List of Figures Fig. 1.1. Areas where coastal front activity is most commonly observed, including: (a) the southern New England coast, (b) the Carolina coast, and (c) the Texas coast (Bosart et al. 1972). Fig. 1.2. Mean sea level pressure for the onset of 57 coastal frontogenesis cases, showing the relative position of a northern New England high-pressure system and a developing short wave along the mid-Atlantic coast (Bosart 1975). Fig. 1.3. A physical model of coastal frontogenesis dominated by the focusing of isotherms in association with northerly inland flow and easterly onshore flow (Bosart 1975). Fig. 1.4. Coastal front normal and front-relative horizontal wind speed (m s-1) for cases analyzed by Nielsen and Neilley (1990), clearly identify cold air trapped east of the terrain and a sloping inversion caused by ascent of warm, easterly flow. Fig. 1.5. Conceptual model for a cold-air damming situation. Note the low-level wind maximum (LLWM) within the cold dome and the easterly flow ascending the sloping inversion at the top of the cold dome (Bell and Bosart 1988). Fig. 1.6. (a) Ageostrophic flow and upper-level divergence for a straight jet streak. (b) Direct and indirect circulations associated with jet entrance (A–A’) and exit (B–B’) regions. (c) Vorticity distributions and vorticity advections associated with a straight jet streak (Uccellini and Kocin 1987). Fig. 1.7. Interacting transverse circulations coinciding with the entrance and exit regions of a coupled jet structure, resulting in a broad area of upward vertical motion (shaded region) (Uccellini and Kocin 1987). Fig. 1.8. Widely varying terrain in the Northeast United States further complicates precipitation forecasts during landfalling and transitioning tropical cyclone events. Fig. 1.9. Three step conceptual model of the transformation stage of extratropical transition (Klein et al. 2000). Fig. 1.10. Cyclone phase-space diagram for Hurricane Floyd (Evans and Hart 2003), showing the phase of transition based upon storm symmetry and cyclone strength. Fig. 1.11. Two regions of possible heavy precipitation during tropical cyclone events, with region A investigated by Bosart and Carr (1978), and region B investigated by Bosart and Dean (1991). xii Fig. 1.12. A coastal front analyzed by Bosart and Dean (1991) during the passage of Tropical Storm Agnes across the Washington, D.C. area revealed a pronounced boundary produced by the intersection of northerly continental air and easterly tropical flow. Fig. 3.1. Storm track relative to precipitation (mm) for Hurricane Bob, 19–20 August 1991, with the position of the system plotted every 6 h and the white squares denoting the daily storm position at 1200 UTC. Fig. 3.2. Daily precipitation (in) and topography (m) for the 24-h period (1200–1200 UTC) ending on (a) 19 August and (b) 20 August 1991. Fig. 3.3. A fine-resolution analysis of storm total precipitation (in) for Hurricane Bob (1991) (Horwood 2003). Fig. 3.4. Plots of 200 hPa geopotential height (dam), wind speed (shaded every 5 m s-1), and divergence (contoured in red, 10-5 s-1), with the approximate center of circulation denoted by a gray “B” for: (a) 1800 UTC 18 August, (b) 0600 UTC 19 August, (c) 1200 UTC 19 August, and (d) 1800 UTC 19 August 1991. Fig. 3.5. Plots of 500 hPa geopotential height (dam) and absolute vorticity (10-5 s-1), with the approximate center of circulation denoted by a black “B” for: (a) 0600 UTC 19 August, (b) 1200 UTC 19 August, and (c) 1800 UTC 19 August 1991. Fig. 3.6. Plots of 