Chapter 5: Adaptation of biodiversity to climate change Presentation Details: Slides: 40 Duration: 00:27:26 Filename: G:\Documents and Settings from C\My Documents\Rich\NISL\Climate_Change\Powerpoint presentations\Chapter5.Graham von Maltitz - Adaptation of biodiversity to climate change.ppt Presenter Details: Name: Graham von Maltitz Title: Mr Email: gvonmalt@csir.co.za Bio: Mr von Maltitz is a systems ecologist and rural development specialist, employed by the CSIR since 1989. He trained under Prof Brian Walker and Prof Mike Mentis at the University of the Witwatersrand, and completed an MSc doing research in the Nylsvley Nature Reserve. Since graduating he has fifteen years experience in natural resource management in developing communities. Until 2000 he was the business area manager for the Common Property Resource Management group of the Natural Resources and Rural Development Programme, and as such had a responsibility for management and research dealing with the interface between rural communities and the natural environment. This research has focussed on communities in areas of communal land tenure and on the unique problems associated with resource management in these areas. For three years he was acting Business area Manager for the Environmental Economics and Policy business area. Mr von Maltitz has extensive experience in managing multi-disciplinary teams engaged in both short and multi-year projects. Currently Mr von Maltitz has a crosscutting role to develop a focus in natural resource based rural development and the management of large integrated projects within the programme. Slide 1: Adaptation of biodiversity to climate change Duration: 00:00:19 Published by Articulate™ Presenter www.ArticulateGlobal.com Adaptation of biodiversity to climate change Presented by Graham von Maltitz CSIR Environmentek Notes: Welcome to the adaptations of biodiversity to climate change module. The objectives of this module will be to explore the options that are available to conservation managers to prevent biodiversity being lost as a consequence of climate change. Slide 2: Introduction Duration: 00:00:38 Published by Articulate™ Presenter www.ArticulateGlobal.com Introduction Adaptation Climate change and biodiversity research What has lead to current conservation Trends in conservation Adaptation options Notes: This section will start off looking at adaptation and understanding what we mean by adaptation. Two parallel research teams, one on strategic biodiversity conservation research, and one on climate change, both of which are covered in detail in other modules lead to the inevitable conclusion that biodiversity is likely to be lost as a consequence of climate change. We will look at a brief history of what has led to the current conservation status in the sub-region and trends that are currently taking place in conservation. Finally we will look at the adaptation options that are available to a conservation manager to mitigate the impacts of climate change. Slide 3: Adaptation I Duration: 00:01:18 Published by Articulate™ Presenter www.ArticulateGlobal.com Adaptation I What options do biological organisms have to adapt to changing climates - Persisters. The organism is pre-adapted to the new climate - and will persist Dispersers. The organism moves with the moving climatic envelope (autonomous) or is moved to a new suitable habitat (facilitated) dispersal Expanders. The new envelope is a better habitat Go extinct Evolve. Not likely given the speed of change Notes: From the perspective of a biological organism, there are several ways a species may adapt to changing climate. Firstly, they may be persisters. That is, they may be pre-adapted to the new climate, and will therefore persist in the new climatic envelope. Dispersers are organism that will move with the climatic envelope – in other words, they will “track” the climate. They may be able to do this autonomously, or they may be facilitated dispersers that require human assistance in order to find their new habitat. It is also likely that some species will benefit from the changed climatic conditions, and their range will grow due to the new climatic envelope being better suited to them than the previous envelope. Hence, these species are termed expanders. We have excluded evolution as an adaptation option available to species under the current conditions of climate change. This is on the basis that the current rate of climate change is understood to be considerably faster than anything historically experienced, and it is unlikely that any species other than those with the shortest life cycles will be able to evolve at the same rate. This does not exclude the possibility that some species will adapt in the future to more stable climatic conditions after the change process is complete. Published by Articulate™ Presenter www.ArticulateGlobal.com Slide 4: Adaptation II Duration: 00:00:40 Adaptation II Adaptation in global climate change is about how humans adapt to the impacts of climate change How can we as humans respond to the impacts that climate will have on biodiversity - Past trends in conservation / preservation - New trends – sustainable use and