INFLATION RELATED PENSION PAYMENTS WHY THE CHANGE? A. INTRODUCTION As Shell pensioners, we receive many letters from Shell asking for help and support. Pensioners are willing supporters and proud of their Shell service. We are writing to you, a senior leader of Shell Oil, for the same reason. We ask for your help and support. You may or may not be aware that in 2007 Shell significantly changed and reduced Inflation Related Payments (IRPs) for pensioners. IRP is a program of periodic pension increases to offset the effects of inflation on pensioners’ purchasing power. Shell Oil Company has made IRPs to pensioners since the late 1940’s. Until 2007, pensioners had been able to rely steadfastly on the goodwill and sound judgment of Shell Oil leaders to determine and authorize fair IRPs. Now, most recently, IRPs have been greatly changed and reduced without explanation. B. PURPOSE Overall, the purposes of this paper are to provide information and request your assistance. The paper will summarize the: History of Inflation Related Payments; Competitive Landscape; Changes Made to Inflation Related Payments in 2007; How Changes to Inflation Related Payments Affected Pensioners; and Potential Implications and Consequences of Inflation Related Payment losses. Our request is that you: Read this paper carefully, learn about IRPs, and check the facts; Consider the potential business implications and consequences of IRP changes and the resulting losses Shell people have suffered. Ask yourself if the new, unexplained, reduced approach for IRPs adopted in 2007 is a sound business decision; Help to redress the 2007 IRPs handling. C. HISTORY OF INFLATION RELATED PAYMENTS Shell Oil Company adopted its Pension Plan in 1938. In the 1940’s, Shell pensioners received their first supplemental checks from the Company. These pension supplements helped offset the erosion in purchasing power caused by inflation. Thus, began the first of many supplements to Shell pensioners. Shell Oil had established a great tradition of Inflation Related Payments for pensioners. IRPs were granted over and over again although the provisions of the Shell Pension Plan and numerous collective bargaining agreements did not formally obligate Shell to make them. It is true that -1- pensioners were told IRPs were not an entitlement. Nonetheless, pensioners have a longstanding expectation of fairness because Shell has granted them for almost sixty years. For many years, the Company made these periodic inflation adjustments willingly and fairly based upon the responsible judgment of Shell leadership. The most recent IRP was effective in 2007. Unfortunately, it went astray. We explain why we feel this way in what follows. The amount and timing of IRPs varied for the first few decades. In about 1980, Shell Oil Company began making IRPs when inflation had increased by about 20% measured from the date of retirement. The amount of the payment was approximately 50% of inflation. As each retirement year class qualified for IRPs, pensioners who retired in prior years saw their pensions adjusted too. On an ongoing basis, the program provided protection for approximately 50% of inflation for all pensioners. The exact timing and amounts of the IRPs varied, but it is fair to say that the Company attempted to offset 50% of inflation and did so once inflation had gone up about 20% from the last IRP adjustment. This sound policy approach continued for nearly three decades and guided Shell management in administering the program. This practice became widely known and pensioners often asked Shell leaders about IRPs at regular meetings. Employees and collective bargaining agents also knew of the program, but only generally. In 2007, Shell dramatically changed this practice and greatly reduced the amount of IRPs. This was done without any explanation to active employees, those preparing to retire, or to pensioners. Various Company representatives have been asked why IRPs for pensioners were substantially changed and reduced. There were also questions asked about what employees, as well as pensioners, might reasonably expect regarding future IRPs. These inquiries have not been satisfactorily answered. Consequently, Shell Oil pensioners and employees can only guess and speculate as to why IRP reductions were made in the United States but not in the United Kingdom nor in the Netherlands. In these latter two countries, we understand that pensions are adjusted annually for 100% of inflation and have been for years. One possible explanation for the IRP reduction is that Shell Oil Company’s shareholder may be concerned that a formal obligation to fund IRPs for the future might arise, thereby accelerating by years the demand on Company cash and effect on book revenue. For many, many years, the Company paid IRPs with separate checks drawn from general revenue and not from a pension trust. This expense was booked only in