Public Health Wales 6:12 Localities and statistical geographies Author: Ciaran Humphreys, Consultant in Public Health/Health Intelligence Date: 5 March 2010 Version: 1 Publication/ Distribution: Directors of Planning and Service Development, Public Health Wales Chief Executive, Public Health Wales Director of Corporate Health Information Programme Purpose and Summary of Document: Localities have been proposed as the building block for primary and community services across Wales. The existing statistical geography (USOA) in Wales covers a population size similar to that required for locality purposes. Development of separate geographies which do not take account of existing statistical geographies could have serious implications for the development of population based information to support service development. Public Health Wales Observatory 1 Localities and statistical geographies Purpose of this document This document is intended to highlight statistical geographies when developing services. In particular it draws attention for primary and community services in areas. 2 the need to consider existing geographical units for planning to the development of localities relation to upper super output Localities for primary and community services The Primary and Community Services Strategic Delivery Programme has outlined the co-ordination of services on the basis of localities. Their requirements include: o indicative populations of 30,000-50,000 and o boundaries agreed between health and social care sectors, and be meaningful in terms of geography, natural communities and functions such as patient flows. 3 Statistical geographies below Local Authority level Health information below local authority level is usually presented at one of the super output level geographies. These are based on census output areas, and are intended to reflect populations of similar size. Lower super output areas (mean population of 1,500) and middle super output areas (population typically 7,500) are official UK geographies now in common use in Wales. Upper super output areas (USOAs) were developed for use in Wales in 2008 (figure 1). There are 94 Upper Super Output Areas in Wales. They have a mean population of approximately 31,000, with a range from 24,000 to 48,000. They were developed by local authorities and they enable the release of data that is not suitable for publication at lower levels of geography (particularly useful for health data). Information is currently made available at Upper Super Output Area by the Public Health Wales Observatory, the Welsh Local Government Data Unit and Health Maps Wales (provided by Health Solutions Wales). Electoral divisions (wards) can be used to display information; however, they have a number of deficiencies. In particular, the boundaries are reassessed on a regular basis making analyses over time more difficult. Further, their population size varies greatly from less than a thousand to Date: 5 March 2010 Version: 1 Page: 2 of 6 Public Health Wales Observatory Localities and statistical geographies over 15,000 persons; and the number of health events in any one electoral division may be too few to be meaningful. Date: 5 March 2010 Version: 1 Page: 3 of 6 Public Health Wales Observatory Localities and statistical geographies Figure 1. Upper super output areas of Wales Source: 2001 Census, Output Area Boundaries. Crown copyright 2003. Crown copyright material is reproduced with the permission of the Controller of HMSO Date: 5 March 2010 Version: 1 Page: 4 of 6 Public Health Wales Observatory 4 Localities and statistical geographies Local data to support localities Population based information is required to inform population based planning at locality level. Currently the closest geography in use for health data to ‘locality’ area in terms of population size is the USOA. If new areas are developed that are similar to, but different from USOAs this will have implications for producing information at the locality level. Key implications are: o Many central agencies make data available at output based geographies (including USOA). These will not be usable for locality purpose if they bear no relation to these localities. o Inefficient use of information resources is likely, duplicating information provision at different, but similar, geographies. o Potentially it will be impossible to publish some information at both levels. This is due to contractual arrangements and information governance requirements which preclude the release of certain ‘small number data’ at a local level. If data is published at two similar but different geographies, small numbers can potentially be deduced leading to ‘disclosure by subtraction’. o If boundaries are made that do not align to amalgamations of official geographies (i.e. either output area based or electoral division based) then it may not be possible to provide information for these areas. It should be noted that if localities are considered to describe the populations attending specific clusters or networks of GP practices, then some information on their registered population could be accessed through registration data. This would not ‘map’ directly to physical geographies due to the variable catchment of practices. A number of areas have progressed some way to defining ‘locality’ areas. In many cases this work has been ongoing for some time. Example 1. Within Gwynedd three localities Meirionnydd. There are four USOAs. are in use: Arfon, Dwyfor and o Meirionnydd is identical to one USOA, except that it appears to include Penrhyndeudraeth Electoral Division. o Dwyfor is identical to another USOAs except that it appears to include Clynnog Electoral Division. Date: 5 March 2010 Version: 1 Page: 5 of 6 Public Health Wales Observatory Localities and statistical geographies o Arfon is very similar to, but not quite the same as the amalgamation of the remaining two USOAs. Example 2. There are six localities proposed for Cardiff. These are based largely on electoral divisions. Cathays Electoral Division, however, is divided between two of the localities. The division does not appear to follow the lines of any existing official geography boundary, but does relate to the divisions defined by the police between residential and central business district areas. This could frustrate straightforward and consistent production of population based information for these localities. 5 Conclusions Locality based planning for primary and community services must occur along lines that are meaningful and sensible to local service providers. Over time it is likely that there will be a requirement for population based information at locality level. This would be most easily achieved if localities were matched directly with USOAs, or at least an amalgamation of the largest super output based areas suitable for the purpose. If geographies (localities) are defined that do not take account of existing statistical geographies then the provision of population based information for localities could be seriously hampered. Date: 5 March 2010 Version: 1 Page: 6 of 6