Single Jurisdiction Hazard Mitigation Plan Town of Londonderry, Vermont Prepared for: Town of Londonderry, VT 100 Old School Street, South Londonderry, VT 05155 Bennington County Prepared by: Windham Regional Commission 139 Main Street, Suite 505, Brattleboro, VT 05301 (802) 257-4547 DRAFT DATE: December 3, 2012 Single Jurisdiction Hazard Mitigation Plan Town of Londonderry, VT– 2/16/2016 Table of Contents – re do page #s .................................................................................................................... Pg INTRODUCTION AND PURPOSE ............................................................................. 3 TOWN PROFILE ........................................................................................................ 3 GEOGRAPHY ............................................................................................................ 3 PREQUISITES Adoption by the Local Governing Body ........................................................... 5 Multi-Jurisdictional Plan Adoption ................................................................... 6 Multi-Jurisdictional Planning Participation ....................................................... 6 PLANNING PROCESS Documentation of the Planning Process ......................................................... 7 RISK ASSESSMENT Identifying & Profiling Hazards ........................................................................ 8 Assessing Vulnerability: Overview .................................................................. 12 Assessing Vulnerability: Addressing Repetitive Loss Properties ..................... 13 Assessing Vulnerability: Identifying Structures ................................................ 14 Assessing Vulnerability: Analyzing Development Trends ................................ 14 Multi-Jurisdictional Risk Assessment .............................................................. 14 MITIGATION STRATEGY Local Hazard Mitigation Goals ........................................................................ 15 Identification and Analysis of Mitigation Actions .............................................. 15 Identification and Analysis of Mitigation Actions: NFIP Compliance ................ 15 Implementation of Mitigation Actions .............................................................. 16 Multi-Jurisdictional Mitigation Actions.............................................................. 17 PLAN MAINTENANCE PROCESS Monitoring, Evaluating, and Updating the Plan ............................................... 18 Incorporation into Existing Planning Mechanisms ........................................... 18 ATTACHMENTS Public participation documentation ................................................................. 20 Maps (Attached as pdf files) ........................................................................... 20 _______________________________________________________________________ Page 2 Single Jurisdiction Hazard Mitigation Plan Town of Londonderry, VT– 2/16/2016 INTRODUCTION AND PURPOSE The purpose of this plan is to assist the Town of Londonderry in identifying all of the hazards facing the town and to identify strategies to begin reducing risks from identified hazards. Hazard mitigation is any sustained action that reduces or eliminates long-term risk to people and property from natural and human-caused hazards and their effects. Based on the results of previous Project Impact efforts, FEMA and state agencies have come to recognize that it is less expensive to prevent disasters than to repeatedly repair damage after a disaster has struck. This plan recognizes that communities have opportunities to identify mitigation strategies and measures during all of the other phases of Emergency Management – preparedness, response and recovery. Hazards cannot be eliminated, but it is possible to determine what the hazards are, where the hazards are most severe and identify local actions that can be taken to reduce the severity of the hazard. Hazard mitigation strategies and measures alter the hazard by eliminating or reducing the frequency of occurrence, averting the hazard by redirecting the impact by means of a structure or land treatment, adapt to the hazard by modifying structures or standards or avoid the hazard by stopping or limiting development, and could include projects such as: Flood-proofing structures Tying down propane/fuel tanks in flood-prone areas Elevating furnaces and water heaters Identifying and modifying high traffic incident locations and routes Ensuring adequate water supply Elevating structures or utilities above flood levels Identifying and upgrading undersized culverts Proactive land use planning for floodplains and other flood-prone areas Proper road maintenance and construction Ensuring critical facilities are safely located Establish and enforce appropriate building codes Public information WINDHAM REGION GEOGRAPHY The Region includes the towns of Athens, Brattleboro, Brookline, Dover, Dummerston, Grafton, Guilford, Halifax, Jamaica, Londonderry, Marlboro, Newfane, Putney, Rockingham, Stratton, Townshend, Vernon, Wardsboro, Westminster, Whitingham, Wilmington, and Windham in Windham County; the neighboring towns of Readsboro, Searsburg, and Winhall are in Bennington County; and Weston is in Windsor County. Situated in Vermont's southeastern corner, the Region is bordered by Bennington and Windsor Counties to the west and north, Massachusetts to the south and New Hampshire to the east. The Region’s area is nearly 600,000 acres, or over 900 square miles. The topography is generally hilly, with steep slopes on the river valleys on the east slopes on the Green Mountains. The Connecticut River Valley contains areas of relatively flat and gently rolling land. The Green Mountains form the western edge of the region with a landscape of ridges and mountain peaks with narrow stream valleys. Stratton Mountain is the highest point in the region at 3,936 feet. The lowest point is along the Connecticut River in Vernon at 200 feet. In addition to the Connecticut, other major rivers of the region are the Deerfield, Green, North, Saxtons, West, and Williams, all tributaries of the Connecticut. There are two major flood control reservoirs on the West River, Ball Mountain and Townshend, and two major storage reservoirs for hydropower generation on the Deerfield River, Somerset and Harriman. _______________________________________________________________________ Page 3 Single Jurisdiction Hazard Mitigation Plan Town of Londonderry, VT– 2/16/2016 LONDONDERRY GEOGRAPHY & TOWN PROFILE Londonderry is the commercial hub for the surrounding towns of Weston, Landgrove, Windham, Jamaica, and Winhall. The shopping center at the intersection of Rt. 100 and Rt. 11 includes a gas station, convenience store and restaurant which are heavily used by travelers and locals. Londonderry is also the hub for accessing several ski resorts; Magic Mountain is in town, Stratton ski resort, Bromley and Okemo are nearby. During winter months there is greater traffic flow due to people traveling to and from these resorts. Roughly half of the Grand List is vacation homes. Londonderry’s landscape