the year of IRP approval and required no pre-funding. We expect that the approach of incurring expense only in the year a new IRP program is approved continues to be of paramount importance. Shell eventually did find a way to use a portion of the surplus funding of the Pension Trust (created mostly by stock market gains) to fund a portion of IRPs. While this new funding approach applied to IRPs of earlier years, it made no promise of future IRP increases. Now, Shell pension checks had IRPs added to pension checks, and such approved payments were from the “official” Shell Pension Trust Fund. The enabling Shell pension plan amendments were carefully crafted so as not to create a formal obligation for future IRPs, that decision being left to future ad hoc Company decisions. As to accounting, in the past, Shell Oil did not financially book future IRPs since they -2- technically were not a formal on-going obligation. Nonetheless, IRPs are a longstanding policy and practice. Booking and pre-funding issues, however, are not a new concern. In the mid1990’s, steps were taken to evaluate carefully the legal and financial risks of IRPs becoming a formal obligation. Shell hired respected third party pension, accounting and actuarial experts to evaluate this funding risk. Among other things, these experts presented Shell’s fact case (without using Shell’s name) to relevant government agencies and to the Financial Accounting Standards Board. All these experts concluded that the approach Shell had been using for IRPs presented only a very small risk that Shell would be required to book or pre-fund future IRPs. The overarching point is that until 2007, Shell Oil leadership has been very capable of both prudent financial management and treating pensioners fairly. It is important to point out that over time the overall cost of IRPs made by Shell will become smaller and smaller until they are de minimis. This will occur because of the pension change made in 1998. At that time, Shell gave employees the annual choice of continuing in its current defined benefit pension formula plan (historically supported by IRPs), or enrolling in a new cash-out formula plan. In this new optional pension formula plan, electing employees receive dollar value credits (from Company contributions and pre-set investment yield) to their own personal retirement account. At the end of their careers, they have money that they can withdraw in a lump sum or in increments. This eliminates the need for IRPs since the pensioner can now offset inflation through his or her own investing. Nearly 90% of new hires enroll in this optional cash-out pension formula plan. Pensioners with fixed pensions from the defined benefit formula do not have this investment flexibility and thus rely on IRPs to offset part of inflation’s voracious appetite. D. COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE We hope that Shell Oil leadership continues to believe that its compensation and benefits must be strongly competitive to attract and retain the best and brightest talent. Historically, Shell regularly conducted competitive comparisons to ensure that Shell was not at a disadvantage and was meeting its competitive goals. Shortly after the U.S. Oil Industry broadly implemented pension plans, almost all of Shell’s competitors gave their employees the option of taking a lump sum payment or receiving a lifetime monthly pension. The purpose of the lump sum option was to allow the pensioner to invest the lump sum payment and thereby offset the effect of inflation. The majority of our competitors still allow employees to take a lump sum option rather than only a lifetime monthly pension. Shell Oil, however, took a different approach. In the 1940’s the general level of financial and investment acumen in the United States population was low. In addition, the transparency of financial markets was much less than today. Shell was concerned that many pensioners might make poor investment decisions and end up destitute after long, loyal Shell careers. Therefore, Shell decided not to allow lump sum payments from the pension plan. Instead, Shell decided to help offset inflation by making Inflation Related Payments to pensioners with fixed monthly pensions. Today, one might argue against this paternalistic approach, but for the times it was a reasonable decision. -3- Over the years, it became very clear that not allowing a lump sum payment, as our competitors did, was extremely beneficial to Shell. By not allowing lump sum payments for pensioners, Shell retained this money for investment in the Pension Trust and thereby reduced annual pension contributions required of Shell’s businesses. Benefiting from the last sixty years of investment earnings and growth, Shell Oil Company has saved billions of dollars that would have been otherwise paid out in lump sum payments to pensioners. In this respect, we have been the