ORF 105 Science and Technology of Decision Making Spring Term 2002-03 Lectures 1:30 p.m. to 2:50 p.m. Tuesdays and Thusdays Instructors Professors: A. L. Kornhauser (ORF) E-407 EQuad, x8-4657, alaink@princeton.edu Description and Objectives This course studies the fundamentals of human-machine interactions from both the human psychology and philosophy side as well as the machine engineering and design side. This multidisciplinary approach will utilize faculty and readings from psychology, philosophy, physical sciences and engineering. Starting from a framework of the elements of human-machine interactions, the course focuses on the following specific issues: What are the fundamental differences between humans and machines, specifically: how can we use machines to study people, what are the functional elements of sensors, memory, control and actuators in humans? Views of the brain at work. Philosophical aspects of human-machine interactions. Turing's test for machine intelligence and possible problems with the test. Searle's Chinese Room Argument. Thinking by machines and humans. Deduction by machines and humans; a taxonomy of thought. Are humans rational? Induction by machines and humans. Creativity by machines and humans. Computers in the social environment; motivational issues. Individual differences in humanmachine interactions. Issues of gender, age and personality. The decisions and control by humans and machines. The structure of the human and machine vision systems including approaches to machine vision and image processing. Information content in images. Application of computer vision to drive an "auto" mobile, artificial neural networks for massively parallel computing. Concepts of Decision Engineering, helping individuals make better real-time decisions. The role of consciousness in human-machine interactions: Are the information processing in the human mind and that in the intelligent machines invariably linearly separable, or are there possibilities of resonant synergism? Design and implementation of experiments on the question, including: issues of statistical analysis, scale of effects, replicability, and protection from artifacts. Theoretical models of the anomalous interactions, and their implications and applications. Course Requirements Readings must be done before class; written assignments are due every other week. There will be two (2) 1 hour exams. There will be a term project and an oral presentation of the project. Each student is expected to participate in at least one laboratory session in the PEAR lab, to be scheduled midway through the course. Reading preparation for this session will be indicated, and a written laboratory report will be required. For those especially interested in this research, the laboratory is available for more detailed projects for the term papers. In addition, students taking this course as their first or second psychology course must do four hours of participation in approved psychology department experiments. Grading: A-F, no pass-fail. Grade based on exams (20% each), course project and oral presentation (25%), homework and labs (15%) and class participation (20%). Required Texts 1. Bernstein, David Why is there a Burger King next to every McDonalds, unpublished text available as pdf Class Schedule Overview and Course Organization Week 1 Tue 2/4 Broad Overview of the Course by Course Participants. Presentation of the framework of human-machine interaction in a problem solving environment. Segment 1: Doing your best Thu 2/6 Models of Human Information Processing -- A. Kornhauser Skill-rule-and- knowledge-base approaches, semiotic interpretation of human acts, mental models of aggregation, abstraction and analogy. Readings: BernsteinCh1,2. Segment 2: Chances Are Week 2 Tue 2/10. The Mind-Body Problem. Descartes' argument for two distinct substances, body and mind. Various forms of dualism---substance, events, properties, phenomena. Possible relations between two distinct realms: dualistic interaction, epiphenomenalism. Rejections of dualism: idealism, physicalism. Readings: Rene Descartes, Meditations on First Philosophy (II and VI) and excerpt from Passions of the Soul. Thu 2/12. Problems for physicalism. Does everything reduce to or arise from physical phenomena? Or is there some non-physical principle? Compare the relation between mechanical and electomagnetic