retains important vestiges of the town’s agricultural heritage. Working farmland not only provides a source of local food and fiber, but also helps define the town’s scenic landscape, in itself an important economic asset. Londonderry is built along the main stem of the West River and its major tributaries. Significant timber resources exist in town, including hard and soft wood stands and sugar maple groves. Local forests provide quality habitat to a range of species. Wildlife that may be found in Londonderry includes deer, bear, bobcat, fisher, moose, turkey, ducks, geese, blue heron, ruffed grouse, woodcock, otter, beaver, bass, trout, pickerel, fishers, and others. The town’s water resources include the West River, the Winhall River, Lowell Lake, Lily Pond and Gale Meadows Pond, as well as various wetlands and floodplains. The aforementioned waters all are included in the West River Watershed. The West River – which drains into the Connecticut River and on into the Atlantic Ocean near Long Island Sound –has been identified as a nationally important fish and wildlife habitat primarily due to the potential for Atlantic salmon restoration. Londonderry is surrounded by several smaller villages. Peru, Landgrove, Windham and Andover are primarily residential communities with some farming, forestry and inns. Winhall and Jamaica have village centers and businesses serving the ski industry. Weston is a residential community with a village center and green along state Route 100 that sustains tourism year round. Development trends in Londonderry, surrounding towns and most of southern Vermont have been strong for several years, with marked increase in land subdivision, new home construction, and real estate sales at elevated prices, primarily for vacation homes. As a larger town that provides a variety of essential services, Londonderry is more significantly impacted than surrounding towns by regional developments such as the Stratton Mountain complex and other tourist activities. The Town Plans in the Mountain Valley region are similar and compatible with each other. Londonderry maintains contact with neighboring planning commissions to coordinate and consult about issues that may cross town lines and also relates to other towns in the region by working with the Windham Regional Commission. The map on the following page is the most current from their Town Plan. _______________________________________________________________________ Page 4 Single Jurisdiction Hazard Mitigation Plan Town of Londonderry, VT– 2/16/2016 _______________________________________________________________________ Page 5 Single Jurisdiction Hazard Mitigation Plan Town of Londonderry, VT– 2/16/2016 PREQUISITES Adoption by the Local Governing Body Certificate of Adoption Town of Londonderry, VT Board of Selectmen A Resolution Adopting the Single Jurisdiction Hazard Mitigation Plan, for the Town of Londonderry, VT WHEREAS, the Town of Londonderry, VT has worked with the Windham Regional Commission to identify natural hazards, analyze past and potential future damages due to natural disasters, and identify strategies for mitigating future damages; and WHEREAS, The Town of Londonderry, VT Hazard Mitigation Plan analyzes natural hazards and assesses risks within the community; and WHEREAS, the Town of Londonderry, VT Hazard Mitigation Plan recommends the implementation of action(s) specific to the community to mitigate against damage from natural hazard events; and NOW, THEREFORE BE IT RESOLVED that the Town of Londonderry, VT adopts the Hazard Mitigation Plan for the Town of Londonderry, VT. Duly adopted this _____________ day of ________________________________________. date month, year Board of Selectmen: ___________________________________________________ name, Chair ___________________________________________________ name ___________________________________________________ Name ATTEST ___________________________________________________ name, Town Clerk _______________________________________________________________________ Page 6 Single Jurisdiction Hazard Mitigation Plan Town of Londonderry, VT– 2/16/2016 Planning Participation Town residents who took part in the planning process for developing the Hazard Mitigation Plan for Londonderry tend to be affiliated with more than one association for the town. Most of the people on the committee have lived in Londonderry for most of their lives. Since the town of Londonderry did not have an EMD (Emergency Management Director) at the time of the Tropical Storm Irene event in August of 2011, Kevin Beattie, the town Selectman acted as the EMD. Because of the difficulties that were realized by not having a designated EMD, the town is planning to establish one and have them trained. In rural areas of Vermont, it is typical that people who are most interested in the safety, health and welfare of their community will preside on more than one board, and for example, hold the role of Fire Chief, or school teacher, or be a small business owner, in addition to owning personal property in the town. Therefore, although the meeting may not have as many in attendance, as in a more populated community, those present at the meeting are representing not only a variety of roles, but many roles that would be held by individuals in a more populated town or city. The matrix below lists the members on the hazard planning team. The ways in which Londonderry has included other towns in the planning process of this plan has been by having mutual aid for Fire and emergency through Southwestern New Hampshire, and the adjacent towns of Weston, Windham, Peru, Winhall and Jamaica. During emergency situations that require collaborative efforts with adjacent jurisdictions, an ad hoc group will form to assess daily status of roads, bridges and other infrastructure. Londonderry has hosted meetings whereby they invited the Fire Departments, Selectboard members, and police from all the adjacent towns to plan for emergency response. The town included input from their neighboring town of Winhall in this planning process by having 1st responders from Winhall on their emergency committee. The Town of Londonderry also provided their hazard plan as an attachment to an email to the Town Managers/Administrators/Officials of Weston, Windham, Winhall, Jamaica and Peru asking that they review the plan for any additional comments. If adjacent towns provide comments, those comments will be added in an attachment to this plan during the review process. Committee Member Affiliations Home Steve Prouty Selectman , Mailman, Town Health Officer Londonderry James Ameden Selectman, Fire Chief Londonderry Peter Pagnucco Selectman Londonderry Wayne Blanchard Road Foreman Londonderry Kevin Beattie Selectman, Londonderry Rescue Squad Londonderry James H. Twitchell Town Clerk Londonderry Jeff Whitesell Police Department Winhall Dinah Reed Windham Regional Commission Assistant Planner Brattleboro _______________________________________________________________________ Page 7 Single Jurisdiction Hazard Mitigation Plan Town of Londonderry, VT– 2/16/2016 PLANNING PROCESS Documentation of the Planning Process The Town of Londonderry pulled together a committee