1 2 3 4 5 6 Observed subseasonal variability of oceanic barrier and compensated 7 layers 8 9 10 11 Hailong Liu, Semyon A. Grodsky, and James A. Carton 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 Submitted to Journal of Climate December 10, 2008 Department of Atmospheric and Oceanic Science University of Maryland, College Park, MD 20742 Corresponding author: Semyon Grodsky (senya@atmos.umd.edu) 33 34 35 Abstract 36 1960-2007 is explored for evidence of subseasonal variability and the causes of these 37 components of mixed layer variability. The strongest variability from monthly climatology is 38 found in the subpolar latitudes of the North Atlantic in winter, where it reaches 100m. A 39 temperature-salinity compensated layer in the eastern North Atlantic varies interannually in 40 conjunction with a North Atlantic Oscillation-like pattern of anomalous sea level pressure. Thus 41 thickening/thinning of this layer occurs in conjunction with the meteorological changes 42 associated with strengthening/weakening of the Azores sea level high pressure center. A monthly gridded analysis of barrier layer/compensated layer thickness covering the period 43 44 In the winter subpolar North Pacific a salinity stratified barrier layer exists. While further south 45 along the Kuroshio extension a compensated layer exists. The thickness of both of these layers 46 varies from year to year by up to 60m. A significant component of this variability is a long-term 47 trend of shrinkage of the barrier layer in the subpolar gyre and growth of the compensated layer 48 along the Kuroshio Extension. This trend is shown to result from trends in meteorological 49 variables. In the subpolar gyre the barrier layer has shrunk in response to a strengthening of the 50 Aleutian low pressure system, the resulting strengthening of dry northerly winds, and a decrease 51 of precipitation. In the Kuroshio Extension the compensated layer thickness has increased in 52 response to this pressure system strengthening and related amplification of the midlatitude 53 westerly winds, the resulting increase of net surface heat loss, and its effect on the temperature 54 and salinity of the upper ocean water masses. 55 56 The tropical Pacific and Atlantic both have barrier layers with variability that is less than 20m 1 57 but is still important in influencing mixed layer properties. In the tropical Pacific west of 160oE, 58 the barrier layer thickness changes by approximately 5m in response to 10 unit change in the 59 South Oscillation Index. It thickens during La Ninas as a result of the abundant rainfall and thins 60 during dry El Ninos. But east of 160oE variations in zonal advection of salt becomes as important 61 as local rainfall in influencing the thickness of the barrier layer. 62 2 63 1. Introduction 64 The ocean mixed layer is a nearsurface layer of fluid with quasi-uniform properties such as 65 temperature, salinity, and density. The thickness of this mixed layer and its time rate of change 66 both strongly influence the ocean’s role in air-sea interaction. However, the thickness of the 67 nearsurface layer of quasi-uniform temperature, MLT, may differ from the thickness of the 68 nearsurface layer of quasi-uniform density, MLD. MLT may be deeper than MLD when positive 69 salinity stratification forms a barrier layer (BL=MLT-MLD) isolating the shallower and deeper 70 levels of the mixed layer as was originally found in the western equatorial Pacific (Lukas and 71 Lindstrom, 1991). Elsewhere MLT may be shallower than MLD when negative salinity 72 stratification compensates for positive temperature stratification (or the reverse situation) to form 73 a Compensated Layer (CL=MLD-MLT) (Stommel and Fedorov, 1967; Weller and 74 Plueddemann, 1996). Changes in the seasonal thicknesses of BLs and CLs from one year to the 75 next may cause corresponding changes in the role of the mixed layer in air-sea interaction by 76 altering the effective depth of the mixed layer or the temperature of water at the mixed layer base 77 (e.g., Ando and McPhaden, 1997). Here we examine the global historical profile data set 78 covering the period 1960-2007 for corresponding year-to-year changes in the BL/CL thickness 79 distribution. 