatest in northern Africa and the Saudi Arabian Peninsula, where it is most scarce. The Saharan Desert is the largest expanse on the planet with a substantial lack of life (perhaps only comparable to Antarctica and the deepest ocean depths). This made the few oases and fresh water streams and rivers of critical importance to the survival of society and therefore something worth fighting for. The Nile River is the greatest of these prizes in the region. The Nile River is a ribbon of life that represents a dramatic shift in ecotone. It is an enormous oasis of water and biomass within an extremely arid area. An ecotone is a transition area between adjacent environmental communities. There are peoples who live in both the arid and wet zones and their lifestyles may come into conflict in transition areas. The ecotone supports members of either group and is often a source of conflict. The likelihood of conflict is also exacerbated by smaller sub-cycles related to the flow of the river. For example, over the last five thousand years human habitation along the Nile there have been varying patterns of rainfall in the Nile River headwater areas. As the ecotone shifts, so does the area of transition and thus conflict. Several times throughout history, ancient Egyptians attempted to unify and control the Nile River valley by conquering the Sudan, to the south. The Sudan was invaded during the 253 reign of the Queen of Sheba by the Egyptians, under the Roman rule of Nero, and countless other times. Egypt established a beachhead in northern Sudan and conquered the kingdom of Kush. Kush was populated by black Africans and these people came under Egyptian control and part of the empire. When the Hyksos people from Assyria conquered Egypt in 1720 BC the Kush became independent. In fact, they were the new inheritors of succession in Egypt and reconquered upper Egypt and ruled the kingdom for 100 years. There were valuable agricultural and mineral commodities from Kush and the Nile River was the key to transportation of these commodities. Egyptians have long feared the loss of the Nile's waters to Ethiopia. The King of Ethiopia sent a letter to the Egyptian pasha in 1704 threatening to cut off the water.149 During one particularly bad famine, the Egyptian Sultan sent ambassadors to the king of Ethiopia to plead with him not to obstruct the waters. 149 Collins, 3-4. 254 Figure IV-8 The Nile River The Nile probably gets its name from "nahal" which means "river valley" in Semitic, later "neilos" in Greek and "nilus" in Latin. It is the world's longest river, originating 4,187 miles in the mountains of Burundi. The source of the river was discovered only in the middle of the 20th century.150 For centuries, the most accurate source of knowledge on the location of the source of the Nile River was the writings of Herodotus (Greek Historian, 460 BC). Herodotus believed that the Nile River’s source was a deep spring between two tall mountains (he was wrong). When Nero ordered his centurions to follow the flow of the Nile River in order to find its source, they got no further than the impenetrable valley of the Sudd in southern Sudan. John Henning Speke believed he found the source as Lake Victoria in 1862, but he was wrong. In 1937, the German explorer Bruckhart Waldekker found the true source (see Figure IV-8).151 Three tributaries, the Blue Nile, the White Nile, and the Atbara, form the Nile. The White Nile rises from its source in Burundi, passes through Lake Victoria, and flows into 150 151 Adv, p. 1. Collins, p. 4-8. 255 southern Sudan. There, near the capital city of Khartoum, the White Nile meets up with the Blue Nile that has its source in the Ethiopian highlands, near Lake Tana. Slightly over half of the Nile's waters come from the Blue Nile. The two flow together to just north of Khartoum, where the waters of the Atbara, whose source is also located in the Ethiopian highlands, join them.152 The changes in climate and the flows of the Nile produce a fragmentation effect, as the problem of water crises became localized. There was nothing the central government, at that time, could do about the change in water availability. The result was that central authority lost power. “It is more likely that climatic changes, resulting in a decrease of the Nile's inundation, impacted the Ancient Egyptian society. As the central government was unable to cope with the results of this change, it was up to provincial governors and other local rulers to come up with a solution to best irrigate their own territory. This, along with different geographical circumstances, caused some provinces and territories to be more successful in controlling the floods than others.” 153 These historical struggles for controlling the waters of the Nile River dates back millennia and the current struggle is only a continuation of a long-standing issue. What is different about the struggle over time is the intensity of the difference between the push and pull factors. The sheer number of people totally dependent on the Nile River waters has exploded in recent times. 152 Ody, p. 1. Jacques Kinnaer, The Ancient Egypt Site, “First Intermediate Period (2150-2040 bc)”. “The decline of the Old Kingdom is often said to have been caused by the long reign of Pepi II, during which the king supposedly lost more and more power to the central administration and the provincial governors.” September 3, 2004, http://www.ancient-egypt.org/history/07_11/. 153 256 “The Nile River is also a shared water resource of tremendous regional importance, particularly for agriculture in Egypt and Sudan. Ninety-seven percent of Egypt's water comes from the Nile River, and more than 95 percent of the Nile's runoff originates outside of Egypt in the other eight nations of the basin. The Nile valley has sustained civilizations for more than 5 millennia, but historical evidence suggests that the populations of ancient Egypt never exceeded 1.5 million to 2.5 million people. Today, Egypt struggles to sustain a population rapidly approaching 60 million on the same limited base of natural resources. And Egypt's population grows by another million people every nine months.”154 To overcome the seasonality of the flows of the river, one of the great modern engineering achievements was the building of the Aswan Dam. Construction of the High Dam at Aswan began in 1959 and completed in 1970. Its waters created Lake Nasser, the second largest man-made lake in the world. The Aswan Dam is one of the great architectural accomplishments of the 20th century, at a cost of over $1 billion. Rebuffed by the United States and the World Bank for financing of the project, Nasser turned to the Soviet Union for help.155 Upstream of Lake Nasser, navigation of the Nile stopped in the Sudd due to the immense swamps. Strong winds and the force of the river created natural dams comprised of plants and soil, similar to those made by beavers. Britain re-conquered the Sudan in 1898, after an uprising by a religious sect (the Mahdi). The English began to clear the Nile through the Sudd in order to “Water, war and peace in the Middle East - conflict over water rights”, Environment, April, 1994 by Peter H. Gleick, Peter Yolles, and Haleh Hatami. http://www.findarticles.com/p/articles/mi_m1076/is_n3_v36/ai_15419877/pg_3, (from Looksmart web directory). Accessed on September 3, 2004. 155 Pearce, pp. 28-29. 154 257 navigate the river. The project was abandoned due to political, economic and environmental factors, among others. In the 1970’s, Sudan and Egypt began the joint construction of the Jonglei Canal in the Sudd, in large part funded by the World Bank, through a system of dikes and levees. Construction stopped in 1983 one hundred kilometers short of completion due to the civil war in the Sudan. The project was a great failure for both the Sudanese government and the World Bank and more than $100 million invested with no return.156 In August 1994, Egypt allegedly planned and subsequently canceled an air raid on Khartoum, in Sudan, where a dam was being built on the Nile. This act, along with tensions between Sudan and Egypt over the attempted assassination of President Mubarak in 1995, led to border clashes.157 Egypt has also acted against Ethiopian development on the Nile in the past. Egypt blocked an African Development Bank loan to Ethiopia for a project that might have reduced the flow of the Nile's water into Egypt. Due to Egypt’s rapidly growing population, the government feared the availability of water demands in the future. Egypt may experience a 16 to 30 percent water deficit by the end of the century. The gap increases as further Egyptian development projects are planned for the Nile.158 The British did not control the Ethiopian portions of the Nile, from which over 80 percent of the Nile waters originate. They signed an agreement with the Ethiopian government in 1902 in order to assure access and warned the Italians and the French not to interfere.159 Planned developments on the Nile were a disputed matter between the Egyptian and British governments. 156 157 158 159 Pearce, p. 31. El-Kohdary, p. 1-3. El-Kohdary, p. 1-3. Collins, pp. 67-100. 258 In 1929, Great Britain sponsored the Nile Water Agreement, which regulated the flow of the Nile and apportioned its use. That remains the basis for many agreements today160 Boutros Boutros-Ghali, former Egyptian foreign minister and later secretary-general of the United Nations said that the “next war in our region will be over the waters of the Nile, not politics”.161 Egypt relies on Nile River waters for generating 28 percent of its electric power. As water flows have varied, the country must use oil resources to make up the gap in demand. Egypt was able to reach agreement with Sudan in 1959 that guaranteed 55.5 billion cubic meters of water annually and allowed Egypt to build the Aswan Dam. No agreement has been reached with Ethiopia, “which is the source of 85 percent of the Nile’s headwaters.”162 Ethiopia has plans to build a new on dam the Blue Nile River. The dam will supply water to “1.5 million newly resettled peasants in the western province of Welega and to provide a steady source of hydroelectric power for the country. The facility is expected to divert 39 percent of the Blue Nile’s water.” Egypt has warned that building such a dam would be adverse to Egypt’s national security,” 163 and blocked a loan to Ethiopia in the African Development Bank that would have financed the project. Anwar Sadat allegedly told his army to prepare to invade Ethiopia in the event waters were diverted. On the White Nile River in Sudan there is also internal conflict related to water. The Sudanese People’s Liberation Army (SPLA) was able to stop construction of the Jonglei Canal 160 Glassman, p. 150. Peter H. Gleick, “Water and Conflict: Fresh Water Resources and International Security”, International Security, Vol. 18, No. 1, Summer 1993, p. 86. 162 Christopher L. and David A. Deese,” At the Water’s Edge: Regional Conflict and Cooperation over Fresh Water”, UCLA Journal of International Law and Foreign Affairs, Vol. 21, 1996, p. 43. 163 Christopher L. Kukk and David A. Deese,” At the Water’s Edge: Regional Conflict and Cooperation over Fresh Water”, UCLA Journal of International Law and Foreign Affairs, Vol. 21, 1996, p. 44. 161 259 co-financed by Egypt and Sudan. (The Sudanese government and the SPLA recently did sign a peace agreement on the long-standing civil war there.) The SPLA believed the project that to drain the Sudd would only export their waters to their Arab neighbors to the north. The SPLA has also regarded oil exploration in the South under the same terms. Not all waters that Egypt uses are those that flow on the surface. Under a resettlement program to lure people from the delta in the desert, the government will provide water to the migrants. A large underground aquifer lies under Libya, Egypt, Sudan and Chad but so far only Egypt and Libya are drawing from it. ”At that rate, and without any other country tapping the water, the aquifer is expected to run dry in 40 to 60 years.”164 By then, it may be more precious than oil. b. Water and the Disappearance of the Anasazi Period Class Category Type Middle Social Type Specific Resources Water The warming climate of the planet since the last Ice Age brought humans into conflict with Neanderthals. Around 1000 AD, a shorter period of warming offered both opportunity and cost. The Vikings moved into North America when new lands opened and fought Native Americans. The Mayans declined over time, in part, due to internecine conflict. North of the Mayans, the Anasazi in the American Southwest experienced similar problems due to drying conditions that were not millennial in nature but rather changes in precipitation patterns that occurred in shorter periods, perhaps over the course of a hundred years. 164 Kukk and Deese, p. 46. 260 The Anasazi perfected a specialized system of sustenance that allowed them a life along the narrow ribbons of water in the American Southwest. The rivers provided shelter, safety, and housing. The Anasazi disappearance is still a matter of debate. Some elements of their story resemble the story of the Mayans, but others elements resemble the Viking’s experience. The deserts of the American Southwest were as desolate of life as the tundra and icepacks of Greenland. The roots of Anasazi society dates to 10,000 years ago as nomadic hunter-gatherers on the plains of North America expanded. About 2,000 years ago, there seemed to be a small shift in subsistence strategy as corn was introduced into the diet of the ancient Pueblos. They started to become a more sedimentary people and they began to focus their lives in the area around the area of Colorado. Archaeologists call this stage of their society, from about year 0 until 550 CE, “the Basketmakers,” primarily because of their extensive ability to weave and create baskets. These baskets enabled the people of the region to gather food more effectively: Food was a constant, primary concern for the Basket Makers. Like the earlier hunting cultures of the Colorado Plateau, these people were masters at collecting seed, nuts, and other fruits and berries. With corn available to cultivate, the people began to stay longer in the area. They found that some species of gourds grew well in gardens, thus providing another food. They were competent hunters. Tools were fashioned from the bones of animals.165 The Anasazi were from an original group that migrated to the Four Corners area around 100 BC (this is the point where four U.S. states come together: Colorado, Arizona, New Mexico and Utah). The Anasazi evolved in five periods. They moved to the area around the year 100 Wenger, Gilbert R. 1980, Story of Mesa Verde National Park. Available online at http://www.mesaverde.org/smvf/p1.htm, and in print, p. 28 165 261 AD and evolved from hunter-gatherers to agriculturists, becoming sedentary around 500 AD.166 They may have been pushed into this inhospitable climate by other expanding peoples. A time of advancement called or “Modified Basket maker” period followed (see Table IV-3). Table IV-3 Anasazi Periods of Growth and Decline Period Name 1. Basket Makers 2. Modified Basket Maker 3. Developmental Pueblo 4. Pueblo 5. Decline Time Era 1-450 AD 450-750 AD 750-1100 AD 1100-1300 AD 1300-1600 AD These simple technological advances were built on over time and slowly the rural lifestyle became urban. This led to the “Developmental Pueblo” period, but this was in fact a long process of evolution. “The Anasazi were dry farmers who relied on capturing unpredictable rainfall for the growth of crops. After 1000 AD, their culture reached its maximum population and geographic distribution, due to more efficient farming methods. They established trails and roads and created points from which signals could be relayed. They engaged in a thriving trade, especially of their distinctive black-on-white pottery and turquoise.”167 One source notes this gradual process led to steps forward but also steps back. ”With their more settled lifestyle came the need for more permanent housing for the slowly increasing population. Although the change was not immediately evident, these cultural adaptations gradually changed the relationship between the Anasazi and their land. The ultimate impact of disturbing the delicate balance between the use and abuse of the land took several hundred years to manifest it fully. Michael Allen and Robert Stevens compare the fate of the Anasazi with 166 167 Bretemitz and Smith, 1975, p. 36. Desert USA, http://www.desertusa.com/. 262 modern problem that result from upsetting the “delicate balance between human needs and available environmental resources.” 168 One change was the development of new weaponry for hunting game and fighting with other people. Over this period, the Anasazi replaced the atlatl with more advanced tools. The atlatl is essentially a wooden device for propelling a spear and an evolutionary adaptation from the earlier and larger Clovis point weapons used to hunt mega-fauna by the Anasazi’s ancestors, the mammoth hunters. The development of bow and arrow technology proved to be a much more useful weapon in the group’s arsenal and permitted the hunting of a larger population of game. This led to food surpluses, but the limited supply of game was quickly exhausted. The culmination of the “Pueblo” period was urbanization but the hunters needed to travel further and further from the city for game. This centralization strategy ultimately failed and a period of “Decline” ensued. Archaeologist Stephen Lekson “found evidence of a swift migration by entire villages of Anasazi around the year 1300” following a long drought that began about 1150 AD.169 There is a debate on why. Was it simply migration or a search for more water? Was there conflict between the groups in competition for the limited resources? Similar to their Anasazi cousins, the Hohokam and the Mogollon declined after 1300. The drought problem was thus widespread. By 1600, the Anasazi vanished. “Various theories attribute diminished resources, population increases, lowered water tables, breakdown of social structure or raiding by enemies as the cause of their demise.”170 168 Allen, Michael G.; Steven, Robert L., "People and their environment: Searching the historical record", Social Studies, Jul/Aug 1996, Vol. 87 Issue 4, p. 156. 169 "Researchers Find Evidence on Movement Of Ancient Farming Group in Southwest", Wall Street Journal, New York, N.Y., Oct 30, 2000. 170 Desert USA, http://www.desertusa.com/. 263 As the Anasazi decline became more intense, internecine conflict focused on limited resources became an intense problem. Some believe the Anasazi turned to a new food source: each other. “Human remains found at a twelfth-century A.D. site near Cowboy Wash in southwestern Colorado provide further evidence of cannibalism among the Anasazi.171 The remains of 12 people were discovered at the site, but only five were from burials. “The other seven appear to have been systematically dismembered, defleshed, their bones battered, and in some cases burned or stewed, leaving them in the same condition as bones of animals used for food. Cut marks, fractures, and other stone-tool scars were present on the bones, and the light color of some suggests stewing. Patterns of burning indicate that many were exposed to flame while still covered with flesh, which is what would be expected after cooking over a fire.”172 Citing cannibalism as a source of conflict does not answer the question of why it occurred. “Human remains from other sites in the area were similarly treated, and three explanations have been proposed: hunger-induced cannibalism, ritual cannibalism adopted from Mesoamerica, or something else altogether. They note a sharp increase in evidence of cannibalism between 1130 and 1150, followed in each case by the abandonment of the site, then a decrease in the early 1200s as the climate improved.” 173 There are parallel means for confirming these climate changes. “Careful scrutiny of treering records seemed to establish that in the late 1200's a prolonged dry spell called the Great “A Case for Cannibalism," Archaeology, January/February 1994. Amelie A. Walker, “Anasazi Cannibalism?”, 1997 by the Archaeological Institute of America, Newsbriefs, Volume 50 Number 5 September/October 1997, http://www.archaeology.org/9709/newsbriefs/anasazi.html 173 Amelie A. Walker, Volume 50 Number 5 September/October 1997, Anasazi Cannibalism? “A religious leader from a Ute tribe, on whose reservation the remains were found, supervised the archaeological work and will rebury the bones.” 