The following appeared in the February 22, 2000, issue of THE WALL STREET JOURNAL: more attention paid to the bottom line than customer satisfaction, in general." SATISFACTION WITH RETAIL, FINANCIAL COMPANIES SLIPS BY MELANIE TROTTMAN Quality and Expectations The continued surge in spending in today's robust economy doesn't necessarily mean consumers are smiling more at the cash register. In fact, a quarterly survey of customer satisfaction, scheduled for release Tuesday, indicates that customers of retail and financialservices companies grew less satisfied in the fourth quarter of 1999 compared with a year earlier. The results also show general long-term declines in customer satisfaction since the index's start in 1994. Compiled by the National Quality Research Center at the University of Michigan Business School in partnership with the American Society for Quality, the American Customer Satisfaction Index found that satisfaction with retail companies in the fourth quarter fell 1.9% to 73.3 out of a possible score of 100. Satisfaction with financial services also fell, by 0.7% to 73.9. Only two categories out of seven showed year-overyear increases, supermarkets and personalproperty insurance companies, both with scores above the national average of 72.8. "This is sort of a backside of a growing economy," said Claes Fornell, a professor at the university's research center. "What the economy has done is increase productivity, and there has certainly been Mr. Fornell believes that the quality of economic output is as important as the productivity of economic resources and that attempting to improve one without improving the other could eventually harm economic growth because consumers could become disenchanted and curb their spending. But other economists see something else at work. Brian Wesbury, chief economist at Griffin, Kubik, Stephens & Co. in Chicago, said declining satisfaction may actually be a function of rising expectations. "There is no doubt that the quality of products today is much better than years ago, but consumer expectations are outstripping the ability of companies to improve quality." Mr. Wesbury said that is partly because American consumers are fussier than ever. "Consumers are trying to force perfection in almost everything. So if I have to wait on line, I'm unhappy with that. If I don't get a dial tone on my cell phone, I'm unhappy about that. But cell phones are a great product." Still, the news isn't all bad. The broader index, based on a survey asking customers about their expectations and their experiences with a number of products, shows overall customer satisfaction inched up 1% to 72.8 after factoring in the fourthquarter update on retail and financial-services companies. And some companies measured in the quarter did increase their ratings. However, the declines in most groups outweighed the gains. Gasoline Stations Consider gasoline stations, a group in which each company's score declined. BP Amoco fell the most, by 8.4% to 76, while Texaco Inc. declined 7.4% to 75, and Chevron Corp. dropped 6.2% to 76. The culprit: higher gas prices, which rose an average 32% last year, Mr. Fornell said. Dan Larson, a BP Amoco spokesman, said he wouldn't have expected the ratings drop for the company, which he attributed to higher prices. "We're in an environment of rising crude prices, and no one likes to pay more money," he said. Most other energy companies echoed his comment. Insurance Companies The score for lifeinsurance companies dropped as well, falling 1.3% to 76. But personalproperty insurance companies rose 2.6% in the index to 79. Customers buying property or casualty insurance might want to thank Berkshire Hathaway Inc.'s Geico carinsurance unit for the improvements, said Weston Hicks, an insurance analyst at J.P. Morgan Securities. "Consumers' exposure is shifting from the traditional insurance agency that doesn't answer the phone to Geico, which is advertising its 24-hour service." That in 2 turn has forced many of Geico's competitors to implement 24-hour, seven-days-a-week call centers where customers can make changes and get information on their policies. Geico's success has also spurred insurers to consider new ways, such as the Internet, to reach customers. Of course, it also helps that car insurers, locked in frenzied competition for premium dollars, were lowering car-insurance rates over much of the period covered by the survey. Customers are basically saying, "We love it when you lower prices; we hate it when you raise prices," said Mr. Hicks. Life insurers said the same focus on when-youwant-it answers has helped satisfaction stay fairly high. A spokesman for New York Life Insurance