Discussions and feedback on the 2013 strategic objective outline.

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DRAFT TEMPLATE: 2013 CHAP REGIONAL WORKSHOPS
Please note that responses in the template should be brief. The Template is intended to present
a summary only.
Central Highlands
Current Humanitarian Context, ie situation at the time of the meeting/. Prioritization of humanitarian
needs/ indicators:
Central Highlands consists of two provinces viz; Bamyan and Daykundy. There are seven districts in
Bamyan and eight districts in Daykundy respectively. This is a region that is relatively secure compared to
most parts of Afghanistan, however recently there has been a surge in AGE activities in Shibar and Kahmard
districts bordering with Baghlan and in Kajran and Gizab bordering with Uruzgan and Helmand. Major
natural hazards in hazards ranked according to frequency and severity include; Extreme cold temperatures
(winter), floods, avalanches, landslides, disease outbreak, animal diseases (epizootics) and drought.
Earthquakes are rare in Central highlands, but if they are to happen the impact is higher because of the
community’s false sense of security and mountainous landscape. Human induced hazards include
deforestation (increases run off and erosion, triggers landslides and avalanches), and conflict mainly in the
four districts cited above.
Priority needs for natural hazards: Emergency shelter/NFI, Health/Nutrition, WASH, social protection
safety nets, food security. All these should be benchmarked on SPHERE minimum standards.
Priority needs for human induced hazards: Water provision, protection, Emergency shelter/NFI,
Emergency Health services, WASH (emergency sanitation) Psychosocial support to those who are
traumatised, food security. Reforestation was also cited as an intervention that will mitigate the
environmental degradation and water harvesting as a means for sustained water availability. All these
should be benchmarked on SPHERE minimum standards.
Context Elements:
Natural Hazards:
 Floods
 Long Extreme cold temperatures (Winter)
 Avalanches
 Landslides
 Drought
 Disease outbreaks (Pneumonia, Measles, Diarrhea)
 Animal diseases (Epizootics)
 Earthquakes (rear)
Man Made Hazards:
 Deforestation – (erosion, triggering landslides and avalanches)
 Conflict - confined only to two districts bordering Baghlan and Urozgan
Bamyan Province:
 Increase in AGE activities in some parts of Kahmard and Shibar districts that may result in shrinking
humanitarian access
 Security concerns from neighboring provinces (insecurity on the route passing through Parwan and
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Wardak provinces increased civilian causalities from Central Highlands)
Closure of offices by some international (UN) agencies who were implementing through NGOs, this
might lead to an exodus of NGOs/Humanitarian actors
Hindered physical access – during winter
Floods affect all districts and mostly Yakawlang, Kahmard, Saighan, Drought – most districts are prone
with the exception of Kahmard in Bamyan, Kijran in Daykundy.
Daykundy Province:
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Unavailability of air transportation between Nili (Daykundy) and Kabul
Road accessibility during winter is difficult and challenging.
Decrease in road accessibility due to deteriorating security in neighboring provinces.
Good Security situation in most of the districts is an advantage for humanitarian activities.
Limited presence of NGOs in Daykundy and ad hoc coordination among humanitarian actors, and low
capacity and less funding on the part of local/national NGOs.
Closure of offices by international organization like WFP and UNAMA.
Absence of reliable population data
Indicators:
Emergency Shelter & NFI:
 % of affected people (natural hazards/conflict) who receive emergency shelter and NFI
 # of assessments carried out after an emergency
 # and type of prepositioned emergency stocks
Protection:
 % of population with good security
 % of CDCs accessible by humanitarian actors
 % of women participating in social/community activities
% of elderly and vulnerable children who receive assistance
Nutrition and food Security:
 % of people affected by drought
 % of returnee Afghans with access to arable land
 % of children (under five) admitted for nutritional support
WASH
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% of population with access to safe drinking water and sanitation
% reduction in oral feacal diseases
% reduction in the number of people affected by water-borne diseases
Health:
 % of population with access to safe drinking water and sanitation
 % reduction in oral feacal diseases
 % reduction in the number of people affected by water-borne diseases
Education:
 % and number of children (Girls and Boys) who have access to education
 Teacher/Pupil ratio
 Number of functional schools
Current Caseload: List affected populations, indicating the reason for their vulnerability and current
number if available (state if this is estimated rather than confirmed). You may indicate if the groups are
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currently assisted by the humanitarian community
Projected Humanitarian caseload - Natural hazards: this is estimated at 9,000 families (63,000
individuals). That is 4,500 families (31,500 individuals) in Bamyan and a similar caseload for
Daykundy. The population is vulnerable to the major hazards above.
Projected Humanitarian caseload – Conflict: This will be determined by the scale and scope of the
conflict. Ironically the region can also play host of IDPs from other provinces/regions.
Common:
- Extreme cold temperatures that results in physical access to health facilities and schools
being hindered.
- Security deterioration in the districts neighbouring unsecure province have its general
affects to all clusters
- Concern over influx of returnees to provincial town centres.
Health:
- Difficult access to health centres due to remoteness and physical inaccessibility during
winter.
- Insufficient Mobile Clinics.
- Low vaccination coverage.
- Lack of qualified doctors
Education:
- Limited education provision during winter due to remoteness of areas and unavailability of
heating facilities.
- Child labour, long distance to schools.
- Unsecure districts and cultural and gender related issues.
- Lack of qualified teachers and high teacher/pupil ratio.
