Arthritis as an important determinant for psoriatic patients to develop severe vascular events in Taiwan: A nation-wide study Yi-Ying Chin1,2, Hsin-Su Yu1, Wan-Chen Li1, Ying-Chin Ko3, Gwo-Shing Chen1, Ching-Shuang Wu4, Yi-Wei Lu1, Yi-Hsin Yang5, Cheng-Che E. Lan1,2 1. Department of Dermatology, Kaohsiung Medical University Hospital, and Department of Dermatology, College of Medicine, Kaohsiung Medical University, Kaohsiung, Taiwan 2. Department of Dermatology, Kaohsiung Municipal Ta-Tung Hospital, Kaoshiung Medical University, Kaohsiung, Taiwan 3. Department of Public Health and Environmental Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, College of Medicine, Kaohsiung Medical University, Taiwan 4. Department of Medical Laboratory Science and Biotechnology, Kaohsiung Medical University, Kaohsiung, Taiwan 5. School of Pharmacy, College of Pharmacy, Kaohsiung Medical University Conflict of interest: None Key words: Psoriasis, arthritis, vascular events, methotrexate Running Head: psoriasis with or without joint involvement Word count: 3026 Tables: 5 Figure: 1 Corresponding authors: Cheng-Che Lan or Yi-Hsin Yang, 100 Shih-Chuan 1st Rd, Kaohsiung, Taiwan. E-mail: laneric@gmail.com, yihsya@kmu.edu.tw 1 Abstract Background: Psoriasis is an important systemic inflammatory disease that often leads to severe vascular diseases. This study was launched to determine if joint involvement affects incidence of vascular comorbidities in psoriatic patients. In addition, potential vasculo-protective effects of methotrexate in psoriatic patients were also evaluated. Method: A population-based retrospective cohort study was conducted using the Taiwanese National Health Insurance database spanning from 1996 to 2006. Accordingly, 7648 and 284 psoriatic patients without or with arthritis, respectively, were identified. To ensure the temporal relationship between different events, those with date of first diagnosis psoriasis during the year of 1996 were excluded from subsequent analyses. In addition, those with diagnosis of cerebrovascular or cardiovascular diseases prior to onset of psoriasis were also excluded from relevant subsequent analyses. Result: Taking psoriatic patients without arthritis as the referent group, the hazard ratio for incident cerebrovascular disease was 1.82 (95% CI=1.17-2.82) for psoriatic patient with arthritis. In addition, psoriatic patients without arthritis who had methotrexate treatment showed reduced risks for incident cerebrovascular disease as compared to those with no arthritis and had received no methotrexate/retinoid 2 treatment. Similar analyses were performed on cardiovascular diseases, and equivalent results were obtained. Conclusion: Our study indicated that arthritis is a potential determinant for psoriatic patients in terms of incident vascular comorbidities. In addition, methotrexate treatment may be associated with reduced risks for development of severe vascular diseases in psoriatic patients without arthritis. Further studies should focus on the clinical complications associated with psoriatic patients with or without arthritis. Key words: Psoriasis, Psoriatic arthritis, cerebrovascular disease, cardiovascular disease, methotrexate 3 Psoriasis is a chronic inflammatory disease characterized by keratinocyte abnormalities and immune dysfunctions. The prevalence of this disease among different ethnic groups ranged between 0.5~3% with lower rates for Asians.1 studies on psoriasis focused on skin and joint complaints. Classic In 1995, Henseler et al reported the association between psoriasis, metabolic syndrome, and cardiovascular complications.2 Subsequently, similar findings were reproduced in different studies performed from different regions of the world.3-5 Cerebrovascular and cardiovascular diseases are severe vascular events associated with patients with psoriasis and have large negative impacts on life quality and expectancy. The concept of “Psoriatic March” was proposed explaining how severe psoriasis may drive the development of cardiovascular comorbidity.6 According to this concept, psoriasis is a disease with systemic inflammation that may cause insulin resistance, trigger endothelial cell dysfunction, leading to atherosclerosis and finally resulting in stroke or myocardial infarction.6 Psoriatic arthritis, a classic component of psoriasis, has an estimated frequency