80 81 Four studies; Sprintall and Tomczak (1992), Tomczak and Godfrey (1994), de Boyer Montegut et 82 al. (2007), and Mignot et al. (2007); have provided an observational description of the seasonal 83 cycle of BL/CL distribution over much of the global ocean. BLs are a persistent feature of the 84 tropics as well as high latitudes during winter. In high latitudes BLs occur where freshening in 85 the near-surface is produced by excess precipitation over evaporation, river discharge, or ice 3 86 melting (de Boyer Montegut et al., 2007) and may be most evident in regions where upward 87 Ekman pumping ( wEk ) acts against the effects of vertical mixing such as occurs in the subpolar 88 gyre (Kara et al., 2000). BLs are also observed equatorward of the salty subtropical gyres where 89 subduction leads to a shallow subsurface salinity maximum (Sato et al., 2006). The North Pacific 90 provides an example of this, the result of southward subduction of salty North Pacific 91 Subtropical Mode Water below fresher tropical surface water (as originally suggested by 92 Sprintall and Tomczak, 1992). BLs also occur in the Southern Ocean south of the Polar Front as 93 a result of near surface freshening and weak thermal stratification (e.g. de Boyer Montegut et al., 94 2004). 95 96 BLs also occur seasonally in the tropics in regions of high rainfall and river discharge such as the 97 Arabian Sea and Bay of Bengal, where layers as thick as 20-60m have been observed (Thadathil 98 et al., 2008). Similarly, BLs occur in the western Equatorial Pacific under the high precipitation 99 regions of the Intertropical Convergence Zone and South Pacific Convergence Zone (Lukas and 100 Lindstrom, 1991) and in the western tropical Atlantic (Pailler et al., 1999; Ffield, 2007). 101 102 Much less is known about subseasonal variations in BL/CL. In their examination of mooring 103 time series Ando and McPhaden (1997) show that BLs do have interannual variability in the 104 central and eastern Pacific, and conclude that the major driver is precipitation variability 105 associated with El Nino. At 0oN 140oW, for example, the BL thickness increased from 10m to 106 40m in response to the enhanced rains of the 1982-3 El Nino. In contrast, Mignot et al. (2007) 107 suggest that changes in zonal advection of high salinity water in response to El Nino winds are 108 important in regulating BLs in midbasin. In the west an observational study by Cronin and 4 109 McPhaden (2002) is able to document the response of the mixed layer to intense westerly wind 110 bursts and accompanying precipitation and show how these lead to both the formation and 111 erosion of BLs. 112 113 CLs in contrast may result from excess evaporation over precipitation, such as occurs in the 114 subtropical gyres, or by differential advection where it leads to cooler fresher surface water 115 overlying warmer saltier subsurface water (Yeager and Large, 2007). de Boyer Montegut et al. 116 (2004) summarize several additional possible mechanisms of CL formation, such as subduction- 117 induced advection, Ekman transport, slantwise convection and density adjustment. CLs are most 118 prominent in the eastern subpolar North Atlantic and in the Southern Ocean (de Boyer Montegut 119 et al., 2007). In the eastern North Atlantic a CL is formed by transport of the warm and salty 120 North Atlantic Current above fresher colder subpolar water. Further east the North Atlantic 121 Current splits into a northern branch comprising the Norwegian and Irminger Currents, and the 122 southward Canary Current, all of which also develop CLs. 123 124 In this study we build on previous observational examinations of the seasonal cycle of BL/CL 125 development, to explore year-to-year variability. This study is made possible by the extensive 7.9 126 million hydrographic profile data set contained in the World Ocean Database 2005 (Boyer et al., 127 2006) supplemented by an additional 0.4 million profiles collected as part of the Argo observing 128 program. We focus our attention primarily on the Northern Hemisphere because of its higher 129 concentration of historical observations. 130 131 2. Data and methods 5 132 This study is based on the combined set of temperature and salinity vertical profiles archived in 133 the World Ocean Database 2005 for the period 1960-2004 and Argo floats from 1997 to 2007. 134 The first dataset was adopted from the study of variability of the oceanic mixed layer by Carton 135 et al. (2008) where issues of data quality control and processing are detailed. 