Step-by-Step Guide to Applying Assessment of Estuarine Trophic Status (ASSETS) Compiled by Cayce Dalton, January-May 2006 I. Influencing Factors Dilution Potential Determine for the estuary: Is there vertical stratification? (homogenous, minor, yes) What is the freshwater inflow (m2/day)? What is the mean volume of estuary? Determine dilution potential (Bricker et al., 1999, p.59): Step-by-step Guide to Applying ASSETS 1 Flushing Potential Determine for the estuary: Category of tidal range (macro if > 6 ft., meso if 6 – 2.5 ft, micro if <2.5 ft.) The order of magnitude of freshwater inflow / estuary volume (100 - 10-4) Determine flushing potential (Bricker et al., 1999, p.59): Susceptibility Determine susceptibility from dilution and flushing potentials (Bricker et al., 1999, p.60): Step-by-step Guide to Applying ASSETS 2 Influencing Factors Nutrient Loading Formula The basic quantitative model is: Influencing Factors Nutrient Loading Formula = mh / (mb + mh) where: mh = DIN concentration derived from humans in watershed mb = DIN concentration from offshore The difficult part is getting mh and mb. You can use loads or concentrations. Using concentrations (Bricker et al., 2003, p.46): mh = min * (So – Se)/So and mb = msea * Se/So where: msea = DIN concentration of the ocean (end member) Se = Salinity of estuary (avg ppt) (see Smith et al., 2003) So = Salinity of ocean (end member) min = DIN concentration in inflow to the estuary See the example file “ASSETS OHI Formula Webhannet.xls” Loadings may be used in place of the above simple model. That method is not discussed in the ASSETS literature, so isn’t presented here. A third way discussed by the project team to determine mh and mb was by solving a simple system of linear equations. This method is not presented here, see end of “ASSET Training.ppt” Determine Influencing Factors nutrient loading (Bricker et al., 2003, p.46) Step-by-step Guide to Applying ASSETS 3 Influencing Factors (formerly “Overall Human Influence”) Determine Influencing Factors from OHI Formula result (above) and susceptibility (Bricker et al, 2005, no page number). This is cited as originally from Bricker et al. (2003), but it is not in that document. (Note also that there are 5 categories of Influencing Factors above, but only 3 categories below.) Step-by-step Guide to Applying ASSETS 4 II. Overall Eutrophic Condition In this section, you determine symptom scores for each salinity zone in the estuary separately. Then you weight these scores based on the size of the zone. Salinity Zones In the original source material, there are two discrepancies regarding the definition of salinity zones the ASSETS materials. A full description is presented at the end of this document. Below is the method as it was actually applied in our SWMP synthesis project: Using GIS and all available data, delineate three salinity zones for the estuary based on annual average salinity: Freshwater Tidal zone is <0.5 ppt Mixing zone is 0.5 – 25 ppt Seawater zone is >25 ppt Using the zones above, in GIS calculate the surface areas of: Freshwater Tidal zone Mixing zone Seawater zone Total estuary Note the total number of zones in the estuary. Aggregating Zone Results The above results are used to aggregate zone-specific values into one estuary-wide value for each parameter in the next section as follows (Bricker et al., 2003, p.47): “…an area weighted expression value for each zone was determined, and the symptom level of expression Sl was then obtained by summation. where Az is the surface area of each zone; Ae is the total estuarine surface area; El is the expression value at each zone; n is the number of estuarine zones.” For example, the areas and expression values below… Zone Area Area / Expression Weighted Score Total Area Value Freshwater 25 km2 1 0.526 x 1 = 0.526 25÷475 = 0.526 Tidal zone Mixing 150 km2 150÷475 = 0.375 0.25 0.375 x 0.25 = 0.079 zone Seawater 300 km2 300÷470 = 0.632 0.5 0.632 x 0.5 = 0.316 zone Total 