in psoriatic patients varying from 1% to 25%, again with a lower prevalence among Asians.7-9 Like psoriasis, patients with psoriatic arthritis per se were reported to have higher prevalence rates of metabolic syndromes and cardiovascular 4 comorbidities as compared to general population.10,11 In patients with psoriasis, the presence of joint involvement may indicate a different disease course. In fact, our previous study has shown that peripheral monocytes from psoriatic patients with arthritis showed higher levels of heavy-chain expression on the cell surface as compared to those without.12 This result suggested that different mechanisms may be involved in the pathogenesis among psoriatic patients with or without arthritis. From genetic association studies, it was shown that sibling recurrence risk is estimated to be much higher for psoriatic patients with joint involvement as compared to those without.13-16 More recently, IL-13 was suggested to be a risk locus for psoriatic patients with joint involvement but not those without.17,18 Several studies had shown that psoriatic patients with joint involvements are more likely to have more severe disease course. Psoriatic patients with arthritis were reported to have higher psoriasis activity and severity index (PASI) scores19 and lower quality of life20 than those without. Serum levels of highly sensitive CRP were also reported to be higher in psoriatic patient with joint involvement.21 These results suggested that for psoriatic patients, presence of arthritis may indicate a condition with more severe disease activity and higher inflammatory status. In support with this notion, Husted et al. has recently showed that psoriatic patients with joint involvement are more likely to have cardiovascular complications than those without.22 5 Another intriguing issue to evaluate is if treatment strategies should differ for psoriatic patients with or without arthritis. Previously, it has been proposed that effective methotrexate treatment may be associated with reduced incidence of severe vascular events in patients with psoriasis.5,23 How concomitant presence of arthritis modifies the protective effects of methotrexate for psoriatic patients is an intriguing clinical question that may provide important therapeutic insights for psoriatic patients. Using the National Health Insurance (NHI) database in Taiwan, we aimed to evaluate the risks of severe vascular complications and how methotrexate and retinoid, the two most commonly prescribed systemic treatment for psoriasis in Taiwan, modify these risks in psoriatic patients with or without arthritis. 6 Material and method The National Health Insurance (NHI) Program in Taiwan was launched in1995. This program covers all inpatient and outpatient medical services including primary and secondary caring episodes as well as the cost of prescription drugs with various co-payment rates from the patients. In 2010, the coverage rate of NHI program is 99.5% of Taiwan’s 22.96 million population. A population-based retrospective cohort study was conducted based on the Longitudinal Health Insurance Database 2005 (LHID2005, years 1996-2006), which contains all the original inpatient and outpatient physician claims and prescription drug claims as well as demographic information of 1,000,000 beneficiaries, randomly sampled from the year 2005 Registry for Beneficiaries (ID) of the NHI research database. The LHID 2005 and the original NHI database are not significantly different in the gender, age distribution or average insured payroll-related amount between the patients. Confidentiality assurances were addressed by abiding the data regulations of the Bureau of NHI. The ICD9 (International Classification of Diseases, revision 9) codes were used to identify medical conditions from the database of inpatient and outpatient physician claims during 1996-2006 as previously described.5 Patients with years of birth between 1930 to 1990 were included for analysis. To ensure no prior history of psoriasis for at least one year, those with date of first diagnosis during the year of 7 1996 were excluded (ICD9 codes 696.1, 696.8). diagnosis were considered as the index date. The dates of first psoriasis The psoriatic patients who had also received a diagnostic code of arthritis (ICD9 codes 696.0) were defined as psoriatic patients with joint involvement. The