171 172 264 Drought drove these people, the ancestors of today's pueblo Indians, to abandon their magnificent stone villages at Mesa Verde and elsewhere on the Colorado Plateau, never to return again.”174 Archeological evidence shows that in this period, perhaps as a reaction to drier weather, people in the Mesa Verde area began building dams and canals to trap and divert water to terraced fields. They were "investing in landscapes" and presumably began to feel territorial pressures. "The land was filling up with claims and rights".175 How do we link the record to the theory? Correlating these tree data (dendrochronology) with information on productivity of various soil types, modern crop yields, and detailed geography, Adler concludes that enough corn could have been grown during the drought to support the population.” 176 Archeologists believed the Anasazi suffered from malnutrition, shorter life spans and increased infant mortality, but there is less evidence of catastrophe in the short-term. Some climatological evidence, based on tree-ring and pollen studies, suggests that Anasazi farmers may have been kept from moving to higher, moister grounds by a worldwide cooling trend known as the Little Age Ice. This same phenomenon ended the Viking colonization of Greenland and North America. The Anasazi were squeezed from two directions: lower elevations too dry for farming and higher ones too cold.177 Historical records from 900 to 1300 A.D. in Europe indicate that this was a time of changes in atmospheric circulation known as the Medieval Warm Period. In high-latitude regions this was largely beneficial: grapes were grown in England and the Norse founded colonies first George Johnson, “Social Strife May Have Exiled Ancient Indians”, The New York Times, August 20, 1996, p. c-1 (Science Desk). 175 Van West. 176 George Johnson, “Social Strife May Have Exiled Ancient Indians”, The New York Times, August 20, 1996, p. c-1 (Science Desk). 177 Van West. 174 265 in Iceland and then in southern Greenland. But in arid regions a warmer climate, especially when accompanied by drought, can cause significant difficulties for farmers. A fifty-year drought occurred between 1130 and 1180 A.D. It was during this period that soil and water conservation features such as grid borders, terraces and check dams began to be built in the Four Corners area.178 Yet the Anasazi were capable of continuing in their lands in that situation. They built a number of reservoirs. Their dams were retained water, but also silt. “Intermittent water running down the small drainage courses deposited silt behind the dams. The silt, which was often several feet deep, would retain moisture for a considerable period of time. The Pueblo farmers used those areas as small farming plots.” 179 They built an irrigation ditch more than four miles long.180 The Anasazi were able to successfully grow enough corn, squash, beans, and cotton to satisfy subsistence needs and create a surplus. When this cycle of drought began, Anasazi civilization was at its height. Communities were densely populated. Even with good rains, the Anasazi were using their land to its limits. Without rain, it was impossible to grow enough food to support the population. Widespread famine occurred. People left the area in large numbers to join other pueblo peoples to the south and east, abandoning the Chaco Canyon pueblos and, later, the smaller communities that Annenberg/CPB. 2001. "Collapse: Why Do Civilizations Fall? Chaco Canyon." Accessed 07/31/2003. http://www.learner.org/exhibits/collapse/chacocanyon.html 179 Annenberg/CPB. 2001. "Collapse: Why Do Civilizations Fall? Chaco Canyon." Accessed 07/31/2003. http://www.learner.org/exhibits/collapse/chacocanyon.html 180 Romero, Tom I. Spring 2002. Colorado Law Review. "Uncertain Waters And Contested Lands: Excavating The Layers Of Colorado's Legal Past." Supranote 53. John Ragsdale. 1998. “Anasazi Jurisprudence.” American Indian Law Review. 178 266 surrounded them. Anasazi civilization began a long period of migration and decline after these years of drought and famine. By the 1300s, it had all but died out in Chaco Canyon.181 The Anasazi houses were built in large alcoves with overhanging ledges; making it difficult to drop anything on them as part of an attack. Only a direct assault could be attempted. The steep slope would make it difficult for an enemy to attack. Defenders in the houses could carefully aim their arrows at attackers trying to run uphill with poor footwear over rough terrain. If an attack lasted more than a day, the enemy would have to withdraw to obtain water and food. Water and food stored in the cliff houses would provide the defenders at any time.182 The result of expanding populations and declining resources was conflict and warfare. Jonathon Haas believes that “if you don't have enough food to feed your children, you go raiding. And once I raid you, then you have justification to raid back -- the revenge motive. And so warfare becomes endemic in the 13th century."183 Was the decline of the Anasazi pushed over the edge by conflict? “Groundbreaking climatological studies have convinced many archeologists that the "so-called Great Drought…simply was not bad enough to be the deciding factor in the sudden evacuation, in which tens of thousands of Anasazi …moved to the Hopi mesas in northeastern Arizona, to the Zuni lands in western New Mexico and to dozens of adobe villages in the watershed of the Rio Grande.”184 Even more telling is evidence that the Anasazi Romero. Wegner. 183 Dr. Jonathan Haas of the Field Museum in Chicago in Johnson. 184 George Johnson, Social Strife May Have Exiled Ancient Indians, The New York Times, August 20, 1996, p. c-1 (Science Desk). "Nobody is talking about great droughts anymore," asserts anthropologist Linda Cordell. "The mystery of the Anasazi is an open book again." 181 182 267 had weathered many severe droughts in the past. Why did the one in the late 13th century cause an entire population to abandon the settlements they had worked so hard to build?185 The drought clearly provides a powerful tool push factor that favors migration. "The peculiar character of the abandonment is its completeness, its rapidity. This suggests that some kind of 'pull' was operating as well -- or an ideology favoring migration." Analyzing the spread of religious symbols found on rocks or pottery and the distribution of ceremonial structures, some archeologists argue that the Anasazi may have been pulled from their homeland by a new religion emerging among neighbors to the south. Recent climate studies suggest a disruption in rainfall patterns in a way that may have made the Anasazi disillusioned with their old religion. Suddenly, the customary pattern of heavy snows in the winter followed by summer monsoons had become unpredictable. Even if there was not a great drought, moisture may have been coming at the wrong times. The summer rains, so necessary to keep the spring crops from dying, were no longer reliable. The rain dances were not working anymore. c. The Jordan River and Conflict in the Middle East Time Class Category Type Modern Environmental Breadth Specific Resources Water Conflict over water resources was an indirect issue with respect to the Anasazi and direct issue with respect to the ancient Egyptians. Water among the Anasazi was so scarce that disaster was an inevitable outcome. Conflict arose over the disposition of the dwindling resources. The 185 George Johnson, Social Strife May Have Exiled Ancient Indians, The New York Times, August 20, 1996, p. c-1 (Science Desk). 268 case of the Nile was an early harbinger of the coming stress that growing populations would exert on supplies and the conflict situations that would result. The scarcity of water and how it invites conflict is naturally an issue in areas where water is generally scarce. On a global regional scale, this means the Middle East ought to have a higher number of conflicts because it is the driest portion of the planet. It is also in the Tension Belt. One would expect these cases to focus on the few major waterways in the Mideast, such as the Jordan River. The combination of the limited water resources and the Middle East’s role as a crossroads for human and Neanderthal populations has produced a rich and conflict-filled history. Its geographic space makes it inviting to people, but its actual ability to support human populations is rather low (at least today). This modern problem has roots in a problem that dates back to the ancient water cases related to the Nile River case and others. The state of Israel emerged in 1948 and led to an immediate war with its Arab neighbors. Control of water resources was an essential part of the conflict. Controlling water was a direct continuation of the conflict even after hostilities ceased. In 1951, Jordan began an irrigation project that tapped into the Yarmuk River, some say to deprive Israelis of downstream water in the Jordan River. Israel then closed the gates on a dam south of the Sea of Galilee and began draining the Huleh swamps.186 The swamps lay within the demilitarized zone and led to border skirmishes between Syria and Israel.187 (This has some similarity with the later Korean DMZ case.) In the early 1950’s, Israel created a National Water Carrier to transport water from the Jordan River and the Sea of Galilee to the Negev desert. These new waterways permitted See “Jordan River Dispute”, TED Case Studies, November 1997. http”//www.American.edu/TED/westabnk.htm. 187 Aaron T. Wolf, Hydropolitics Along the Jordan River: Scarce Water and its Iimpact on the Arab-Israeli conflict, New York: United Nations University Press, 1995, p. 45. 186 269 cultivation of desert land. In 1955 Syrian artillery units opened fire on the Israeli construction team. In an attempt to settle the water dispute, American President Eisenhower appointed Eric Johnston as mediator.188 This was the first recognition of the key role of water in negotiation. In 1953, Israel began construction of the National Water Carrier at the intake point north of the Sea of Galilee. The intake point was within the demilitarized zone, established in the aftermath of the 1948 war. Syria threatened a military response, and after international disapproval, Israel moved the construction to Eshed Kinrot. Diversion of the Jordan River was one of causes of the 1967 Arab-Israeli War. In 1964, Israel opened the National Water Carrier and began diverting water from the Jordan. This project was in competition with a similar plan for water withdrawal in Jordan, as part of the East Ghor Project. The First Arab Summit of 1964 began with plans to divert the Jordan headwaters to Arab states. In 1965, Arab States started construction on the Headwater Diversion Plan; diverting the Hasbani into the Litani in Lebanon, and the Banias into the Yarmuk and caught at a dam at Mukheiba in Jordan and Syria. This diversion would have accounted for a loss of 35 per cent of Israel’s total water diversions and would cause the salinity rate to increase in Lake Kinneret. Israel vowed to fight for the water.189 On four occasions between 1965 and 1967, the Israeli army attacked the diversion construction in Syria, and these border skirmishes led to two air battles. During the 1967 war, Israel destroyed the Arab diversion construction and in six days captured the Golan Heights, the West Bank, the Gaza Strip, and the Sinai Peninsula. The latter 188 Cooley, p. 9. Aaron T. Wolf, Hydropolitics Along the Jordan River: Scarce Wwater and its Impact on the Arab-Israeli Conflict (New York: United Nations University Press, 1995), p. 50. 189 270 two were returned as part of a peace agreement with Egypt. Water was an issue with respect to the Golan Heights, where Israel now controlled the Jordan Rivers headwaters and had access to the waters of the Yarmuk River. Israel also gained access to the length of the Jordan River and controlled its three major aquifers. In 1969, Israel attacked Jordan’s East Ghor Canal. Earlier that year, Israeli Water Authorities measured the Yarmuk River, found its level below average, and accused Jordan of diverting the waters through the canal. Following terrorist attacks in 1969, Israel twice destroyed the new East Ghor Canal. All of this eventually became more political than factual. After U.S. mediation, a fact-finding enquiry convinced Israel that the drop in water flow was the result of natural forces. Rivers are not the only areas of contention. After the 1967 war, Israel controlled the recharge zone of the Yarkon-Taninim Aquifer, which currently supplies about 1/3 of Israel s water supply. Israel’s 1967 nationalization of all the West Bank water resources further increased tensions. The nationalization limited Palestinian water use and there were further limits on the amount of water withdrawn by wells, and has curtailed Palestinian drilling for wells. Palestinians also complain that during water shortages their water is shut off before that of the Israeli settlement areas.190 The Jordan River originates on the border of Israel, Lebanon, and Syria. Three springs converge to create the headwaters: the Hasbani River (originating in south Lebanon), the Dan River (originating in Israel), and the Banais River (originating in the Golan Heights and converge six kilometers within Israel and flow into the Sea of Galilee. Ten kilometers past the 190 Sharif S. Elmusa, "The Water Issue and the Palestinian-Israeli Conflict," Information Paper Number 2 (Washington, DC: Center for Policy Analysis on Palestine, 1993), p. 3. 271 sea, the river joins with the Yarmuk River (originating in Syria and Jordan). The Jordan River reaches the Dead Sea at 400 meters below sea level.191 Figure IV-9: The Jordan River The Jordan River travels through two very different regions: a Mediterranean climate in the north and desert in the south. The rainfall pattern varies over time, but generally decreasing from north to south and west to east (see Figure IV-9). About 75 per cent of the rainfall comes in the four winter months, with substantial annual variations (25-40 per cent). An aquifer’s utility is measured by the amount that can be pumped out without depleting the water left in storage. The "safe yield" is usually equal to the recharge rate.192 The three main aquifers in the area are west of the Jordan, and are central to the water supply of Israel, Jordan, and the West Bank and Gaza Strip: a western, or Yarkon-Taninim or Mountain, aquifer, a 191 See Aaron T. Wolf, Hydropolitics Along the Jordan River: Scarce Water and Its Impact on the Arab-Israeli Conflict (New York: United Nations University Press, 1995) 7 and Xavier Henri Farinelli, "Freshwater Conflicts in the Jordan River Basin," Green Cross International http://www.gci.ch/water/gcwater/study.html, p. 24. 192 Ismail Serageldin, “Water Diplomacy and the 21st Century: From Conflict to Cooperation”, Fifth World Bank Conference, Washington, D.C., October 10, 1997. 272 northeastern aquifer, which discharges into northern Israel, and the eastern aquifer that flows to the Jordan Valley. Israel’s renewable annual water supply has 60 per cent coming from groundwater and 40 per cent from surface waters. Almost all water comes from the Jordan River Basin. About a third comes from the Sea of Galilee, while the western aquifer supplies another third. Water supplies also receive more per year from wastewater reclamation and non- renewable groundwater. The total is divided as follows: 73 per cent to agriculture, 22 per cent to domestic use, and 5 per cent to industrial use. This water irrigates 66 per cent of Israel’s cropland (see Table IV-4). Table IV-4 Water Use in the Idle East Water Sources % Surface % Aquifer Israel* West Bank Palestine Jordan Gaza Volume (mcm/year) 1,800 40 115 700 60 50 -- Water Uses % Agric % Domestic % Industry 60 73 90 22 10 5 -- 50 100 85 95 10 5 5 -- * Israel captures 200mcm/year in wastewater reclamation. Source: Aaron T. Wolf, Hydropolitics Along the Jordan River, pp. 10-12 One approach to increasing water availability is to promote desalinization but this remains an expensive proposition. Another is to bring seawater to places inland where salinity rates are already high. The Dead Canal is the grandest of these ideas and perhaps the most appealing. 273 A million years ago, a major earthquake created the Syrian-African Rift, the Dead Sea, and the Jordan River Valley.193 The Dead Sea is the lowest point on earth at 400 feet below sea level. Dead Sea water evaporates and creates salts that have both therapeutic and chemical application. The Dead Sea's salt concentration is about 33 percent, compared to 3 percent in the Mediterranean Sea. In the 1930s, the inflow of freshwater into the Dead Sea was roughly equal to the rate of evaporation, with the Jordan River emptying some 1,300 cubic millimeters/year (two thirds of the total inflow) into the Dead Sea. Today, that inflow is only 400 cubic millimeters per year due to national water projects on both sides of the Jordan that have diverted upstream water. As the rate of inflow from the Jordan has decreased, so has the level of the Dead Sea.194 The idea of connecting the Dead Sea to the Mediterranean goes back to the 19th century, when some engineers suggested the possibility of using the natural elevation difference between the two seas to produce hydroelectric energy. According to this scheme, turbines would convert water into mechanical energy that could be used to produce electricity. The electricity could then be used for desalinization and the creation of fresh water. Theodore Herzl, the founder of modern Zionism, formalized the idea of a hydropower canal connecting the Mediterranean to the Dead Sea in his 1902 novel Altneuland. He wrote that it would be possible to take advantage of the 400-meter drop to generate hydroelectric power. In the 1950s, the American conservationist Walter C. Lowdermilk, conducted research on a canal stretching from the Mediterranean, across the Negev Desert, to the Dead Sea. He concluded that See Shari Berke, “Dead Sea Canal”, TED Case Studies, No. 429, January 1998, http://www.american.edu/TED/deadsea.htm. 194 The Dead Sea originally consisted of two basins -- a larger, deep northern basin and a shallow southern one -- separated by a peninsula called El Lisan ("the tongue" in Arabic). The southern basin is essentially dry, except for evaporation ponds used for Israeli and Jordanian potash plants. 193 274 the 400-meter drop would generate 100 megawatts of electric power. Scientists have revisited the idea of a hydroelectric scheme that would produce water without flooding tourist and industrial sites along the shores. In 1977, an Israeli planning group considered four possible routes for a canal: one from the Gulf of Aqaba in the south and three from the Mediterranean (the northernmost being the one envisioned by Lowdermilk). The group favored the southern-most Mediterranean route, which would avoid the country's major aquifers and could promote development in the northern Negev. The project would refill the lake to the level of the 1930s over a period of 10 to 20 years. The Jordanians proposed a similar canal, with the source of water originating from the Red Sea instead of the Mediterranean. According to the plan, water would be pumped from the Red Sea at Jordan's southernmost town of Aqaba to an elevation of 220 meters. From there, it would flow via tunnel through the Jordan Rift Valley before dropping into the Dead Sea. The Dead Sea is part of ancient culture. Aristotle (304-322 B.C.) was the first to tell the world about the salty body of water where no fish live and people float. Pliny the Elder (23-79 BC) reported the therapeutic qualities of the water. King Solomon and Cleopatra used Dead Sea compounds to cure common ailments. There has been export of the chemical products for several thousand years. One study estimates that construction of the canal would take 10 years with a rough cost of $5 billion. The estimated cost of water diverted by a canal would range from $1.30 to $1.55 per cubic meter. These costs are roughly in line with the cost of desalinated seawater. What are the solutions? Desalinization seems one of a few ways to increase the amount of water available. Although infrastructure is expensive, the price of desalinated water has decreased. In the early 1980s, the unit cost was $1.2 per cubic meter. By 1994, the cost dropped 275 to between $0.6 and $0.7. Price decreases are expected to continue as the desalination industry continues to grow. The Dead Sea is not in danger of drying up any time soon. Water evaporates slowly because the water’s dissolved salts lower the vapor pressure over the surface. According to the current rate of evaporation, it would take hundreds of years for the lake to dry up because the northern basin is so deep. The Jordan River supplies Israel and Jordan with the vast majority of their water. Many hydrologists believe that people need 1000 cubic meters per person per year as a minimum water requirement for an efficient moderately industrialized nation. Inside Israel's border, the availability of water per-capita in 1990 was 470 cubic meters. It is estimated that by the year 2025 this availability will be reduced to 310 cubic meters.195 As such, over 50 percent of Israel's water sources rely on rain that falls outside of the Israeli border. Israel depends on water supply that comes from rivers either that originates outside the border, or from disputed lands. d. Comparing and Reflecting on the Water Cases Two points of comparison are relevant. First, there existed extensive relations between these ancient empires that relied on wood and water for survival. No doubt these exchanges also included transfers of technology, including military technology. Trade became another means for ameliorating the difference between the push and pull factors. Second, the need for water today, due to an extreme imbalance between push and pull factors, creates extreme frontiers of dispute. 