COASTAL COMMUNITIES IN EASTERN ENGLAND A commentary on the statistics Christina Beatty and Steve Fothergill Centre for Regional Economic and Social Research Sheffield Hallam University July 2010 Scope of the data The figures presented in the accompanying tables cover 27 coastal communities in the East of England. The list of places includes all significant coastal settlements in the region with a resident population of more than 1,5001. This lower threshold is set by the size of Lower Super Output Areas (LSOAs), the smallest geographical units for which a range of socio-economic data is presently available. 12 of the coastal communities in Eastern England were previously included in ‘benchmarking’ studies commissioned by central government covering England’s principal seaside towns2 and smaller seaside towns3. A further 6 of the communities were included in a recent study of seaside tourism by the same Sheffield Hallam team4. The remaining 9 coastal communities were identified by GO-East for the purpose of the present study. They include a number of residential settlements along or near to the coast that did not fall within the scope of the earlier studies, which focussed primarily on ‘resorts’. The detailed definition of each of the communities, in terms of LSOAs, is set out at the end of the tables. The definitions are those developed by the Sheffield Hallam team for the earlier studies5 or proposed by GO-East6. 1 Southwold has a resident population below this threshold, at 1,200, covered by a single LSOA. 2 C Beatty, S Fothergill and I Wilson (2008) England’s Seaside Towns: a ‘benchmarking’ study, CLG, London. This covers Great Yarmouth, Lowestoft, Clacton and Southend. 3 C Beatty, S Fothergill and I Wilson (2010 forthcoming) England’s Smaller Seaside Towns: a ‘benchmarking’ study, CLG, London. This covers Hunstanton, Wells, Sheringham, Cromer, Mundesley, Southwold, Aldeburgh, and West Mersea. 4 C Beatty, S Fothergill, T Gore and I Wilson (2010) The Seaside Tourist Industry in England and Wales: employment, economic output, location and trends, CRESR, Sheffield Hallam University. This also includes Hemsby, Hopton, Kessingland, Felixstowe, Harwich and Frinton/Walton. 5 The exception is Clacton. Jaywick is defined as a separate community in the present study, rather than included within the boundaries of Clacton. 6 As modified for consistency by the Sheffield Hallam team in a small number of cases. 1 The statistics presented in the tables for the 27 communities replicate those in the two benchmarking studies. Where possible the figures have all been updated to reflect the most recent data. This means that for the larger towns the relevant figures are two years more up-to-date, and for the smaller towns one year. The more recent figures in the present tables and the use of a wider definition of ‘coastal communities’ means that much of the data presented here is not precisely comparable with the information in the earlier benchmarking studies. However, the consistency in the definition of places means that, with caution, comparisons between the figures presented here and the previously published figures for seaside towns elsewhere in England are both possible and reasonable. Where possible, the tables provide figures not only for individual communities but also the averages or totals for: The region’s larger coastal communities (more than 10,000 pop) The region’s smaller coastal communities (less than 10,000 pop) The region’s coastal communities as a whole East of England England The distinction between larger and smaller communities is helpful because the larger towns tend to swamp the regional averages. Southend-on-Sea for example, with164,000 residents, has a population more than twice as large as the combined population of the 18 smallest coastal communities in the region. This point needs to be kept in mind in interpreting the averages for the region’s coastal communities. Commentary on the tables Population Eastern England’s 27 coastal communities include almost exactly onetenth of the region’s resident population. Approaching 30 per cent of the resident population of the 27 coastal communities is in Southend-on-Sea. The three largest coastal communities – Southend, Lowestoft and Great Yarmouth – account for half the total resident population. The 18 smallest coastal communities, each with a resident population of less than 10,000, account for just under 15 per cent of the total. 2 Eastern England’s coastal communities population of 570,000 compares with a total population in England’s larger and smaller seaside towns (as defined in the earlier benchmarking studies) of 3.1m, and around 3.5m including all the places in England covered in the seaside tourism study. Population growth Between 2001 and 2008 the resident population of the East of England’s coastal communities grew by on average around half a per cent a year. This growth is in line with the England average, but slightly slower than the average for the Eastern region. The population growth has, on average, taken place at much the same rate in larger and smaller coastal communities. There has however been some diversity of experience between individual places. The apparently large percentage decline in Southwold is unusual but represents small absolute numbers and could reflect the impact of second