primary endpoint of event was the occurrence of severe vascular disease (cerebrovascular diseases: ICD9 codes 430.0-438.9; cardiovascular diseases: ICD9 codes 410-414.05, 414.10, 414.11, 414.19, 414.8-414.9, 429.79) documented by the physician claims. Those with diagnostic codes of severe vascular disease prior to index dates (onset of psoriasis) were excluded from the study to ensure the temporal relationship between index date and development of vascular events. The duration of follow-up for patients with severe vascular event was the time between index date and the date of first severe vascular disease diagnosis in either inpatient or outpatient records, and for the censored time of patients without severe vascular event was from the index dates to the end of year 2006 or the date of withdrawing from NHI program. Prescriptions of methotrexate, retinoid, and phototherapy were identified from the database of Details of Ambulatory Care Orders, and the indicator variables of users versus non-users were constructed in the statistical analysis. Systemic methotrexate and retinoid were chosen because they are the most commonly prescribed systemic treatment for psoriasis in Taiwan. To avoid possible confounder resulting from 8 alternating between methotrexate and retinoid, we excluded psoriatic patients who had received both methotrexate and retinoid regimen. Additional covariates also included physician claims of hypertension (ICD9 codes 410.00-405.9), diabetes (ICD9 codes 250.00-250.9) and dyslipidemia disease (ICD9 codes 272.0-272.4) as well as age and gender. It should be noted that the reliability and validity of ICD9 diagnoses and medication history in this dataset have been validated previously.24 To investigate the risk of developing severe vascular disease for psoriatic patients, the Cox proportional hazards models were adopted to analyze the time to severe vascular disease diagnosis while excluding any persons with severe vascular disease diagnosis in the year before index dates. Descriptive data are presented as frequencies or percentages. Pearson chi-square tests were performed between the psoriatic patients with or without arthritis. A p-value <0.05 was considered statistically significant. Figure 1 demonstrates a flow chart used for categorizing participants and analyzing different scenarios in this study. Accordingly, 7622 and 7455 psoriatic patients fulfilled the criteria for analyses focusing on cerebrovascular and cardiovascular diseases, respectively. 9 Results Demographic and clinical characteristics of psoriatic patients with or without arthritis. As demonstrated in Table 1, 7932 patients with psoriasis were included in this study. Among the study population, 7648 and 284 patients were without or with joint involvement, respectively. The male gender is more susceptible to develop psoriasis as compared to the female counterpart, regardless of the joint involvement. The age of patients with arthritis was slightly older than those without. The prevalence of metabolic disorders (including hypertension, DM, and dyslipidemia) were significantly higher in the psoriatic patient with joint involvement group as compared to those without. In addition, psoriatic patients with joint involvement were more likely to receive methotrexate and retinoid systemic therapy as compared to patients with no arthritis. The mean follow-up days of psoriatic patients without and with arthritis were 3428.49 ± 11.20 and 3235.15 ± 60.36 days, respectively, in the cerebrovascular analyses. In parallel, the mean follow-up days of psoriatic patients without and with arthritis were 3274.93 ± 14.48 and 3085.14 ± 70.49 days, in the cardiovascular analyses. No differences in terms of follow-up days were noted between psoriatic patients without or with arthritis. The prevalence of severe vascular events was higher in psoriatic patients with arthritis (23.9%) as compared to those without (21.6%), but no statistic significance was found. 