Dataset Title
Dataset Long Title
Land use
Land use for the seven SCENES regions for 2000 and 2050 under 4 different socio-economic scenarios and 2 different climate projections.
Pan-Europe (Europe including the Mediterranean rim countries of North Africa and the Near East) Region
Time Period
Spatial Resolution
2000 and 2050
SCENES Regions
Scenarios
Unit scenarios: Economy First, Fortress Europe,
Policy Rules, Sustainability Eventually km 2
Short description of the dataset
Short interpretation of the dataset
(How do you explain the causes and resulting effects?)
Land use changes were modeled with LandSHIFT on the basis of CLC 2000 for EU countries and GLCC for the other countries for the base year 2000 and the 2050s. Thereby, four different socio-economic scenarios (EcF, FoE,
PoR and SuE) and two different climate projections (IPCM4-A2 and MIMR-A2) were considered. For the presentation in the WebService, country values were aggregated for the SCENES regions: Eastern Europe central,
Eastern Europe eastern, Northern Africa, Northern Europe, Southern Europe, Western Asia and Western Europe.
For all regions and scenarios, an increase in ‘urban and settlement’ area can be found. Except for Northern Africa, the same applies to ‘set aside’ area. For all five European regions a decrease in cropland is calculated in which
EcF shows the minor changes, SuE the highest. Especially for Northern Africa a huge increase in cropland is calculated for EcF and FoE whereas the increases for PoR and SuE are moderate. In this region the MIMR-A2 related simulations lead to a larger extent in cropland compared to IPCM4-A2 driven results. This is due to higher yields under IPCM4-A2 climate conditions. In general, the differences in land use between the IPCM4-A2 and
MIMR-A2 driven model simulations are small.
Underlying definitions
Related Publications
(references to papers, websites etc.)
EEA (2007). Corine Land Cover 2000 – Mapping a decade of change; EEA, Copenhagen, Denmark; http://dataservice.eea.europa.eu/dataservice/metadetails.asp?id=1008 .
Schaldach, R., and Koch, J. (2009). Conceptual design and implementation of a model for the integrated simulation of large-scale land-use systems. In: Athanasiadis, P.A. Mitkas, A.E. Rizzoli & J. Marx-Gómez (eds.)
Information Technologies in Environmental Engineering, Springer Berlin Heidelberg, 425-438.
USGS (2006). GLCC – Global Land Cover Characterization; http://edc2.usgs.gov/glcc/ http://www.usf.uni-kassel.de/cesr/index.php?option=com_project&task=view_detail&agid=27&lang=en
Filename
Model
Date of creation
-
LandSHIFT
15.03.2011
Format
Project charts
SCENES
Dataset Provider
Author of Provision Form
Contact for further information
Center for Environmental Systems Research, University of Kassel
Christof Schneider, Center for Environmental Systems Research, Kurt-Wolters-Str.3, 34109 Kassel schneider@usf.uni-kassel.de, Phone: +49.561.804.3913, Fax: +49.561.804.3176
Jennifer Koch, Center for Environmental Systems Research, Kurt-Wolters-Str.3, 34109 Kassel koch@usf.uni-kassel.de, Phone: +49.561.804.3900, Fax: +49.561.804.3176