UNCLASSIFIED (U) The Ontology of the Shura: Why We Get It Wrong & How to Get It Right (U) Dr. David C. Ellis (U) Mr. Scott Kesterson 8 July 2011 DRAFT (U) Introduction (U) Stability and transition in Afghanistan depend most critically upon rehabilitating and empowering the local shura because it is the foundation for all social organization. The Taliban intuitively understand the centrality of the shura and know how to empower it, co-opt it, marginalize it, or destroy it. We do not. Until the Taliban are rendered irrelevant in local, village-level governance and security, the international effort to secure Afghanistan cannot succeed. (U) Coalition Forces and the international community have spent nearly ten years and tens of billions of dollars trying to build the capacity of the Afghan National Government (GIRoA) to reach the population, assert authority, and stabilize the country. The assumption underlying this approach is that district and provincial governments can adequately re-establish local governance. Events over the last decade demonstrate this assumption to be flawed for a multiplicity of reasons, but this does not mean governance by Afghans for Afghans is beyond their reach. Instead, it simply means that local governance must come from villagers working on their own behalf, not exclusively from GIRoA’s district and provincial appointees. Devoting a fraction of the international community’s resources to local, village shura rehabilitation and empowerment, especially through Village Stability Operations (VSO), can result in geometrically better results for the stability and transition effort. (U) Fortunately, the local, village shura is comprehensible to foreign forces and can be proactively supported by Afghanistan’s international partners if it is properly explained. This paper explains the ontology of the shura and how to “get it right.” It is not a meeting, as Westerners understand it. Rather, it contains an entirely different set of 1 UNCLASSIFIED social relationships and infused meanings than Westerners assume; the assumptions we bring to shuras are why we get them wrong and often destabilize them. Once the social meanings and structures of the shura are elucidated, the international effort can expect to see the Taliban lose their influence with the population, much like in 2001-2002. In other words, the better we leverage natural Afghan social dynamics and social institutions, the more we encourage peaceful transition as the international effort winds down. (U) A Vital Local Shura Is the Strategic Objective (U) A vital local shura is the strategic objective for international efforts in Afghanistan because it is the only means of giving Afghans a sense of control over their destiny, especially as the Afghan government muddles through its growing pains. In order to achieve stability and transition, villagers must feel secure and empowered in their villages, not just be subject to the authority of a government. The distinction between the Afghan government and the local shura must be clearly established analytically in order to make the best use of each. True, a shura can and should occur at the district government center, but shuras can, should, and must exist outside of it as well. The reason international forces conflate the shura with local government is due to blinders we bring to government and governance. (U) Afghan local politics does not function on the basis of chartered or incorporated towns like in the United States. Conversely, Afghans participate in much less structured associations, typically around particular issue areas. One scholar describes Afghan communities as “opportunistic solidarity structures,” which connotes both closed systems of in-group support and open systems of inclusion when the benefits of so doing become apparent. Participation in a shura is, thus, not a contractual, legal determination based on property location, but a conscious decision to make the boundaries of political community by virtue of participation. (U) A key error of the international effort has been to orient its local political efforts out of the provincial and district government centers. To us, these offices represent “the town” or the local community, at least in our conception of local governance. In reality, 2 UNCLASSIFIED the district government represents the interests of the national government, not necessarily (and not often) the interests of the broader population within the district’s boundaries. We have often wondered why villager participation in local politics is so sparse. The answer, generally, is that the boundaries of the districts and the decisions of district governments are unrelated to the communities of interest Afghans themselves value and create. (U) Another way to look at this is that the shura process binds the “political community” together. A healthy, well-functioning shura can include a wide range of tribes, subtribes, and ethnicities so long as the participants see value in the inclusion. Under such circumstances, the shura emphasizes conflict resolution for the mutual benefit of all parties. On the other hand, a small, tightly controlled shura indicates suspicion, fear, and conflict with others. Communication between or within villages is broken, tensions cannot be