Herewith a first draft on political considerations, which is very much open for comment, correction, additions etc Best wishes to all for a Happy Christmas and a productive New Year. John Ranken WG1 The Big Transnational Questions - Political Implications NB Action is needed at all levels from Local to Global - proceeding in parallel wherever changes can be made. 1. Concept of a Steady State Economy. The case is made clearly by Herman Daley and Dietz & O’Neill. Also by 1960’s “Limits to Growth” Report etc But climate change etc is telling us that before reaching a steady state, our carbon footprint needs to be drastically reduced to a tenth or twentieth of its present size. Because we need to consume less (Stephen Emmott “10 Billion”), and because of the close correlation between our current Planetary Crisis and Economic Growth, the growth of Financial and Manufactured Capital being at the expense of Natural Capital. (Porritt - Capitalism as if the World Matters), economic growth also needs to be reduced by a similar factor of 10-20. Our Global Economic System exacerbates the problem. It needs to be replaced by smaller scale local bioregional economies (Molly Scott Cato - The Bioregional Economy), and withdrawal from the growth oriented global system, eg transitionally by a shorter working week for everyone employed in the high-carbon//high growth system (Coote & Franklin, NeF, Time on our side - a shorter working week). The politics of maintaining and extending the global system are well organised, and not easily open to public scrutiny or democratic control. The media is generally complicit in promoting the myths of perpetual progress and higher standards of living. Denial is widespread and well orchestrated, as seen at successive UN Climate Change conferences in Copenhagen & Stockholm(Observer and Guardian reports). Naomi Klein in The Shock Doctrine documents how the neo-liberal pro-growth doctrine of the Chicago School of Economics has been promoted in the wake of worldwide crises including Asian tsunamis, China, Iraq, Argentina, and closer to home in our own and the EU’s financial crises. How to achieve a Steady State Economy? “Upstream” measures are more effective than “Downstream” = Turning the Off switch at the oil well, rather than reducing CO2 emissions (Oliver Tickell “Kyoto 2”). Cuts and rationing of oil, gas & coal production would automatically result in lower CO2 emissions by users. Politically, fossil fuel lobbyists have been adept at negotiating downstream emission reductions in the Kyoto Protocols which takes the pressure off the suppliers of fossil fuels. Tradable permits are also a market mechanism which contribute to business as usual, rather than “keeping the oil in the ground”. In parallel with the fossil fuel corporations cutting back fossil fuel production and use - we all, from individuals to businesses, govts etc need wealth reduction plans led by the banks and institutions of the City, Wall St etc. Achieving the framework of international law which is needed is difficult (see OU module Environmental Policies in an International Context), though there are some success stories. CFCs were banned to reduce the ozone layer problem; fishing quotas have helped to preserve fish stocks, although there are anomalies and difficulties in monitoring the quotas; there has been some progress towards CO2 emission reduction targets, but nowhere near what is needed, and national policies and targets continue to be undermined. Growth remains the prime consideration in global economic policy, with scant recognition of the interconnection with environmental and social degradation. The UN is the major political agency for implementing frameworks for international policies, but its work is often undermined by the more powerful groupings of the WTO, G8, US dominated “international community”, and the “unseen hand” of market forces, which do not operate within the constraints of natural limits and social responsibility. Individual countries have an important part to play in resisting the pressures of the global growth economy. Ecuador held out against the efforts of US multinational corporations to exploit its resources, but failed to get the support it asked for from other countries in doing so (New Internationalist 2013). In setting higher environmental standards, the EU has helped its member states to adopt more rigorous policies than they would otherwise have done. There are additional/alternative models for helping to bring about the changes needed : a) Pressure Groups eg TOES, Millenium Debt Campaign which achieved some success in relieving third world debt, and led to the New Economic Foundation’s work in addressing the rich world’s debt and alternative economic models. FoE, Greenpeace, Transition Towns and similar action-oriented groups are developing alternative models as well as protesting and engaging on the international stage. Christians take part in these activities as well as groups such as Christian Aid, Christian Carbon Group (?) etc b) Protest and Direct Action (going back to Jesus and the temple moneychangers) eg Greenpeace’s Arctic 30 now being released from Russian jails; fringe groups at Seattle, Copenhagen, Warsaw etc; instant action via IT and social media etc. c) Action by individuals as employees, shareholders, pensioners, customers with regard to the global corporations and organisations in which they have a stake. d) Sustained learning and action learning (See-Judge-Act), in both formal and informal settings, to further public understanding and pressure for political change. Much is being done through publications, adult education and local groups. Churches and faith groups with their traditions of simple living and resistance to riches have a special part to play. Globally The World Council of Churches can strengthen its role as catalyst and promoter of appropriate action. John Ranken, December 2013