Globalization and localization in the view of technological development The process, notion and factors of globalization A book was published in 1946, written by physicists and military officers who participated in the scientific research or organization concerning the creation of the atomic bomb. Even the title seems to be important from our aspect: “A world or not even one..”. It refers to the presumption that the world as a whole has got its future. As we can not talk about the same Earth if some regions are missing. Every study of the book reflects the perception that international relations have changed or should be changed since or together with the birth and use of the atomic bomb. Hostility is not only unpleasant or condemnable, but it is inadmissible, as well. Similar to this trend, the forms of relations also are being re-evaluated. For example, besides the dominance of the valuable liberty of researchers, the authors of the book propose the establishment of international organizations to control institutions of scientific life and technological development, furthermore, they think that supra-national alliance should guard military issues, as well. The authors of this book write about a crisis filling the world, whose exact meaning is revealed in an article at the end of the book. This is an article that analyses the nearest future of the world is attached to the book by the Association of the American Atomic Physicists. In the first part, this expectable crisis is explained, not as an economic crisis, but as a long, peculiar process in which all the important principles changed after the explosion of the atomic bomb. Our values change, as moving over our partial and regional values, we will take into consideration the aim of global survival, therefore, this will be the condition for regional life, as well. A moral and cultural crisis, rooted in the change of values will also occur. According to the authors, another feature of the nearest future of the world is that its problems will appear on global level. If any scientific development occurs or a new technological solution is developed, their results can not be confined within the boundary of a country (not even for a short time). Results and consequences will expand rapidly over the world, organizing the events into the lines of unification. The third feature foreseen for the world concerns the role of politics. In the authors’ opinion, the significance of politics as a special regulating system of society will definitely increase. This change will mean, on one side, the widening of the operating area of politics, i.e. regulating principles and methods of politics will operate in a more clear and general way, even in spheres of society where they had been in the shadow until now. On the other side, it will mean that politics will seem to be as determinant, not as regulator on sensitive areas. 50 years after the publication of the book, we can say that this forecast is unprecedented, because none of the other studies could predict the future of the world so precisely. These three features briefly described above are interconnected. The change of politics toward the creation of harmony of regionalization and globalization can be tolerated only in a global world. The co-operation, mutual or multi-lateral interconnection introduced by the first feature become a reality, instead of utopia or idealism only in a global world. This forecast is of wide scope and now, after 50 years we can say that its envisioned future is being realized. Many elements have occurred in certain aspects, for instance, the role of politics has increased, the crisis foreseen has widened and is endures longer than thought earlier, and the signs of globalization are evident and significant. In other 1 aspects, for example in the relationship between globalization and regionalization, the (little bit sharper) direction can be seen, just as foreseen by the atomic physicists 50 years ago. In the book “A world or not even one..” a totally new approach appears, namely the global point of view. People become more and more aware of the fact that the world has started its way on globalization. However, many things considered to be more important has covered this fact and globalization has not brought any novelties in everyday life, yet. In the middle of the 20th century people had to think deeply about the world as a whole. They realized that here, under the shadow of the atomic bomb those things are born that can influence everybody’s life, regardless of where he/she lives on the Earth, whether he/she has a car or not, or whether he/she hunts for food or gets it served in a restaurant. Many newer and newer technological and non-technological ideas have been developed for the improvement of mass production, the great result of the 20th century. New disciplines have been born, for instance organization of production, theory of management, work sociology, work psychology, automatization, robotics, ergonomics. Mass media requires many raw materials, much energy and a large market. This shows even in a calculable form that world advances on the way of globalization. We do not want to provide analyses concerning the inflow of raw materials, but it is evident that raw materials are exploited at one place of the world and products are made at quite a different place. Just this only fact refers that production can not tolerate or does not tolerate politically defined borders in our days, as the establishment of conditions of technology development and production seems to be more important. For this, new possibilities of energy production have been used – with the construction of nuclear plants in the USA, Europe and in other parts of the world. A new world has been created where everyone needs to face the same social, economic and political consequences of nuclear plants, regardless of the political, cultural, or development state of his/her country’s. This is a true example of globalization. Waking up from energy shortage, industry and agriculture, already based on new energy sources, started a rapid development in the 2nd half of the 20th century. This rate of industrial and agricultural development and expansion of markets quickly eliminates political borders i.e. it does not respect them at all. Let us take another example! Though car driving is more than 100 years old, it has become a worldwide phenomenon in the last 50 years. What does it mean from the aspect of globalization? After the phases of proper plan and research, cars produced in a great number (due to the economics of scale of production) have to be sold; and mainly not within the borders of the producer country. Logically, cars sold outside the country carry the infrastructure requirements necessary for their use. When cars arrive at countries through their international ways, their usage requires internationally unified conditions, as products work ideally only in conditions suitable to them. Therefore roads, gas, servicing network, etc. should be of a pre-defined quality. On these roads, not only cars flow into the target country, but people also arrive here who have produced them or who use them, and they bring their own needs and habits. Roads open the country into the world. They work as an information network where traveling people bring and/or take, or transmit information. We live the same way, buy the same products and create the same conditions for life in order to use our tools, just like others do in other countries worldwide. 