Third Quarter 2013 Lord Mayor’s Brisbane Economic Snapshot Latest Indicators Brisbane achieves record international visitor and expenditure numbers The latest tourism snapshot reports that 985’000 international visitors came to Brisbane over the 12 months ending March 2013, an increase of 81’000 visitors over the previous year. The data also reveals that international tourists are staying in Brisbane longer. The total number of nights spent in Brisbane by international visitors grew by 15.6%, resulting in an increase in the average length of stay to 20.4 nights. It is estimated that international visitors spent around $1.58 billion in the local economy over the last 12 months1. Key drivers of international visitation to Brisbane include holiday, training, and employment related reasons. Brisbane’s population growing faster than national average The Australian Bureau of Statistics has released new regional population estimates, giving an indication of Brisbane’s population growth. During 2011-12 financial year: • the Brisbane Local Government Area increased by 19,900 persons • Metropolitan Brisbane increased by 42,400 persons • Metropolitan Brisbane recorded an annual growth rate of 2%, faster than the state and national averages of 1.9% and 1.6% respectively. Property market strengthening New data on Brisbane’s property market supports the expectation of future economic growth. Residential - Brisbane has experienced a 12.6% increase in house sales and an 18% increase in apartment sales over 2012. The HIA-Commonwealth Bank Housing Affordability Index now lists Brisbane as the most affordable mainland state capital for residential premises. Office - Over 2013, Brisbane expects to see the largest increase in office supply of all Australian Capitals (76,665m2), with 81% of new supply entering the market already pre-sold. Retail - Brisbane saw a 5% increase in retail rents over the last year, in contrast to all other Australian capitals which remained steady. This is indicative of a strong performing retail sector in Brisbane. Indicator Annual data unless specified Value of Brisbane’s Economy (June 2012) 1 Region Brisbane LGA1 N/A Tourism Queensland, Brisbane Regional Snapshot, 2013 Greater Brisbane2 $135 Billion* Employment (July 2013) 798,300 1,074,800 Unemployment Rate (July 2013) 5.7% 5.7% Population (July 2012) 1,109,664 2,126,986 1 Brisbane Local Government Area 2 Brisbane Statistical Division, made up of Brisbane, Ipswich, Logan, Moreton Bay, and Redlands Local Government areas * Source: Brisbane City Council Estimate. Source (ALL): Australian Bureau of Statistics Transport and City Building As the engine rooms of our national economy, cities drive productivity and investment by concentrating economic activity. Industries located in Australia’s cities have been growing faster than their regional and suburban counterparts. The concentration of employees, customers and competitors drive productivity growth for city businesses. Business growth in cities is facilitated through building the transport networks that ease accessibility for workers and businesses. In Brisbane, the introduction of high frequency buses moving along dedicated busways, green bridges, bikeway investments, and upgrades to the road network are all contributing to productivity growth. Legacy Way, the final link in Brisbane’s TransApex city ringroad, is due for completion by 2015. This $1.5 billion project will ease congestion in Brisbane’s inner city and significantly reduce travel times across the whole city. Brisbane’s transport investments have ensured that 83% of residents are able to get to work within 45 minutes2. This is an excellent result; research on world cities indicates that travel times above 45 minutes, irrespective of travel mode, can adversely affect business investment and growth. While commuter demand is growing in line with population growth, Brisbane’s freight task is growing even faster. With ongoing globalisation, freight volumes per person are increasing rapidly and the cost of transporting goods is rising as a share of final prices paid by businesses and consumers. Freight transport is a major driver of urban transport demand and poses the next big challenge for Australia’s cities3. 2 3 Brisbane City Council, Omnibus Survey, 2012. Department of Infrastructure and Transport, State of Australian Cities¸2012. New infrastructure projects - such as Legacy Way and the planned Kingsford Smith Drive upgrade – will improve the efficiency of freight movement and ensure Brisbane keeps pace with demand. Transport in Brisbane Over the decade to 2011, transport was the third largest contributor to Brisbane’s economic growth4. In 2011 the transport industry contributed over $68.5 billion to the Australian economy, with $9.45 billion of that output generated in Brisbane5. Figure 1 shows Brisbane’s relative share of national transport output. The transport industry is the largest contributor to investment activity in Brisbane, with combined public and private sector transport and storage projects accounting for $7.4 billion (53%) of total project expenditure in the city6. As Brisbane becomes further integrated into the global economy, transport and warehousing is expected to grow in importance. Figure 2 shows that between 2001 and 2011 the transport sector grew significantly faster than the rest of the economy. 