G.I. Vasechko STABILITY OF TERRESTRIAL ECOSYSTEMS TO PLANT PESTS: AN AXIOMATIC APPROACH. PART II. SUBSTANTIATION OF THE AXIOMS PROPOSED IN THE PART I http://www.icfcst.kiev.ua/VASECHKO/Vasechko.html icfcst@i.ua 11_Axiom1-1.doc PART II. SUBSTANTIATION of the AXIOMS PROPOSED in the PART I AXIOM 1(1) DRIVING FORCES BEHIND PLANT PEST ABUNDANCE DYNAMICS This Axiom is a retelling of the Ch. Darwin’s idea expressed with the following words: "In looking on Nature, it is most necessary to keep the foregoing considerations always in mind never to forgot that every single organic being may be said to be striving to the utmost to increase in numbers; that each lives by a struggle at some period of its life; that heavy destruction inevitably falls either on young or old during each generation or at recurrent intervals. Lighten any check, mitigate the destruction even so little, and the number of the species will almost instantaneously increase to any amount" (Darwin, 1872, p. 62). The idea that every single organic being (or all the living beings) has the capacity to unrestricted multiplication is a corner-stone in the theory of evolution and now is proposed as the same in ESPPs. Probably, this is the most important property of the life on the levels of an organism and the higher systems (populations, ecosystems). Owing to this capacity, there exist the stuff (abundance of organisms for natural selection) both in the evolutionary process and the process of population dynamics. The latter is a closest province to the concept of ESPPs. The Ch. Darwin’s words "...to keep ... in mind - never to forgot..." demonstrates the great importance attached by him to this property of life. One may see the congeniality of the Ch. Darwin’s words and the revelation of Old Testament - "Be fruitful and multiply" turned to all the living beings. The inmost proximity of Old Testament, Ch. Darwin’s mentality and efforts of contemporary ecologists induces an inspiration that is necessary for solving of great problems of our time. This succession suggests that ESPPs has a mission to clear the mystery of centuries. This mystery is how the main contradiction of organisms and the environment (the contradiction between their ability to unrestricted multiplication and the limited vital resources) has been settling in nature. ESPPs is an epicenter of studies in this direction, and it may help in solving the main problem of mankind - the optimization of its relations with the environment. This solving this problem is of crucial importance for surviving of mankind. Also, a synthesis of these ideas is useful not only for solving of scientific problems, but it is valuable as a step in progress of mentality. It will help to exclude some misunderstandings that breed strife in the human community. As to the facts evidencing in favor of the adequacy of the Axiom 1, it should apply to Ch. Darwin’s works, the diversity of textbooks and analytical books in the theory of evolution. In particular, the artistic account of this problem can be found in the book by R. Carson (1962). The cases of outbreaks of animals and epiphytoties of phytopathogens in a result of their invasions to new territories (continents and islands) are spectacular illustrations of the adequacy. These facts serve as the best substantiation of the Ch. Darwin’s words "Lighten any check...and the number of the species will almost instantaneously increase to any amount." Thus, the Axiom 1 (an ability of living beings to unrestricted multiplication) is a component both the Darwin’s theory of evolution and the proposing concept. This coincidence is an important fact with a standpoint of validity of the concept. This is so because to be valid, any developing system of knowledge should be connected logically with the scientific province, whose validity is out of doubt. As to the following Axioms of the proposed concept, the ways of the concept and the theory of evolution are branching off. Darwinism explains the evolution of living beings, whereas the proposed concept explains the density of living beings - PPs. They are close processes, but different ones. 1 G.I. Vasechko STABILITY OF TERRESTRIAL ECOSYSTEMS TO PLANT PESTS: AN AXIOMATIC APPROACH. PART II. SUBSTANTIATION OF THE AXIOMS PROPOSED IN THE PART I The next postulate of Darwinism is the natural selection of organisms with new traits appearing due to the ability to unrestricted multiplication, the traits, which occurred to be the most adapted to given environmental conditions. This selection leads to evolving of a new species. In ESPPs, selection on the part of environmental conditions (FESPPs in the proposing concept) takes place also, although, but this selection has another character, as follows: i) It survives organisms of PPs having the best physiological state, ii) In some situations, at the selection by FESPPs, it appears the organisms of PPs with new traits, although after several generations of them, the selection becomes of inverse direction, so that in a population of PPs, it restores participation of the organisms with previous traits. This is a microevolutionary oscillatory process. Therefore, the effect of the selection is the phenomenon of population dynamics, rather than arising of new species. At developing the Ch. Darwin’s ideas, the words "striving" and "checks" found more concrete terms - "species potential" and "environment resistance." On the base of a great many knowledge in this field, it has been formed the provinces of population ecology of animals and epidemiology of phytopathogens. However, the systemizing of this material in the form of generalizations leaves much to be desired. Among the numerous attempts to pose regulations in population ecology of animals - PPs, consider the concepts of "self-regulation in a population" proposed by A.J. Nicholson (1954) and "chance control" proposed