homes. The North Norfolk coast, from near King’s Lynn to just north of Great Yarmouth, appears to be an area of slow if not stagnant population growth, in contrast to the faster growth along the Essex coast. The average population growth in the East of England’s coastal communities is marginally faster than the average for the English seaside towns covered in the benchmarking studies. Age structure of the population The region’s coastal communities have a markedly old population. This is particularly the case in the smaller communities. In some places, notably Southwold, Aldeburgh, Frinton/Walton, Heacham and Hunstanton, the share of the population over state pension age – at over 40 per cent – is extreme. The share of the population over state pension age is above the England average in every one of the 27 coastal communities, and above the East of England average in all but King’s Lynn. The high proportion of residents above state pension age is not unusual. A similar population structure has previously been identified in England’s other seaside towns, especially smaller resorts. 3 Employment Including the self-employed, some 230,000 people are estimated to work in the East of England’s coastal communities. This represents around 8.5 per cent of the total number of jobs in the region – rather less than coastal communities’ 10 per cent share of the region’s population. The difference will reflect the high proportion of retirees along the coast but may also reflect net commuting flows to inland locations, for example from Southend to London. Employment growth Over the period from 2003-04 to 2007-08, mostly pre-dating the recession (more recent data is not yet available), overall employment in Eastern England’s coastal communities was largely unchanged, in contrast to the growth in the region and England as a whole. There does however appear to be considerable diversity in trends between individual places – though these very local figures must be treated with caution in view of the sampling error in ABI employment data. The weak employment growth along the East of England coast is consistent with the observation in the recent Seaside Tourism report7 that Eastern England is the one region where there appears to have been a small net decline in seaside tourism employment over the last decade. Employment by sector 7 30 per cent of the jobs in Eastern England’s coastal communities are in public administration, education and health. This is higher than the regional and national averages, and in part will reflect the communities’ important role as residential settlements for retirees and commuters. Distribution (inc. shops), hotels and restaurant is the next biggest sector, at 28 per cent of the total, and 38 per cent on average in the smaller coastal communities. This is the sector that includes many tourism jobs and its share of total employment is a useful guide to the extent to which different coastal communities depend on seaside tourism. The high proportion of jobs in the region’s smaller coastal communities in distribution, hotels and restaurants is a feature shared by other smaller seaside towns around the coast of England. C Beatty, S Fothergill, T Gore and I Wilson (2010) op cit. 4 Employment rate The employment rate – the share of adults of working age in employment – is well below the regional and national average. There is however considerable variation between individual coastal communities. An estimated employment rate of 48 per cent in Jaywick is extremely low by any standards, whereas Southwold at 79 per cent is relatively high. The low employment rates in Great Yarmouth (65 per cent) and Clacton (also 65 per cent) are worth noting since these are two of the more substantial coastal settlements in the region. Occupational structure The occupational structure of the region’s coastal communities is on average skewed towards lower-grade jobs, compared to either regional or England averages. The low-grade occupational structure is particularly marked in a number of the larger towns including King’s Lynn, Great Yarmouth, Lowestoft, Harwich and Clacton (but not Southend). The region’s smaller coastal communities often have a higher share of managers and professionals, perhaps reflecting a role as desirable places to live, but there are exceptions where the proportion is low, notably Jaywick and Canvey Island. Qualifications On average, the region’s coastal communities have a relatively poorly qualified working age population, with a proportion with no formal qualifications that is above the regional and England averages. This observation applies on average to small as well as large coastal communities, though there are exceptions. Jaywick stands out as having an exceptionally high proportion of working age residents with no formal qualifications. Southwold is at the other end of the spectrum. 