benefits - Adaptation options Notes: Our main focus in this adaptation section is not on other species adaptation processes, but rather on the adaptation options available to humans to ensure that we minimise species loss as a consequence of climate change. What we will do is firstly look at past trends in conservation and preservation, in order to understand what has led to the current state of conservation and disposition of conservation areas in the sub-region. We will then consider new trends that are taking place in the field of conservation , particularly strategic conservation planning tools. Finally we will then look at the adaptation options that are available to society to minimise the rate of climate change-driven species extinction. Slide 5: Bringing together conservation planning and climate research Duration: 00:00:54 Published by Articulate™ Presenter www.ArticulateGlobal.com Bringing together conservation planning and climate research Climatic predictions based on scenarios Climate change is a reality Strategic conservation planning – configuring reserves to best conserve biodiversity Species envelope mapping Dynamic species movement models Notes: The fact that anthropogenic influences are causing global warming has evolved from being a hypothesis to a generally accepted reality, though there is still extensive disagreement around the magnitude of the predicted change. From a biodiversity perspective, there are rapid advances in both strategic conservation planning and the understanding of distributional spreads of species through climatic envelope modelling. Combining forecasts of climate change with dynamic species movement modules, allows us to start considering the conservation strategies that would be needed to conserve biodiversity in a climatically changed future. Before considering options for this future, it is useful for us to consider what factors led to the distribution of current conservation areas. Current conservation strategies are by no means maximized solutions to conserve current biodiversity, let alone the biodiversity that will be found in a changed climate. Slide 6: Formation of the current conservation network Published by Articulate™ Presenter www.ArticulateGlobal.com Duration: 00:00:26 Formation of the current conservation network Pre-colonization resource management practices - Sacred forests - Hunting areas - Taboos Notes: Conservation in southern Africa has a long history. In fact there is some evidence that a number of conservation practices were taking place prior to colonization by the colonial powers. This can be found through factors such as the occurrence of sacred forests, areas that were set aside specifically as hunting areas, and also the fact that numerous taboos and other cultural norms were used to protect certain species and prevent the over-exploitation of certain species Slide 7: Colonial conservation Duration: 00:00:45 Published by Articulate™ Presenter www.ArticulateGlobal.com Colonial conservation Two paths of resource management - Game and nature reserves Evolved from hunting Main emphasis on the big and hairy Largely based on ecotourism Preservationist attitudes - Forest reserves Sustainable wood extraction Protection of indigenous forests Catchment protection Notes: Conservation as we know it started in the late 19th and early 20th century, and followed two parallel paths. Firstly there were the large game and nature reserves that we are most familiar with. These evolved predominantly from hunting areas, predominantly to provide protection for the large mammals that were hunted previously. Some of these have evolved into being eco-tourism areas, but the predominant land use on these areas has been strict preservation and preservationist attitudes. In a parallel move, there were a number of forest reserves created through the sub-region. These were normally created for sustainable harvesting of valuable wood species, and in some cases protection of indigenous forests. Forest reserves were also set up in many cases for catchment reserve purposes. Slide 8: Features of early conservation Duration: 00:00:27 Published by Articulate™ Presenter www.ArticulateGlobal.com Features of early conservation Trees and animals owned by the state Use – by the privileged and rich Forced removals of resident local people Poaching a crime Strong law enforcement Strong state backing Relatively good budgets for conservation Notes: Throughout the sub-region there were common trends in early conservation. Firstly, the valuable trees and animals were owned by the state, and the use of them was largely for the privileged and rich. Forced removal of local resident population was common, and an aspect such as poaching was considered a crime. There was a strong law-enforcement and a strong state backing. In addition there were relatively good budgets to support the conservation initiatives. Slide 9: Where were reserves located Duration: 00:00:55 Published by Articulate™ Presenter www.ArticulateGlobal.com Where were reserves located Areas of poor agricultural potential Malaria and tsetse areas Areas of low human density Area with extreme climate Mountains Forests Biodiversity