mediated, and political and economic progress can be impeded. (U) The strategic value of the shura is that it mitigates conflicts for the mutual benefit of all parties involved; the more robust the shura, the larger the “zone of peace.” Discovering the historic, natural boundaries of political communities, determining why they have been obstructed, and enabling them to reestablish themselves recreates local governance. This is the building block of peace in Afghanistan, even in the absence of the national government’s ability to assert authority. (U) The implication of a vital shura for VSO is that it extends the influence of the Village Stability Platform (VSP) beyond the embed site. Strategically placing the embed site in an area located at the heart of the shura or multiple shuras – as opposed to the district government center – allows the VSP to engage and influence a much larger segment of the population due to its natural relevance to the community. The VSP will not have to bring villagers in for consultation, the VSP will already be where they normally consult one another. 3 UNCLASSIFIED (U) How Shuras Bind Villages and Political Communities (U) The term “political community” is defined as a group of people who share common interests, identities, and organize for mutual benefit and protection. In the Western conception, a political community is ideally represented by the concept of the “nationstate” and at the local level by the village, town, or city. This formulation is inaccurate in the Afghan context. Though Americans consider their homes their castles, they are lightweights as compared to Afghans, and this becomes apparent in the way they view the shura process. (U) In Afghan culture, the home is literally sovereign territory, much like Westerners view the sovereign nation-state today. Nation-states do not accept a higher authority, which reduces politics to negotiation or fighting. Similarly, Afghans do not look to government first and foremost to reconcile competing interests; they negotiate accords and treaties among themselves. They evaluate political power and influence, costs and benefits, and agree to solutions. Or, they fight. (U) Villages do function as political communities, but the basis of governance is different than the formal governance that the Westerner expects. A villager can make a decision for his household, but anything that impinges upon the rest of the village requires consultation, a shura. More expansive problems demand larger shuras, which expands the boundaries of the community. In other words, the shura is the means through which Afghans express the boundaries of their political communities. (U) Because of the special sovereign character of Afghan homes, and by extension Afghan villages, the shura binds political communities together. Formal political structures do not exist to represent these political communities. Shuras must fill this role. What international forces must be sensitive to is which actors Afghan villagers state they want to include in their deliberations, why they failed to invite others, and why they want to exclude specific groups. 4 UNCLASSIFIED (U) Defining the Shura (U) Shuras as political and judicial bodies are very different in form, function, and meaning than what occurs in the West, and international forces have not yet reconciled their intentions with Afghan social practices. International forces view the shura as a meeting. It is not. Indeed, thinking of the shura as a meeting as Westerners know it is a significant reason why the international effort has failed to achieve stability in Afghanistan over the last decade. (U) The ontologies of a Western meeting and an Afghan shura are almost completely opposite. The principles compared below demonstrate just how unproductive the Western approach to meetings has been in Afghanistan, but they also demonstrate how we can positively reorient the international effort to enhance traditional Afghan political institutions. (U) Relational vs. Contractual Interaction (U) The Western world is so rooted in a legal contractual basis that it is actually difficult to imagine a set of social relationships not founded upon an effective, functioning legal system. This social structure allows anonymous individuals to engage in commerce, politics, and law with a relatively high degree of trust about outcomes without actually knowing anything about one another. The legal process of validating contracts documents, determining obligations and responsibilities, and imposing fines or punishment for defaulting on the terms is what allows Western societies to be dynamic and fast-paced. Western societies value the rank, position, and title of an individual as a result because his or her personal character is much less relevant than the institutional power with which he or she is entrusted. (U) From this ontology, it is quite easy to have an interaction between two individuals who know nothing about one another, sign multi-million dollar contracts on behalf of large institutions, and achieve the outcomes both parties desire. The legal system acts as the guarantor of the agreement, and contracts and supporting documentation form the basis of social obligation and trust. The Western meeting format is a direct result of the 5 UNCLASSIFIED