850 hPa geopotential height (dam), potential temperature (shaded every 3 K), and wind (barbs in units of knots), with the approximate center of circulation denoted by a black “B” for: (a) 0600 UTC 19 August, (b) 1200 UTC 19 August, (c) 1800 UTC 19 August, and (d) 0000 UTC 20 August 1991. Fig. 3.7. Plots of 925 hPa geopotential height (dam), equivalent potential temperature (shaded every 5 K), and wind (barbs in units of knots), with the approximate center of circulation denoted by a black “B” for: (a) 0600 UTC 19 August, (b) 1200 UTC 19 August, (c) 1800 UTC 19 August, and (d) 0000 UTC 20 August 1991. Fig. 3.8. Surface plots containing temperature (oC), dewpoint (oC), wind (knots), and the approximate position of the coastal front at 1600 UTC 19 August 1991. Fig. 3.9. Surface plots for 1600 UTC 19 August of: (a) wind (knots), potential temperature (K), and potential temperature gradient (shaded every 10-4 K (100 km)-1), and (b) wind (knots), equivalent potential temperature (K), and equivalent potential temperature gradient (shaded every 2x10-4 K (100 km)-1). Fig. 3.10. Same as Fig. 3.8 except for 1700 UTC 19 August. Fig. 3.11. Same as Fig. 3.9 except for 1700 UTC 19 August. xiii Fig. 3.12. Same as Fig. 3.9 except for 1800 UTC 19 August. Fig. 3.13. Same as Fig. 3.8 except for 1800 UTC 19 August. Fig. 3.14. Same as Fig. 3.1 except for Hurricane Gloria, 26–28 September 1985. Fig. 3.15. Same as Fig. 3.2 except for (a) 26 September, (b) 27 September, and (c) 28 September 1985. Fig. 3.16. Same as Fig. 3.3 except for Hurricane Gloria (1985). Fig. 3.17. Same as Fig. 3.4 except for the approximate center of circulation denoted by a gray “G” for: (a) 1800 UTC 26 September, (b) 0000 UTC 27 September, (c) 0600 UTC 27 September, and (d) 1200 UTC 27 September 1985. Fig. 3.18. Same as Fig. 3.5 except for the approximate center of circulation denoted by a black “G” for: (a) 0000 UTC 27 September, (b) 0600 UTC 27 September, (c) 1200 UTC 27 September, and (d) 1800 UTC 27 September 1985. Fig. 3.19. Same as Fig. 3.6 except for the approximate center of circulation denoted by a black “G” for: (a) 0000 UTC 27 September, (b) 0600 UTC 27 September, (c) 1200 UTC 27 September, and (d) 1800 UTC 27 September 1985. Fig. 3.20. Same as Fig. 3.7 except for the approximate center of circulation denoted by a black “G” for: (a) 0000 UTC 27 September, (b) 0600 UTC 27 September, (c) 1200 UTC 27 September, and (d) 1800 UTC 27 September 1985. Fig. 3.21. Same as Fig. 3.8 except for Hurricane Gloria at 0600 UTC 27 September 1985. Fig. 3.22. Same as Fig. 3.9 except for Hurricane Gloria at 0600 UTC 27 September 1985. Fig. 3.23. Same as Fig. 3.8 except for Hurricane Gloria at 0900 UTC 27 September 1985. Fig. 3.24. Same as Fig. 3.9 except for Hurricane Gloria at 0900 UTC 27 September 1985. Fig. 3.25. Same as Fig. 3.8 except for Hurricane Gloria at 1200 UTC 27 September 1985. Fig. 3.26. Same as Fig. 3.8 except for Hurricane Gloria at 1500 UTC 27 September 1985. xiv Fig. 3.27. Same as Fig. 3.9 except for Hurricane Gloria at 1200 UTC 27 September 1985. Fig. 3.28. Same as Fig. 3.9 except for Hurricane Gloria at 1500 UTC 27 September 1985. Fig. 3.29. Same as Fig. 3.1 except for Hurricane Belle, 9–11 August 1976. Fig. 3.30. Same as Fig. 3.2 except for (a) 9 August, (b) 10 August, and (c) 11 August 1976. Fig. 3.31. Same as Fig. 3.3 except for Hurricane Belle (1976). Fig. 3.32. Same as Fig. 3.4 except for the approximate center of circulation denoted by a gray “B” for: (a) 0600 UTC 9 August, (b) 1200 UTC 9 August, (c) 