Theme 1: Workplan for the first 18 months and beyond WP 2 Tasks T2.1: Analyses of foraminifera and coccoliths (geochemistry, isotopes, morphometry): from marine sediment cores for paleo reconstruction (D2.1; D2.2: Month 36) UCAM: identify cores suitable; establish chronologies ; WS on paleo-tools; Meeting to identify proxies and tools to be used and, strategy + sample distriburtion (2008) UiB: cores suitable; establish chronologies ; VU: sampling core-tops ; distribute samples CEREGE: participation in WS and meeting ; cocco + foram morphometry on cores AWI: participation in WS and meeting ; SNW on foraminifera; UNIVBRIS: participation in WS and meeting; collaboration to be decided T2.2: Analyses of foraminifera and coccoliths from core-tops, sediment traps and water column samples for integration of proxy and present day records (D2.2; D2.5; Month 36) UCAM: identify cores suitable for industrial era ; establish chronologies ; WS on paleo-tools; Meeting to identify proxies and tools to be used and, strategy + sample distriburtion (2008) UiB: cores suitable for industrial era ; establish chronologies ; VU: sampling sediment trap analyse SNW + geochemistry (forams + coccos) ; distribute samples CEREGE: participation in WS and meeting ; cocco morphometry from Drake passage and Med AWI: participation in WS and meeting ; SNW on foraminifera; AFM on calcareous samples from Mesocosm and culture experiments UNIVBRIS: 11B, TE on sediment trap forams (Cape Blanc) + cultured material; provide input on “tipping points” to WP13 Action: use the website to specify which samples from Mesocosm and culture experiments are of interrest to WP3 (link to Theme 2) T2.3: Analyses of cold water corals: field calibration and geochemistry (D2.5: Month 36) CEA: 11B (and geochemistry) for the Holocene including industrial era UNIVBRIS: geochemistry of recent warm water corals T2.4: Determination of the dissolution kinetics of biogenic carbonates (D2.3: Month 36) ULB: Laboratory experiments of dissolution kinetics of biogenic carbonates will be set-up starting month 4. Coccoliths (Emiliania huxleyi) obtained from laboratory culture experiments will be used in the initial dissolution studies to fine-tune the free-drift technique. Sediment trap and core samples of biogenic carbonates will be obtained from WP2 partners (UCAM, UNIVBRIS, CEREGE, AWI, VU). The choice of samples for the dissolution experiments will be determined during the first WP2 meeting to be organised by UCAM in fall 2008. The results will be examined in relation with geochemistry and with new proxies such as size normalized weight. T2.5: Model simulation (including a sediment module) of Glacial to Interglacial rain ratio and carbonate compensation response (D2.7: Month 36) UiB: during the coming 18 months: 1. Finalising a time transport model for the bioturbated sediment zone which enables consistent comparison between real and simulated sediment cores. 2. Sensitivity experiments with annually averaged biogeochemical global ocean general circulation model HAMOCC2 on varying glacial-interglacial rain ratios and their impact on the sedimentary record (also sensitivitiy experiments with respect to other parameter variations than rain ratio variations will be carried out in order to find out potential masking of signals; parameters are e.g. dissolution rate constants, terrestrial CO2 outgassing, etc.). 3. Compilation of sediment core data from the real world to compare the model with (last climatic cycle, variables wt% of caCO3 and opal, atm. ice core CO2, d13C benthic& planktonic). UBern: Within 12 months, optimization of Bern3D sediment model parameters using gridded sediment data of calcite and other quantities. Within 18 months, sensitivity experiments to estimate impact of coral reef grow on the carbon cycle. UNIVBRIS: Within 12 months for GENIE to delineate sensitivities and parameter space. Within 24 months for using the fully coupled FAMOUS model for a sub-set of the same experiments at much higher resolution. T2.6: Model simulation of Cretaceous/Paleogene acidification event (D2.4: Month 36) GKSS/NERC-NOCS: set up model; first test runs UNIVBRIS: first runs with GENIE; records (CCD, carb. accumlation, foram/cocco ratio) from 2 cores site (ODP1267; 1209) WP 2 Deliverables D2.1 Month 36 D2.2 36 D2.3 36 D2.4 36 D2.5 36 D2.6 D2.7 36 36 D2.8 48 Deliverable Surface and deep water pH evolution over Glacial to Interglacial time scales Participants Carin Andersson, Luc Beaufort, Eric Douville, Harry Elderfield, Gerald Ganssen, Daniela Schmidt, Jelle Bijma Surface and deep water pH evolution over Carin Andersson, Luc industrial time scales Beaufort, Eric Douville, Harry Elderfield, Gerald Ganssen, Daniela Schmidt, Jelle Bijma Improved biogeochemical