Document of The World Bank Report No: PROJECT BRIEF ON A PROPOSED CREDIT IN THE AMOUNT OF USD 29.0 MILLION EQUIVALENT AND A PROPOSED GRANT FROM THE GLOBAL ENVIRONMENT FACILITY TRUST FUND IN THE AMOUNT OF USD 7.0 MILLION EQUIVALENT TO THE GOVERNMENT OF GHANA FOR A GHANA URBAN TRANSPORT PROJECT April 20, 2006 This document has a restricted distribution and may be used by recipients only in the performance of their official duties. Its contents may not otherwise be disclosed without World Bank authorization. 1 CURRENCY EQUIVALENTS (Exchange Rate Effective January 6, 2006) Currency Unit = Ghanaian Cedis (GHC) GHC 1 = US$0.0001136 US$1 = GHC 8,800 FISCAL YEAR January 1 -- December 31 ABBREVIATIONS AND ACRONYMS ADB ADT AMISU APL BOT BRT BRRI C&AG CAS CDF CFAA DFR DUR DVLA ECOWAS EIA EOI ERR EMP GHA GOG GPN HDM HSIP KM MDA MMDU MOF MRT MOTC MTEF NGO NMT NPV PIM RMRP African Development Bank Average Daily Traffic Accounting and Management Information Systems Unit Adaptable Program Lending Build Operate and Transfer Bus Rapid Transit Building and Road Research Institute Controller and Accountant General Country Assistance Strategy Country Development Framework Country Financial and Accountability Assessment Department of Feeder Roads Department of Urban Roads Driver and Vehicle Licensing Authority Economic Community of West African States Environmental Impact Assessment Expression of Interest Economic Rate of Return Environmental Management Plan Ghana Highway Authority Government of Ghana General Procurement Notice Highway Development and Management Model Highway Sector Improvement Project Kilometer Ministries, Departments and Agencies Metropolitan Municipality District Units Ministry of Finance Ministry of Road Transport Ministry of Transport and Communications Medium-Term Expenditure Framework Non-Governmental Organization Non-Motorized Means of Transport Net Present Value Project Implementation Manual Road Maintenance and Rehabilitation Program SIL SSATP TOR Sector Investment Lending Sub-Saharan Africa Transport Policy Program Terms of Reference 2 GHANA URBAN TRANSPORT PROJECT CONTENTS A. Project Development Objective 1. Project development objective 2. Key performance indicators B. Strategic Context 4 4 4 4 1. Sector-related Country Assistance Strategy (CAS) goal supported by the project 2. Key development issues and rationale for Bank involvement 5 3. Sector issues to be addressed by the project and strategic choices 8 C. Project Description Summary 10 1. Project components 10 2. Benefits and target population 14 3. Institutional and implementation arrangements 15 D. Project Rationale 16 1. Lessons learned and reflected in the project design 2. Evidence of the borrower’s commitment 17 3. Monitoring and evaluation 18 E. Summary Project Analysis 1. Economic 19 2. Financial 19 3. Technical 19 4. Institutional 19 5. Environmental 20 F. Sustainability and Risks 19 21 Annexes Annex 1: Results framework and monitoring 24 Annex 2. Sector Background 28 Annex 3 Description of components 37 Annex 4: Incremental cost analysis 44 Annex 5 Incremental cost matrix 49 Annex 6 Procurement and Disbursement Arrangements 52 3 16 4 PROJECT BRIEF GHANA URBAN TRANSPORT PROJECT A. Project Development Objective 1. Project development Objective. The project objective is to enhance mobility and affordability of bus transport services in the Greater Accra Metropolitan Area (GAMA) in a socially and environmentally sustainable manner. The project would focus on: (a) strengthening policy, institutional and regulatory framework for managing, coordinating, planning and monitoring urban transport services in GAMA; (b) facilitating person movement on major corridors through a combination of traffic management and implementation of bus rapid transport system and ; and (c) monitoring and evaluation of local and global environmental benefits. 2. Key Performance Indicators: The key performance indicators of the project are: Modal shift to more efficient and less polluting forms of bus transport (share of trips in public transport modes as a share of total trips, with and without project scenarios in target corridors) Increase in share of trips by NMT modes Potential for at least 22% reduction in GHG emissions by EOP Incorporation of environmental considerations into the public policy in the transport sector, influence policy decision makers, strengthen government technical teams on air pollution and establish alliances with civil society. B. Strategic Context 1. Sector-related Country Assistance Strategy (CAS) goal supported by the Project: The Ghana Country Assistance Strategy (February 20, 2004) has identified Ghana as one of the few countries in Sub-Saharan Africa to have a chance of meeting the Millennium Development Goals (MDGs). The 2003 Core Welfare Indicator Questionnaire, conducted as part of the ongoing PRSP process, has revealed that there is an increasing problem of urban poverty (increasing at an average annual rate of 6% over 1997-2003 as compared to national average growth rate of 2%). The Strategy, rooted in the Strategic Framework for IDA’s Assistance in Africa, rests on three pillars to support the Ghana Poverty Reduction Strategy (GPRS): (a) sustainable growth and job creation; (b) service provision for human development; and (c) governance and empowerment. The Project will support all three objectives of the CAS and GPRS in four ways: (a) by reducing the cost of doing business in the capital city, it will increase Ghana’s competitiveness in foreign trade and promote linkages in domestic markets, which are crucial factors for rapid and sustained growth. These linkages will improve the cost of access, by poor and women, to social services, markets and economic opportunities, thereby contributing to social sustainability and human development; (b) it will help improve governance through 4 clarifying roles and responsibilities in the transport sector and encouraging wider and more meaningful participation of stakeholders (private bus operators, users, commercial banks, insurance agencies, NGOs) in the decision making process; (c) by providing more emphasis on low cost traffic management techniques and helping establish a suitable framework for public transport, the project will contribute to more effective and efficient public sector expenditure; and (d) the project will support private and financial sector development by advancing limited competitive regime in the provision of infrastructure and services. 2. Key development issues and rationale for Bank involvement Main sector issues and Government strategy: Transport Sector Overview. The transport sector plays a strategic role in the economy of Ghana. It accounts for approximately 9% of GDP and generates a significant share of the total budgetary revenues of the Government. The country has a well developed transportation system consisting of two large deep-water ports that yearly handle about 7 million tons of import and export traffic; a 944 km railway system serving the southern part of the country; a 40,000 km road network system consisting of 13,433 km of trunk roads, 24,000 km of feeder roads and over 2,200 km of urban roads; and one international airport and 8 regional airports and airstrips throughout the country. Roads are the predominant mode of transportation, currently accounting for 94% of freight and 97% of all traffic movements in the country. There are no widely available alternatives to roads other than for the movement of bulk commodities for export, such as timber, cocoa, bauxite and manganese ore, which are suited to transport by rail from central collection centers and mining areas to the ports. The railway network has limited coverage (Accra-KumasiTakoradi) and presently operates at low efficiency under parastatal management. Internal water transport is limited to Lake Volta. The road transport industry, which is dominated by the private sector, has unrestricted entry and competition is prevalent, but its efficiency is constrained by the high cost poor roads impose on vehicle operation. In the past Ghana, and in particular Accra, had a relatively healthy infrastructure base. However, economic crisis and decline during the 1970s and 1980s, combined with weak institutional capacity, led to a deterioration in the infrastructure network and its operations. This left transporters and producers without the ability to expand services to a larger segment of the population and unable to compete effectively in regional markets. Since 1990 the Government has deployed, within the framework of projects supported by the Bank and a number of other donors and international financial institutions, major efforts to remedy deficiencies in the transport sector. In 1997 GOG reformed its own role and function in the sector, by merging its involvement in all transport modes into one Ministry, the Ministry of Roads and Transport. At this time Government also adopted the principle that Government's role should be that of regulating, managing and monitoring, not of executing, agent. Within this principle, widespread intensification of the involvement of the private sector has begun in areas previously dominated by Government: port operations, maritime trade, and road maintenance. The process of concessioning operations of the railway to the private sector has also begun. In 2001, the Government again split roads and transport into two Ministries, the Ministry of Roads and Highways (MRH) and Ministry of Transport and Communications (MTC), but the envisaged role of Government remains the same. 5 The road network is the responsibility of three agencies, all under the oversight of MRH: The Ghana Highway Authority (GHA) is in charge of the trunk road network (13,433 kin; 5,968 km paved and 7,465 km unpaved), and roads leading through minor towns. GHA is a semi-autonomous agency, which since mid-1999 has operated under the direction of a Board with significant private sector representation; its staff are in public employ but outside the civil service. The Department of Feeder Roads (DFR) is a department of MRH. DFR is in charge of all 24,000 km of feeder roads, and is presently changing from a centralized structure to a decentralized one in response to Government's decentralization policy, which is to devolve decision-making to district councils. The Department of Urban Roads (DUR) is a department of MRH. DUR is in charge of roads in seven main urban agglomerations: Accra, Tema, Cape Coast, Sekondi/Takoradi, Kumasi, Tamale, and Koforidua. Decentralization efforts involve partial devolution of decision-making to municipal authorities and councils. Main Issues in the Urban Transport Sector Key Issues. Accra city, with a population of about 2.5 million, is the administrative and commercial capital of Ghana, growing at above the national average (4.4 percent per annum as compared to a national average of 2.7 percent), accounting for about 35 percent of the country’s urban population and contributing a high proportion to the country’s GDP. Almost half of the country’s urban population is expected to be living in Accra over the next decade. In spite of the growing economic importance of Accra, the city is not adequately served by municipal services. The transport environment in Accra, for example, is characterized by heavy congestion particularly during the peak periods, low vehicle utilization, weak implementation of traffic management measures, inadequate facilities for pedestrians and bicyclists, poor road safety arrangements and high accident rates. Almost 70% of the person trips in the city depend on some form of buses as the dominant mode which use less than 25% of the road space; in contrast, private cars and taxis move less than 30% of the person trips but consume about 70% of the road space. Despite the importance of urban public transport in satisfying mobility needs of the residents, it operates under financial and management constraints. The poor public transport suppresses the economic and social advantages for which the city developed in the first place. The public transport in Accra has evolved with successive administrations since independence in 1957. At that time, the public transport services were nationalized and a public owned company was created (Omnibus Service Authority, OSA Ltd), where services operated under an overzealous fare regulation. The impact of fare controls was to limit revenue of the public operator to an extent that it was not able to maintain vehicles on road. In response to declining services and growing demand, Government partly deregulated the sector in the early 1990s, encouraging the private sector to participate in the provision of bus services. The fare controlled private sector bus operators entered the market to fill-in the deficit in public service, but they found it profitable to operate only at high load factors associated with a low quality of service. Investment in new large vehicles could not be sustained in this regime. The residual deficit in services was filled by taxis operating outside the fare control, contributing to a proliferation of small vehicles. Therefore, while deregulation of the public transport services in Accra has increased supply, it has worsened road congestion, the urban environment, user safety and 6 security. The private mini-buses (trotros) in Accra have operated on an opportunistic basis, without any schedule, route licensing or service standards. The license gives them a permission to operate anywhere, resulting in their concentration along the main high density corridors. This situation has particularly worsened the travel environment for the poor who live in outlying areas and depend most on public transport. Key issues facing the sector are: (a) the environment is characterized by multiple institutions with over-lapping responsibilities and unclear mandates; and a discouraging record of public sector provision and maintenance of urban services and infrastructure; (b) the problem of traffic congestion on the primary road network is as much due to a lack of road capacity as to the inefficient use of the existing road space, poor road maintenance, indiscriminate parking and street trading; (c) the full benefits of liberalization have failed to reach the consumers because of a dysfunctionality in the urban transport sector. Urban transport in Accra is characterized by a fundamental paradox of a market with proven excess demand and shortage of supply that is not attracting sufficient new investment to redress this imbalance. The “excess” demand is reflected in overcrowded buses and long waiting times without even accounting for the “latent” demand because of the lack of affordability and access. The supply “shortage”, in spite of a proliferation of taxis and trotros, implies constraints in the provision of large, good quality buses operated by the formal sector. The missing link arises from low productivity of the capital assets in a highly congested traffic and from the inability of informal operators to attract the necessary funding to operate large, good quality buses; and (d) urban development trends are encouraging sprawling settlement patterns which discourage use of slow moving NMTs (particularly bicycles and pedestrians) and increasing dependence on private motor vehicles. Government Strategy: The focus of Government strategy in the past has been on rehabilitating the road network and related infrastructure development. Accordingly, improvements in urban transport have been mainly confined to upgrading the quality of the road network. Prompted by growing congestion in the urban centers, which has resulted in declining city productivity, road safety and environmental standards, Government is motivated to address broad strategic urban transport issues related to strengthening the policy and institutional environment and enhancing demand management. The newly elected President of Ghana, as part of his electoral campaign in 2004, identified improvements in public transport as one of the top priorities of his agenda. He has set up a 23member Committee, including Ministers of State, representatives of Metropolitan, Municipal and District Assemblies, Regional House of Chiefs and Institute of Planners. The objective of the Commission is to determine the economic, social, sectoral and environmental policies for development of the metropolitan area and supervise their implementation. Central to the Commission’s agenda is improvements in urban transport in the metropolitan area with a view to improving its competitiveness, bankability and growth. Government has set up Metro Mass Transit Ltd (MMT) as a limited liability company through which support for improving bus quality can be channeled. It was originally provided (in 2004) with 176 second-hand city buses donated by the Italian Government and 75 new Dutch city 7 buses. During the past year, 250 buses have been committed by the Chinese Government, most of which have already arrived. In addition, there are 100 buses committed by Tata and two further tranches of DAFs. The Government has also commissioned studies, with the support of IDA and other Development Partners, to examine urban transport planning and traffic management for the major urban centers in Ghana. The focus of these studies is to develop a medium to long range urban transport policy framework, strategic plans, traffic management and improvement plans and an urban transport data base. In addition, the potential for public transport priority measures will be identified, through the reallocation of existing road space and new construction such as dedicated bus-ways. The Government has also just completed (with the support of Public Private Infrastructure Advisory Facility) a study of regulatory framework for managing competitive environment for bus transport in Accra. 