475 km2 estuary …gives the aggregated result of: 0.105 + 0.079 + 0.316 = 0.448 Step-by-step Guide to Applying ASSETS 5 Overall Eutrophic Condition (OEC) Schematic Overview Table 7 of report body (Bricker et al, 2005, no page number). Primary symptoms Chl-a Use these categories (Bricker et al., 1999, p.50): Surface concentrations: Hypereutrophic (>60 μg chl-a/l) High (>20, ≤60 μg chl-a/l) Medium (>5, ≤20 μg chl-a/l) Low (>0, ≤5 μg chl-a/l) Spatial coverage (% of salinity zone): High (>50, ≤100%) Medium (>25, ≤50% ) Low (>10, ≤25%) Very Low (>0, ≤10% ) Frequency (considered as a mult-year pattern, Bricker 2005 personal communication) Episodic (conditions occur randomly) Periodic (conditions occur annually or predictably) Persistent (conditions occur continually throughout the year) Seawater zone: Chl-a 90th percentile? (hyper, high, med, low) Spatial coverage? (hi, mod, low, v low, unknown) Frequency? (episodic, periodic, persistent, unknown) Step-by-step Guide to Applying ASSETS 6 Mixing zone: Chl-a 90th percentile? (hyper, high, med, low) Spatial coverage? (hi, mod, low, v low, unknown) Frequency? (episodic, periodic, persistent, unknown) FW zone: Chl-a 90th percentile? (hyper, high, med, low) Spatial coverage? (hi, mod, low, v low, unknown) Frequency? (episodic, periodic, persistent, unknown) For each zone above, determine expression level (Bricker et al., 2003, p.48) Aggregate the zone results into an estuary-wide result (see Aggregating Zone Results, above). Macroalgae Use these categories (Bricker et al., 1999, p.50; Bricker et al., 2003, p.48) Abundance Problem (significant impact upon biological resources) No problem (no significant impact) Frequency (considered as a mult-year pattern, Bricker 2005 personal communication) Episodic (conditions occur randomly, not necessarily every year) Periodic (conditions occur annually or predictably) Seawater zone: Abundance? (problem, no problem) Frequency? (episodic, periodic, unknown) Step-by-step Guide to Applying ASSETS 7 Mixing zone: Abundance? (problem, no problem) Frequency? (episodic, periodic, unknown) FW zone: Abundance? (problem, no problem) Frequency? (episodic, periodic, unknown) For each zone above, determine expression level (Bricker et al., 2003, p.48) Aggregate the zone results into an estuary-wide result (see Aggregating Zone Results, above). Secondary symptoms DO (dissolved oxygen) Use these categories (Bricker et al., 1999, p.50): Surface concentrations: Anoxia (0 mg/l)1 Hypoxia (>0mg/l ≤ 2mg/l) Biological Stress (>2mg/l ≤ 5mg/l) Spatial coverage (% of salinity zone): High (>50, ≤100%) Medium (>25, ≤50% ) Low (>10, ≤25%) Very Low (>0, ≤10% ) Frequency (considered as a mult-year pattern, Bricker 2005 personal communication) Episodic (conditions occur randomly) Periodic (conditions occur annually or predictably) Persistent (conditions occur continually throughout the year) Seawater zone: DO 10th percentile? (anoxic, hypoxia, bio stress, no problem) Spatial coverage? (hi, mod, low, v low, unknown) Frequency? (episodic, periodic, persistent, unknown) Mixing zone: DO 10th percentile? (anoxic, hypoxia, bio stress, no problem) Spatial coverage? (hi, mod, low, v low, unknown) Frequency? (episodic, periodic, persistent, unknown) 1 In the SWMP database, the DO probe has an accuracy of +/- 0.2 mg/L in the hypoxic and anoxic range. Therefore, a level of 0.2 mg/L was considered anoxic (YSI ca. 2002). Step-by-step Guide to Applying ASSETS 8 FW zone: DO 10th percentile? (anoxic, hypoxia, bio stress, no problem) Spatial coverage? (hi, mod, low, v low, unknown) Frequency? (episodic, periodic, persistent, unknown) For each zone above, determine expression level (Bricker et al., 2003, p.48) Aggregate the zone results into an estuary-wide result (see Aggregating Zone Results, above). SAV (submerged aquatic vegetation, eelgrass): Use these categories (Bricker et al., 1999, p.50; Bricker et al., 2003, p.48) Trend: Increase Decrease No change Magnitude of loss: High (>50%, ≤100%) Medium (>25%, ≤50%) Low (>0%, ≤25%) Seawater zone: Trend? (increase, decrease, no change) Magnitude of change? (hi, med, low) Mixing zone: Trend? (increase, decrease, no change) Magnitude of change? (hi, med, low) Step-by-step Guide to Applying ASSETS 9 FW zone: Trend? (increase, decrease, no change) Magnitude of change? (hi, med, low) For each zone above, determine expression level (Bricker et al., 2003, p.48) Aggregate the zone results into an estuary-wide result (see Aggregating Zone Results, above). HAB (toxic algae blooms) and NTB (nuisance toxic blooms); combined into single category (Bricker et al, 2005, p.5) Use these categories (Bricker et al., 1999, p.50; Bricker et al., 2003,, p.48) Presence Problem (significant impact upon biological resources) No problem (no significant impact) Start offshore and advect in? Yes No Duration S = seasonal M = months V = variable W = weeks D = days WS = weeks to seasonal WM = weeks to months DW = days to weeks Frequency (considered as a mult-year pattern, Bricker 2005 personal communication) Episodic (conditions occur randomly) Periodic (conditions occur annually or predictably) Persistent (conditions occur continually throughout the year) Seawater zone: Presence? (problem, no problem) Does HAB start offshore and advect in? Dominant species? Duration (S, M, V, W, D, WS, WM, DW) Frequency? (episodic, periodic, persistent, unknown) Step-by-step Guide to Applying ASSETS 10 Mixing zone: Presence? (problem, no problem) Does HAB start offshore and advect in? Dominant species? Duration (S, M, V, W, D, WS, WM, DW) Frequency? (episodic, periodic, persistent, unknown) FW zone: Presence? (problem, no problem) Does HAB start offshore and advect in? Dominant species? Duration (S, M, V, W, D, WS, WM, DW) Frequency? (episodic, periodic, persistent, unknown) For each zone above, determine expression level (Bricker et al., 2003, p.48) Aggregate the zone results into an estuary-wide result (see Aggregating Zone Results, above). Step-by-step Guide to Applying ASSETS 11 Take your scores from the above sections and aggregate as so: Average the numerical results of the primary symptoms. Take the highest of the numerical results of the secondary symptoms. Final OEC: Use this decision table from Bricker et al. (2003) to determine the overall OEC score from the above two numbers. Step-by-step Guide to Applying ASSETS 12 III. Future Outlook Based on foreseeable population trends, management plans, sewage treatment regulations and technology, trends in agriculture and other changes in watershed uses, determine expected future nutrient pressures (Bricker et al., 2003, p.50; Bricker et al, 2005, p.18): Increase Decrease No change Determine Future Outlook score using above answer and susceptibility as determined in INFLUENCING FACTORS section. (Bricker et al., 2003, p.52) Step-by-step Guide to Applying ASSETS 13 IV. Overall Classification Grade Use the matrix below to determine which of five grades the estuary receives. (Bricker et al., 2003, p.53) Step-by-step Guide to Applying ASSETS 14 References Bricker S.B., C.G. Clement, D. E. Pirhalla, S.P. Orlando, and D.R.G. Farrow. 1999. National Estuarine Eutrophication Assessment. Effects of Nutrient Enrichment in the Nation’s Estuaries. NOAA, National Ocean Service, Special Projects Office and National Centers for Coastal Ocean Science, Silver Spring. Bricker, S.B., J.G. Ferreira, and T. Simas. 2003. An Integrated Methodology for Assessment of Estuarine Trophic Status. Ecological Modelling 169: 39-60. Bricker S.B., D. Lipton, A. Mason, M. Dionne, D. Keeley, C. Krahforst, J. Latimer, J. Pennock. 2005. Improving methods and indicators for evaluating coastal water eutrophication: a pilot study in the Gulf of Maine. Report to NOAA-CICEET. 66p. Smith, S.V. 2003. Preliminary NOAA estuarine typology database. YSI Incorporated. Undated, ca. 2002. 6-Series Environmental Monitoring Systems Manual. Yellow Springs, Ohio. Step-by-step Guide to Applying ASSETS 15