10 Taking the temporal relationship into consideration, psoriatic patients without joint involvement were less likely to have incident cerebrovascular events as compared to those with arthritis. To compare the incidences of cerebrovascular events between psoriatic patients with or without arthritis, further analyses were performed. Accordingly, patients with diagnosis of cerebrovascular disease prior to index date were excluded from analyses to ensure temporal relationship between onset of psoriasis and development of cerebrovascular events as described in the method section. Since we had previously shown that age, sex, hypertension, DM, hyperlipidemia, and phototherapy all contribute to the development of cerebrovascular disease,5 these covariates were included in our models for adjustment. As demonstrated in table 2, univariate analyses for evaluating the risks of psoriatic patients to develop cerebrovascular disease by arthritis and medication status showed that presence of arthritis was associated with higher risks to develop cerebrovascular disease while use of methotrexate/retinoid were associated with reduced risks. However, no statistic significance was associated with these trends. After adjusting for relevant confounders for cerebrovascular disease in the multivariate analyses, we found the hazard ratio of newly developed cerebrovascular disease to be 1.82 (95% CI=1.17-2.82; p=0.007) for psoriatic patients with arthritis as compared to those without. In addition, methotrexate prescription was associated with reduced risk for 11 developing cerebrovascular disease while retinoid prescription showed no significant effect. Methotrexate treatment is associated with reduced occurrences of cerebrovascular events in psoriatic patients without arthritis. Due to potential clinical implications, we further classified psoriatic patients according to presence of arthritis even though the interaction between joint involvement and medication used was not significant statistically (p=0.682). Accordingly, methotrexate prescription was associated with reduced incidence of cerebrovascular events for psoriatic patients without arthritis while no significant protective effect was found for patients with retinoid only prescription. No protective effect was found for psoriatic patients with arthritis, regardless of the therapeutic prescriptions received (Table 3). Psoriatic patients without arthritis were less likely to have incident cardiovascular events as compared to those with arthritis. Cardiovascular event is another severe vascular complication frequently associated with patients with psoriasis. Since we have evaluated the effect of joint involvement on psoriatic patients in terms of incident cerebrovascular disease, we next examine the relationship between psoriasis and incident cardiovascular events following similar analytic strategy. Accordingly, psoriatic patients with arthritis are 1.46 folds (95%CI 12 1.01-2.09; p=0.042) more likely to have incident cardiovascular disease as compared to those without after adjusting for relevant confounders in the multivariate analyses. In addition, both methotrexate and retinoid prescription were associated with reduced risk for developing cerebrovascular disease. (Table 4) Methotrexate and retinoid treatment is associated with reduced occurrences of cardiovascular events in psoriatic patients without arthritis. When categorized patients according to joint involvement, both methotrexate and retinoid monotherapy reduced the risks of incident cardiovascular events in psoriatic patients without arthritis while no significant effect was found for patients with joint involvement (table 5). 13 Discussion In this nation-wide study focused on psoriasis, several important issues were revealed. First of all, we found arthritis as an important determinant for psoriatic patients to develop severe vascular events in Taiwan. Previous studies have shown that psoriatic patients, regardless of joint involvement, are more likely to have components of metabolic syndromes and severe vascular complications than general population.2-5 Furthermore, psoriatic arthritis per se is associated with subclinical atherosclerosis revealed by increased intima-media thickness, which is associated with increased risks for cardiovascular complications.25 The report from Husted et al. found higher prevalence of cardiovascular comorbidities in psoriatic patients with joint involvement.22 Taking a step further, the current study demonstrated that psoriatic patients with arthritis are more likely to develop severe vascular complications than those without after adjusting for potential confounders. Secondly, the current study also suggested that methotrexate treatment is associated with reduced risks