3. Sector issues to be addressed by the project and strategic choices: As a direct outcome of the Government's sector strategy, the key roads issues to be dealt with through the project are: Decentralization: The Government's decentralization plans will have a significant impact on the roads sector, with immediate effect on feeder roads. The structure of decision-making related to roads in both urban and rural areas is expected to continue to evolve during the program period. The RSDP is designed so that MRH and its agencies can respond to and participate in this process. District and Municipal Assemblies will be increasingly involved in the selection of works and the programming of maintenance. Poverty alleviation: The roads sector is only now beginning to contribute proactively to the Government's declared goal of giving first priority to mitigating extreme poverty wherever it exists. This focus will sharpen through the RSDP period and cause greater focus on extending and maintaining the feeder road network and upgrading roads in the slum areas of towns. Given that the real impact will only come from improved transport, the agencies implementing the RSDP will work together with the Rural Travel and Transport Program (RTTP) to assist with the development of a National Rural Transport Policy, the deepening of current knowledge of rural transport issues in Ghana, and the promotion of transport options, including intermediate means of transport. Safety: Under the HSIP an environmental and road safety department was created in GHA, but no significant progress has been made in road safety. Basic elements such as control of truck loading, driver proficiency, accident reporting and statistics, and rescue services, are all in need of significant improvement. To address these problems, a comprehensive road safety program will be developed under the RSDP. Ghana has joined the Global Road Safety Partnership, which will assist in creating the framework for a partnership between Government at central and local level, and private commerce and industry. Road safety policies are now under the purview of the recently established National Road Safety Commission (NRSC), and driver proficiency and vehicle standards fall under the now restructured Driver and Vehicle Licensing Authority (DVLA). Both of these entities will be strengthened under the RSDP. 8 Social sustainability and equity: Social assessments have been carried out within the sector on a pilot basis, but have not been systematically applied. A study focusing on the Socio-economic Impact of Trunk Road Maintenance was carried out by GHA, which analyzes social impacts more systematically. Under the RSDP, social impact assessments will be conducted to mitigate negative impacts and maximize benefits to targeted groups. The program will be designed to be sensitive to gender issues in transport and maximize gender participation in decision-making in all aspects of program development and implementation. Environment: A methodology for environmental impact assessments (ElAs) of road investments was developed under the HSIP for GHA and the resulting EIAs are satisfactory. Similar assessments will be introduced in a systematic fashion for feeder roads and urban roads under the RSDP. The Environmental Unit in GHA will be given the lead role in extending this function to DUR and DFR and their respective networks. The capacity in the Ministry of Environment would also be strengthened to monitor environmental emissions and GHG reductions in relation to proposed improvements in the urban transport environment. Sector Management and Implementation Capacity: Issues in these areas fall in two broad categories: those that need to be addressed before the start or in the initial stages of the program, and those that the program itself will address over time. The first category comprises (i) design and start of a payment plan to eliminate the arrears problem and isolate it from the RSDP until its final resolution; (ii) establishment of the expanded environmental and social assessment and mitigation system to cover DUR and DFR in addition to GHA; (iii) establishment of the reformed financial management system in MRH and its agencies by transforming the Accounting and Management Information Systems Unit (AMISU) into a MRH accounting facility to oversee the accounting and financial management activities of the Ministry's three road agencies; (iv) agreement between the Government and the donor community on the design of a joint decisionmaking process relevant to the RSDP being implemented in accordance with the CDF, and (v) assignment of staff in MRH and the donor agencies of sufficient number and qualification to make this process work. The second category covers (i) establishment of the Government procurement code; (ii) consolidation of the use of existing contract management systems and related monitoring and decision-making processes; (iii) continuous development of the RSDP management aspects relevant to Government's decentralization program; and (iv) long-term but less critical issues being addressed through training programs under the RSDP for MRH, its agencies and the private sector. Sector programming and analysis: Priority must be given to the establishment of a sound basis for analysis and programming in the sector. There is a need for comprehensive, but manageable, databases on the state of roads, which will permit realistic estimates of maintenance, rehabilitation and new investment needs to be made. To this end, the program will develop a training package, with a focus on upgrading capacity in existing techniques as well as introducing integrated methods for analysis. Capability for transport sector monitoring and analysis through the use of geographic information systems (GIS) will be introduced in both GHA and DUR as appropriate, and HDM-4 will be used for the economic analysis, together with other appropriate social development criteria. 9 Human resource development: There is a need to improve the capacity of middle and lower level technicians in the road agencies, including skills, salary levels and housing conditions. The human resources aspect of the program is being assessed through the Organizational Development and In-Country Training (ODICT-P) study and includes (i) an evaluation of training needs of both genders; (ii) an adequate training plan reflecting these needs; and (iii) proper targeting of technical assistance to include know-how transfer targets and the design of a follow-up mechanism. C. Project Description Summary Project Components This is a blended activity with the base line components financed by IDA and Government of Ghana and incremental components financed by GEF. The project would support the following components: 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. Institutional strengthening (IDA and GOG financed) Traffic management and safety (IDA and GOG financed) Integration of land use/transport management and environmental management (blend activity with the base line activities supported by IDA and GOG and incremental activities supported by GEF) BRT Infrastructure design and implementation (blend activity) Monitoring and Evaluation (blend activity) Table: Project Components by Source of Funding (in US$ million) Component Institutional Strengthening Traffic Management and Safety Integration of Land Use BRT Monitoring & Evaluation Total Cost, by funding Source IDA/ GoG and GEF Others 2.0 14.5 3.3 1.1 6.5 2.7 5.5 0.4 29.0 7.0 Component 1: Institutional Strengthening (US$2,000,000) - policy and institutional reforms (including strengthening of environmental management, decentralization, development of a national transport strategy encompassing rural and urban transport, and road safety); studies; training; technical assistance; and provision of buildings, vehicles and equipment. The project would support this component particularly to strengthen capacity of the urban roads department and Ministry of Environment to plan, manage and monitor urban transport operations and services. This component was designed as an outcome of a diagnostic and capacity assessment exercise carried out jointly with the expected 10 beneficiaries. It aims at laying the groundwork for improving person movement and environmental management. Specific components include: institutional strengthening and capacity building both for the public sector bodies managing the system, including necessary monitoring and evaluation capability, and the private sector operators providing the transport services; improved capacity for dispatching and scheduling bus services, bus maintenance management, fare collection methods, bus driver training. This component would also support introduction of a ‘limited competition’ regime for the regulation of urban passenger transport, and establishment of the associated planning, procurement, monitoring and evaluation capacity. Ministries directly involved include MRT, Ministry of Tourism and Modernization of the Capital City (MTMCC) and MLGRD. Relevant local authorities include Accra Metropolitan, Tema Municipal and Ga District Assemblies. Component 2: Traffic Engineering, Management and Safety (US$14,500,000) – This component would focus on road improvements, traffic improvements, strengthening the NRSC and DVLA; developing a comprehensive road safety strategy and implementation program; and setting standards for safety, reliability, and efficiency in the transport sector. Additionally, this component would focus on short-term and low-cost measures complemented by environmental improvements and public education and enforcement plans. The specific activities would include: traffic management measures, bus maintenance facilities, transport lay-byes, improvements in riding quality of roads, pedestrian walk facilities, intersection improvements, fly-overs, bus stops, bus-only lanes and education and enforcement measures. This component would also focus on capacity development for traffic management, nonmotorized feeder services and network integration in the central business district. Component 3. Integration of land use/transport management and environmental management (US$4,400,000). IDA/GOG will finance about US$3,300,000 and GEF incremental financing will be US$1,100,000. The IDA financed base line activity would support sound transit oriented development policies and sustainable transport elements in current plans and strategies. The component will explore arrangements to further promote the use of bicycle and pedestrian ways in selected areas as a viable and safe alternative to private cars. This component will also help design instruments and incentives, including an action plan for implementation of changes in current land-use patterns. Specific components include: a. Strategic transport-land use plans (US$650,000). This component would finance preparation and annual review of transport plans for the Accra metropolitan area; b. Development of data base inventory (US$1,300,000). This component will finance: 1) review and assess a comprehensive vehicle technology binning system; 2) collection of data on vehicle driving patterns per vehicle per class; 3) estimation of average vehicle kilometers traveled per day, by different vehicle classifications along key corridors in different types of traffic conditions. The data would be conducted on an annual basis for the four years of project implementation; c Strategic Environmental Assessment (SEA) of Land Use Plan (US$550,000). GEF will fund the SEA of master land-use plans, which in many cases need to be updated to accommodate to new realities of development plans. This component will also finance training of Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) staff to build capacity to generate emission inventories for the Accra metropolitan area; d Estimation of cold starts and hot soaks (US$200,000). Based on the information collected on total vehicle kilometers traveled by vehicle type and roadway class as part of base line studies, this component would finance estimation of cold starts, during which emission levels 11 tend to be higher then under normal operating conditions depending on type of technology used. It will also estimate hot-soak periods; and e Real life emission management and measurement (US$600,000). The objective is to estimate emissions from originally clean, three way catalyst cars in the city. The emission factors are not known and purpose is to investigate the extent to which the lamda sensor regulates the air/fuel mixture and the extent to which the cleaning system still works. This component will finance purchase of a new not contaminated car with three-way catalyst and conduct research to estimate emissions from cars driven on Ghanaian gasoline at periodic intervals (2 months, 6 months, 1 year) and compared to emissions from new car models from official homologation index. The GEF financed incremental activity would finance: f Study to Determine Environmental Impact of Passenger and Freight Transportation (US$300,000). This component will fund development of TOR and execution of a base line study to determine the level of emissions of GHG and air pollutants resulting from current freight transportation practices, in order to determine a sound baseline. The studies will assess opportunities for reducing emissions as result of freight management programs, and will propose alternative freight management measures, ranging from mobility plans and traffic management, to advanced logistic design for freight transfer stations. Also, the study will assess the need for fleet renewal regulation and incentives. The study will be limited to the urban areas of the city implementing BRT system; h Study on Mobility Plans and NMT (US$300,000). This component will finance studies to develop a sound mobility plan for the Accra metropolitan area and formulate a Master Plans for Non motorized transport (NMT), particularly bicycles; and g Bus Route Restructuring (US$500,000) for BRT system. This component will finance development and implementation of TOR for studies aimed at restructuring bus routes in Accra. Component 4. BRT Infrastructure design and implementation (US$ 12,000,000). A corridor was selected for pilot implementation, based upon the degree of compliance of each of the potential BRT corridors with passenger demand, cost, potential impact, accessibility to low income communities and urban and regional planning impacts are criteria. The selected corridor is Winneba Road and Graphic Road from Mallam to the Accra CBD. Grade separation is likely to be required at two locations on the route, namely at Obetsebi Lamptey Circle at the intersection with the Ring Road and the Railway crossing on Graphic road. Most of the route from Mallam to the Ring Road on Winneba Road has three lanes per direction, and a portion of this has adjacent service lanes. Graphic Road, which links the Ring Road to the CBD has two lanes per direction. Within the CBD two circulation routes are proposed: the CBD / Circle route utilizes the existing 3 lane / direction one-way pair of Kwame Nkrumah Avenue and Kojo Thompson Road, whilst the CBD / Ministries uses an portion of Kwame Nkrumah Avenue and predominantly 4 lane dual carriageway roads for the remainder of the circulation route. IDA/GOG will finance about US$6,500,000 and GEF incremental financing will be US$5,5000,000. The IDA/GOG financed activity would support: a. Environmental analysis of pilot corridor and CBD distributor routes (US$500,000). An Environmental Assessment shall be undertaken of potential impacts, e.g., loss of trees, adequate drainage, increased pollution levels, health and safety, etc., and appropriate mitigation measures and management arrangements as part of the preparation and 12 implementation of an Environmental Management Plan. The Environmental Management Plan will summarize anticipated environmental and social impacts of the project and will provide details on the measures, responsibilities and scheduling to mitigate these impacts, as well as costs of mitigation and monitoring. Mitigation measures and responsibilities for mitigation will be contained in the Environmental Management Plan (EMP). EMPs will provide a critical link between the mitigation measures specified in an Environmental Assessment report and the integration of such measures during the implementation and operation of the project. b. Infrastructure (stations, terminals, pedestrian and bicycle access, intersections, feeder routes) (US$6,000,000). This component will finance: road rehabilitation, grade separation, topographic surveys, geotechnical surveys; conceptual design and implementation of Obetsebi Lamptey Circle Flyover; civil works for BRT requirements for: geometric alignment and pavement structure for bus way, station, terminal and depots designs, such as required width of bus way, bus occupation, station occupation, load factors for selected bus under desired bus occupation, area plans for stations, terminals and depots (facilities included, minimum areas), required ancillary facilities (criteria for pedestrian overpasses or signalized pedestrian crossings, width of pedestrian an bicycles facilities; and engineering and architectural design of roads (reconfiguration of bus way corridor geometry and rehabilitation of feeder roads). The GEF financed incremental activity (US$5,500,000) would finance: c Infrastructure design of BRT System and Facilities (US$1,000,000). Elaborate the technical, social and environmental design of a pilot BRT project to be implemented in the short term; This component will finance the creation of a user friendly BRT system incorporating the needs of pedestrians and bickers using the BRT. Pedestrian facilities and BRT terminal facilities will be part of the infrastructure design. d Engineering and Design of the exclusive bus lanes along the BRT corridor (US$5,500,000). The GEF financing would supplement the IDA/GOG financing of road rehabilitation and grade separation at intersections by financing creation of exclusive bus lanes along the BRT corridor. Without the exclusive bus lanes, the improvements of roads and traffic management may have the unintended impact of promoting vehicle-kilometers traveled, which may increase rather than decrease GHG emissions. By financing exclusive bus lanes, movement of mass transport will be