HR: 1340h AN: T13C-1390 TI: Measurements of Active Tectonic Deformation on the Guerrero Coast, Mexico AU: * Ramirez, T EM: maria_teresa_ramirez@yahoo.com AF: WLA, 1777 Botelho Drive, Suite 262, Walnut Creek, CA 94596 United States AU: Cundy, A AF: University of Sussex, School of Life Sciences, Falmer, Brighton, BN1 9QJ United Kingdom AU: Carranza-Edwards, A AF: Instituto De Ciencias del Mar, Universidad Nacional Autonoma de Mexico, Circuito de la investigacion, Mexico D.F., 041000 Mexico AU: Morales, E AF: Instituto De Ciencias del Mar, Universidad Nacional Autonoma de Mexico, Circuito de la investigacion, Mexico D.F., 041000 Mexico AU: Kostoglodov, V AF: Instituto de Geofisica, Universidad Nacional Autonoma de Mexico, Circuito de la Investigacion, Mexico D.F., 04100 Mexico AU: Urrutia-Fucugauchi, J AF: Instituto de Geofisica, Universidad Nacional Autonoma de Mexico, Circuito de la Investigacion, Mexico D.F., 04100 Mexico AB: The study of tectonic deformation rates using displaced shoreline features is relatively wellestablished, and has provided much useful information on seismic hazard. Such studies have frequently been complemented by analysis of the coastal sedimentary record, where past marine to terrestrial environmental changes (and vice versa) may be recorded by clear changes in stratigraphy. Studies of this type are particularly valuable for tectonically-active areas where the preservation of former shoreline features is poor, or where long-term subsidence has resulted in their erosion, drowning or burial. The specific objective of this study is to derive rates of tectonic deformation from geomorphic and stratigraphic studies of the Guerrero coastal area, and to examine the feasibility of this stratigraphic approach in the coastal lagoons of the Mexican Pacific coast, in the Guerrero gap. The Guerrero gap coastal area, where a major earthquake is expected to occur, parallels the Cocos plate subduction zone. Here convergence rates vary from 5.2 cm/yr to 5.8 cm/yr. The Guerrero gap has experienced several historical earthquakes, notably the 1911 (7.8 Ms). However, no large magnitude events since the 1911 earthquake and only a few Ms~6 events have occurred near the Guerrero gap edges. It is expected that a major interplate earthquake of estimated magnitude Mw=8.1 to 8.4 has a high probability to occur. Landforms within the Guerrero gap indicate that the coast is subsiding. A series of key indicators such as elongated islands reminiscent of ancient barriers, submerged barriers island, extensive marshy environments, increased depths in the lagoons, and submerged anthropogenic features (shell mounds), among others, suggest active tectonic subsidence of the coast. In contrast, the adjacent northwest area off the Guerrero gap exhibits landforms characteristic of tectonic uplift (marine terraces and uplifted beach ridges), indicating a different seismo-tectonic regime northwest of the gap. Core samples from nine study sites show distinct stratigraphic changes with depth, indicating clear rapid change in depositional environments over time. Preliminary 14C data indicate that the sediment sequences cored are up to ca. 4,626+/- 37 yr BP, and suggest an estimated subsidence rate of about 1mm/yr. Geochemical characterization of the cores collected show the potential for geochemical discrimination of terrestrial-marine and marine-terrestrial environmental changes. Preliminary detailed linking of the geochemistry to the core stratigraphies show downcore variations in sediment sequences that match sedimentary horizons considerably enriched in S, Cl, and Br concentrations, that indicate possible marine inwash events (e.g. tsunami). DE: 7221 Paleoseismology DE: 1824 Geomorphology (1625) SC: Tectonophysics [T] MN: 2004 AGU Fall Meeting