was not the consideration Notes: The initial location of reserves in the sub-region was anything but strategic, from a biodiversity conservation perspective. Most reserves were set up on land that was not being used for other purposes, therefore few reserves are found in areas with high agricultural potential. Many reserves are located in areas with high disease probability, particularly malaria and tsetse areas. Equally, reserves are normally set up in areas that had low human population density as this didn’t require translocation of people out of the reserves. Reserves are also often found in areas with extreme climates, either very cold areas or very hot areas. Mountainous areas with low agricultural potential and low potential for settlement also are areas that are common for reserves. Forest patches also in South Africa are frequently selected as areas for reserves. Biodiversity was not the key consideration when setting up reserves. Slide 10: Ecoregions of Southern Africa Duration: 00:00:30 Published by Articulate™ Presenter www.ArticulateGlobal.com In the SADC region, 17% of total area is conserved However, South Africa has only conserved about 6% Click to enlarge Notes: This map shows the major eco-regions of southern Africa, using as a basis the WWF eco-region map. Superimposed on this in red are the conservation areas. As can be seen, South Africa takes a very different strategy to conservation than to the rest of southern Africa. In South Africa, there are fairly low levels of conservation but conservation is in a number of small reserves scattered throughout the country. By contrast, in the rest of southern Africa there tends to be very large reserves Slide 11: What constitutes conservation Duration: 00:00:49 Published by Articulate™ Presenter www.ArticulateGlobal.com What constitutes conservation Formally recognized - Formal reserves Less recognized - State forests - Wildlife management / hunting area - Private reserves Unrecognized in statistics used - Unused farmland - Low biodiversity impact farming practices Notes: Conservation of biodiversity takes place at a number of different levels. There are formally recognized reserves (often considered IUCN reserves). These are typically the nature reserves. But there are also a lot of other protected areas that act as areas for biodiversity protection that are less formally recognized, things like state forests, wildlife management or hunting areas and particularly private game reserves in some of the southern African countries like South Africa, Zimbabwe and Namibia. These are often not reflected in conservation statistics. In addition, there are a number of other areas that provide a limited degree of conservation, that are not considered in conservation statistics at all. These are things like unused farmlands and farming practices that have a low impact on biodiversity. Slide 12: Mopane woodland Duration: 00:00:39 Published by Articulate™ Presenter www.ArticulateGlobal.com Mopane woodland Typified by relatively low biodiversity in poor Kalahari sands Notes: Mopane woodland can be used as an example of a vegetation type which has been extensively conserved in he region. Mopane vegetation is found almost exclusively within the low-lying, hot and arid river valleys of the major river systems in the tropical areas of southern Africa. The tree species (Colloquius burnham mopane) is the dominant species in this vegetation, and forms almost monospecific stands. Although this vegetation has relatively limited biodiversity, it is fairly good from a conservation perspective in terms of its eco-tourism potential that most of the so-called big five animal species are found in this vegetation type. Slide 13: Mopane is more than adequately conserved Duration: 00:00:36 Published by Articulate™ Presenter www.ArticulateGlobal.com Mopane is more than adequately conserved 38% of Mopane Woodland in South Africa is conserved, mostly in Kruger National Park Notes: This map shows the conservation status of mopane woodland in Southern Africa. The red signifies conservation areas, and is overlaid on the pink of the mopanE vegetation. As can be seen, mopane is exceptionally well conserved in almost all countries, with the possible exception of Angola. The history of mopane conservation probably has more to do with the fact that this vegetation is very unsuitable for human settlement due to malaria infections, tsetse, as well as being in a hot arid area. Conservation in this area is probably more historically linked to its poor agricultural potential rather than its conservation importance. Slide 14: Hotspots of biodiversity in South Africa Duration: 00:00:38 Published by Articulate™ Presenter www.ArticulateGlobal.com Hotspots of biodiversity in South Africa Wolkberg Maputaland Pondoland Eastern Mountain Albany Succulent Karoo Cape Koakoveld Area (km2) 5 980 26 734 40 000 1 880 species 2700 1100 1750 1500 % Endemics 4 15 30 8 22 500 111 212 90 000 70 000 2000 4849 7000 952 10 40 80 12 Notes: Within South Africa, a number of biodiversity hotspots are recognized. One of the most important of these are the Cape Floristic Region, or as it is more commonly called the Fynbos