socio-political institutions we have worked hard to create over centuries of political and judicial evolution. Moreover, this structure of generating trust reflects the individualistic philosophy and ethics underlying Western society. Individuals attend meetings, represent fictitious individuals (corporations), and rely on impersonal, unrelated, and supposedly neutral institutions to compel the agreed upon behavior and outcomes from the individuals. When overlaid with a Western, and largely American, sense of punctuality and time urgency, it becomes clear how a Western meeting takes on a set of meanings and subtext that are culturally peculiar and not well suited for the Afghan context. (U) Yet Afghans – and most people in the world – have never lived in a state with a trustworthy and effective judicial system. What’s more, rampant illiteracy renders a written, contract-based system hard to generate for practical reasons. If formal social institutions cannot generate trust among anonymous individuals, then something else must fill the void. (U) In Afghanistan, trust is a function of believing in an individual’s character, of familial obligations, and of long-standing relationships. History is what is important, not documents. Decisions to undertake business or political arrangements with others require a pattern of deeds matching words. Honesty and rectitude are of paramount importance since it is extremely difficult to develop credibility without them. In other words, a history of positive interactions is a prerequisite for conducting business with Afghans, which requires strong relationships to be formed over time. (U) Afghans take measure of the man when deciding whether or not to work with someone. Rank, position, and title of course play a role in interactions, but they do not have the same meaning or importance as in Western society. Reputation is extremely important to Afghans because (U) The absence of a credible judicial system does not mean that Afghans lack a social mechanism for guaranteeing agreements. Family, or kin, obligations serve as an extension of reputation. Business in its commercial and political forms gets 6 UNCLASSIFIED accomplished through the guarantee of reputation. An individual vouches for another with a third party, which then obligates the individual to guarantee the interaction between the others. Otherwise, a failed interaction sullies the individual’s reputation and makes future transactions much more difficult to achieve. As one might imagine, the pace of conducting business must by necessity be much slower than in Western societies since so much emphasis has to be placed on measuring a person’s character. (U) Thus, core differences in the ontology of how individuals conduct business have an immensely important – and deleterious, as currently practiced in the Western tradition – impact on the stability effort in Afghanistan. In short, meetings as designed by international forces are entirely structured on the basis of rank, position, title; relatively short deployments; and contractual, judicial underpinnings for working with Afghans. Conversely, Afghans need long-term, trustworthy, and socially guaranteed interlocutors developed over the course of multiple shuras to conduct real business. It is no wonder why the international effort finds it difficult to generate commitments from Afghans, especially when the Taliban routinely remind the population that international forces are transitory, but they are permanent. Everything about our engagement strategy testifies to this narrative. (U) Equity vs. Hierarchy (U) An important consequence of the sovereignty of the Afghan home is the physical manifestation of the shura. At every level, the shura reflects the consultative, negotiated nature of Afghan political communities. Members sit in a circle, symbolic of the formally equal nature of each household or member of the shura. Although informal hierarchies are of course present in the shura, its circular shape is an important subtext denoting a degree of equity that demands a mutually agreed upon accord amongst participants. (U) The circular form has another important hidden meaning unparalleled in Western meetings. The center of the shura circle represents shared community space. It is the physical manifestation of the political community, and it cannot be impinged upon by any 7 UNCLASSIFIED individual since it is community space. Moreover, the circular shura grows as the number of participants grows. The circumference of the shura expands naturally as the number of people increases. (U) The communitarian nature of the shura is also manifested in the way food is shared at the event. Food is shared communally, with trays of chicken, rice, lamb, vegetables, and naan bread being laid out for two or more people to divide. Again, the principle of shared space underlying the community is manifested by physical presentation and consumption of food. This is very different than the Western way of breaking bread as a group. (U) The Western ontology is built around hierarchy, even in its dining tables, meeting tables, and room architecture. Our minds are so accustomed to it that we do not even consciously realize the power relationships being expressed. The Western table is rectangular, and every seat