envy of our competitors. In the mid-1970’s, regulatory and statutory changes were made that limited tax advantaged pension trust fund payments to a fixed dollar amount. At that time and in response to this regulatory change, Shell set up a Benefit Restoration Plan (BRP) to pay restricted new pensioners a make-up from the Company’s general revenue. This payment covered the pension amount they had earned as employees above the low regulatory dollar cap. Additionally, during the mid-1970’s, the U.S. Congress introduced a pension insurance program, creating the Pension Benefit Guaranty Corporation (PBGC). This program shields individual pensions, up to a limited amount, from default by pension trust funds. Over the years, this insured amount has varied and currently is set at $2,630/ month for a 2008 retirement at age 59. The cap is noteworthy because many pensioners have only part of their pension insured by the Pension Benefit Guaranty Corporation. Furthermore, payments from the BRP depended on the Company generating sufficient revenue and are not eligible for the PBGC insurance. In the 1990s, Shell Oil changed its BRP to allow new retiring employees to elect lump sum cash-out payments, but only for the part of the overall pension paid from the BRP. These changes were made because BRP pensions are not insured by the PBGC and are subject to the Company’s general revenue being adequate. However, employees who retired before this change were not included, and their only option is to continue to receive monthly pension payment from the Shell Pension Trust and the BRP if applicable. The large majority of our major competitors (if not all of them) allow their retiring employees to elect to take their entire pension as a lump sum, whether payable from a tax favored qualified pension plan or from a BRP. Since competitors’ pensioners can invest, they can protect themselves from inflation. At Shell, this personal investment opportunity is limited to payments from the BRP that were initiated after the amendment in the 1990s. Accordingly, Shell pensioners need and require strong and fair IRPs for both inflation protection and to meet Shell’s competitive objective. It is clear that Shell has a strong financial incentive not to allow lump sum payments because the investment income earned by the Shell Pension Trust greatly reduces Shell’s funding obligations. However, this policy places Shell Oil’s retiring employees at a disadvantage since they cannot take their entire pension as a lump sum and invest it to protect against inflation. Historically, Shell helped offset some of this disadvantage by making reasonable IRPs. We are concerned that Shell Oil has abandoned its decades-long, clear, and reasonable approach of IRPs for pensioners in the United States, as evidenced by the dramatically changed and substantially reduced 2007 IRP program. Finally, we understand that pensioners in the United Kingdom and the Netherlands have their pensions adjusted annually for 100% inflation. We wonder why American pensioners are now being treated so poorly. -4- The IRP process has worked well up to now because the needs of both Shell Oil and pensioners were met. Shell Oil had clear financial advantage and pensioners got fair IRPs. So, there was no need for Shell people or union leadership to seek a more formalized obligation as both benefited. E. CHANGES MADE TO INFLATION RELATED PAYMENTS IN 2007 For nearly three decades, Shell made Inflation Related Payments when inflation increased by about 20%. The amount of the payment was a roughly half of inflation (approximately 10%). We have been able to pull together what we believe is a reasonably accurate representation of the changes made to IRPs in 2007 as compared to the historical method. The 2007 Payment column in the table is not totally accurate for all pensions due to the maxima Shell imposed. The percent increase for pensions above $3000/mo for the years 1995-98 would be considerably less than the 10% shown in the tables. Here is the data table: Year Retired 2007 Payment** Historical Method** 1979 or Earlier 1980-1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 $100/mo maximum 6%* 10%* 10%* 10%* 10%* 6% 6% 16% 14% 13% 12% *Each of these percentage adjustments was subject to $300/month maximum. With the historical method, no maximum was ever imposed. ** The percentages are of the current pension. A 1995 retiree has experienced about 32% inflation. Under the Historical approach, one-half or 16% would be covered by IRP’s. The 2007 method covers only 10% with a maximum while treating the 1995-98 pensioners exactly the same. For most pensioners the IRP component of their pension is a very significant amount, and for some, it is much greater than their actual pension. For example, the IRP for someone who retired in 1960 is 143% of their original pension, 97% for a 1970 pensioner, 43% for a 1980 pensioner, and 21% for 