Region, where there’s an incredible 7000 species of which almost 80% are endemic to the region. Another area with high species diversity is the Succulent Karoo area, with 4800 species, 40% endemics. Over the next few maps we’ll have a look at the location of these areas, and show that in these areas there is by and large fairly low conservation despite their high biodiversity importance. Slide 15: Southern African bioregions Duration: 00:00:17 Published by Articulate™ Presenter www.ArticulateGlobal.com Notes: This map shows the major eco-regions of southern Africa. The two biodiversity hotspots we will be looking at are the Cape Floristic Region (shown in the southwest of the country), and the succulent Karoo (shown in green, and extending up to the border with Namibia). Slide 16 : Succulent Karoo Duration: 00:00:36 Published by Articulate™ Presenter www.ArticulateGlobal.com Succulent Karoo Typified by small succulents and sparse individual plants. Occurs in the Karoo and up the west coast of South Africa, into Namibia. Less than 0.5% formally conserved Click to enlarge Notes: This map shows the location of the Succulent Karoo biome. As can be seen, a very limited portion of this biome is conserved; this despite the fact that this biome has both high species diversity and a very high level of endemism. It is typified by small succulents and sparse individual plants. Occurs in the Karoo and up the west coast of South Africa, into Namibia. Most importantly, less than 0.5% formally conserved, although the extent of land transformation in the region is considerably less than in the West Coast Renosterveld, for instance. Slide 17: Fynbos Duration: 00:00:27 Published by Articulate™ Presenter www.ArticulateGlobal.com Fynbos Under extreme threat from urbanisation and agriculture. Reserves mostly limited to extreme slopes and mountain peaks. Click to enlarge Notes: This map shows the location of the Fynbos vegetation….Cape Floristic Kingdom. Under extreme threat from urbanisation and agriculture. As can be sent there are fairly few formal conservation reserves in this area, and they are mostly limited to extreme slopes and mountain peaks, but as we will show in the next slide, this is a misrepresentation of the amount of conservation in this area. Slide 18: Reserves in the fynbos region Duration: 00:00:31 Published by Articulate™ Presenter www.ArticulateGlobal.com Reserves in the fynbos region Notes: This slide adds mountain catchment areas and forestry areas to the formal conservation areas of the previous slide. As can be seen this greatly increases the amount of protected area within the Fynbos. However, this is almost exclusively within the mountain Fynbos areas, with the low-lying renosterveld getting almost no conservation. Renosterveld is an important area from an agricultural perspective and has undergone a large amount of transformation, making conservation of this veld-type even more important. Slide 19: Extent of conservation versus “need” for conservation. Two extremes Duration: 00:00:40 Published by Articulate™ Presenter www.ArticulateGlobal.com Extent of conservation versus “need” for conservation. Two extremes Vegetation type Centre of endemism Area in 1000 km2 % % transformed conserved Mopane Shrubveld Mopane Bushveld West coast Renoster Mountain Fynbos no 26 0% 99.8% no 209 8% 38% yes 61 97% 1.7% yes 247 11% 26.2% Based on Low and Rebelo 1996 Notes: Based on the vegetation types shown previously, two extremes of conservation strategies can be seen. With the mopane veld there are very high levels of conservation, despite the fact that this area is not a centre of endemism, and despite the fact that there is almost no transformation of this veld vegetation type. By contrast, the West Coast Renosterveld is almost totally transformed, yet there is only 1.7% conserved. Mountain Fynbos on the other hand has a far lower level of transformation due to the fact that the mountains can’t really be used for other land uses and in this area there is a far greater percentage of conservation. Slide 20: Reserves in Madagascar Duration: 00:00:23 Published by Articulate™ Presenter www.ArticulateGlobal.com Reserves in Madagascar Click to enlarge Notes: This slide shows the location of conservation areas in Madagascar. In order to view it with more clarity, just click on the image to enlarge it. Madagascar is an area again known for its high species biodiversity and endemism, yet as can be seen there is a very low level of formal conservation, and this is skewed to one or two vegetation types. Slide 21: Reserves in other SADC countries Duration: 00:00:27 Published by Articulate™ Presenter www.ArticulateGlobal.com Reserves in other SADC countries Click to enlarge Notes: On the east coast of Africa it can be seen that the coastal vegetation is very poorly conserved. Coastal forest vegetation stretching from the middle of Mozambique, through the Tanzanian and Kenyan coasts, up into Ethiopia has almost not formal conservation. By contrast, many of the savanna vegetation types in the centre of the countries have fairly extensive conservation. Slide 22: Conserved area in seven Southern Africa countries Duration: 00:00:26 Published