195 Glace, p. 101. 276 The cases on the Nile, Tigris-Euphrates, and Indus Rivers are three of the great homes of ancient river civilizations. No doubt trade led to some synchronicity in their approaches to environment and conflict situations. These relations are nonetheless undeniable. “Archaeologists from UCLA and the University of Delaware have unearthed the most extensive remains to date from sea trade between India and Egypt during the Roman Empire, adding to mounting evidence that spices and other exotic cargo traveled into Europe over sea as well as land.”196 The relations became so extensive that systems of competing transportation modes that traveled over land and by water grew. The desire for interaction was stronger than the impediments of connection imposed by countries that lie between them. "When cost and political conflict prevented overland transport, ancient mariners took to the Red Sea, and the route between India and Egypt appears to have been even more productive than we ever thought." 197 The importance of sea trade became a key means to meet the wood deficit. It was also an early example of the idea of recycling. “Among the buried ruins of buildings that date back to Roman rule, the team discovered vast quantities of teak, a wood indigenous to India and today's Myanmar, but not capable of growing in Egypt, Africa or Europe. Researchers believe the teak, which dates to the 196 http://www.popular-science.net/history/india_egypt_trade_route.html , Popular-Science.net, “Archaeologists Uncover Maritime Spice Route between India, Egypt”, September 3, 2004 (same as access date). 197 http://www.popular-science.net/history/india_egypt_trade_route.html, PopularScience.net, “Archaeologists Uncover Maritime Spice Route between India, Egypt”, September 3, 2004 (same as access date). "The Silk Road gets a lot of attention as a trade route, but we've found a wealth of evidence indicating that sea trade between Egypt and India was also important for transporting exotic cargo, and it may have even served as a link with the Far East." For over eight years, archaeologists have excavated a site at Berenike, an abandoned Egyptian sea port on the Red Sea near the border with Sudan. 277 first century, came to the desert port as hulls of shipping vessels. When the ships became worn out or damaged beyond repair, Berenike [an ancient city located in modern day Sudan] residents recycled the wood for building materials, the researchers said. The team also found materials consistent with ship-patching activities, including copper nails and metal sheeting.” 198 Three key issues show how resources became more specifically targeted with human development. From hunting grounds needed to acquire food, to wood needed to build cities, to the important role of water irrigation, these new concerns reflect the old concerns of human development. The foes in the conflicts also changed: from Neanderthal to mythic creatures (a symbol of nature) to other human beings and their gods. Egypt, as noted in the earlier Cedars of Lebanon case study, was already importing wood and timber from Lebanon to build its great cities 3,000 years ago. The modern battle for water is not above ground but below it. There is simply no more surface water to distribute and that which remains is highly contentious. The focus thus is on water under the ground. “Aquifers are underground water systems that underlie most of the earth's landmass. Shallow aquifers are renewable, in that they are continually replenished from rain water and snow melt that seeps down into the ground rather than immediately being drained by streams and rivers into the oceans. Fossil aquifers, on the other hand, are extremely deeplying (i.e., half a mile or more) aquifers that are non-renewable, at least in terms of a time scale useful for human populations (according to the Food and Agriculture Organization). The term stems from the fact that some of these aquifers were formed (and sealed) in prehistoric (even pre- 198 http://www.popular-science.net/history/india_egypt_trade_route.html, PopularScience.net, “Archaeologists Uncover Maritime Spice Route between India, Egypt”, September 3, 2004 (same as access date). 278 human) times.” 199 A huge aquifer underlies Egypt and Libya and others are in Sudan and Chad that also cross national borders, though far underground. Some aquifers are replenished by slow natural processes. Fossil aquifers are completely enclosed, similar to oil, and are not renewed. What are the environmental and legal consequences? How much water is there? What are international implications? Other large aquifers include the Guarani in South America, the Kalahari in Southern Africa and the Nubian in Northeast Africa. Will this issue lead to more cooperation or more conflict? The Anasazi case is reminiscent of the “ancient cases” that examined water as a specific resource that can be a reason for conflict, especially that of the Nile River. The Nile is the longest river on the planet (there are some differences on how one measures the length of the river) and the Anasazi relied on the existence of much smaller rivers or streams. Size is thus an important attribute of the cases, in that the scale of impacts may be proportional to the size of populations supported by rivers. There are also links to the Mayans before their decline that helped shaped Anasazi culture. There were Meso American influences on Chaco culture and similarities in architecture (great houses), the practice of teeth chiseling, and the existence of cannibalism. Perhaps the Anasazi learned of the fate of the Mayans, and chose another alternative. "Anasazi…was a Navajo word. The Navajo used it to describe the ancient people, now vanished, whose ruined dwellings the Navajo found when they migrated into the Four Corners region from the northward. In a loose, vague sense Anasazi meant ancient enemies. Richard did not know if this implied that the first of the Navajos had found 199 Donald Jones, Center for Heritage Resource Studies, http://www.heritage.umd.edu/CHRSWeb/World%20Heritage/Heritage%20Spots/Heritage%20S pots%20PH.htm, at the University of Maryland in College Park. 279 some of these early ones still in their pueblos and cliff dwellings, and made war upon them."200 The change in climate that impacted the Mayas, Anasazi and the Vikings were all related to this single phenomenon of vast changes in temperature and climate over the period from year 900 to 1500 that impacted large parts of the Northern Hemisphere. These are lessons for the debate on current climate change and its relation to conflict. The existence of fresh water in arid areas is an ecotone artifact that naturally invites conflict. The need for water might be expressed as water availability per person and no doubt, there are those thresholds that indicate the likelihood of conflict once water use dropped below those levels. This threshold might represent something such as minimum daily requirements for a person. The ancient Nile case and the middle-era Anasazi case shows the imbalance between supply and demand for water in areas where it is sparse. The modern Jordan River case echoes this long standing trend in the Middle East. Water is both the cradle of civilization and the grave of many from intersections of conflict and environment. 5. Weapons Early people saw the power of nature and the damage it could wreak though earthquakes and volcanic eruptions. In particular, the river cities that grew were often destroyed and rebuilt after major floods. Water could be a great weapon. The recognition that the environment and its resources can actually be used as weapons of war or part of a war strategy is explored through 200 McNitt, Frank. Anasazi. Albuquerque: University of New Mexico Press, 1991. 280 case studies of water and the Assyrians, the Native American and buffalo, and the Kuwait War and oil. The weapons of war required great efforts in history and these efforts are now more capable with modern technology. There are relatively few cases of the use of the environment as a weapon of war, similar to the issue of climate change. The cases are all relatively short in duration in achieving their outcome and the outcome is usually a definitive victory. In the purple feedback loop in the environment sub-system, the link of victory is associated especially with the extremely near and extremely long term (see Figure IV-9). The former suggests a quick end to a battle, the latter to a multi-generation struggle. Figure IV-9 The Environment as a Sub-System Causal System (Purple Loop in Conflict-Environment Overlap Sub-System) a. Weapons: Nebuchadnezzar’s Water Wars Time Period Class Category Type Ancient Ownership Non-Sovereign Environment as a Weapon 281 As human settlements grew and put increasing strains of the water supply, the growing scarcity reflected interest in engaging in conflict to secure resources. Water emerged as a resource worth fighting for, especially due to the successes of the Agricultural Revolution. Water use evolved from an aspect of survival to an early weapon of mass destruction. One of the earliest examples of the use of water as a weapon is the ancient Sumerian myth -- which parallels the Biblical account of Noah and the deluge -- recounting the deeds of the diety Ea, who punished humanity’s sins by inflicting the Earth with a great flood. According to the Sumerians, the patriarch Utu speaks with Ea who warns him of the impending flood and orders him to build a large vessel filled with ‘all the seeds of life’.201 Truth or mythology, the great flood story reflects the historical importance of water in the Middle East. Not only did ancient society understand water’s value in the life cycle, but it understood water’s potential to bring agricultural prosperity and physical security. The people experienced the effects of flood and sought an explanation for such devastation. Finding answers in the will of the gods, they connected the great flood to gods’ punishment for original sin, which is an interpretation of free will in all three traditions. The gods were the first to introduce the water weapon to man, whose free will allows him to mimic the gods. Since the great flood, men have used water as a weapon of mass destruction by its contamination, diversion, dispossession, and by waterpower itself. Water has been an element in conflict in other historical writings dating over 4000 years old. Moses led the Jews away from slavery and across the Sinai desert where the Egyptian army trapped them against the Red Sea. In the story, the Red Sea suddenly parted and led the Jews to Haleh Hatami and Peter Gleick. “Conflicts Over Water in the Myths, Legends, and Ancient History of the Middle East.” Environment, April 1994, Vol. 36, Issue 3. 201 282 freedom but them closed and destroyed the Egyptian army. The story of Exodus was originally written in Hebrew Yam Sup, a language that can be interpreted in many ways. Although the Red Sea is the common translation, the author could have meant the Sea of Reeds, the Gulf of Suez, the Gulf of Aqaba, or even the Mediterranean Sea. Recent evidence makes it scientifically plausible that the Jews could have crossed the Red Sea around 1500 BC, as in the story. Russian researchers Naum Volzinger and Alexei Androsov determined that a reef runs across the northern Red Sea.202 They have reason to believe that the reef was much closer to the surface in Moses’ time, and that the reef could have been exposed for small periods of time depending on weather patterns and tidal movements. The use of environment as an instrument of war has occurred throughout history. Nebuchadnezzar (604-562 B.C.) went to war over the Cedars of Lebanon and employed the waters of the Euphrates to defend Babylon from Assyrian attacks.203 Water became a tool of war for both offense and defense in attacking city-states. Nebuchadnezzar wrote that "to strengthen the defenses of Babylon, I had a mighty dike of earth thrown up, above the other, from the banks of the Tigris to that of the Euphrates five bern long and I surrounded the city with a great expanse of water, with waves on it like the sea."204 The defense also included an intricate system of canals. Nebuchadnezzar, however, did not start these projects but did finish them. He completed the works of his father, Nabopolassa. Nebuchadnezzar's building operations "were so extensive that in this particular he outranks all who preceded him, whether in Assyria or in Viegas, Jennifer. “Study: Red Sea Parting Possible.” Discover News. December 2, 2004. Available [online] http://dsc.discovery.com/news/briefs/20040202/redsea.html, accessed February 2, 2004. 203 Rogers, 1915 204 Drower, 1954. 202 283 Babylonia."205 Nebuchadnezzar evidently took pride in his accomplishments: "his long and elaborately written inscriptions have only a boastful line or two of conquest, while their long periods are heavy with the descriptions of extraordinary building operations."206 Large-scale water diversions became a weapon. Babylon, like Baghdad, was a difficult city to defend because the Euphrates River transects it. The older part of the city lay on the east bank and the new on the west. Nebuchadnezzar built forts at the north end, where prior invasions originated. He added a hydrological defense as well and diverted the Euphrates through a canal into a moat that wrapped around the city.207 Behind the great moat there were two walls: the inner wall of Babylon, the Imgur-Bêl, and the outer wall, the Nimitti-Bêl. The city was thought to be impregnable due to the moat and walls. The walls had a protected roadway called Imgur-Enlil, and Nimitti-Enlil (see later case studies on Hadrian’s Wall and the Great Wall of China). Herodotus, the Athenian historian, in Book One of his Histories includes this description of Babylon. “The wall is built down to the water on both sides, and at an angle to it there is another wall on each bank, built of baked bricks without mortar, running through the town. There are a great many houses of three and four stories. The main streets and the side streets which lead to the river are all dead straight, and for every one of the side streets or alleys there was a bronze gate in the river wall by which the water could be reached.”208 The areas where the river entered the city were also secured. Nebuchadnezzar notes "no pillaging robber might enter into this water sewer, with 205 206 207 208 Rogers, 1915. Rogers, 1915 Wellard, 1972. Sack, 1991. 284 bright iron bars I closed the entrance to the river, in gratings of iron I set it and fastened it with hinges." 209 Nebuchadnezzar, devotee of the god Marduk (noted earlier in the Epic of Gilgamesh), believed that "eternal fame rested on his creation of a rampart that would protect both his citizens and his god's temple from attack. Likewise, Gilgamesh built a rampart enclosing his city of Uruk and linked faith with conflict and “raised up the names of the gods' in a manner not seen before his time."210 Virtually all Mesopotamian rulers "considered defense of their capitals and the maintenance of their god's temples to be the keys to eternal fame."211 Nebuchadnezzar’s defense of Babylon through the use of the water was to be repeated many times throughout ancient history. As soon as humans learned to use water control as a resource from agricultural production, so too did they learn to use it as a weapon of war. Peter Gleick says that “The history of water-related disputes in the Middle East goes back to antiquity and is described in the many myths, legends, and historical accounts that have survived from earlier times. These disputes range from conflicts over access to adequate water supplies to intentional attacks on water delivery systems during wars.”212 This chronology is presented in the form of cases or events that involve water and conflict. Gleick’s database includes 120 cases in all, many of which overlap with the TED cases (in fact some are used). Gleick also presents these cases in terms of some basic categories for comparison and contrast over time (see Table IV-5).213 209 Sack, 1991. Sack, 1991. 211 Sack, 1991. 212 Gleick, et al, “Water, War and Peace in the Middle East”, Environment. 213 Peter Gleick, The World’s Water: Information on the World’s Freshwater Resources, “Water Conflict Chronology”, Pacific Institute, Updated August 18, 2003. http://www.worldwater.org/conflict.htm, accessed September 4, 2004. 210 285 The category operationalization is described in Gleick (1993, 1998). The “Bases of Conflict” includes (1) political goals, (2) military goals, (3) development disputes, (4) conflict targets, (5) conflict tools, and (6) Table IV-5 Water Cases Coding Categories (Peter Gleick) 1. Date 2. Parties Involved 3. Bases of Conflict 4. Violent vs. Context Conflict 5. Description terrorism. Violent versus context conflict differentiates direct and indirect links between conflict and water. The use of water has been an integral part of human history and human conflict. A 2003 UNESCO report noted that since “ancient times, the destruction of water resources and facilities have been used as weapons against the enemy.”214 History is full of such examples from all over the world, showing a great variety of ways and means to use water in military conflicts. Perhaps the idea of water as a weapon was when places saw the destruction of their homes through great floods, although the usually attributed to action to a vengeful god. Great floods are noted in the ancient Sumerian texts of 3000 BC and the role of the god Ea in punishing humans as well as in the Epic of Gilgamesh. For western civilization this story became the legend of Noah. In all three stories the same theme with variation is repeated. Human free will, taken by eating the apple of knowledge in the Garden of Eden, had gone too far and god wreaked vengeance on unholy people, and this vengeance is repeated in the stories of Sodom and Gomorrah as well. In this case, only the pious Noah and his family are spared a world wide flood. Having the foresight to build a giant ship and acquire pairs of all animals, Noah drifts on an endless sea until arriving on Mount Ararat and the waters then begin to subside. 