Peter Zelchenko Prof. Vandervoort June 18, 2010 Teaching Chaos Theory to the Adult Student (Part II of “The Steep Slope to Understanding Chaos”) In the first paper in this series, I described difficulties in reading and learning about chaos: “The deficiencies in [the texts by Ian] Stewart and [Edward] Lorenz,” I wrote, “lie at the threshold between the mathematical and the visual-spatial” (Zelchenko 2010).1 I also emphasized how this relates to what I consider a “crucial bridge to understanding the systematic nature underlying chaos,” that of closely understanding the link between mathematical and visual in phase space. The age of visual learning I was suggesting that bridging the gaps in understanding chaos requires close attention to translating physical and mathematical concepts into visual-spatial information wherever possible. The 1950’s and 1960’s saw an explosion in the acceptance of “programmed learning” technologies to emphasize visual learning (see, e.g., Zelchenko 1999). Filmstrip technologies were definitively audiovisual, and this was considered to be a partial improvement over the static, flat, silent nature of books. Beginning in the late 1960’s, computer learning systems became popular. Although integrating auditory information using computers has actually taken a step backward since filmstrips, and motion video is still also not a regular or well-regulated fixture in education, the main advantage to any of these technologies is their marginally enhanced exchange with the student. What desktop computers are now both mature for and 1 The intent of this paper and the previous one is not to indict any of the authors or the instructor. Indeed, chaos teaching must explain to a popular audience the broad and ineffable abstractions of an as yet incomplete science. One must congratulate the authors, but especially the instructor, for their efforts in this. In the teaching arts, there may be no higher Everest to climb. Zelchenko p. 1 uniquely suited to is providing an interactive visual experience. I believe this can be a crucial component in learning chaos. This is never to suggest that every teaching opportunity will benefit from full-motion interactive visuals. There has been a mountain of literature over the years emphasizing that interactive visual aids are not for all things (see, for example, Alesandrini 1984; Bennett 1981; Lentz, 1982). On the other hand, numerous tests have demonstrated its effectiveness in certain situations, particularly when illustrating a text (e.g., Alesandrini 1984, p. 65; Lentz 1982, p. 225).2 Alesandrini (p. 65) cited a study that suggested certain abstract concepts in mathematics presented to adults as visual information did not facilitate science learning as unequivocally as more concrete concepts. Researchers add that any positive effect is specific to the appropriateness of the information provided (Lentz 1982, p. 226). Alesandrini offers a summary of Dwyer (1978) that is particularly relevant to our discussion: “Dwyer concluded that when visuals are used to supplement verbal information that the learner is already familiar with, no facilitation will occur. On the other hand, if the material to be learned is too complex, presenting a realistic visual may not facilitate learning either. For certain learning outcomes, visual presentation can be facilitative. For example, presenting a realistic visual can aid learning if the learning outcome involves requiring the learner to draw or otherwise identify location and interrelations among parts, specific patterns or functions, or content relationships” (pp. 64-65). (Emphasis added.) Readers familiar with the texts under review (Gleick 1987, Stewart 1989, Lorenz 1993) and considering the above conclusion will recognize that certain aspects of the chaos-learning material on the one hand may be too complex for some adult learners, despite often extraordinary efforts of the authors and instructors to provide quality descriptive text and illustrations; and yet there may also be opportunities for greater success if learners find ways to interact more with the “When illustrations provide text-redundant information, learning information in the text that is also shown in pictures will be facilitated” (p. 225). “...The positive learning effects of illustrations are specific to the information provided by them” (p. 226). “Illustrations can help learners understand what they read, can help learners remember what they read, and can perform a variety of other instructional functions.” (ibid.). 2 Zelchenko p. 2 visuals. Alesandrini (pp. 65-66) emphasized that concrete models and manipulatives were particularly successful for science learning by learners who had reached the Piagetian stage of formal operations — in the case of that study, high-school students. Survey A path to understanding chaos theory, as logically presented by two of the authors, attempts to run from a starting point of sensitive dependency on initial conditions within a dynamical system and concluding at complex attractors like the Mandelbrot set. In Stewart and Lorenz, there is a certain continuity of the topics that permits us to approximate one curricular order of presentation as a single ramp from rudimentary to advanced concepts, at least for this discussion, so as to see where high and low points of mastery occur. Gleick’s order is different, not to say inferior; but the other