for both incident cerebrovascular and cardiovascular diseases in psoriatic patients without arthritis. Previously, it has been proposed that methotrexate provides protective effects against incident severe vascular events through its anti-inflammatory and anti-thrombotic effects.5 In addition, it has been shown that effective systemic therapy may ameliorate cardiovascular risk profiles of 14 psoriatic patients.26,27 As mentioned previously, psoriatic patients with arthritis were associated with higher PASI scores and higher CRP levels as compared to those without.19,21 Therefore, methotrexate treatment may reduce the risks for developing severe vascular complications in certain subsets of psoriatic patients with less severe systemic inflammatory status. Our database, however, does not contain information on severity of disease to validate this hypothesis. Another intriguing phenomenon noted is that retinoid therapy is associated with reduced risks for development of cardiovascular diseases. This finding appeared paradoxical since while protective effects for cardiovascular disease were found for systemic retinoid therapy, similar risk reduction was not found for cerebrovascular disease. One possible explanation is that minor atherosclerosis of coronary arteries may be asymptomatic to patients and not recorded by physicians. On the other hand, minor atherosclerosis in small cerebral vessels can often elicit symptoms suggestive of cerebrovascular event, a condition that would likely urge patients to request for medical workup and documentation. Therefore, the intrinsic differences in disease recognition sensitivity may have contributed to this discrepancy. these intriguing possibilities. Further studies are warranted to clarify It should also be noted that in this study, patients who had received systemic methotrexate or retinoid treatment were not associated with higher risks for developing severe vascular diseases. As proposed in our previous 15 study,5 it is possible that certain “physician selection bias” may be present in Taiwan among physicians treating psoriasis that results in prescription of systemic methotrexate/retinioid to patients in good health condition. Phototherapy, on the other hand, is associated with increased risks for incident cerebrovascular events in Taiwan.5 It should be noted that although the analysis regarding the implications of treatment effect on different subgroups of psoriatic patient are intriguing, these results are preliminary given the low rates of events observed. Additional studies with larger cohort should be performed to validate these findings. Several important points should be noted regarding the design of this study. First of all, using the NHI data source from 1996~2006, we were able to exclude subjects with the diagnoses of cerebrovascular and cardiovascular disease before the index date. In addition, to ensure no prior history of psoriasis for at least one year, we also excluded those with date of first diagnosis during the year of 1996. It is noted that diagnosis of psoriasis prior to 1996 cannot be identified in this database. However, as psoriasis is a chronic, relapsing disorder, we expect majority of psoriatic patients with onset of disease prior to 1996 to seek medical attention sometime during 1996, and therefore, will be accounted for and excluded from our analyses. This approach enabled us to establish the temporal relationship between development of psoriasis and severe cardiovascular events. It is also noted that instant cardiovascular or 16 cerebrovascular death may be undocumented by the LHID dataset if the deceased are not sent to hospital or seen by physician at home. However, since medical facilities in Taiwan are easily accessible and the NHI covers more than 99.5% of the Taiwanese population, the impact of unrecorded fatal events in this study is probably minimal. Several other limitations included in this study should be mentioned. Certain background confounding factors such as smoking habits, alcohol consumption, body mass index or circulating levels of inflammatory markers were not available to be included for analyses in this study. In addition, since this study used ICD-9 codes to determine the presence of medical condition, it is difficult to validate whether the coding was both accurate and comprehensive. However, since this study