10. Case study Cash budgeting, strengths, weaknesses and prospects 10.1 Overview of the budgetary system The Constitution provides the legal basis for expenditure management. It requires expenditure to be authorized by an appropriation act (budget law) or supplementary estimate approved by Parliament and issued by the President. However, the President is allowed to issue a warrant without an appropriation act or prior supplementary estimate if he considers the expenditure “urgent.” Such expenditures must be approved by Parliament in the form of an ex-post supplementary estimate, a procedure that is used quite regularly to confirm expenditures already made. Supplementary estimates are often prepared on an ad hoc basis late in the year rather than as part of a formal midterm budget review. In principle, they should be met from savings on other items within the same category, but such funding arrangements are rare. The frequent use of urgent warrants is an important feature of the budget system, and ex post supplementary estimates are not always applied. Years with actual expenditures exceeding the budget (original budget plus supplementary budget) are not unusual. The Auditor-General’s reports on the 1996 and 1997 fiscal years mention numerous instances of unconstitutional excess expenditures. MoF is responsible for managing the preparation and implementation of the budget. Within line ministries and other budget heads the controlling officer, usually the permanent secretary, is the key person responsible for financial management. Controlling officers have to assure that all payments are within the limits imposed by the financial rules and regulations. They are personally responsible for any payments made without proper authority, but in practice controlling officers are rarely fired or forced to reimburse the government for improper payments, and no criminal cases have been brought to court since 1993. The government often legitimizes payments after the fact by authorizing supplementary spending. The budget is divided into 51 expenditure budget heads. These cover 38 ministries, departments, offices and commissions, 9 provinces, and 4 general purpose heads (mostly concerned with standing charges such as debt service and contributions to International Organizations such as the UN). A number of important government entities (universities, major hospitals, the Revenue Authority, etc.) are treated as independent institutions. As such, they have their own budgets even though they are financed largely or exclusively by government grants. Hence the budget category “grants and other payments”, accounted for over 19 percent of total domestic government expenditures in 1998. It covers public expenditures, such as salaries of tax collectors and medical doctors which are often included in line ministry budgets in other countries. For each budget head (except the above-mentioned four general purpose heads) expenditures are grouped into four categories: (i) personal emoluments (salaries, wages, and other emoluments); (ii) recurrent departmental charges (RDC). This includes 1 allowances, purchase of goods, purchase of services, and training expenses and corresponds to “operation and maintenance(O+M)” in other countries; (iii) grants and other payments as mentioned above; and (iv) capital expenditures (movable assets, projects). Thus the budget contains no functional or program classification. According to financial regulations, funds may be transferred within the four expenditure categories with the approval of the permanent secretary of MoF. In practice, such reallocations can be made by a controlling officer. Furthermore, reallocations between RDC and grants are tolerated. The transfer of funds intended for personal emoluments or capital expenditures requires parliamentary approval by means of a supplementary estimate that can be granted ex post. One way of increasing pay without parliamentary approval is to increase daily allowances (part of RDC). The budget includes some foreign aid, such as technical assistance, capital grants, and external borrowing for specific projects as well as non-project loans, on the revenue as well as on the expenditure side. However, the majority of foreign aid is actually disbursed and spent outside the regular budget process and is not recorded in the published budget accounts. . There are few experienced and well-trained accounting personnel in the government, and Information technology support is limited. Many agencies use manual accounting systems and computerized systems where they exist are often incompatible. Proposals for reform include an Integrated Financial Management Information System (IFMIS) and a Medium-Term Expenditure Framework (MTEF). 10.2 The economic crisis During the late 1980s and early 1990s the country experienced large fiscal deficits averaging well over 10% of GDP. Their financing by domestic money creation and foreign borrowing led to runaway inflation and unsustainable levels of foreign debt. Consumer prices doubled annually between 1988 and 1991 and almost tripled between 1991 and 1993. Foreign debt doubled during the eighties and had to be rescheduled massively in 1994. Eventually Government made the fundamental decision no longer to finance its operations by borrowing from the central bank and not to run a budget deficit on its domestic operations. The new Government which came to power in 1991 implemented a wide range of economic and fiscal reforms, with curbing inflation as a top priority. In an attempt to reimpose financial discipline it introduced a number of adjustment measures supported by the international community. These measures included introduction of a cash budget system, agreement with the IMF on a SAF/ESAf program1, and introduction of a public sector reform program (PSRP) aimed at civil service retrenchment. 