by Articulate™ Presenter www.ArticulateGlobal.com Notes: From the late 1800’s through to about 1970, there is a trend to increasing areas in southern Africa that are conserved. However, from about 1970 onwards there is almost no increase in the conservation area. This largely correlates with the end of the colonial era. After independence, most African states put greater emphasis on social good and increasing social benefits rather than environmental issues. Slide 23: Number of parks in seven Southern Africa countries Duration: 00:00:22 Published by Articulate™ Presenter www.ArticulateGlobal.com Notes: As can be expected, the total number of parks shows a very similar trend to the area under conservation. Again there is a rapid increase in park number from about 1940 through to about 1970 after which the number of parks flattens off. The exception is South Africa where there are lots of small parks and these haven’t been included in the statistics. Slide 24: Contribution of private land to conservation Duration: 00:00:41 Published by Articulate™ Presenter www.ArticulateGlobal.com Notes: The other area of formal state conservation levels off from about 1970 onwards. There is a new trend of private ownership of conservation land. As can be seen from the graph, this is a rapidly increasing proportion of the conservation estate. A number of factors have led to this, one of which is changes in legislation, which effectively allows private landowners ownership of the wildlife on their land. A further factor has been the economics of cattle management. There are fairly strong arguments that cattle management has been artificially supported through a number of state subsidies. Without these subsidies, wildlife management in many instances is more economically viable. Slide 25: Old trends Duration: 00:00:50 Published by Articulate™ Presenter www.ArticulateGlobal.com Old trends Preservation Manage to pre-colonial (pre man) pristine state Exclude people Separate conservation from other land use Conservation the domain of the state State owned the wildlife and trees Notes: The following are some of the trends that are seen in old-style conservation. Firstly there was a preservationist attitude; that conservation areas were to be preserved, not used. They were also managed to some form of what was seen to be pre-colonial, pre-man, pristine state. Quite what this was, is hard to define, but is clearly in the minds of most conservation managers, that there is a pristine state to which the area should be managed. Management normally excluded people and separated conservation from other land uses, often putting up large fences between them. Conservation was primarily the domain of the state and the state owned the wildlife and the trees, both within and outside the conservation areas. Slide 26 : Pressures on conventional conservation Duration: 00:00:48 Published by Articulate™ Presenter www.ArticulateGlobal.com Pressures on conventional conservation Population growth Inability to police Changed political priorities No more land available Cut in expenditure Notes: A number of pressures have caused changes in the old conservation paradigm. Firstly population growth means that there aren’t large unpopulated areas left in Africa. Instead there is a growing population adjacent to conservation areas and these people in many instances have poor livelihoods and are desperate for land. Equally there’s an inability of police to police the conservation areas. This is largely due to changes in budgets but also because of the increased population pressure. Equally there’s a change in political priorities: social issues are seen far more as a priority than they were in the past. Land is no longer available for the expansion of conservation areas, and there is a general cut in expenditure on conservation in favour of more social development. Slide 27: New trends I Duration: 00:00:47 Published by Articulate™ Presenter www.ArticulateGlobal.com New trends I Conservation rather than preservation Conservation may include sustainable use Allow for change Promote tourism and other value addition Conservation must pay its way Global contribution to third world conservation (e.g. GEF) Notes: Conservation paradigms have changed in relation to these pressures placed on conservation. Currently there is more of an emphasis on conservation rather than on strict preservation, and sustainable use of resources is seen as being important in many areas. Systems are allowing for change rather than being held in some past static state. Equally there’s the realization that conservation must pay its way, and therefore tourism and other value addition activities are looked at for conservation land. A new trend also is the global contribution to third world conservation. This is being funded through global funds such as the GEF (Global Environmental Facility) which is helping set up conservation areas in a number places in southern Africa. Slide 28: New trends II Duration: 00:00:39 Published by Articulate™ Presenter www.ArticulateGlobal.com New trends II Transfrontier conservation areas TFCAs “peace parks” - Large areas across countries - Linked to development - Strong