136 137 Mixed layer depth is defined here following Carton et al. (2008) which in turn combines the 138 approaches of Kara et al. (2000) and de Boyer Montegut et al. (2004). The mixed layer depth is 139 the depth at which the change in temperature or density from its value at the reference depth of 140 10m exceeds a specified value (for temperature: T | 0.20 C | ). This reference depth is 141 sufficiently deep to avoid aliasing by the diurnal signal, but shallow enough to give a reasonable 142 approximation of monthly SST. The value of T | 0.20 C | is chosen following de Boyer 143 Montegut et al. (2004) as a compromise between the need to account for the accuracy of mixed 144 layer depth retrievals and the need to avoid sensitivity of the results to measurement error. The 145 absolute temperature difference instead of the negative temperature difference is used following 146 Kara et al. (2000) in order to accommodate for temperature inversions that are widespread at 147 high latitudes. The specified change in density used to define the density-based mixed layer 148 depth follows the variable density criterion (e.g. Monterey and Levitus, 1997) to be locally 149 compatible with the specified temperature value, (i.e. ( / T ) 0.20 C ). In this study the 150 thickness (or width) of either a barrier layer or compensated layer is defined as a difference of 151 isothermal mixed layer depth and isopycnal mixed layer depth, MLT-MLD. As a result of these 152 definitions a positive MLT-MLD difference indicates the presence of a BL while a negative 153 difference indicates the presence of a CL. We compute BL/CL thicknesses for each profile which 154 are then passed through a subjective quality control to eliminate outliers and binned into 2o×2o×1 6 155 month bins without attempt to fill in empty bins. 156 157 In order to quantify the relative impact of temperature and salinity stratification within BLs and 158 CLs we introduce a bulk Turner Angle, defined following Yeager and Large (2007) as: 159 Tub tan 1 [(T S ) /(T S )] , where 1 / T and 1 / S are the 160 expansion coefficients for temperature, T , and salinity, S . In this study the changes in 161 temperature and salinity T and S are defined between the top, zt min( MLT , MLD) , and 162 the bottom, zb max( MLT , MLD) , of either a BL or CL based on analysis of individual vertical 163 profiles. The bulk Turner angle is then evaluated from spatially binned values of T and S . 164 Fig. 1 shows the correspondence between values of T , S , Tub , and the presence of BLs and 165 CLs. Angles | Tub | <45o correspond to BLs stabilized by both, temperature and salinity ( T 0 , 166 S <0). A perfect BL stabilized by salinity and homogeneous in T corresponds to Tub =-45o, 167 while Tub =45o corresponds to a pure thermal stratification. Angles greater than 45o correspond 168 to the most frequently occurring CLs where positive temperature stratification compensates for 169 negative salinity stratification (mixed layer is saltier than the thermocline). Less frequently 170 occurring CLs are observed at high latitudes below cool and fresh mixed layers (-90o< Tub < - 171 72o). The transition point is associated with the density ratio R T / S 0.5 or 172 Tub tan 1 ( 3) 72 0 . Thus bulk Turner angle provides an alternate way of displaying BL/CL 173 distribution. 174 175 We explore the role that surface forcing plays in regulating mixed layer properties through 176 comparison of the BL/CL distribution to fluxes from the NCEP-NCAR reanalysis of Kalnay et 7 177 al. (1996). Satellite QuikSCAT scatterometer winds (see Liu, 2002), which begin in mid-1999, 178 are used to characterize the finer scale spatial patterns of wEk . To better characterize precipitation 179 in the tropics, we also examine the Climate Prediction Center Merged Analysis of Precipitation 180 (CMAP) of Xie and Arkin (1997), which covers the period 1979 -present. 181 182 Limitations in the historical observational coverage limit our ability to explore the mechanisms 183 giving rise to subseasonal BL/CL variability. In order to address these mechanisms we repeat our 184 analysis on output from a 140-year long control simulation by the NOAA/Geophysical Fluid 185 Dynamics Laboratory CM2.1 global coupled climate model forced with natural and 186 anthroprogenic forcings beginning in year 1860 (after a 220 year spin-up period, Delworth et al., 187 2006). This coupled simulation maintains full freshwater and heat flux balances at the air-sea 188 interfaces. The ocean model component is based on Modular Ocean Model V4 numerics with 189 10m vertical resolution in the upper 220 m and including vertical mixing with mixing rates 190 determined based on the K-profile parameterization (KPP) mixed layer scheme of Large et al. 191 (1994). Comparison of the simulated and observed mixed layer shows encouraging 192 correspondence in both the geographic position and seasonal timing of BL/CL variability. 193 194 3. Results 195 We begin with a brief review of features of the mean and seasonal distribution. 