2 Considering the history of cars or any other modern technological tools (computers, mobile phones, modern office equipment, household appliances, etc.), I think it is very important to analyze their spread in order to understand that through getting embedded into society, this specific tool induces changes that was not planned earlier. The logical process of globalization appears simply if we examine a history of any tool. The example of cars and the history of their culture shows that even their production links many countries, due to the following phenomena: planning groups are international, raw materials arrive from several countries, co-operation in production reaches an international level, trade (and its routes and methods) penetrates through the world, infrastructure ensuring suitable operation has to be the same all over the world, furthermore, none of the places of the world can get rid of problems caused by these phenomena (pollution, accidents, etc.). And we must survive and live together with the effects of not only one tool, but the with the accumulated effects of several tools! We must acknowledge that technological change globalizes the world in the sense that the same tools are used in all societies, regardless of their political and institutional form and they get involved with the operating system in the world through these tools. However, this situation opens the way to other cultures, creating the danger of uniformity. It is dangerous because uniformity joining to technology is violent, because it is “well aware” of its overwhelming strength. If we buy cars, we need to build roads and standards of “uniformity” arrive, putting uniqueness into background. The same roads have the same services, parking places, gas stations, restaurants, post offices, shops, benches, trees and grass, etc. Globalization and sustainability Tendencies what have been said above draw our attention to the fact that globalization induced by technological development appears as a complex and natural consequence and it prepares the ground for all other types of globalization. The existence of technological globalization provides the basis for political, cultural, even economic globalization. If technological globalization has been realized, logically, it gives birth to its consequences. If we want to counteract the uniform effects of globalization, it is not enough that we fight against political or economic globalization, as they are only consequences of the former, but we have to seek a different method. During the selection of the suitable method, we need to take into consideration relations that exist between technological development and other factors of the society, because they go on existing. We have seen that globalization is a process spreading through the whole world in its events and consequences, but there are no global concepts for the management and governance of globalization. Violent economic and political globalization relying on the spread of developed technologies gained support according to the interests of small groups, but tendencies for deeper understanding or active management of the consequences of this phenomenon began to appear only at the end of the 80’s. One of these tendencies is the “discovery”, perception of localization as process and exploration of the history of localization, in order to understand or to seek present possibilities. Of course, it is very important to decide on the issues whether localization as a process should be put as an opposition to globalization, or it should be considered as a parallel process or as a process exercising its effects together with globalization, according to current observations. 3 A new slogan was born at a Canadian world conference in 1984: “Think globally, act locally!” A new notion, namely localization appeared in the professional literature, providing explanations for many processes I have mentioned earlier in the first part of my paper. These processes are able to defend regions that are autonomous parts of the world against all forms of uniformity, namely integration, colonization or globalization. Different interpretations have been born since then, those that put localization efforts as an opposition to globalization, and those that predict that processes of globalization and localization will characterize the future of the world together. Easily available information about the world have made much people inquiring about their own environment, even they made them active in solving their own problems. It is true, for example that the pollution of the environment is also a global problem, but it has been emerged or it is being emerged through concrete processes. Concrete industrial, agricultural plants deteriorate soil, water, and disturb the healthy structure of the atmosphere. These buildings exist somewhere close to some people and affect them. One must not wait until a future World Government counteracts to these problems – as it will be too late. We must make something now and we must require the environmental-friendly operation of plants. The state of the environment appeared as a global factor in the 1st World Model in 1972, but it was not included in the direct reasons of the near world catastrophe as four different factors were supposed to induce future crises. However, a great number of facts have appeared that showed the world different than this perspective, furthermore these facts became well-known worldwide due to the rapid and easy diffusion of information. The “hasty” development and its violent diffusion, even naïve beliefs on the rapid solving of problems (based