Co., whose approval rating increased 5.4% to 78, said it has been "placing a great deal of emphasis on training and development" of agents and customer-service employees at its four service centers. Metropolitan Life Insurance Co., which is switch- ing from a policyholderowned mutual company to a publicly traded company in a few weeks, dropped 3.9% to a rating of 73 after having been on a steady upswing since 1996. Kevin Foley, a spokesman for the company, noted that the study was done in the fourth quarter of 1999, at a time when the company "bombarded our customers with a lot of mailings" about a classaction settlement and about the company's pending switch. He expects the satisfaction level to resume its previous upward trend. Department Stores Department and discount stores also moved south in the ratings, falling 1.4% to 72. Kmart Corp. had the sharpest drop, 5.6%, and turned in the group's lowest score of 67. The company was on the brink of bankruptcy in the mid'90s before getting a new chief executive, who needed to "basically fix a broken machine," said Brown Brothers Harriman retail analyst Daniel Binder. "He did a lot of things right, but it's still got some further room for im- provement," Mr. Binder said. Kmart declined to comment. Wal-Mart Stores Inc. and Sears, Roebuck & Co. also showed statistically significant declines, defined as a drop of at least three points. Peggy Palter, a Sears spokeswoman, said the retailer's own internal data showed that customer service was improving. Most other retailers that saw a decline said they hadn't seen the survey and thus couldn't comment. Others said they were disappointed with the rating and were trying hard to improve customer satisfaction. When ranked with supermarkets, Wal-Mart's Supercenters, combination discount and grocery stores, showed a 4% improvement in the index. The company is simply "doing a better job on food," said Merrill Lynch senior retailing analyst Daniel Barry. Mr. Binder said the drop at the discount stores could have resulted from Wal-Mart changing over some of the operations to supercenters. The high scorer in the group was Costco Whole3 sale Corp., at 79. The company had no yearearlier comparison. Analysts hailed the wholesaling giant's merchandising strategy of selectively providing a wide range of high-quality products at compelling prices. "Costco is certainly the best of breed in its sector," Mr. Binder said. Supermarket Group The same is said to be true of Publix Super Markets Inc., which helped drive the supermarket group's score up 1.4% to 74. The grocery-store chain's 3.8% rise wasn't the biggest in the group, but its score of 82 was the best, both among supermarkets and the entire quarterly index. As is typical, the smaller size of Publix's operation makes it more adept at handling the day-to-day requirements of doing business. By contrast, the score for Winn-Dixie Stores Inc. dropped 4.1% to 71, which made it and Food Lion Inc. the lowest in the group. "Winn-Dixie is clearly in disarray," said Banc of America retailing analyst Gary Giblen, adding that numerous management changes and shifts in merchandising strategy have hurt the quality of day-to-day store conditions. A Winn-Dixie spokesman said the company is "disappointed" with the rating. But the spokesman noted that Winn-Dixie named a new president and chief executive officer, Alan R. Rowland, in November, and "one of his primary objectives is for our stores to offer fresh quality merchandise in pleasant supermarkets and to meet our customers' expectations." Supermarkets fared better than some other retailers because they aren't as susceptible to the tight labor market, Mr. Fornell said. They generally pay more than fast-food chains or general retail markets, analysts said. Fast-Food Restaurants Fast-food restaurants, though, have been squeezed by the tight labor market. "The turnover in this industry is just phenomenal," Mr. Fornell said. Even so, the group has remained virtually stable over the years although its scores are below average. McDonald's Corp., the low scorer at 61, didn't budge from a year earlier while Wendy's International Inc., Pizza Hut, and Domino's Pizza Inc. all fell. "McDonald's is trying to be more responsive to customers," said Donaldson Lufkin Jenrette analyst Janice Meyer, who said the company is trying to slow unit growth and offer made-to-order burgers instead of those pulled from under a heat lamp. Pizza Hut employees may have had less time to spend on customer service as sales rose in 1999 on the strength of the new New York-style pizza product, Ms. Meyer said. On the flip side, Burger King, which rose 3.1% in the index to 66, may have had more time