Monday 17 March 2008 Hayley Purcell Ofwat Centre City Tower 7 Hill Street Birmingham B5 4UA 1 Queen Anne’s Gate London SW1H 9BT Telephone 020 7344 1844 Fax 020 7344 1866 e-mail contact@water.org.uk website www.water.org.uk Pamela Taylor Chief Executive Dear Hayley, This is Water UK’s response to the second part of your consultation launched on 20 December. It comments on the second part of your competition review, which looks at water competition beyond the framework created by the current WSL regime and, indeed, beyond that outlined in the Government’s 2002 consultation. We intend these comments to help you develop your Spring consultation and to contribute to the Government’s review of competition which it recently announced. We are grateful to Ofwat for extending the consultation deadline, which has enabled us to discuss a draft of this response with industry members. While Water UK’s response has their support, water companies have differing perspectives on competition, as it should be, and will respond individually, in line with their specific contexts and strategies. Water UK position Water UK supports competition that benefits the generality of customers by creating a framework for the water industry that encourages and rewards efficiency and innovation. We therefore support Government’s objectives for water competition that Defra has reaffirmed in its recent ‘Future Water’ strategy document. We support the principle that the development of a water competition regime must protect the interests of household customers and vulnerable ones in particular. We were pleased to attend the competition roundtable which Ofwat organized on 19 February. We found it a helpful discussion of fundamental questions regarding the drivers of competition and the objectives that could be assigned to it. We think such a roundtable, like other collaborative processes, is a useful way for Ofwat to ensure that water companies and other parties gain ownership of its work. 1 Introduction We have responded in some detail to proposals for changing the WSL regime in our September 2007 response to your July consultation, and in our February response to the first part of your December consultation. In this response, we will focus on Ofwat’s proposals for four significant changes to the framework designed by Government for water competition: Access pricing Accounting separation Vertical integration of water companies Household competition We comment on these four topics below. We begin with a comment on the method of working which Ofwat should use in its work to develop competition. Ofwat’s approach in developing competition We believe that Ofwat’s work would move forward better if Ofwat were to involve the industry much more than it does now. Our members, inevitably, hold much information of use to the development of competition. While Ofwat has been consulting on its thinking, it has not shared – except in the most general terms – the work it has commissioned throughout 2008. For this reason, it has failed to obtain informed feedbacks from water companies, which could otherwise help it assess information better. The recent accounting separation was an instance when water companies provided valuable information but it was, unfortunately, an isolated example of collaboration. Generally, if Ofwat involved water companies in its work more, it also would be in keeping with its duty in Section 2 of the Water Industry Act 1991 to have regard to the principles of best regulatory practice. We think that Ofwat should share the findings of its consultants or its own analyses (on cost allocation, accounting separation, access pricing and market analysis, for instance) with the industry. Also, it should develop its collaborative working with the industry. We were surprised to read in Section 2.1 of its consultation that it is working with industry groups to improve the cost identification underlying ARROW costs. While we understand that consultants are working on the topic, nothing has been shared with the two advisory groups supporting Ofwat’s work on competition (Operations and Monitoring Advisory Groups). We think that Ofwat is limiting its effectiveness unnecessarily. 2 We think that Ofwat should publish a ‘road map’ of its anticipated work on competition and discuss it with its stakeholders. Such a ‘road map’ would be particularly useful to identify and show interdependencies: Some of Ofwat’s regulatory decisions depend on legislative changes, for instance. The ‘road map’ need not necessarily contain dates, since some are not in Ofwat’s gift, but it would show a timeline which could help all parties contribute to Ofwat’s work and collaborate with it more effectively. Access pricing Ofwat proposes that Parliament should not be responsible for determining an access pricing regime – as it has done in the WSL regime – but that Parliament should enact general principles only, leaving it to Ofwat to determine pricing regimes consistent with these principles. We do not support this approach for two main reasons: An access pricing regime must reflect and express the objectives that govern the water industry. These are given by Parliament in primary legislation and determine Ofwat’s objectives as well as the industry’s. Parliament must be responsible for enacting access pricing principles which are consistent with the objectives it sets. We do not think that Parliament should delegate as much as Ofwat is proposing. We do not believe that a set of principles, as proposed by Ofwat, would be sufficient to guide Ofwat in its implementation of Parliament’s will for the industry. The principles proposed by Ofwat so far can be interpreted in many ways and do not provide a sufficiently structured framework, either for new entrants or undertakers. We have