two present a more obvious logical progression. I predicted that students studying chaos theory would come to similar learning impasses from various conceptual gaps, and specifically that gaps would be seen at or near the following places (although not exclusively these places): 1. between mastering (a) the general concepts relating deterministic versus stochastic behavior, dynamical systems, differential equations, and obedience to physical laws associated with given dynamical systems, and (b) those concepts’ association with example functions that specifically demonstrate chaotic behavior under iteration; 2. between understanding (a) the single-pendulum attractor and (b) the more counterintuitive functions underlying a compacted dynamical system like Lorenz’s sled model and how it relates to the shape of its attractor; Zelchenko p. 3 3. between comprehending relationships among (a) Poincaré’s visualization of phase portraits and (b) the numerous other representations of phase spaces drawn from the several disciplines; 4. between understanding (a) the stretching-and-folding transforms that these phase spaces experience as the systems progress through time and (b) the related mathematical concepts of period doubling and bifurcation; and, 5. understanding how (a) dynamical systems, attractors, and chaos theory in general relate to (b) fractality, complex fractal forms, and attractors based on fractals, or whether they relate at all. Near the end of the quarter, I distributed a survey whose results are in the Appendix to this paper. Two disclosures that I must make before reviewing the data: first, I am informant [4] in the survey; and, second, I found after reviewing the above five points and comparing them to the question flow as presented to viewers, that some of the questions needed to be reordered for the flow to conhere. (This latter fact may serendipitously have helped to make the order of the question set more opaque to subjects as to its intent. Refining and explicitly shuffling questions in the future may provide better data.) Deficiencies in this method include an inadequate matching of the question set to all objectives; some gaps in the question continuity; a missed opportunity to shuffle questions; and too small a population, which precluded dropping high and low values and which called for the inclusion of myself as a subject. There does appear to be some positive match between my hypothesis and the results. As shown in the line graph, there are some visible dips that correspond approximately to locations where gaps were predicted in the mean comprehension score of each item. Zelchenko p. 4 Relevant learning models Aside from the fact that many adult learners do not have much more mathematical mastery than 8th graders do, their experiential opportunities share something with high-school students as well as younger learners. There has been much discussion on differentiating and individualizing learning types since the turn of the last century, when E.L. Thorndike, John Dewey, and others began picking up on Rousseau and propagated the notion of individualized learning. Kolb (1984) — in a detailed study based on a survey of learning styles he developed — represented learning in a cycle of four steps: concrete experience, reflective observation, abstract conceptualization, and active experimentation. While it would be irrelevant to elaborate further on the many interesting explanatory axes that have come to overlay the Kolb model over the years (not to mention several competing and complementary cyclic models), they all readily agree with Gardner (1983) and his theory of multiple intelligences when we understand that all of these experiences exist in the cycle of learning styles in a single individual as well as in relationships within the instructor-student-text triangle. What these various explanations appear to have in common is that the learning cycle consists fundamentally of observing a process, then reflecting and explaining the theories behind it, and finally the cycle repeating itself. Learning itself therefore is, in this regard, an instantiation of science. And, as with the cycle of the scientific method, there is no de rigueur starting point, and so a conclusion one might draw from the analogy is that it may be useful at some junctures in a chaos curriculum to start by exploring various visual models or experiments that do a good job of encouraging later discussion of explanations of given aspects of chaos, and offering these models before reading texts that go into deeper detail on the models. Zelchenko p. 5 Related to Kolb and other models are the notions of “top-down” (or “rationalist”) versus “bottom-up” (or “empirical”) learning processes (and processors). These are discussed by Winn (1982, p. 7) and relate to the Kolb model in that certain learners at certain times construct knowledge from things they already know, while certain learners at certain times build from the ground up and wait to incorporate what they have learned into pre-existing knowledge. In addition, this relates to and underscores the distinction between different kinds of learners in this regard — that certain types of learners may benefit more by starting from the first part of the cycle (observation or the bottom-up model) rather than the theoretical plan (or the topdown model), while others may benefit from reading the texts