included a rather large cohort of psoriatic patients, it is unlikely that significant differences in coding accuracy exist between groups with or without arthritis. It is worthy to note that the estimated prevalence of joint involvement in our cohort is around 3.6%, which is lower than the worldwide prevalence around 5~25%. It is possible that only psoriatic patients with more severe arthritis are properly coded in the study and that may have affected our results. Therefore, how severity of arthritis may modify the risk of psoriatic patients to develop vascular comorbidities is an intriguing issue for further investigation. Another explanation for the low prevalence of joint involvement in this study may result from our inclusion criteria. 17 More specifically, we first selected patients with diagnostic codes for psoriasis, then screened for additional code for psoriatic arthritis to ensure all patients enrolled have psoriatic skin lesions. It is likely that some patients only have psoriatic arthritis. As mentioned previously, psoriatic patients with or without joint involvement may have different clinical course and harbor distinct genetic background. Patients with psoriatic arthritis without concomitant skin lesions likely represent a distinct scenario. This study focused on psoriatic patients with skin lesion. Further studies focusing on patients with psoriatic arthritis sine psoriasis is warranted. It is important to note that the prevalence of psoriasis has been shown to vary among different ethnic groups. In an epidemiology study from China consisting of 670,000 persons, the prevalence of psoriasis was approximately 0.3%.28 0.1%.29 In Japan, the prevalence of psoriasis was about Among the Japanese psoriatic patients, only about 1-3% develop psoriatic arthritis.9,29 Therefore, although no formal validation was done for diagnostic codes for psoriasis and psoriatic arthritis in this study, the relatively low prevalence profiles observed in this study consisting of Taiwanese population appeared reasonable. However, the relatively small numbers of psoriatic patients with arthritis may also have an impact on our statistical analyses. Further studies consisting of different ethnic groups with higher prevalence of psoriatic arthritis should be performed. In summary, our results indicated that arthritis is an important determinant for 18 psoriatic patients to develop severe vascular events in Taiwan. In addition, methotrexate treatment may be associated with reduced risks for developing severe vascular diseases in psoriatic patients, especially those without joint involvement. Further prospective study consisting of larger patient population should be conducted to validate the vasculo-protective effect of this treatment strategy and clarify the impact joint involvement on development of vascular comorbidities for psoriatic patients. 19 Conflict of Interest: None Acknowledgement This study was supported by research grants from Center of Excellence for Environmental Medicine, Kaohsiung Medical University and Kaohsiung Medical University Research Foundation (KMUER-R03). This study is based in part on data from the National Health Insurance Research Database provided by the Bureau of National Health Insurance, Department of Health and managed by National Health Institutes. The interpretation and conclusion contained herein do not represent those of Bureau of National Health Insurance, Department of Health or National Health Research Institutes. 20 Reference 1 Raychaudhuri SP, Farber EM. The prevalence of psoriasis in the world. J Eur Acad Dermatol Venereol 2001; 15; 16-17. 2 Henseler T, Christophers E. Disease concomitance in psoriasis. J Am Acad Dermatol 1995; 32; 982-986. 3 Neimann AL, Shin DB, Wang X, et al. Prevalence of cardiovascular risk factors in patients with psoriasis. J Am Acad Dermatol 2006; 55; 829-835. 4 Chang YT, Chen TJ, Liu PC, et al. Epidemiological study of psoriasis in the national health insurance database in Taiwan. Acta Derm Venereol 2009; 89; 262-266. 5 Lan CC, Ko YC, Yu HS, et al. Methotrexate Reduces the Occurrences of Cerebrovascular Events among Taiwanese Psoriatic Patients: A Nationwide Population-Based Study. Acta Derm Venereol 2012. 6 Boehncke WH, Boehncke S, Tobin AM, et al. The 'psoriatic march': a concept of how severe psoriasis may drive cardiovascular comorbidity. Exp Dermatol 2011; 20; 303-307. 