political backing - Strong international backing Notes: A further new trend is the formation of what are termed Trans-frontier Conservation Areas, or what are sometimes referred to as Peace Parks. These are large conservation areas across countries, often linking and joining existing conservation areas. Unlike conservation in the past, these Trans-frontier Conservation Areas have a very strong link to rural development, with a strong focus on uplifting the local communities. These conservation areas are based on strong political backing, and in many cases rely heavily on international funding, such as GEF funding as mentioned previously, or funding and support from individual donor countries. Slide 29: Current trends I Duration: 00:00:55 Published by Articulate™ Presenter www.ArticulateGlobal.com Current trends I Devolution of resource ownership - Can own game - Local management Growth in tourism revenue as % of GDP Changes in agricultural subsidies Declining world food prices Globalization of markets - Cattle less profitable Notes: A number of current trends are impacting on conservation. One consequence of the colonial period is that most resources were owned by the state. This was particularly true for the communal areas. A current trend is devolution of resource ownership from the state back to local communities that own the land, and allowing them to truly manage the land. Growth in tourism revenue is also an important driver because of the links between tourism and conservation. This has been driven by a number of factors, many of which relate to changes in agriculture. This is driven by changes in agricultural subsidies, real-term declines in world food prices, and a globalization of markets. For instance, cattle have become far less profitable, and game revenue and tourism revenue is seen as far more favourable for many, particularly of the more arid areas. Slide 30: Contribution of private land to conservation in South Africa Duration: 00:00:29 Published by Articulate™ Presenter www.ArticulateGlobal.com Contribution of private land to conservation in South Africa Game Ranching - 5 million ha - 8.5% land area (vs 6% state reserves) - 5 000 – 8 000 ranchers Notes: Where cattle ranching was our main activity through most of the sub-region in the past, game ranching is now taking on greater and greater importance. In South Africa for instance, game ranching is currently estimated to occupy about 5 million hectares, or 8.5% of the land area. As such it exceeds the area of land currently under state conservation. It is estimated that there are 5 to 8 thousand game ranches within the country. Slide 31 : Current trends II Duration: 00:01:58 Published by Articulate™ Presenter www.ArticulateGlobal.com Current trends II Community conservation - Community based natural resource management (CBNRM) - Joint forest management - Community Public Private Partnerships - National CBNRM programmes eg CAMPFIRE - conservancies Strategic conservation planning - Computer assisted models e.g. C-plan - GEF funding - CAPE, SKEP, Wild Coast, STEP Habitat fragmentation Global warming becoming a reality Some species will lose their habitat Change in climate too fast for evolutionary adaptation Notes: A new trend, particularly in the communal areas is to see conservation as part of a community development initiative. This is often referred to as community-based natural resource management (CBNRM), and the idea is to link development and conservation through joint management efforts. This is happening in the conservation arena around game reserves, and also in the forestry arena around what is often referred to as joint forestry management. A common vehicle to achieve this is through community public private sector partnerships, for instance through private sector running a game lodge on communal land with joint profit sharing between the community and the private investor. A number of countries have national CBNRM programmes, such as the CAMPFIRE programme in Zimbabwe, and similar programmes in Botswana and Namibia. A similar trend is the formation of conservancies. As was pointed out earlier, the location of current conservation areas in southern Africa is anything but strategic. Currently there’s a new trend towards strategic conservation planning, where complex computer models and facilitation is used to identify the best areas for conservation. In many cases this is supported through international funding, such as GEF funding, but in South Africa there are a number of current initiatives where strategic conservation is being considered. This includes the CAPE programme in the Fynbos, the SKEP programme on the Wild Coast and the STEP programme. There are a number of global trends impacting on conservation. One of the main ones is habitat fragmentation through land use transformation. This is particularly true for the Published by Articulate™ Presenter www.ArticulateGlobal.com high agricultural areas in the country. Global warming is also becoming a reality. As a consequence of global warming, many species will lose their current habitats, or their habitat will move in space to a new area. The current rate of global climatic