SUSTAINABLE LIVELIHOODS, MOBILITY AND ACCESS NEEDS by Deborah Bryceson, John Howe, David Maunder and Tatenda Mbara Unpublished Project Report PR/INT/218/01 PROJECT REPORT PR/INT/218/01 SUSTAINABLE LIVELIHOODS, MOBILITY AND ACCESS NEEDS by Deborah Bryceson, John Howe, David Maunder and Tatenda Mbara Copyright TRL Limited, January 2001. Subsector: Transport Theme: T3 - Improve the mobility of rural and urban poor for meeting their livelihood needs Project Title: Project Reference: Sustainable Livelihoods, Mobility and Access Needs R7784 APPROVALS Project Manager Quality reviewed This document is an output from an DFID-funded knowledge and research project, carried out for the benefit of developing countries. It is an unpublished report and must not be referred to in any publication without the permission of the DFID. The views expressed are those of the author(s) and not necessarily those of the DFID. CONTENTS Page 1. INTRODUCTION 1.1 Project purpose 1.2 Structure of the paper 2. TRANSPORT, MOBILITY AND ACCESSIBILITY IN A LIVELIHOODS FRAMEWORK 2.1 Nature and function of transport 2.2 Transport within the LA and related literature 2.3 Distinguishing mobility and accessibility 2.4 Relating mobility and accessibility to livelihoods and rural-urban linkages 2.5 Poverty, livelihoods and mobility 3. RESEARCH DESIGN 3.1 Contextual background 3.2 Key conceptual parameters and methodological tools 3.2.1 Discerning rural-urban linkages between nodes within a transect corridor 3.2.2 Defining the poor in relation to mobility 3.2.3 Activity-based model of travel demand 3.3 Study locations 3.3.1 Zimbabwe 3.3.2 Uganda 3.3.3 Comparative aspects of the two case studies 3.4 Research methodology and study phases 3.4.1 Phase 1: Identification of transect corridors and general mobility patterns 3.4.2 Phase 2: research on relationship between transport modal choice and daily life by economic strata 3.4.3 Phase 3: Survey of transport-livelihood inter-relationships 3.5 Research dissemination 1 1 2 2 2 3 4 8 9 10 11 12 12 13 14 15 15 17 20 22 22 23 24 25 REFERENCES 26 ANNEX A: RESEARCH PROPOSAL LOGFRAME 32 ANNEX B: MOBILITY AND WELFARE 34 1. INTRODUCTION The ‘livelihoods’, or ‘sustainable livelihoods’, concept has been developed in the context of poverty alleviation, and developmental agencies and governments are increasingly using it in the design of policies, projects and programmes. Its adoption has been accompanied by a lively debate as to exactly what the term sustainable livelihoods means [Ashley and Carney 1999]. Is it an approach, an objective or a framework? The notion of sustainability as applied to the concept of livelihoods has also been called into question [Ellis 2000]. The Department of International Development (DFID/UK) sees the concept of sustainable livelihoods as an analytical tool comprising a set of core principles embedded within an overall theoretical framework [Ashley and Carney 1999]. There are other contending views but increasing numbers of academics and development practitioners are open to the use of the term to enhance understanding of individual, household or community efforts to achieve day-today survival and long-term betterment in a developing country context. For brevity and convenience this shared perspective will be referred to simply as the Livelihoods Approach [LA]. To date experience with the LA is strongly biased towards rural areas, but interest in urban applications is increasing.1 There has been a similar sectoral bias in the LA with application of the term especially prevalent in the realm of natural resource utilisation. Until recently, applications in the transport sector have been comparatively rare, and an aim of this research is to explore the term’s pertinence to sectoral policy intervention. To date, the concept and interpretation of transport as a livelihood asset is not well developed within the LA literature. Consequently the usefulness of the LA as a means of improving the focus and design of interventions in the transport sector aimed at meeting the mobility needs of the poor, remains uncertain. 1.1 Project purpose The main purpose of this research project is an ‘investigation of the utility of the sustainable livelihoods approach in identifying the mobility and accessibility needs of the poor, with specific reference to rural-urban linkages’.2 Our aim is to establish whether or not the use of the LA offers a more discriminating means for designing and targeting interventions in the transport sector such that they will better meet the mobility needs of the poor. It proposes to do this by focusing on and analysing the transport patterns and livelihood portfolios of an economically stratified sample of households, with emphasis on the nature of conditions pertaining to poor communities. Annex A illustrates the log frame used in the 1 UNDP among others are working on the use of the livelihoods approach in urban areas. The provision of mobility and accessibility are the main outputs of a transport system. The two are related but often confused concepts that can have distinct meanings in policy terms. The nature and implications of these meanings are central concerns of this research and will be elaborated subsequently. 2 1 research proposal and states our study assumptions, purpose, goals and outputs. 