5 Educational achievement Educational achievement, measured by the proportion of pupils gaining 5 or more A-Cs at GCSE, is well below the regional and national averages. There is however considerable variation between individual coastal communities – the range is from 43 per cent in Jaywick and 44 per cent in Hunstanton to 86 per cent in Hopton. Benefit claimant rates The overall working age benefit claimant rate is well above the regional and England averages. This is particularly the case in larger coastal communities. The figures here are all for November 2009, which is the most recent date for which figures on all the three main working age benefits are available. The average working age claimant rate in Eastern England’s coastal communities is nevertheless lower, by some margin, than in many parts of Britain: in the worst 100 GB districts outside London the working age claimant rate averages more than 18 per cent. Several of the region’s coastal communities, notably Great Yarmouth (23 per cent), Clacton (20 per cent) and Jaywick (36 per cent) do however have very high claimant rates. The numbers out-of-work on benefits are dominated by incapacity claimants (IB/SDA/ESA) rather than by the claimant unemployed on Jobseeker’s Allowance. This is not unusual for coastal communities or the UK as a whole. Trends in benefit numbers In the ten years to November 2009 the average working age benefit claimant rate in the region’s coastal communities rose by around one percentage point – but this hides a fall up to the recession in 2008 and an increase thereafter. There is modest variation in the increase between places. Jaywick stands out as having experienced an unusually large increase (6 percentage points). Overall working age benefit numbers have increased a little more slowly than in the region as a whole, especially in the smaller coastal communities. 6 Incapacity benefit claims have increased in the region’s coastal communities, a trend mirrored in other seaside towns around the coast of England. Pensioner poverty The share of pensioners in receipt of Pension Credits (a measure of pensioners on low income) is higher than the regional average but not greatly out of line with the England average. A number of mainly smaller coastal communities (for example Southwold, Aldeburgh and West Mersea) have relatively low proportions claiming Pension Credits. Housing benefits Housing Benefit and Council Tax Benefit are on average more widely claimed in the region’s larger coastal communities than in the smaller settlements (though Jaywick is an important exception). Overall, the claimant rate for these two housing-related benefits is ahead of the regional and England averages. Seasonal unemployment Seasonal fluctuations in claimant unemployment are surprisingly modest – an average of just 0.5 percentage points – considering the importance of seaside tourism to some of the local economies. This seasonal fluctuation in claimant unemployment is in line with trends elsewhere around much of the English coast, but greater than the averages for the region and England as a whole, which show negligible seasonable fluctuations. There is a stretch of the Norfolk coast from Mundesley to Great Yarmouth where seasonal unemployment is more significant. Impact of recession on claimant unemployment The comparison between claimant unemployment rates in January 2008 and January 2010, which avoids any distortion arising from seasonal unemployment, shows that on average the region’s coastal communities have been marginally more badly affected by the recession than Eastern England or England as a whole. 7 The impact of the recession on claimant unemployment has tended to be greater in the larger coastal communities than in the smaller places. Earnings Average earnings of residents in the districts containing the region’s coastal communities tend to be some way below the average for the Eastern region of for England as a whole. The notable exception concerns the southern part of the Essex coast, where presumably long-distance commuting into London begins to influence the figures. Low earnings are a characteristic of seaside towns elsewhere in Britain, noted in the earlier benchmarking studies. Business stock On average the stock of VAT registered businesses, in relation to population, is a little below national and regional levels in the districts where the region’s coastal communities are located. The rate of business formation, measured by new VAT registrations, is also below national and regional averages. There is however variation around the coast with parts of Essex, for example, having a high business stock and a high rate of business formation. Migrant workers The in-flow of migrant workers, measured by new National Insurance registrations by non-UK nationals, has been fairly high in the King’s Lynn area and in Great Yarmouth but lower elsewhere around the region’s coast. Economic output Gross Value Added (GVA) per head is consistently below the England and regional average in the sub-regions in which Eastern England’s coastal communities are found. This will reflect the composition of local employment as well as a range of other factors. 