Journal of Geophysical Research – Earth Surface Supporting Information for Recent topographic evolution and erosion of the deglaciated Washington Cascades inferred from a stochastic landscape evolution model] Seulgi Moon, Eitan Shelef , George E. Hilley Department of Geological and Environmental Sciences, Stanford University, Stanford, CA 94305 Contents of this file Text S1 Figures S1 to S7 Additional Supporting Information (Files uploaded separately) Tables S1 Introduction The supporting information contains one text file (Text S1) that describes details of the model discretization and 7 supplementary figures (Figures S1 to S7). One supplementary table (Table S1) is included as additional supporting information. The figures provide additional information on studied region, model parameter calibration, and simulation model results. Text S1. The spatial resolution and time step of the landscape evolution model are determined by the spatial resolution of input datasets, the spatial and temporal domain of our model, the computational time to run simulations, and assumptions about geomorphic transport laws. Because we are modeling landscapes with large spatial extents (~140 × 130 km2) over long timescales (~1 Myr), we used a relatively coarse spatial resolution DEM (100-m resolution) and a long time step (100 yr) in the simulations to reduce the computation time. The 100-mresolution of the DEM is between the resolutions of available topographic and precipitation products; topography was downsampled from a 30-m-resolution DEM, and mean annual precipitation (MAP) was resampled from an 800-m-resolution dataset [PRISM, 2006]. The grid cell size of 100 m × 100 m is within the range of most frequent landslide size [Hovius et al., 1997; Stark and Hovius, 2001]. The temporal resolution of the model is determined by the spatial resolution of the DEM and two assumptions about landslide GTLs. In scenario SD, we assumed that failed rockslide material is evacuated during the model time step. In scenario SS, we assumed that a 1 1-m thickness of soil was available for removal at each time step; in this case, a 1-m thick volume of soil is produced and transported during each model time step. The longer time step (>100 yr) is preferred given the large amount of available bedrock landslide material and the potential rate of soil production (~0.3 mm/yr). However, the maximum time step is limited in the implementation of landslide GTLs. For each topographic grid cell, we calculated the probability of failure within a time step by multiplying the failure density P (landslides m–2 yr–1) by the topographic cell size and the time interval. For example, for a topographic grid cell size of 100 m × 100 m and P = 1.0 × 10–6 m–2 yr–1, the failure probability will exceed 1 at time intervals of >100 yr. If the number of topographic grid cells with failure probabilities exceeding 1 is large, and if landslide occurrences are synchronous, then the spatial variations of the occurrences and the interactions between occurrences and other postglacial surface processes cannot be resolved in our model simulation. In this circumstance, a time step of <100 yr is required. To determine a time step value that takes into account both the spatial resolution of datasets and model assumptions, we performed an additional simulation with a time step of 1000 yr with parameters of scenario SD1. Both simulations show similar distributions of 5 kyraveraged denudation rates and response timescales (see Figures 6 and S7, respectively). Denudation rates averaged over 1000-yr time intervals (gray points, Figures 6 and S7) show less variation than those averaged over 100-yr time intervals. While our model uses a relatively coarse spatial resolution and long time step, such approximations are necessary to resolve a mountain-scale landscape response over a millennial-year timescale. For our study, we use a D8 routing scheme for simplicity, computational efficiency, and consistency between the flow routing schemes used for drainage area calculation and the calculation of slope and failure index in landslide GTL. This scheme is also preferred in situation where the hillslope extent and channel width are smaller than or comparable to DEM resolution (Shelef and Hilley 2013), such that dispersing flow through a multiple-flow-direction routing scheme such as Dinf is likely to unrealistically shift flow out of channels and into neighboring hillslopes. In addition, the basinaveraged failure index using D8 and Dinf vary < 3% and show a strong correlation (R2=0.999), so the impact of using different routing schemes on calibrating failure density will be minimal in our case. However, in small-scale applications of our model, the spatial resolution of input datasets, the time step of the simulation, and the flow routing scheme would require refinement, according to the purposes of the study. For example, we discussed how single grid cell failures can generate a wave of incision by landslides by increasing upstream slope angles. Possibly, the occurrence of multiple failures on low-slope surfaces would accelerate those propagations and produce increased denudation rates during initial time steps. Boyd, T. G., and L. M. Vaugeois (2003), On the development of a statewide landslide inventory, paper presented at Geological Society of America, Abstracts with Programs. Hovius, N., C. P. Stark, and P. A. Allen (1997), Sediment flux from a mountain belt derived by landslide mapping, Geology, 25(3), 231-234, doi:10.1130/00917613(1997)025<0231:sffamb>2.3.co;2. PRISM (2006), United States Average Monthly or Annual Precipitation, 1971 - 2000, edited, The PRISM Group at Oregon State University, Corvallis, Oregon, USA. 2 Reiners, P. W., T. A. Ehlers, J. I. Garver, S. G. Mitchell, D. R. Montgomery, J. A. Vance, and S. Nicolescu (2002), Late Miocene exhumation and uplift of the Washington Cascade Range, Geology, 30(9), 767-770. Reiners, P. W., T. A. Ehlers, S. G. Mitchell, and D. R. Montgomery (2003), Coupled spatial variations in precipitation and long-term erosion rates across the Washington Cascades, Nature, 426(6967), 645-647. Shelef, E., and G. E. Hilley (2013), Impact of flow routing on catchment area calculations, slope estimates, and numerical simulations of landscape development, Journal of Geophysical Research: Earth Surface, 118(4), 2105-2123, doi:10.1002/jgrf.20127. Stark, C. P., and N. Hovius (2001), The characterization of landslide size distributions, Geophysical Research Letters, 28(6), 1091-1094, doi:10.1029/2000GL008527. Figure S1. Map of uplift and precipitation rates. a) The interpolated map of long-term uplift rates using A-He ages [Reiners et al., 2002; Reiners et al., 2003]. b) The map of mean annual precipitation from 1971 to 2000. 3 Figure S2. a) Geometric construction of landslide thickness d for scenario SD. The elevation before and after slope failure, Z and Zf, are calculated based on geometry of topographic slope (S) and maximum stable failed slope (Sf) with horizontal distance x. b) Probability distribution of slope from landslides from Boyd and Vaugeois, [2003]. Figure S3. Joint probability density functions of model parameters from scenario SS. 4 Figure S4. The evolution of denudation rates from postglacial processes based on scenario SS1. 5 Figure S5. The temporal evolution of denudation rates from postglacial processes based on scenario SD2. 6 Figure S6. The spatial distributions of time-averaged denudation rates over 0-40 kyr, 4080 kyr, and 80-120 kyr for a-c) SD1 and d-f) SS1 in the extent of model domain. Warm colors, drawn on a shaded relief map at the initial time (0, 40, and 80 kyr), represent higher denudation rates. 7 Figure S7. The evolution of denudation rates from postglacial processes based on SD1 with 1000 yr time step. 8