first, as a more rational or topdown approach. Still other highly abstract mathematical thinkers, using a top-down metaphor, might prefer starting with the differential equations and the laws of physics before looking at any visual examples. There is one other important aspect of modern learning theory we should incorporate here. The idea of Piaget and Inhelder’s (1955) internal schemata is mentioned in Winn (1982, pp. 6-7) as it relates to similar ideas from artificial intelligence theory, specifically of “frames” (Marvin Minsky) and “scripts” (Roger Schank). Winn explains that all of these are ways to represent a structural model of the learning process. Schemata, as with frames Figure 1. A cognitive model. Composite of Piaget and Inhelder 1955, Winn 1982, Kolb 1984. and scripts, all describe related internalized forms of the world as experienced by a learner, and Zelchenko p. 6 internalized actions which are understood by a learner to apply to these forms. For example, a fire hydrant is a form and, once (and not until) a learner has observed how one operates, he or she will then apply various predicates which apply to that form (“water gushes out”) and gradually will develop related co-schemata and subschemata to assimilate it further into known experience (e.g., “firemen use them,” “special wrenches are needed,” “they are fed from a central water supply”). In broad strokes, then, schemata are the knowledge products and the tools that work on them, while the cyclical and structural models described above are the mechanisms behind these products (Fig. 1). They clarify how and when an interactive visual device may be employed in certain parts of the chaos-theory learning process to foster a comprehensive mastery of the total theory of arguably one of the more involved challenges in learning today. Visual aids that may work I am relying on a 35-year career in problem solving for visual communication, which has included, among other things, developing instructional graphics, software, and video for several years. While studying chaos myself I subconsciously kept an eye on the threshold between the theoretical concepts and the effectiveness of their visual aids. Coincidentally, in the middle of this process I helped organize a symposium of the PLATO computer education system. I had an opportunity to reunite with two colleagues who developed some of the more celebrated dynamic children’s computer games of the 1970’s, several of which are still in use today. I offer them in passing as eye-openers to the simplicity of core themes and yet at the same time the inspiration that these women brought to bear when designing their products.3 3 The 50th anniversary symposium of the PLATO system was held this month at the Computer History Museum in Mountain View, Calif. Dugdale and Seiler both sat on the education panel and demonstrated these games, which reminded the author of their archetypal qualities. Zelchenko p. 7 Figure 2. Sharon Dugdale’s “Darts” on PLATO (Dugdale 1973). The object is to break all the ballons on the number line using darts aimed by entering decimal numbers. A fraction mode is also available. Sharon Dugdale and Bonnie Seiler developed a number of pioneering computer games for children that emphasized the visual, but two of the earliest and best are Dugdale’s “Darts” (Fig. 2) and Seiler’s “How the West Was One + Two x Four” (Fig. 3). Both are still in use and this testifies to their simplicity and effectiveness. The first teaches the number line and the second teaches math operator binding. Hardly cases of learning sugar-frosted in entertainment, these two activities in their early monochrome forms had only a small measure more excitement than textbooks and at best could be referred to as mathematics with a superficial coating of play. Figure 3. Bonnie Seiler’s truly pioneering “How the West Was One + Three x Four” on the PLATO interactive system (Seiler 1976). Left: Title screen; right: the play field. Three random spinners yield up three numbers, and student’s object is to use them in forming strategically bound equations in order to advance a stagecoach to Red Gulch. Zelchenko p. 8 Dugdale’s and Seiler’s lessons, as with almost all successful interactive experiential learning units, demonstrate several important concepts relevant to our discussion: they use interaction with the learner as their absolute primary function; they provide a (minimally diverting) visual experience appropriate to the learner’s interest levels; they are learner-driven as to cause and effect and adjusting level of complexity (acting as a flexible tool for both top-down or bottom-up learning); and, they invite repetition of an activity to personal satisfaction of mastery (fostering construction of schemata). The operative difference in learning materials we produced on PLATO and later systems is that, regardless of whether they were simulating lifelike events (as with “Darts” and “West”) or using dynamic visual markup to emphasize parts of text and graphic data (see, e.g., Davis et al., 1980), our techniques emphasized the visual and experiential foci in learning a concept, and so-called “branched instruction” (selective routing based on a decision tree of the student’s mastery) provided a cyclic return for review and repeating experiments until mastery was achieved. Drawing from these two games, there are two main guidelines that I feel are important to keep in mind if we are to bridge the gaps I identified earlier: 1. When developing a visual aid, the designer must think like the student and attempt to get to the bottom of what minute conceptual steps the student may be lacking for gaining mastery. If the simple children’s examples above aren’t easy to pinpoint on these matters, conceptual steps to understanding chaos theory will be more difficult to pin down. And yet any attention away from attempting to see Zelchenko p. 9 through the students’ eyes to the source of their difficulties will be compounded into a teaching and will only cause the experience to wander further off the path to mastery. 