ESTABLISH MARKETS FOR VALUE-ADDED POTATO PRODUCTS Project Opportunity The owners of a production facility are looking for a management team who can come up with a plan to reopen their plant, bring in the necessary investment, and manage the business. The owners would be open to discussing an ownership stake with the management team. Project Description Colorado typically produces 25 million cwt (one cwt = 100 pounds) of potatoes annually and sells approximately 17 million on the fresh market. The remaining 8 million cwt. cannot be sold on the fresh market because they get classified as “off-grade” i.e. they are not the right shape, size or have external or internal defects. Approx. 2 million cwt (200 million lbs.) of these off-grade potatoes get dumped or fed to livestock each year. The price for grade potatoes in the fresh market varies by season and averages $5.00/cwt (or five cents per lb). Most of the off-grade potatoes are sold at approx. $0.60/cwt while those send to a dump cost the grower dumping fees and transportation. In 1998, a group of 13 potato growers built a state-of-the-art facility in Center, CO (close to Monte Vista, CO), to produce refrigerated fresh whole peeled and fresh cut potatoes with up to 21 days of shelf life. The potato farmers had seen evidence of a healthy market for fresh peeled and cut potatoes in Europe and expected the same results in the USA. They invested over $3 million in debt and equity to buy the equipment, construct the plant and hire a management and employee team. They have, since the plant opening in 1999, spend another $1 million on operating costs and consulting fees but a market niche for refrigerated fresh cut potatoes was never found. The business has been shut down due to a lack of customers for the past six years. The potato growers believe that their fresh cut potato products were simply ahead of their time. The Current Process at the Gourmet Potato Facility in Center: Refrigerated fresh cut and peeled potatoes are produced utilizing off-grade and B-grade potatoes grown locally. After arrival at the production plant, the potatoes are peeled, thoroughly washed and cut into various sizes and shapes. The potatoes are then run through a governmentapproved, non-sulfite solution to stop discoloration. The products are subsequently moved through a flume where chilled water and chlorine solutions controlled by a computer instantly chill the product to 32-35 degrees. The end result is a product with an expected shelf life of up to 21 days. The existing facility equipment is as follows: Equipment Abrasive peeler Knife Peeler Finishing Chiller Packaging Capacity (lbs/hr) 10,000 5,000 5,000 10,000 10,000 Comments Shorten shelf life of refrigerated potato Lengthens shelf life of ref. potato bottle-neck operation Citric acid soln to freeze outer layer In 5 lb. to 500 lb. bags We wish to re-evaluate the market for fresh peeled and cut potato products and extend the market analysis to complementary products such as fully or partially cooked refrigerated or frozen potatoes in various forms (whole, cut, mashed or powdered). ICAST believes there is a market for cooked potatoes. Grocery stores currently sell mashed, scalloped or other variations of cooked potatoes cut in various shapes and sizes, with other ingredients such as salt and spices added to increase value. We will also need to evaluate the modifications to the existing plant and equipment to accommodate any new market requirements. Our objective is to find the markets for value-added potatoes and evaluate if the existing “Nature’s Finest Gourmet Potato Inc.” plant can be upgraded to meet the market demand in an economically viable manner. Project Tasks This project has three components: 1. An analysis of the multiple markets and marketing strategies needed to sell refrigerated fresh or cooked potato products . 2. An assessment of additional production equipment that may be required to produce the product(s) for which a market currently exists. 3. Exploration of markets for alternate “special” potato varieties, such as yellow flesh and or red varieties, rather than using only the off-grade and B-sized potatoes. Project Deliverable Using estimates of capital costs, production volumes, operating costs, and product sale price, a business plan needs to be completed for the financial viability of the enterprise. The business plan will pull together all of the project information and analysis into a document that contains: The Market Opportunity The Service (Product Description and Operation Details) Market Description and Marketing Strategy Management and Personnel Financial Projections and Risks Appendix I Benefits to establishing a market for the off-grade and B-sized potatoes that would be dumped into a “Cull Pile”: Reduces Chances of “Late Blight” Associated With Cull Piles: The cull piles often contribute to the spread of wind borne fungal diseases for potatoes. The piles are often left unchecked so that spores can get blown by wind to infect the potato fields. Potatoes that decompose in these cull piles can be a source of innoculum for the devastating potato disease “Late Blight”. It was Late Blight that caused the Irish potato famine. Using these off-grade potatoes for the production of refrigerated fresh potatoes will eliminate the risk of late blight. Reduces Risk of Ground Water Contamination With Cull Piles: As potatoes in large cull piles decompose, they pose a risk to the ground water. The water table in the San Luis Valley is usually very shallow (3 to 4 feet below ground level). Growers are very aware of this and take extra caution to prevent any harm to the ground water but cannot always ensure safety of the ground water. Using these off-grade potatoes for the production of value-added products will eliminate the risk of contaminating the ground water. Additional Revenue Opportunity: Growers would benefit from a value-added potato production plant by having a market for their potatoes. Currently, the off-grade potatoes cause a loss of revenue (due to the cost of transportation and dumping fees). A revenue stream would create an economically sustainable potato industry. Economic Development Opportunity: The plant would provide jobs to local residents in a region that is economically distressed. People Quick Facts Conejos County Saguache Costilla County County Colorado Land area, (square miles) 1,287 1,227 3,168 103,718 Persons per square mile 6.5 3 1.9 41.5 Persons of Hispanic or Latino origin, percent 58.9% 67.6% 45.3% 17.1% White persons, not of Hispanic origin, percent 