10.3 Introduction of the cash budget system 1 SAF is a structural adjustment facility and ESAF is an enhanced structural adjustment facility. 2 The cash budget system was introduced in 1993, based on the principle that no cash is released to line ministries and for other budget heads unless sufficient funds are available in the Treasury’s main bank accounts to cover payments. The cash budget was introduced administratively without enactment of new statutes or amendments to existing ones. . Its legal basis was provided by the Finance Control and Management Act which empowers the Permanent Secretary of MoF to “impose a restriction on expenditure under any sub-head or item appearing in the estimates ”. The power of the permanent secretary was interpreted broadly to mean that the executive arm of Government (MoF) can decide on which activities are to be funded among those initially approved by Parliament in the budget . Implementation of the cash budget began with the Permanent Secretary of MoF issuing an instruction to the central bank to the effect that funding requests should not be honored, unless the Treasury had sufficient cash in the Bank to cover the expenses.. The Treasury was prevented from borrowing from the central bank or running a net overdraft for the year at the Bank, except in a few special circumstances. The rules, however, still permitted cash to be raised in advance by selling treasury bills, as this would not entail an increase in money circulation and have no inflationary effect. Despite extreme pressures caused by the adoption of the cash budget, in the beginning few major breaches were observedand there was strong support provided by the Cabinet, Parliament, and the public at large. The policy was endorsed by Cabinet, announced publicly in the 1993 Budget Address, and approved by Parliament as part of the budget program. The new Government wanted to demonstrate credibility, which was essential for reviving the economy and sustaining donor support. Pre-announcing the cash budget as a foundation of its stabilization policy created a situation in which the Government could not violate the rules without incurring a heavy cost, both economically and politically. Furthermore, the cash budget provided the Budget Office with a welcome tool to refuse the constant barrage of spending requests. Finally, there was a widespread public consensus that Government needed to stop “printing money” based on the bitter lessons from the previous decade of stabilization failures and the fact that in 1993 the economy was on the verge of hyperinflation. 10.4 Mechanisms of the cash budget To implement the cash budget system a Joint Data Monitoring Committee (JDMC) was created, comprising officials and advisors from MoF (Budget Office and External Resource Mobilization Department) and the central bank. It was responsible for the daily monitoring of cash budget execution; proper management of reserve money, and the overall adherence of macroeconomic policy to program targets. The Committee met daily to scrutinize fiscal and monetary data, analyze near term prospects, identify substantive problems, discuss alternative solutions and recommend appropriate remedies. It submitted weekly reports to the Minister of Finance, the Governor, an inter-ministerial technical group on economic policy, and other top officials. Thus, the critical issues were promptly reported to the top economic policy makers. 3 . The process of executing the cash budget changed in response to changing needs. It became clear that interest charges on treasury bills magnified government expenses when the bills matured and that special-issue bills worsened net claims on Government, a key benchmark in the IMF program. As a result treasury bills could no longer be used as a means to by-pass cash budget constraints. The most important change was effected in 1997 when the daily monitoring by JDMC and the financing of line ministries by MoF was changed to monthly funding. The annual budget estimates were divided into 12 equal installments and if funds permitted, were financed on a monthly basis. The main purpose of JDMC was to ensure that nodeficit was recorded at the end of the month. The actual decision of how much each ministry and other budget head could spend each month in each expenditure category was taken by a small committee within MoF, comprising the Permanent Secretary (Budget and Economic Affairs), the Director of Budget, Chief and Principal Budget Analysts, Chief Revenue Analyst and the Accountant-General (or representative). This committee decided upon and issued monthly cash releasesand this, rather than the formal budget, determined actual allocations. The cash budget process goes through ten steps from the moment the budget is approved by Parliament and signed by the President and payments are actually made: 1. After the budget has been signed it is divided into four quarters and the latter broken down into months on a straight-line basis. This represents the formal monthly program budget; 2. Early in every month, the Revenue Authority provides a revenue projection; 3. The monthly surplus necessary to meet the quarterly