196 197 3.1. Time mean and seasonal patterns Global seasonal patterns of BL/CL display many features 198 revealed by previous analyses (de Boyer Montegut et al., 2007). Throughout the year there are 199 persistent BLs in the tropics in areas of high precipitation (Figs. 2a, 2b). BLs are thick under the 8 200 Intertropical Convergence Zone and the South Pacific Convergence Zone. BLs are generally 201 thickest in the western side of the tropical Pacific and Atlantic Oceans reflecting higher levels of 202 rain as well as (in the case of the Atlantic) Amazon river discharge. BLs are thickest on the 203 eastern side of the tropical Indian Ocean due to the presence of the Java and Sumatra high 204 precipitation area (Qu and Meyers, 2005). Rainfall in the southern Intertropical Convergence 205 Zone (Grodsky and Carton, 2003) may contribute to freshening of the mixed layer along 10oS in 206 the South Atlantic during austral winter. In midlatitude BL/CLs occur mainly in winter and early 207 spring. In boreal winter BLs exceeding 60 m are observed in the North Pacific subpolar gyre 208 (Fig. 2a). Similarly thick BLs occur in the Atlantic Ocean north of the Gulf Stream. In both 209 locations the BLs appear coincident with a seasonal increase of precipitation. 210 211 Sea surface salinity (SSS) increases drastically across the Gulf Stream front leading to a switch 212 from the BL regime north of the front to a CL regime south of the front (Fig. 2a). Thick CLs 213 (thicker than 30m) are also observed along the Gulf Stream due to cross-frontal transport of low 214 salinity water. And even thicker CLs (thicker than 60m) are observed further northeast along the 215 path of the North Atlantic Current where its warm, salty water overlies cooler, fresher water. 216 Interestingly, despite the presence of warm and salt western boundary currents in both the 217 Atlantic and Pacific Oceans, the winter CLs are much less pronounced in the North Pacific than 218 the North Atlantic. Explanation for the basin-to-basin difference likely lies in the higher surface 219 salinity of the Atlantic (Fig. 2a) and consequently larger values of S (Fig. 3a). 220 221 CLs are also evident in the southern subtropical gyres of the Pacific and Atlantic Oceans as well 222 as the South Indian and Southwest Pacific Oceans (Fig. 2b) south of the 30oS SSS. The presence 9 223 of CLs in this region reflects the northward advection of cold and fresh water which subducts 224 under the water of the SSS maximum (Sprintall and Tomczak, 1993; note correspondence 225 between CL in Fig. 2b and S in Fig. 3b). 226 227 A similar mechanism is used to explain BL formation in subtropical gyres (e.g. Sato et al., 2006). 228 In the southern Indian Ocean BLs north of 30oS form as salty water from the region of the SSS 229 maximum subducts northward under relatively fresh surface water (Fig. 2b). Similar meridional 230 dipole-like patterns with CLs to the south and BLs to the north of local subtropical SSS maxima 231 are seen during austral winter in the South Pacific and the South Atlantic in the regions of 232 downward wEk (Fig. 2b). In the Northern Hemisphere the areas of CLs in the North Pacific and 233 Atlantic Oceans extend well north of the downward wEk regions (Fig. 2a) suggesting that 234 horizontal transport of warm salt waters by the western boundary currents plays a role. 235 236 Spatial patterns of BL/CL (Fig. 2) are in close correspondence with the spatial patterns of the 237 vertical changes of salinity, S , (Figs. 3a, 3b). As expected, the barrier layers are distinguished 238 by a stable salinity stratification, S 0 , where salinity increases downward below the mixed 239 layer. In contrast, compensated layers have unstable salinity stratification, S 0 . As discussed 240 above, regions of fresh mixed layer trace major areas of precipitation (like the Intertropical 241 Convergence Zone) and river runoff (the Bay of Bengal). Different type of BL is observed on the 242 equatorward flanks of subtropical salinity maxima. In these areas the ocean accumulates salt due 243 to an excess of evaporation over precipitation. Here the equatorward propagation of subducted 244 water produces meridional dipole-like BL/CL and S structures that are most pronounced 245 during local winter in the Southern Hemisphere (Figs. 2b, 3b). Here barrier layers are observed 10 246 to the north of SSS maxima where mixed layer tops saltier water below while compensated 247 layers are observed to the south where mixed layer is saltier than thermocline. 248 249 The spatial patterns of the bulk Turner angle (Figs. 3e,f) indicate that majority of CL cases are 250 associated with warm, salty water overlaying colder, fresher water (thus Tub >45o). CLs widen 251 during winter leading to higher values of Tub in winter than summer. When cold, fresh water 252 overlays warmer, saltier water a CL can also be formed where Tub <-72o. This latter type of 253 density compensation is observed only in limited regions of the Labrador Sea and near Antarctica 254 during winter. 