1.2 Structure of the paper A clear definition of transport, mobility and accessibility is a necessary precondition to any attempt to assess the utility of the LA for investigating possible pro-poor interventions in the sector. The next section of this paper maps the conceptual framework in which the study is situated, sketching the nature and function of transport systems, concepts of mobility and accessibility, and theoretical links between the existing transport literature and LA. This is followed by a summary of the study’s research methodology, prefaced by a brief review of the continental, national and regional economic background and some conceptual clarifications. The final sub-section outlines the study’s research design, immediate research outputs and dissemination strategy. 2. TRANSPORT, MOBILITY AND ACCESSIBILITY IN A LIVELIHOODS FRAMEWORK 2.1 Nature and function of transport All communities require accessibility to supplies, services, facilities and work opportunities. The accessibility of such things can be measured in different ways [Jones 1981]. Accessibility depends on infrastructure and available and affordable modes of transport for the movement of people and their loads. Accessibility therefore depends on physical proximity and mobility. It may be improved by greater mobility and/or improved proximity. In the broadest sense, transport infrastructure includes: paths, roads, bridges, tram and train tracks and stations, waterways, airports and air lanes. A variety of transport modes are used to carry passengers and/or freight, namely: trucks, pickups, buses, mini-buses, cars, motorcycles, boats, trains, trams, animal transport, bicycles, handcarts and self-propelled walking. These modes are utilised for private or commercial use. Commercial transport services involve the users paying fares or hire charges. Transport infrastructure and transport modes form operational ‘transport systems’. Mobility for men, women, children and goods depends on the availability, affordability and efficiency of such transport systems. It must be emphasised that it is the combination of these components that comprise a system of transport. Proximity to a road system without vehicle usage that raises the efficiency of movement above walking and human carriage of loads, conveys little or no benefit. Similarly, some vehicles, but not necessarily the less sophisticated, cannot function without a road in reasonable condition. 2 Thus transport infrastructure in and of itself is largely devoid of mobility enhancement in the absence of efficient modes of transport. Individual utility is derived from infrastructure when modal choice is exercised within the transport system to gain access to required goods and services. Hence the accessibility provided by a transport system has long been seen as its most fundamental function or attribute. The importance of this characteristic has overshadowed analytical distinctions, such that road and other infrastructure has been incorrectly treated as synonymous with accessibility in most developing countries. Indeed it has long been a de facto article of faith that the correct role of government and aid agencies lies in the provision of road infrastructure and not the vehicles without which the infrastructure within poor areas is in reality dysfunctional. Road accessibility per se does not necessarily lead to increased accessibility or enhanced mobility. 2.2 Transport within the LA and related literature The theoretical literature on the LA categorises transport in a rather different way. Scoones [1998] used the category economic and financial capital to describe basic infrastructure and production equipment and technologies. Subsequently this was split into two categories physical and financial capital, with transport assigned to the first in the form of the basic infrastructure and producer goods needed to support livelihoods [DFID 1999]. Important here, and related to the above distinction between transport infrastructure and modal operations, is the notion that transport comprises two capital components over which the individual normally has different degrees of control: [i] infrastructure [e.g. a road] that is commonly a public good and is usually used without direct payment; and [ii] ‘equipment’, i.e. transport modes that tend to be more directly controllable by the individual [e.g. self-propelled walking, self-driven bicycles and cars, or bus usage with which the individual chooses timing and direction of movement] with modal choice dependant primarily on affordability and movement efficiency. In contradistinction to modal choice, an individual usually has little influence over the provision, or even condition, of infrastructure. Either a road is proximate in a condition that can be used or it is not. Transport modes on the other hand may be owned on an individual or group basis, or accessed through ‘fee for service payments’, the latter being more common with the most technologically-based modes [e.g. buses]. Of course transport modes may be available but not affordable by a given [poor] individual. The distinction in the control that an individual has over of the use of transport infrastructure and ‘equipment’ [transport mode] capital can be crucial to livelihood pursuits. The description of transport as physical capital tends to mask its separate roles as a construction industry in its building and maintenance, and as a service industry in its operation [Howe 1999]. Each can be a direct source of livelihood (employment) or acting together can support the conduct of livelihood activities. 