ESAF benchmark, is determined; 4. Total resources available for expenditures during the month are calculated by deducting the monthly surplus from the revenue profile; 5. The MoF Committee then allocates total available resources to the 51 budget heads broken down into the four expenditure categories. However, these allocations are not decided all at once at a specific date early in the month. Decisions are taken on an adhoc basis during the course of the month. First priority is given to domestic debt service, contingency for unexpected revenue shortfalls, and personal emoluments (based on the payroll for the previous month). Second priority is given to social sector expenditure. Funding of recurrent departmental charges (RDCs), grants and other current expenditures, and capital expenditure (CAPEX) are decided last, as a residual, with the small amount of domestically financed CAPEX usually receiving lowest priority. In consequence, RDCs and CAPEX for low-priority budget heads often receive no funding during a given month if revenue is particularly low or if new, higher priority funding requests are met even though they may not have been included in the budget; 4 6. As the Committee progresses in deciding cash releases for the month, cash is gradually released and ministries and other budget heads are finally informed of their monthly resource envelopes; 7. Domestic debt service is strictly paid at the dates due, and cash releases are structured accordingly. Personnel emoluments are supposed to be paid by the middle of the month. If at that time, insufficient cash is available, the Budget Office can draw on its interest-free overdraft with the central bank but this has to be repaid at the end of the month. The Budget Office can also decide to delay salary payments towards the end of the month, when revenue collection is usually at its monthly peak. In a few instances, accumulated surpluses have been used to finance shortfalls; however, this risks violating the budget surplus benchmark agreed with the Fund; 8. Cash releases for other expenditure categories are usually decided and executed late in the month to which they refer, when revenues are at their peak and the risk of an unexpected revenue shortfall is at a minimum. This means that, de facto, cash releases for purposes other than debt service and personnel emoluments are not based on the monthly revenue profile but mostly on revenue already collected and ‘in the bank” before the releases take place. It also means that the funds released in a given month are mostly spent in the following month. For example, the cash release for RDCs to the Ministry of Education for the month of May is received by the Ministry during the last few days of May and is used largely to cover expenditures during June. 9. As soon as the MoF Committee has decided on a monthly cash release to a particular budget head and expenditure category, the Budget Office authorizes the central bank to transfer money from the government general revenue account to the respective control account. As mentioned above, this may happen at any time during the month. Most budget heads have three main control accounts covering personnel emoluments, RDCs and grants, and capital expenditures. A budget head cannot transfer money from one account to another but can do so within the same account . 10. Since the central bank is not involved in retail banking, for each of its control accounts there is a mirror account at a commercial bank. Budget heads use these mirror accounts to effect their payments. For this purpose, controlling officers first have to submit to the central bank a list of checks they intend to draw on a given control account, such as the Ministry of Health’s RDC control account; this may happen as often as once a day. If the balance in the control account concerned is sufficient to cover the list (i.e., the list total is within the cash released previously to this control account) the exact corresponding amount is transferred from the control account to the mirror account. At the same time, the central bank forwards a copy of the list of checks to the accountant-general’s office. The accounting officers of the budget head concerned can then write the checks included in the list. If the list total exceeds the balance in the control account, the list is returned to the budget head, no funds are transferred to the mirror account, and the accounting officers for that budget head can not write any checks. 5 Those responsible for budget heads submit monthly expenditure statements to the Accountant-General’s Office (floppy disks and hard copies) and daily statements to BoZ in the form of the list of checks mentioned above. This administrative arrangement, necessitated by the cash budget, has impacted procedures for the preparation of financial statements. . The Financial Regulationsrequire controlling officers to prepare and submit financial statements to the Auditor-General for each head of expenditure, which the Auditor General is to query and certify and then send to the Accountant-General’s Office at MoF for preparation of the Government consolidatedfinancial report. Controlling officers are required to answer to the Public Accounts Committee in this regard. However, current practice is for the Accountant-General’s Office, rather than the controlling officers, to prepare these financial statements based on the floppy disks submitted monthly by each budget head, and then to forward them (along with necessary supporting documentation) to controlling officers for verification. Controlling officers are normally given very little time (a few days) to verify bulky documentation. Accountants at line ministries are, often, also requested to prepare journal vouchers so that their figures agree with those of the Accountant General. In some cases, such journal vouchers are not approved by controlling officers. The Auditor General’s Office is then given very little time to review the financial statements. . 