facilitated, bus operations will become profitable and financial incentives will be created for the bus owners and operators to finance clean large buses and substitute them for old small vehicles. This is expected to promote modal shift to more efficient and less polluting forms of public and freight transport. This initiative would provide an opportunity of reduction in GHG emissions and promote technologies whose cost will drop significantly with economies of scale in manufacture and increase in demand. Component 5. Monitoring and Evaluation (US$3,500,000). IDA/GOG will finance about US$2,700,000 and GEF incremental financing will be US$400,000. a. Developing appropriate regulations (US$250,000). The current Road Traffic Regulations – LI 953 of 1974 – are silent on quantified limits with regard to vehicle exhaust emissions. This sub-component would provide Technical Assistance to the Committee in establishing a set of quantified regulations appropriate to the current vehicle park in Ghana taking due 13 recognition of the specification of road transport fuels available in the country at this time. Such regulations would then enable the appropriate authorities – principally the Driver and Vehicle Licensing Agency – to enforce standards in an objective and legally sustainable manner. Further, the TA program would also design a program for the progressive tightening of these standards over a realistic timeframe taking into account the planned investments in the Tema refinery aimed to reduce the sulfur content of automotive gas oil (diesel fuel) in particular. Costs of this component would include the necessary technical assistance; b. Socio-economic survey of residents in Accra metropolitan area (US$1,5000,000). The goal of this study is to better understand the travel patterns of people living in the Greater Accra Metropolitan Area (GAMA) and the role that transport plays in their lives. The specific objectives are to: (a) examine the travel behavior of people in GAMA, with a special focus on residents and business activities along the project BRT pilot corridor; (b) identify specific transport constraints faced by residents in their performance of day- to-day activities; (c) examine the social and economic dimensions of residents and their impact on transport choices; and (d) prepare travel diaries to document typical travel patters on a daily basis. The study will particularly focus on bus and taxi transport character along the BRT project corridor. It is expected that the study will be replicated on a periodic basis to examine before and after impacts of the proposed investments. The analytical scope of attributes to be identified, evolve around four main attributes: affordability, accessibility, acceptability, and availability. The studies would be replicated annually over the four year project period to examine the impact of investments under the project; and c. Monitoring of Bus performance (US$250,000). This component would finance development of specific indicators for measuring performance of bus performance, particularly in areas of operational performance, technical performance and financial performance. The indicators for evaluating performance contracts between bus operators and regulatory authority will be developed and capacity of the authority developed in monitoring and supervision. d. Improving the environmental performance of the current vehicle park (US$700,000). Because of the basic technology and the lack of recent investment at the Tema refinery, the levels of sulfur in its automotive gas oil output is significantly higher than international standards. Under these circumstances, the only appropriate technology for reductions in the level of particulate emissions is an exhaust trap. By using a fuel-borne catalyst it is possible to make such traps self-cleaning (CRT), whereas the high sulfur level would poison a conventional precious-metal catalyst. Recent large-bus imports into Accra from both China and India have featured Euro-1 engines for which particulate emissions levels are not defined. Under these circumstances, retrofitting such buses with a CRT using a fuel-borne catalyst would provide a significant reduction in emissions. A trial could be used to determine the benefits, and hence provide the justification for a wider application of this approach; and The GEF financed incremental activity (US$ 400,000) would finance: e Improving the standard of fuel-injection equipment maintenance (US$400,000). Reducing visible smoke emissions from the over-aged vehicle park in Accra will require a substantial improvement in maintenance and repair standards for the fuel-injection equipment on compression-ignition engines. However, this capability has not been in high demand, both because of the lack of appropriate regulations and their enforcement and because the typical vehicle owner doesn’t bear the cost of fuel consumed in daily operation (this cost is borne by the driver hiring the vehicle). Under these circumstances, the fuel-injection equipment maintenance sector has failed to attract the levels of investment necessary to sustain the 14 vehicle park in good operating condition. In order to assess the investment needs for the FIE maintenance industry will require a detailed survey of the current installed equipment capacity and condition, including trained artisans and appropriate spare-parts support. From this an investment program will be identified, and a financial package then developed to enable this to be funded by existing or intending enterprises. TABLE 1 FINANCIAL MODALITY AND COST EFFECTIVENESS The total project is approximately US$37.0 million, with a GEF grant of US$8.0 million, IDA Credit of US$25.0 million, Government contribution of about US$2.0 million and other co-financing (DANIDA, AFD) of US$2.0 million. Component Institutional Strengthening Traffic Management and safety Land use-transport and environmental management BRT infrastructure design and implementation Monitoring and Evaluation Total Project Cost Front-end Fee Total Financing Required Indicative % of costs Total (US$M) 2.0 5.3 Bank % of Bank financing financing (US$M) 2.0 8.0 GEF % of Financing GEF (US$M) financing 0.0 0.0 14.5 40.0 13.0 52.0 0.0 0.0 4.40 10.7 3.30 8.0 1.1 15.7 12.0 34.7 6.5 50.0 5.5 78.6 3.1 9.3 2.7 4.0 0.4 5.7 100.0 36.0 25.0 7.0 36.0 25.0 7.0 CO-FINANCING SOURCES Name of cofinancier (source) IDA Classification Type Amount (US$) Status Development Partner Borrower Credit 25,000,000 Confirmed Counterpart funds 2,000,000 To be confirmed Grant 2,000,000 To be confirmed Government of Ghana Other Development Development Partner Partners (DANIDA, AFD) Sub-Total Co-financing 29,000,000 15 2. Benefits and Target Population The preparation phase of this project has involved several consultations organized by the GOG, they included: focus group discussions and workshops involving government agencies, users, private operators, tro tro bus drivers, bus owners, commercial banks, insurance companies, NGOs and development partners. Different workshops were conducted to design the project. In a two day workshop, representatives of the private sector, government, commercial banks and other stakeholders were involved in detailed discussions - formulating ideas on options to improve the urban transport environment. Based on the discussions, institutional, financial, regulatory, technical and environmental strategies were developed and presented in a second workshop. The project design was modified further based on discussions and this was presented in a third high-level workshop, with participation of the Office of the President and other key stakeholders. In addition, a number of focus group discussions were organized with the bus operators and users to inform on the project design. Communication programs were developed to target high-level actors (ministry officials, city authority, local community leaders, local employers, etc) in order to build support for the program at the decision maker’s level. Following is a first stab at a stakeholder analysis, but this will be further developed during preparation. Stakeholder Passengers General traffic Pedestrians Population in corridor Residents off corridor PT drivers PT owner/drivers PT owners PT unions / associations Local Assemblies Vehicle supply industry Investment community Project impacts Faster, more regular, and more reliable service; no increase in fares unless full recovery of infrastructure investment cost is intended. Reduced congestion in corridor, allowing time and cost savings. Improved safety in corridor through smoother traffic flows, and on parallel rat-runs that will be used much less intensively. Reduced pollution as a result of reduced congestion. Reduced noise and emissions as a result of less rat-run traffic Less job opportunities, but better working hours in a regulated environment; greater security and reliability of income; less hassle from enforcement authorities. Relatively few in number, but will be offered the opportunity to migrate to bigger buses and build a significant capital stake. Vehicles will no longer be permitted on the trunk route and its highcapacity feeders, but growth of the metropolis should absorb these vehicles elsewhere in the network; tighter enforcement of safety and environmental regulations will result in scrapping of worst vehicles; opportunity will be given to migrate to bigger buses. Loss of regulatory role to Licensing Authority, but will still manage feeder terminals and interchanges; driver members will tend to benefit, but owner members will tend to lose; potential framework within which owner-driver sector could develop. Development of institutions to enable them to fulfil their statutory duties in the urban transport domain; visible investment in the sector with obvious political benefits; potential to recycle financial surplus from BRT scheme to support socially desirable services elsewhere in the network. Opportunities for sales and service support, including development of contract maintenance. Opportunity for productive investment outside the property sector; 16 development of innovative finance mechanisms for the informal sector that will have wider development implications. 3. Institutional and implementation arrangements Implementing Agencies: The program will be coordinated by MRH, which will have the overall responsibility for its management. Each of the implementing road agencies (GHA, DFR, DUR) will make its own internal management arrangements and report, in formats established and agreed, to MRH in accordance with procurement and disbursement arrangements agreed to by the Bank and the GOG. All other components will be managed in line with Bank conditions. AMISU functions will be integrated into MRH's mainstream functions. In those areas where expertise is lacking or not fully developed, short-term consulting specialists (management, engineering, financial, modeling) will be employed to enhance sector performance and project implementation. Implementation will be based on an Annual Work Program and Budget prepared by each agency, and consolidated by MRH. A Project Implementation Manual (PIM), finalization of which will be a condition of Credit effectiveness, has been prepared to provide the necessary guidelines for all implementing agencies. Accounting, financial reporting and auditing arrangements: AMISU will be transformed into a MRH accounting facility to oversee all expenditures in the roads sector, including arrangements for audits, in accordance with systems and procedures acceptable to IDA. It will work in accordance with the procedures that have been prepared and put in place under the on-going HSIP. Establishment of the agreed financial management and accounting systems in MRH, GHA, DUR and DFR will be a condition of Credit effectiveness. New special accounts for the IDA Credit will be opened and maintained in a commercial Bank acceptable to IDA, managed by the relevant agencies. Independent auditors acceptable to IDA will audit the use of all IDA funds available under the credit, including the IDA special account and the statements of expenditures. Financial audit reports will be submitted to IDA no later than six months after the end of the fiscal year. The format and the frequency of periodic reporting are defined in the PIM. The financial/technical audit system, introduced under the HSIP, will be continued and enhanced under the RSDP to assess the cost/effectiveness and adherence to agreed work programs for the agencies. D. Project Rationale 1. Lessons learned and reflected in the project design Drawing upon its international and regional experience, the Bank is in a strong position to support the Government in formulating strategies to explore alternative solutions to complex traffic and transport management issues. The Bank has extensive experience in supporting projects on urban transport systems. For example, in Brazil and Chile, the Bank supported the concept of physically separating buses from worsening traffic congestion. In Bogota, the Bank is supporting a second phase of separated bus corridors as part of the successful TransMilenio bus rapid transit system, which was first introduced in Curitiba. A project has been designed in 17 Lima, partly with support from GEF funds, along the lines of TransMilenio. The experience gained in Brazil, Chile, and Colombia in this sector will play a key role in assisting Accra municipality efforts to improve the urban transport system. The Bank can also utilize the experience gained from SSATP and other regional initiatives to support the reform agenda. The advantages of a participatory design process. Prior to the HSIP, the Bank financed transport operations in Ghana in various forms: road, urban transport and feeder roads projects; port and railway projects; and finally, rural roads components under agricultural projects. These projects all attempted, with some results, to introduce reforms in the transport sub-sectors. The more recent of these completed projects, plus the on-going HSIP, have provided an opportunity for the Bank to establish a substantive dialogue with the Government on the major issues in the transport sector. The MRH drew up an overall strategy for the sector, and developed this into strategic plans for each sub-sector. Acceptance of these plans by the public and by particular interest groups was obtained through extensive debate in Cabinet, Parliament, and parliamentary sub-committees, and through outreach activity and stakeholder consultations by MRH (formerly MRT). In this fashion, agreement has been obtained, for instance, on concessioning of the railway and on successive increases in the fuel levy for the Road Fund, without disruptive confrontations. The main lesson learned from this is that although the process is slow, it is both in accord with Ghanaian tradition, and in the end, probably more effective than a faster but less inclusive process. The need for donor coordination and consultation. Other donors have been active in the transport sector. They have participated in program design and co-financing arrangements, often based on their own sub-sector preferences. During implementation, coordination has sometimes been inadequate leading to imbalances in the sector program. The practice of regular consultations between donors and MRH, the annual GOG/donor meeting instituted under the HSIP, and the stakeholder consultations arranged by MRH, have demonstrated the advantage of continuous contact between all actors and interested parties. The importance of accompanying stable maintenance funding with better programming. The positive experience with the reform of the Road Fund is significant and is incorporated in the design of the program. The reformed Fund improved revenue-raising immediately. However, the lack of clear work programs caused a build-up of liquid funds, which were then diverted to other uses, sometimes the payment of arrears. The lesson is that stable raising of revenue for road maintenance does not in and of itself insure that the maintenance is done. For this to occur, proper advance work planning and programming must be present, together with implementation capacity in the private sector and managerial capacity in the executing agencies. The importance of coordinating activities of multiple agencies. Multiplicity of organizations responsible for urban transport planning and implementation is not conducive to efficient operations. As part of the GEF grant, it is proposed to set up a semi-autonomous urban transport authority, responsible for planning, management and monitoring of transport services. 18 2. Evidence of the borrower’s commitment. In the past decade, Government of Ghana (GOG) has initiated a wide range of new approaches to develop and improve the transport infrastructure and services. Ghana has also become one of the pilot countries for implementation of the Comprehensive Development Framework (CDF). This holistic approach to development is being applied with the support of its Development Partners to enhance operational efficiency of the road network, reduce socio-economic disparities, strengthen institutional capacity and mitigate the adverse environmental and social impact of road-related activities. Specific activities initiated by GOG in the past year include: (a) setting up Metro Mass Transit Ltd (MMT) as a limited liability company through which support for improving bus quality can be channeled. It was originally provided with 176 second-hand city buses donated by the Italian Government and 75 new Dutch city buses. An additional 250 buses have been purchased from China and the Netherlands. (b) commissioning studies, with the support of IDA and other Development Partners, to examine urban transport planning and traffic management for the major urban centers in Ghana. The focus of these studies is on developing a medium to long range urban transport policy framework, strategic plans, traffic management and improvement plans and an urban transport data base. (c) setting up an Urban Transport Advisory Group, with representation from the Ministry of Roads and Transport (MRT), Department of Urban Roads (DUR), Ministry of Tourism and Modernization of the Capital City, traffic police and the private operator. The objective of this Advisory Group is to coordinate different initiatives in the city for developing appropriate solutions to address the growing traffic congestion and deteriorating travel environment in Greater Accra. (d) undertaking a study trip to Bogota, Columbia, in early 2003, to examine the workings of a Bus Rapid Transit (BRT) system. During 2003 and 2004, the Institute for Transportation and Development Policy (ITDP) has organized a number of stakeholder workshops to disseminate lessons of BRT experience in Bogota and other Latin American cities. (e) the Department of Urban Roads (DUR) with the support of Development Partners and NGOs (ITDP) has been involved in creating bike paths in Accra and other cities in Ghana (Tamale). The efforts have led to an increasing appreciation of the use of bicycles but there is a need to further expand the program to other areas and reduce the conflict between motorized and non-motorized transport. 