of town’s people in October 2011 to include representatives from the Selectboard, Post office, Road Crew and Town Officials to discuss the vulnerabilities and risks of all hazards to Londonderry. Viewpoints from adjacent communities were taken into consideration by staff with the Windham Region Commission (WRC) as they have been working concurrently with adjacent towns on their hazard mitigation plans. Other town and state agencies such as the conservation commission were invited to participate in the planning process. An additional meeting took place on December 15 to specifically discuss hazard mitigation strategies and action items for the town. The Town of Londonderry will continue to work with the Windham Regional Commission to monitor, evaluate, and update the plan throughout the next 5 year cycle. A review of the plan will take place each year by the emergency planner at the Windham Regional Commission along with the town’s emergency planning committee, led by the EMD, to update the plan after any FEMA disaster declaration as well as any funding received from FEMA, to record any hazard related events, or to determine if the town is interested in applying for grant funding. Additionally, the emergency committee will assess ongoing hazard mitigation work and coordinate among stakeholders to identify structures and engineering projects that can help mitigate future hazardous events; e.g. bridge and culvert replacements, road replacements and grading, as well as any repetitive loss structures that may be in the Special Flood Hazard Area as identified on FEMA Flood Maps (e.g. FHBM and FIRM maps). Additionally, all plan review meetings will be publicized and open to the public. The plan and any proposed revisions will be on the jurisdictions website with information on how the public can direct questions/comments to the planning team. Public Participation The Londonderry Hazard Mitigation Plan was made available for public comment by posting it to the Town of Londonderry website. A hard copy was made available at the Town Office, Library and Fire Department. Although the town made the plan easily available, no comment was on the plan was made by the public. The plan will also be made available at Town Meeting in March, 2012. Plan is posted on the Town website for viewing. http://www.londonderryvt.org/index.html The following hazard mitigation planning meetings were held: October 5, 2011, 6:00– Londonderry Town Offices December 15, 2011 – Londonderry Town Offices February 22, & April 18, 2012 – phone conversation with Emergency Management Director Any new public participation?? Explain the Opportunity provided for public participation and the Means. Be descriptive. How was the public involved, explain resources for information provided, such as ANR?, NRCS?, DEC staff?, VT F&W?, etc. Additionally – add this info to the planning process section – how did any of these staff from State Agencies inform your planning process? _______________________________________________________________________ Page 8 Single Jurisdiction Hazard Mitigation Plan Town of Londonderry, VT– 2/16/2016 RISK ASSESSMENT The risk assessment portion of a Multi-hazard Mitigation Plan contributes to the decision-making process for allocating available resources to mitigation projects. 44 CFR Part 201.6(c)(2) of FEMA’s mitigation planning regulations requires local municipalities to provide sufficient hazard and risk information from which to identify and prioritize appropriate mitigation actions to reduce losses from identified hazards. Identifying and Profiling Hazards – The community has identified and focused mitigation action items on the following hazards; Flood, Winter Storm/Ice Storm and High Wind events. It should be noted that Earthquake, Landslide, Avalanche and Extreme Heat, Drought, Wildfire and Tornado/Microburst, are profiled in the State All Hazard Mitigation Plan. This local plan will only profile and analyze natural hazards that have been deemed as having a “highly likely” impact on the Town of Londonderry. In the “Assessing Vulnerability: Overview” section on page X, a “Highly Likely” occurrence is one that has a 100% probability of occurring every year. The methodology is fully explained in that section. The following hazards include a narrative explaining Location/Geographic Area and Extent (magnitude or severity), Probability, and discussion of Past Occurrences of all natural hazards that affect the planning area. Note: According to the NOAA website zero WILD & FOREST FIRE event(s) were reported in Windham County, Vermont between 01/01/2000 and 08/31/2011. Source: http://www4.ncdc.noaa.gov/cgi-win/wwcgi.dll?wwevent~storms REGIONAL FLOODING The Vermont Flood of 1927 was the deadliest natural disaster in the history of the State; eightyfour people were killed with over $28 million in property damage. The Spring Floods of 1936, which had an affect on all of New England, caused $113 million in damage, killed 24 people and made 77,000 people homeless. During this flood alone, the main street of Hooksett, New Hampshire was 18 to 20 feet underwater. During 1978, flooding occurred throughout New England causing millions of dollars in damage. In 1996, flooding ravaged communities in northern New England resulting in significant damage and a Presidential Declaration of Emergency. LOCAL FLOODING Description and Geographic Area of Hazard Flash floods typically occur during summer when a large thunderstorm or a series of rain storms result in high volumes of rain over a short period of time. Higher-elevation drainage areas and streams are particularly susceptible to flash floods. Flash floods are likely in Londonderry, and potential damage to Route 100 or Route 11 could limit access to town, as they are the major transportation corridors through the community. Some of the highest hazard areas associated with flash floods are areas along Route 11 and the West River floodplain corridor in the two village areas. Other areas of concern during flooding events are homes located along brooks that are subject to flash floods during brief heavy rain events. Areas where flooding typically occurs are Flood Brook, West River (biggest in magnitude), Tannery Brook (most re-occurring), Cook Brook, Boynton Road (headwaters are in Andover, starts as a beaver pond). Extent _______________________________________________________________________ Page 9 Single Jurisdiction Hazard Mitigation Plan Town of Londonderry, VT– 2/16/2016 In the latest Tropical Storm Irene event of August 2011, a total of approximately 8 inches of rain fell in a timeframe of 12 hours, causing the West River to rise approximately 12-15 feet above the normal flow at river bottom. The flash flood water caused fluvial erosion of the shoreline and specifically trees, boats, propane tanks, dumpsters, 2 U-Haul trucks and one porch that were in the floodway were washed down the river, and damaging homes in South Londonderry. Main Street had 6 feet of standing floodwater for 12 hours. A commercial building on Main Street had floodwater measuring 5 feet on the ground floor. Roads and bridges were washed out all over town. Probability The emergency committee for the Town of Londonderry