at the table is individual space. At a meeting, the “head of the table,” one end typically, is occupied by the most prestigious and powerful individuals, with the least important people at the farthest end or not even situated at the table. In the dining room, the head(s) of the household sit(s) at the head of the table, or both ends, which denotes power and respect. Food might be shared on the table, but those partaking in the meal place the food on individual place servings and eat off their own plates. Moreover, the table does not grow; it is finite, and if extra people attend, they are relegated to another, lesser table or room and are by default shown not to have much position or relevance. (U) Many important shuras are held outdoors in a large field instead of a building that restricts space. Indeed, holding shuras indoors could have the unintended consequence of limiting participation, resulting in two detrimental outcomes: (a) an unintended hierarchy in the community is created by privileging those individuals allowed in the building to participate, and (b) it prevents international forces from determining the true extent of the political community on an issue because full participation cannot be accommodated. 8 UNCLASSIFIED (U) The Western ontology of a meeting therefore creates a series of imbalances in the shura process simply by where and how international forces hold meetings. When a shura consists solely of “key leaders,” the remainder of the community is left to believe that international forces have created the social hierarchy, and the political community is diminished by the lack of participation. Savvy Afghan politicians have recognized this proclivity of international forces to unwittingly elevate them by organizing “shuras” in the form of a Western meeting. Culturally attuned or cosmopolitan Afghans might forgive or inform Westerners of their mistake, but the average rural Afghan is not in this position. Instead, he is left to interpret the behavior of international forces as intentional, with all the unintended consequences. (U) Discussion vs. Lecture (U) Western architecture reinforces this ontology of social relations. Western rooms, especially meeting rooms, are rectangular and spatially restricted. If there is not sufficient space for all participants, some are left out based on a hierarchy of relations. Moreover, the rectangular form and tradition of placing the powerful at the head of the room or table creates a particular subtext, that of the lecture. (U) The egalitarian subtext of the shura creates an atmosphere of consultation and negotiation. The shura circle invites discussion, with all those wishing to speak having the right to do so. The shared, discursive space of the shura is what creates political community in Afghanistan. Without this feature, Afghans feel a sense of being dominated, which is directly contrary to the intrinsic sovereignty of the home and the voluntary nature of political community. (U) The Western rectangular meeting with an established hierarchy does not invite discussion; rather it connotes a lecture and creates the sense of being talked to. The hierarchy of the lecture tells people what to think and how to act, which are acts of dominance. As noted, the intrinsic sovereign character of the Afghan household bristles at this sense, though Afghans might accept it when power dynamics demand it. Such 9 UNCLASSIFIED arrangements, however, last only so long as the power relationships hold or until alternatives present themselves. Here the utility of the Taliban becomes apparent. (U) How the Ontology of the Meeting “Gets it Wrong” (U) A Western approach to a meeting in Afghanistan presupposes that anonymous individuals can quickly work together with a restricted set of key leaders who can credibly bring along their community members. In addition, these meetings take on the character of direction instead of consultation, and expect that contracts suffice for achieving outcomes. This core ontology of the Western mind is entirely at odds with the Afghan ontology, and is, worse, counterproductive in achieving stability. It is possible for international forces to reorient how they engage Afghans in the shura process, but it begins by adopting the Afghan ontology of a shura and determining how to help Afghans emphasize the consultative, mediatory aspects of their political culture. In other words, expanding local Afghan political communities through the shura process is what will ultimately stabilize Afghanistan, not an overly strong central government. (U) Identifying the Boundaries of Political Communities (U) As noted above, expanding the boundaries of local political communities through the shura process is what will most efficiently stabilize Afghanistan. The conflicts of the last thirty years have done tremendous damage to the shura process because rural Afghans have lost infrastructure and have been reduced to below-subsistence survival behavior; they, in many cases, simply do not have the resources to think beyond the immediate environment. Moreover, the Taliban have been expert at exacerbating local conflicts with the direct intention of destroying the shura process and filling the void with their own brand of shura “justice.” Creating local, village-oriented “zones of peace” and progressively expanding the boundaries outward to more villages is how stability can most efficiently be achieved. Identifying the natural boundaries of pre-existing political communities requires a special, but easily accomplished, process. (U) “Mapping” Shuras 10 UNCLASSIFIED (U) The first task is to determine the extent of existing issue-specific shura boundaries. This is an empirical task of holding shuras on different issue areas (water, infrastructure, crops, etc) and meticulously recording the villages represented. The next step is to hold the same issue-oriented shuras at the more marginal villages to expand the opportunity for participation. Within a few weeks, the natural limits of shura participation should become apparent. While Coalition Forces should maintain open invitations for broader inclusion, they should facilitate shura negotiations between villages as they join. (U) Locating the Pattern-of-Life/Center of Gravity vs. the District Center (U) One of the hardest mental leaps Coalition Forces will have to make is recognizing that the District Center is not the natural center of rural Afghan politics. Yes, it is necessary in many cases to locate forces at the District Center and with the District Governor to provide valuable resources and mentoring. However, this is not the same as rehabilitating the political process characteristic of the shura. Instead, Coalition Forces at the District Center will in most cases be most valuable acting as honest brokers between the District Government and the outlying villages. Over time, their mentoring and negotiating skills will make working with the District Government a reasonable alternative, not necessarily the center of political gravity. (U) The real task is to determine the greatest density of Afghan social, political, and economic interaction. In some cases, the District Center will be there, but in many more the District Center will actually be a peripheral location chosen for political, not practical, reasons. Overlaying the boundaries of the various issue-oriented shuras will reveal a center of gravity, which forms the natural crossroads of the broader political community. Emplacing VSPs in these areas will maximize the opportunity for Coalition Forces to engage with the population; help them determine and reconstitute their shuras; and most efficiently achieve access, placement, and rapport with the largest political community as possible. (U) Securing the Boundaries of the Shura 11 UNCLASSIFIED (U) Unfortunately, the Taliban will do its utmost to prevent the natural political communities from reconstituting through the shura process. This would be a catastrophic strategic blow to their effort, so they will use targeted assassination and widespread intimidation to disrupt the initiative. As a result, Afghans will be reticent in many cases to participate in the shura process, especially in the most remote areas, unless real steps are taken to secure the natural political communities. (U) Many times Coalition Forces will hear Afghans state that they will work with them so long as villages in the next valley agree. The typical interpretation is that this is an attempt to maintain a balance of power. In some cases, this is true. In many others, this is actually the open identification of the political community they know they must have protected in order to effectively participate in building the political community. Afghans possess an acute sensitivity to historical avenues of conquest, and they will demand checkpoints be established to guard against those approaches. Coalition Forces must facilitate the construction of these checkpoints to create the “zone of peace” that will enable the shura process to take firm root. As the political community solidifies, progressively more villages will ask to participate, and Coalition Forces will even be able to link natural political communities back to District Centers and one another for broader political and development planning. (U) How the Taliban and Coalition Forces Disrupt the Political Community (U) What should be apparent from the discussion on Afghan political communities above is that they are fragile constructs based on a normative and practical balance of respect and power. Negotiation, trust, and need create them, and the introduction of foreign powers and interests easily rupture them. Both the Taliban and Coalition Forces are guilty of this, though the latter are in a much better position to mitigate and repair the effects of their entry into the community. (U) When the Taliban or Coalition Forces enter and take root in a village, they upset the balance of influence and negotiation within a village or broader political community. 