3. Monitoring and Evaluation The project includes a comprehensive monitoring and evaluation component based on qualitative and quantitative performance indicators for each of the sub-components. These indicators would include public transport rider ship data, road safety data, affordability surveys and poverty impact assessment. This data will be used, in turn, to estimate project-related GHG emission reductions. A mobile source inventory would be established, strapped to vehicles to track vehicle position and speeds in addition to other methods of surveying the vehicle population by age and vehicle-km. 19 The monitoring strategy for this project aims at tracking the changes towards adoption of new transport patterns and behavior. The objective of the exercise is to provide the GEF with the necessary information it needs to decide whether expanding their scope to similar sustainable measures is justified from a climate change perspective. Progress towards the project objectives will be measured on a regular basis through the following actions: Design and validation of the monitoring system in cooperation with the implementing agency and all stakeholders; Implementation of an automated data processing system; Project monitoring using the following indicators: (a) public transport use; (b) road safety; (c) vehicle-km; (d) modal share; (e) travel time and speed; and (f) GHG emission levels; and Monitoring through periodic surveys of the target population to measure the market evolution and to estimate impact of the proposed investments on access to employment and other opportunities, particularly for the very poor. 20 E. Summary Project Analysis (for details, please see project file) 1. Economic : A detailed economic analysis would be conducted for all of the program's main civil works components to be implemented in the first year, as well as a part of the overall maintenance program over a 4-year program period. The rest will undergo analysis during the project period. 2. Financial : NPV=US$ million; FRR = % Financial Management will be done at the macro level within the framework of the MTEF, and at the project level by the agencies using their contract management systems. 3. Technical: 4. Institutional: During the RSDP, improvements in institutional structures and efficiency will focus on: 1. human resource development in the MRH and its three agencies, being defined through the ODICT-P study; 2. establishing clear structures and operational practices to apply the Government's decentralization policy to the roads sector; 3. improving and consolidating the work practices of the Road Fund; 4. strengthening NRSC and DVLA; 5. consolidating the financial management and monitoring systems of MRH and its agencies; and 6. introducing systems, regulations and practices to manage privatized operations of parts of the road system through concessioning, tolling, and performance contracting. Procurement issues: The absence of a comprehensive government procurement code necessitates the mandated use of financing agencies' procurement guidelines. A national procurement code is under preparation with assistance from IDA 5. Environmental: Environmental Category: A (Full Assessment) 5.1 Summarize the steps undertaken for environmental assessment and EMP preparation (including consultation and disclosure) and the significant issues and their treatment emerging from this analysis. An environmental impact assessment (EIA) of the program was undertaken by international consultants in association with local experts. The EIA concluded that the project is unlikely to have adverse effects on the environment, as it mainly involves the maintenance, rehabilitation and upgrading of existing roads. No new construction is intended, except where linkage to the next level road has been identified as necessary from both a social and commercial standpoint. Negative environmental impacts during the works, such as dust, noise, detours, 21 traffic delays, spoil materials, fumes, construction camps and affiliated services, will be of short duration and will be included in the mitigation plans of the contracting entities. In a very few cases, removal of structures within the road reservation may be required. Positive environmental impacts are expected to be achieved through improved safety designs, including guard rails, barriers, overpasses, sidewalks and road shoulders. Paving of gravel roads will eliminate dust pollution, and improved drainage will reduce exposure of near-by residents to waterborne diseases associated with standing water. Improvements in vehicular controls will address noise and visual pollution issues, reduce road deterioration (through overloading regulations), and thus minimize the need for extensive road works. Copies of the environmental assessment reports are available and have been disclosed to the relevant domestic agencies, stakeholders, as well as external funding agencies. Specific projects under the program will be identified on an annual basis and the environmental and social impact of each road will be evaluated individually, in keeping with national environmental assessment requirements, as well as those of the Bank. An acceptable mitigation framework/plan has been discussed and agreed upon, and the required additional costs are reflected in the project costs. (See Annex I 1). 5.2 What are the main features of the EMP and are they adequate? Under the RSDP, the GHA Environmental Unit will continue to ensure that EIAs are prepared and that the resulting environmental and social mitigation measures are implemented and monitored. The project will strengthen the Environmental Unit's capacity to implement and monitor these measures and extend the scope of its work to include DFR and DUR Based on the environmental and social management experience gained under the HSIP, the EMP, which includes a resettlement and compensation policy framework, will support the following activities: (i) environmental and social capacity strengthening, (ii) policy enhancement, and (iii) environmental and social oversight. As the RSDP adopts a programmatic approach, specific projects under the program will be identified annually and the environmental and social assessments of each road will be prepared in keeping with environmental assessment requirements of Ghana and the Bank. 5.4 How have stakeholders been consulted at the stage of (a) environmental screening and (b) draft EA report on the environmental impacts and proposed environment management plan? Describe mechanisms of consultation that were used and which groups were consulted? The Environmental and Resettlement/Compensation Framework was disclosed at public hearings beginning November 17, 2000, in conjunction with the Government's annual donor conference in the road sector held in Accra. A second hearing was held on November 21, 2000, also in Accra. There were four national broadcasts (two daily) of the EIA on Radio Ghana on November 25 and December 2, 2000, respectively. The preparation phase of the GEF financing components has involved several focus group discussions and workshops involving government agencies, users, private operators, tro tro bus drivers, bus owners, commercial banks, insurance companies, NGOs and development partners. Different workshops were conducted to design the project. In a two day workshop, representatives of the private sector, government, commercial banks and other stakeholders were involved in detailed discussions - formulating ideas on options to improve the urban transport 22 environment. Based on the discussions, institutional, financial, regulatory, technical and environmental strategies were developed and presented in a second workshop. The project design was modified further based on discussions and this was presented in a third high-level workshop, with participation of the Office of the President and other key stakeholders. In addition, a number of focus group discussions were organized with the bus operators and users to inform on the project design. Communication programs were developed to target high-level actors (ministry officials, city authority, local community leaders, local employers, etc) in order to build support for the program at the decision maker’s level. F. Sustainability and Risks The project would support a number of strategies (with a specific focus on introduction of traffic management schemes, consolidation of bus operating industry, institutional reforms and introduction of a limited competition regime) to achieve higher productivity of buses and improve standards of vehicle maintenance and repair, which would enable a high return to be earned on the bus investments. Increased asset productivity derived from improved traffic management would allow the informal bus operators to attract the necessary funding. Rationalization of bus transport supply would eradicate predatory competition, increase rider ship and fare box revenues, and reduce operating costs. This would make the public transport industry more profitable and allow informal private operators to secure funding, thereby improving chances of financial sustainability. The project would also focus on ensuring the sustainability of the critical legal and institutional structures necessary to support long-term implementation of an integrated urban transport plan. The strengthening of planning, coordination, monitoring and evaluation capacity in the Greater Accra Urban Transport Authority would support rationalization of public transport operations and institutions responsible for regulating the public transport services. Currently, there are inadequate arrangements to regulate bus services, impose safety standards, plan bus services or adjust services to better respond to the market demand. Establishment of a regulatory body, supported by a nucleus of professionals, would ensure institutional sustainability of the BRT plans, NMT facilities, and limited competitive regime, etc. In addition, setting up institutional arrangements to coordinate activities related to transport planning, management, monitoring and implementation would provide a sustainable basis to manage an effective and efficient transport system in the long run. 23 Potential risks and mitigation Potential Risks Mitigation Risk Rating Lack of political commitment. The arrangements to coordinate activities of multiple Ministries and agencies in the delivery and management of urban transport services are not in place. There could be delays in formulating the necessary legislation to establish the appropriate institutions. The Government has set up an Urban Transport Advisory Group, with representation from the MRT, DUR, Ministry of Tourism and Modernization of the Capital City, municipal assemblies, traffic police and the private operator. During project preparation, this group will be formalized with a clearly defined mandate and supported by legislative rulings. Setting up of this body would be completed prior to Negotiations. It is proposed to structure the scope of this Group in the form of the Greater Accra Urban Transport Authority to coordinate and manage the multiple activities during project implementation. Support will be provided during project preparation and implementation to the transport planning and monitoring Group to carry out and monitor bus franchise arrangements H Specific arrangements to strengthen the capacity of traffic police and city department in traffic management will be developed during preparation. Discussions would be held with MRT during project preparation to develop MMT as a holding company rather than as an operator. Agreements on suitable arrangements to ensure fair competition will be sought prior to Negotiations. A number of workshops and focus groups have been organized with the private bus operator to sensitize them to the project concept. The discussions will continue during project preparation and the final recommendations will be based on a consensual arrangement. The small private operators will be encouraged to form associations and participate in the bid for route franchising. The proposed project will introduce route franchising arrangements on a pilot corridor. The taxi and trotro operators will continue to operate along other corridors. The impact on small operator business will be examined during project preparation and suitable mitigation measures proposed. A number of stakeholder workshops will be organized to discuss the institutional and operational alternatives and agreements will be reached on a common framework. S The local authorities and institutions responsible for regulating public transport operations have insufficient institutional capacity to implement the project The capacity to plan and implement traffic management measures remains weak. The Metro Mass Transit Ltd continues its operations with support from Government, limiting the scope of fair competition on tendered routes. The current bus operators do not accept relocation of their work routes and rationalization of the transport system. Introduction of large buses in the formal sector may have the unintended consequence of discouraging the private sector investments. Introduction of route franchising may result in a loss of business for the existing taxi and trotro operators. Inadequate stakeholder commitment to the planning process Overall Risk Rating Risk rating-H (High Risk), S (Substantial), M (Modest), N (Negligible or Low Risk) 24 S S S S M S ANNEX B: RESULTS FRAMEWORK AND MON ITORING GHANA: CLIMATE CHANGE MITIGATION IN URBAN TRANSPORT PROJECT PDO/Global Project Outcome Indicators 1. To reduce GHG emissions through the promotion of long term modal shift to less energy intensive transport modes in Ghanaian and hopefully African cities. (1) Number of trips in public transportation increase by 10% in intervened corridors compared to other modes of transport. (2) Number of NMT trips increase by 5% in intervened areas compared to other travel modes. (3) CO2-equivalent tons emitted by ground transport decrease by 22%1 (4) Reduction in travel time by at least 8 minutes per trip by public transport along pilot corridor Use of Project Outcome Information 1. Results will be disseminated to the international community to help as guidance for other upcoming projects 2. At local level, results will help build the case for replication in other cities 3 Inclusion of results in national communications to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) and inform policy makers in charge of 3. Climate Change mitigation plans 4. Incorporate environmental considerations into public policy, and strengthen government technical capacity based on project outcome Intermediate Outcomes Intermediate Outcome Indicators Component 1 – Institutional Strengthening 1. The Urban Roads Department and 1. Legal and institutional framework the Ministry of Transportation have drafted prior to project acquired the capacity to plan, implementation. implement, and monitor urban transport infrastructures and services. 2. Regulatory body established to manage and monitor bus franchise in the BRT pilot corridor 5. Identify key elements for a scaleup project for additional financing from development partners. Use of Intermediate Outcome Monitoring 1. Periodical reports on sustainable transport measures 2. Dissemination of policy options to enhance public participation and allow feedback 3. Review of draft plans, policies by international experts to enhance quality and ensure consistency 4. Identification of gaps or shortcomings in understanding among local leaders and technical staff, and determining whether GEF resources are appropriately focused in response. 1 Comparing with and without project scenarios 25 Component 2 - Traffic Engineering, Management and Safety 1. Increased public acceptance of 1. Number of sensitization campaigns cycling as mode of transport; to promote walking and/or cycling for one or more groups. 2. Committed budget allocations to upgrade pedestrian and biking 2. Number of km of pedestrian and facilities; bikeways. 3. Proper zoning to stimulate interconnectivity of NMT to other transport modes 3. Policies and plans promoting multi-sector transport development, including multi modal transport 1. Periodical progress reports 2. Dissemination material and promotion of public participation 3. Review of draft regulation plans to ensure consistency 4. Capacity building workshops for policy makers and budget planners Component 3 -Integration of Land use planning, transport management and environmental management 1. Land use planning, transport 1 MAPs of integrated land use 1. Periodical progress reports, management and environmental planning for Accra Metropolitan area creation of institutional bodies management are integrated produced. 