3 Published research on transport incorporating a livelihoods approach is very recent [e.g. Davis 2000, Sohail 2000]. Both cited examples did not adopt a household-based approach to explore the interconnections between LA and more conventional transport research approaches. Davis’ rural research was based on a participatory cross-sectional study of six districts in the Northern and Copperbelt provinces of Zambia. Village-level surveys were used to determine accessibility to services and people’s opinions and attitudes to the problems they faced. Accessibility and mobility issues, and their relation to livelihood prospects, were described in qualitative terms. Sohail’s [2000] urban research focused on the provision of transport services for commuters in a major Asian city, Karachi. Their impact on livelihoods was investigated mainly by considering accessibility and quality aspects as determined from user interviews complemented by a detailed analysis of the conditions under which the industry has evolved and currently operates. Monthly expenditure on transport and the time spent travelling were quantified. 2.3 Distinguishing mobility and accessibility The notion of access is central to theoretical models of the livelihoods approach, but its use is much wider and more general than has been conventional in discussions of transport attributes [Ellis 2000]. For the latter the term accessibility is preferred as being more in keeping with discussions in transport studies and to distinguish it from the wider concept of access in the livelihoods literature [Anderson et al. 1988]. However, our usage of the term accessibility will be largely informed by a social science perspective which distinguishes mobility as human agency from accessibility as physical proximity, i.e. fixed, inanimate locations. Transport modes provide the physical means to facilitate movement. Their presence or absence influence human decision-making, enhancing or reducing the accessibility of specific fixed locations. Mobility is simply a measure of the agency with which people choose to move themselves or their goods around. This involves two components. The first of these depends on the performance of the transport system, which is affected by where the person is, the time of day and the direction in which they wish to travel. The second component depends on the characteristics of the individual such as whether s/he has a bicycle or car available, can afford taxi, bus, or rail fares, is able to walk or use public transport, or has knowledge of the options available [Porter 1988 and 1997]. In other words, the first element is concerned with the effectiveness of the transport system in connecting spatially separated locations, and the second element is concerned with the extent to which a particular individual or type of person is able to make use of the transport system. An inherent difficulty in assessing mobility is the problem of measuring an ability or 'potential' to travel. Due to the difficulty of measuring movement that could take 4 place but does not - for reasons of cost, time or effort - studies of mobility have tended to use data on actual movements or output measures.3 There are, however, some problems in equating mobility with the observed level of travel. Care in interpretation of travel statistics is particularly needed in connection with assessments of economic or social welfare. A community in which little movement is undertaken may represent an efficiently planned settlement with few external needs. On the other hand, a community showing low levels of travel and low travel costs may through lack of time or money or both have unmet travel requirements for meeting basic survival needs in the form of water, firewood or food. Such a community faces a lack of mobility options that imposes a real restriction on people's desired activities. In general, these contrary interpretations can be distinguished by defining the travel mode and purpose of travel in more detail. Frequent motorized vehicle trips are more likely to represent a highly mobile affluent community than frequent foot journeys. Similarly trips to fetch water are likely to be a high proportion of travel in poor communities. The units in which movement is measured will also affect the interpretation of travel statistics. Time spent travelling to collect water daily, for example, may be ambiguous. The time required for one trip will decrease as mobility increases, but the demand for water is likely to rise as travel becomes easier. Thus the same time could be spent as previously, but a greater water supply would be obtained.4 Accessibility, or the perceived proximity of desired locational destinations, is heavily influenced by the transport mode being used. Accessibility is concerned not with behaviour but with the opportunity, or potential, provided by the transport and land-use system for different types of people to engage in activities. The two concepts of mobility and accessibility are clearly related but can be easily confused when they are not distinguished from the intervening facilitation of different modes of transport. In the transport literature accessibility is often defined as the ease with which one reaches a desired location. In fact taking a more social science perspective which traces agency and process, ‘ease of movement’ and ‘ease of access’ are attributes of the transport modality rather than a feature of the mobile agent or the locational destination per se. Table 1 endeavours to distinguish the three separate but inter-related concepts of mobility, modal facilitation of movement and accessibility. 