2. Entertaining diversions are ideal for children because they hold attention while fostering cause-and-effect trial and error and other observational opportunities from which to draw conclusions; when adults are learning chaos, a visual aid need not be explicitly entertaining, but it should retain the trial-and-error and other observational opportunities and tie them to symbolic knowledge (math, physical laws, etc.) where possible. (For example, a graphing calculator may “point” to chaos in a graph and show the iteration steps nearby that position.) If dynamic updating and animation will foster this, then computer-driven simulations may be welcome, but they are by no means a must, as I will demonstrate. Low-tech examples I cannot emphasize enough that one should always rule out low-tech solutions before conceding to a higher-tech product (Zelchenko, 1999). A cheap single pendulum, double pendulum, and multi-body magnetic pendulum, in the hands of a capable instructor methodically stepping through a phase portrait on the chalkboard, may be all one needs to visualize much of basic and complex dynamical systems and get a start on understanding their attractors. It is possible that the shape of the Lorenz sled attractor can Figure 4. “Tenfold wrapping” mockup helps explain system stretching. This was a weak design; a long elastic string is called for, and marks should be more distinct. be clarified by nothing more than a wood, plastic, or ceramic 3-D model of the compacted unit square of a mogul (Lorenz, p. 37, and Fig. 11 on his p. 44). I sketched out a model of such a teaching Zelchenko p. 10 device. I attempted (Fig. 4) to attack the “tenfold wrapping” mapping concept (Stewart, pp. 99-102 and his Fig. 44; pp. 107-108 and his Fig. 48), which explains system stretching, using a paper tube with a marked string wrapped neatly around it, and although my initial rough efforts were not rewarding, it demonstrates how simple one can get and in theory still be able to explain parts of something as complex as chaos theory. I also looked briefly at my micrometer, because these wrapping and logarithmic scaling concepts seemed to be approaching the theme behind my Vernier4 adjustment that measures thousandths of an inch thicknesses of materials. From simple dynamics to strange attractors There is a visually identifiable causal relationship between the double pendulum’s erratic motion and that of three bodies in space, in that the bodies are similarly pulling at one another and thereby influencing their motion, and so it might make sense to present them sequentially and encourage discussion of the similarities. This also offers an opportunity for a bridge from laboratory systems to natural systems. What might be beneficial at this step is an interactive that would show both the time series as it develops (see Fig. 5), as well as a phase portrait, with the ability to pause the action and show the relationship among all three. A next step would be to show the same parallel visualization using the Lorenz sleds. This order will take students more seamlessly from the most rudimentary systems that are not chaotic to some more complex ones that show chaotic behavior. I am grateful to Prof. Peter Vandervoort for correcting my foolishness in conflating the Dutch master as “Vernier” and the French mathematician as “Vermeer.” Thankfully, I was not in Holland at the time or else it might have precipitated a serious diplomatic incident. 4 Zelchenko p. 11 Figure 5. Double pendulum online does a fine job of demonstrating chaotic motion and its graphs show period fractionation, but mastery may not come without exploration of the point-by-point relationships among these visuals. In this visualization, though the animated double pendulum quite clearly takes us to the next level of complexity after a single pendulum and is helpful in that it graphically traces its complex path, the two graphs are static and do not update synchronously, and so it the correspondence to the pendulum’s actions is not evident. This computer simulation is therefore not of much greater value than a real double pendulum. (http://scienceworld.wolfram.com/physics/DoublePendulum.html) Stewart offers calculator chaos as a logical next step from Hyperion’s chaos, and that may be a good strategy, but his transition to chaos using a calculator (pp. 12-16) was not altogether clear, despite the lengths he goes to in his attempt (see Gap 1 in the survey). “What you’re seeing,” he writes, “is a sort of Hyperion-in-microcosm” (p. 15). But most students I polled were not clear on what that meant. Stewart seems to have substituted Hyperion’s multivariate complexity with a “compacting” recursion in a calculator model without a clear