change is far too fast for evolutionary adaptation. Slide 32 : Adaptation responses Duration: 00:00:52 Adaptation responses Persists or expands Autonomous dispersal / migration Facilitated migration - New reserves - Management of corridors - Translocation Preservation Extinction Notes: As has been mentioned earlier, there are a number of adaptation responses available to individual plant and animal species, as a consequence of climate change. Firstly, species can persist or expand into a new climate which is still favourable to them. Equally, species can disperse or move with the climate as it moves across the landscape. This can be autonomous (in other words the species can do it itself) or can be facilitated (in other words the species can’t move on its own, but it could move given human assistance), and this could be through new reserves, management of dispersal corridors, or in Published by Articulate™ Presenter www.ArticulateGlobal.com extreme cases, actual translocation. Where species won’t have a new habitat available in the future, then preservation ex situ is the only option. This could be in zoological gardens or herbaria. Failing this, the species will become extinct. Slide 33: Persists or expands Duration: 00:00:33 Persists or expands Providing the species is not already threatened, and is well conserved in current reserve networks, then no additional action need be taken If the species becomes ‘invasive’ it may need to be managed to prevent it having negative impacts on other species High probability of alien exotics invading new areas as a consequence of climate change Notes: The following adaptation strategies are suggested for persister or expander species. Firstly, providing the species is not already threatened, and provided it is well conserved in the current reserve network, it is probable that no additional action needs to be taken. However, if the species becomes invasive, it may be necessary to prevent it having a negative impact on other species. There is a high probability of alien exotic species invading new areas as a consequence of climate change, and this needs to be carefully considered and watched. Published by Articulate™ Presenter www.ArticulateGlobal.com Slide 34: Autonomous adaptation / migration Duration: 00:01:02 Autonomous adaptation / migration Providing the species is not already threatened, and providing there are safe migration routes then no action will be needed May wish to conserve migratory pathways Manage the matrix in the migratory pathways Many species unlikely to migrate over different soils Land transformation likely to be a big barrier to migration Should be carefully monitored Strategic conservation needs to consider future habitats and species patterns Notes: Many species, both plant and animal, will have the ability to move through the landscape to track their preferred climate as the climate envelope moves through the landscape. Providing these species are not already threatened, and providing there are migratory routes available to them, then no further action may be needed. However, it is very likely that for many species, there is a necessity to conserve migratory pathways. This could be through formal conservation, or could be through managing the matrix, in other words the land outside of conservation areas, that forms migratory pathways. Care must be taken to ensure that pathways are suitable for species, for instance many species might not be able to migrate over different soil types. Land transformation also is likely to be a large barrier to migration. For all species, careful monitoring will be needed to ensure that they are able to migrate. Strategic conservation planning needs to consider future habitats and species patterns. Published by Articulate™ Presenter www.ArticulateGlobal.com Slide 35: Facilitated migration Duration: 00:00:55 Facilitated migration Well established as a practice for mammals, but not common for other organisms Current paradigm of move species to where they occurred historically will have to change. We may need to move species to areas where they did not historically occur, but that are now suitable habitats New reserves may be needed Management of the matrix - Community based conservation - Contractual reserves - Incentives - Private reserves - Education Notes: For many of the species that are able to find new habitats in the future, it is very likely that some level of human facilitation will be needed to help them migrate. In a simple case, this might be simply managing the areas outside of conservation areas, to ensure that these areas are friendly for the species to migrate through them. In this regard, community based conservation may be an important strategy. Equally it might be important to form what are termed contractual reserves, where the landowner enters into a contract with conservation authorities to keep his land for conservation purposes. Less severe and less expensive methods could be through incentives to landowners, use of private reserves, and just general education. In many cases landowners are not aware of the need for migration, and simply understanding the benefits that they can give to conservation