2. Dissemination of results 2. Adequate legal framework for mix 2. BRT corridor established along 10 land-uses and interconnectivity of km route, Wineba – Graphic road 3. Assessment and pedestrian facilities in densification enhancement of successful areas; 3. Policies and regulations for mix GEF funded activities that are land-use and interconnectivity of most effective at encouraging pedestrian facilities are drafted, coordination of transport, landuse, and environmental planning. 4. Procedures for planning & design of BRT systems adapted based on pilot outcome. Component 4 - BRT Infrastructure design and implementation 1 BRT system infrastructure and 1. Number of persons using the BRT design implemented. steadily increasing ; 2. Travel time for BRT users decreased compared to earlier mode of public transport 3. Traffic congestion levels decreased in the BRT and the bus corridors, compared, compared to the levels before the BRT Component 5 – Monitoring and Evaluation 1. A monitoring and evaluation system 1. Number of M&E reports regularly of the BRT is in place, encompassing produced both transport, environmental and social variables 2. Number of GHG M&E reports regularly produced 2. GHG emissions are monitored 1. Periodical progress reports 2. Dissemination material and Promotion campaigns 3. Review of draft plans regulations to ensure consistency 1. Critical review of reports produced to ensure quality, before dissemination 2. M & E reports 3. Dissemination of M7E reports 26 Arrangements for results monitoring Key indicators Project Outcome Indicators Target Values YR2 YR3 YR4 Data Collection and Reporting Frequency Data Responsibili and Collection ty for Data Reports Instruments Collection Baseline YR1 1 The Urban Roads Department and the Ministry of Transportation have acquired the capacity to plan, implement, and monitor urban transport infrastructures and services Training opportunit ies identified Establishmen t of training “curriculum” and execution of the first training sessions Continuation and completion of training “curriculum” Training by doing Training by doing Annual Progress reports Field surveys DUR PPO 2. Number of trips by public transportation increased by 10% in pilot corridor 40% 40% 45% 45% 50% Annual Annual DUR PPO 3. CO2 equivalent tons emitted by ground transport decrease by 22% 5% 10% 15% 22% Annual Annual DUR PPO 4. Number of NMT trips increase by 5% in intervened areas 0% 1-3% 3-5% 5% Quarterly and Annual Quarterly and Annual 5. Reduction in travel time by at least 8 minutes per trip by public transport along pilot corridor Base line established <5 minutes 5 minutes 0 Core team set up Policy preparation Continue preparation Policy adopted Quarterly and Annual Quarterly and Annual DUR PPO 0 Core team to start with data and information collection Preparing Standards Draft core standards ready for adoption Regulations adopted Quarterly and Annual Quarterly and Annual DUR PPO DUR PPO 8-10 minutes Intermediate Outcome Indicators 1. Legal and institutional framework drafted prior to project implementation 2. Regulatory body established to manage and monitor bus franchise in the BRT pilot corridor 27 4. Number of km of pedestrian and bikeways. Establishmen t of a baseline + 10 At least 5 km a year, on each side of the BRT +20 At least 10 km in other bus corridors +20 At least 10 km in other bus corridors Quarterly and Annual Quarterly and Annual DUR PPO Core team set up policy preparation Continue preparation Policy adopted Quarterly and Annual Quarterly and Annual DUR PPO MAPs prepared Further refined and updated Quarterly and Annual Quarterly and Annual DUR PPO 5. Policies and plans promoting multi-sector transport development, including multi modal transport 0 6. MAPs of integrated land use planning for Accra Metropolitan area produced. 0 7. BRT corridor established along 10 km route, Wineba – Graphic road Feasibility study and detailed design Start of civil works including BRT terminals Continuation of civil works Continuation of civil works Completion of civil works along 10km corridor Quarterly and Annual Quarterly and Annual DUR PPO 9. Number of persons using the BRT steadily increasing 0 Survey of number of persons traveling along projected BRT corridor Update of survey 10% 20-30% Quarterly, monthly and Annual Quarterly, monthly and Annual DUR PPO Update of travel dairy survey Update of travel dairy survey Quarterly, monthly and Annual Quarterly, monthly and Annual DUR PPO Update of survey for traffic congestion levels Update of survey for traffic congestion levels Monthly Quarterly and Annual M&E system in place and operating M&E system in place and operating Monthly Quarterly and Annual M&E system in place and operating M&E system in place and operating Monthly Quarterly and Annual 10 Travel time for BRT users decreased compared to earlier mode of public transport 11. Traffic congestion levels decreased in the BRT and the bus corridors, compared, compared to the levels before the BRT 12. Number of M&E reports regularly produced 13. Number of GHG M&E reports regularly produced 0 0 0 0 Travel diary survey Survey of traffic congestion levels M&E core team established and operating M&E core team established and operating Update of travel dairy survey Update of survey for traffic congestion levels M&E system in place and operating M&E system in place and operating 28 Monthly Quarterly and Annual DUR PPO Monthly Quarterly and Annual DUR PPO Monthly Quarterly and Annual DUR PPO 29 Map 1: Map of Selected Corridors for Implementation of Bus Rapid Transit Scheme aaaa BRT 1: Guggisberg Ave. BRT 2: Winneba / Graphic Rd BRT 3: Nsawam Road BRT 4: Liberation Rd / Independence Ave BRT 5: Ring Road BRT 6: Motorway Extenssion BRT 7: Accra - Tema BRT 8: Nima / Kanda Highway CBD / Ministries Circulation system Dotted lines = high capacity feeder routes aaaaaaaaaaaaaa Annex 2 Ghana Urban Transport Project Sector Background The urban transport situation in Greater Accra Metropolitan Area Accra, the capital city and main administrative and commercial centre of Ghana, had a population of 1,659,000 in 2000, while the population of the other urban centres were: Tema 506,000 and Ga 550,000. The combined effect of growth and migration will be to increase the population of GAMA to just less than 4 million by 2013, and by 2023 the combined population of the three assemblies will exceed 5 million. Population growth and increasing rates of car ownership are expected to increase the number of cars in GAMA from 181,000 in 2004 to over 1 million in 2023. The highest traffic volumes are found in the Winneba Road and Liberation Road corridors, which have volumes over 50,000 vehicles per day at certain points. 30 Approximately 10,000 vehicles enter the central area of Accra within the Ring Road in the morning peak hour and on a typical weekday 270,000 vehicle trips are made into, or out of, the Accra central area. Higher volumes, of approximately inbound 16,000 vehicle trips in the morning peak hour and 300,000 daily vehicles trips in both directions, cross into the area inside the motorway extension. These vehicle trips correspond to 50,000 inbound passenger trips into the Accra central area and 85,000 into the area inside the motorway extension in the morning peak hour. Approximately 1.3 million passenger trips per day are estimated to enter or leave the area within the Accra Ring Road and 1.6 million passenger trips into or out of the area within the motorway extension. Eighty four percent of these passenger trips are made by public transport. Over half (56%) of daily passengers are carried by trotros, and a further 15% by taxi. Approximately 1 million passenger trips are made each day into and out of the central area of Accra using trotros and taxis. In Accra trotros and taxis carry an average number of passengers per trip of 13 and 2.3 respectively. These vehicles are inefficient in terms of the amount of road space used, and congestion caused, to transport each passenger. Congestion is a major problem on arterial routes with 70% of major roads operating at unacceptable level of service at some time during the day (<20 km/h). Considerable scope therefore exists to improve the efficiency of people movement through a shift from low capacity public transport vehicles to large and double-decker or articulated buses with the potential to carry over 100 passengers. Government control over the operation of public transport is very limited; however the private operations are strictly controlled by trade unions of which the most powerful is the Ghana Private Road Transport Union (GPRTU). The overall quality of public transport is poor, most vehicles are old, and maintenance standards are extremely low. High vehicle maintenance costs arising from poor road surfaces and limitations imposed on earnings by the acute congestion on the urban roads constrain the operators to invest in new vehicles. The limited number of vehicles and their low capacities result in long waiting times during the morning and evening rush hours. BRT Background The key technical elements of BRT are borrowed from rapid rail systems, These elements are aimed to provide high quality service to the users by minimizing the time buses are stopped for boarding and aligning of the passengers (dwell time), maximizing the vehicle cruise speed, facilitating transfers and enhancing the reliability of bus operations. Six major BRT technical elements have been identified as BRT characteristics: Running-Ways range from general traffic lanes to fully-grade separated BRT transit-ways. Stations vary from simple stops with basic shelters to complex inter-modal terminals with many amenities. Vehicles - BRT systems can utilize a wide range of vehicles, from standard buses to specialized vehicles. A BRT system requires a Service and Operations Plan that specifies vehicle frequency, 31 reliability, and coordination, as well as the route alignment and structure. Fare collection options range from traditional pay-on-board methods to pre-payment with electronic fare media (e.g., smart cards). A wide variety of Intelligent Transportation Systems (ITS) technologies can be integrated into BRT systems such as vehicle priority, operations and maintenance management, operator communications, real-time passenger information, and safety and security systems. In a developing metropolitan area like Greater Accra it is necessary to combine the technical elements of BRT with a series of regulatory, financial, institutional and legal elements to provide a sustainable public transportation system. The purpose of these elements is to turn the prevailing negative aspects of current public transportation service provision, into an adequate structure. Outline design of the BRT route network The proposed long-term BRT network consists of a combination of radial and circumferential routes that together will form a network of routes that cover most major employment areas. Due to the capital costs involved in providing the BRT running-ways the proposed BRT network is restricted to major corridors of demand. Based upon the general criterion of hourly peak passenger bi-directional flows greater than 10,000 in 2013, and the need to provide an integrated public transport network, the following routes were identified as routes on which Bus Rapid Transit (BRT) services should operate in an exclusive running-way: Guggisberg Avenue from Mpoase to CBD. Winneba Road from Mallam to CBD Nsawam Road from Apenkwa to CBD Liberation Road and Independence Avenue from Tetteh Quarshie to CBD Ring Road from Korle Bu to Labadi Motorway Extension from Mallam to Tetteh Quarshie Accra - Tema Coastal Route Nima / Kanda Highway CBD / Ministries circulation system Feeder services are required to link the dispersed residential areas of the study area to the high capacity BRT trunk routes. A hierarchy of feeder services is proposed in order to maximise the usage and efficiency of the BRT service. On high volumes routes that do not meet the criteria for BRT services on a dedicated running way, high capacity feeder services are proposed. It is envisaged that dedicated BRT routes would replace the high-capacity feeder routes described above when demand on the feeder routes warranted a higher level of service. On lower density routes, feeder services are proposed that will utilise existing trotro operators using vehicles of capacity similar to existing trotros. These mid-capacity feeder services should 32 be a formal part of the BRT system, and operated under contractual agreements between the operators and the relevant Public Transport Authority. Low-capacity feeder services would be provided on an informal basis by current taxi operators. Non-motorised transport plays an important role in provision of feeder services. An integrated system of pedestrian walkways and bicycle routes will increase accessibility of the system, in particular for low-income users. The location of proposed trunk and feeder routes is shown below. BRT 1: Guggisberg Ave. BRT 2: Winneba / Graphic Rd BRT 3: Nsawam Road BRT 4: Liberation Rd / Independence Ave BRT 5: Ring Road BRT 6: Motorway Extenssion BRT 7: Accra - Tema BRT 8: Nima / Kanda Highway CBD / Ministries Circulation system Dotted lines = high capacity feeder routes BRT Options for a general hypothetical corridor Most of the general characteristics of the initial pilot corridor will be applicable to other corridors in Accra. For this reason a set of characteristics was generated that will be applicable for the whole system and not only for the initial pilot corridor. An analytical tool was developed to calculate at a macro level the expected costs and impacts of a given option. The model incorporates several characteristics of the BRT corridor and calculates the capital and operational costs for infrastructure, buses and fare collection system. Infrastructure includes the rehabilitation or construction of bus lanes, construction of transfer and terminal facilities and construction of garages. Travel time impacts on the passengers are also estimated. Options were compared pair by pair using outputs of the cost and impacts model as well as other general considerations. A preferred option was selected from the pair, which became the base 33 case for the next step-wise comparison. From this procedure the general characteristics of the BRT network for Greater Accra were defined as: Closed system of operator access in preference to an open system. Feeder-trunk services with interchange in preference to direct services. Median running-way location within the roadway in preference to bi-lateral curb-side lanes. Median station location in preference to outer (lateral) stations in a median BRT system. Station platforms at saloon-floor height in preference to bus first-step height Pre-paid in preference to on-board fare collection Bus passing lanes at stations in preference to single lane operation Integrated downtown distributor services in preference to a CBD terminus. Other options were left to be analysed later in the study specifically for the selected corridor. Selection of the pilot BRT corridor In order to select a corridor for pilot implementation, the Project Team assessed the degree of compliance of each of the potential BRT corridors with a number of criteria. Five high level criteria, some of which had second- and third level sub-criteria, were evaluated: Each criteria and sub-criteria were either quantitatively or qualitatively rated and then normalised on a scale of 0 to 1. The table below shows the normalised scores, where a higher score more positive compliance with the criteria. Criteria Travel demand Ease of implementation Transport impact Access for low income population Urban planning impact BRT 1 BRT 2 BRT 3 BRT 4 BRT 5 BRT 6 BRT 7 Guggisberg Winneba Nsawam Liberation Ring Rd M’Way ext Tema 0.00 1.00 0.86 0.71 0.54 0.01 0.07 0.27 0.78 1.00 0.88 0.65 0.70 0.53 0.25 1.00 0.08 0.25 0.92 0.00 0.67 1.00 0.46 0.92 0.00 0.69 0.46 0.77 0.45 0.70 1.00 0.81 0.15 0.28 0.36 The relative importance of each criteria (and sub-criteria) was established by a series of interviews with relevant role players. A combined score for all interviews was determined for each criterion as follows: Transportation impact 27.7% Total travel demand 26.4% 34 Accessibility low income population 21.4% Cost/ease of implementation 17.7% Urban planning impacts 6.8% Applying the weightings for each criterion to a normalised rating the following aggregate scores were obtained of the relative attractiveness of each corridor for pilot implementation. 