10.5 Macroeconomic impacts There can be no doubt that the central government’s fiscal performance has improved markedly since 1991. Both, government expenditure as well as the budget deficit have been reduced substantially and are now at levels which are sustainable in the long term. The balance of recurrent budget operations 5 improved from a deficit of 10.6 percent of GDP in 1991 to a small surplus of 1.4 percent in 1998 (and an expected marginal deficit of 0.3 percent in 1999), and inflation declined from over 93 per cent in 1991 to under 29 percent in 1998. This had a positive effect on inflation, albeit somewhat diluted by continuous, high deficits of other public administrations and entities. The reform package as a whole has largely achieved its objective of reestablishing overall financial equilibrium. Between 1991 and 1998 the Government managed to cut discretionary recurrent expenditures in real terms by well over half (i.e. excluding servicing of the domestic and foreign debt), a remarkable achievement by any standard. Part of this reduction was achieved before the cash budget was introduced at the beginning of 1993 and much of it resulted automatically from the massive inflation during these years that sharply reduced civil servants’ salaries in real terms. However, the discipline imposed by the cash budget and ESAF helped to maintain recurrent expenditures at the low level reached in 1993 and to prevent a major reversal during later years. It was also instrumental in making Government phase out subsidies, which had accounted for 29 percent of discretionary current expenditures in 1991. . However, as discussed below, the cash budget system had major negative side effects on social and economic development that became increasingly apparent over time. 6 Impact of the adjustment program on the overall budget situation 1992 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 K billion at 1998 prices: Personnel emoluments RDC Subsidies etc. Other non-debt(grants and capital) Total (non-debt) 644 354 528 292 605 283 47 504 363 255 66 287 351 193 404 272 343 213 404 183 327 161 567 421 293 283 354 1,818 1,439 971 1,110 1,097 849 870 842 % of GDP total domestic revenues Total recurrent expenditure Balance 18.7 29.3 -10.6 18.4 27.2 -8.8 15.9 26.3 -10.4 20.1 27.9 -7.8 19.9 24.2 -4.3 20.6 18.5 +2.1 19.8 17.5 +2.3 18.1 16.7 +1.4 100.0 165.1 183.7 54.6 34.9 43.1 24.5 24.4 Inflation per cent (period average) Capital expenditures increased considerably from 3 to 5 percent of GDP before 1996 and to 8-11 percent since. However, as the bulk of these expenditures are financed by foreign aid largely outside the budget they have little impact on the Government’s overall financial situation and reflect little on the Government’s financial performance. While Government was very successful in bringing its budget deficit under control and limiting its recourse to central bank financing, inflation did not decline as rapidly and as strongly as expected. Three years after inception of the cash budget, inflation still exceeded 43 percent and by 1998 was still above 24 percent. While this is a substantial improvement over the 100 percent experienced in 1991 and the 200 percent in mid-1993, inflation remains a significant threat to the country’s financial and monetary stability. As indicated below, the central government deficit accounts only for a part of the total fiscal deficit – 17 percent in 1997. Furthermore, most of its other, quasi-fiscal components have improved much less rapidly than the central government deficit and some have actually worsened requiring continuous, substantial central bank support, with corresponding inflationary impact. in % of GDP Quasi-fiscal activities and the budget deficit 1995 1996 Central government budget Pension funds Public enterprises Local governments and others Central Bank (implicit deficit) TOTAL 4.6 1.0 0.3 3.4 9.1 18.4 1997 2.5 0.9 6.2 2.0 6.2 17.8 2.3 0.9 4.9 2.1 3.4 13.6 10.6 Analysing the figures of budget execution 7 There is a wide-spread notion that this system of cash budgeting, established a close and rigid link between monthly revenues and monthly expenditures, i.e. expenditures in a given month, are equal to or very close to revenues collected in the same month. While this appears logical, given the characteristics of the system, it is not supported by the facts. For instance revenues in June 1997 reached K 99 bill, but expenditures (including payments of domestic arrears) were only K 56 bill. More generally, in less than 40 percent of the 48 months between January 1995 and December 1998, did actual revenues and expenditures come within 10 percent of each other while in over 33 percent they were more than 20 percent apart. One logical explanation is that for many categories of expenditures cash releases are based, de facto, on previous month revenue collection. Taking this time lag into account, the share of closely linked months increases slightly to 43 percent; still not a sign of a strong link. There