MT11B Weather Systems Analysis Eleanor Highwood, December 2003 Lecture W4 Thermal advection W4 1 - The concept of advection: The temperature at an observing station may change in two ways: The air parcel which is being sampled might change its thermodynamic state. For example, sunlight might increase its internal energy, and hence its temperature will rise. The air parcel might be replaced by a different parcel with a different thermodynamic state as the wind blows past the station. This process is called advection. In practise, both processes will operate. However, on the synoptic scale, temperature changes on timescales less than a few days are dominated by advection effects. W4 2 - Lagrangian & Eulerian rates of change: The diagram shows the variation of temperature in the vicinity of an observing station at A. Suppose that the temperature observed is T0 . A short distance x upstream, at point B, the temperature will be: T x. T T0 x But after a short time t , the air parcel at point A will have been replaced by the air parcel originally at point B, a distance x U t upstream of point A. The rate of change of temperature at point A is therefore: Which simplifies to: T x x T T U . t t x The Norwegian frontal model has already emphasized this, with the concept of air mass, and the changes of air mass associated with the passage of a depression system. MT11B Weather Systems Analysis Eleanor Highwood, December 2003 In this case, we assumed that the properties of the individual air parcels were constant. Now suppose some process was changing the temperature of the air parcels themselves. We denote the rate of change of temperature of an air parcel by DT Dt . This is sometimes called the “Lagrangian rate of change” of T, i.e., the rate of change following an individual air parcel and is related to the rate of change at the observing station by: T DT T . U t Dt x In general, the wind will not blow precisely parallel to the x-axis. The expression is easily generalized to give: T DT T T T . u v w t Dt x y z Other quantities than temperature can be advected in the same way. Similar expressions hold for them, simply replace T by the quantity concerned. W4 3 - Thermal advection and the thermal wind: Suppose that geostrophic balance holds. Then the low level wind blows parallel to the height contours at the lower level. If the temperature gradient is constant with height, then isotherms are parallel to lines of constant thickness. There will be thermal advection if the lines of constant height make an angle with lines of constant thickness. If they are parallel, then no thermal advection is taking place. The “thermal wind”, i.e., the vector difference between the wind at 100 kPa and 50 kPa was given by: VT g ( Z2 Z1 ) ; f y the thermal wind blows parallel to the lines of constant thickness. This enables us to recognize three different situations: MT11B Weather Systems Analysis Eleanor Highwood, December 2003 1. No thermal advection: the thermal wind is parallel to the thickness contours. Hence, in this case, the geostrophic winds at upper and lower levels are parallel. Cold V1 VT V2 Warm 2. Cold advection. The thermal wind points to the left of the low level wind. Hence, the geostrophic wind must back with height. The wind vector points from cold towards warm air at all levels. Cold V2 VT V1 Warm 3. Warm advection. In this case, the thermal wind vector points to the right of the low level wind vector. The geostrophic wind points from warm air toward cold air at all levels, and the geostrophic wind veers with height. Cold V1 VT V2 W4.4 Estimating thermal advection from charts Thermal advection is important when contours of height and thickness cross at a significant angle. From a thickness chart we can estimate the magnitude of this thermal advection. We can therefore identify likely regions of vertical motion by examining the thermal advection across the chart. Warm MT11B Weather Systems Analysis Eleanor Highwood, December 2003 Suppose both height and thickness contours are plotted, both with the same contour interval Z. Denote the horizontal distance between height contours Z and the horizontal distance between thickness contours T. The magnitude of the geostrophic wind is therefore: Ug T g Z f Z Z The temperature gradient can be estimated from the spacing of the thickness contours using the thickness equation: T g Z s R ln p1 p2 T If the angle between the thickness and height contours is , then the magnitude of the thermal advection is: But the area of the parallelogram formed by the height and thickness contours is: Ug T g 2 Z 2 sin sin s fR A ln pT 1 Zp2 T Z sin and so we have a very simple formula for the magnitude of the thermal advection: v.T A where g 2 Z 2 fR ln p1 p2 For standard contour intervals of 60 m, pressures of p1= 100 kPa and p2 = 50 kPa and at a latitude of 51N, is 1.54x107K m2 s-1. MT11B Weather Systems Analysis Eleanor Highwood, December 2003 Worked Example: Examining some charts, you find that at a station at 50N, the surface geostrophic wind is 15 m s-1, bearing 240, and the 100-50 kPa thickness decreases from south to north at 60 m in 200 km. What is the wind at 50 kPa? Assuming these conditions do not change, estimate the change of temperature at the station in the next 12 hours. Step 1: The two components of the surface geostrophic wind are ug 15 cos( 30 ) 13 m s-1 and vg 15 sin ( 30 ) 7.5 m s-1. Step 2: The thermal wind has magnitude VT g ( Z2 Z1 ) 26. 3 m s-1 f x and points from west to east. Step 3: Hence the components of the geostrophic wind at 50 kPa are (39.3, 7.5) m s-1. Step 4: The magnitude of the wind is 40 m s-1 and its bearing is 270 tan 1 v g / u g , which is 259. Step 5: Draw it. Step 6: We have a warm advection configuration. To calculate the temperature rise, we note that the increase due to thermal advection is v g T / y . Step 7: From the thickness equation: T g ( Z2 Z1 ) y R ln( p1 / p2 ) y Hence, T / y is 1.4810-5K m-1. Step 8: The temperature increase due to thermal advection is therefore 1.1110-4 K s-1 or 4.8 K in 12 hours. In fact, you will find that this type of calculation always over-estimates the observed temperature change, by a factor typically around 2. Why do you think this might be?