Exercise 2: Climate Stressor Mapping

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Exercise II: Climate Stressor Mapping

TA Westmecklenburg

Climate Parameter Impact Significance is the impact

(from 1/ not significant to 5 very significant)

No of cold days (< 0°C) 2

No of cold nights (<0°C)

Temperature fluctuations around 0°C

Heat waves

Total precipitation

Periods with heavy rains

Storms (summer/winter)

Cloudiness

Duration of the snow cover

Spring floods - peaks

2

2

1

4

3

3

1

1

4

1

How much/ how often/ how long/ where these climate stresses can occur?

Impact on less heating costs and infrastructure (less frost damage) /might get more important in 50 years

Impact on heating costs and infrastructure (less frost damage) /might get more important in 50 years

Might cause damage on infrastructure

Seasonal shifting of precipitation from summer to winter/ challenge in water management systems/ effects on groundwater

Impacts on canalization, damage to infrastructure and flooding

Biggest Impacts close to the

Baltic Sea and in monoculture forests decreases

River Elbe is effected/ precipitation far away from the TA

Existence of the ice cover on lakes

Warming of the water in lakes and rivers

Earlier timing of the spring events

Droughts

Flooding

Changes in allergic pollen

Pole ward sifting of animal/plant/pest species

Forest fires

3

3

2

4

No data

4

4

Effect on water quality and nature

Longer growing periods/ effect on biodiversity and migratory birds

Biggest impacts in the east of the TA and on agriculture

River Elbe is effected/ precipitation far away from the TA

Big impact on biodiversity

Impact on monocultures and coniferous forests

Vectors of infectious diseases

Changes in the crop productivity

Ground instability

(landslides)

2

3

1

Impacts on diseases transmitted by ticks

Might increase/ new crops

No big impact

Duration of the vegetation period

Costal erosion

Costal flooding

Loss of costal wetlands

Sea level rise

TRANSPORT

Challenges

Extreme weather (storms, rain, floods)

 damages to infrastructure

Rising temperatures

 effects on traffic/ more accidents

 might lead to rising number of tourists and traffic

AGRICULTURE

Challenges

Shifting of precipitation (summer droughts)

 effect on agricultural productivity

Extreme weather

 erosion

Rising temperatures

 new vermin

3

3

3

2

4

Impact on agriculture and biodiversity

Increases

Increases

Parts of the coast is effected

30-50 cm

Chances

No of cold days and nights

 less damage to infrastructure

Rising temperatures

 might create chances for tourism development

Chances

Rising temperatures

 rising plant productivity

 possibility of harvesting two times a year

 new crops (wine etc.)

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