214 UNESCO, 2003, accessed September 4, 2004. http://www.wateryear2003.org/en/ev.phpURL_ID=4682&URL_DO=DO_TOPIC&URL_SECTION=201.html. 286 A modern explanation is being pursued to suggest that this story was a real event. Robert Ballard and others have found evidence of human settlements deep in the Black Sea.215 The idea is that the melting glacial waters of the post Ice Age lead to the breaching of a sea wall that existed in the Straights of Dardanelles. The influx of sea water lay atop the existing fresh water, thus helping in the preservation of artifacts and flooded the people for lived along the shore of the lake. The idea is that this flood may have been the basis for the Noah story. Diverting precious water was also an issue long ago, and is an example of indirect conflict. “Urlama, King of Lagash from 2450 to 2400 B.C., diverts water from the region to boundary canals, drying up boundary ditches to deprive Umma [another city state] of water. His son Il cuts of the water supply to Girsu, a city in Umma.” Conflict broke out between the Mesopotamian city-states of Umma and Lagash over the fertile soils and water of the Tigris and Euphrates Rivers. From roughly 2500 to 2400 B.C. conflicts occurred over irrigation systems and diversion of water.216 Gleick’s water history shows that water as a weapon was frequently used through ancient history. “Other historical accounts offer fascinating insights into the role of water in war and politics. Sargon II, the Assyrian king from 720 to 705 B.C., destroyed the intricate irrigation network of the Haldians after his successful campaign through Armenia.”217 Water was also used to put down civil unrest. Chronicles 32.3 describes Sennacherib’s attack on Jerusalem. In this instance Jerusalem is saved by digging a conduit from wells outside Robert Ballard and Malcom McConnell. “Adventures in Ocean Exploration: From the Discovery of the Titanic to the Search for Noah's Flood”, National Geographic Society, 2001. See also Ryan, William and Walter Pitman. Noah’s Flood, New York: Touchstone. 1998. 216 Gleick, et al, “Water, war and peace in the Middle East”, Environment. 217 Gleick, et al, “Water, war and peace in the Middle East”, Environment. 215 287 the city walls to cut off enemy water supplies.218 “In quelling rebellious Assyrians in 695 B.C., Sennacherib razes Babylon and diverts one of the irrigation canals so that its water wash over the ruins.” In 689 B.C., in revenge for the death of his son, he destroyed the canals that supplied water to the city. Control of water resources became part of wartime campaigns. “Assurbanipal, King of Assyria from 669 to 626 B.C., seized water wells as part of his strategy of desert warfare against Arabia.219 In 612 B.C., “a coalition of Egyptian, Median (Persian), and Babylonian forces attacks and destroys Nineveh, the capital of Assyria. Nebuchadnezzar’s father, Nebopolassar, lead the Babylonians. The converging armies divert the Khosr River to create a flood, which allows them to elevate their siege engines on rafts.” In this case water was used as a means of laying siege to fortified cities. Nebuchadnezzar (605-562 B.C.) built immense walls around Babylon and used the Euphrates River to create a series of canals as defensive moats. The ancient historian Berossus said that he "arranged it so that besiegers would no longer be able to divert the river against the city by surrounding the inner city with three circuits of walls."220 In other wars he used water in different ways. ”In 596 B.C., Nebuchadnezzar breached the aqueduct that supplied the city of Tyre in order to end a long siege.” 221 Another ancient historian, Herodotus, tells how Cyrus the Great conquered Babylon in 539 B.C. by diverting the Euphrates River into the desert. He then marched troops into the city along the dry riverbed. The fascination with using water as a weapon continued through out 218 Chronicles 32:3 Gleick, et al, “Water, war and peace in the Middle East”, Environment. 220 Gleick, et al, “Water, war and peace in the Middle East”, Environment. 221 UNESCO, 2003, accessed September 4, 2004. http://www.wateryear2003.org/en/ev.phpURL_ID=4682&URL_DO=DO_TOPIC&URL_SECTION=201.html. 219 288 history. ”In 1503, Leonardo da Vinci and Machiavelli planned to divert the Arno River away from Pisa during a conflict between Pisa and Florence.”222 Modern wars too focus on destruction of water assets. “In 1938, Chiang Kai-shek ordered the destruction of flood-control dikes on a section of the Yellow River in order to flood areas threatened by the Japanese army. The flood did destroy part of the invading army, but also between 10,000 and 1 million Chinese people were displaced.”223 Allied forces targeted hydroelectric facilities in Germany in World War II and U.S. planes destroyed large parts of North Vietnam’s water system infrastructure. “North Vietnam claimed a death toll of 2 to 3 million inhabitants due to the drowning or starvation that resulted from these attacks.” 224 Like the Romans who salted the wells of the Carthaginians after defeating them in the Punic Wars, in the 1999 war in Kosovo “water supplies and wells were contaminated by Serbs”. 225 The use of water in conflict in the Middle East has continued up to today. In 1974, Iraq threatened to attack the al-Thawra Dam in Syria, and both sides called up border troops due to a dispute over control of downstream water. Completed in 1968, the impact was pronounced in the 1973-5 period when there were extensive droughts in the region. Only through the mediation of Saudi Arabia was war diverted. Since water behind dams can also be used to create electricity, war was extended into the realm of the use of water as a source of energy. Warfare adapted to this reality. In 1981, during the Iran-Iraq war, Iran bombed a dam for hydroelectric production in Kurdistan. Water scarcity has led to some initial efforts to use ocean water to supplement water resources, although is not fit for human consumption. In 1991, “during the Gulf War, Iraq 222 223 224 225 UNESCO, 2003, accessed September 4, 2004. UNESCO, 2003, accessed September 4, 2004. UNESCO, 2003, accessed September 4, 2004. UNESCO, 2003, accessed September 4, 2004. 289 destroys much of Kuwait’s desalination capacity during retreat.” The allies targeted Baghdad’s water and sanitation systems as part of the war. In response to a Shiite rebellion following the Gulf War of 1991, Saddam Hussein in 1993 launches a water deprivation war against the Ma’dan or Marsh Arabs.226 Water was an ancient dual-use product. It was both vital to a nation’s existence but also could be used as a weapon of war. Water was considered as a weapon in the Gulf War. The Allied forces, especially the United States, feared that Iraq would use chemical or biological weapons against invading troops. In the search for responses other than chemical, biological or nuclear, the United States held out the option of destroying several upstream dams from Baghdad on the Euphrates River. The release of waters would cause large-scale destruction downstream since most cities are on or near the river and ruin related water uses for human consumption or agriculture, for example. b. Weapons: The Slaughter of the Buffalo in Native American Wars Period Class Category Type Middle Conflict Non-territory Weapons Deer were a key food source for the survival for poor people in England living on the margin in the time of Robin Hood. In North America, buffalo filled this role and assumed an allencompassing part of the lifestyle of some Native Americans living on the plains. The English of Nottingham could survive without deer but the Native American could not survive without the buffalo. This reliance on a single resource was their key to survival but also a major weakness. See Robert D. Cohen, “Marsh Arabs”, TED Case Studies, January 1995, Number 189, http://www.american.edu/TED/marsh.htm. 226 290 Although the Mayan and Anasazi civilizations collapsed, and the Incas and Aztecs conquered, the tribes of the Great Plains thrived and their numbers grew following the advent of Europeans into North America. The Spaniards who invaded Mexico also brought horses back to North America after a lapse of at least 10,000 years. Horses were native to North America but died out, probably because of human hunting for food. The horse greatly increased the ability of these tribes to exploit buffalo, around which their subsistence strategy was based, and they took advantage. The Native Americans relied on the buffalo for meat, clothing, shelter, and even waterproof containers made from the horns. In the war against them, killing the buffalo became a key strategy of the US Army.227 For many decades, most Americans knew of the Great Plains simply as the Great American Desert, an inhospitable area of poor soil, little water, "hostile" Indians, and general inaccessibility. The American Civil War and its aftermath changed that conception and there were three forces largely responsible. In 1862, Congress passed the Homestead Act; in 1869, the first transcontinental railroad was completed, and in 1873, barbed wire fencing was introduced. Coupled with improvements in dry farming and irrigation and the confinement of American Indians to reservations, after much brutal warfare, the Americans were the majority population in the Great American Desert. The U.S. Indian Removal Act of 1830 authorized the president to grant Indian nations unsettled western prairie land in exchange for their lands. These attempts were usually met with violent resistance, especially the members of the Chickasaw, Choctaw, and Seminole, Cherokee, and Creek tribes. Some 100,000 people were forcibly removed, many in manacles. The trek of 227 Parts of this section were researched and written by Melissa Brockly. 291 the Cherokee in 1838-1839 was known as the Trail of Tears. Wars over resettlement were also fought with the Seminoles (1835-42) and many others. The Indian Territory was that part of the United States west of the Mississippi, and not within the States of Missouri and Louisiana, or the Territory of Arkansas. Never an organized territory, it was soon restricted to the present state of Oklahoma. The Choctaw, Creek, Seminole, Cherokee, and Chickasaw tribes were forcibly moved to this area between 1830 and 1843 from the American Southeast, and an act of June 30, 1834 set aside the land as Indian country which later came to be known as Indian Territory. In 1866, the western half of Indian Territory was ceded to the United States, which opened part of it to white settlers in 1889. This portion became the Territory of Oklahoma in 1890 and eventually encompassed the lands ceded in 1866. The territories became part of the Union as the state of Oklahoma in 1907. With the decline of the range-cattle industry, settlers moved in and fenced the Great Plains into family farms. That settlement--and the wild rush of pioneers into the Oklahoma Indian Territory--constituted the last chapter of the westward movement. By the early 1890s, a frontier had ceased to exist within the 48 continental states. As the hunters were destroying the buffalo, the U.S. army was fighting the Native Americans. The U.S. government tacitly supported the buffalo destruction in order to get rid of the “Indian problem”. Some southern Plains Indians saw that the hunters were uselessly killing masses of buffalo and resisted. In 1867, the U.S. government granted private hunting lands to the Comanches and Kiowas in Texas without state approval, so when white hunters crossed into Native American territory, the Texas government looked the other way. 292 In 1876, the Kwahadi Comanche warriors led by Tu-ukumah went in search of the white hunters that crossed into their territory to kill bison only for their tongues and hides and destroyed their camp and the buffalo parts. On their mission, Tu-ukumah’s warriors fired upon famous hide hunters John Cook and Rankin Moores’ camp and then Marshall Sewell came to their rescue. He was unfortunately captured,was killed and scalped. The death of this wellrespected Marshall drove the buffalo hunters to form an Indian-fighting unit in which they swore not to kill any more buffalo until they had scalped every Comanche warrior involved. After months of small battles between the Comanches and the hunters, the fighting culminated at the Battle of Yellow House Canyon where at least 50 Native Americans were either killed or injured and one white hunter was killed. Several months later, Tu-ukumah’s Kwahadi Comanche warriors were destroyed by Captain Patrick Lynch Lee and his black ‘buffalo’ soldiers.228 The original bison in North America that lived up until the end of the Pleistocene era (around 10,000 years ago) were the gargantuan Bison latifrons and the Bison antiquus. The larger latifrons was common in middle Pleistocene and the antiquus more toward the end of the age, so the possibility exists that the latter evolved from the former. It is uncertain when today’s Bison bison came into the picture. One theory is that it simply evolved from one of the two older species. Another theory is that the Bison evolved from the European Bison priscus, which migrated across Siberia and over the land bridge connecting Asia to North America. The Bison priscus lived in the far northwest of the continent and evolved into Bison bison, according to the theory. The changing of the environment prompted general evolutionary change toward smaller, well-adapted buffalo species. As the last ice age ended, then so did the Bison latifrons and the 228 Cunningham, Sharon. “Yellow house Canyon fight: Buffalo Hunters vs. Plains Indians.” Wild West. Leesburg: Jun 2003. Vol. 16, Issue 1, p. 46. 293 Bison antiquus. It may have been because of the inability to adapt to environmental changes, or it may have been because of Native American over-hunting at the time. Even 10,000 years ago the Native Americans used mass killing techniques on the buffalo like running them over cliffs. The Native Americans have their own stories as to why the Great Spirit killed off the megafauna. William Tall Bull, Cheyenne elder, said that there once was a giant buffalo that was carnivorous and greatly oppressed the people, but the Great Spirit reduced him in size. Thereafter the Cheyenne would not eat a certain kind of fat found in the throat of bison bison because it represented human flesh that giant buffalo once ate. Both the Sioux and the Cheyenne insisted that the two species of buffalo were actually the same animal, reduced by this strange intervention of Great Mystery.229 Millions of buffalo once roamed North America.230 The Great Plains of North America were said to be “black with buffalo”. The North American Plains Indians were essentially biggame hunters, the buffalo being a primary source of food and material that was used for clothing, shelter, tools and religious icons. Woven into the fabric of Native American life for millennia, the buffalo was revered and honored. Some scholars argue that extermination of the buffalo was an official policy of the U.S. government in order to achieve extermination of the Native Americans, particularly those living in the Western Plains. The American bison may not have been the brightest creature in North America, but it was certainly resilient. It was the dominant herbivore of the Great Plains after the extinction of other large herbivores coming out of the last ice age. “Before humans of European descent began to exert their influence on the biota of North America, the number of bison living here 229 DeLoria, Vine Jr. Red Earth White Lies: Native Americans and the Myth of Scientific Fact. Golden, Colorado: Fulcrum Publishing, 1997, p. 150. 230 Dina Lehman, “The Buffalo Harvest”, ICE Case Studies, ICE Case Studies, January 1998, Number 47, http://www.american.edu/TED/ice/buffalo.htm. 294 periodically may have approached 30 millions. A little more than a century later, fewer than 1,000 bison remained.”231 The buffalo came into competition for grazing land with the horses that were reintroduced to North America by the Spanish conquistadores, and eventually with cattle that also transmitted disease to the American bison. Market hunting for buffalo drastically affected the buffalo population, leaving them close to extinction. Interestingly, it was market forces that ended up saving the buffalo from their demise. The American Bison Society advocated preserving the buffalo and encouraged Buffalo Bill and other Wild West Shows. The Wild West shows depicted the dangerous, exciting American frontier where the U.S. army sent scouts like Buffalo Bill out to kill buffalos and Indians alike. “By the 1990s, more than 90 percent of the bison in North America were in private hands, rather than publicly owned.”232 Private bison herds raised and sold buffalo to circuses, zoos, and parks. In the 1870s and 1880s the buffaloes were killed by the hundreds of thousands each year. Market demand for buffalo robes, meat, and tongues was at its peak. Demand for buffalo hides started in the 1870s when Argentinean cattle production was diminishing. The market demand for buffalo increased as the buffalo skeletons were ground into buttons, combs, knife handles, ingredients in the sugar-refining process, and phosphate fertilizer to sweeten the ‘corn belt’ soil. The invention of the Sharps rifle and the extension of the railroads west of the Missouri river played a significant role in the quick destruction of the Plains Indians’ source of clothing, food, and shelter between 1840 and 1870. The Sharps rifle allowed for quick and efficient shooting, which made it easier to kill both people and buffalo. The railroads expedited trade with the East. Choate, Jerry R. and Eugene D Fleharty. “Decimation of a Dominant Herbivore.” Ecology. Brooklyn: December 2000. Volume 81, Issue 12; pp 3550-51. 232 Schweikart, Larry. “Buffaloed: The Myth and Reality of Bison in America.” Ideas on Liberty. Irvington-on-Hudson: Dec 2002. Volume 52, Issue 12; p 8-11. 231 295 American westward expansion onto the new frontier brought the settlers west and the homesteaders north. Some researchers discount the impact of the hunters on the buffalo population as not crucial to the near-extinction of the buffalo. Jim Flores of the University of Montana believes that “they [the white hide hunters] share the burden of the final mop-up. But without their involvement, the buffalo would probably have only lasted another 30 years.”233 Flores believes that other factors affected the decline of the buffalo more strongly, including climate change, competition for space, and disease. The actual military campaign against these tribes was largely ineffective, but the near extermination of the American bison during the 1870s was an enormous blow to Native Americans. By denying access to these resources, the buffalo slaughter was the beginning of total war against those people. Generals Sheridan and Sherman, using similar tactics to those they employed in the American Civil War against Confederate supplies and food sources, sought to eliminate the buffalo not only to defeat the tribes militarily but also to subdue them for relocation. Forts provided de facto support for the buffalo hunters and military personnel often killed buffalo for food and sport.234 Furthermore, "In 1874, Secretary of the Interior Delano testified before Congress, "The buffalo are disappearing rapidly, but not faster than I desire. I regard the destruction of such game as Indians subsist upon as facilitating the policy of the Government, of destroying their hunting habits, coercing them on reservations, and compelling them to begin to adopt the habits of civilization.”235 Sheridan added that "if I could learn that Robbins, Jim. “Historians Revisit Slaughter on the Plains.” New York Times. (Late Edition (East Coast). New York, N.Y.: Nov 16, 1999. p. F3. 234 The Military and United States Indian Policy, p. 171. 235 The Military and United States Indian Policy, p. 171. 233 296 every buffalo in the northern herd were killed I would be glad".236 Other records however point to a groundswell of military opposition to the wanton killing. A final factor in the buffalo war was to provide income to those living in the area or those who wanted to live there, thus actually attracting settlers. Colonel Homer W. Wheeler, who fought with the U.S. Cavalry for 35 years, said that "millions of Buffalo were slaughtered for the hides and meat, principally for the hide. Some of the expert hunters made considerable money at that occupation.237 On April 29, 1868, the Indian Peace Commission of the United States government signed the treaty of Fort Laramie with the Sioux (Lakota) and other tribes in the Dakotas. The treaty closed settler trails and forts, and allocated hunting rights along the Powder River. It also created a Sioux reservation west of the Missouri river in what is now South Dakota, but required that they allow railroads to run through their reservation. The treaty obliges the U.S. government to arrest and punish any offender of the treaty guidelines. The transcontinental railroad was completed in 1870 and by 1874 rumor spread that there was gold in South Dakota on Indian Territory. Under pressure to open up the reservation to mining and buffalo hunting, the U.S. government reneged on its treaty and Colonel Custer attacked Chief Sitting Bull (Tatanka Iyotake) and the Sioux Nation. Eventually, the Sioux, Cheyenne, and Arapahoe fled to Canada, but after a few years starvation forced the tribes to move to North Dakota and surrender to the US government. In buffalo hunter John Cook’s memoir, General Philip Sheridan told the 1857 Texas Legislature not to protect the remaining Texas buffaloes and reward the hunters for killing buffalo and for discouraging the Native Americans. He said that the buffalo hunters were doing 236 237 The Military and United States Indian Policy, p. 172. Buffalo Days, p. 80. 