39.3% 28.2% 51.6% 74.5% Median value of owner-occupied housing $57,000 $61,200 $73,900 $166,600 Persons per household 2.8 2.44 2.56 2.53 Median household money income, 1999 $24,744 $19,531 $25,495 $47,203 Per capita money income, 1999 $12,050 $10,748 $13,121 $24,049 Persons below poverty, percent, 1999 23.0% 26.8% 22.6% 9.3% Retail sales per capita, 1997 $2,866 $1,012 $5,084 $10,417 Source: US Census Bureau State & County Quick Facts. All figures are for the year 2000, unless stated otherwise. Appendix II Potential Markets for the “Gourmet Potato” Plant: A wide variety of food-related markets may exist for refrigerated fresh cut and peeled potatoes. Such markets include: 1. Cafeterias: such as those at universities, correctional facilities, etc. 2. Restaurants 3. Catering Companies 4. Retail Commissaries These markets were targeted by the “Gourmet Potato” management in 1999-2001 without achieving any success. CPAC and the potato growers believe that these markets are now ready to purchase refrigerated fresh cut and peeled potatoes. This business team can evaluate the validity of that statement by surveying the above-mentioned target markets as well as other markets such as: Retailers (Grocery stores, Convenience stores, Deli’s, etc.) Wholesalers (Cysco) and Food-marts such as Costco and Sam’s Club. Food manufacturer’s (frozen food makers) for their capacity to sell a variety of value-added potato products such as: Fully cooked refrigerated and/or frozen potatoes. Partially cooked refrigerated and/or frozen potatoes. Uncooked (fresh) refrigerated and/or frozen potatoes. in various forms such as: Whole potatoes Cut into various shapes and sizes (fries, crinkles, waffles, diced, hash browns, etc.) Mashed or Powdered (flakes) and sold in small or large serving packages that may include other ingredients or value-added products such as: Vegetables (e.g.: diced potatoes with onions and peppers) A recipe for a potato based dish A pack of gravy or some spices to go with the potato in the package The frozen potato market is very well established and market entry for a new upstart such as “Gourmet Potato” may be difficult given that players such as Ore-Ida and Simplot Foods are very large and well established. Simplot Food Group Simplot Food Group is based out of Boise, Idaho and produces frozen potato products such as French fries, hash browns, and mashed potatoes. Some of their specialty foods include: Ore-Ida Ore-Ida, a subsidiary of HJ Heinz in Pennsylvania, produces a variety of frozen potato products. They are the best known brand in the market currently. Spudsters™: Mashed potato bite-sized snacks. Twice Baked: 100% prebaked Idaho Russets, scooped out, stuffed and quick frozen. Golden Fries® Golden Crinkles® Shoestrings Country Style Steak Fries Potato Wedges Country Style Steak Fries Onion Tater Tots® Country Style French Fries Zesty Twirls® Zesties!® Fajita Seasoned Fries Texas Crispers® While the frozen potato market has these large players, the same is not true for the refrigerated potato market because it is relatively new and without any large established players yet. Current market data from the potato industry indicates that the market size for refrigerated (not frozen) precut potatoes (fresh and cooked) is currently at $50 Million/year with an 8% growth rate. Most of this product is placed either next to the meats, pre-cut salads, or egg shelves in grocery stores (and not next to the frozen potato products). Additionally, the potential for a “niche” market exists. Yellow varieties are currently being used with success in Europe. There is virtually no fresh or process market in the USA for “off grade yellow flesh”. Competition in this market may be less fierce, and market studies indicate strong consumer interest and growing demand (per CPAC). The current competition in the refrigerated (fresh and cooked) potato market includes: Marten’s Farms This is a 900-acre potato farm based out of Port Byron, New York. In 2001 they expanded operations to supply the food service industry on a direct basis with fresh field packs and fresh pre-cut potatoes in all popular sizes and varieties. They produce a line of fresh pre-cut refrigerated potatoes products made from red, white, russet, and yellow potatoes. These potatoes are prepared in various styles: sliced, diced, French fries, shredded, whole peeled, and mashed. Reser’s Reser’s is located in Beaverton, Oregon and produce Potato Express Brand potato products. These products are pre-washed, peeled, cut, and then delicately pre-cooked, thereby requiring little preparation by the consumer. Reser’s sells Potato Express through supermarkets like Albertson’s, Wal-Mart, Safeway, and several others. Potato Express fresh-cut potatoes – sliced or diced cooked and ready to serve. Potato Express mashed potatoes Reser's Seasoned Potato Express Lamb Weston A subsidiary of Con Agra Foods, Lamb Weston specializes in a variety of value-added potato products. Some of their products include: Mashed potato and pre-sliced (see picture) products under the brand name TimeSavor® products geared toward busy, high-volume operations that demand high quality, portion-controlled sizing and laborsaving convenience. French fry-type products under the brand name Stealth® Fries Michael Food’s Northern Star Michael Foods out of Minnesota produce a versatile line of refrigerated, prepared potatoes. They prepare their potatoes by peeling and boiling, minimizing preparation time for the consumer. Michael Food’s Northern Star subsidiary produces the brand Simply Potatoes, which has multiple potato products. Some of these products include fresh cut potatoes that are pre-sliced or pre-diced and are sold in grocery stores. TimeSavor® pre-sliced Simply Potatoes Hash Browns with Onions The advantages of refrigerated (fresh and cooked) potatoes are: Potatoes are pre-cut thus saving a. labor - no peeling, washing or cutting to prepare b. eliminating waste- they are 100% usable with no peels to dispose Easy inventory management - Due to long shelf life Price would be fixed – eases the budget planning process Prevent introduction of bacteria in kitchens- no bulk potato processing As stated above, there are a variety of value-added potato products that can be marketed to multiple target markets. The marketing strategies needed to sell the variety of value-added potato products may be different for the various target markets. The market analysis will evaluate the various options and recommend the best target market and the optimal marketing strategy to break into the target market.