12 UNCLASSIFIED They become “the strongest tribe” and make negotiations between households and powerbrokers unpredictable. Whether wittingly or unwittingly, they elevate certain individuals, marginalize others, and change the whole fabric of social relations within the community. The only way to mitigate this damage is to become members of the community slowly and methodically, mapping out the boundaries of shuras, trying to identify needs, and distributing money and responsibility with great care. (U) Rehabilitating the Shura for Strategic VSO Effect (U) Village shuras form the basis of all political community in Afghanistan, and disrupting this element destabilizes the entire foundation of politics for Afghanistan as a whole. Consequently, Coalition Forces must recognize that they will always have an initially destabilizing impact on a community whenever they enter it, and they must work to rehabilitate the shura process as quickly as possible. (U) Securing the Political Community (U) The first step in shura rehabilitation is securing the political community. Establishing the boundaries of participation, negotiating checkpoints, and helping locals to man them create the opportunity for negotiation that the Taliban would otherwise crush. At this point, Coalition Forces will continue to be a disruption to the political community, but it will show itself to be a more honest broker than the Taliban and, in many cases, the government. By creating security bubbles around embed sites, and helping other villages in the political community to man and reinforce security checkpoints, Coalition Forces will be able to create the political space for shura negotiations. As the security bubble expands through added checkpoints, the Taliban will be pressured out of the area or will be unable to intimidate locals from participating. (U) Providing Opportunity – Civil-Military Operations (trust and rapport) (U) Holding proper shuras cannot generate the kinds of access, placement, and rapport Coalition Forces genuinely need to rehabilitate political communities. After so many years of “getting it wrong,” Afghans need empirical evidence that the Coalition actually can begin to meet their needs. Rural Afghans require targeted Civil Military Operations 13 UNCLASSIFIED (CMO) designed to improve family wealth creation, healthcare, and conflict resolution. CMO activities that directly help Afghans recapture lost food preservation skills, crop disease mitigation, irrigation practices, and basic medical care stand to generate trust and rapport because Coalition Forces will demonstrate a tangible desire to improve the villages’ qualities of life. No other entity – whether Taliban, narco-trafficker, landlord, international development agency, or government – has been able to credibly engage the rural population in this manner since the invasion in 2001. As a result, CMO activities will improve the Coalition’s reputation with the public, generate genuine access and rapport, and enable forces to become trusted members of the community. (U) Amplifying Civil-Military Operations: Effects Based Narratives (opportunity vs. oppression) (U) Expanding the boundaries of political community requires amplifying the security and development gains achieved in discreet areas. Narratives that build upon the positive gains demonstrated by security operations and CMO activities in nearby areas can encourage other villages to begin the engagement process and eventually resist Taliban dominance. Effects Based Narratives seek to change the Afghan perception from one of Coalition incapacity to understand and improve the Afghan condition to one of the Coalition coherently and progressively improving the opportunity structures, both political and economic, of Afghan villagers. Demonstrating the rehabilitation of shuras and political communities across the country will begin to change the Afghan calculus of whether or not the Coalition can indeed “get it right” in their country. (U) Restoring Political Community Governance through the Shura (U) The simultaneous and cumulative effect of creating security, building genuine access and rapport, and amplifying the positive gains across areas should improve the prospects for local village shuras functioning properly as well as prepare populations within the historic political community for eventual inclusion. The goal of VSPs should be to rehabilitate political communities that, once reconstituted and governing local relations, be able to function independently of Coalition Forces. Issue-oriented shuras should be able to fulfill their historic role of governing, mediating, and dispensing justice even in 14 UNCLASSIFIED the absence of national government oversight. While VSPs will indeed want to link political communities to the government through activities at the District Center, they will still be able to generate stability in the absence of resources coming directly from the state. The political communities themselves will be able to maintain social order. (U) Conclusion (U) The key to stability and transition in Afghanistan is to rehabilitate the shuras underlying Afghanistan’s natural political communities. The Taliban have expertly destroyed political communities and undermined shuras because of their intrinsic understanding of the process. Coalition Forces have struggled to be relevant to rural Afghan communities because of fundamental differences in ontology between a Western meeting and an Afghan shura. Adopting Afghan practices and understandings about shuras can eliminate a key Taliban strategic weapon and turn it to the favor of Coalition Forces. (U) To rehabilitate Afghan political communities, Coalition forces will have to reorienting intelligence, civil affairs, and information operations toward generating shura support. (U) Fixing gaps in VSO Implementation 15