1.0 0.80 Utility rating 0.8 0.65 0.65 0.6 0.47 0.43 0.4 0.35 0.22 0.2 0.0 BRT 1 BRT 2 BRT 3 BRT 4 BRT 5 BRT 6 BRT 7 The highest ranked corridor was BRT 2: Winneba / Graphic Road from Mallam to the Accra CBD, which scored 0.80. Winneba Road rated highly with regard to the number of potential users of the system and the impact that the BRT will have on travel time in this corridor. Notwithstanding the need for grade separation at Obetsebi Lamptey Circle and the Railway crossing on Graphic road, the existing portion of three lane road, and relatively low impacts on the Graphic Road section contributed to a good scoring for ease of implementation. Integration with the CBD and good linkages to transportation infrastructure resulted in an above average rating for BRT with regard to urban planning impacts. BRT 2 however scored below average on accessibility to low income communities. Based upon the preceding analysis the ranking of the various routes analysed was found to be relatively robust to changes in the weighting of criteria. The seven potential BRT routes were therefore ranked in decreasing order of priority for implementation as follows: 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. BRT2 Winneba Road from Mallam to CB BRT3 Nsawam Road from Apenkwa to CBD BRT5 Ring Road from Korle Bu to Labadi BRT7 Accra - Tema along the Tema Beach Road BRT4 Liberation Road and Independence Avenue from Tetteh Quarshie to CBD BRT1 Guggisberg Avenue from Mpoase to CBD BRT6 Motorway Extension from Mallam to Tetteh Quarshie Corridor BRT 2 therefore can be considered as offering the best combination of demand, ease of implementation, transport impact, attention to low income population and urban and regional planning impacts. Therefore the Winneba / Graphic Road corridor from Mallam to the CBD was selected for implementation of the BRT pilot project. Travel demand and transport supply analysis in the Pilot Corridor Current traffic volumes at the Accra Academy on Winneba Road are 60,100 per day. Of this traffic 13,300 (22%) were taxis, 18,100 (30%) were trotros and 5,700 (10%) were buses. Traffic was heaviest in the morning peak, and thereafter declined during the remainder of the day. 35 Morning peak hour traffic comprised 8.6% of daily traffic, and the evening peak was significantly lower with 5.7%. Traffic volume is lower inside the ring Road. AT Japan Motors on Graphic Road daily traffic is 38,600 vehicles, with a more even spread between morning and evening peak. The evening peak hour, with 6.8% of daily traffic was slightly higher than the morning peak hour which had 6.6% of daily traffic. Current trotro fares in the corridor are 2,500 for a trip from Mallam into the CBD, and 1,800 from Mallam to Kaneshie Market. The cost of feeder services varies significantly. The highest fare is 2,500 from Kasoa to Mallam, however certain origins such as Anyaa require two feeder trips to reach the pilot corridor which increases the feeder fare. An average fare for existing feeder services to the pilot corridor is 2,000 per trip. Kaneshie Market = Trunk terminal = Feeder terminal = Modal interchange = Trunk Station Nkrumah Circle Roxy Cinema Kingsway Accra Poly (Tudu) First Light (Outer Ring Road) Accra Academy Darkuman junction Ordorkor junction Busia Junction Dansoman High St Market New Gbawe Rd junction Kasoa Prampron / Ring Road Legend: = CBD / Circle Route = CBD / Ministries Route = Feeder Routes Gbawe Anyaa Santa Maria Nyameche Junction 1 Trunk, feeder and CBD distribution routes were planned based upon existing public transport infrastructure and demand patterns, together with providing access to major trip generators and attractors. The following figure summarises the proposal for Feeder, Trunk and CBD circulation routes, together with the location of stations on the BRT pilot corridor. Fire Station Makola Mall Dansoman Roundabout Schematic pilot BRT route map Levels of travel demand on the BRT trunk and feeder routes was analysed using the Questor model developed during the earlier DHV study. A ten year horizon was deemed appropriate for analysis of the BRT system. The analysis therefore used the Questor model for the year 2013 in addition to the base year of 2004. It must be stressed that the Questor model used for this analysis was developed for the purposes of regional demand modelling of road network improvements throughout GAMA. With 140 zones in the GAMA model the degree of accuracy available from the model is very coarse for the purposes of operational demand analysis. The impact of this is particularly noticeable in the 36 vicinity of centroid connectors such as the Kaneshie zone. Nevertheless, the volumes obtained from the model were considered to be sufficiently indicative for the purposes of this prefeasibility assessment. Passenger volumes obtained from the model along the trunk portion of the proposed pilot BRT route, for each of the four periods analysed are shown in the figure below: 0 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000 Route Distance (m) 7000 8000 9000 10000 -5000 Inbound 0 1000 K' Nkrumah Outer Ring Rd Kaneshie Market Darkuman Rd Ring Road 7000 8000 9000 10000 Outbound 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000 Route Distance (m) 7000 8000 9000 -5000 Inbound 10000 K' Nkrumah Ring Road Outer Ring Rd Accra Academy Darkuman Rd Kaneshie Market 5000 Dansoman Rd Mallam Passengers / Direction / Hour K' Nkrumah Ring Road Kaneshie Market Outer Ring Rd Accra Academy Dansoman Rd Darkuman Rd Ordorkor Junction Dansoman High St 1000 10000 Dansoman High St 2013 PM Peak hour passenger load 15000 Mallam Passengers / Direction / Hour 4000 5000 6000 Route Distance (m) Inbound 0 -10000 3000 -10000 2013 AM Peak hour passenger load 0 2000 -5000 15000 5000 Dansoman Rd 0 Outbound -10000 10000 Ordorkor Junction 5000 Dansoman High St Mallam 10000 Ordorkor Junction 0 Passengers / Direction / Hour K' Nkrumah Ring Road Kaneshie Market Outer Ring Rd Accra Academy Darkuman Rd 5000 Dansoman Rd 10000 Ordorkor Junction Mallam Passengers / Direction / Hour Dansoman High St 15000 Accra Academy 2004 PM Peak hour passenger load 2004 AM Peak hour passenger load 15000 0 0 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000 Route Distance (m) 7000 8000 9000 10000 -5000 Outbound Inbound Outbound -10000 Peak hour passenger demand profiles The profiles above vary slightly from the earlier demand assessment used to select the pilot corridor. The main differences are the different assumptions regarding mode shift, and the fact that the modelling for corridor selection included the full long-term BRT network, whilst the analysis above incorporated only the pilot corridor. It is interesting to note the relatively low growth projected between 2004 and 2013. The estimated ridership is projected to grow at an annual rate of 1.7%. This low value is largely due to the anticipated high growth of private vehicle ownership, and subsequent mode swing towards private cars. For the purposes of the modelling shown above it was assumed that no current (or future) private car users would shift mode to the BRT. This is a conservative assumption as experience on South American systems has clearly demonstrated that provision of a high quality BRT system has the potential to attract car users. Annual passenger volumes were calculated assuming: Daily passenger volumes equals morning plus evening peak volumes multiplied by 5 320 Equivalent weekdays in a year. Ratio of total passenger trips to peak section volume = 1.4 Key parameters derived from the demand modelling exercise are shown below. Peak cross section Total Total AM Peak PM Peak Route demand demand 37 Inbound Outbound Inbound Outbound pax/hour pax/hour pax/hour pax/hour pax/day Trunk route 2004 2013 Feeder routes CBD / Circle CBD / Ministries Kasoa Gbawe Anyaa Santa Maria Nyameche Dansoman 13,500 6,500 14,700 8,500 4,400 6,900 5,700 7,500 2,900 One-way 2,100 One-way 3,400 One-way 1,600 1,100 3,100 1,800 2,700 1,500 7,700 5,300 2,200 600 1,900 1,900 2,000 One-way 800 1,300 2,000 2,000 900 1,400 3,700 4,100 600 1,100 1,400 1,900 38 pax/year 217,000 69,400,000 253,000 81,000,000 35,000 11,200,000 38,000 33,000 62,000 45,000 145,000 31,000 49,000 12,200,000 10,600,000 19,800,000 14,400,000 46,400,000 9,900,000 15,700,000 ANNEX 3 GHANA URBAN TRANSPORT PROJECT Description of Components COMPONENT 1. INSTITUTIONAL STRENGTHENING AND CAPACITY BUILDING (US$2.0 MILLION). THE PROPOSED GEF FINANCING WOULD SUPPORT THIS COMPONENT PARTICULARLY TO STRENGTHEN CAPACITY OF THE URBAN ROADS DEPARTMENT AND MINISTRY OF ENVIRONMENT TO PLAN, MANAGE AND MONITOR URBAN TRANSPORT OPERATIONS AND SERVICES. THIS COMPONENT DESIGNED AS AN OUTCOME OF A DIAGNOSTIC AND CAPACITY ASSESSMENT EXERCISE CARRIED OUT JOINTLY WITH THE EXPECTED BENEFICIARIES, AIMS AT LAYING THE GROUNDWORK FOR IMPROVING PERSON MOVEMENT AND ENVIRONMENTAL MANAGEMENT. THE GEF FINANCING WOULD SUPPORT: INSTITUTIONAL STRENGTHENING AND CAPACITY BUILDING BOTH FOR THE PUBLIC SECTOR BODIES MANAGING THE SYSTEM, INCLUDING NECESSARY MONITORING AND EVALUATION CAPABILITY, AND THE PRIVATE SECTOR OPERATORS PROVIDING THE TRANSPORT SERVICES; IMPROVED CAPACITY FOR DISPATCHING AND SCHEDULING BUS SERVICES, BUS MAINTENANCE MANAGEMENT, FARE COLLECTION METHODS, BUS DRIVER TRAINING. THIS COMPONENT WOULD ALSO SUPPORT INTRODUCTION OF A ‘LIMITED COMPETITION’ REGIME FOR THE REGULATION OF URBAN PASSENGER TRANSPORT, AND ESTABLISHMENT OF THE ASSOCIATED PLANNING, PROCUREMENT, MONITORING AND EVALUATION CAPACITY. MINISTRIES DIRECTLY INVOLVED INCLUDE MRT, MINISTRY OF TOURISM AND MODERNIZATION OF THE CAPITAL CITY (MTMCC) AND MLGRD. RELEVANT LOCAL AUTHORITIES INCLUDE ACCRA METROPOLITAN, TEMA MUNICIPAL AND GA DISTRICT ASSEMBLIES. This component would also include: Development of a public transport regulator and a service planning / procurement agency to support the introduction of a ‘limited competition’ regime for urban passenger services in Accra. Replacing competition on the route with competition for the route will reduce the congestion and blocking at bus stops that often spills over into adjoining traffic lanes. Not only will PT vehicles operate more smoothly, consuming less fuel in the process, but so will the general traffic that is being obstructed by the overspill. Institutional capacity will also be built in the enforcement agencies, particularly DVLA, EPA, and MTTU. Raising the quality of vehicle inspection will eliminate the most polluting vehicles from the roads, as well as improving road safety. Improving driver training and testing will enable an improvement in standards, including a reduction in fuel consumption through better technique. Helping EPA to develop its monitoring of vehicle emissions (both on the road and at the testing stations) will improve the environmental performance of the vehicle parc – this component will support an initiative being developed by Danida. Finally, training and equipping the MTTU of the Ghana Police Service will help to raise general driving standards. COMPONENT 2. TRAFFIC ENGINEERING, MANAGEMENT AND SAFETY . The component would support the long-term objective of implementing a Bus Rapid Transit (BRT), with an immediate focus on facilitating person movement on major corridors through a combination of traffic management and implementation of improved bus transport system and creating an environmentally 39 sustainable urban transportation system; The area-wide traffic management measures for the main travel corridors in GAMA consists of intersection improvements and arterial traffic management. The intersections in Accra proposed for improvement were evaluated and the following priority junctions were selected. Investments are focused on low-cost measures for intersection improvements and arterial traffic management. Selected components all offer a very high rate of return, based both on passenger time savings and reductions in fuel consumption. The traffic and environmental measures will be implemented along the following corridors: BRT corridor Ring road Accra-Tema Coastal route Accra-Tema corridor Motorway extension This component would support the long term objective of implementing a BRT system, by removing immediate bottlenecks in traffic flow, strengthening traffic management, developing a detailed BRT plan and putting in place incentives for a gradual phase out of the old polluting buses. The specific activities would include traffic management measures, bus maintenance facilities, transport lay-byes, improvements in riding quality of roads, pedestrian walk facilities, intersection improvements, bus stops, bus-only lanes and education and enforcement measures. This component would also focus on capacity development for introducing a ‘bus rapid transit’ system in a pilot corridor, with associated traffic management, non-motorized feeder services and network integration in the central business district. Component 3. Integration of land use/transport management and environmental management Background. This component is aimed at promoting sound transit oriented development policies and sustainable transport elements in current plans and strategies. The component will explore arrangements to further promote the use of bicycle and pedestrian ways in selected areas as a viable and safe alternative to private cars. This component will also help design instruments and incentives, including an action plan for implementation of changes in current land-use patterns. The project will make use of traffic demand management measures by focusing on the city corridor that will implement the BRT system. Measures such as selective street closures, parking controls, pedestrianization schemes, traffic-cell circulation patterns or congestion pricing could help reduce traffic volumes and associated costs to promote a more efficient transport of freight in the city. 40 The IDA financed base line activity would support sound transit oriented development policies and sustainable transport elements in current plans and strategies. The component will explore arrangements to further promote the use of bicycle and pedestrian ways in selected areas as a viable and safe alternative to private cars. This component will also help design instruments and incentives, including an action plan for implementation of changes in current land-use patterns. Specific components include: c. Strategic transport-land use plans (US$650,000). This component would finance preparation and annual review of transport plans for the Accra metropolitan area;. (there must be parts of this that are specific to improving public transport and facilitating BRT that would be appropriate for GEF support) d. Development of data base inventory (US$1,300,000). This component will finance: 1) review and assess a comprehensive vehicle technology binning system; 2) collection of data on vehicle driving patterns per vehicle per class; 3) estimation of average vehicle kilometers traveled per day, by different vehicle classifications along key corridors in different types of traffic conditions. The data would be conducted on an annual basis for the four years of project implementation; e. Strategic Environmental Assessment (SEA) of Land Use Plan (US$550,000). GEF will fund the SEA of master land-use plans, which in many cases need to be updated to accommodate to new realities of development plans. This component will also finance training of Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) staff to build capacity to generate emission inventories for the Accra metropolitan area; f. Estimation of cold starts and hot soaks (US$200,000). Based on the information collected on total vehicle kilometers traveled by vehicle type and roadway class as part of base line studies, this component would finance estimation of cold starts, during which emission levels tend to be higher than under normal operating conditions depending on type of technology used. It will also estimate hot-soak periods; and g. Real life emission management and measurement (US$600,000). The objective is to estimate emissions from originally clean, three way catalyst cars in the city. The emission factors are not known and purpose is to investigate the extent to which the lamda sensor regulates the air/fuel mixture and the extent to which the cleaning system still works. This component will finance purchase of a new not contaminated car with three-way catalyst and conduct research to estimate emissions from cars driven on Ghanaian gasoline at periodic intervals (2 months, 6 months, 1 year) and compared to emissions from new car models from official homologation index. 1.12 The GEF financed incremental activity would support: f) Study to Determine Environmental Impact of Passenger and Freight Transportation (US$300,000). This component will fund development and implementation of TOR and execution of a base line study to determine the level of emissions of GHG and air pollutants resulting from current freight transportation practices, in order to determine a sound baseline. The studies will assess opportunities for reducing emissions as result of freight management programs, and will propose alternative freight management measures improving the efficiency of freight transport (primarily energy use), ranging from mobility plans and traffic management, to advanced logistic design for freight transfer stations. Also, the study will assess the need for fleet renewal regulation and incentives. The study will be limited to the urban areas of the city implementing BRT system; 41 g) Study on Mobility Plans and NMT (US$300,000). This component will finance studies to develop a sound mobility plan for the Accra metropolitan area and formulate a Master Plans for Non motorized transport (NMT), particularly bicycles; h) Bus Route Restructuring (US$500,000) for BRT system. This component will finance development and implementation of TOR for studies aimed at restructuring bus routes in Accra. Component 4. BRT Infrastructure design and implementation Background. A corridor was selected for pilot implementation, based upon the degree of compliance of each of the potential BRT corridors with passenger demand, cost, potential impact, accessibility to low income communities and urban and regional planning impacts are criteria. The selected corridor is Winneba Road and Graphic Road from Mallam to the Accra CBD. This route is the heaviest loaded route in the metropolitan area and was predicted to carry the highest number of potential users of the system, as well as to deliver the largest saving in travel time. Grade separation is likely to be required at two locations on the route, namely at Obetsebi Lamptey Circle at the intersection with the Ring Road and the Railway crossing on Graphic road. Most of the route from Mallam to the Ring Road on Winneba Road has three lanes per direction, and a portion of this has adjacent service lanes. Graphic Road, which links he Ring Road to the CBD has two lanes per direction. Within the CBD two circulation routes are proposed: the CBD / Circle route utilises the existing 3 lane / direction one-way pair of Kwame Nkrumah Avenue and Kojo Thompson Road, whilst the CBD / Ministries uses an portion of Kwame Nkrumah Avenue and predominantly 4 lane dual carriageway roads for the remainder of the circulation route. The IDA/GOG financed activity would support: b. Environmental analysis of pilot corridor and CBD distributor routes (US$500,000). An Environmental Assessment shall be undertaken of potential impacts, e.g., loss of trees, adequate drainage, increased pollution levels, health and safety, etc., and appropriate mitigation measures and management arrangements as part of the preparation and implementation of an Environmental Management Plan. The Environmental Management Plan will summarize anticipated environmental and social impacts of the project and will provide details on the measures, responsibilities and scheduling to mitigate these impacts, as well as costs of mitigation and monitoring. Mitigation measures and responsibilities for mitigation will be contained in the Environmental Management Plan (EMP). EMPs will provide a critical link between the mitigation measures specified in an Environmental Assessment report and the integration of such measures during the implementation and operation of the project. c. Infrastructure ( stations, terminals, pedestrian and bicycle access, intersections, feeder routes) (US$6,000,000). This component will finance: road rehabilitation, grade separation, topographic surveys, geotechnical surveys; conceptual design and 42 implementation of Obetsebi Lamptey Circle Flyover; civil works for BRT requirements for: geometric alignment and pavement structure for bus way, station, terminal and depots designs, such as required width of bus way, bus occupation, station occupation, load factors for selected bus under desired bus occupation, area plans for stations, terminals and depots (facilities included, minimum areas), required ancillary facilities (criteria for pedestrian overpasses or signalized pedestrian crossings, width of pedestrian an bicycles facilities; and engineering and architectural design of roads (reconfiguration of bus way corridor geometry and rehabilitation of feeder roads). 