4 Queensland Department of Treasury, Experimental GRP Estimates, 2013 Australian Bureau of Statistics, 2012 6 Deloitte Access Economics, Investment Monitor, June 2013 5 The resources boom played a major part in this growth, with 8.85 million tonnes of coal transported by rail to the port of Brisbane in 2011-127. Though coal is primarily transported along rail infrastructure, the majority of other freight (approximately 67% of Queensland’s total freight by volume) uses the road network8. The growth in international online shopping is also accelerating demand for transport and warehousing. The Port of Brisbane has forecast that truck movements along Brisbane roads could triple by 2031 alongside increases in container trade9. A further 17,600 employees will be required for transport and distribution activities over the next 20 years10. Additionally the application of innovative logistics will drive efficiency improvements in the sector. There are significant economic benefits to the state economy from international trade and globalisation, and Brisbane acts as the primary trade-city connecting Queensland to the rest of the world. With the Port of Brisbane handling 13.6% of Australia’s container trade11, as well being a major resources export hub, Brisbane’s Australia TradeCoast is one of the nation’s largest and fastest growing trade districts. AB Volvo Manufacturing 7 Port of Brisbane, 2012 Centre for Transport Energy and The Environment, 2011 9 Port of Brisbane, 2013 10 National Institute of Economic and Industry Research, 2009 11 Port of Brisbane, 2012 8 AB Volvo marked 40 years in Brisbane with the launch of its newest truck in Queen Street Mall in May 2013. The Swedish Company began operations in 1972 and since then has produced more than 47,000 trucks for the Australian transport industry. The company’s Wacol factory employs 500 workers, including 60 engineers specifically employed to design and test new components from scratch. In the last five years $25 million has been invested into improving the plant, indicating a clear intention to continue production in Brisbane. AB Volvo’s commitment to operating in Brisbane is a testament to the city’s capacity to support world class manufacturing. Australia Tradecoast Port of Brisbane handles 50% of state international trade and 95% of all container cargo. Brisbane Airport is the third busiest in Australia, averaging 5.4% annual passenger growth. Business News Asia Pacific Cities Summit 2013 ‘Reshaping the Urbanomics of Cities’ will be the theme of the next Asia-Pacific Cities Summit, to be held in Kaohsiung from 9-11 September. Business matching activities present great opportunities for local businesses to connect with potential customers and markets round the world. For more information on the Summit, the business opportunities available, and how to register, visit www.apcsummit.org or contact 133 BNE (263). Lord Mayor’s Business Awards 2013 Now in their eighth year, the Lord Mayor’s Business Awards will be announced at the Annual Gala Dinner on 11 October. These awards celebrate the enterprising and innovative business leaders who have made a significant contribution to the growth of Brisbane’s economy. For more information visit www.lmba.com.au or call 133 BNE (263). Lord Mayor’s Business Forums A series of free workshops held across Brisbane for businesses. Successful local business entrepreneurs will provide valuable insights from their own experiences and offer practical tips to help local businesses grow. Brisbane City Council experts from a number of areas such as licensing, local laws, development assessment, customer service and tendering for Council will also be available to discuss your business needs. For forum details visit www.brisbane.qld.gov.au/business or call 133 BNE (263). Brisbane Recognised in [In]Sight Index The Regional Australia Institute has launched a new index to identify the most competitive regions in Australia across a broad range of indicators. Brisbane was recognised as the best local government in Australia for supporting business, and also scored highly on economic fundamentals and infrastructure. For more information on the [In]Sight Index visit insightregionalaustralia.org.au *The information in this newsletter provides general information on the Brisbane economy, and is not intended to be relied upon for commercial decisions. While care is taken to ensure accuracy, Council disclaims all liability for any expenses, losses, damages or costs you might incur as a result of this content being inaccurate or incomplete. ** For more information, visit www.brisbane.qld.gov.au or email economic_development@brisbane.qld.gov.au. To make a business-related enquiry, call Council’s 24 hour Brisbane Business Hotline on 133 BNE (133 263).