model Lei Chou, Marion Gehlen, parameterisation for the natural ocean Christoph Heinze, Fortunat sediment carbonate chemistry dynamics based Joos*, Andy Ridgwell on new dissolution rate constants Estimate of carbonate system shift during Agostino Merico, Andy extreme ocean acidification event (Cretaceous Ridgwell, Toby Tyrrell Paleogene boundary) and restoring conditions for recovery (tipping point) Establish pH calibrations of coccolith Luc Beaufort, Eric Douville, Erica Hendy, Jelle morphology, δ11B in deep sea corals and understanding of calcification mechanisms of Bijma foraminifera (tipping point for calcification) Provide data on tipping points for WP13 All, Daniela Schmidt Report most likely glacial/interglacial rain Christoph Heinze, Fortunat ratio shift during last climatic cycle derived Joos, Andy Ridgwell from inverse modeling approach Report to scientists and policy-makers on how All, Andy Ridgwell, Jelle paleoceanographic results on ocean Bijma acidification enable an improved simulation of the future evolution of the Earth system *: Please note that UBERN was not funded to do WP2 type of work. Still Fortunate is willing to help as good as possible to achieve this deliverable, however, other groups must contribute. WP 3 Tasks T3.1: Collection of in situ spatial data, quality control, data analysis (D3.1, M18; D3.2, M30; D3.3, M42; D3.4, M48; D3.5, M24; D3.6, M18) UiB, UGOT: from the Arctic Ocean and Nordic Seas NERC-NOCS, HAFRO-MRI: from the Atlantic Ocean UiB, NERC-NOCS: from shelf seas SAHFOS: whole area coverage T3.2: Collection of time-series in situ data, quality control, data analysis (D3.1, M18; D3.2, M30; D3.3, M42; D3.4, M48; D3.5, M24; D3.6, M18) HAFRO-MRI: N&S of Iceland NERC-NOCS: between UK and Spain LOV: Mediterranean SAHFOS: whole area coverage T3.3: Data mining of Continuous Plankton Recorder (CPR) data for NE Atlantic basin and adjacent regions over last 30-50 years (D3.7, M24) SAHFOS UNIVBRIS T3.4: Synthesis through dataset collation, analysis and comparison (D3.8, M42; D3.9, M48) NERC-NOCS IOC-UNESCO T3.5: Provision of platform to allow additional measurements in conjunction with provided carbonate chemistry (no D) NERC-NOCS: service to other WPs WP 3 Deliverables D3.1 Month 18 D3.2 D3.3 D3.4 D3.5 30 42 48 24 D3.6 18 D3.7 24 D3.8 42 D3.9 48 Deliverable Production of quality-controlled datasets of carbonate chemistry and other chemical variables (over time and space) ditto ditto ditto Quality-controlled datasets of (calcifying) organismal distributions along CPR routes throughout the study area Quality-controlled datasets of coccolithophore distributions between UK and Spain Atlas of calcifer historical trends and biogeographical changes over time, according to Continuous Plankton Recorder data Report comparing biological and chemical trends, leading to information on "tipping points" linked to WP13* Report identifying possible "hotspots" * Carol: contact Toby before October EPOCA WP3 Timeline Participants NERC-NOCS, UiB, UGOT, MRI-IS UiB, UGOT, MRI-IS ditto ditto SAHFOS NERC-NOCS SAHFOS NERC-NOCS, IOCUNESCO NERC-NOCS, UiB WP 3 timeline Month 3 4 4 5-16 6 15 Milestone (M) or Deliverable (D) or Event (E) (M) Interact with modellers to decide whether data collection and presentation can be optimised to provide more useful information for models, and steps to be taken if new measurements requested (input from WP 9, 10 and 11). Produce report on outcome. (E) cruise to Iceland Sea, Summer 2008 (E) joint Russian/Swedish cruise to Arctic Ocean, summer 2008 (E) Monthly crossings Portsmouth-Bilbao taking measurements of carbonate chemistry and coccolithophores (M) Provide information on natural seasonal and geographical ranges in pH and carbonate chemistry, to inform ranges used in experiments (output to Theme 2) (E) Norwegian cruise to the Nordic Seas, Barents Sea and Fram Strait, summer 2009 Participants NERC-NOCS MRI-IS UGOT NERC-NOCS *NERC-NOCS, UiB UiB Notes: 1. For dataset deliverables where more than one institute is named, each named institute holds responsibility for delivery of its own datasets. For other deliverables (reports) where more than one institute is named, the institute with overall responsibility for delivery is denoted by an asterisk. 2. The responsible PI’s for each institute (with respect to deliverables in this work package) are as follows: UiB (Richard Bellerby), NERC-NOCS (Toby Tyrrell), SAHFOS (Peter Burkill), UGOT (Leif Andersson), MRI-IS (Jon Olafsson) and IOC-UNESCO (Maria Hood). 3. Where institutes are listed as delivering datasets at months 18, 30, 42, and 48, it should be recognized that this indicates an ongoing production of data throughout the project. Not all institutes will generate new datasets for each date.