8 Across England as a whole, GVA per head tends to be below the national average in just about all the areas that include seaside towns, so Eastern England is not unusual. Housing tenure Compared to England and regional average, coastal communities in Eastern England tend to have a slightly above average share of owner occupiers, an above average share in private rented accommodation and a below average share in social rented housing. This is a pattern of housing tenure that is replicated in seaside towns elsewhere in Britain. There is important variation in housing tenure between individual coastal communities in the region. Overcrowded households The proportion of households living in overcrowded conditions is on average not high, nor a great deal different from the regional average, but there are again important variations between individual coastal communities. Basic amenities The proportion of housing lacking basic amenities tends in practice to mostly reflect the absence of central heating. Overall, the region’s coastal communities are in line with the England average, but lack basic amenities to a rather greater extent than the regional average. There are again large variations between individual places – the figures for Great Yarmouth and for Jaywick are particularly high. Deprivation The figures presented here show the average ranking on the 2007 Indices of Deprivation of the LSOAs that make up each coastal community. A low score indicates a high level of deprivation; a high score indicates a low level. There are 32,482 LSOAs across England as a whole, so an average ranking below 16,242 indicates that a settlement has an above average level of deprivation. Because of the averaging process across deprived and more prosperous LSOAs within a town, very high or very low average rankings are on the whole unlikely. An average ranking of, say, 8,000 may in fact mean that a town is among the most deprived in England. 9 The 2007 Indices of Deprivation include a number of ‘domains’ as well as an overall ranking. Figures for each of these domains are presented as well as statistics on overall deprivation. In terms of overall deprivation, the East of England’s coastal communities appear slightly more deprived than England as a whole: 15 of the 27 communities have an average ranking below 16,242 placing them as worse than average. The worst 10 coastal communities in the region in terms of overall deprivation are, ranked in order of deprivation: Jaywick Great Yarmouth Clacton Lowestoft Cromer Hunstanton Harwich Kessingland Winterton on Sea King’s Lynn The least deprived 10 coastal communities, on the same indicator, ranked from the least deprived, are: Aldeburgh Tollesbury West Mersea Burnham on Crouch Felixstowe Southwold Brightlingsea Sheringham Hopton Frinton/Walton Broadly speaking, the dimensions of deprivation that are most marked in the region’s coastal communities concern income, employment and education/skills. The Indices of Deprivation suggest that in most of the region’s coastal communities there is little problem associated with barriers to housing and services, crime or living environment. 10 Assessment How do coastal communities compare with the rest of the region? The data shows Eastern England’s coastal communities to be, on average, an economically weak part of the region. This is reflected in a range of statistics such as benefit claimant rates, the employment rate, and a below average level of skills, as well as in more narrowly economic data such as average earnings and GVA per head in the local economy. On the other hand, this economic weakness is only rarely acute and it needs to be kept in mind that the East of England, taken as a whole, is one of the UK’s more prosperous regions. The differences between coastal communities and the rest of the region are however ones of function as much as prosperity. The region’s coastal communities emerge as favoured places for retirees, especially the smaller towns. Several are also self-evidently seaside resorts, which is reflected in the high proportion of jobs in distribution, hotels and restaurants and associated seasonal unemployment and low wages. How do they compare with seaside towns elsewhere around the coast? The socio-economic profile of Eastern England’s coastal communities is actually on the whole little different from that of seaside towns in other English regions, as documented in the earlier benchmarking studies. It would appear that there are certain features that most coastal communities share, which is perhaps hardly surprising given the long history and continuing role of many of them as resorts and tourist destinations. These common features include a concentration of employment in a narrow range of sectors, the persistence of worklessness on benefit, most especially incapacity benefits, and a nexus of low wages and low skills, as well as a characteristic seaside pattern of housing tenure. What about the differences between places? Whilst on average there are common patterns and features, it is nevertheless important to recognise the limits of generalisation. What all the coastal communities in Eastern England share is an exposure to the sea, and in most cases an important element of tourism in the local economy. But what is also clear is that the averages hide a great deal of diversity. Some coastal communities are markedly more prosperous than others. This is true looking around the coast of England as a whole, and within the Eastern region. On a wide range of socio-economic indicators, Jaywick or Canvey Island does not look very much like Aldeburgh or Southwold, or Great 11 Yarmouth like Southend. Often this is because these are very different places in terms of their economy or their appeal to different income groups. If there is an important lesson from the socio-economic statistics, therefore, it is that a ‘one size fits all’ approach may not always be appropriate for the region’s coastal communities. 12