297 more “to settle the vexed Indian question than the entire regular army . . . for the sake of a lasting peace let them kill, skin, and sell until the buffaloes are exterminated. Then your prairies can be covered with speckled cattle, and the festive cowboy, who follows the hunter as the second forerunner of an advanced civilization.”238 In 1876, Texas Representative James Throckmorton said, “there is no question that, so long as there are millions of buffaloes in the West...the Indians cannot be controlled, even by the strong arm of the Government.”239 Chief Sitting Bull was imprisoned for two years after which he traveled with Buffalo Bill Cody’s Wild West Show. In 1888, Sitting Bull negotiated the sale of the Sioux reservation to the US government and was shot by Indian policemen two years later. The Sioux wars ended in 1890 when the U.S. army massacred them at Wounded Knee, South Dakota and were left with a population of less than 250,000 people. The Sioux were not the only dwindling population. With a buffalo population of 60 million in 1800 falling to13 million in 1870, the Great Plains retained less than 1000 buffalo by 1900.240 It is no coincidence that the Native Americans’ main food source was rapidly over-hunted and mass slaughtered during the same time period as the Sioux Wars. General Custer was enthusiastic about the buffalo wars and killing buffalo in general. He Mitchell, John G. “Change of Heartland.” National Geographic; May 2004, Volume 205 Issue 5, p. 2. Another view is that “One bill made it unlawful for non-Indians to kill buffalo, in an effort to restore buffalo hunting to the Indians. Other federal policies, though, already viewed elimination of the bison as a key element in removing the food source for the Plains Indians, much the way Sharman sacked Georgia. Ranchers were already claiming that cattle made more efficient use of the plains than did buffalo. Where the Indians thought the supply of buffalo was endless, white’s recognized it was finite and intended to eliminate it as a means to eliminate the Indians.” Schweikart, Larry. “Buffaloed: The Myth and Reality of Bison in America.” Ideas on Liberty. Irvington-on-Hudson: December 2002. Volume. 52, Issue 12, p. 4 and p. 8. 239 Patton, Allyson. “Skull Mountain.” American History. Harrisburg: April 2001. Volume 36, Issue 1; p. 72. 240 “The Great Sioux Nation of the 19th Century.” History Channel Exhibits. Available [online] http://www.historychannel.com/exhibits/sioux/chrono.html, December 2, 2004. 238 298 said that “to find employment for the few weeks which must ensue before breaking up camp was sometimes a difficult task. To break the monotony and give horses and men exercise, buffalo hunts were organized, in which officers and men joined heartily. I know of no better drill for perfecting men in the use of firearms on horseback, and thoroughly accustoming them to the saddle, than buffalo-hunting over a moderately rough country. No amount of riding under the best of drill-masters will give that confidence and security in the saddle which will result from a few spirited charges into a buffalo herd.”241 In 1873, over 750,000 hides were shipped on the Atchison, Topeka and Santa Fe Railroad alone, and it is estimated that over 7.5 million buffalo were killed from 1872 to 1874.242 The slaughter of the great buffalo herds of the West took place between 1874 and 1884. The Southern herds of in the Texas panhandle were gone as early as 1878 and extinction spread north. c. The War in Kuwait and the War on the Environment Time Class Category Type Modern Conflict Type Non-territory Weapons The environment may become a focus of conflict not through their economic value and the gain from resources, but also using resources as a weapon of war.. The Assyrians used water to attack Babylonians and the U.S. Army slaughtered buffalo to deprive Native Americans of a key economic resource. Countries of the world today have signed treaties that ban the use of weather modification for conflict purposes, either direct or indirect. 241 242 My Life on the Plains, General Custer, p. 111. General Pope and U.S. Indian Policy, p. 179. 299 Iraq was accused of violating the weather treaty (and others) during the Persian Gulf War. The spilling of oil into the Gulf had only minimal climate impacts, besides the devastation to flora and fauna. The burning of the oil wells had a short-term impact in weather visibility, but the longer-term impact on the weather of the region was perhaps a more important impact. Iraq's invasion of Kuwait was justified under a historical territorial claim. Iraq claims Kuwait as one of its provinces that was wrongfully taken from it by Great Britain. This claim predated the more recent economic boom in Kuwait fueled by oil.243 Oil was however a key reason behind Saddam Hussein's invasion in 1990. Iraq had incurred a huge debt burden from ambitious military spending (said to be about $70 billion) and a costly war with Iran in the early 1980s. Iraq also accused Kuwait of over-producing oil in spite of OPEC agreement.244 Iraq also claimed that Kuwaiti wells near the Iraq border were drilling at an angle and actually entering Iraqi sovereign soil, albeit hundreds of feet below the surface. (This is similar to the problems faced by countries that adjoin large bodies of water, especially fresh-water lakes and rivers.) Since this pool of oil straddled the border, similar to an aquifer, it was a shared resource and over-production was depleting that resource for the benefit of Kuwait. One can see a precedent argument in ownership of waters that straddle two countries, such as the Great Lakes of North America. In July of 1990, the Iraqi Regime voiced their belief that excess oil production by Kuwait was intentional. Tensions heightened in the Arab region, and although Saudi Arabia attempted to act as a mediator between the two states, this effort failed. Iraq invaded Kuwait on August 2 of that year, and the devastation to the environment began immediately. Melissa Krupa, May, 1997, “Environmental and Economic Repercussions of the Persian Gulf War on Kuwait”, ICE Case Number: 9. http://www.american.edu/ted/ice/kuwait.htm 244 Husain, 1995. 243 300 Iraq had made previous claims on Kuwaiti territory during its 85-year history. In 1963, Iraqi President Qasim had mobilized forces to invade Kuwait but pulled back because of British, Saudi, Egyptian, Tunisian and Sudanese force deployment in protection of Kuwait. They protected Kuwait in part in respect for their sovereign Arab neighbor and in part because they feared the growth of Iraqi power in the Middle East. For many years after that incident, Kuwait’s sovereignty remained formally unquestioned. During the Iran-Iraq war, however, Saddam Hussein proposed that Kuwait turn over the oil-rich islands of Warba and Bubiyan to Iraq, or that Kuwait allow Iraq to lease the islands indefinitely. Kuwait refused to acquiesce to any of Hussein’s demands. Iraq’s historic understanding of Kuwait’s geographical and strategic importance on the Gulf influenced the Iraqi decision to invade Kuwait. Iraq invaded Kuwait not only because of its territorial claims and its strategic location on the Arabian Gulf, but because of Kuwait’s consistent defiance of OPEC’s oil production quotas. Quotas were important because it kept oil prices and state revenues for the nationalized industry high. Iraq was suffering economically because of the Iran-Iraq saga and its gigantic foreign debt which amounted to around $90 billion. Iraq looked to regional countries, including Kuwait, to relieve the debt for the war that had protected the entire region. “[T]he Iraqi regime argued that the massive debts that Iraq acquired in the Arab world to protect Gulf countries from their Persian enemy were insignificant compared to the sacrifice made by Iraqis with their blood.”245 Kuwait’s refusal to cancel the debts combined with their consistent overproduction of oil led the Iraqi regime to accuse Kuwait of deliberately trying to undermine the Iraqi economy. Frustration led the Iraqi regime to decide it would be easier to occupy Kuwaiti oil fields than try to negotiate any further, so it did. 245 Husain, Tahir. Kuwait Oil Fires: Regional Environmental Perspectives. Exeter: BPC Wheatons Ltd. 1995, p. 26. 301 The Iraqi occupation was brutal and Kuwaiti zoos became part of the horror. “Some of the animals (from the Kuwait zoo) were transported in their cages to the Baghdad Zoo, and others were shot, cooked and eaten, or left to suffer a lingering starvation and death.”246 Of the animals that remained, they made part of the process of interrogation and revenge. “Inside the wolf compound the remains of a man’s boots hinted at the nightmarish violence which has taken place here; as did the guttra head-dress lying on the floor in a tiger’s cage.”247 Iraqi forces had threatened to destroy Kuwaiti oil fields if U.S. and allied forces counterattacked after the August 2nd invasion. In December 1990, Iraqi troops had already begun experimenting with and packing well heads with explosives. When allied troops began heavy air strikes in January 1991, their own bombs detonated 34 oil wells, while Iraqi troops detonated another 60 in response to the strikes. Overall, the Iraqis detonated around 800 oil wells, of which 730 exploded. Out of that total, 656 of those wells burned for many months, while the other 74 wells overflowed and formed huge lakes. Almost 2 percent of Kuwait’s oil reserves were wasted, and the burning wells released many potential toxic gases (to humans and plants) into the air, including sulfur dioxide, carbon monoxide, nitrogen oxides, and hydrogen sulfide (see Table IV-6). Table IV-6: Kuwaiti Oil Wells248 Kuwait Oil Field Survey Field Magwa Ahmadi 246 Drilled 147 89 On Fire 98 60 Gushing Damaged Intact 6 21 15 2 18 6 Michael McKinnon and Peter Vine, Tides of War, London: Immel publishing Ltd., 1992, p. 94. 247 Michael McKinnon and Peter Vine, Tides of War, London: Immel publishing Ltd., 1992, p. 95. Modified from: 1991 “Kuwait Oil Wells Blow-out” in El-Baz, Farouk. The Gulf War and the Environment. Amsterdam: Gordon and Breach Science Publishers. 1994. p. 86. 248 302 Burgan Raudhatain Sabriyah Ratqa Bahra Minagish Umm Gudair Dharif Abduliyah Khashman South Umm Gudair Wafra South Fuwaris Total 423 83 71 114 19 40 44 4 5 7 18 482 9 1555 292 24 28 67 63 2 5 3 39 4 9 5 1 Unknown unknown 8 3 2 unknown unknown 27 Unknown 7 1 27 3 11 2 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 4 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 16 6 33 unknown 15 0 0 0 9 616 76 100 155 The environmental impacts of the Gulf War Crisis were felt immediately at the onset of the Iraqi invasion.249 The fragile vegetation suffered from transportation of heavy artillery and movement of troops across the desert. Additionally, the build-up of solid wastes from the destroyed public infrastructure polluted the ground and groundwater. The war uprooted, trampled, and destroyed the limited vegetation. The atmosphere throughout the region suffered from the fire and smoke that resulted from explosives, intentionally set oil fires, and from both known and unknown chemicals. Iraqi President Saddam Hussein threatened “if he had to be evicted from Kuwait by force, then Kuwait would be burned".250 When Allied forces quickly overwhelmed the Iraqis, he was true to his word and as his troops fled, they set fire to over six hundred oil wells in Kuwait. “Conjecture as to why Saddam Hussein might have authorized this measure included suggestions that he wished to impede the amphibious landing anticipated by his military commanders, or that he intended to 249 250 Sadiq and McCain 1993. Sadiq and McCain, 1993. p.2. 303 cause maximum damage to Saudi Arabian or other Gulf countries’ desalinization plants and seawater-cooling intakes.” 251 Researchers warned that rising smoke might cause changes in the planet's weather pattern.252 Carl Sagan said "the net effects would be similar to the explosion of the Indonesian volcano Tambora in 1815, which resulted in the year 1816 being known as the year without a summer", but other researchers believed the impacts the smoke's effects would be marginal at worst. Sagan and others arrived at their conclusions based on a nuclear winter fall-out scenario in which smoke would remain entrapped in the upper atmosphere and temperatures would drop radically.253 Climatologist Richard Turco warned that “soot clouds would spread across India and South-East Asia, but there were varying opinions as to weather would reach high enough to create the widespread climatic effects of his scenario.” 254 There was fear that the smoke would affect the monsoon over the Indian subcontinent since the prevailing winds blew east. A more serious problem caused by the acid rain forms from burning oil and harm people with respiratory problems or other diseases. Public health experts projected that the air pollution would (slowly) kill approximately a thousand Kuwaitis.255 The Gulf's ecosystem was not spared either. The Iraqis released about 11 million barrels of oil into the Arabian Gulf (or Persian Gulf, according to the Iranian viewpoint) from January 1991 to May 1991. The spill was more than twenty times larger than the Exxon Valdez spill and twice as large as the previous world record.256 Oil covered more than 800 miles of Kuwaiti and Saudi Arabian beaches, devastating marine and bird wildlife. Birds were the hardest hit, along 251 252 253 254 255 256 McKinnon and Vine, Tides of War ,1992, p. 99-100. Zimmer, 1992. Zimmer, 1992. McKinnon and Vine, Tides of War, p. 97. Zimmer, 1992. Zimmer 1992 304 with marine turtles.257 Both the hawksbill and green turtles (an endangered species) utilize the offshore islands of the Gulf as nesting sites. Another source of sea pollution was due to sea warfare. At least 80 ships sunk during the Gulf War, many of which carried oil and munitions. These ships, along with those purposely sunk during the Iraq-Iran War, will remain a chronic source of contamination of the Arabian Gulf for many years. The Gulf will recover from the oil spills, but it will be different after the recovery. It may take decades for specific ecosystems to recover.258 A sudden deterioration of environmental quality in this region was believed to have resulted from the recent Gulf War during which a large number of oil wells in Kuwait were set on fire. Heavy smokes containing various unknown materials traveled over the sky of Saudi Arabia including the city of Riyadh for several months until the burning oil wells were fully capped.259 About six million barrels of Kuwaiti oil were burning in March 1991. The soot generated was one concern, as one gram of soot can block out two-thirds of the light falling over an area of eight to ten square meters. Accordingly, scientists calculated that the release of two million barrels of oil per day could generate a plume of smoke and soot that would cover an area of half of the United States. Weather patterns and climactic conditions could have carried such a plume great distances to severely hamper agricultural production in remote areas of the world. Another concern centered on the effects of the height of such a smoke plume, where upon reaching a specified height (35,000 to 40,000 feet) and temperature (400 degrees Celsius), such a 257 Sadiq and McCain 1993. Sadiq and McCain 1993. 259 Al-Khodairy, Fahad and Ahmed Al-Dakan, Mahmood Akel, and Mohammed A. Hannan, “A comparative analysis of mutagenic activities of air samples collected from Riyadh before, during and after the Gulf War”, International Journal of Environmental Health Research 8, pp. 15-22 (1998), Carfax Publishing Ltd. 258 305 plume would cause a serious erosion of the ozone layer which could be highly hazardous to plant and animal life. Kuwaiti crude oil contains 2.44 percent sulfur and 0.14 percent nitrogen, and it was estimated that the daily sulfur dioxide and nitrous oxide emissions would be between 750 and 10,000 tons per day, leading to human health problems and damage to agricultural production. Hundreds of miles of the Kuwaiti desert were left uninhabitable, due to the accumulation of oil lakes and to soot from the burning wells. One to two million of migratory birds visit the Gulf each year on their way to northern breeding grounds, and thousands of cormorants, migratory birds indigenous to the Gulf region, died because of exposure to oil or from polluted air. The fishing industry in the Gulf was crippled by the oil spills. Before the war, harvests of marine life were up to 120,000 tons of fish a year. After the oil spill, these numbers significantly dropped. Other species effected by the oil spillage included green and hawksbill turtles (already classified as endangered species), leatherback and loggerhead turtles, dugongs, whales, dolphins, flamingoes, and sea snakes. The impacts were on top of ‘normal’ pollution in the Gulf (caused by frequent spills of oil and emissions of dirty ballast from passing tankers). Over the long-term, they may pose a greater environmental threat than any damage inflicted by the Kuwaiti oil fires. The Gulf is polluted by 1.14 million tons of oil per year (equivalent to 25,000 barrels of oil per day), which is dispersed by 40 percent of the more than 6,000 oil tankers which transverse the Gulf each year. Another concern raised about the spillage of oil into the Gulf stemmed from the overall reliance on water in the region. Seventy to ninety percent of the populace depends on 306 desalination plants for fresh water supplies, and the oil spillage threatened the precious desalination plants, as well as power plants and industrial facilities all along the Gulf coast. As to the direct impact on human health, health experts noted that the residual effects of hydrocarbons in the air or in peoples' bodies would precipitate a dramatic increase in lung cancer and birth defects across the region in as little as fifteen years. Other scientists predicted that Kuwait's death rate could rise by as much as ten percent within a short time frame. There has been intense speculation in the United States that the mysterious "Gulf War Syndrome", which currently affects almost 10,000 U.S. troops who served in the Gulf, may have been caused by the release of chemicals from the burning oil wells.260 In 1993 Farouq al-Baz, director of Boston University's Center for Remote Sensing, stated that more than 240 oil lakes had been discovered in the Kuwaiti desert. Al-Baz added that "'Birds, plants and marine life are still suffering from the effects of the war and damage to the desert itself could persist for decades.” In addition, the mixture of sand and oil residue in the Kuwaiti desert created large areas that effectively were reduced to semi-asphalt surfaces. By the fall of 1995, disturbing reports were filed from Kuwait claiming that sunken Iraqi warships filled with chemical munitions off the coast of Kuwait posed a serious and urgent threat to the regional environment. In September 1995, Kuwait filed a $385 million claim against Iraq for compensation for environmental damage due to Iraq's occupation of Kuwait. More specifically, Kuwait submitted five claims to the United Nations for environmental damages covering health, coastal areas, maritime environment, ground water resources, and desert environmental damages. 260 Al-Khodairy, et al, “A Comparative Analysis”. 307 The Saudi Fisheries Company announced in 1992 that the shrimp and prawn fishing industries had lost over $55 million. Since shrimp reproduce in the spring when water temperature rises, the decrease in temperature could have thrown off reproductive activities. In fact, plankton larvae numbers significantly declined as well in 1992. Likely, the thick plumes and soot deposits on the water surface in the Gulf had a lot to do with the change in the marine environment. Additionally, the oil that spilled into the Gulf directly and through the watershed destroyed coral reefs and other marine life. Migratory birds confused the oil lakes for bodies of water and died as a result. Many wildlife were driven from the land from the noises of war, however, their new obstacles are the unexploded landmines under the broken gravel and sand surface. The breakage of the desert topsoil (mostly from tanks, but also from oil lakes) led directly to more desert storms and less spring vegetation growth.261 Some scientists speculated that a 1994 cyclone in Bangladesh that killed 100,000 people was precipitated, in part, due to climactic changes from the Kuwait oil fires. In direct damage costs, Kuwait calculates that it suffered $170 billion in losses, and that this figure may rise to as high as $700 billion. In September 1995, Kuwait submitted a $385 million environmental damage claim against Iraq to the UN. Christopher Flavin of the World watch Institute called the Gulf War “the most environmentally destructive conflict in the history of warfare.” He called for a workable environmental code for the conduct of war, including enforcement mechanisms for violators.” 