GWSP Digital Water Atlas

advertisement

SCENES

Envisioning the Future of Water in Europe

Dataset / Map Provision Form

Dataset Title

Dataset Long Title

Land use

Land use for the seven SCENES regions for 2000 and 2050 under 4 different socio-economic scenarios and 2 different climate projections.

Pan-Europe (Europe including the Mediterranean rim countries of North Africa and the Near East) Region

Time Period

Spatial Resolution

2000 and 2050

SCENES Regions

Scenarios

Unit scenarios: Economy First, Fortress Europe,

Policy Rules, Sustainability Eventually km 2

Short description of the dataset

Short interpretation of the dataset

(How do you explain the causes and resulting effects?)

Land use changes were modeled with LandSHIFT on the basis of CLC 2000 for EU countries and GLCC for the other countries for the base year 2000 and the 2050s. Thereby, four different socio-economic scenarios (EcF, FoE,

PoR and SuE) and two different climate projections (IPCM4-A2 and MIMR-A2) were considered. For the presentation in the WebService, country values were aggregated for the SCENES regions: Eastern Europe central,

Eastern Europe eastern, Northern Africa, Northern Europe, Southern Europe, Western Asia and Western Europe.

For all regions and scenarios, an increase in ‘urban and settlement’ area can be found. Except for Northern Africa, the same applies to ‘set aside’ area. For all five European regions a decrease in cropland is calculated in which

EcF shows the minor changes, SuE the highest. Especially for Northern Africa a huge increase in cropland is calculated for EcF and FoE whereas the increases for PoR and SuE are moderate. In this region the MIMR-A2 related simulations lead to a larger extent in cropland compared to IPCM4-A2 driven results. This is due to higher yields under IPCM4-A2 climate conditions. In general, the differences in land use between the IPCM4-A2 and

MIMR-A2 driven model simulations are small.

Underlying definitions

Related Publications

(references to papers, websites etc.)

EEA (2007). Corine Land Cover 2000 – Mapping a decade of change; EEA, Copenhagen, Denmark; http://dataservice.eea.europa.eu/dataservice/metadetails.asp?id=1008 .

Schaldach, R., and Koch, J. (2009). Conceptual design and implementation of a model for the integrated simulation of large-scale land-use systems. In: Athanasiadis, P.A. Mitkas, A.E. Rizzoli & J. Marx-Gómez (eds.)

Information Technologies in Environmental Engineering, Springer Berlin Heidelberg, 425-438.

USGS (2006). GLCC – Global Land Cover Characterization; http://edc2.usgs.gov/glcc/ http://www.usf.uni-kassel.de/cesr/index.php?option=com_project&task=view_detail&agid=27&lang=en

Filename

Model

Date of creation

-

LandSHIFT

15.03.2011

Format

Project charts

SCENES

Dataset Provider

Author of Provision Form

Contact for further information

Center for Environmental Systems Research, University of Kassel

Christof Schneider, Center for Environmental Systems Research, Kurt-Wolters-Str.3, 34109 Kassel schneider@usf.uni-kassel.de, Phone: +49.561.804.3913, Fax: +49.561.804.3176

Jennifer Koch, Center for Environmental Systems Research, Kurt-Wolters-Str.3, 34109 Kassel koch@usf.uni-kassel.de, Phone: +49.561.804.3900, Fax: +49.561.804.3176

Download