shown in our September 2007 and February 2008 responses (relevant extracts attached) that the principles proposed by Ofwat may often not be consistent with the current objectives that Parliament or Government have given the water industry – some of which have been recently emphasized in Defra’s ‘Future Water’ document – and are insufficient for guidance purpose in any case. We agree that the Costs Principle has not supported effective retail competition. We have already said that we would support Ofwat’s efforts to investigate whether a different framework for retail competition might work cost-effectively. However, for common carriage competition, we believe that indicative prices published by water companies show that the Costs Principle is consistent with entry by new entrants who actually 3 contribute water to networks which are short of it. The Principle allows entry into the water industry where entry is desirable and contributes to the water industry’s ability to serve its customers while ensuring that ineligible customers do not suffer increased prices because of competition. Government has reaffirmed the need to ensure that noneligible customers should not be disadvantaged by competition and we think it important that the objectives for water competition be consistent with the other objectives given the industry by Parliament. Accounting Separation We have always supported Ofwat’s objective of understanding costs better and, as we said earlier, we are glad that Ofwat held a workshop on the matter at the end of January, in which we and industry members took an active part. We believe that the water industry and its consumers can only gain from a better understanding of its costs, not least because it enables it to explain to its stakeholders why bills increase as they do; it also allows the industry to develop its relationship with its customers because customers may understand better the services they receive in exchange for what they pay. On costing, we have specific concerns relevant to how cost separation is introduced: Cost separation in a sector like water will, in most cases, entail complex and somewhat arbitrary rules of allocation and apportionment. It is important that all stakeholders recognize that business unit costs are not true cost data but the result of the application of somewhat arbitrary rules. Ofwat needs to undertake a convincing and effective communication programme to explain that the eventual cost allocations which the project will yield are arbitrary to some extent. Stakeholders must be clear that the cost data produced by cost separation are not the only way of describing costs. There is a risk that companies are expected to re-organize their activities so as to facilitate the measuring and allocating of costs. This might produce more objective cost data but only at the expense of increasing cost overall, which cannot be desirable. The proposal that costing separation, let alone accounting separation, should be implemented in 2009-10 is not realistic. We believe that a rushed job will almost certainly produce misleading information. Moreover, Ofwat needs to take the burden of PR09 work on water companies into consideration. 4 At its January workshop, Ofwat explained its intention to go much further than cost separation and create separate accounting entities for various parts of the supply chain: the project is to determine the prices at which each entity buys or sells services upstream and downstream. We think that such a project is a significantly different exercise from costing separation. The determination of prices between business units, including balance sheet and cash flow considerations, is crucial in maintaining and enhancing the efficient operations of the industry. Moreover, the principles that apply to prices between business units depend on the extent to which end-user prices should remain averaged, as they are now, or should be de-averaged. It is important that the principles that will apply to the determination of prices are considered, debated and consulted on at some length, including their consequences for end-user pricing. Prices need to be designed in such a way as to maintain – for a disaggregated model of the industry - the incentives that exist in a well managed integrated entity. At certain points of the supply chain – depending on the chosen model of competition – prices need to reflect the marginal cost of decisions taken by agents elsewhere in the supply chain. If prices are based on marginal considerations – to support an efficient supply chain – it is also necessary to consider whether and how each business unit is able to recover the totality of its efficiently-incurred costs. Links with access pricing also need to be considered. Prices that embody these considerations cannot be improvised and we are concerned that Ofwat does not seem to recognize the importance of the work in hand. If it was undertaken too lightly, the potential for Ofwat presiding over the provision of seriously misleading information is such that regulatory risk would be significantly increased for incumbents and new entrants alike. Moreover, that could be counter-productive in promoting competition. Vertical integrations of water companies Ofwat announced at its January accounting workshop that it thought it right to consider the vertical separation of water companies even if Government’s objective has been so far to maintain vertically-integrated companies. Defra has now indicated, in ‘Future Water’, that the “regulatory regime for water in England and Wales allows significant scope for flexibility in business models and different ownership structures.” The question is whether Ofwat’s work on accounting separation, which attempts to mimic vertical separation, beyond cost separation, is a good use of resources and customers’ bills. 