1.15 The GEF financed incremental activity (US$5,500,000) would finance: a. Infrastructure design of BRT System and Facilities (US$1,000,000). Elaborate the technical, social and environmental design of a pilot BRT project to be implemented in the short term; This component will finance the creation of a user friendly BRT system incorporating the needs of pedestrians and bickers using the BRT. Pedestrian facilities and BRT terminal facilities will be part of the infrastructure design. b. Engineering and Design of the exclusive bus lanes along the BRT corridor (US$4,500,000). The GEF financing would supplement the IDA/GOG financing of road rehabilitation and grade separation at intersections by financing creation of exclusive bus lanes along the BRT corridor. Without the exclusive bus lanes, the improvements of roads and traffic management may have the unintended impact of promoting vehiclekilometers traveled, which may increase rather than decrease GHG emissions. By financing exclusive bus lanes, movement of mass transport will be facilitated, bus operations will become profitable and financial incentives will be created for the bus owners and operators to finance clean large buses and substitute them for old small vehicles. This is expected to promote modal shift to more efficient and less polluting forms of public and freight transport. This initiative would provide an opportunity of reduction in GHG emissions and promote technologies whose cost will drop significantly with economies of scale in manufacture and increase in demand. Component 5. Monitoring and Evaluation (US$3,100.000) The IDA/GOG financed activity (US$2,700,000) will support: Developing appropriate regulations (US$250,000). The current Road Traffic Regulations of 1974 – are silent on quantified limits with regard to vehicle exhaust emissions. This subcomponent would provide Technical Assistance to the Committee in establishing a set of quantified regulations appropriate to the current vehicle park in Ghana taking due recognition of the specification of road transport fuels available in the country at this time. Such regulations would then enable the appropriate authorities – principally the Driver and Vehicle Licensing Agency – to enforce standards in an objective and legally sustainable manner. Further, the TA program would also design a program for the progressive tightening of these standards over a realistic timeframe taking into account the planned investments in the Tema refinery aimed to reduce the sulfur content of automotive gas oil (diesel fuel) in particular. Costs of this component would include the necessary technical assistance; 43 e. Socio-economic survey of residents in Accra metropolitan area (US$1,500,000). The goal of this study is to better understand the travel patterns of people living in the Greater Accra Metropolitan Area (GAMA) and the role that transport plays in their lives. The specific objectives are to: (a) examine the travel behavior of people in GAMA, with a special focus on residents and business activities along the project BRT pilot corridor; (b) identify specific transport constraints faced by residents in their performance of day- today activities; (c) examine the social and economic dimensions of residents and their impact on transport choices; and (d) prepare travel diaries to document typical travel patters on a daily basis. The study will particularly focus on bus and taxi transport character along the BRT project corridor. It is expected that the study will be replicated on a periodic basis to examine before and after impacts of the proposed investments. The analytical scope of attributes to be identified, evolve around four main attributes: affordability, accessibility, acceptability, and availability. The studies would be replicated annually over the four year project period to examine the impact of investments under the project; and f. Monitoring of Bus performance (US$250,000). This component would finance development of specific indicators for measuring performance of bus performance, particularly in areas of operational performance, technical performance and financial performance. The indicators for evaluating performance contracts between bus operators and regulatory authority will be developed and capacity of the authority developed in monitoring and supervision. g. Improving the environmental performance of the current vehicle park (US$700,000). Because of the basic technology and the lack of recent investment at the Tema refinery, the levels of sulfur in its automotive gas oil output is significantly higher than international standards. Under these circumstances, the only appropriate technology for reductions in the level of particulate emissions is an exhaust trap. By using a fuel-borne catalyst it is possible to make such traps self-cleaning (CRT), whereas the high sulfur level would poison a conventional precious-metal catalyst. Recent large-bus imports into Accra from both China and India have featured Euro-1 engines for which particulate emissions levels are not defined. Under these circumstances, retrofitting such buses with a CRT using a fuel-borne catalyst would provide a significant reduction in emissions. A trial could be used to determine the benefits, and hence provide the justification for a wider application of this approach. 1.18 The GEF financed incremental activity (US$ 400,000) would finance: e Monitoring and Evaluation of GHG Emissions (US$400,000). This component will support the Ghana Environmental Protection Authority and the Environmental and Science Ministry in monitoring GHG emissions induced by the modal shift to less energy intensive transport. The .results will be communicated to national policy makers and stakeholders, and incorporated in national communications to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC). 44 ANNEX 4 INCREMENTAL COST ANALYSIS Concept In accordance with OP11, significant change of transport modal (e.g., bicycles and pedestrians) emission reductions can be achieved through the rationalization of the public transport system, transport demand management and improved planning and institutional arrangements. Greater Accra Metropolitan Area (GAMA), with a population of over 3 million residents, has a fleet of private motor vehicles and minibuses that is growing faster than the 3% annual GDP growth rate. The vast majority of trips are concentrated in the central city, with three radial routes serving over 500,000 daily person trips entering the area. These roads are heavily congested with 200,000 private vehicles, about 10,000 tro-tros (10-15 seat minibuses) and 2,000 shared taxis (5 seats). If nothing is done to check their growth, CO2 emissions from the transport sector are projected to increase by 50% by 2010, an increase of 2,000,000 MT just within the affected area. The project aims to improve operational efficiency of transport modes and influence mode choice in favor of high capacity public transport buses. These are expected to reduce significantly greenhouse gas and other emissions over the projected baseline, reducing CO2 emissions in the project area by over 100,000 MT during the project. Baseline (without GEF support) Course of Action Government of Ghana is committed to improving urban transport environment in Accra and other cities. In 2002, GOG commenced implementation of a five-year Road Sector Development Program, which aims to achieve sustainable improvements in the supply and performance of roads and road transport services country-wide. This project focuses on routine and periodic road maintenance; major rehabilitation, reconstruction, and upgrading; traffic management and safety; and institutional strengthening. While the need to improve the supply and performance of Ghana’s road network is certain, the project is not designed to adequately remedy Accra’s increasingly dysfunctional urban transport system. The Government has procured a large number of buses in the past year to augment supply. However, increasing the supply of buses alone is not sufficient to alleviate the serious traffic congestion and declining environmental and safety standards. What is required is the development of a regulatory framework to manage the competition, rationalize route planning and licensing, set up a tendering authority, and strengthen management capacity of the implementing agencies. Without the GEF project, the city is likely to continue using the available resources to invest in new buses and widen the road network, in an attempt to be responsive to the residents’ immediate transport needs. These may be necessary initiatives to alleviate congestion, but their impact in absence of other complementary measures is likely to be short-lived. The opportunities for expanding the road network are limited and benefits of additional buses in the market, without addressing the fundamental planning, routing and regulatory issues, are likely to be sub-optimal. The concern with dealing with the immediate problems has led Government to overlook the long term impact of the proposed solutions. No attempts have been made to come to grips with defining policies that relate the value and needs of the urban transport sector to macro-economic considerations. Interventions have been carried out on a project-by-project basis and the transportation system has evolved from the ad-hoc accumulation of public projects and policies. This approach has neglected the 45 critical interconnections between parts of the system and between the system and the basic processes of the city. The solutions implemented in such a scenario are unlikely to be sustainable. GEF alternate scenario The GEF contribution is expected to encourage development of environmental-friendly transport options and to bias decisions toward more globally sustainable solutions. GEF funds would address the most pressing problems affecting urban transport in Greater Accra through the provision of segregated busways, of facilities for NMT and pedestrians as feeders to pilot corridors, and the development of institutional capacity in planning, monitoring and evaluation. The project is designed to produce the following key outcomes: Strengthened policy and institutional framework for managing, coordinating, planning and monitoring urban transport services in Greater Accra; Improved capacity of Greater Accra urban transport authority to effectively operate, manage, plan and monitor an efficient delivery of urban transport system. Strengthened regulatory environment of the urban transport sector both to raise the standard of service provision (including higher standards of vehicle maintenance) and improve its efficiency and productivity, thereby lowering rates of vehicle emission; Introduction of prioritized bus schemes on pilot corridors and feeder bicycle and pedestrian paths, thereby achieving modal shifts to more efficient and less polluting forms of public transport; and Development of an integrated urban transport strategy and plan. Selection of Pilot Corridor for Implementation of BRT The highest traffic volumes are found in the Winneba Road and Liberation Road corridors, which have volumes over 50,000 vehicles per day. Approximately 10,000 vehicles enter the central area of Accra within the Ring Road in the morning peak hour and, on a typical weekday, 270,000 vehicle trips are made into or out of the Accra central area, carrying over 1.3 million passengers. Over 80 percent of these trips are made by public transport. Over half (56%) of daily passengers are carried by tro-tros and additional 15% by taxi. These vehicles are old and poorly maintained and are inefficient in terms of amount of road space used, congestion caused and environmental pollution created. Considerable scope exists to improve the efficiency of people movement with reduction in environmental pollution through a shift from private cars and low capacity public transport vehicles to large and better maintained bus system. The additional financing from GEF would support establishment of a clear and strong framework of regulation and administration for BRT. It is proposed to construct a BRT network on a combination of nine radial and circumferential routes that together form a network of routes serving dominant centers of generation and attraction. A hierarchy of feeder routes is also proposed in order to maximize the usage and efficiency of the BRT system. In addition, it is proposed to construct an integrated system of pedestrian walkways and bicycle routes to increase accessibility of the system, in particular for low-income areas. 46 The initial focus of the project is to implement BRT on a pilot corridor which would serve as an example for expansion to other areas. The pilot route was selected from amongst the nine corridors identified using five selection criteria (travel demand, ease of implementation, transport impact, access for low income population and urban planning impact). The highest ranked corridor is Winneba/Graphic road from Mallam to the Accra CBD, which is 8.9 km long and carries 60,000 passengers per weekday (5,000 passengers per peak hour and direction). Emission reductions expected from additional financing by GEF (These estimates would be finalized during appraisal) The pilot project would capture all of the existing transit trips in the corridor as well as attracting some additional trips from cars and taxis. In addition, it is reasonable to assume that with improved traveling conditions and level of service, the demand along this corridor would increase because of diverted and latent demand. The resulting increase in demand has not been included in the CO2 emission reduction estimate. The BRT system would be designed for a daily capacity of about 60,000. In addition, traffic management in the GAMA and enhanced capacity for planning and implementation would significantly improve maintenance practices, improve traffic flow and reduce delays, resulting in CO2 and PM reductions. Given the fleet composition in GAMA and the average number of km per bus and per month, the emissions that can be attributed to public transport are as follows: CO2 Tro-tros Regular bus Shared taxis Number of vehicles 10,000 500 2,000 gCO2veh-km Km/month MTCO2/year 604 1208 383 4,000 4,000 800 289,920 28,800 7,353 326,073 Number of vehicles 12,000 500 2,000 gPM/veh-km Km/month MT PM/year 1.51 2.01 1.23 4,000 4,000 800 725 48 24 797 PM Tro-tros Regular bus Shared taxis The EPA in Ghana is conducting a baseline study on the levels of exhaust pollutants emitted by vehicles currently in use. However, this work has been delayed by lack of equipment and equipment failures. The additional GEF Grant would support ongoing initiatives by EPA and the Ministry of Environment and Science and strengthen their capacity in developing a data base of GHG inventories. The GEF financing is expected to be implemented over a three-year period. Short-term emission reductions from capacity building component or the regulatory reform component may be hard to 47 measure, though they are expected to maintain CO2 reductions on a long-term basis. On the other hand, improved traffic management practices, mode shift in favor of bicycles, large and better quality buses and improved vehicle maintenance standards would result in immediate benefits in CO2 reductions. The GEF financing would allow putting place a monitoring and evaluation framework for regular monitoring of environmental emissions, which would form the basis of policy advice and information sharing. Local benefits include: 1. The scheme will result in the displacing of small-capacity public transport vehicles (mini- and midibus tro-tros and shared taxis) by large buses. Large buses offer lower greenhouse gas emissions per passenger-place kilometer than smaller vehicles, and the high occupancy that can be obtained through regulated control of the transport supply will ensure that this translates into lower levels of emission per passenger kilometer. 