262 Alsdirawi, Fozia. “The Impact of the Gulf War on the Desert Ecosystem.” Farouk ElBaz, ed. The Gulf War and the Environment, Lausanne, Switzerland: Gordon and Breach Science Publishers, 1994. 262 McKinnon and Vine, Tides of War ,1992, p. 157-8. 261 308 The impact was felt to some degree over a large area and in differing ways. Black snow was reported in the Swiss Alps and black rain fell in Baluchistan in Pakistan.263 d. Comparing and Reflecting on the Weapons Cases Modern Mesopotamian depends upon the water of the Tigris and Euphrates, and that dependence shapes the political and economic life of the people living between the two rivers. The dependence fuels the legal disputes on water in Mesopotamia. Iran, Syria, Turkey, and Iraq all share the traditional Islamic law view of water management. These countries allocate water among communal water systems, which they have used since the Code of Hammurabi. In fact, the term “shari’a” in Islamic law originally meant “the path to the watering place”.264 Additionally, Israel treats water as a community resource as opposed to private property. Despite the community tradition, Middle Eastern countries fight about water more than any other resource. Defending the Tigris-Euphrates River remains an important part of Iraqi national security objectives. Iraq maintains that it has "acquired rights" relating to its "ancestral irrigations" on the Euphrates and Tigris rivers. Evidently these security concerns date back over 2,500 years. According to Iraq, there exist two dimensions of acquired rights. The first dimension is ancient: the historical inhabitants of Mesopotamia have relied on this water (even to defend themselves) and have an acquired right to it. Therefore, no upstream riparian country is entitled to take away the rights of these inhabitants. The second dimension is modern: acknowledging the irrigation 263 McKinnon and Vine, Tides of War ,1992, p. 158-9. Dellapenna, Joseph W. “The Two Rivers and the Lands Between: Mesopotamia and the International Law of Transboundary waters”, BYU Journal of Public Law, 1996, Volume 10, Issue 2, p. 213. 264 309 and water installations. Iraq has 1.9 million hectares of agricultural land in the Euphrates Basin, including an ancestral irrigation system left from the Sumerians times. Perhaps these systems were built using the moats and canals that defended the city of Babylon. The conflict over war has a long history and in the Middle East this history is virtually uninterrupted. Populations have overused the waters for millennia, since the Agricultural Conjunction and soon after cities emerged in Mesopotamia. Over time the use of irrigated water contaminated many fields through the slow but eventual depositing of salts and chemicals. Over that long history it is remarkable in the many ways in which water was used as a resource in conflict. The options were simple: the water could be diverted either toward or away from an opponent to gain some short or long-term advantage. Water is different in modern states where dams created giant lakes or water reserves. Dams allow for vastly more regular water for household, agriculture and industry, and provide some incentive for sporting and fishing businesses. On top of that, it is a huge provider of electricity that can supply large numbers of people. These super “water assets” are prime conflict targets in modern conflict. In the “ancient cases”, water was a valuable resource for the Babylonians yet the Assyrians turned this resource against them. By damming the rivers and diverting them, they flooded out the defenders. In this case, the resource was not directed back at the defender but the defender was deprived of the resource. The Buffalo case is similar to the struggle between humans and Neanderthal over hunting resources and thus the tactic, whether intended or inadvertent, has a long precedent. In the case “middle case” of Robin Hood the access to deer as protein is similar to the needs of the Native Americans and buffalo. It also provides an interesting counterpoint to the related Native American cases regarding the Mayans and the Anasazi whose lifestyles were 310 dictated by differing environmental and economic strategies. These differences also led to differing forms of conflict over differing types of environmental issues. They wiped out the deer. Why did the climate turn colder in the 1000 to1500 time period? Some suggest that a single cataclysmic event triggered some a period of general decline that also revealed by the Dark Ages in Europe, the failure of several Central American Empires, and the rise of Islam in the Middle East. This event could have been an asteroid striking in Siberia or some relatively unpopulated location, or a super volcanic eruption, like a Krakatoa in Indonesia.265 The environment was used as a weapon by the Assyrians (water and flooding), the Americans (exterminating buffalo), and by the Iraqi regime (by causing massive air, sea and land pollution). The ways in which one can manipulate the environment to cause damage is probably limitless, especially with today’s technology. Both winners and losers in conflict have pursued scorched earth policies. This includes various proposed (or real) terrorist acts such as poisoning water supplies (although the Romans salted wells of conquered people), the purposeful spread of disease (such as smallpox or anthrax in today’s security climate), and the like. Key resources have been a recurring theme throughout time and a source of conflict. Such conflict is often context dependent from a historical standpoint. Wood has served this role over time, as well as gold and guano. Oil has become the focus of political and economic introspection because of its importance to the world economy. 6. Boundaries 265 David Key, PBS, notes that the Krakatoa eruption in 535 led to climate disruptions for 10-20 years. Impacts included the (1) end of Byzantine Empire, (3) the bubonic plague, (2) the decline of Teotihuacan Empire in Central America, and (4) the onset of Dark Ages. 311 As states developed they established permanent boundaries and attempted to control the flow of people and things through these permeable lines. In extreme cases, man-made barriers to travel are constructed and represent near total-control of the areas. This section looks at three types of separating boundaries and their manifold implication: the Great Wall of China, Hadrian’s Wall in the United Kingdom, and the de-militarized zone (DMZ) separating North and South Korea. Boundaries show up as a key part of territorial issues in the ICE cases. These are often long-term in nature and associated with statement that are drawn out over trends on competing demographics amongst differing populations. Boundaries (or borders) are part of the red feedback loop in the conflict sub-system associated with territory, long-term conflicts, and stalemate outcomes. There are also aspects of the cases that follow found in the blue loop of the conflict subsystem (see Figure IV-10). This loop involves conflict at several levels (sub-state, unilateral and multilateral) that are long-term in duration and have a high level of conflict. Figure IV-10 The Border Causal System (blue loop in the Conflict Sub-System) 312 1. Preventing Conflict though Manipulation of the Environment (Boundaries): The Impact of China’s Great Wall on the Environment Period Class Category Type Ancient Ownership Sovereign Barrier The control of water assets to create barriers, as in the case of moats, became a tool for defense in conflict. Such structures started as protections around city-states but grew to serve as protective devices for large countries. The development of large-scale societies likely began in China and other parts of Asia, where then, as today, they held the largest concentrations of 313 human populations. These extreme cases of human concentration place extraordinary demands on the environment and resulted in some of the grandest construction projects on the planet in its history. In this tradition, China has built the world’s largest dam (Three Gorges) although an extensive system of canals has been in place for several thousand years. A clash of cultures began to take shape about 3,000 years ago. Even by this date, China had developed into a vast, agrarian society that built on the success of the Agricultural Conjunction. To the north in Mongolia, peoples had developed advanced nomadic lifestyles that relied on the use of the horse. With technological advancement, the horse also provided considerable military advantage, especially in addition to the inventions of saddles, reins, horse shoes, and other intermediary technological advances. The agrarian Chinese needed a defense from such “blitzkrieg” attacks. The solution was to build the Great Wall of China. The Great Wall stretches for 4,160 miles across North China.266 Its construction began far back in Chinese history in the Spring and Autumn periods (770-476 BC) and the Warring States period (475-221 BC). When Emperor Qin Shihuang unified China, he linked and extended the walls. Prisoners of war, convicts, soldiers, civilians and farmers provided labor. In 246 BC, the ruler of State of Qin (Zheng Ying) had conquered much of China and adopted the title First Emperor of Qin (Qin Shi Huang Di). He unified weights and measure, standardized the coinage and even unified the axle lengths of the wagons. This progress came at a cost. Millions died and many Chinese legends tell of parted lovers and men dying of starvation and disease. Many bodies are buried in the foundations of the wall. Qin Shihuang garrisoned armies at the Wall to stand guard over the workers as well as to defend the northern boundaries. The tradition lasted for centuries. Each successive dynasty Damian Zimmerman, “The Great Wall”, ICE Case Studies, Number 38, December 1997, www.american.edu/TED/ice/wall.htm. 266 314 added to the height, breadth, length, and elaborated the design of this mammoth structure, mostly through forced labor. Figure IV-10 The Great Wall of China The Great Wall crosses plateaus, mountains, deserts, rivers and valleys, passing through five provinces and two autonomous regions. It averages about 20 feet wide and 26 feet high. Parts of the wall are so broad that 10 persons can walk across it side by side. Most visitors see the Wall that was restored in the Ming dynasty, when stone slabs replaced clay bricks. It took 100 years to rebuild, and it is said that the amount of material used in the present wall alone is enough to circle the world at the equator five times. The Great Wall, known in Mandarin as "Wan-Li Ch'ang-Ch'eng" (10,000 Li Long Wall), stretches approximately 4,000 miles (6,400 km) west to east from the Jiayu Pass (in Gansu Province) to Po Hai near the mouth of the Yalu River (see Figure IV-10). Parts of the Great Wall date from the 4th century BC. In 214 BC Shih Huang-ti, the first emperor of a united China connected a number of existing defensive walls into a single system 315 fortified by watchtowers. The towers served to both guard the rampart and to communicate with the former capital, Hsien-yang, near Sian, by signal--smoke by day and fire by night. Burning a mixture of wolf dung, sulfur and saltpeter produced smoke. Through the system, an alarm was relayed over 500 km within just a few hours (France had a similar system in the Middle Ages). During the Ming dynasty (1368-1644), the Wall took its present form. The brick and granite work was enlarged, and sophisticated designs were added. The watchtowers were redesigned and modern cannons mounted in strategic areas (the cannons imported from Portugal). The wall was an effective deterrent for hundreds of years, but when the dynasty weakened from within, the invaders from the north were able to re-conquer China. Both the Mongols (Yuan Dynasty, 1271-1368) and the Manchurians (Qing Dynasty, 1644-1911) were able to conquer the Chinese, not because of weakness in the Wall but because of inner weakness and poverty. The cost of the wall's construction bankrupted dynasty after dynasty. Invaders, such as the Mongols, took advantage of rebellion from within and stepped into the void of power. The grand design for the wall started in the Zhou dynasty (1134 BC to 250 BC). The purpose of this structure was to stop the 'barbarians' from crossing the northern border of China. More than 4,600 years ago, there had been continuous violent conflicts between the agricultural Han Chinese on the south and the Non-Han Chinese herdsmen to the north. Their technological capacities reflected both their technology and their climate. The three northern vassal States Yan, Zhao and Qin of the Han Chinese during the Zhou Dynasty (1134 BC to 250 BC), started the walls along their northern frontiers to protect themselves. 316 Yan, whose capital is the present day Beijing, lasted from 766 BC to 222 BC. It erected a long wall along its northern frontier from Liaoning Peninsula to the north of Beijing in Hebei province. Zhao, whose capital is the present day Han Dan Xian in Hebei province, existed from 453 BC to 228 BC and built a long wall along its northern frontier from the north of Beijing. The State of Qin (present day Xian in Shaanxi province) existed from 777 BC to 207 BC, added a wall in its northern frontier from the banks of the Yellow River to the plateau of Long Xi in Gansu province. As the wall was built, the various Non-Han Chinese tribes unified and became a rival to the Qin Empire. The conflict grew as the Han Chinese farmers moved north and came into conflict with nomadic tribes. The Qin armies drove the nomads back to the Gobi Desert. To secure the northern frontiers, Emperor Ying mobilized all the able-bodied subjects in China to join up all the walls erected by the States of Yan and Zhao. When all the old walls were connected, it was called "Wan Li Chang Cheng” (Ten Thousand Li Long Wall) and became a permanent barrier separating the agricultural Han Chinese on the south of the Wall from the Non-Han Chinese nomadic cattle-raisers on the north. What remains of the Great Wall today consists of five sections. 1. The Mutianyu (north-east) section was built for watching and shooting at an invading enemy. It consists of several battle forts spread about 50 meters apart. 2. To the east, there is the Gubeikou section, where the smoke alarms were set. 3. The Badaling (west) section is probably the best preserved of all of the sections. 4. The Jinshanling Section is known for its detailed architecture. 5. Finally, the Sumatai section, east of Jinshanling, is 3,000 miles long, resting mainly on a mountain ridge surrounded by sharp rocks. This section contains 35 well-preserved battle forts. 317 The environmental impact of the wall’s construction is manifold. First, just building the wall required moving enormous amounts of stone. Unearthing the stones would have required moving a tremendous amount of soil as well, as would build a base for the wall. As the wall crept west, there were fewer stones available, especially as it approached the Gobi Desert. Over time, the Chinese developed a system of using loose material, even sand, mixed with willow grass or other vegetation for stability, and tamping the mass down into a compact, concrete-like compound. Second, the maintaining of a large standing population of men to build the wall alone required an enormous amount of resources. It was essentially a large city that moved continuously and one which the area’s resources would normally not have been able to support. The fires needed for cooking and warmth led to massive deforestation in this semi-arid land. This was especially true in the west. Third, the need for game to feed the large work force led a zone around the area of the workforce essentially devoid of certain species that they ate. Predator animals would be killed as threats to the work force. One can imagine that the wake of building the wall left a swathe of destruction: a treeless and denuded plain devoid of animals. It would no doubt take centuries for the environment to recover. Finally, the wall meant to keep out the Mongols, but it would keep out animals as well that returned to the area. It would interfere with the migration of land mammals which probably were segmented into populations isolated on either side of the wall. Thus, populations of a variety of animals were separated into two distinct groups. The wall was heavily garrisoned and armed with cannons. While there are few records of military losses from that time, an estimated two to three million Chinese died over the centuries that it took to complete the wall. Furthermore, those stationed at the wall were subject to the 318 hazards of the unexplored Chinese North. Many died from random attacks by Mongol bands, bandits, and wild animals, hunger, and disease. This was an early attempt to create an area of sovereign control. Border check points and defended boundaries were part of this effort. After the wall fell into disuse, the stones and building materials were recycled by villagers along the route who used it to build houses and other structures. The greatest modern threat to the Great Wall comes from the roughly 10 million visitors who come to it each year and dislodge stones, litter, and mark it with graffiti. As a result, the Chinese government has declared certain portions of the structure off-limits to tourists. b. Hadrian’s Wall and the Environmental Roots of the End of Roman Expansion Period Class Category Type Middle Conflict Territory Boundaries The Great Wall in China changed societies, technologies and the environment. The wall was an extremely expensive operation that not only cost a lot to build but a tremendous amount to maintain. In the end, after several thousands years, it did fail and the Manchu’s took over China. It is hard to say whether it was worth it because, in the end, the Manchu’s were assimilated into Chinese society even when they did finally breach the wall. In Europe, growing populations and convergences of empires took place later in history. A similar “end of empire” mentality overcame the Romans, around the 1st century A.D. and they retreated behind lines drawn across several continents. On mainland Europe, the Danube and Rhine rivers served as these boundaries and a wall of timber that stretched across the countryside covered the gap between the two. On the island of Britain, the Romans advanced north until 319 they met stiff resistance from the Picts (a people related to the Scots, a Celtic people). Rather than waste effort on attempting to conquer Scots, the Roman Emperor Hadrian chose to build a wall instead. No doubt Hadrian had reports of the Great Wall in China and adapted the idea. Britain was a difficult place and the British a difficult people to conquer. Julius Caesar invaded in 55 and 54 BC, but gained only a toehold in the southwest corner of the country. Caligula tried again in 40 AD. Claudius, a few years later, was the first to make any substantial inroads into Britain.267 Roman forces led by Agricola advanced into northern England (Northumberland and Cumbria) around 80 AD. The Romans built series of bridges, forts, roads and camps as they pushed north in to Scotland to fortify their conquests. The Romans however found that the “northern part proved more difficult to suppress. The terrain was harder, the winters fiercer, and the supply routes longer.”268 They decided to build a wall across Scotland to defend against the warring tribes. There were many reasons for Hadrian’s Wall. It was also the result of a political decision (on the extent of the empire) and an accident of geography (an isthmus) that made the wall a practical option. The wall served a man-made purpose that the natural Rhine River did in providing separation between