states that flooding is highly likely as a result of thunderstorms, or spring snow melt. Probability of flooding is also very high if heavy rain falls on saturated grounds. Need to elaborate on probability based on studies (state-wide) etc. SGA’s, FEH, etc. Past Occurrences Need annual occurrences that are local, small, not necessarily warranting an HMGP – not just Federally Declared issues. August 28, 2011 - The latest Presidentially Declared Disaster, DR-4022, resulted from Tropical Storm Irene. Tropical Storm Irene tracked north northeast across eastern New York and western New England during Sunday, August 28th, producing widespread flooding, and damaging winds across the region. Irene tracked from a position over New York City around 8 AM EST Sunday, to approximately 65 miles south of Rutland, VT at 4 PM EST. The greatest impact from Irene across southern Vermont was due to heavy to extreme rainfall, which resulted in catastrophic flooding. Rainfall amounts generally averaged 4 to 8 inches. Much of the rain which fell occurred within a 12 hour period, beginning early Sunday morning, and ending Sunday evening. This heavy to extreme rainfall resulted in widespread flash flooding and river flooding across southern Vermont. Strong winds also occurred across southern Vermont, with frequent wind gusts of 35 to 55 mph, along with locally stronger wind gusts exceeding 60 mph. The strongest winds occurred from the north to northeast during the morning hours, then from the west to northwest during Sunday evening. The combination of strong winds, and extremely saturated soil led to numerous downed trees and power lines across the region. This also resulted in widespread long duration power outages. In particular, the approximate number of customers affected by power outages included: Windham County 18,000. April 15-21, 2007 - A flooding event occurred which was associated with flash floods and inundation flooding over a period of several days in the spring. Rain and snow caused damage to roads and utility lines across Windham County and Londonderry. Across, the State, nearly 3.6 million dollars was obligated as part of the FEMA Public Assistance Program. While it is not normal for the Town to receive this type of damage from severe flooding and thunderstorms on an annual basis, road washouts and culvert repairs from these associated events have ranged in the ballpark of $200,000 to $400,000. August 12 – September 12, 2004 - A severe period of flooding and thunderstorms engendered Presidential Disaster Declaration DR – 1559. Aug 3, 2003 - A slow moving storm over Windham County produced doppler radar estimated rainfalls of 3 to 4 inches in about four hours time. The torrential rains took a toll, washing out roads in the city of Londonderry. County Highway 121 was washed out in the Town of Windham. Massive flooding occurred in the neighboring town of Grafton at the base of Fire Pond and Hinkley Brook roads, where water, debris and mud washed those roads out. The raging debris knocked a house off its foundation and damaged several other ones. This was the same area affected by the infamous Flood of 96 which was even more severe. Heavy rains also washed away a small covered bridge in Grafton. _______________________________________________________________________ Page 10 Single Jurisdiction Hazard Mitigation Plan Town of Londonderry, VT– 2/16/2016 1976, 1978 – Flooding occurred according to historical knowledge stated by towns people. June 1973 – Inundation flooding in town, affected village because didn’t recede as fast. Town lost two large culverts on Winhall Hollow Road and lost Cross Road Bridge, all of Thompsonburg Road was washed out, which runs along a brook. Sources used Weather Advisory from Albany Weather Service, Press Releases from VEM, local town knowledge. http://www4.ncdc.noaa.gov/cgi-win/wwcgi.dll?wwevent~ShowEvent~307631 REGIONAL SEVERE WINTER STORM The Region has a long history of severe winter storms and blizzards and usually experiences at least one or two Nor’easters each year with varying degrees of severity. There have been 114 winter storms in the Region since March 1960 that have resulted in $5,133,582.00 in property damages. A typical event begins as a low-pressure system that moves up the Atlantic Coast on a December morning and into the Canadian Maritimes dumping heavy snow across parts of Vermont. Snow typically begins in the morning and then changes over to sleet and rain in the valleys during the day, and then changes back to snow during the evening. Snowfall accumulations are generally three to six inches in the valleys and 6 to 12 inches in the mountains. LOCAL WINTER STORM / ICE STORM Description and Geographic Area of Hazard Winter storms, with snow, ice and freezing temperatures in varying combinations, are fairly commonplace in Londonderry and occur town wide. Heavy wet snows of early fall and late spring, as well as ice storms, often result in loss of electric power, leaving people without adequate heating capability. The other threat from these storms is downed trees, resulting in power failures and impassable roads or driveways. Damage from heavy snow and ice storms can vary depending upon wind speeds, snow or ice accumulation, storm duration, and structural conditions (such heavy snow and ice accumulation on large, flat roofed structures). The assessed value of all residential and commercial property is ($ 375,646,275 ) Assuming a range of town-wide damage of 1% to 5%, a heavy snow or ice storm could result in ($3,756,462 ) to ($18,782,313 ) of total damage. Power Failure Power failure is a common condition that is typically the result of power lines damaged by high winds or heavy snow/ice storms and can occur anywhere in town. The higher elevation locations in town are most susceptible to power failures. Power failures may also result from disruptions in the New England or national power grid, as indicated by the widespread power outages in 2003. Dead or dying trees in close proximity to power lines pose a particular threat for power failure. Potential loss estimates are difficult to predict for power failures, which typically are isolated in geographic areas and short in duration. Therefore, they often have only minimal impact to people and property. Power failures usually result in minor inconveniences to residents; however, longer duration events might result in the loss of perishable items and business losses. Power outages in winter months could result in the loss of home heating, bursting water pipes and resulting structural water damage. Extent The snowfall of winter 2010-2011 exceeded 120 inches in southeast VT. Typical snowfall in southeast VT ranges from 60-65 inches. Snow and ice come every year to the town where the extent is typically fairly high given we are in the Northeast corner of the continent. It depends on how fast it comes and whether or not it melts off in between snowfalls as to whether it not it poses a threat to the community. The Town typically receives 2-3 feet of snowfall every year. _______________________________________________________________________ Page 11 Single Jurisdiction Hazard Mitigation Plan Town of Londonderry, VT– 2/16/2016 