2. Reductions in public-transport travel time as a result of the BRT scheme should result in a modal shift away from private cars, with a corresponding reduction in greenhouse gas emissions. This effect may be reduced, though, by the relatively low displayed value of time (Cedi 2,250 / hour—US cents 28.0). Current traffic volumes at the Accra Academy on Winneba Road are 60,100 per day. Of this traffic, 22% are taxis, 30% are tro-tros and 10% are buses. Of the remaining 38% of vehicles, cars make up 33% and commercial vehicles (mostly light delivery vehicles) 5%. Occupancy levels in taxis and cars average 2.3 and 1.8 respectively, 13.1 in tro-tros, and 23.2 in buses. This is equivalent to a total passenger movement of 440,000 per day, of which taxis constitute 13,000, trotros 234,000, buses 138,000 and cars 36,000. Model estimates suggest a reduction in travel time of about 8 minutes for bus passengers due to improved traffic management and bus priority schemes on the pilot bus-only corridor. Assuming no change in mode share, after introduction of bus priority measures (which is very conservative considering the expected mode shift, as discussed later), this travel time saving amounts to roughly 45,000 hours per day, or 13,500,000 hours per year. At even US cents 28/hour of time evaluation, this represents a gain of about US$4 million/year, which provides a favorable benefit/cost ratio. 3. Removal of on-the-road competition for passenger transport services in the corridor will greatly enhance the flow of general traffic, despite its being confined to two running lanes rather than the three that are theoretically currently available. This will result in the reduction of greenhouse gas emissions from general traffic, but may result in a small reduction in the expected modal shift to cars from public transport. 4. The increase in the functionality of the arterial road will reduce the attraction of ‘rat runs’ through parallel business and residential streets, thus reducing local emissions and increasing road safety for pedestrians in particular. Diverting vehicles are also a cause of congestion where they rejoin the main traffic corridor. 5. The provision of an integral CBD distributor service as part of the BRT scheme will greatly increase the attraction of public transport to office and government workers in these areas who are users of private cars at present but face real affordability problems. This will result in significant modal shift, which will be further enhanced when premium bus services are introduced in the BRT corridor. 6. Large buses used for the BRT trunk and main feeder services will provide lower levels of exhaust pollution than the general vehicles, having Euro 1 limits at worst and mostly Euro 2. By contrast, existing tro-tros can be 20 years or more old (pre-dating Euro standards) and are often in poor maintenance condition with visible smoke emissions. 7. Enhancements to operational viability as a result of the higher bus speeds obtained in the BRT scheme, and the security offered by contracts with the regulatory authority, will provide operators 48 with the opportunity to invest in fleet renovation; tightening vehicle standards in the supply contracts will reinforce this move. This will result in the scrapping of some of the oldest and most-polluting tro-tros that will have become uneconomic to operate. Costs 1. Environmental costs relate largely to the impacts of infrastructure construction. However, as much of the proposed scheme can be incorporated within the existing roadway, these costs will be low in comparison with the benefits obtained. 2. Similarly, construction of the BRT scheme will require only a small land take and will result in minimal displacement of economic activity. Quantification 1. Traffic data would be obtained for GAMA from the Urban Transport Planning and Traffic Management Study, and the output of the traffic modeling assessment of the impact of the BRT scheme. These data would be used to quantify the anticipated environmental benefits of the scheme. 2. Initial estimates suggest the potential for a 22% reduction in greenhouse gases over the proposed BRT network. In the pilot corridor, with the highest passenger flows and the worst congestion, this benefit is expected to be even higher. Monitoring 1. The Environmental Protection Agency has sited six air-quality testing stations across the Accra metropolitan area, one of which is positioned in the BRT pilot corridor close to the location of maximum existing congestion. This station will provide the base-line data for emissions levels in the corridor, and tangible evidence of the impacts of the BRT scheme as outlined earlier. Cross-reference to the other test sites will enable separation of project impacts from those arising from more general interventions such as improving fuel quality and tighter control of vehicle standards. 2. The EPA also has a mobile air-quality testing station that could be used to identify pollution levels on the feeder routes to the BRT scheme, and hence locate particular areas of concern. Post-investment monitoring could then focus on those black-spots to determine the effectiveness of the intervention. 49 Annex 5 INCREMENTAL COST MATRIX Baseline Domestic Benefits Institutional Strengthening component Integration of land use-transport and environmental management Alternative Increment limited competitive regime for regulation of urban passenger transport services introduced Improved capacity for scheduling and dispatching bus services; maintenance, fare collection, driver habits Implement urban transport policy to improve delivery of services and strengthen coordination with Ministry of Environment Set up legal and institutional structures necessary to support long-term implementation of an integrated urban transport plan Rationalize public transport operations and organizations responsible for regulating Formulate urban transport policy Formulate traffic management plans Local bus routes restructured Urban transport policy developed Update land use plans to adjust current development patterns Better transport flows, air quality, fleet 50 GEF will ensure that all new plans for establishing new route, or to restructure existing routes will follow the sustainable transport principles Promote a sustainable urban public transport system Increased walkability, better planning for NMT and better interconnectivity to Monitoring and Evaluation analysis Mobility plans gets prepared to respond to transport needs of BRT; NMT plans developed without integrating interconnectivity concept Estimates of average VKT by vehicle and road type Monitoring framework is developed with a focus on evaluating impact of transport investments on poverty reduction Monitor performance of domestic contractors Conduct annual technical and financial audit of the program Six air quality testing stations across the Accra metropolitan area Mobile air-quality testing stations Dissemination workshops Control of vehicle standards Set up mobile source inventory to track vehicle position and speed, age and consumption Develop traffic management plans for improving traffic flow Rehabilitate road Data on average daily engine start rate per bin and average engine off to engine on time, per bin Traffic Management, Engineering and Safety 51 Master plans will incorporate global dimension Assessment of opportunities to reduce GHG emissions Support EPA and Env & Science Ministry in developing capacity and technical data in GHG emissions Emission monitoring stations established along the pilot corridor Monitor performance of tro-tros, private cars, goods vehicles and large buses in terms of fuel consumption, emissions, maintenance practices and operations Develop a data base of key urban transport characteristics, including vehicle fuel economy, trip, length, speed. Develop a demonstration project with clear benefits, such as reduced uncertainties about cost, performance and market acceptance of BRT and integrated planning approaches Create dedicated and exclusive lanes for mass transport promote less car use Mobility plans and NMT strategy integrated and articulated to BRT development to allow GHG emission reductions Articulating strategic land-use and transport planning to the local and global environmental objective of reducing air pollution and GHG emissions Emission monitoring stations mobile source inventory Tracking of GHG emissions Estimation of real life emission management and measurement Develop BRT system network to improve vehicle flow Develop road accident data base Improved vehicle flow in the city Government passes a Road Safety Act Global Benefits Create infrastructure (stations, terminals, pedestrians and bicycle access, intersections, feeder routes) Technical, social and environmental design to support BRT Develop EMP for the pilot corridor Urban transport planning and implementation without integrating global concerns such as GHG reductions Offsets of GHG emissions through environmentally sustainable urban transport planning and implementation. This is reflected as efficient traffic management, BRT and adequate monitoring of emissions Elements of the project are replicable and hence can contribute to improved climate change mitigation in other SSA cities. By identifying more concrete issues that will be addressed this makes it easy for the “next city” to see where to start Long-term modal shift to more efficient and less polluting forms of public transport Remove institutional and physical barriers to introduction of BRT and demonstration of mass transport schemes Replicability of BRT scheme in other cities (Kumasi, Tamale, Sekondi, Cape Coast) and SSA (Dar, Addis, Lagos) Cost by Component Figures in US$ Figures in US$ Figures in US$ 1. Institutional strengthening 2. Traffic management and engineering 3. Land use-transport & env. management B. BRT infrastructure design & implementation C. Monitoring & evaluation Total Cost and GEF share 2,000,000 2,000,000 0.0 14,500,000 14,500,000 0.0 3,300,000 4,400,000 1,100,000 6,500,000 12,000,000 5,500,000 2,700,000 3,100,000 400,000 29,000,000 36,000,000 7,000,000 52 Annex 6 Procurement and Disbursement Arrangements GHANA: ROAD SECTOR DEVELOPMENT PROGRAM Procurement 1. Ghana's Procurement Environment The World Bank conducted Country Procurement Assessment Reports (CPAR) in 1985 and 1996, a consultant report in 1997, and a Country Portfolio Performance Review (CPPR) in 1998. These reports cite factors contributing to weaknesses in the public procurement practices, including (i) lack of a comprehensive legal framework, (ii) lack of uniform and codified procurement procedures and regulations, (iii) weak capacity of procurement staff, and (iv) loose institutional and organizational arrangements for collective decision making in awarding of contracts. Some of the unacceptable features in the current public procurement practices highlighted in the reports are (i) extensive use of the sole source method for selection of consultants, (ii) extensive and repetitive use of shopping procedures, often including the same firms, (iii) unclear procedures for opening of bids and criteria for bid evaluation and contract award, (iv) post contract negotiations, (v) mandatory use of the state insurance company for goods contracts, and (vi) over-centralization of procurement in Accra. The reports recommend a comprehensive procurement reform for Ghana. This recommendation was also endorsed in the 1999 CDF initiative document for Ghana. These problems have arisen in part because Ghana's procurement procedures and regulations are scattered in various legal documents and circulars, which often are not clear, contradictory and subject to misinterpretation. There also are no mechanisms for monitoring procurement or for dealing with complaints. As the Government does not yet have a comprehensive procurement code for the procurement of goods, works and services by Government ministries and agencies, most entities implementing donor-financed projects follow the Banks guidelines for works and goods contracts below ICB thresholds and for selection of consultants. To remedy these problems, the Government is in the process of developing rationalized and codified public procurement procedures and regulations, which will be applicable to all public procurement entities. The resulting streamlined procedures and regulations for procurement of goods, works, and services, and monitoring system will ensure proper utilization and developmental impact of public resources. The on-going procurement reforms are financed by an IDA credit under the Public Finance Management Technical Assistance Project (Cr. 2952-GH). In 1999 the Government established, in MOF, a Procurement Policy Oversight Group (PPOG) to oversee the process of the preparation and implementation f public procurement reforms in Ghana. The PPOG selected consultants to prepare a Procurement Reforms Proposal (PRP). In order to ensure that the PRP is not just as a desk exercise, the TOR required the consultants to liaise with stakeholders in the public and private sectors, paying due attention to consultation, participation and ownership. It is expected that a new procurement code and law will be implemented by September 30, 2001. In the absence of a national procurement code, procurement procedures to be followed by the implementing agencies are described in the in the Project Implementation Manual. Registration/classification of contractors may be used for establishing bidder qualification or for preparing a list for use under quotation procedure, but not as criteria for bidding or for award of contract. A draft of these procedures, which includes thresholds for use of the various procurement methods, thresholds and institutional arrangements for decision making on contract awards, and amendments and 53 procedures for disposal of assets, was reviewed at appraisal and found satisfactory. The procurement procedures in the Manual will be amended to be consistent the new national code when the code becomes available. 2. Use of Bank Guidelines All works and goods financed under the IDA credit will be procured in accordance with the Guidelines: Procurement under IBRD Loans and IDA Credits, January 1995 and as revised in January and August 1996, September 1997 and January 1999. Consultants will be selected in accordance with the Guidelines: Selection and Employment of Consultants by World Bank Borrowers, January 1997 and as revised September 1997 and January 1999. National Competitive Bidding (NCB) procedures will include: (a) an explicit statement to bidders of the evaluation and award criteria; (b) national advertising with public bid opening; (c) award to the lowest evaluated responsive and qualified bidder; and (d) a statement that foreign bidders will not be precluded from participation in NCB. The Bank's Standard Bidding Documents (SBD) will be used for all ICB (and with appropriate amendments for all NCB) for works and goods. The Bank's Standard Request for Proposals (SRFP) will be used for all consulting assignments. Each time an agency initiates procurement/selection of consultants, it will use the latest version of the SBD/SRFP, incorporating any addenda issued by the Bank. The detailed procedures to be followed are described in the Project Implementation Manual. Domestic preference will be allowed for ICB contracts. 3. Advertising A General Procurement Notice (GPN) will be published in the United Nations Development Business (UNDB) as provided under the Guidelines. The GPN will be updated on a yearly basis and show all outstanding ICB and all consulting services estimated to cost US$200,000 or more. Specific Procurement Notices (SPN) will be required for contracts to be procured under ICB and NCB procedures and Requests for Expressions of Interest (EOI) for consultant contracts with an estimated cost of US$100,000 or more prior to preparation of the short list SPNs will (as a minimum) be published in a newspaper of wide national circulation. Consultant contracts estimated to cost US$200,000 or more will be advertised in UNDB. 4. Procurement Capacity A procurement capacity assessment of all implementing agencies was conducted in 2000 and the report updated during project appraisal. The summary assessment (copy in the project file) shows a medium risk for this program. The Project Implementation Manual will indicate the capacity available in each implementing agency, any shortfalls, and how the Government will address the shortfalls, to ensure project implementation will not be impaired. MRH and its road agencies, DFR, DUR and GHA have implemented several Bank projects and are familiar with the Bank's procurement procedures. 5. Procurement Plans The MRH has prepared a Global Procurement Plan by aggregating the plans of each implementing agency for the whole project period. Each implementing agency has prepared a detailed annual Procurement Plan for the first year of the project showing contract packages, and for each package its estimated cost and procurement method and time to completion. These plans will be finalized and agreed with IDA before effectiveness and incorporated into the final Project Implementing Manual. Two months prior to the start of each subsequent fiscal year, MRH, in consultation with the road agencies, will submit up-dated versions of the Global Procurement Plan and the annual Procurement Plan in respect of the following year. Each quarter MRH and the road agencies will submit a procurement process monitoring report to IDA as part of the Project Management Report (PMR). The report will indicate how each contract in the Procurement Plan has progressed. The Project Implementation Manual has sample procurement formats. 54 6. Project Implementation Arrangements Procurement of works and goods and the selection of consultants, including procurement planning, will be the responsibility of the various implementing agencies under the project. MRH will be responsible for coordinating the project implementation, including ensuring procurement planning and preparation of progress reports. Each agency will track the accumulation. of contracts under each procurement method and MRH will consolidate the information on a quarterly basis so as to ensure that the aggregate amounts under the non-ICB procurement methods are not exceeded. The project will also finance a number of activities and investments for communities. The project does not envisage delegation of procurement and financial responsibility to communities. However, for investments that would involve decisions by and participation of communities, the implementing agencies will assist communities to play their respective roles. Community participation in procurement may be allowed under community-based activities. 55