3 The then UK Transport Research Laboratory (TRL) now TRL Ltd. initiated a programme of studies in the late 1970s that established this as the main research approach [Heraty 1980, Jacobs et al. 1980, Maunder 1984]. 4 In this case, mobility could be measured more effectively by defining units in terms of volumes carried, viz, hours per litre per day, not hours per day. 5 Table 1: Relationship accessibility MOBILITY Agency Human agent’s decisionmaking over destination and mode of transport and the resultant movement between mobility, transport TRANSPORT MODALITY Means Ease of movement/ accessibility derived from means of transport at the disposal of the decisionmaker modality and ACCESSIBILITY Ends The proximity of inanimate locational destination that serves as the objective of movement In current transport literature, the meaning of mobility and accessibility in developed and developing societies does not always take cognizance of their differing contexts [Ross 2000]. Developed societies often exhibit a number of different modal options for reaching a desired destination. Mobility is then simply a wide range of travel options. In developing societies mobility is often interpreted as having more than one efficient and affordable travel options as opposed to having none other than walking. It is sometimes claimed that accessibility not movement is the true aim of transport [Mitchell and Town 1977, Tolley and Turton 1995]. This has led to the identification of accessibility constraints as the methodological basis for deciding transport deficiencies, especially among impoverished rural communities [DixonFyle 1998, Dennis 1998]. It has also led to the realisation that some accessibility problems can be addressed by non-transport means. For example, by provision of the facilities to which communities need accessibility, e.g. a more convenient health center, or supply of water. To define accessibility in practice, the intended destinations must be specified. In general, the destinations will be places offering opportunities for a desired activity.5 Accessibility is then measurable in terms of the number of opportunities or destinations reachable in a given time or distance, or as the inverse of travel costs to the desired activity/destination. For the poor, accessibility to, or standard of, a social or physical service depends in some cases on movement by visitors from outside the community. For example, standards of health and education services are obtained to a significant extent by visits from central staff and deliveries of supplies. This inward access of services or goods can be embraced in the concept of accessibility by specifying 5 This may be problematic for some informal sector employment activities, such as hawking, which are by nature itinerant. 6 proximity to an activity rather than to a place, for example, proximity to functioning health facilities rather than a specific clinic. In the more developed countries mobility has come to be seen in negative terms because of the perceived excessive reliance on private car use and the associated congestion and pollution. In contrast, accessibility is generally always seen as making a positive contribution to a community. However, in developing societies it is widely accepted that accessibility to destinations can be enhanced by improving mobility. This is true because: modal choices are restricted, prevailing levels of mobility are low, and/or modes of transport upon which mobility are based are non-polluting. There is now a substantial literature on the concept of accessibility, especially as it affects rural developing communities, and how it is influenced by location, transport and a host of other factors [Barwell 1996, Dennis 1998, Edmonds 1998].6 To some extent the emphasis on accessibility, and the negative connotation resulting from studies in more developed societies, seems to have distracted attention from mobility and how it might influence livelihoods. 7 Yet in the circumstances prevailing in many developing countries, and in both urban and rural environments, targeted interventions that improve personal mobility may have a more positive effect on the livelihoods of the poor than is likely from accessibility improvements.8 This conclusion results from considering a number of factors, including: [i] Diversification of individual and household income sources which require movement flexibility in space and time that it is difficult to promote by changing whole transport systems. It may be easier and quicker to address the mobility needs of the individuals concerned by carefully targeted measures. [ii] Most rural and urban areas have immense backlogs of maintenance or remedial work to restore the main categories of the existing roads to working order. The pragmatic necessity to maintain road hierarchies means that the infrastructural needs of remote poor communities are unlikely to be a priority for many years. [iii] Small clusters of poor users, or generally low population densities, are especially problematic since they cannot support either the cost of 6 The special problems that inaccessibility have on remote communities, women, and various sectoral interests - health, education, water supply, etc. - have also been extensively researched. While little of this work has been directly linked to the debate on livelihoods it can often be inferred. 