Probability The emergency committee in the Town of Londonderry deems winter storm / ice storm as highly likely to happen every year. Past Occurrences Need local, small, annual occurrences – not just Federally Declared issues. Mar. 7, 2011 - A cold front moved gradually southeastward across the region during the day Monday, March 7th, as a wave of low pressure moved northeastward along the boundary. To the south of the boundary, it was mild as the area was in the warm sector of the low pressure system. The storm tapped into both Atlantic and Gulf moisture, resulting in heavy rainfall of 1 1/2 to 3 1/2 inches across southern Vermont Sunday, March 6th, into Monday, March 7th before the precipitation transitioned to a wintry mix then snow early Monday morning. The heavy rainfall, combined with runoff from snowmelt due to the mild temperatures, resulted in flooding of rivers, streams and creeks, mainly from the formation of ice jams. Damage estimates are unknown. December 2008 - An Ice Storm crossed the region causing widespread downed trees and power outages in Windham County. The total cost of damages across the region crossed the one million dollar threshold which allowed for a Presidential Disaster Declaration DR-1816. Damage across the region mostly consisted of roads being blocked for short periods of time due to downed trees and utility lines. Thousands lost power for varying lengths of time and several shelters were opened in Windham County. Compared to neighboring southern New Hampshire communities, Londonderry fared relatively well from the damage inflicted by the Ice Storm. January 1998 – An ice storm hit the region and most of upstate New York and Vermont were out of power for a month. Two skiers were lost and it took a region wide effort to find them. Trees were brought down by the heavy ice, all over town. November 22, 1997 - A low pressure system south of Long Island on November 22, 1997 produced heavy wet snow across southern Vermont. Snowfall averaged 4 to 8 inches in Windham County. The heavy wet snow downed trees and power lines, which produced scattered power outages. October 1987 – A sudden snow storm of approximately 1 foot of heavy snow brought down trees all over town. Sources used Local knowledge http://www4.ncdc.noaa.gov/cgi-win/wwcgi.dll?wwevent~ShowEvent~307631 REGIONAL HIGH WIND / TROPICAL STORM / HURRICANE Windstorms are high-wind events that are sufficient enough to cause damage to property and can occur at anytime during a year. These include high winds in conjunction with a thunderstorm and high winds that sweep through the Region after the passage of a weather front. During the past forty-six (46) years, the Region has had seventy (70) windstorms that have caused significant damages. LOCAL HIGH WIND / TROPICAL STORM / HURRICANE Description and Geographic Area of Hazard High wind events are highly likely in Londonderry, with the potential for limited resulting damage. The most likely local threats for high winds are from nor’easters, hurricanes, downbursts or wind shear. Trees downed by high winds can block roads, and down power and _______________________________________________________________________ Page 12 Single Jurisdiction Hazard Mitigation Plan Town of Londonderry, VT– 2/16/2016 communications lines. Mobile home parks and houses on ridge lines are at greater risk from wind damage. Most high winds events in Londonderry have resulted in damage from downed trees and power lines. Extent The greatest extent of high winds on record for the past decade in and near the Town of Londonderry was during the high wind event in September 2010 when the region experienced 50-60 mph winds. The wind event as a result of Tropical Storm Irene were also locally as great as 60 mph at times. Based on past experience, the Town of Londonderry would anticipate an equally significant wind event to occur any given year. Extent/magnitudes of Hurricanes and Tropical Storms are ranked using the Saffir-Simpson Scale in the Western Hemisphere, as follows: CAT1=74-95 mph winds, CAT2=96-110 mph winds, CAT3=111-130 mph winds, CAT4=131-155 mph winds, Tropical Storm=39-73 mph winds, Tropical Depression=0-38 mph winds. Probability The emergency committee for the Town of Londonderry states that high winds is a highly likely natural hazard event that will occur any given year. Past Occurrences Need small, local, annual occurrences – not just Federally Declared issues. The latest Presidentially Declared Disaster, DR-4022, resulted from Tropical Storm Irene in August 2011. Tropical Storm Irene tracked north northeast across eastern New York and western New England during Sunday, August 28th, producing widespread flooding, and damaging winds across the region. Irene tracked from a position over New York City around 8 AM EST Sunday, to approximately 65 miles south of Rutland, VT at 4 PM EST. The greatest impact from Irene across southern Vermont was due to heavy to extreme rainfall, which resulted in catastrophic flooding. Rainfall amounts generally averaged 4 to 8 inches. Much of the rain which fell occurred within a 12 hour period, beginning early Sunday morning, and ending Sunday evening. This heavy to extreme rainfall resulted in widespread flash flooding and river flooding across southern Vermont. Strong winds also occurred across southern Vermont, with frequent wind gusts of 35 to 55 mph, along with locally stronger wind gusts exceeding 60 mph. The strongest winds occurred from the north to northeast during the morning hours, then from the west to northwest during Sunday evening. The combination of strong winds, and extremely saturated soil led to numerous downed trees and power lines across the region. This also resulted in widespread long duration power outages. In particular, the approximate number of customers affected by power outages included: Windham County, 18000. Sept. 30, 2010 - The combination of an intensifying low pressure system moving northward along the east coast and high pressure off the New England and mid Atlantic Coast created a very strong pressure gradient across the region. Strong and gusty southerly winds developed as the low approached during Thursday September 30th. Winds gusts of up to 50 to 60 mph occurred across southern Vermont. This event continued through October 1st, 2010 bringing very heavy rainfall to the area. Storm total rainfall of 3 to 6 inches occurred across southern Vermont resulting in widespread urban and small stream flooding. May 2, 2002 - $20K in property damage - The gradient between a high pressure center in the Ohio Valley, and deep low pressure over eastern Canada, produced a marginally high wind event across high elevations of southern Vermont during the midday hours of May 3. Many trees and power lines were reported blown down across the county. Over 1,000 customers were temporarily without power in southern Vermont as a result of the wind. Mar. 10, 2002 - $30K in property damage - The pressure gradient between deep low pressure over Ontario, and high pressure off the southeast coast, produced a strong southerly flow across southern Vermont on the evening of March 9. Then, a strong cold front moved across _______________________________________________________________________ Page 13 Single Jurisdiction Hazard Mitigation Plan Town of Londonderry, VT– 2/16/2016 the region shortly after midnight, early on March 10th. A line of showers and embedded thunderstorms accompanied the front. Strong winds ahead of and along the front produced some damage across Windham County. Law enforcement personnel reported a large number of trees and power lines down throughout the county. Jul 20, 1996 - $10K property damage - An unusually intense low pressure system tracked across the northern Great Lakes to Quebec, Canada during July 19 and 20. The system generated strong northwest winds, which downed trees and power lines over parts of Windham County in southern Vermont. Feb. 24, 1996 - $30K in property damage - A rapidly deepening low pressure system moved from southern New Jersey northeast to northern Maine by the morning of February 25. This system brought damaging winds to southern Vermont including Windham counties, which downed many trees across the area and produced scattered power outages. Jan 19, 1996 - $20K in property damage - An intense area of low pressure located over the MidAtlantic Region on Friday morning January 19th produced damaging winds across southern Vermont. This storm was associated with a strong southerly flow which resulted in scattered reports of downed trees, limbs and power lines. Sources used http://www4.ncdc.noaa.gov/cgi-win/wwcgi.dll?wwevent~ShowEvent~307631 Knowledge based on reports from locals living in the town for over 30 years. Assessing Vulnerability: Overview Methodology A vulnerability analysis for each community begins with an inventory of possible natural hazards and an assessment of the risk that they pose. These are the questions to be answered. What hazards can affect your community? How bad can it get? How likely are they to occur? What will be affected by these hazards? How will these hazards affect you? The magnitude (percentage of the community affected) of the impact of the hazard can be classed as follows: Negligible: < 10% of properties damaged/Minimal disruption to quality of life. Limited: 10% to < 25% of properties damaged/Loss of essential facilities/services for up to 7 days/few (< 1% of population) injuries possible. Critical: 25% to 50% of properties damaged/Loss of essential facilities/services for > 7 days < 14 days/Major (< 10% of population) injuries/few deaths possible. Catastrophic: > 50% of properties damaged/loss of essential facilities/services for > 14 days/Severe (> 10% of population) injuries/multiple deaths possible. The frequency of occurrence (Likelihood) is classified as shown: Unlikely: < 1% probability in the next 100 years. Possible: 1% to 10% probability in the next year, or at least one chance in the next 100 years. Likely: 10% to 100% probability in the next year, or at least one chance in the next 10 years. Highly Likely: Near 100% probability in the next year. Additionally, seasonal patterns that may exist are considered, what areas are likely to be affected most, the probable duration of the hazard, the speed of onset (amount of warning time taking into consideration the existing warning systems). The combination of the magnitude of the hazard and the frequency was used to determine the community vulnerability as HIGH, MODERATE or LOW. For example, a flood event is highly _______________________________________________________________________ Page 14 Single Jurisdiction Hazard Mitigation Plan Town of Londonderry, VT– 2/16/2016 likely (nearly 100% probability in the next year) in many communities but the degree of impact varies. A highly likely flood with critical or catastrophic impact rates the community vulnerability as HIGH. Another community with a highly likely or likely (at least one chance in the next 10 years) flood with a limited impact would receive a vulnerability rating of MODERATE. The vulnerability of a community having the occurrence of an event as possible or unlikely with limited or negligible impact would be LOW . Likelihood: U = unlikely P = possible L = likely HL = highly likely Possible Hazard High Wind / Tornado / Microburst Likeli hood Impact: N = negligible L = limited CR = critical CA = catastrophic Impact Community Vulnerability Most vulnerable facilities and populations Roads, Bridges, Culverts, Utilities, Residences, Businesses, Ridgelines HL L Low HL L Moderate to High Structure Fire L N Moderate Wildfire L L Moderate Winter & Ice Storm HL L Moderate Hurricane U CR Low Earthquake U CR Low Drought P L Moderate Landslide P L Low Flood Low lying hills, Culverts, Bridges, Residences, Businesses, Roads Residences, Businesses Residents Residences, Businesses Town-wide Town-wide Residents, Farms, Businesses Roads Assessing Vulnerability: Addressing Repetitive Loss Properties According the State Hazard Mitigation Officer, Londonderry has no repetitive loss properties. The definition of severe repetitive loss as applied to this program was established in section 1361A of the National Flood Insurance Act, as amended, 42 U.S.C. 4102a. An SRL property is defined as a residential property that is covered under an NFIP flood insurance policy and: (a) That has at least four NFIP claim payments (including building and contents) over $5,000 each, and the cumulative amount of such claims payments exceeds $20,000; or (b) For which at least two separate claims payments (building payments only) have been made with the cumulative amount of the building portion of such claims exceeding the market value of the building. For both (a) and (b) above, at least two of the referenced claims must have occurred within any ten-year period, and must be greater than 10 days apart. http://www.fema.gov/severe-repetitiveloss-program _______________________________________________________________________ Page 15 Single Jurisdiction Hazard Mitigation Plan Town of Londonderry, VT– 2/16/2016 Assessing Vulnerability: Identifying Structures Both the South Village and the North Village are in the floodplain. The shopping center at the intersection of Rt. 100 and Rt. 11 is in the floodplain. In the North Village, the gas station and restaurant are in the floodplain. IGA – in the shopping center Medical Clinic – not in the floodplain Fire House – in the floodplain Town Offices – In the S. Village, not in the floodplain Memorial Bridge of Londonderry Goodevale Bridge connects Londonderry with Jamaica Boynton Road Bridge connects Londonderry with Weston is section could be much more robust with an Inventory of town assets – # of houses # of total structures #of businesses # of employees Market value (total) of structures Assessing Vulnerability: Analyzing Development Trends The 2010 Census indicates a population of 1,769 and a growth rate of 3.5 percent over the 2000 population. Town name County 1990 Total LONDONDERRY Windham 1,506 2000 Total 90-00 Absolute Change 90-00 % Change 2010 Total 00-10 Absolute Change 00-10 % Change 1,709 203 13.5 1,769 60 3.5 One single family residential (SFR) permit has been issued in the last year. Subdivision permits have been issued for future development, to be determined. A lot of secondary homes (vacation homes) are presently for sale, therefore very little