255 256 3.2 Subseasonal variability Subseasonal variability of BL/CL thickness is similar in amplitude to 257 seasonal variability (compare Fig. 4 and Fig. 2). Subseasonal variability is stronger at higher 258 latitudes reflecting weaker temperature stratification. The highest variability of BL/CL thickness 259 of up to 100m occurs in the North Atlantic. It is also high in the western Atlantic and Pacific due 260 to the impact of subseasonal variations in precipitation and river discharge. 261 262 We next consider BL/CL thickness separated by season and roughly 15-year averaging periods 263 (Fig. 5). During the first period 1960-1975 thick BLs are evident during local winter in the North 264 Pacific, tropical western Pacific and western Atlantic, northern Indian Ocean, and Southern 265 Ocean (the latter being evident even in austral summer). CLs during this early period appear 266 primarily in the eastern North Atlantic. Little can be said about the existence of BLs in the 267 Southern Ocean in austral winter due to the lack of data during this period. By the last period, 268 1991-2007 several changes are evident. CLs have appeared in the subtropical North Pacific 11 269 during winter and have strengthened in the eastern North Atlantic. Strong CLs are also evident 270 on the northern side of the Circumpolar Current during austral winter (in fact these may have 271 existed earlier but simply not been observed). By this last period the extensive winter BLs noted 272 in the North Pacific in earlier decades had declined. We next examine monthly time series 273 describing four regions: (1) BLs in the subpolar North Pacific, NP/BL box (2) CLs in the 274 subtropical North Pacific, NP/CL box; (3) CLs in the eastern North Atlantic; and (4) BLs in the 275 western equatorial Pacific (the regions outlined in Fig. 5c). 276 277 The monthly time series of the northern subpolar North Pacific BL region and the subtropical CL 278 region both show a long-term trend towards thinner BLs and thicker CLs interrupted by 279 occasional reversals (Figs. 6a, 6b). Indeed, the subtropical CL region actually supported a 10- 280 20m thick BL prior to 1980s. One direct cause of this change from BL to CL seems to be the 281 gradual deepening of the late winter-spring mixed layer in the central North Pacific noted by 282 Polovina et al. (1995) and Carton et al. (2008). This observed 20 m deepening into the cooler, 283 fresher sub-mixed layer water has the effect of strengthening density compensation (the ‘spice 284 injection’ mechanism is discussed by Yeager and Large, 2007). Carton et al. (2008) attribute the 285 cause of mixed layer deepening to changes in the atmospheric forcing associated with the 286 deepening of the Aleutian sea level pressure low after 1976. These changes led to strengthening 287 of the midlatitude westerlies and the ocean surface heat loss in the North Pacific, hence the 288 deepening of the mixed layer. The deepening of the mixed layer has opposite impacts on the 289 width of CLs and BLs. Deepening widens CLs by injecting saltier water from the mixed layer 290 into fresher thermocline. In contrast, stronger atmospheric forcing normally destroys near- 291 surface BLs by enhancing mixing. These mechanisms likely explain the narrowing of BLs and 12 292 the widening of CLs in the North Pacific during recent decades (Figs. 6a, 6b). 293 294 The BL and CL thicknesses in the NP/BL and NP/CL boxes both seem to be associated with 295 wind changes resulting from changes in the Aleutian pressure low (Fig. 7). Widening of CLs 296 (that corresponds to the inverse of regression patterns shown in Fig. 7a) is linked to 297 strengthening of westerly winds and latent heat loss (hence, deeper mixed layers) in the NP/CL 298 box. Winds also strengthen in the NP/BL box to the north. This wind strengthening may reduce 299 the BL due to enhanced mixing. But, in addition the strengthening dry northerly winds to the east 300 of the low that decreases moisture transport from the south and thus reduces precipitation that is 301 vital to maintain the BL (Fig. 7b). Limitations in the historical data record limit the extent to 302 which these relationships can be identified based on data analysis. To overcome this data 303 limitation we examine the processes regulating the mixed layer of the CM2.1 coupled model. 