is an even stronger assumption that under the cash budget system no deficits can occur and that during any given month expenditures are lower – or at most equal – to revenues. This also is not supported by MoF statistics. Over the four years 1995-98, 18 months, or well over one third, ended with a deficit on domestic operations, including cash payment of arrears. Most deficit-prone months were February (all 4) and November (3 out of 4). For both months, low revenue collections are the main explanation. Given the close link between monthly revenues and expenditures established by the cash budget system one would expect fluctuations in expenditures to be caused largely by those in revenues. As shown below, this is not the case. Total revenues are much morestable than total domestic expenditures. Revenue fluctuations are calculated to explain only about 44 percent of expenditure fluctuations. Several factors besides fluctuations in revenues may be responsible for fluctuations in expenditures. First, is the need to fulfill the quarterly ESAF targets. This leads to clearly recognizable intra-quarterly variations in cash releases characterized by relatively high expenditures during the first two months followed by sharp cuts in the last month of the quarter, when ESAF targets have to be met. Second, some expenditures that were not included in the budget are approved at the monthly cash release meetings . During the first two months of the quarter, when controls were somewhat relaxed, these additional requests could be added to other cash releases, producing an overshooting of total expenditures. During the last month, sharp cuts in the budgeted expenditures became unavoidable. This inevitably creates large ups and downs in monthly cash releases. The third factor is the attachment of different priorities to different budget heads and expenditure categories which intensifies fluctuations in cash releases for low priority expenditures. For “receivers of last resort” even minor fluctuations in revenues will have serious impacts on expenditures. Such is the case, for instance, for RDC in the Ministry of Agriculture and for capital expenditures (road rehabilitation and maintenance) in the Ministry of Works and Supply, which are considered third priority despite their long term development impact. At the same time, personal emoluments are well protected and fluctuate little. As a result, ministries may be well-supplied with civil servants but devoid of the necessary means of employing them fruitfully (e.g. visiting and advising farmers in the field or controlling budget accounts in the provinces). 8 Selected monthly cash releases in K billion, 1998 Ministry of Health Personal emol. RDC Grants Jan Feb Mar Apr May June July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec 3.1 2.4 3.8 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 1.3 1.2 2.2 2.0 1.1 0 1.2 0.9 0.4 4.6 0.7 2.4 4.4 4.9 3.9 5.2 4.2 2.0 9.3 4.0 3.1 5.0 5.1 7.1 Budget2 2.0 1.5 4.8 Ministry of Education Agric Works Personal emol. RDC Capex 7.3 7.3 7.3 7.3 7.3 7.3 7.5 7.8 8.8 10.8 7.8 7.8 RDC Grants 2.1 2.0 1.6 4.1 2.4 0.3 2.2 1.5 2.6 3.0 4.8 1.9 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.1 1.5 0.7 1.8 2.1 1.1 1.8 2.1 3.8 1.6 1.2 0.6 0.8 2.1 0 0 0.8 0.5 2.8 2.0 0.3 0 3.1 0.2 5.2 0.2 3.7 5.8 5.1 6.1 9.9 4.4 7.2 2.4 1.9 1.0 4.2 Monthly cash releases have fluctuated widely not only for the four ministries presented in the table above and not only for RDC. Monthly RDC releases for the Government as a whole have also fluctuated widely and not only in 1998 but equally in 1996 and 1997 recording jumps up or down of over 50% during nearly half of these 36 months. Similarly, total monthly cash releases of the Ministry of Education have fluctuated widely during 1996, 1997, and 1998, almost as strongly as cash releases for RDC alone. Government revenues fluctuated less than cash releases and the fluctuations were less unpredictable, following a recognizable seasonal trend: low during the first quarter, average during the second quarter, followed by a gradual increase toward a peak in December. The statistics further indicate that Government has been quite successful in projecting annual revenues at the time the budget is prepared: during the first three of these years actual revenues slightly exceeded budget projections and in the fourth year the actual shortfall was less than 0.5 percent. Even though the outcome for 1999 may not be as accurate, this is an impressive track record. 10.7 Program impacts The replacement of the budget by the monthly cash release as the main determinant of government budget expenditures had a major impact on government resource allocation. Government priorities as established in the budget were replaced by the monthly decisions of a small committee in MoF. . While some random reallocations of budgetary appropriations are common in most countries as the year progresses and situations change, the changes recorded were not 2 Based on 1/12 of the year's allocation for each month 9 only unusually large but also not at all random. A detailed comparison of original budget estimates with actual, audited expenditures for the year 1997 reveals massive and systematic changes in expenditure priorities during the course of the year away from ministries and other budget heads directly concerned with economic and social matters towards general public services (such as defense,police, Home Affairs) and from RDCs and grants to personal emoluments. This