7 Prey S, Paul C, Bronsard V, et al. Assessment of risk of psoriatic arthritis in patients with plaque psoriasis: a systematic review of the literature. J Eur Acad Dermatol Venereol 2010; 24 Suppl 2; 31-35. 21 8 Yang Q, Qu L, Tian H, et al. Prevalence and characteristics of psoriatic arthritis in Chinese patients with psoriasis. J Eur Acad Dermatol Venereol 2011; 25; 1409-1414. 9 Kawada A, Tezuka T, Nakamizo Y, et al. A survey of psoriasis patients in Japan from 1982 to 2001. J Dermatol Sci 2003; 31; 59-64. 10 Ramonda R, Lo Nigro A, Modesti V, et al. Atherosclerosis in psoriatic arthritis. Autoimmun Rev 2011; 10; 773-778. 11 Mok CC, Ko GT, Ho LY, et al. Prevalence of atherosclerotic risk factors and the metabolic syndrome in patients with chronic inflammatory arthritis. Arthritis Care Res 2011; 63; 195-202. 12 Lan CC, Tsai WC, Wu CS, et al. Psoriatic patients with arthropathy show significant expression of free HLA class I heavy chains on circulating monocytes: a potential role in the pathogenesis of psoriatic arthropathy. Br J Dermatol 2004; 151; 24-31. 13 Chandran V, Schentag CT, Brockbank JE, et al. Familial aggregation of psoriatic arthritis. Ann Rheum Dis 2009; 68; 664-667. 14 Myers A, Kay LJ, Lynch SA, et al. Recurrence risk for psoriasis and psoriatic arthritis within sibships. Rheumatology (Oxford) 2005; 44; 773-776. 15 Elder JT, Nair RP, Guo SW, et al. The genetics of psoriasis. Arch Dermatol 22 1994; 130; 216-224. 16 Bhalerao J, Bowcock AM. The genetics of psoriasis: a complex disorder of the skin and immune system. Hum Mol Genet 1998; 7; 1537-1545. 17 Bowes J, Eyre S, Flynn E, et al. Evidence to support IL-13 as a risk locus for psoriatic arthritis but not psoriasis vulgaris. Ann Rheum Dis 2011; 70; 1016-1019. 18 Duffin KC, Freeny IC, Schrodi SJ, et al. Association between IL13 polymorphisms and psoriatic arthritis is modified by smoking. J Invest Dermatol 2009; 129; 2777-2783. 19 Busquets-Perez N, Rodriguez-Moreno J, Gomez-Vaquero C, et al. Relationship between psoriatic arthritis and moderate-severe psoriasis: analysis of a series of 166 psoriatic arthritis patients selected from a hospital population. Clin Rheumatol 2011; 31; 139-143. 20 Reich K, Kruger K, Mossner R, et al. Epidemiology and clinical pattern of psoriatic arthritis in Germany: a prospective interdisciplinary epidemiological study of 1511 patients with plaque-type psoriasis. Br J Dermatol 2009; 160; 1040-1047. 21 Chandran V, Cook RJ, Edwin J, et al. Soluble biomarkers differentiate patients with psoriatic arthritis from those with psoriasis without arthritis. 23 Rheumatology (Oxford) 2010; 49; 1399-1405. 22 Husted JA, Thavaneswaran A, Chandran V, et al. Cardiovascular and other comorbidities in patients with psoriatic arthritis: A comparison with patients with psoriasis. Arthritis Care Res (Hoboken) 2011; 63; 1729-1735. 23 Prodanovich S, Ma F, Taylor JR, et al. Methotrexate reduces incidence of vascular diseases in veterans with psoriasis or rheumatoid arthritis. J Am Acad Dermatol 2005; 52; 262-267. 24 Cheng CL, Kao YH, Lin SJ, et al. Validation of the National Health Insurance Research Database with ischemic stroke cases in Taiwan. Pharmacoepidemiol Drug Saf 2011; 20; 236-242. 25 Tam LS, Shang Q, Li EK, et al. Subclinical carotid atherosclerosis in patients with psoriatic arthritis. Arthritis Rheum 2008; 59; 1322-1331. 26 Boehncke S, Fichtlscherer S, Salgo R, et al. Systemic therapy of plaque-type psoriasis ameliorates endothelial cell function: results of a prospective longitudinal pilot trial. Arch Dermatol Res 2011; 303; 381-388. 27 Boehncke S, Salgo R, Garbaraviciene J, et al. Effective continuous systemic therapy of severe plaque-type psoriasis is accompanied by amelioration of biomarkers of cardiovascular risk: results of a prospective longitudinal observational study. J Eur Acad Dermatol Venereol 2011; 25; 1187-1193. 24 28 Yip SY. The prevalence of psoriasis in the Mongoloid race. J Am Acad Dermatol 1984; 10; 965-968. 29 Takahashi H, Nakamura K, Kaneko F, et al. Analysis of psoriasis patients registered with the Japanese Society for Psoriasis Research from 2002-2008. J Dermatol 2011; 38; 1125-1129. 