5 We think that the separation of retail functions from other activities is different from other forms of vertical separation. As Scotland is developing a model of competition, it is understandable that Ofwat would want to test it in England and Wales. However, it must be recognized that Scotland is different in that Scottish Water does not have a retail function for domestic customers; vertical separation of the business retail function was therefore relatively simple. Nevertheless, separation has been achieved at a high cost. Since the process would be more complex in England and Wales, where water companies have retail functions for all customers, it is important that retail separation – it is to be carried out at all – should be implemented with the maximum care to minimize its cost to customers. The real question is the work involved in forms of vertical separation other than retail. Such work may be expensive and raise important question of incentive and investment (see comments above on pricing). We think that an important difference between water and other sectors is the fact that inputs of treated water can be made at many more points of a network than they happen in energy. Separation between network and resources may therefore be much more arbitrary and result in distortions of competition and incentives that will cause inefficiencies unless: Boundaries between business units are delineated in a way that reflects the reality of efficient operations Pricing rules protect incentives and do not convey misleading signals Access by new entrants – whatever the competition model – is efficient Our purpose in making these comments is to highlight the difficulties of the project and suggest that Ofwat needs to address them, and not dismiss them. The project may well prove intellectually stimulating but it is important that it is carried out in an efficient way to minimize its cost. Household competition In discussing household competition, we think it is useful to distinguish retail competition from other forms of competition. Retail separation of domestic customers preserves the essential of their supply chain intact and is already demonstrated to work in Scotland. Household competition, provided separation is working well, is therefore likely to be workable. However, we doubt whether households will believe that they are offered genuine alternatives with retail competition only. Such form of competition may be desirable only if it allowed retail companies to offer a 6 combined package of services – in water and other sectors – which could prove attractive. Our main concern with retail household competition would be how to preserve a system that protects vulnerable customers and avoids cherrypicking. There is a risk that retail competition would target cheap-toserve customers only, at the expense of those likely to have difficulty paying or those with special needs. Concerning other forms of competition, our comments above indicate that we believe that a number of the changes proposed by Ofwat have the potential for increasing regulatory risk and this, not just for water undertakers, but also for new entrants. For instance, changes in the way access prices are determined will increase risk. The Costs Principle, while slow because it is case-specific, at least gives an entrant some certainty about the economics of its case. Whether access prices, in future, are determined according to a set of principles which Ofwat may interpret in different ways, or according to cost allocation rules which may change since they are somewhat arbitrary, they may introduce incentives for competition that prove short-lived. Short-lived incentives lead to stranded assets (for new entrants as well as undertakers), reversals in investment decisions and other costs. A large business user or a new entrant may find the risk of incurring such costs are outweighed by competition potential benefits. Business customers can manage risk and deal with it if rewards are sufficient. However, we do not think that household customers should be exposed to the risks associated with the initial stages of competition. Until competition is somewhat settled in the business market, and costs, prices and incentives are better understood, opening the household market to competition may prove counter-productive. Apart from questions of risk and cherry-picking, even when it works well, household competition raises the question of price averaging particularly acutely, even if it arises in a business context too. Competition can be used as a mechanism to unwind cross-subsidies deemed undesirable and it does so in a way that can leave losers fully exposed, often at very short notice, to price increases with which they cannot cope. As we said in an earlier response, if it is Government’s decision to de-average prices, we think it should be done as part of a conscious, deliberate and planned strategy. Until this is the case, we think it is a distraction to consider access pricing rules that make sense in the context of de-averaged prices only, and this particularly in view of the 7 affordability issues that water bills already create for a significant minority of customers. We shall be pleased to discuss our responses further with Ofwat and its advisers. We are copying this letter to Defra, the Welsh Assembly and CCWater. Yours sincerely Jeanne Golay Economic Regulation Adviser Tel: 0207 344 1808 Fax: 0207 344 1853 jgolay@water.org.uk www.water.org.uk 8 Access Pricing Criteria – Water UK Response to Ofwat’s July 2007 consultation This question is not clear as the distinction between ‘principle’ and ‘detail’ is not clear-cut. Some people argue that Ofwat’s proposal reflects the current situation, in