1990. Accordingly, it is apparent why pensioners are so disappointed that Shell abandoned its historical practice. No doubt, you have worked with hundreds of dedicated Shell people who have been negatively impacted by the 2007 IRP changes. E. HOW CHANGES TO IRPs AFFECTED PENSIONERS The following table shows the annual loss in Inflation Related Payments made beginning in 2007. To calculate this loss, we compared the 2007 IRPs to what the IRPs would have been under the historical method. -5- Year Retired 1979 or before 1980-94 1995 1996 1997 1998 Annual Pension in Dollars Per Year 12000 24000 36000 48000 60000 72000 84000 Annual Loss of Inflation Related Payment–2007 Actual vs Historical# (480) 0 720 480 360 240 240 0 1440 960 720 480 960 0 2160 1440 1080 720 1680 0 4080 3120 2640 2160 2400 0 6000 4800 4200 3600 3120 720 7920 6480 5760 5040 3840 1440 9840 8160 7320 6480 # Numbers below this header are negative representing lost IRPs amounts except for the 1979 retiree with a pension of 12000/yr who received $480 more per annum with the 2007 method.. Three factors contributed to annual losses in IRPs for pensioners: 1. Shell waited until inflation increased by 32 % rather than 20% before making an adjustment for those who retired in 1995. This delay also affected those who retired in 1996-1998 (a time of substantial staff reductions and forced early retirements at Shell). The Inflation Related Payment losses shown in the table above do not reflect the additional losses suffered because of this payment timing delay. 2. Instead of increasing pensions by the 6-16% needed to make up 50% of inflation, the 2007 payments were much smaller ranging from 6-10% with some being even smaller if you take into account the imposed maxima. 3. For the first time in the history of IRPs, maximum monthly adjustments were put in place. The maxima were $100/mo for pre-1980 pensioners and $300/mo for 1980-1998 pensioners. These maxima added complexity and produced very unequal results. In the past, Shell IRPs covered 50% of inflation for all pensioners. Below are examples of how the 2007 method radically reduced inflation protection for 1996 pensioners at three different pension levels. These examples also illustrate the unequal impact of the 2007 method, which was not limited to only those retiring in 1996. Monthly Pension $3000 $4000 $5000 2007 Payment $300/mo $300/mo $300/mo % Inflation Replaced 31 23 19 There are many other IRP issues and anomalies too numerous to cover in this paper. For example, two people with the exact same pension who retired one year apart received distinctively different adjustments. Using an annual pension of $36,000, an individual retiring in 1979 would receive $1,200 per year in IRPs while an individual retiring in 1980 would receive $2,160 even though they experienced the exact same -6- inflation. If our analysis is correct, there are many similar examples that seem to fail a reasonable test of equity. These IRP losses are very significant. Should Shell maintain this approach or reduce IRPs even further; the loss in benefits would be unprecedented in the history of Shell Oil Company. It is difficult to fathom why Shell has done this, especially without clear, direct explanation. Many pensioners are profoundly disappointed and wonder what to expect in the future. Similarly, some current employees have told us that this reduction was not communicated to them nor to collective bargaining agents, both of whom have a serious interest in this matter. F. POTENTIAL IMPLICATIONS AND CONSEQUENCES OF IRP LOSSES Here’s what we think: 1. Unless there are fair, justifiable reasons for this reduction in IRPs Shell could lose the loyalty and goodwill of tens of thousands of pensioners and their spouses. When the Company asks retires for support on items like the carbon tax; depletion allowance; access to explore and develop restricted areas; and others matters, pensioners happily and willingly support Shell. Shell pensioners are good public relations ambassadors, but with these IRP changes, it is highly probable that support and goodwill will erode if not totally vanish. In addition, significant numbers of pensioners may become disgruntled former customers and adversaries to Shell’s interests. 2. In the last several years, RDS has made billions of dollars in profits from its U.S. investments. Yet, it has made a dramatic reduction in its decades-long Inflation Related Payment practice to Shell Oil pensioners. In the political and public domains, will this not be perceived as unfair treatment of U. S. workers by a giant, foreign oil shareholder that does not apply the same reductions to its home country pensioners? 