25 Table1. Demographic information of psoriatic patients included in this study Psoriatic patients Without arthritis N total sex age % 7648 with arthritis n % 284 female 3494 45.7% 112 39.4% male 4154 54.3% 172 60.6% 11-20 447 5.8% 5 1.8% 21-30 1024 13.4% 22 7.7% 31-40 1423 18.6% 54 19.0% 41-50 1374 18.0% 63 22.2% 51-60 1520 19.9% 77 27.1% 61-70 918 12.0% 28 9.9% 71-80 942 12.3% 35 12.3% Mean±SD P value 47.40 ± 17.38 49.95 ± 15.22 0.038 <0.001 0.006 Hypertension 2128 27.8% 105 37.0% 0.001 Diabetes mellitus 1408 18.4% 73 25.7% 0.002 Dyslipidemia 1855 24.3% 93 32.7% 0.001 Severe vascular disease 1651 21.6% 68 23.9% 0.344 Methotrexate prescription 245 3.3% 145 51.0% <0.001 Retinoid prescription 251 3.3% 84 29.6% <0.001 26 Table 2. Risk of psoriatic patients developing cerebrovascular disease by arthritis and medication use (I). univariate Cox regression 95% CI N of Total N *multivariate Cox regression HR Events 95% CI P value HR Lower Upper P value Lower Upper Arthritis no 7397 383 1.00 1.00 yes 225 23 1.50 7189 383 1.00 MTX only 240 10 0.61 0.32 1.13 0.117 Retinoid only 193 13 0.96 0.55 1.68 0.897 0.98 2.29 0.059 1.82 1.17 2.82 0.007 0.45 0.23 0.85 0.015 0.73 0.41 1.30 0.284 Medication used no MTX and no 1.00 Retinoid N: Number HR: Hazard ratio CI: Confidence Interval MTX: methotrexate *Adjusted for age, sex, hypertension, diabetes, dyslipidemia, and phototherapy 27 Table 3 Risk of psoriatic patients developing cerebrovascular disease by arthritis and medication status (II). Psoriatic patients without arthritis Psoriatic patients with arthritis 95% CI 95% CI N of N N of HR P value N Event HR Low Upper P value Events Lower Upper er Medication used no MTX and no Retinoid 7069 368 1.00 MTX only 160 6 0.42 0.19 0.95 Retinoid only 168 9 0.67 0.35 1.31 120 15 1.00 0.038 80 4 0.62 0.20 1.95 0.416 0.245 25 4 0.83 0.26 2.67 0.760 Interaction between arthritis and medication used, P value=0.682 N: Number HR: Hazard ratio CI: Confidence Interval MTX: methotrexate Adjusted for age, sex, hypertension, diabetes, dyslipidemia 28 Table 4 Risk of psoriatic patients developing cardiovascular disease by arthritis and medication status (I). univariate Cox regression 95% CI N of Total N *multivariate Cox regression HR Events 95% CI P value HR Lower Upper P value Lower Upper Arthritis no 7230 655 1.00 1.00 yes 225 33 1.25 7038 655 1.00 MTX only 226 16 0.59 0.36 0.98 0.040 Retinoid only 191 17 0.72 0.44 1.16 0.180 0.88 1.78 0.208 1.46 1.01 2.09 0.042 0.48 0.29 0.81 0.005 0.52 0.31 0.85 0.009 Medication used no MTX and no 1.00 Retinoid N: Number HR: Hazard ratio CI: Confidence Interval MTX: methotrexate *Adjusted for age, sex, hypertension, diabetes, dyslipidemia, and phototherapy 29 Table 5. Risk of psoriatic patients developing cerebrovascular disease by arthritis and medication use (II). Psoriatic patients without arthritis Psoriatic patients with arthritis 95% CI 95% CI N of N N of HR P value N Events HR Low Upper P value Events Lower Upper er Medication used no MTX and no Retinoid 6913 634 1.00 MTX only 152 9 0.39 0.20 0.76 Retinoid only 165 12 0.47 0.26 0.83 125 21 1.00 0.005 74 7 0.79 0.33 1.89 0.590 0.009 26 5 0.64 0.23 1.82 0.407 Interaction between arthritis and medication used, P value=0.246 N: Number HR: Hazard ratio CI: Confidence Interval MTX: methotrexate Adjusted for age, sex, hypertension, diabetes, dyslipidemia 30 Figure1: Study Design Patient selection Longitudinal Health Insurance Database 2005 (LHID2005, years 1996-2006) Psoriatic patients, n=7932 (without arthritis, n=7648; with arthritis, n=284) cerebrovascular diseases Patient selection criteria: 1. psoriasis (ICD-9-CM codes 696.1, 696.8) 2. Inclusion: Patients with years of birth between 1930 to 1990. 3. Exclusion: the date of first psoriasis diagnosis during the year of 1996. The date of severe vascular disease (cerebrovascular/cardiovascular diseases) diagnosis before the psoriatic diagnosis and psoriatic patients who had received both MTX and retinoid were excluded from analysis. cardiovascular diseases Analysis: Cox proportional hazards model psoriatic patients without arthritis, n=7397 psoriatic patients with arthritis, n=225 psoriatic patients without arthritis, n=7230 psoriatic patients with arthritis, n=225 Covariates: Age, gender, hypertension, diabetes and dyslipidemia disease, phototherapy, medications (MTX/Retinoid) Follow up Index date: the date of first psoriasis diagnosis. The primary endpoint of event: severe vascular disease (cerebrovascular/cardiovascular diseases). Censoring: the end of year 2006 or the date of withdrawing from NHI program. 31