304 305 We begin by comparing the simulated and observed winter/spring BL/CL distributions. In the 306 simulation as in the observations a BL forms in the North Pacific north of approximately 35oN 307 and a CL south of the BL region (compare Fig. 2a, Fig. 8a). The southern CL region can be 308 divided into two zones. The first CL zone lies in the Kuroshio-Oyashio confluence at 309 approximately 40oN in the northwest. The second CL zone extends across the North Pacific 310 along approximately 30oN. This latter zone corresponds to the NP/CL region previously defined 311 and is collocated with the subtropical SSS maximum and is bounded to the north by the northern 312 edge of the downward wEk area (Fig. 8b). Subduction to the north of the subtropical SSS 313 maximum produces negative salinity stratification in the region of SSS maximum while 314 subduction at the SSS maximum produces positive salinity stratification to the south (see 13 315 examples in Fig. 9). 316 317 We next explore year to year changes in the NP/CL region by contrasting March 1953 when the 318 simulated CL is the thickest of the 140 year record (25m) with March 1956 when the CL has 319 been replaced by a 10m thick BL (Fig. 8c). The striking difference between these two years 320 seems to be the different surface forcing. In 1953 downward wEk extends throughout the 321 subtropics leading to a deep mixed layer (Fig. 9a). During this year the isohaline contours along 322 180oE indicate an exaggeration of the normal situation in which there is southward advection of 323 high salinity water below the fresh nearsurface layer. These conditions lead to a CL layer north 324 of 25oN and BL layer to the south. In contrast, in 1956 wEk was upward north of 28oN trapping 325 the freshwater introduced through precipitation in the surface layer and thus causing a shallow 326 BL to form. The lag correlations in Fig. 8d confirm that CLs in the NP/CL region thicken in 327 years when the mixed layer is anomalously deep, in line with the spice injection mechanism of 328 Yeager and Large (2007), and BLs in the NP/BL thin as a result of the enhanced mixing 329 associated with deep mixed layers. Thus deepening of the subtropical mixed layer may explain 330 the trends observed in Figs. 6a, 6b. 331 332 Correspondence between temporal changes of BL/CL width and atmospheric pressure patterns 333 seen in both, observations and simulations in the north Pacific suggests that similar 334 correspondence with local atmospheric patterns may take place in the north Atlantic. But the 335 time series of variations in CL region of the North Atlantic is striking in showing primarily year- 336 to-year variations (Fig. 6c) even though the winter-spring meteorology of this region does 337 exhibit decadal variations frequently referred to as the North Atlantic Oscillation (Hurrell, 1995). 14 338 We suspect that some of this variability is the result of the smaller spatial scales of variability 339 relative to the North Pacific which has been insufficiently sampled by the historical observing 340 systems. During the past ten years when the data coverage has been increasingly extensive (due 341 to implementation of the Argo floats) CL thickness in the North Atlantic CL region has 342 undergone 15m variations from year-to-year with thick layers in 1999, 2002-3, and 2006-7 and 343 thinner layers during the other years (Fig. 10a). This pattern of CL variation is related to the 344 strength of the subtropical high in sea level pressure (Fig. 10a). Indeed, a regression of sea level 345 pressure, latent heat flux, and winds on CL thickness in the North Atlantic CL box shows basin- 346 scale relationships (Fig. 10b). Vertical expansion of CLs (more negative CL width) corresponds 347 to NAO-like pattern of the atmospheric pressure with stronger Azores high and deeper Iceland 348 low. This pressure pattern strengthens winds and latent heat losses in the east while weakens 349 them in the central and western subtropics (Fig. 10b). Anomalously strong winds and net surface 350 heat losses suggest deepening of the mixed layer that, in turn, expands width of CLs by the spice 351 injection mechanism. This is in line with 2002-3 and 2006-7 data when anomalously thick CLs 352 in the NA/CL box occur in phase with anomalously deep mixed layers. But in 1999 this 353 relationship is opposite (Fig. 10a). This may suggest that alternative mechanisms including salt 354 advection play a role. Indeed, in the north-east it is clear that advection plays a central role in 355 variability of the mixed layers (Nilsen and Falck, 2006 show this process at work in the 356 Norwegian Sea). 357 358 Finally, we consider year-to-year variability of the BL region of the tropical Pacific. BL thickness 359 in the western Pacific west of 160oE, which is generally 10-20m, varies in thickness coherently 360 with the value of the Southern Oscillation Index (Fig. 11c). The eastward shift of precipitation 15 361 during El Nino decreases precipitation west of 160oE by 20% or 1 mm/dy (in response to a 20 362 unit decrease of the SOI) and as a result BLs shrink by 20% or 2-5m (Figs. 11a, 11b). Thus, in 363 this region variations in BL thickness respond primarily to surface freshwater flux. East of 160oE 364 BLs are thinner and occur at much shallower depths so that they are affected more strongly by 365 solar radiation, advection and entrainment. 