enough explanation. One student went so far as momentarily to think that Stewart was translating Hyperion’s dynamics to his 2x2–1, but that misconception was not the only thing that caused confusion. I believe the problems emerged from a disconnect in students’ minds between function and plotting, particularly when recursing long decimals and switching functions without explaining each one’s plot-shape dynamics. A more gradual explanation of the action of plotting at this step might be in order. I developed a Microsoft Excel spreadsheet (Fig. 6) that dynamically updates the graph on every change of the function and allows observation of a record of each step in the recursion. Although this may not get at the total source of the problem, Zelchenko p. 12 it does satisfy the two gap-bridging proposals I provided above and may be useful alongside Stewart’s text. Figure 6. My Excel spreadsheet (after Stewart’s “calculator chaos,” pp. 12-16). This allows greater interactivity and instant results, including a record of the iterations at left, but it still requires careful reading of Stewart alongside, as well as a capable instructor’s guidance on the meaning of the spikes and oscillations, not to mention an explanation of recursion and how it serves to “pack” complexity in a way analogous to Hyperion’s many variables. I mentioned earlier the need for a more methodical visualization and analysis of the Lorenz sled attractor. This attractor is, to my knowledge, the first and best entry-point for a student to see a chaotic system that offers a strange attractor whose folds can be seen in their development. It is potentially an excellent bridge from pendulum attractors to strange attractors. But the shape of a phase diagram is defined partly by the nature of the system and partly by the nature of whatever compaction scheme has been applied to it. Which part is which is often difficult to contemplate. Lorenz’s compaction scheme on the sleds is highly counterintuitive; as just one example, y is plotted as the vertical. (See Gap 2 in the survey.) Students need to understand what is going on here. Initially, I attempted to foster observation and analysis by depicting a physical model of Lorenz’s unitized mogul (see my Fig. 7, based on Lorenz pp. 39-44 and his Fig. 11). A model Zelchenko p. 13 shaped like this can be fashioned out of any real material, such as clay, wood, or papier maché; it can simply be used in print as shown; or it can be developed as an animated computer activity. Figure 7. My sketch of Lorenz’s mogul unit rectangle (Lorenz, pp. 39-44) which allowed him to calculate his attractor in his Fig. 11 (represented here at lower right). I also plotted samples of where on the attractor two boards would land. A more dynamic simulation (or an instructor) might venture into highlighting a region on the attractor and showing where in general the sleds would be appearing on the model and why. This kind of activity should after some repetition facilitate a complete understanding of the attractor’s odd contours and reinforce the general principle of “packing” or “compacting” of data previewed in Hyperion, calculator chaos, and elsewhere. Robert Lurie of MIT has been enthusiastic in modifying his Wolfram Mathematica Lorenz sled demonstration since we began corresponding earlier this year. Finding the relation in the Lorenz book between the model and its visuals difficult for learners to follow, Dr. Lurie developed an interactive demonstration. On my encouragement, he has been working on changes that will cause the attractor to update dynamically as each board crosses the attractor’s threshold (Fig. 8). He is also working on zooming in on a remapped single mogul, as Lorenz did to transfer his system onto a two-dimensional phase portrait. He is updating all three phenomena — the full Zelchenko p. 14 ramp, the unit mogul, and the phase portrait — simultaneously. Because of its display intensivity, it would be useful to be able to turn off any of these displays at any given time. Figure 8. Above: Robert Lurie’s Mathematica project (Lurie 2010), a first attempt at a dynamic sled attractor. Note the several adjustable sliders at top, the overview at left, a more local view, and the attractor. Below: Three details of the local view (above) and partial attractor (below) show that dynamic, interactive development of the attractor may, like my illustration, help visualize where parts of the attractor contour develop based on sled positions and velocities. I would also like to be able to zoom in and select a point or an area of the phase portrait and see the entry point (and perhaps even the path through the mogul) for all of those sleds along the unitized mogul rectangle. Zelchenko p. 15 Stretching and folding, period doubling and bifurcation Although the world of stretching and folding images merits further discussion elsewhere, there is a logical bridge from the above discussions immediately into Smale’s horseshoe, Hénon’s transformations, solenoids, and like models (e.g., Stewart Ch. 6 pp. 99-114, and Ch. 8). An interesting interactive would be to allow actually visualizing the stretching and folding of a given phase portrait such as Lorenz’s (or even allowing the student to do so), permitting students to grasp the nature of the extenuation and distortion universal to all chaotic systems as they progress in time. However, it seems to me that