1800 UTC 9 August, and (d) 0000 UTC 10 August 1976. Fig. 3.33. Same as Fig. 3.5 except for the approximate center of circulation denoted by a black “B” for: (a) 0600 UTC 9 August, (b) 1200 UTC 9 August, (c) 1800 UTC 9 August, and (d) 0000 UTC 10 August 1976. Fig. 3.34. Same as Fig. 3.7 except for the approximate center of circulation denoted by a black “B” for: (a) 0600 UTC 9 August, (b) 1200 UTC 9 August, (c) 1800 UTC 9 August, and (d) 0000 UTC 10 August 1976. Fig. 3.35. Same as Fig. 3.8 except for isotherms (dashed lines every 1oC) for Hurricane Belle at 0600 UTC 10 August 1976. Fig. 3.36. Surface plot containing temperature (oC), dewpoint (oC), and wind (knots) at 0800 UTC 10 August 1976. Fig. 3.37. Same as Fig. 3.36 except for 1100 UTC 10 August 1976. Fig. 3.38. Same as Fig. 3.36 except for 1300 UTC 10 August 1976. Fig. 3.39. Same as Fig. 3.1 except for Hurricane Connie, 12–14 August 1955. Fig. 3.40. Finer-resolution precipitation analysis for Hurricane Connie with approximate coastal front locations (black lines) plotted every 3 h beginning at 0330 UTC (A) and ending at 1230 UTC (D) 13 August 1955 (Horwood 2003). Fig. 3.41. Same as Fig. 3.5 except for the approximate center of circulation denoted by a black “C” for (a) 1800 UTC 12 August and (b) 0600 UTC 13 August 1955. Fig. 3.42. Same as Fig. 3.4 except for the approximate center of circulation denoted by a gray “C” for (a) 1800 UTC 12 August and (b) 0600 UTC 13 August 1955. xv Fig. 3.43. Same as Fig. 3.6 except for the approximate center of circulation denoted by a black “C” for (a) 1800 UTC 12 August and (b) 0600 UTC 13 August 1955. Fig. 3.44. Same as Fig. 3.7 except for the approximate center of circulation denoted by a black “C” for (a) 1800 UTC 12 August and (b) 0600 UTC 13 August 1955. Fig. 3.45. Surface plots for 13 August 1955 with temperature (oF), wind (knots) and pressure (hPa) for (a) 0330 UTC, (b) 0630 UTC, (c) 0930 UTC, and (d) 1230 UTC (Kocin 1995). Fig. 3.46. Same as Fig. 3.1 except for Hurricane Diane, 17–20 August 1955. Fig. 3.47. Same as Fig. 3.40 except for Hurricane Diane, beginning at 0630 UTC (A) and ending at 1530 UTC (D) 19 August 1955 (Horwood 2003). Fig. 3.48. Same as Fig. 3.5 except for the approximate center of circulation denoted by a black “D” for (a) 1200 UTC 18 August and (b) 0000 UTC 19 August 1955. Fig. 3.49. Same as Fig. 3.4 except for the approximate center of circulation denoted by a gray “D” for (a) 1200 UTC 18 August and (b) 0000 UTC 19 August 1955. Fig. 3.50. Same as Fig. 3.7 except for the approximate center of circulation denoted by a black “D” for (a) 1200 UTC 18 August and (b) 0000 UTC 19 August 1955. Fig. 3.51. Same as Fig. 3.45 except for 19 August 1955 at (a) 0630 UTC, (b) 0930 UTC, (c) 1230 UTC, and (d) 1530 UTC (Kocin 1995). Fig. 4.1. Features critical to the occurrence of heavy precipitation over the northeast US accompanying landfalling and transitioning tropical cyclones. Enhanced upper-level jet winds are represented by the blue-hatched area, maximum upper-level divergence is represented by the magenta circle, enhanced low-level jet winds are represented by the orange-hatched area, the broad precipitation shield is represented by the light green dashed line, the heaviest precipitation is represented by the dark green dashed line, the western Atlantic ridge is represented by the blue “H”, and the approximate coastal front location is represented by the pink line extending northward from the center of circulation, which is denoted by the red hurricane symbol. xvi