phenomena. Reasons to think that the mental does not reduce to the physical: intelligence, free will, creativity, quality of experience, morality, religion. Readings: Kwame Anthony Appiah, "Mind," chapter 1 of Thinking It Through, 2003. Segment 3: Best guess Week 3 Tue 2/17. Deductions by Machines - P. N. Johnson-Laird. How do we get machines to think? One answer: get them to think logically. Formal logic can be implemented in various computer programs, e.g., systems based on "natural deduction", or the resolution rule. Another answer: get machines to use rules with specific contents. Expert systems. The problems with these approaches: intractability, lack of decision procedures, need to make inferences that undo previous conclusions. Readings: Sections 6.2 to 6.4 of Ch 6. Agents that Reason Logically, in S. J. Russell and P. Norvig, Artificial Intelligence: A Modern Approach. Englewood Cliffs, NJ: Prentice-Hall, 1995, pp. 153174. Thu 2/19. Deductions by Humans - P. Johnson-Laird. Are human beings rational? Do they make deductions in the same way as machines, i.e., by deriving conclusions using rules of inference? Demonstrations of typical patterns of performance in deductive reasoning, including illusory inferences that everyone gets wrong. How human reasoning is semantic rather than a syntactic process; it appears to depend on constructing mental models of situations. Readings: Johnson-Laird, P.N. (2002) "Logic and reasoning." In Ramachandran, V.S. (Ed.) Encyclopedia of the Human Brain. San Diego, CA: Academic Press. Vol 2, pp. 703-716. Week 4 Tue 2/24. Probabilistic Thinking by Humans and Machines - P. Johnson-Laird. Representing uncertainty: the advantages of the probabilistic calculus. Extensional vs. nonextensional reason about probabilities. Common errors in human reasoning about probabilities. Bayes' theorem in expert systems and in human thinking. A theory of na•ve probabilistic reasoning. Belief networks in artificial intelligence. Readings: Gigerenzer and Hoffrage (1995) "How to Improve Bayesian Reasoning Without Instruction: Frequency Formats," Psychological Review, 102, 684-704. Thu 2/26. Creativity in Humans and Machines - P. Johnson-Laird. Can machines be creative? A working definition of creativity. A taxonomy of creative processes: Three computational architectures. Non-determinism. Some algorithms for creativity in science and art. Readings: Ch.'s 13-15, and Appendices 1 and 2 of P. McCorduck, Aaron's Code: Meta-Art, Artificial Intelligence, and the work of Harold Cohen. New York: Freeman,1991. Pp. 85-110; 199208 Segment 4: Toys Week 5 Tue 3/3. Readings: Thu 3/5 Readings: Week 6 Tue 3/10. Perception and Thinking by Humans and Machines - J.J. Gelfand Readings: S. Epstein, J. Gelfand and E. Twersky-Lock, "Learning Game-Specific SpatiallyOriented Heuristics", Constraints, 3, (1998), pp. 239-253. Midterm Examination Thu 3/12. MID-TERM HOURLY EXAM (covers everything through Monday 3/11, Segments 13) Mid Term Break Segment 6: Individual Differences in Human Machine Interactions -- Professor J. Cooper Week 7 Tue 3/24. Computers in the Social Environment - J. Cooper. Principles of social interaction, e.g., social comparison, social influence. The computer as a participant in the social system. Readings: Lepper & Malone, "Making Learning Fun: A Taxonomy of Intrinsic Motivation for learning," in Aptitude Learning and Instruction, edited by Snow and Farr, 1987, Vol. III, Ch. 10, p 223-253 Thu 3/26. Motivational Issues in Computer Education for Children -- J. Cooper. Achievements in learning from computers. Intrinsic motivation: wanting to learn more in computer education. Readings: Lepper & Malone, "Intrinsic Motivation and Instructional Effectiveness in Computerbased Education." Week 8 Tue 3/31. Readings J Thu 4/2. . Readings Week 9 Tue 4/7 Readings Thu 4/9 Readings: Week 10 Tue 4/14 Readings: Thu 4/16 Readings: Final Project Descriptions Due Monday 4/21 Segment 8: Consciousness and Human-Machine Interactions - Professor R.G. Jahn Week 11 Tue 4/21. Readings Thu 4/23. Readings Week 12 Tue 4/28.. Readings Thu 4/30. Readings Thursday evening 5/1 SECOND-HOURLY EXAM (covers weeks 7-12) Reading Period Term Project Symposium Tueday May 12, 2002. 9:00am-1:00pm TERM PROJECT SYMPOSIUM Formal 10 minute presentation of term project. Use of visual aids is highly recommended. Segment 5: Perception -- Professor J. Gelfand