the Roman Empire and hostile groups on its boundaries. The Romans gradually left Britain in the early fifth century as the Empire declined, but this process had already begun around 100 AD. Part of the withdrawal was in the face of Scot resistance, also “to contribute to Trojan’s wars of conquest in southern Europe and the East [Dacia and Pathia]”.269 The ensuing periods often represented drastic changes. In the sixth and 267 268 269 Stewart Perowne, Hadrian, London: Croom Helm, 1960. Bedoyere, p.12. Bedoyere, p.12 320 seventh centuries, the area around Galloway was part of the Celtic kingdom of Rheged and there were numerous invasions by pagan English tribes during this period. Hadrian's Wall stretched from Newcastle upon Tyne in the east to Carlisle in the west, for moving troops, completed in the second century AD. The main western road originated in Stanwix, a fort on Hadrian's Wall. Hadrian's Wall had several parts: the Wall itself; the Vallum, (a defensive ditch which marked the rear edge of the Wall zone); a road system; and 16 forts (and nearby civilian settlements) along or near the Wall. There are also many earlier Roman military works such as marching camps and permanent bases. Hadrian built a 73 mile wall that stretched across Britain: 10 feet broad and 14 feet high with a ditch in front that was 30 feet wide and 9 feet deep. At every mile along the wall, there has a small fort built into the wall and halfway between them were two turrets for signaling. Elsewhere in the empire, Hadrian built other artificial barriers. In Germany, there were palisades of timber to mark the extreme boundaries of the empire that had made to decision to end the process of endless expansion (see Figure IV-11). The Antonine Wall was a somewhat later attempt to push this boundary further north, but the attempt was relatively short-lived. Figure IV-11 Antonine and Hadrian Walls 321 Roman remains of Hadrian’s Wall survive remarkably well. In east Northumberland, the Wall is for the most part buried but the earthworks survive and are visible for many miles. The earthworks must have had major effects on the Roman landscape. One estimate suggests they moved 3.7 million tons of stone to supply material for the wall. 270 In the central sector, the remains of the Wall and associated features are prominent and often dominate the local landscape. The significance of the Wall corridor in archaeological terms, and its complexity, was recognized by the designation of the Hadrian's Wall Military Zone as a World Heritage Site in 1987. The wall, born of conflict, has itself produced a myriad of environmental impacts. The first impact would be on larger land animals that migrate with the season. The impact separated these animals (deer, elk, wolves and the like) into smaller genetic pools or limited their access to food sources during certain times of the year. The impacts of the wall on area microenvironments were enormous. It not only changed the environment that existed but changed it to a zone that was wall-dependent in its vegetal disposition. The collection of rocks itself tended to make the summers hotter in this zone and the winters milder. With the grazing of animals around the Wall’s villages, forests were discouraged and grasslands were encouraged. 270 Bedoyere, p. 25. 322 Here was a clear case where conflict had an enormous impact on the environment in a most subtle manner. Compared to earlier empires, “the Roman Empire was different because its organization and military power gave it the potential to exist beyond the personality of the emperor…Hadrian recognized that the Empire could not expand indefinitely and decided to consolidate frontiers…The meandering line of the Wall and its associated structures represent a considerable achievement for a non-industrial society.”271 The wall played a small role in a later conflict. In 1745, Charles Stuart and his Jacobite forces invaded England to restore the Catholic Crown. Lacking an adequate road the British forces were first unable to move and were ultimately driven back by Stuart and his forces. But the British eventually prevailed. After the war, the British used stones from the foundation of Hadrian’s Wall to build a military road to make future troop movements easier. Thus, Hadrian’s Wall played a role in a conflict 1,500 tears after its construction. The purpose of the wall was to provide a buffer zone and a cordon sanitaire for the Roman Empire vis-à-vis Scottish tribes in the northern part of the island of Britain. However, that is only a physical interpretation of the structure. The wall served several other purposes as well, “The Wall, despite being devised as a strategic and political tool, would also have involved the troops in all the homogenizing and morale-boosting competitive wide-effects of mutual participation in a major project.” 272 The immensity of the project provided its own microcosm Guy de la Bedoyere, Hadrian’s Wall: History and Guide, Tempus Publishing, Stroud Publishing, United Kingdom, 1998. 272 Bedoyere, p.14 271 323 of activity. “In time the Wall probably became so integrated a part of military routine and local civilian life that its original intentions were largely forgotten.” 273 Figure IV-12 The Extent of the Roman Empire The wall was in fact a historic success and established a line of Roman control that allowed the creation of Roman institutions in northern England. The position to pull back, some three hundred years later, suggests that the policy provided some short-term stability as well. The reasons for building the wall are also thought to be the result of internal Roman political machinations rather than external threats. “The abandonment of Trajan’s conquests aroused 273 Bedoyere, p.14 324 hostile reaction; and further, it was suspected that the deathbed adoption of Hadrian was a fake, stage-managed by Trajan’s widow in the interests of her favourite.”274 Yet, it was during this time that ended Roman expansion (imperirum sine fine) and soon thereafter Hadrian pulled out of the Middle East around the Euphrates and lands on the other side of the lower Danube River (see Figure IV-12). Hadrian “knew as the British Army in the Egyptian desert were to demonstrate in 1940, that a force on the strategic defensive (as the Romans were in the face of Northern Barbarians) must continually adopt the tactical offensive. The use of a line of static forts, he realized, was minimal and what was required was a system of fortifications. Which would give his army the maximum mobility, would ensure that it would always have initiative, and would give it control over a wide area and the vital communications which furnished the supplies of the area.”275 c. The Korean Demilitarized Zone and Environmental Protection Time Class Category Type Modern Conflict Territory Boundaries The Chinese and Romans built great walls that separated empires and this tradition of great walls continues today. Walls today are more elaborate variations on this basic theme and constructed of sophisticated materials than rock and mortar. These systems not only include the armed forces that were associated with protecting the walls, but also new ways of interdicting 274 Anthony R. Briley, Hadrian: The Restless Emperor, New York and London: Routledge, 1997, p. 1. 275 Anthony R. Briley, Hadrian: The Restless Emperor, New York and London: Routledge, 1997, pp. 86-7. 325 advancing forces that included barbed wire, land mines, and systems of lighting, sound, and movement detection, and many other mechanical means not available to the Chinese and Romans. The demilitarized zone (DMZ) between North and South Korea is a modern barrier like the Great Wall of China and Hadrian’s Wall. By proximity, it is in the same region as the Great Wall, but in practice it is more like Hadrian’s Wall. Both are relatively short, but cross peninsulas in a manner that is much less permeable (and long), compared to the Great Wall. The environment is part of the story of the DMZ in many ways. One story is particularly poignant. The DMZ is heavily militarized and constantly weapons are directed from one side towards the other. A small environmental issue in the DMZ near Panmunjon nearly resulted in conflict. “It started with a tree. It nearly ended in war. On Aug. 18, 1976, a South Korean work party supervised by two U.S. Army officers was sent to prune a 100-foot poplar tree in the Joint Security Area along the Demilitarized Zone, which marks the border between North and South Korea.”276 There was key bridge in the DMZ, called the “Bridge of No Return”, that allowed access to both sides of the DMZ for parties in the conflict across a river. There was nearby “a row of poplar trees, and the fifth tree blocked a line of sight between checkpoint 3 and the bridge from the view of check point 5. In the Joint Security Area, the trimming of a poplar tree each summer 276 Jan Wesner Childs, Stars and Stripes, August 18, 2001, accessed October 8, 2004, http://ww2.pstripes.osd.mil/01/aug01/ed081801c.html. 326 was a routine procedure. However, in early August 1976, a South Korean work force was threatened with death if they tried to trim the tree.”277 A few North Korean troops arrived and demanded a stop to the operation, but the pruning continued. Shortly thereafter, about 20 North Koreans ascended on them. Some accounts say they brought carrying metal pipes and axes, others say they overwhelmed the smaller party and took their axes away from them. They attacked the pruning party and set upon two American officers, killing them with the axes.278 The incident resulted in one of the greatest crises there since the end of Korean War. The U.S. aircraft carrier USS Midway went to the waters of the peninsula and fighter jets and bombers were moved from Okinawa in Japan to South Korea. Troops were put on alert. Three days later the United States launched “Operation Paul Bunyan”, where U.S. Army engineers returned to the tree protected by infantrymen, with Cobra helicopters, F-11 jet fighters, and B-52 bombers in the air above. Artillery units were stationed nearby. The engineers cut down the tree. It was alleged that Henry Kissinger, U.S. Secretary of State, wanted to launched retaliatory bombing attacks on North Korea.279 The military demarcation line or MDL separates North and South Korea is a temporary rather than a permanent structure, at least according to the treaty. The De-Militarized Zone or Operation Paul Bunyan “Tree / Hatchet Incident” 18 August 1976, http://www.globalsecurity.org/military/ops/paul_bunyan.htm, accessed October 8, 2004. 278 Jan Wesner Childs, Stars and Stripes, August 18, 2001, accessed October 8, 2004, http://ww2.pstripes.osd.mil/01/aug01/ed081801c.html. 279 Operation Paul Bunyan “Tree / Hatchet Incident” 18 August 1976, http://www.globalsecurity.org/military/ops/paul_bunyan.htm, accessed October 8, 2004. 277 327 DMZ is an area of 2 kilometers on either side of the MDL. Entry into the territory, contiguous waters, or airspace is prohibited under the Armistice treaty that ended the war.280 This stipulation did not prevent the North Koreans from attempting to infiltrate the south underground. Kim-Il Sung allegedly gave an order in the 1970s that each army division along the border was required to dig and maintain two infiltration tunnels each. The first such tunnel was discovered in 1974 and the second a year later. I taught a course in Seoul, South Korea, at Sookmyung University, in the summer of 2004 and visited one of the infiltration tunnels. The trip from a downtown Seoul hotel was not far, but there were several checkpoints along the way where our passports were checked. The route from Seoul took us near the coast and the urban setting of the city quickly vanished into a relatively little developed area. Surprisingly, there are people, mostly farmers, who live with in these zones. We stopped at a visitor center and watched a video and visited concession stores that mostly focused on the DMZ. From there, we visited a military overlook station on a hill that viewed the valley of the DMZ below. There was a village there, but the North Korean “peasants” are said to be members of the North Korean military and it is largely a Potemkin village. From there went to the infiltration tunnel. Tram cars took us into the ground and we wore helmets and were instructed to watch our head due to the narrow hole. You could hear the sound of plastic on rock as people’s helmets grazed the low-hanging roof. Water trips from the roof and the place smelled of mold. A swift, cool breeze blew through the tunnel. At the bottom Operation Paul Bunyan “Tree / Hatchet Incident” 18 August 1976, http://www.globalsecurity.org/military/ops/paul_bunyan.htm, accessed October 8, 2004. 280 328 of the tram was a larger tunnel that had been blocked out with concrete and no doubt armed with explosives. This was a short portion of a discovered North Korean infiltration tunnel. When it was discovered, the North Korean government claimed that this was a coal mine that had probably strayed off course. The geology of the area however was not a type likely to have coal deposits. The North Koreas also smeared some mixture on the walls of the tunnel to give the impression that coal was present. The North Koreans also alleged that it was actually the South Koreans who had dug the tunnel. An examination of blasting patterns however showed that the tunnel excavation was done in a north to south pattern. The DMZ separated one people divided by two ideologies. The conflict itself was horrendous. The Korean War led to a loss of life estimated around 5 million. The conflict nearly grew into a much larger conflagration. General Douglas MacArthur proposed the use of nuclear weapons in the conflict against Chinese forces and this eventually led to his dismissal by U.S. President Truman. The Korean War began on June 25, 1950 when Korea invaded South Korea. At the time, it was thought that Mao Tse-Tung in China and Joseph Stalin in Russia engineered the invasion, but later reports suggested that Kim Il-sung was behind the act and that China and Russia later “approved” of it. The West viewed the invasion as a threat to the stability of Northeast Asia and particularly to Japan. Under the policy of “containment”, the West responded. U.S. President Truman said that the “attack upon Korea makes it plain beyond all doubt that Communism has passed beyond the use of subversion to conquer independent nations and will now use armed invasion and war." 329 The end of the Korean War in 1953 was a cease-fire only.281 Signatories were North Korea, China and the United States, and South Korea never did sign a peace treaty with the North. The armistice created a Demilitarized Zone (DMZ) that was a buffer zone between the North and the South. The DMZ is heavily fortified and laden with thousands of land mines making human habitation nearly impossible. The DMZ provides an environment in which hundreds of species of plants and animals (some endangered) have flourished because of the danger to humans. The DMZ is one of the most "phenomenal military edifices left on this planet after the end of the Cold War".282 It is about 150 miles in length along the 38th parallel and is two and a half miles wide with a buffer zone around it. Combined, the swath is a stretch of about six miles that cuts the Korean continent in two. The terrain in the DMZ varies quite a bit and includes a series of ecosystems, and habitat types that ranges from mountains to jungles. This strip of land has been untouched by human hands since the signing of the armistice in 1953, making it one of the most protected “parks” in the world. Since that time, the DMZ has become home to many species of plants and animals. With the industrialization of South Korea and the desperate situation in North Korea, extinction has become a major problem on the peninsula. However, many of the plants and animals on most of the peninsula do exist in the DMZ. Mammals and birds are especially under threat on the peninsula. Over 10 percent of both mammals and birds are threatened with extinction.283 Ann Nichole Neufeld, “Korean Demilitarized Zone as a Bioreserve”, ICE Case Studies, Number 52. http://www.american.edu/ted/ice/dmz.htm 282 "Demilitarized," 1997, p. 1. 283 World Resources: 1998-99, New York: Oxford University Press, 1998, Table 14.1, Biodiversity Tables, p. 322. 281 330 The DMZ has become an important stop for birds on "the East Asia Migratory Flyway".284 Rare Manchurian Cranes and Siberian herons are two of the many birds that use the DMZ as a resting place along their migration route. However, this strip of land has drawn more than just birds. South Korean researchers found "41 native and 40 rare species of plants, along with 16 native and 8 rare species of fish in the three-mile wide South Korean buffer zone adjacent to the DMZ.” 285 They also found 14 species of animals not known to live in the area and 8 species threatened or endangered. The DMZ is a successful habitat precisely because it is dangerous for humans. The United States has refused to participate in negotiations to ban land mines, largely because of the roughly one million land mines used to protect South Korea from an invasion by North Korea. Pentagon strategists assert that the land mines are vital to thwarting any invasion by almost one million North Korean troops posted along the DMZ.286 The relative sanctity of the DMZ stands into stark contrast to the state of the environment in South Korea, which has undergone considerable modernization. “In South Korea's rush toward modernization, it has sacrificed some of the natural beauty for which the Korean Peninsula was known as the "land of embroidered rivers and mountains.” Today, 48 percent of reptiles and 60 percent of amphibians in South Korea are either extinct or endangered.”287 A “1994 bio-diversity study revealed that over 20% of South Korea's terrestrial vertebrates are 284 Jordan, 1997, p. 1. Drohan, 1996, p. 1. 286 Myers, 1997, p. 2. 287 Frank Langfitt, Sun Foreign Staff, “The Demilitarized Zone”, Korea, Baltimore Sun http://www.baltimoresun.com. 285 331 already extirpated or endangered, namely 30% of mammals, 14% of birds, 48% of lizards, snakes and turtles, and 60% of frogs and salamanders.”288 Modernization’s impact is accompanied by the impact of old traditions. This is particularly the case with respect to wildlife. “In the Korean psyche wildlife to most people is not the nature's wonder to respect and enjoy and the natural heritage to cherish and sustainably conserve. Rather, in Korean culture, wild animals and plants are utilitarian objects at a personal level and something to exploit, eat and nourish the body. There are large markets in Korea and many parts of Asia for meat and body parts from wild animals and for wild plants; for food and medicinal use. Animal poaching is simply a matter of business concerns for financial gain and would cease were there no market.”289 It is ironic that the pristine nature of the DMZ and its capacity to serve as a wildlife sanctuary is viable only as long as threatened conflict exists between North and South Korea. Some environmentalists fear a peace treaty would lead to the invasion of the DMZ -- by South Korea developers. Parts of the DMZ are within 20 miles of Seoul. A differing approach would be to expand the DMZ in terms of a peace park and take the opportunity to set aside valuable land for protection on a peninsula were wilderness is under threat. KC Kim sees the DMZ as an "eventual core of a larger network of protected areas across Korea, all connected by natural corridors or greenways".290 Kim proposes that the DMZ become a system of bio-reserves. These would offer sanctuary for rare and endangered species of plants 288 Lee et al, 1994. Bio-diversity Korea 2000, Seoul: Minumsa, Digital Chosun. K. C. Kim, Professor, Director Penn State Center for BioDiversity Research; Chair, The DMZ Forum. Digital Chosun Online Newspaper, March 27, 2000, Volume 18, Number 49, Chosunilbo (English Edition) Daily News. 290 Brown, 1996, p. 2. Dr. K. C. Kim, director of the Center for Biodiversity Research, has written and published Biodiversity Korea 2000: “A Strategy to Save, Study and Sustainably Use Korea's Biotic Resources, a "blueprint" for biodiversity conservation for South Korea”. 