might be sufficient for them to engage in conservation. Published by Articulate™ Presenter www.ArticulateGlobal.com Slide 36: Preservation Duration: 00:00:22 Preservation Gene banking Zoos Botanical gardens Notes: It seems clear that many species will not have suitable habitats in the future as a consequence of climate change. In many cases there is a large degree of unknown involved as well; therefore some level of ex situ conservation is critical. This could be through gene banking, zoos, or botanical gardens. Slide 37: Conclusion I Duration: 00:00:55 Published by Articulate™ Presenter www.ArticulateGlobal.com Conclusion Current reserve patterns have historic rather than strategic conservation origins New strategic conservation tools being used to reconfigure reserve layout Need to consider impacts of climate change in strategic conservation Manage for change Off reserve conservation is an critical component of strategy (manage the matrix) Devolution of ownership and use rights – make it worthwhile for farmers to conserve biodiversity Notes: A number of conclusions can be drawn from this section. Firstly, current reserve patterns have historic, rather than strategic conservation objectives, and therefore are not well configured to best conserve biodiversity. However, a number of new strategic conservation planning tools are being developed that allow for re-configuring reserves to better conserve biodiversity. These tools however, need to consider the impacts of climate change, and strategic conservation needs to manage for climate change, rather than managing for constant state or trying to manage to past distribution patterns. It is likely that off-reserve conservation needs to be a critical component of this strategy, in other words what we have termed matrix management. One of the ways of achieving this is devolution of ownership of user rights, in other words making it worthwhile for the farmer to conserve biodiversity. Slide 38: Conclusion II Duration: 00:01:37 Published by Articulate™ Presenter www.ArticulateGlobal.com Conclusion Biological organisms have differing responses to climate change. Some may benefit but many are predicted to become extinct A number of management options are available and these need to be specific to different organisms Need to configure reserves for best conservation given climate change (e.g. protect environmental gradients) Need to intervene to help some species Best option is to have off reserve areas (the matrix) as biodiversity friendly as possible Notes: Individual biological organisms will have different responses to climate change. Some may well benefit from the change in climate but it is predicted that many other will become extinct as a consequence of climate change. There are a number of management options available and these are likely to be specific to specific organisms. There is a need to configure reserves that don’t best conserve the current configuration of biodiversity, but rather that protect gradients and migratory corridors that allow biodiversity to move through the landscape. Environmental gradient protection may well be a key component of such a conservation strategy. In addition there will be a need to intervene to help many of the species. This may be through helping the species translocate through space. New conservation paradigms are needed in the conservation fraternity to think of moving species to areas where they didn’t occur in the past. Probably the most important strategy for ensuring the conservation of biodiversity, given a climatically-changing environment, is that areas outside of the reserves must be conserved, or made as biodiversity-friendly as possible. This is not to say that a strategically aligned conservation network that protects conservation given climate change is not important. Rather it is a necessity to expand conservation to as large an area as possible. Many species will have to migrate through areas that aren’t covered by the current reserve network. In addition, areas outside of the reserve network may become important refugia for species, as the habitat within the reserves is decreased due to climate change. Published by Articulate™ Presenter www.ArticulateGlobal.com Slide 39: Test yourself Duration: 00:00:05 Check your understanding of Chapter 5 PASS MARK 80% Please do not proceed further until you have PASSED Chapter 5: test yourself Notes: Slide 40 Links to other chapters Duration: 00:00:15 Published by Articulate™ Presenter www.ArticulateGlobal.com Links Linksto to other other chapters chapters Next Chapter Chapter Chapter Chapter Chapter Chapter Chapter 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 The evidence for anthropogenic climate change Global Climate Models Climate change scenarios for Africa Biodiversity response to past climates Adaptations of biodiversity to climate change Approaches to niche-based modelling Ecosystem change under climate change Chapter 8 Implications for strategic conservation planning Chapter 9 Economic costs of conservation responses I hope that found chapter 5 informative, and that you enjoy chapter 6. Notes: Published by Articulate™ Presenter www.ArticulateGlobal.com