development is happening. _______________________________________________________________________ Page 16 Single Jurisdiction Hazard Mitigation Plan Town of Londonderry, VT– 2/16/2016 MITIGATION STRATEGY Local Hazard Mitigation Goals The Hazard Mitigation Goals as outlined below were developed by consensus among the emergency management committee during meetings for the town of Londonderry local hazard mitigation plan. WE NEED SPECIFIC GOALS TO LONDONDERRY. Develop Problem Statement from risk assessment data for each hazard profiled Specify: what, where, how often, how bad Example: High winds occur every year and cause damage to property in particular areas. Then the Goal would be: protect existing buildings along particular corridor by ______________. Mitigation Strategy, or action item would come from Goal – how do we address that particular goal? (Writing policy that will change zoning is one of the best mitigation strategies…) Reduce the loss of life and injury resulting from all hazards. Reduce the impact of hazards on the town’s water bodies, natural resources, and historic resources. Reduce the economic impacts from hazard events. - Minimize disruption to the road network and maintain access, - Mitigate financial losses incurred by municipal, residential, industrial, agricultural and commercial establishments due to disasters, - Ensure that community infrastructure is not significantly damaged by a hazard event. - Being proactive in implementing any needed mitigation projects for public infrastructure such as roads, bridges, culverts, municipal buildings, etc. Encourage hazard mitigation planning to be incorporated into other community planning projects, such as the Town Plan, Capital Improvement Plan, and Town Basic Emergency Operation Plan Ensure that members of the general public continue to be part of the hazard mitigation planning process. Identification and Analysis of Mitigation Actions The Londonderry Hazard Mitigation Committee identified the following new hazard mitigation activities based on an evaluation of hazard event vulnerability. Are these current, done, deleted?? New buildings and infrastructure. A new, permanent bridge is planned to be built in 2012. During TS Irene, Cobbleridge Road bridge was taken out, but abutments stood. A temporary bridge is in place, but the town plans to make an expanded, longer bridge as a permanent replacement. Existing buildings and infrastructure. As a result of TS Irene, four homes along the West River have substantial damage. Grant applications are being written for the buy out of 2 homes and 2 businesses. Identification and Analysis of Mitigation Actions: National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) Compliance _______________________________________________________________________ Page 17 Single Jurisdiction Hazard Mitigation Plan Town of Londonderry, VT– 2/16/2016 NFIP Description: The Town of Londonderry has Flood Hazard Area Regulations as a standalone ordinance and currently participates in the National Flood Insurance Program which was updated in 2007. The updated FIRMs were made available to the town in the same year of 2007. The town went through the process of holding a public hearing giving citizens the opportunity to view the new maps. Additionally, Londonderry has no repetitive loss properties per FEMA’s definition. NFIP Action: The Town works with the elected officials, the state and FEMA to correct compliance issues, of which there are none. The local zoning administrator administers the flood regulations for the Town of Londonderry. Implementation of Mitigation Actions Mitigation actions are listed in priority order, with the most critical needs listed at the top of the list. The following criteria were used in establishing project priorities. The ranking of these criteria is largely based on the best available information and best judgment as many projects are not fully scoped out at this time. Does the action reduce damage? Does the action contribute to community objectives? Does the action meet existing regulations? Does the action protect historic structures or structures critical to town operations? Can the action be implemented quickly? Is the action socially acceptable? Is the action technically feasible? Is the action administratively possible? Is the action politically acceptable? Is the action legal? Does the action offer reasonable benefits compared to its cost of implementation? Is the action environmentally sound? Check these for current action items. HAZARD RESPONSIBLE BEING ACTION PARTY MITIGATED Tree Inventory High Winds to determine trees that will Road Foreman affect power lines High Winds Checking Culverts and Road Foreman under bridges debris jams Community High Winds Education and Outreach Program on Town Selectmen, how to EMD construct a residential safe room. Codes and Town Selectmen TIMEFRAME FUNDING SOURCE MITIGATION = M PREPAREDNESS =P Project Priority Annually Highway Dept. Budget Maintenance High After every significant wind storm Highway Department Budget 2 years Emergency Manageme nt Budget 1 year Town Maintenance High Mitigation Medium Medium _______________________________________________________________________ Page 18 Single Jurisdiction Hazard Mitigation Plan Town of Londonderry, VT– 2/16/2016 High Winds Flood Flood Standards – mandatory use of connectors and brackets with new construction Acquisition/Buy outs of properties substantially damaged along the West River Cobbleridge Road Bridge expansion Flood Winter/Ice Storm Winter Storm / Ice Storm Winter Storm / Ice Storm Winter Storm / Ice Storm All Hazards Goodevale Road embankment stabilization Checking Culverts and under bridges for ice and debris jams Provide backup power supply for critical facilities Bury power / utility lines into town critical facilities (schools, town office) Establishment of an Emergency Shelter at Flood Brook Elementary School - with generator Training of EMD for Level I certification and Town Officials in ICS 100 & 402 Budget, Emergency Manageme nt Budget Mitigation Mitigation Town Selectmen 1 year HMGP Town Selectmen / Road Foreman 2 years FEMA Public Assistance Road Foreman 1 year VTrans grant/DOT Road Foreman Every winter Highway Department Budget Maintenance High Selectmen, EMD 1 year Town Emergency Budget Mitigation High Selectmen 3-4 years Town Budget 1 year Red Cross Generator Grant 1 year Volunteer time / Training provided by HSU Selectmen / EMD Selectmen Mitigation Mitigation Mitigation High Medium High Medium Preparedness Medium Ppreparedness At the time of applying for FEMA’s PDM-C, FMA or HMGP grant programs, each project listed below will undergo the full benefit-cost analysis methodology (BCA version 4.5 and higher) to maximize savings. _______________________________________________________________________ Page 19 High Single Jurisdiction Hazard Mitigation Plan Town of Londonderry, VT– 2/16/2016 Fluvial Erosion Hazard Zones (FEH) Fluvial Erosion Mapping has not yet been done for the Town of Londonderry??. In acknowledgement that existing technical resources and land use guidance or regulatory authorities, such as the National Flood Insurance Program, do not adequately identify high risk