which Ofwat provides detailed guidance for the implementation of the principles expressed in the costs principle. We think that access pricing methodologies must reflect the important objectives set by Parliament to the water industry – as the current costs principle now does. For consistency’s sake, both objectives and access pricing rules need to be embodied in the same document determined by Parliament. The examples of access pricing principles which are proposed in Ofwat’s consultation demonstrate clearly that it would be insufficient to include them in legislation without giving Ofwat the precise guidance that the costs principle now contains: Cost-reflectivity One has to assume that the cost-reflectivity principle intended here is different from the second proposed principle. The question is whether it means that there should be a separate access price for each customer, or group of customers. It is not clear whether it refers to the principle that tariffs are expected to be cost-reflective for individual customers or groups of customers. Ofwat’s Outcomes paper contains a most useful explanation of the principle – which we support – that there must be consistency between tariffs and access pricing. Lack of consistency encourages inefficient forms of competition such as cherry-picking. If a cost-reflectivity principle were to be included in legislation, it would be important that it be defined in some detail by law. Without further specification, a cost-reflectivity principle provides no information as to what Parliament may mean. Entrants to pay for the services they require only Such a principle encourages cherry-picking and inefficient competition. Generally, such a principle risks being interpreted as saying that new entrants’ customers should be charged on a marginal cost basis, which would leave the majority of the water 9 industry’s costs to fall on customers outside the eligible market. This cannot reflect Government’s intentions for water competition. In particular, such a principle would increase costs for customers which are not in the contestable area because they would be left to pay for socially desirable services which are not specific services rendered to a specific customer but which the water industry provides. A simple example is that of the fire service. It could also entail that customers served by competitors would not contribute, or not sufficiently, to the common cost of network operations; these costs would fall on customers outside the contestable market. The current costs principle ensure this does not happen. Non-discrimination towards notional downstream arm This concept is not appropriate in England & Wales for now even if it is useful in Scotland. The reason is that incumbent companies in England & Wales retain most of their retail activities and do not have a separate self-contained retail activity for customers in the contestable market. It would be costly and entail cost duplication if incumbents’ retail activities were set up as two separate organizations, one for the competitive and one for the noncompetitive group of customers. And that would be all the more costly if threshold changes meant that retail operations had to be perpetually altered. But without separation of retail from network activities, there could not be a principle of non-discrimination between a notional downstream-arm-for-the-competitive-market and actual competitor retail business. Exposed to market risks and incentives for services outside core monopoly As we said earlier, the ‘core monopoly’ has to be identified. It is to be noted, for instance, that water companies have a duty towards water conservation, which must be considered part of the ‘core monopoly’ if they alone are subject to it. The example is relevant because, in line with this duty, water companies are spending significant resources, whether to work with ministers in the Government Water Saving Group, in funding WaterWise and in advising customers on how to save water. Water companies, in line with this duty, are also continually reviewing their operations to reduce the amount of water they use for their own purposes. 10 Thus, water conservation activities are found in customer-facing, corporate and operational functions. In the first case, they may also be part of the contestable market. A principle such as that proposed by Ofwat would then require that incumbents differentiate between the various kind of activity they carry out under the heading of duty towards water conservation. Conclusion The brief review above of some of Ofwat’s proposed principles highlights that they are not fit, in their current guise, to set a general framework in legislation that could translate Government’s objectives for water competition into access pricing principles. We would prefer that Parliament stayed responsible for ensuring that regulatory consistency in such an important matter is maintained. 