366 367 4. Conclusions 368 This study examines subseasonal changes of barrier and compensated layers (BLs and CLs) 369 based on analysis of profiles of temperature and salinity covering the years 1960-2007. Because 370 of data limitations we focus mainly on the Northern Hemisphere and tropics. The processes that 371 regulate subseasonal variability of BL/CL thickness are similar to those which regulate their 372 seasonal appearance: fluctuations in surface freshwater flux, Ekman pumping, and horizontal 373 advection. Thus, the spatial distribution of subseasonal variability reflects aspects of the 374 subseasonal variability of these forcing terms. 375 376 The most striking interannual variability of BL width occurs in the rainy tropical oceans with 377 deep thermoclines such as the Arabian Sea and Bay of Bengal in the Indian Ocean and the 378 western tropical Pacific under the Intertropical Convergence Zone and the South Pacific 379 Convergence Zone. Precipitation in these regions varies strongly interannually. During high 380 precipitation years the mixed layers in these regions show capping fresh layers and thick BLs. In 381 contrast, during low precipitation years mixed layer salinities increase and BL thickness 382 decreases. Thus, in the western Equatorial Pacific between 120oE and 160oE, the BL thickens by 383 2m to 5m during La Nina while during the El Nino the BL thins by a similar amount. In the 16 384 central and eastern equatorial Pacific variations of BL thickness are not nearly as well correlated 385 with the phase of ENSO. We think this happens because in the central basin salt advection plays 386 an important role in regulating BL thickness as well, while further east the mixed layer shallows 387 and mixed layer entrainment variability becomes increasingly important. 388 389 In the subtropics and midlatitudes during late winter-spring we find alternating regions of CLs 390 and BLs in the seasonal climatology. The northern tropics of both the Pacific and Atlantic (the 391 southern edge of the subtropical gyres) show broad regions of BLs where salty subtropical 392 surface water formed further north has subducted, advected equatorward, and affected the water 393 properties of the winter mixed layer. Within the evaporative subtropical North Pacific and eastern 394 North Atlantic we find CLs resulting from mixed layers with positive temperature stratification 395 but negative salinity stratification. In the eastern subpolar North Atlantic this CL merges with a 396 subpolar CL resulting from negative temperature stratification but positive salinity stratification. 397 In the North Pacific, strengthening of the Aleutian pressure low during successive winters, thus 398 strengthening the midlatitude westerly winds has led to deeper mixed layers, cooler SSTs, and a 399 long-term increase in the thickness of this CL. Further north in the North Pacific a supolar BL 400 region is evident, which does not have a counterpart in the North Atlantic. The same changes in 401 meteorology which include strengthening of the Aleutian pressure low have led to an increase in 402 dry northerly winds which in turn cause a thinning of this BL from ~40m before 1980s to ~ 20m 403 afterwards. 404 405 In the North Atlantic the broad area of CL also undergoes fluctuations in thickness associated 406 with surface meteorology. In this basin the fluctuations in winter thickness also seem to vary in 17 407 response to meteorological changes associated with changes of the Azores sea level high 408 pressure. Estimation of the timescale of variability is more difficult in this basin as the analysis is 409 more noisy. Here our examination focuses on the changes that are apparent in the shorter 1997- 410 2007 period when the data coverage is better. During this period the thickness of the winter- 411 spring CL in the northeastern Atlantic undergoes 4-5 year timescale fluctuations from 45m to 412 60m in phase with the strengthening/weakening of the Azores high. 413 414 Determining the basin-scale BL/CL structure tests the limits of the historical observing system. 415 Further progress in understanding BL/CL variability and its role in air-sea interactions will likely 416 require further exploration of models that provide reasonable simulations of observed variability. 