Nutrition/Food Insecurity:
- Drought related
- Poor means of subsistence/livelihood
- limited access to nutritious and diversified food,
- Poor pasture management
- Concern over influx of returnees to provincial capital centres
- Lack of awareness on nutrition and food diversification.
- Limited access to arable land.
WASH:
- Low access to safe potable drinking water.
- Low sanitation coverage and poor health and Hygiene practices.
- Water sources/points are open and unprotected
- Limited hygiene awareness.
ES/NFIS:
- Exposure to extreme cold temperatures, landslides, floods and displacement.
Most Likely Scenario. ie: what the humanitarian community believes WILL happen over the next twelve
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months. This scenario normally forms the basis for humanitarian planning, especially within the CHAP
framework where applicable.
Bamyan:
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Surge in AGE and criminal activities especially in (Kahmard, Shiber districts in Bamyan and Gizab
and Kijran districts in Daykundy) bordering Baghlan and Urozgan. This might also increase in areas
that have been viewed as relatively secure.
Increase in insecurity in the supply and transport route – Kabul - Bamyan
Internal population displacement
Disruption of education service provision (corruption in recruitment of unqualified teachers- long
distance to schools in remote areas, lack of school buildings, lack of heating facilities during long 6
ms winter)
Reduction in air transport servicing Bamyan/Daykundy by humanitarian and commercial operators
Increase in mortality and morbidity
Daykundy
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Stable Provincial Government structures;
Improved security within Daykundy;
Protracted drought continues and people will be looking for alternative livelihoods
Base on indigenous knowledge winter may be shorter (warmer); and there might be more time for
farming.
Funding to NGOs will be decreased.
Difficulties in air transportation for NGOs
Scenario elements: Indicate probable developments, and events that might trigger these, for the next
twelve months. Socio-economic, political, security, health, natural (chronic/sudden onset) elements should
all be taken into account. Indicate sub-regional/cross border implications where applicable and remember
the potential impact of external events.
Bamyan:
 Breakdown of rule of law, increase in corruption, human rights violation
 Increase in insecurity in some parts of Kahmard, Saighan, Shibar and western parts of Yak
 Increase in insecurity in the supply and transport route – Kabul - Bamyan
 Closure of schools and increase in schools being used for other purposes
 Exodus of humanitarian actors and closure of programmes leading to high degrees of vulnerability,
increase in mortality and morbidity rates
 Increase in food prices leading to malnutrition, fighting for survival (criminal activities)
 Budget cuts by humanitarian actors and donors
 Collapse of health services
Daykundy:
 Humanitarian assistance will be decreased.
 Government control decreases particularly in bordering district to Urozgan.
 There will be no air transport
 Unreliable information on humanitarian, economical, social and political situation.
 Decrease of people trust to government.
 Decrease of people’s accessibility to public services and humanitarian services.
Rationale for the Scenario/Early Warning Indicators: show for each element of the scenario why the HRT
believes this element is possible, how (and by whom) developments are being monitored and which
indicators are being used.
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Anticipated Caseload: Who will be affected by the developments and how? What impact will this have on
caseload figures (increase/decrease) and what are the projected new figures in each category.
63,000 individuals (9,000 families)
Worst Case Scenario: ie what is POSSIBLE, even if it may seem UNLIKELY, in the next twelve months given
the current humanitarian context. Try and think of the worst case and its consequences as this is what will
really allow us to assess preparedness. Sometimes the worst case does happen . . .
Scenario elements: Indicate possible developments, and events that might trigger these, for the next
twelve months. Socio-economic, political, security, health, natural (chronic/sudden onset) elements should
all be taken into account. Indicate sub-regional/national implications where applicable and remember the
potential impact of external events.
Rationale for Scenario/Early Warning Indicators: show for each element of the scenario why the HRT
believes this element is possible, how (and by whom) developments are being monitored and which
indicators are being used.
Anticipated Caseload: Who will be affected by the developments and how? What impact will this have on
caseload figures (increase/decrease) and what are the projected new figures in each category.
126,000 Afghans (18,000 families in the worst case scenario)
Humanitarian Consequences/
Impact of Scenario
Capacity for provincial/ regional
sectoral response
Constraints for response
Indicate only key areas in which
scenario may have humanitarian
implications, ie: on humanitarian
access, on resources
(financial/human) or on overall
cluster/ sectors needs.
Indicate whether there are plans,
mechanisms, or resources are in
place to address the
consequences, or whether these
need to be developed and/or
there are major constraints.
Please indicate major
constraints
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Discussions and feedback on the 2013 strategic objective outline.
Discussions to include relevance and appropriateness of the strategic objectives to the shared needs
analysis and the appropriate thresholds that distinguish between a humanitarian and a development
intervention. Reference can be made to the national level cluster recommendations / validation done on
each cluster recommendation.
Bamyan:
Objectives 1, 2, and 3 are relevant
and appropriate. However,
objective 4 is more development
oriented and it is not SMART.
Objective 5 - the issue of resilience
cannot stand alone but should be
main streamed.
Daykundy:
- Objectives 2, 4 and 5 are more
relevant, (Obj 2 for Daykundy is
more relevant to Women and
Children)
- Objective 4: Increase of
livelihood opportunity, income
generation, improve/advancing
agriculture and livestock for
Daykundy.
- Objective 5: The projects under
SO5 have to enable the
community to take the
ownership after exit of the
projects.
General Observations/ Comments
Humanitarian actors expressed the need for strong OCHA/Humanitarian presence in the area. On
the other hand they expressed concern over closure on offices by some UN agencies and donors as
this might result in suspension of air services to places like Daykundy.
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