change in focus was reinforced by the sharp cuts in capital expenditures financed by domestic resources. As a result, actual public expenditures turned out to be substantially less development oriented than the budget as enacted at the beginning of the year. Taking 1997 as an example, there were two major changes in resource reallocation in 1997: reallocations between groups of ministries and reallocations between expenditure categories within groups of ministries. The ministries which gained most were those classified as general public services (such as State House, Defense,Police, Judiciary). Those that lost most were economic services (Energy/Water, Agriculture, Works and Supply,etc.). Thanks to exceptionally large increases in personal emoluments, social services (Education, Health, etc.) were modest gainers. The same general tendency can be observed for expenditure categories. While personal emoluments exceeded budget estimates in all three groups, there was a clear shift in resources away from economic and social service ministries to general service ministries in RDC, grants, and domestically financed capital expenditures. The group of general service ministries overspent their RDC estimates massively. These are major changes in expenditure priorities that significantly affect the country’s long-term development, economically and socially. As development issues, by their very nature, are always long-term and rarely of immediate urgency, they mostly lose-out in the daily battle for funds once budget priorities are no longer respected as is this case. It is indeed difficult to argue convincingly that rehabilitation of a certain rural access road can not possibly be postponed for another month so that the funds can be used to cover the costs of an important diplomatic delegation abroad. In the kind of ad hoc based budget implementation system, there is a definite danger that the rural road in question will never be rehabilitated because of urgent needs not included in the original budget estimates. Immediate funding needs satisfied; the country’s long-term development jeopardized. A well known procedure used by some powerful line ministries consists in budgeting for lower priority expenditures in the original budget but later in the year requesting supplementary estimates for high-priority spending that the cash release committee would find difficult to turn down. Thus, regularly allocated cash is used for lower-priority purposes, while high-priority expenditures are financed through ad hoc special requests. Inevitably, this leads to a lower cash release on some other budget head. From the point of view of economic and social development, it would be of little concern, if the shifting of resources were limited to reallocations within each group. In this case an urgent funding request by a general public service ministry such as the Ministry of Home Affairs would be accommodated by cutting the cash release of another general service ministry such as the Ministry of Legal Affairs. Or the cash release to the Ministry of Tourism 10 would be increased at the expense of the Ministry of Commerce and Industry. The serious issue is the observed systematic discrimination of economically and socially important ministries in favor of general public services and therefore the need for a realignment of expenditure priorities. The twin problems of over-commitment of expenditure and the creation of payment arrears are found during periods of budget austerity. Over-commitment may be an understandable response for spending agencies deprived of funds. But they may also be an additional means of changing budget priorities. Where the cash budget has replaced the enacted budget, it is difficult to identify budget priorities. In addition, in cases where money is spent in violation of the cash budget release but in compliance with the original budget estimate, the rights and wrongs of the situation are unclear.. The main culprit could be the cash budget system for creating such serious disruptions rather than the government officials trying to maintain services to the public. 11 Case study assignment The aim of the case study assignment will be for each group to prepare a plan of urgent actions to reform the cash budget. 1. The first part will involve a plenary session to discuss how the cash budget system has performed and what at the key causes of this performance . The discussion will cover questions such as : What were the key features of cash budget system and what has been the effect of the cash budget system, initially and subsequently, in terms of : Macroeconomic/aggregate fiscal discipline Resource allocation Efficiency in service delivery Accountability, transparency and control The effectiveness of the annual budget as a resource management tool What was the impact of the cash budget on the relative roles and accountabilities of key players (such as Parliament, Cabinet, MoF, Controlling Officers, Accountant General, Auditor General ) in the budget process? Why do you think expenditures were less predictable than revenues? What were the key causes of the problems that arose? Was it the inevitable result of limiting releases to revenues or could it have been done differently? 2. The second part will involve breaking out into working groups to develop a proposal for the Government of urgent, priority actions to address the key problems with the cash budget and to provide the basis for long term development of the budget management system. 12