417 418 Acknowledgements We gratefully acknowledge the Ocean Climate Laboratory of the National 419 Oceanographic Data Center/NOAA and the Argo Program data upon which this work is based. 420 Support for this research has been provided by the National Science Foundation (OCE0351319) 421 and the NASA Ocean Programs. 422 18 423 References 424 Ando, K., and M.J. McPhaden, 1997: Variability of surface layer hydrography in the tropical 425 Pacific Ocean. J. Geophys. 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Grey dots are the cold season data 499 that aggregate January-March data from the Northern Hemisphere and July-September data from 500 the Southern Hemisphere. The Turner angle range -720 to 450 corresponds to BL. CL occurs 501 outside this interval. 502 Figure 2. Climatological (a) January-March and (b) July-September barrier layer width 503 (positive) and compensated layer width (negative). Climatological sea surface salinity ( 35 psu 504 solid contours, below 35 psu dashed contours) and downward wind-driven vertical velocity 505 (hatching) are overlain. Salinity data are from Boyer et al. (2006). 506 Figure 3. (a,b) Salinity ( S ) and (c,d) temperature ( T ) difference between the top z t = 507 min[MLT, MLD] and the bottom zb =max[MLT, MLD] of barrier/compensated layer, (e,f) bulk 508 Turner angle calculated from S and T between the same two depths. (left) January - March 509 (JFM) values, (right) July - September (JAS) values. Turner angles in the range from -72o to 45o 510 corresponds to barrier layers, while compensated layers occur outside this range 511 512 Figure 4. Standard deviation (STD) of monthly anomalous BL/CL thickness. 513 Figure 5. Quasi-decadal mean barrier layer (positive) and compensated layer (negative) 514 thickness in (left) northern winter and (right) austral winter. Rectangles in (c) show locations of 515 the North Pacific barrier layer box (NP/BL 140oE-140oW, 50o-60oN), North Pacific compensated 516 layer box (NP/CL 140oE-160oW, 25o-35oN), equatorial Pacific barrier layer box (EP/BL 120oE- 23 517 160oE, 5oS-5oN), and North Atlantic compensated layer box (NA/CL 30oW-10oW, 40o-60oN) 518 Figure 6. Box averaged BL/CL width in (a) North Pacific barrier layer region, (b) North 519 Pacific compensated layer region, and (c) North Atlantic compensated layer region. Thin lines 520 are monthly average values, bold lines are January-March average values. JFM values are shown 521 if at least 10 data points are available. Box locations are shown in Fig. 5c. 522 Figure 7. Time regression of JFM barrier layer thickness in (a) North Pacific compensated 523 layer box on latent heat flux (Wm-2/m, shading), winds (ms-1/m, arrows), and sea level pressure 524 (mbar/m); (b) North Pacific barrier layer box on precipitation (mm h-1/m). See also Fig.5c for 525 box locations. Atmospheric parameters are from the NCEP/NCAR Reanalysis. 526 Figure 8. CM2.1 model simulations in the north Pacific. (a) March climatological BL/CL 527 width with climatological sea surface height (SSH, CI=0.2m) and sea surface salinity (SSS, bold 528 contours) overlain. CL and BL boxes are drawn in red and blue, respectively. (b) Zonally 529 averaged March climatological Ekman pumping (positive – downward is shaded gray). (c) Time 530 series of the box-averaged CL width. Two contrasting model years with thick (1953) and thin 531 (1956) CL are marked by ‘o’. (d) Lagged correlation of anomalous (blue) box-averaged CL 532 width and MLD, (red) box-averaged BL width and MLD. (e) Time regression of March box- 533 averaged CL width on wind stress and Ekman pumping (mdy-1/m). 534 Figure 9. Latitude-depth section of salinity along 180oE for March of the two contrasting 535 model years with thick (1953) and thin (1956) CL. Ekman pumping (positive – downward is 536 shaded gray) is shown against the right-hand vertical axes. 537 Figure 10. (a) JFM compensated layer width (solid) and monthly mixed layer depth 538 (compensated layer depth range between MLT and MLD is shaded) averaged in the North 539 Atlantic compensated layer box, JFM anomalous mean sea level pressure (dashed) averaged 24 540 40oW-30oW, 30oN-40oN. (b) Time regression of the 1997-2007 JFM compensated layer width on 541 latent heat flux (Wm-2/m, shaded), anomalous mean sea level pressure (mbar/m, contours), and 542 winds (ms-1/m, arrows). 543 Figure 11. Lag regression of SOI index on 5oS-5oN averaged (a) anomalous barrier layer 544 width, (b) precipitation. Time mean BL width (solid), salinity (dashed), and precipitation are 545 shown against right hand vertical axes. Precipitation is Xie and Arkin (1997). (c) Time series of 546 annual running mean SOI (shaded) and anomalous BL width averaged in the western equatorial 547 Pacific box (120oE-160oE, 5oS-5oN). See Fig. 5c for the box location. 25