11 Access Pricing Criteria – Water UK Response to Ofwat’s December 2007 consultation The examples of access pricing principles which are proposed in Ofwat’s consultation demonstrate clearly why an approach based on them would have serious shortcomings in providing a pricing framework. Legislation based on them would not give Ofwat sufficient guidance on Parliament’s objectives for the water industry, of the kind now contained in the costs principle – for example to ensure the protection of domestic customers. We review each of the principles proposed by Ofwat below: Pricing that promotes effective competition If legislation contained such principle, it would not give Ofwat any guidance as to the kind of competition it should promote. Such a pricing rule encourages any form of competition, at any cost, as long as it exists. It would run counter to many of the objectives that Parliament has given the industry, in particular that of efficiency or the protection of various classes of customers. At the very least, ‘effective’ ought to be defined. Protection of service to ineligible customers We note that the proposed principle refers to services only, but not to prices. Consequently, such a principle would allow Ofwat to introduce competition by increasing prices to ineligible customers. This would be inefficient competition and we are surprised that such a solution should be entertained. Non-discrimination between an incumbent’s downstream arm and its competitors This principle implies that Ofwat should treat a vertically-integrated industry as if it was vertically-separated. As we noted above, we are not aware that Government has changed its objective of retaining a verticallyintegrated water industry. Costing and pricing rules that are appropriate for a vertically-separated sector do not necessarily create the right incentives and produce efficient results when applied to a verticallyintegrated industry. Entrants pay only for services received and required 12 This is a principle which we have already strongly criticised in our September response. It encourages cherry-picking and inefficient competition. Generally, a narrow interpretation of ‘services received and required’ in such a principle creates the risk that new entrants’ customers are charged on a marginal cost basis, which would leave the majority of the water industry’s costs to fall on customers outside the eligible market. This cannot reflect Government’s intentions for water competition. In particular, such a principle would increase costs for customers which are not in the contestable area because they would be left to pay for socially or environmentally desirable services which are not specific services rendered to a specific customer but which the water industry provides nevertheless. A simple example is that of the fire service, to which everyone connected to a water network now contributes, but which new entrants’ customers might choose not to support. Another example is that of highway drainage, which Government has decided every customer should support even if it is a service that is not rendered to water industry customers. Ofwat’s proposed principle could also entail that customers served by competitors would not contribute, or not sufficiently, to the common cost of network operations; these costs would fall on customers outside the contestable market. The current costs principle ensures this does not happen. The costs of an efficient operator of non-contestable (natural monopoly) services can be recovered This principle does not do more than re-state the principle that Ofwat must ensure that an efficient operator can finance its functions. We welcome the recognition that it is one of Ofwat’s duties. However, we raised the question in our earlier response of how noncontestable (natural monopoly) services should be defined. This principle assumes the question away, which is not helpful. Incumbents to be exposed to market risks and incentives for contestable services As the purpose of competition is indeed to expose market participants, including incumbents, to market risks and incentives, we do not see what this principle adds to the discussion of how access prices should be set. What should be discussed is how the costs of risk - and its rewards – can be ring-fenced so that customers who do not benefit from competition do not pay for it. Increasing risk for water companies increases their costs of 13 capital. Should this increased cost apply to all water company activities? We do not think this is desirable. Similarly, there must be a mechanism whereby a company that has taken risk can share the rewards with those who bore the increased cost of risk. There is also the question (raised above) of how to distinguish core monopoly activities from contestable ones. Compatibility with competition law This is much too vague a principle to be of use. Moreover, competition law is not suited for the introduction of competition, but only the regulation of existing competition. Competition law is also unlikely to suit competition on networks where a large element of monopoly is retained, specific objectives are set for the industry and the interface between monopoly and contestable areas needs special rules to avoid undesirable distorted incentives. In our earlier response, we also highlighted difficulties in defining ‘core monopoly’ with the example of water conservation activities. Optional principles We are concerned that Ofwat’s consultation relegates a number of principles to an ‘optional’ category and this optional category includes principles such as efficient entry and maintaining the cross-subsidies that Government has said are desirable. We do not think that Government’s objectives can be treated as optional. Also, we think that the principle that competition should be efficient is a fundamental principle, currently embodied in the costs principle approved by Parliament, and we are concerned that Ofwat does not consider such a principle to be essential in justifying the cost and risk of introducing competition. Concerning cross-subsidies and the principle on the desirability of geographic price signals, if it was Government’s intention to remove geographic and other average pricing rules, we would expect such an intention to be carried out as a conscious, deliberate, planned strategy. We would also expect a related collaborative communication programme in which Government and Ofwat would take a lead explaining to the customers who will be negatively affected why the move is one which the water industry regulators consider worth the transitional difficulties they are experiencing. 14