areas for development along riparian corridors with respect to fluvial erosion hazards it is therefore deemed a high priority of this Hazard Mitigation Plan to provide the technical support for, and to develop and implement protection mechanisms at the local level that will serve to avoid land use investments that would be, over time, endangered by, incompatible or in conflict with fluvial adjustment and erosion processes. Fluvial assessments shall be conducted as guided by the VT ANR Fluvial Geomorphic Assessment Protocols, in the Town of Readsboro, as VT ANR deems necessary. No later than one year after completion of the fluvial geomorphic assessment, the town, under contract with the Regional Planning Commission, or other GIS mapping service provider, shall develop a fluvial erosion map. Such map shall be consistent with mapping standards and protocols developed by VT ANR. The Windham Regional Commission has recently been awarded grant funding for FY 2013-2014 under the Ecosystem Restoration Grant Program to conduct Phase 1 & Stream Geomorphic Assessments on the Winhall River, Wardsboro Brook and the Green River, all within the Windham Region. The Winhall River flows through a southern portion of the town where it joins with the West River. PLAN MAINTENANCE PROCESS Monitoring, Evaluating, and Updating the Plan The Town of Londonderry will continue to work with the Windham Regional Commission to monitor, evaluate, and update the plan throughout the next 5 year cycle. A review of the plan will take place each year by the emergency planner at the Windham Regional Commission along with the Town’s emergency planning committee to update the plan after any FEMA disaster declaration as well as any funding received from FEMA, to record any hazard related events, or to determine if the town is interested in applying for grant funding. Additionally, the emergency committee will assess ongoing hazard mitigation work and coordinate among stakeholders to identify structures and engineering projects that can help mitigate future hazardous events; e.g. bridge and culvert replacements, road replacements and grading, as well as any repetitive loss structures that may be in the Special Flood Hazard Area as identified on FEMA Flood Maps (e.g. FHBM and FIRM maps). Public input would also be included. Additionally, all plan review meetings will be publicized land open to the public. The plan and any proposed revisions will be on the jurisdictions website with information on how the public can direct questions/comments to the planning team. Incorporating into Existing Planning Mechanisms The following policies, programs and activities related to hazard mitigation are currently in place and/or being implemented in the town of Londonderry. The Committee analyzed these programs for their effectiveness and noted improvements needed. Londonderry uses all of the plans listed below to help plan for current and future activities with the town. For example: the Basic Emergency Operation Plan has a contact list that is used for response purposes in the case of a hazard event. The Town Plan directs visions and goals that include Natural Resources and LandUse. Road Standards are followed by the town and they do an annual culvert and bridge inventory that is mapped by the WRC. The town is compliant with the NFIP. _______________________________________________________________________ Page 20 Single Jurisdiction Hazard Mitigation Plan Town of Londonderry, VT– 2/16/2016 Description Effectiveness/Enforcement/ Hazard that is addressed Gaps in Existing Protection/Improvements Needed/Other Plan for coordinated town-wide planning for land use, municipal facilities, etc. Flooding Addressed Town Plan adopted in 2005, Geography section of this plan taken from Town Plan Town Basic Emergency Operation Plan Municipal procedures for emergency response Incident Command; Hazard Annexes included School Emergency Response Protocol School procedures for emergency response School Crisis Plan Type of Existing Protection Town Plan LEPC 6 Hazardous Materials Plan Mutual Aid – Emergency Services Mutual Aid – Public Works Road Standards Sewage Regulations Flood Hazard Area Regulations Procedures for hazmat and all hazards emergency response at regional level Agreement for regional coordinated emergency services Agreement for regional coordinated emergency highway maintenance services Design and construction standards for roads and drainage systems Regulates on-site sewage systems Regulates development in FEMA flood hazard areas LEPC 6 has the plan BEOP to be completed in 2012 after Town Meeting and adopted by Town Select board School Crisis Planning Team Facilitator currently meeting with schools and First Responders to asses gaps and offer solutions Continued involvement with the LEPC 6, including training for EMD certification and ICS training for Town Officials underway. Keene (NH) Mutual Aid – written agreement/contract for Fire/Ambulance and HazMat None identified Status Unknown Status Unknown Adopted VT State codes and standards. No major gaps identified State Regulations apply None Identified Flood Hazard Overlay District within Zoning Bylaw – enforced by Zoning Administrator Revised in 2007 to include new FEMA DFIRM’s. National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) Site Plan Review (SPR) Provides ability for residents to acquire flood insurance NFIP member updated September 2007 None Identified Site development standards Town Zoning Regulations None Identified Maintenance Programs Bridge & Culvert Inventory Updated in 2006 Completed Annually None Identified _______________________________________________________________________ Page 21 Single Jurisdiction Hazard Mitigation Plan Town of Londonderry, VT– 2/16/2016 Building Code Regulates building construction standards Wetland protection – VT Wetland Rules Protected by 1990 Vermont Wetland Rules Through Labor and Industry Protection of environment, water resources, wildlife, biota NA None Identified _______________________________________________________________________ Page 22 Single Jurisdiction Hazard Mitigation Plan Town of Londonderry, VT– 2/16/2016 APPENDICES A. Sign-in Sheet for Emergency Planning Committee Meeting B. Public Participation Documentation _______________________________________________________________________ Page 23 Single Jurisdiction Hazard Mitigation Plan Town of Londonderry, VT– 2/16/2016 Appendix A: Sign-in Sheet(s) for Town of Londonderry Hazard Mitigation Plan meeting. Need current sign-in sheets. _______________________________________________________________________ Page 24 Single Jurisdiction Hazard Mitigation Plan Town of Londonderry, VT– 2/16/2016 _______________________________________________________________________ Page 25 Single Jurisdiction Hazard Mitigation Plan Town of Londonderry, VT– 2/16/2016 _______________________________________________________________________ Page 26 Single Jurisdiction Hazard Mitigation Plan Town of Londonderry, VT– 2/16/2016 Public Notice advertising availability of Londonderry Hazard Plan for review and public comment. Put current ad here. _______________________________________________________________________ Page 27