3. As employees learn of the Company’s serious reduction of IRPs, they likely will: a. demand a more competitive pension policy that allows them to take 100% of their pension as a lump sum as competitors’ employees are able to do. Also, they will be surprised to learn that the most senior Shell management, like you, are able to take the majority of their pension as a lump sum and have been doing so since the early 1990’s while they can take nothing or a very small percentage of their pension as a lump sum. b. take as much of their pensions as they can as a lump sum, perhaps with a favorable discount rate to them. This will cause immediate payments from the Shell Pension Trust rather than the long, slow delivery of pensions and IRPs, which has greatly benefited Shell over years. These cash flow considerations are not inconsequential. With a migration from monthly -7- pensions to lump sum payouts, there will be a significant loss of investment income from the Shell Pension Trust. 4. A steadfast cornerstone of Shell Oil’s strength has been employees’ beliefs in management’s integrity and commitment to be fair and equitable to employees and pensioners. Employees and pensioners have felt that their interests were important considerations in the deliberations of their leaders. In recent years, some have begun to question the continued strength of this commitment to fairness and equity. The 2007 IRP reductions, along with the failure to communicate satisfactorily the reasons for the reductions, will reinforce this sentiment. 5. In the future, the cost of IRPs will almost totally disappear because of the new alternative pension formula offered in 1998 and the 4-5% mortality rate for pensioners in the old defined benefit pension plan. It is hard to understand why Shell Oil’s shareholder has created a contentious issue over a cost that will in time just go away. This is especially troublesome given RDS’s enormous financial success in the U.S.A. 6. Collective bargaining agents will become more concerned and knowledgeable about IRPs and clearly see that they cannot rely upon Shell’s past practice and good will regarding IRPs. After all, if Shell can unilaterally reduce IRPs now, they may reduce them even further or eliminate them altogether. Union leaders may seek protection for the employees they represent by collective bargaining. If formal agreements for IRP’s are made, then formal financial booking and funding must follow. Thus, Shell could end up having to do the very thing it would like to avoid. 7. With good reason, pensioners could ask for a retroactive pension change. This change would be a one-time option to take a lump sum in place of their monthly pension and IRPs. Had employees thought Shell was going to back away from its decades-old practice, they would probably have selected a lump sum option. However, a lump sum was not an option for anyone who retired before about 1990, and after that date, the lump sum was limited to only that portion of the pension paid from the BRP. Since Shell has changed the approach to IRPs, a onetime lump sum option could be a reasonable alternative to offset inflation. Of course, this would have huge financial implications for Shell Oil and the Shell Pension Trust. However, in the eyes of pensioners, it would be a reasonable request, and rejection of this alternative would cause even more divisiveness. 8. By design, Shell has carefully communicated to help assure that it could demonstrate that any IRPs granted were at the Company’s discretion. When pension choice was implemented in 1998, Shell became more open in communications about IRPs. Educational material told employees that IRPs had been granted in the past at the discretion of the Company, there was no guarantee that future payments would be granted, and the past payments approximated 50 % -8- of inflation. Since employees now faced Pension Choice, Shell had an obligation to make employees aware of IRP practices so they could make an intelligent pension plan choice. Also it was believed by Management that if this historical practice substantially changed, Shell had an obligation to provide this information to employees. In addition, at the time management felt there was a clear ethical obligation to advise pensioners who depend so much on these IRPs. Is there new legal advice or new Shell thinking in this area? G. OUR REQUEST Before we became pensioners, most of us knew of IRPs, but not all the details of how the program worked. What we knew often came from grateful and trusting pensioners. Employees and pensioners have appreciated and respected IRPs as a reasonable alternative to much preferred lump sum payments not available from Shell. Regrettably, the 2007 Inflation Related Payment approach has changed pensioners’ views, and there is great concern for the future. We ask for your help in putting this right by returning to the pre-2007 IRP practices and by making fair restitution to those pensioners who have experienced losses. Many Shell Oil Company pensioners are feeling badly in need of your advocacy. We hope you will be there for us as we were for Shell for so many years. -9-