on scientific and technological results), like hunger, for instance, lead to serious tragedies. Problems became really “perceivable” in the process of environmental deterioration. Environment appeared as a really global factor, at least in the sense that its state is becoming worse and worse everywhere. Therefore many people think that globalization is primarily related to environmental issues. In our visions, the Earth with its deteriorated environment is becoming a more and more terrible monster, where even the conditions for life may not exist for long. Our fears were founded (and we could not get rid of them even today), as many books, studies, periodicals, reports justify this. In order to solve these problems, the 1st World Model proposed a deliberately retarded, even stagnating development in some aspects, until at least the time when science works out a better solution. However, as the past 15-20 years have shown, this way was considered to be non-followable by not only less developed countries, but by developed countries, as well. Next, the concept of the new expectations is clearly written in the Bruntland report, namely the needs of the present have to be satisfied through the way that the possibilities of the future generations can not be endangered. This is the harmonized development concept, as the report puts it, then it remarks that it includes limitations, as well. According to the theory of the research of the future, we have concluded the future based on tendencies of the past and the present. This is a theoretically right conclusion and it was necessary. The issue then was that when we received the images of the future judged to be extremely negative in the 1st World Report, we raised the question: How we should turn it into an action program? Or putting it in another way: What should we do and how, in order to avoid this “forecasted” future? For a long time, no programs 4 could be worked out that were accepted by everyone. The Bruntland report turned the problem the way that it described what future should look like, driving the characteristics of normative forecast into the foreground. It is much easier to develop an action program for this case. Globalization and localization Building upon the statements on “Our future” described in the Bruntland report, the theory and practice of the “sustainable development” has been born in the last few years. Sustainable development almost literally used the definition introduced in “Out future” that was developed to ensure a harmonized development. Basically, two aspects need to be taken into consideration, one is to respect the interests of the current generations and the other is not to harm life conditions of the future generations, i.e. they should have at least the same number of choices as we have now. From the aspect of environmental issues, one can say that production, distribution and consumption should be changed in a way that assure protection, not pollution. Now we can see several regulations that thrive to achieve this, and local solutions came into foreground. It means we are facing a certain level of pollution all the time. The emergence and success of new technologies that replace polluting technologies depend on local conditions. Besides the problem of the environmental deterioration, another serious issue appears: while energy supplies are disposable only of limited quantity, the world would need “unlimited” quantity of energy. This issue got considerable emphasis even in the 1 st World Model. Energy resources were divided into replaceable and non-replaceable categories (or primary and secondary, renewable and non-renewable alternative resources) then. Of course, the problem means that non-replaceable energy resources will cease to exist at some time. The depletion of non-renewable resources used primarily to found industrial growth threatened the world with a global crisis. In order to assure sustainable development, the solution can be the use of alternative (renewable) energy resources. Their quality and use conditions are also determined locally. In their actual form, they can be rather applied to produce energy in “small quantities”, so they can rather be used in their own small surroundings. One may say that the possibility and the requirement of localization and its strong scientific and technical foundations start to be formulated. This justifies local economy and production. World energy problems can not be solved on a global level, and the state of the environment can not be improved on a global level, either. It can not be expected from the mankind to undergo an ethical (and global) revolution that could lead to a more careful, economic and responsible production and economy to preserve the possibilities of future generations. The solution of the problems is localized. Therefore not only the deterioration, but the preservation of the environment can be solved on a one-by-one basis, selecting the most suitable method to avoid local dangers. Actors of the local economy find it easy to change values, they easily accept, understand and emotionally prefer the protection of their own environment, the importance and significance of the sustainable economy. It will be more concrete and easy to take the responsibility for the results and consequences of production and service provision within the one’s own environment. The use of alternative energy resources can be solved in every local economy, of course, through the adaptation to local conditions. Altogether, we must face several difficulties. Researches are going on to explore alternative resources, and hopefully scientific 5 research will soon bring newer and newer results in this field. The developers of suitable economic solutions that adapt to the given conditions need to perform much work. Dealing with systems that ensure “harmonized development” in the future, we must take into consideration the fact that they will be new in the sense of denying and exceeding the current large systems, for example the huge over-continental network of energy producers and service providers. Deep conflicts of interests can be foreseen, but the most decisive factor in this fight will be that operation of huge networks can be ensured at a less and less extent. After some time of reaching a certain development level, forecasted price increase will stimulate local economies to elaborate the production and provision of alternative energy resources, because the community will find it more economical than large networks. 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