once phase portraits are well understood, all that may be necessary for mastery is a bit more summary association among these many aspects. My sense is that our instructor did this quite well, but as it is built upon adult students’ weak foundation in the graphic math (see Gap 4 in the survey), some students may need assistance in understanding the association between each more or less clear visible transformation metaphor — such as the horseshoe, U-tube, or stretching solenoid — and its more obscure graphico-mathematical significance, as well as reminders that this is happening as a dynamical system is evolving and that this appears to be a universal in chaos theory. This then leads naturally to discussions of period doubling and bifurcation. As unlikely as it may seem, these concepts may be more straightforward than those involved in stretching and folding, since with a Feigenbaum tree we are working from a very high perch and then zooming into something that is not a moving target. Prior knowledge must thus only include a moderate understanding of both periodicity and perhaps how time-series diagrams translate to attractors. The instructor used spring-loaded systems on the board to describe how an oscillator can express period doubling in an attractor, and so this may be sufficient. Zelchenko p. 16 The significance of the Feigenbaum 4.669 ratio, however, was probably completely lost on all but two or three of the most diligent students surveyed anecdotally. But this is hardly surprising: we are “full fathom five” deep into the waters of chaos theory by the time we get there. If a student is missing any one of the necessary master links, they may have difficulty connecting everything together and reveling in Feigenbaum’s truly remarkable discovery. Fractals Students experienced some apparently consistent confusion with how chaos theory connects to fractal theory (see Gap 5 in the survey). Fractals seem somewhat far afield from dynamical systems per se, and the sudden introduction of fractal dimensions, logarithmic scales, and complex numbers may bewilder even the more diligent students despite careful reading. There appears to be a logical path from attractor and system transforms such as stretching and folding, as well as period doubling and bifurcation, to Cantor sets, and thence to other mathematically interesting spatial divisions, particularly fractals. Lorenz ties all of this together as mechanisms behind systems that are subject to sensitive dependency and declares that it was therefore “but a short step for ‘chaos’ to extend its domain to fractals of all kinds… .” (p. 177178). But several students admitted they did not get the connection, and some were also looking for some practical value. Explaining fractal dimensions takes some doing, not least the logarithmic explanation and the Sierpinski subtractive model, but also how these shapes can be called “attractors” in the terms already so hard won. One very technically gifted student likened his mastery to building a house of cards: “Every time I thought I finally understood, some new definition would cause the whole structure to come crashing down again.” We know that stretching and folding, and period doubling and bifurcation, all yield up self-similarity at finer levels of an attractor, and this Zelchenko p. 17 relationship can vaguely be seen between the two, but why does it work that way? And what of Lorenz? How does sensitive dependency associate with fractals, as he suggests? I have no answers to these questions. But I did explore Julia sets in greater detail in a demonstration by McClure (n.d.) that the professor directed us to (Fig. 9). Figure 9. McClure’s (n.d.) Java Julia Set Generator. The user clicks near or upon the Mandelbrot attractor at left, and the corresponding Julia set displays at right. Sets can be superimposed for comparison: one can, for example, see the advancement (starting at 1, the circular form from the Mandelbrot origin) to elaborate “prisoner” contours (at 5, along the dense form of the Mandelbrot set). We understand now that Julia sets are unique sets based on complex numbers plottable along the Mandelbrot space, and that the elaborate sets are near the edge of the attractor. But why? What are these sets, why is the origin set a perfect circle (a clue!), why do the shapes diverge from a circle, what do they have to do with complex numbers, and why are they called prisoner and escapee sets? And why is the Mandelbrot set shaped that way? How is the circular nature of the Mandelbrot set related to the circularity of the origin Julia set? (http://facstaff.unca.edu/mcmcclur/java/Julia/) This exercise gave some insight into both the physical and mathematical relationships between Julia sets and the Mandelbrot set, but it also raised new questions. Students will discover that forms tend to be simple contours starting from a perfect circle at the origin, until somehow they become true “prisoners” near the perimeter, but it is in no way clear why that elaboration is developing, nor what the practical difference is between a prisoner and an escapee, nor whether the inference is even correct. The circle at the origin provides some clue. In fact, Julia sets have intriguing properties as they move away from the circle’s simplicity that may Zelchenko p. 18 shed light on both Julia sets and the Mandelbrot set. Contiguous shapes skew as they leave