to focus on consumer satisfaction because of its lower sales, Ms. Meyer said. To tackle the problem, many fastfood companies have raised wages and raised training time to attract workers, she said. Burger King's increase surprised Bear Stearns analyst Joseph Buckley. "They had disappointing sales and spent most of 1999 trying to get off of 4 the 99-cent Whopper pricing," Mr. Buckley said. Tricon Global Restaurants Inc., owner of Pizza Hut and KFC, is changing its mix of restaurants, which could be causing service disruptions at stores, Mr. Buckley said. A Tricon spokeswoman said Pizza Hut had "... made a significant improvement in delivery speed" since the fourth quarter. Financial-Service Sector Banks had the worst showing of all financialservices sectors, dropping 2.9% to 68 from 70. The decline is rooted in the strain of consolidation and push toward electronic banking, an option that older customers, in particular, have been hesitant to embrace, said Brown Brothers Harriman analyst Katrina Blecher. Mergers have resulted in customer inconveniences brought on by branch closings and technical glitches. Rising ATM fees have also left customers grumbling. Bank One Corp. spokesman Thomas Kelly said the bank's two-point decline to 66 may have been caused by merger-related stresses tied to the 1998 combination of Banc One Corp. and First Chicago NBD Corp. The companies, which formed Chicago-based Bank One Corp., are addressing the issues. The only bank that didn't fall was First Union Corp., which was unchanged. To create the American Customer Satisfaction index, the National Quality Research Center conducts telephone surveys with 12,500 current customers of the companies being surveyed that quarter. Each year, that amounts to about 50,000 customers of products from 175 companies and 30 government agencies. Sales of the measured companies constitute 30% to 40% of the U.S. gross domestic product. Companies are scored on a scale from 0 to 100. Industry indexes are constructed with company indexes, weighted by the sales of each company. The national index is made up of the industry indexes, weighted by their contribution to GDP. Different sectors are updated each quarter, so the entire index is updated by sections once each year. Customers are quizzed about their expectations and their perceptions of value and quality in the services they have purchased; for manufactured goods, quality is broken down into measures of the product and the service accompanying the product. These are translated through computer models into overall customer-satisfaction scores, which are used to predict customer complaints and customer loyalty. 5 American Customer Satisfaction Index: Retail and Financial-Services Companies The National Quality Research Center annually surveys customers of 175 companies and 30 government agencies, but each quarter it updates selected industries. Here are the index scores, out of a possible 100, for retailers and financial-services companies. A percentage change of less than three points for an individual company isn't statistically significant. Group/Company Financial Services Banks All Others First Union Bank One Wells Fargo BankAmerica Gasoline Stations Exxon Mobil All Others BP Amoco Chevron Shell Oil Texaco Life Insurance Northw. Mutual Life Ins. All Others New York Life Insurance Metropolitan Life Ins. Prudential Insurance Personal-Prop. Ins. All Others State Farm Insurance Farmers Group Allstate Insurance Group Restaurant/Fast Food Papa John's All Others Wendy's International Pizza Hut Domino's Pizza Burger King KFC Taco Bell McDonald's 4Q '99 Score 73.9 68 70 68 66 65 61 76 77 76 76 76 75 75 76 79 78 78 73 69 79 80 78 75 73 69 76 74 71 68 67 66 64 64 61 % Chg. 4Q '98 -0.7 -2.9 -4.1 0.0 -2.9 -3.0 -1.6 -3.8 -3.8 -1.3 -8.4 -6.2 -3.8 -7.4 -1.3 0.0 0.0 +5.4 -3.9 -2.8 +2.6 +2.6 0.0 +4.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -2.7 -4.2 -4.3 +3.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 Group/Company Retail Dept., Discount Stores Costco Nordstrom J.C. Penney Dayton-Hudson Disc. May Co. All Others Dayton-Hudson Dept. Wal-Mart Stores Sears Roebuck AAFES Dillard's Federated Dept. Stores Kmart Supermarkets Publix Super Markets Wal-Mart Stores Supervalu Kroger Albertson's Safeway All Others Food Lion Winn-Dixie Stores 4Q '99 Score 73.3 72 79 76 75 74 74 73 72 72 71 70 68 68 67 74 82 78 75 74 73 72 71 71 71 % Chg. 4Q '98 -1.9 -1.4 n/a -3.8 0.0 0.0 +2.8 +2.8 -2.7 -4.0 -4.1 +2.9 -4.2 +1.5 -5.6 +1.4 +3.8 +4.0 -2.6 +1.4 +4.3 +1.4 -1.4 -2.7 -4.1 Source: The American Customer Satisfaction Index is produced through a partnership of the University of Michigan Business School and the American Society for Quality 6