by H.G. Andrewartha and L.C. Birch (1954) and R.W. Thompson (1956). These concepts, it seems to be, the most perfect attempts to explain population ecology of PPs, and they served as a stimulus at preparing of the present study. On the other hand, these concepts demonstrate clearly typical limitations in mentality of population ecologists. The concept by A.J. Nicholson (1954) is the closest to the proposing concept. He has developed "a number of considerations which appear to him to be axiomatic and therefore provide a solid basis for an understanding of what he calls population dynamics" writes W.R. Thompson (1956, p. 381). These considerations include seven points (a-f). The first of them is similar to the Axiom 1 of the present report, namely: "a) All animals have an innate ability to reproduce and to multiply under favourable conditions" (Nicholson, 1954, p. 59). In order to make clear the content of subsequent considerations, let us turn to thoughts of himself A.J. Nicholson (1958, p. 108): "I shell briefly outline the mechanism of self-regulation in populations. Each species of animals is necessarily limited to those regions in which everything it requires is supplied in a quantity, and of a quality, not less than the minimum necessary for continued existence and reproduction at the replacement rate. Outside such regions the inherent resistance of the environment prevents the continued existence of the species. Inside these regions the animal tends to increase authomatically inducing additional resistance to multiplication. This induced resistance is commonly the depletion of one or more requisites...." This passage might be commented in such a way: there exists the ecological pessimum for a given species, where "the inherent resistance of the environment prevents the continual existence of the species", and there exists the ecological optimum for a given species, where " the animal tends to increase authomatically inducing additional resistance to multiplication. This induced resistance is "commonly the depletion of one or more requisites..." The comments demonstrate the difference between the concept by A.J. Nicholson and the proposing concept. The main task of the latter concept is explaintion, why in the most of cases species of animals is unable "to increase authomatically" in its ecological optimum in spite of the lack of any "the depletion of one or more requisites." Although the numberless studies have been directed to solving this problem, ecologists have not explaned the fact that absolute majority of PPs species continually are kept on the level of Insignificant density in quite favorable for them abiotic conditions and available resources. In context with the concept of ESPPs, it is important to take into account other views as to factors of PPs population dynamics. Here is the consideration by W.R. Thompson (1956, pp. 400-401): "My general conclusion, therefore, is that populations are not self-governing 2 G.I. Vasechko STABILITY OF TERRESTRIAL ECOSYSTEMS TO PLANT PESTS: AN AXIOMATIC APPROACH. PART II. SUBSTANTIATION OF THE AXIOMS PROPOSED IN THE PART I systems ...Climatic and edaphic factors are the basis of the environmental diversity, producing not only the fragmentation of habitats but constant change in their character and location. This is the primary extrinsic factors of natural control... Populations, therefore, are not truly regulated but merely vary...The variation sometimes assumes a cyclical aspect, but this is usually attributable to change, not to factors producing oscillations according to definite laws." In spite of the controversy between R.W. Thompson and A.J. Nicholson, their scientific positions sometimes are close. True, "...near the fringes of distribution, density-governing reactions must be slight and inconspicious" (Nicholson, 1958, p. 108). The idea of "fringes" occurred to be not simply one, namely: "...the fringe area of a species need not consists of a favourable zone, but may consist of numerous, scattered zones, that are "fringe" in character for divers reasons, and occur inside and outside climatically favourable areas"(Wilson, 1968, p. 146). Moreover, according to H.C. Chiang (1961), fringes may be of various kinds, namely: ‘...climatic, topographic, biotic, advancing, and artificial..." (Ibid., p. 146). This short review demonstrates the confusion that exists in comprehension of factors of PPs population dynamics. The Ch. Darwin’s words "The causes which check the natural tendency of each species to increase are most obscure" (Darwin, 1872, p. 63) continue to be true. It seems, this confusion will be made away if to consider population dynamics of PPs on the base of an ecosystem. This is so because it is typical for a natural ecosystem the presence of the factors that are able to keep hundreds species of PPs on the level below threshold of damage for dominants over unlimited time, and these factors, probably, operate as a system. When study a system, one may get a prompt as to validity of its suggestion. In a system, all its components are in a connection. Therefore, a mistake occurs to be apparent. To get clear this attempt, it should to list the questions, which will be offered to nature in this report: i) Why does a typical natural ecosystem is able to exist over unlimited time in spite of presence in it potentially destructive agents - hundreds species of PPs (herbivores and phytopathogens), which stay nearly always on the level below threshold of damage for dominants? ii) What kinds of factors cause in natural ecosystems an increase of PPs density above threshold damage for dominants? iii) Why do man-made ecosystems (articenoses) are more vulnerable to damage due to PPs? iv) Is it a self-regulation in a population? v) What kinds of factors determine the spatial distribution of PPs density? vi) How does to increase ESPPs? 3