the center but do not tend to “floriate” until near the perimeter. They then begin “breaking up” outside the perimeter. Likewise, as we move leftward into the secondary bay, the structures begin twisting. There are definite patterns. These facts could not easily be gleaned from visual evidence without this specific program (what we get from text, e.g., Stewart Fig. 99, does not reveal these dynamics) and one could indulge in it for hours. Yet it does nothing to benefit understanding of the concept; an instructor must relate these mysterious topological observations to what we have previously learned. Another activity seems to add more insight. Or, does it? Below (Fig. 10) is from a Portuguese programmer: Figure 10. António Miguel de Campos’ (n.d.) online demonstration shows “the evolution (orbits) resulting from the iteration of zn+1 = zn2 + c, 50 times.” You can also zoom and see more detail. Left is clicked outside the perimeter and shoots off into oblivion; right shows clicking inside. Is there some connection between the containment or divergence and the concepts “escapee” and “prisoner”? Do the relative levels of containment of these two iterations relate to how elaborate the points’ Julia sets are? This is not consistent, because clicking in the center of the small blue bay at top or bottom yields only a triangle in this activity but a very elaborate shape in the Julia Set Generator explored further above. Does this lead to more questions than answers, or is this getting us somewhere? (http://to-campos.planetaclix.pt/fractal/mandelgen.html) This discussion is not meant to be an exhaustive investigation into how to explain fractals; it is only to emphasize that there are plenty of visual aids, and once assembled and arranged they may help to provide a more comprehensive explanation of the concept of fractal Zelchenko p. 19 geometry. But they may also simply add to the confusion. The important thing to keep in mind is to assume the student does not know what the instructor knows. Conclusion Chaos theory — coalescing as it does from an unlikely assortment of disciplines — is a famously broad subject and my two papers come nowhere near to doing justice to all aspects of the problems. They are, in fact, meant primarily to emphasize the subject’s breadth and to encourage enthusiastic study into all of the possibilities in learning and teaching it. Even the best instructor will require far more than a few weeks with these three texts, and the available teaching visuals are only under development. What is needed as a consequence of simple surveys like this is a structured curriculum with clearly defined unit obectives and expected outcomes for mastery. This in turn will encourage evolution of superior teaching aids and techniques. In the interests of time and space, I omitted many important discussions here, most notably the natural systems that are so well developed in all three books, logistical mappings and the Lorenz attractor, and self-similarity. This paper is also bound to contain some misnomers and faulty associations among certain concepts, based on certain misapprehensions. For these, I alone am responsible — however, one must keep in mind that I am a neophyte to this science and a layperson. References Alesandrini, K.L. (1984). “Pictures and Adult Learning.” Instructional Science 13(1), pp. 63-77. [de] Campos, A.M. (n.d.) “Mandelbrot Set and Julia Sets.” Accessed June 2010 at http://to-campos.planetaclix.pt/fractal/mandelgen.html. Zelchenko p. 20 Davis, R., Siegel, M.A., Zelchenko, P., et al. (1980). PCP SYS IV Core Curriculum in English. Urbana, Ill.: Computer-based Education Research Laboratory. In this series of lessons, we presented information and negative and positive feedback (e.g., text markup, highlighting incorrect answers, corrective re-insertion of incorrect answers into the drill set) by carefully designed formulae based on research in direct instruction techniques developed by S. Engelmann and refined by students Davis and Siegel. See, e.g., Siegel, M.A., and Misselt, A.L. (1983). “An adaptive feedback and review paradigm for computer-based drills.” University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, ERIC Research Report #ED234754. Dugdale, S. (1973). “Darts.” PLATO computer lesson. Urbana, Ill.: Computer-based Education Research Laboratory. Dwyer, F. M. (1978). Strategies for Improving Visual Learning. State College, Penn.: Learning Services. Cited in Alesandrini 1984. Gardner, H. (1983). Frames of Mind: The Theory of Multiple Intelligences. New York: Basic Books. Gleick, J. (1987). Chaos: The Making of a New Science. New York: Penguin Books. Kolb, D.A. (1984). Experiential Learning: Experience As the Source of Learning and Development. Englewood Cliffs, N.J.: Prentice-Hall. Lentz, R. and Levie, W.H. (1982). “Effects of Text Illustrations: A Review of Research.” Educational Communication and Technology Journal 30(4), pp. 195-232. Lorenz, E. (1993). The Essence of Chaos. The Jesse and John Danz Lectures. Seattle: University of Washington Press. Lurie, R.M. (2010). “‘Chaos While Sledding on a Bumpy Slope’ with variable parameters and showing all hill, repetitive cell, and strange attractor.” Unpublished modifications Zelchenko p. 21 to original Wolfram Mathematica demonstration project “Sledding on a Bumpy Slope: Chaos and Strange Attractor” (n.d.). Available at: http://demonstrations.wolfram.com/SleddingOnABumpySlopeChaosAndStrangeAttractor/. McClure, M. (n.d.). “Java Julia Set Generator.” University of North Carolina at Asheville. Accessed June, 2010 at http://facstaff.unca.edu/mcmcclur/java/Julia/. Piaget, J. and Inhelder, B. (1955). Growth of Logical Thinking. London: Routledge & Kegan Paul. Seiler, B.A. (1976). “How the West Was One + Three x Four.” PLATO computer lesson. Urbana, Ill.: Computer-based Education Research Laboratory. See also later editions, including that by Pleasantville,. NY: Sunburst Communications. Stewart, I. (1989, 2002). Does God Play Dice? The New Mathematics of Chaos. Malden, Mass.: Blackwell Publishing. Winn, W.D. (1982). “Visualization in Learning and Instruction: A cognitive Approach.” Educational Communication and Technology Journal 30(1), pp. 3-25. Zelchenko, P. (1999). “Technology in Education: Exploring Alternatives to Hype.” Educational Leadership 56(5), pp. 76-81. Alexandria, Va.: Association for Supervision and Curriculum Development. Zelchenko, P. (2010). “The Steep Slope to Understanding Chaos.” Paper 1 for University of Chicago sciences core course “Order and Chaos in the Natural World,” May 11, 2010. Zelchenko p. 22 Four Adult Students' Comprehension of Chaos Theory Comprehension Gap 1 2 3 4 5 10 8 6 4 2 0 1 4 7 10 13 16 19 22 25 28 31 34 Stage Zelchenko p. 23 [1] [2] [3] [4] avg Survey Question [1] [2] [3] [4] avg a 1 Deterministic behavior (Lorenz: "only one thing can happen next") 8 9 10 8 8.75 b 2 Stochastic behavior (e.g., coin tossing, shuffling cards, or Hyperion's odd orbit) 7 7 5 7 6.5 g 3 Dynamical systems 8 9 8 9 8.5 h 4 Discrete dynamical systems 8 7 5 9 7.25 c 5 Chaos: i.e., "stochastic behavior occurring in a deterministic system" (Royal Society of London, 1986) or "lawless behavior governed entirely by law" (Stewart, 1987) 8 7 8 7 7.5 d 6 Sensitive dependency on initial conditions ("small initial changes can lead to widely diverging results") 10 9 0 10 7.25 e 7 How iteration (e.g., with "calculator chaos," or with Lorenz's sleds) compounds sensitive dependency (GAP 1 STAGES 7-8) 9 7 0 8 6 f 8 Showing chaotic behavior using simple equations on a calculator or nonlinear plot 8 5 2 6 5.25 i 9 Basic attractors (e.g., the single pendulum, oscillators such as loaded springs, etc.) (GAP 2 STAGES 9-12) 9 7 2 10 7 j 10 Complex attractors (e.g., the double pendulum, Lorenz's "sleds") and the idea of "strange" attractor 9 7 2 6 6 "It's the 'so what' of identifying a strange attractor that gets me confused" (2) k 11 How a time series relates to a phase portrait or attractor (see figure in Gleick, p. 50) 8 7 0 9 6 "It's a series of snapshots" (2) Zelchenko p. 24 "Although I prefer a slightly different definition of chaos" (2) "It's the 'how' to illustrate the behavior that gets me confused" (2) l 12 Lorenz's "sled" strange attractor 5 7 0 7 4.75 o 13 Phase portraits: Limit cycles, sources, and sinks 8 7 10 5 7.5 p 14 Poincaré: Homoclinic tangles, and sections ("return maps") 5 7 5 7 6 "Same comment as j" (2). "I understand the concept but it would be helpful to explain the shape of such an abstract compacted attractor" (4) "Visual diagram of conditions" (2) (GAP 3 STAGES 14-16) m 15 The logistic map equation 5 7 0 7 4.75 n 16 The Lorenz attractor (the "owl" from his simplified convection equations) 4 7 0 6 4.25 s 17 Stretching and folding (e.g., Smale's horseshoe, Gleick p. 51) 3 7 8 5 5.75 t 18 The math underlying stretching and folding 2 7 0 3 3 "Same comment as j" (2) (GAP 4 STAGES 18-21) q 19 The period-doubling cascade 5 9 0 8 5.5 r 20 The math underlying period doubling 2 9 0 4 3.75 "Math of iterations" (2) u 21 Is period doubling essentially the same concept as stretching and folding? 2 7 0 2 2.75 "To a degree, but could a period doubling possibly vary depending on the dimension(s) of the stretching and folding? Stretch less, fold more, and still make it fit" (2) v 22 Bifurcation (see, e.g., diagram Gleick p. 206) 4 7 2 9 5.5 w 23 May's bifurcation diagram (e.g., Gleick pp. 74-75) 4 7 2 8 5.25 x 24 The Hénon attractor 6 7 0 6 4.75 Zelchenko p. 25 "Iterations" (2) y 25 Natural chaotic behavior: gravity and orbits (e.g., Poincaré); population dynamics; weather systems; convection and turbulence; and other natural systems 0 7 8 8 5.75 z 26 Renormalization and Feigenbaum's universal value of 4.669 2 7 0 8 4.25 A 27 Fractals in general 8 7 5 8 7 B 28 The fractal qualities of the bifurcation diagram 9 7 1 9 6.5 C 29 Cantor sets (e.g., Stewart, Figs. 49 "lines" and 50 "cheese") 9 9 5 8 7.75 D 30 How Koch curves, Menger models, etc., relate in their nature to Cantor sets 9 9 4 9 7.75 "Don't ask me why I think I get this; perhaps it is because graphics are easy for me visualize" (2) E 31 The fractal qualities of Koch curves, Menger carpets and sponges, Cantor sets, etc. 9 9 0 9 6.75 "More elaborated Cantor sets" (2) F 32 Julia sets 7 6 0 6 4.75 "7 as a concept; 5 as to how one gets there" (2) "7 as a concept; 5 as to how one gets there" (2) "But I don't comprehend how this number, and/or several other values that we discussed are used in life...besides in the one example illustrated in the book & mentioned in class" (2) (GAP 5 STAGES 32-34) G 33 The Mandelbrot set 8 6 0 6 5 H 34 How fractals relate to attractors 7 9 0 6 5.5 215 252 92 243 201 Score (perfect = 340; practical mastery or "C" average ~= 200) Zelchenko p. 26 "I understand the inverse correlation" (2)