289 332 and animals. In addition, it would offer an economic boost for both countries through "increasingly popular ecotourism and research of organisms which may have medical and commercial uses".291 The species are not limited to tigers. “Heavily exploited in traditional medicine markets and for such products as bear paw soup, black bears have largely disappeared in South Korea…The DMZ may be one of the few areas remaining where any significant populations are left.”292 Endangered species seem to thrive in this environment, precisely because they can often return to their status as a primary predator – now that humans are not around. US soldiers stationed in the DMZ have reported tiger sightings and there are allegedly tigers caught on video jumping over the barbwire that carpets the area. U.S. soldiers can use weapons against the tigers in protection.293 Some argue that promoting healthy environment such as the DMZ is part of unification and prosperity issues for the peninsula. "Healthy environment and rich natural heritage are of paramount importance for the future of unified Korea. Environmental concerns underlie all of the major topics that have been identified as priority, (including) economic cooperation, tension and arms reduction.” Further, it might serve as a boost to both economies: “Creating a nature reserve might result in economic opportunities such as eco-tourism. “294 291 Drohan, 1996, p. 1. Donald Smith, “Peace Prospects Imperil Korea’s Wildlife Paradise”, National Geographic News, June 23, 2000 (online). 293 From DMZ Forum: http://www.dmzforum.org. 294 “War zone to wildlands: the campaign to restore Korea”, K. C. Kim, quoted in June 19, 2000, Margot Higgins, Environmental Network News, http://www.enn.com. 292 333 North Korea has also suggested the DMZ’s might be preserved for environmental reasons. 295 “The director-general of North Korea’s Nature Conservation Union in Pyongyang, in a radio statement broadcast by the government’s official news agency, cited preservation of the DMZ as a worthy goal. Nine years ago the two governments formally agreed that the DMZ ultimately should be used for “peaceful purposes.” 296 Kim sees the DMZ bioreserve as a way to enhance cooperation between the two Koreas, in addition to its importance for conservation. "The environment is a benign, seemingly apolitical issue on which the Koreans could possibly agree," observes Kim. Environmental issues may be the least provocative way of breaking the ice".297 d. Comparing and Reflecting on the Boundary Cases The Great Wall was the first, the foremost and the most famous attempt to separate peoples through the creating of physical barriers. Many have followed, such as Hadrian’s Wall, the Berlin Wall and the Korean DMZ. Israel is building a wall to separate it from its Arab neighbors. Several millennia ago, the Chinese were terra-forming the planet on a scale not attained for thousands of years later. They created hills, mountains, impenetrable barriers of stone and mud, and berms that were similar in impact to huge changes in geology. The changes in geological structure were particularly disadvantageous for the horse-based military and economic Donald Smith, “Peace Prospects Imperil Korea’s Wildlife Paradise”, National Geographic News, June 23, 2000 (online). 296 Donald Smith, “Peace Prospects Imperil Korea’s Wildlife Paradise”, National Geographic News, June 23, 2000 (online). 297 Drohan, 1996, p. 1. 295 334 systems of the northerners. Nonetheless, it had a similar impact on other large, migrating species indigenous to the area. Was the wall worth it? It did last for a long time and was built at great cost. Ultimately, it failed, but even in its failure the Chinese were able to absorb the invaders rather be absorbed. There is no doubt that the wall was a demarcation of economic system, but it could not alter long term social trends. The Great Wall stopped the Mongols advance towards the south, at least for several thousand years. Rather, the Mongols and the Huns turned to the south, conquering India, the Middle East, and driving west deep into the heartland of Europe. There, they ravaged European kingdoms and the remnants of the Roman Empire. As they advanced whole populations moved further west, creating a huge migration of peoples into Western Europe. Perhaps the idea of the Great Wall in China laid the seeds for the Great Wall in Britain. No doubt word of the wall traveled throughout Eurasia – it was, after all, the largest construction project in history. The Great Wall of China began from a series of short walls and there is no reason why this would not continue in Europe, as a means of linking up defensive systems. Perhaps Hadrian’s Wall had persisted as a viable physical barrier and of an idea of an Iron Curtain that existed across Europe during the Cold War. In Britain, a wall separated people, as today it separates peoples in the West Bank and on the Korean peninsula. These walls are clearly more than mere physical barriers. They serve to define zones of ideology and social systems in the context of environmental possibilities and the difference, over time, can become quite stark. China’s Great Wall was certainly an antecedent for the Hadrian, but the outcomes and circumstances were entirely different. Hadrian’s Wall was shorter, fewer resources used and the 335 life span of it less in time and scope. A system of walls was also used, along with water barriers, in the case study on the defense of Babylon from the Assyrians noted earlier. The example of Hadrian’s Wall clearly demonstrates how conflict can lead to enormous changes in the environment as combatants attempt to remake the environment to fulfill their own strategic purposes. The impact many years later would not only reveal separated biological systems, at least for certain land animals, but very distinct social, economic and social systems among human beings. The clearest relevant examples from the earlier cases are the stone walls built by the Chinese and the Romans. In terms of size, the Korean DMZ more closely resembles Hadrian’s Wall, which only provides perspectives on the scale of China’s Great Wall. The walls were not only physical separations of peoples but distinctive lines between types of economic systems. The Great Wall separated the sedentary Chinese system of the south with the nomadic horsebased system of the north. Likewise, the sedentary crop production of Romans stood in stark contrast to the pastoral strategies of the Picts (Scots). The DMZ separates capitalist South Korea from communist North Korea. Whereas the first two conflicts related to environmental and conflict barriers had mostly negative impacts on the environment, in the DMZ it provided a convenient sanctuary for wildlife. The irony that a dangerous place for human is a (somewhat) safe place for plants and animals is not lost. In many ways, the DMZ is a type of national park, but one where tourism is forbidden. The keeping out of tourists and settlements tips the balance from humans back to nature. Barriers now are more than just land features. As the case of the Korean DMZ illustrates, it also includes air, land water, and underground dimensions. 336 C. Environment and Conflict: The Cases Through Time A differing perspective on the cases is to look at them through the time periods to which they belong. Along with this grouping, the relevant coding of the cases can also be shown and discussed through temporal analysis. 1. Ancient Case Patterns Climate change is a strong driver of conflict behavior in this ancient historical period. People begin to establish stable centers of economic and social life, but declining resources or increasing populations inevitably seep into human history leading to the movement of peoples. Human social systems are not amenable to steady state behaviors. Competition between and within humans for prized land and the key resources over time is evident. While some of these demands are general, such as arable lands and hunting grounds, the demands focus on specific resources important to the socio-economic context of time. Early in history, specific resource needs just begin to emerge. Water was needed to irrigate crops and wood required to build urban settlements and as an energy source. These incremental changes in resource demands over a long time represented substantial advances in technology. These technology advances spilled over in the conflict arena. Combined with the larger populations in city states, these centers had the ability to extend their powers over a large distance. This was the basis for the creation of the state. States saw the environment as a reason to wage war, but also a means to create military capacity. This policy was an essential part of building early states. 337 These ancient cases exhibit certain attributes that can provide a basis for some simple comparisons, although they clearly lack statistical and scientific validity. From these six ancient cases in this chapter, it is possible to develop common categories for coding that can be useful in analysis. The cases some areas of basic indicators, including approximate beginning and ending dates of conflict, as well as information of the geographic locations of the conflict and the actors involved. The geographic locations can be further micro-scoped along dimensions of continent, region, and country (see Table IV-7). Table IV-7 Coding of Base Indicators from the Ancient Case Studies Case / Neanderthal Cedars of MohenjoNile Indicator Lebanon Daro Begin 45,000 BC 2,600 BC 2,500 BC 500 BC Conflict End Conflict 15,000 BC 138 AD 1700 BC 2,005 AD (ongoing) Conflict 30,000 2,738 800 2,505 Duration (years) Continent Europe Mideast Asia Mideast Region Western Asia South Asia Africa Europe Mideast Mideast Country Many Lebanon Pakistan Egypt (current) (now) Actors Humans, Babylonians, Aryans, Egypt, Neanderthals Phoenicians Dravidians Nubians Habitat Type Cool Temperate Dry Dry (then) 2. Assyrian Water War 720 BC Great Wall of China 450 BC 539 AD 1600 AD 181 2,050 Mideasst Asia Mideast Iraq Asia East Asia China Assyrians, Chinese, Babylonians Mongols Dry Temperate Middle Case Patterns The need for control over resources, both general and specific, arose in tandem with the development of organized political entities and ultimately states. The state established strict 338 regions of control and access to resources. With growing populations, spheres of interest began to overlap and conflict over resource became a common occurrence. South Asia provides an instructive historic microcosm of the varied and changing relationship between environment and conflict, particularly in heralding the coming importance of two sought after commodities: wood and water. In conflict situations, combatants may seek to change the environment in order to increase their military advantage or to decrease that of an opponent. Mughal armies conquering peoples in South Asia often laid siege to forts built in heavily wooded areas. They began by cutting down all of the trees in the area before the siege.298 This tactic would remove hiding places for bow-equipped snipers from preying on the Mughal armies -- similar to spraying Agent Orange on jungle vegetation during the Vietnam War to protect American soldiers from sniping by Viet Cong guerillas. Trees are often victims in wars. In World War I, there was massive deforestation for a variety of reasons: burning wood for warmth and cooking, exploding ordnance, and the firing of millions of metal bullet projectiles. At the battles at Antitem and Gettysburg in the American Civil War, most of the trees in the area fell due to the multitude of rifle shells that were fired by the two armies, one bullet at a time. In World War II, the Soviet Union engaged in a "scorched earth" policy in retreating from German advances, burning their buildings, crops and forests prior to the German invasion (as they did when Napoleon invaded). Forests became part of defense strategy in South Asia hundreds of years ago. "A sixteenth century classical literary text, Aamuktamalyada, written by Krishneveda Raya, spells out what ought to be the policy of the state towards 298 "Forests, Pastoralists and Agrarian Society in Mughal India", by Chetan Singh, 21-48, Nature, Culture and Imperialism: Essays on the Environmental History of South Asia, David Arnold and Ramacharda Guha, eds, Delhi: Oxford University Press, 1995, pp. 23-5. 339 forests and tribal groups. Though he recommends that the state should deliberately develop impenetrable forests on all the boundaries of its kingdom in order to protect people from thieves, he advises only a partial clearing of forests in the center of the kingdom, not others."299 These ancient policies on environment and conflict extended not only to forests but also to the use of them, particularly the role of animals and thus the agricultural economy, the mainstay of agrarian lifestyle. (See case study on Robin Hood and forest rights in England.) The strict forest policy, that limited access to forest resource to the elite, ultimately led to resentment and backlash in Southeast Asia. "The first and spontaneous individual peasant protest against forest regulations took the form of a violation of government restrictions. Illegal grazing and the resulting impounding of animals had become perennial problems, despite strict supervision by forest subordinates. There was an increase in cases of unauthorized grazing and the removal of grass and other forest produce. Unauthorized felling was the biggest forest offence in the eyes of the state in Guntru, Nellore, Chittoor and Anantpaur. In 1919-20 as many as 8,900 cases of forest 'crimes' were reported."300 Wood was a prized resource in South Asia but so was water. A series of small dam systems in south Bihar (in the eastern part of present-day India) in mid-nineteenth 299 "Whose Trees: Forest Practices and Local Communities in Andhra, 1600-1922," Neelardri Bhattacacharya, Nature, Culture and Imperialism: Essays on the Environmental History of South Asia, David Arnold and Ramacharda Guha, eds., Delhi: Oxford University Press, 1995, pp. 88-89. 300 "Whose Trees," Neelardri Bhattacacharya, p. 119. 340 century captured run-off from central Indian plateau.301 As water was also prized, so were the resources in it, especially the fish and sea mammals that lived there. Regulation and taxation of water use emerged. "Fishermen, along with other agriculturalists, appear everywhere to have been subject to the 'tax on trade and professions' known as muhtarifa." The jalkar, a tax on income for "the use of the produce of water" was only one of several ways that fishermen's income were taxed and regulated in the 18th-19th centuries.302 The range of environment and conflict issues in historic South Asia demonstrate several types of environments there and the types of social systems that evolved over time.303 The following six cases also follow the form and order of the ancient cases noted above and proceeds along a historic path. The discussion of the ancient and middle cases suggests a continuum of development in the types of environment problems. Such a comparison does not mean to imply 301 "Small Dam Systems of the Sahyadris," David Hardiamn, Nature, Culture and Imperialism: Essays on the Environmental History of South Asia, David Arnold and Ramacharda Guha, eds., Delhi: Oxford University Press, 1995, 185-209. 302 "Inland Waters and Freshwater Fisheries: Issues of Control, Access and Conservation in Colonial India", Peter Reeves, Nature, Culture and Imperialism: Essays on the Environmental History of South Asia, David Arnold and Ramacharda Guha, eds, Delhi: Oxford University Press, 1995, pp. 260-292. The role of environment in national policy decision-making is not new. Air pollution problems in South Asia, for example, have been an issue of policy concerns for a long time. "However, a much longer history of air pollution is apparent from earlier accounts. By the eighteenth century, smoke was cited, along with heat, dust, humidity, and noisome smells, as one of the attendant hardships and health hazards for Europeans in Calcutta." Calcutta adopted smoke nuisance legislation in 1963, one of the first cities in the world to do so. London was the first in 1853, well ahead of most other cities.” From "The Conquest of Smoke: Legislation and Pollution in Colonial Calcutta," M.R. Anderson, 293-335, Nature, Culture and Imperialism: Essays on the Environmental History of South Asia, David Arnold and Ramacharda Guha, editors, Delhi: Oxford University Press, 1995, p. 294. 303 Marvin Harris, Cannibals and Kings, New York, Vintage Books Edition: 1991 (first edition, Random House, 1977), p. 69. Social concerns became a source of conflict. In the Americas, the Yanomamo of the Amazon met those needs but also came into conflict with other tribes in disputes mostly over women 341 any sort of trend, since the possession of two cases over two periods is clearly an insufficient base from which to judge. They do however point to manifestations in the relation between conflict and environment that seem-longstanding in nature. The span of when conflicts begin and end spans over 1,800 years. Conflict durations are generally long, but appear to be decreasing in span over time. North American cases account for two-thirds with the rest being European cases. Western North American cases are the most common and most habitats are temperate in nature. The cases suggest a shift to the New World from the Old World, but also a focus on new, emerging problem types (see Table IV-8). Table IV-8 Coding of Base Indicators from the Middle Case Studies HADRIAN MAYA VINELAND Middle Cases Boundaries Arable Climate Land Change Begin 80 250 1000 Conflict End 450 850 1500 Conflict Conflict 370 600 500 Duration (years) Continent Europe North North America America Region Western Southern Northern Europe North North America America Country Rome Guatemala Canada (current) (now) Actors Rome, Babylonians, Vikings and Scots, Picts Phoenicians Native Americans Habitat Temperate Temperate Cool Type (then) 3. Modern Case Patterns 342 ANASAZI ROBIN BUFFALO Water Forests Weapons 1100 1450 1870 1600 1600 1889 500 150 19 North America Western North America USA Europe North America Western North America USA Various tribes UK and Merry Men Dry Temperate Western Europe UK USA, Native Americans Temperate Modern cases reflect both the same issues as those earlier in history and the long-term trends and issues described earlier. While many issues remain concurrent, the pace at which they change is new and how they manifest themselves in particular situations depends on a larger context. These modern cases are presented chronologically, but since these conflict outbursts are symptoms of much longer-term problems, the order is somewhat arbitrary. With a general shorter time period of focus, compared to the ancient and middle cases, there is more of a chance of overlap in the duration of the cases. With differing durations, discerning order based on conflict time periods becomes more problematic. The compression of time related to conflicts of environment is partially a simple matter of available historical record, but also an acceleration of these conflicts due to more people, resources demands and the nation-state system that embodies those interests. As before, the cases draw from the six general issue areas. A comparative matrix shows the six modern cases and their distribution across a number of event-data driven criteria. Some conflicts have an extremely short time span (one year) and medium term (eight years). Two conflicts were outliers at 38 and 52 years of duration respectively. The continents are equally split between Asia, Africa, and the Middle East. Onehalf of the cases are in dry habitats and one-third in tropical ones. By this modern era the differing types of conflicts often relate and overlap, which was not the case earlier in history. The reason is globalization and the growth in the size and reach of nations. The conflicts in Jordan and Kuwait were definitely linked at the time and the role of natural and human impacts are evident in the Sahel and Rwanda cases (see Table IV-10). Table IV-9 Coding of Base Indicators from the Middle Case Studies 343 DMZ JORDAN KUWAIT KHMER RWANDA SAHEL Boundaries Water Weapons Forests Begin Conflict End Conflict Conflict Duration (years) Continent Region 1953 1967 1991 1992 Arable Land 1994 Climate Change 1997 2005 2005 1991 2000 1994 2005 52 38 1 8 1 8 Asia East Asia Mideast AsiaMid Mideast AsiaMid Asia East Asia Africa East Africa Country North Korea South Korea North Korea South Korea Jordan Jordan USA Rwanda Africa West Africa Niger Jordan, Israel Temperate Dry UN Allies, Khmer Iraq, Kuwait Rouge, Vietnam, Cambodia Dry Tropical Modern Cases Actors Habitat Type 344 Rwanda, Uganda, Congo, Burundi Tropical Niger, Chad Nigeria Dry