7 This aspect is starting to be addressed [see Kwakye et al. 1997, Airey and Cundill 1998, Hine and Rutter 2000, Roberts et al. 2000]. 8 This contention is not a rejection of the fundamental importance of accessibility. Rather it is an acknowledgement of the practical difficulty of improving levels under present circumstances. In these circumstances it seems only sensible to examine more carefully the case for improving mobility instead and the possible cost-effective trade-offs between this option and that of putting the same resources into improving accessibilty. 7 infrastructure or conventional transport services. In such circumstances, simple mobility enhancements that do not need expensive infrastructure facilities, may be a more practical proposition for enhancing livelihoods [Hine and Rutter 2000, Howe and Bryceson 2000]. In this research an emphasis on mobility is preferred because it is concerned directly with behaviour. This is more in keeping with the decisions that must be made to ensure, enhance and sustain livelihoods. Moreover, mobility, activity systems, and welfare can be conceptually related [see Annex B]. To isolate the influence of mobility levels and changes on livelihoods it seems sensible to hold accessibility constraints reasonably constant. This can be achieved by excluding the sampling of remote communities. These are often dominated either by severe road access problems or major [long-distance] mobility constraints that preclude individual initiatives. They have, in any case, already been extensively studied [Barwell 1996, Dennis 1998, Hine and Rutter 2000]. 2.4 Relating mobility and accessibility to livelihoods and rural-urban linkages Andrew Pearse [1980] first employed a ‘livelihoods approach’ to study the impact of green revolution innovation on rural farming. In his study, he attempted to provide a holistic way of evaluating the introduction of new technology on rural people’s welfare. Chambers [1987] made reference to livelihoods, but it was only in the 1990s that the term began to be used more generally, usually in the context of ‘coping’ with new production constraints and welfare shortfalls. At first, this tended to be in the context of drought or natural disaster, but later it was applied to the duress of structural adjustment, subsidy removals and cutbacks as well as increased market competition associated with economic liberalisation. Stress was translated into a process of occupational re-ordering. A livelihoods approach is thus fundamentally about occupational activity. Recent studies of rural-urban linkages have highlighted the influence of accessibility on livelihood potential in Tanzania, stressing the relationship between remote locations and poverty [Tacoli 2000]. Poor transport conditions are found to reduce access to employment opportunities and services to the population generally, and especially to the poor. Accessibility to livelihood assets, as viewed within the LA, may be influenced by rural-to-urban locational positioning [see Table 2]. 8 Table 2: Accessibility of Livelihood Assets in relation to a Rural-Urban Spectrum RURAL URBAN Natural Resources Social Relations Human Capability Financial Assets Physical Infrastructure residential land farmland water energy supplies wildlife forest products minerals other resources kin networks purposeful groups health skills knowledge formal education markets credit banks pensions remittances savings transport piped water social services However, rural-urban spectrum differences can be overstated. Much of the comparative rural-urban literature of the past was embedded in the notion that rural areas were primarily agrarian in nature whereas urban areas were characterised by industrial production and a complex service sector. In many developing countries, these sharp occupational differences have undoubtedly blurred over the past two decades. With this blurring, differences in population density become the main distinguishing feature of rural and urban areas. The UN classifies urban settlements as population concentrations of 20,000 people or more. However, the notion of an urban area varies from country to country. In some countries a population of 20,000 may be considered a large village whereas elsewhere it is seen as an urban metropole, reinforcing the fact that rural-urban contrasts are not only relative, but ambiguous and imprecise. 2.5 Poverty, livelihoods, and mobility Classifying the poor on the basis of income-earning criteria has always been problematic, especially with respect to the valuation of the large subsistence sector found particularly in rural farming areas. In its place ‘standard food basket’ measures have been devised which represent an improvement, but nonetheless pose various technical difficulties with respect to data gathering [Hanmer, Pyatt and White 1997]. Most recently, more qualitative indicators of poverty have arisen, supported by the World Bank’s recent efforts to listen to the ‘voices of the poor’ and their definitions of poverty. In this context, a lack of physical mobility emerges as a significant aspect of the poor’s deprivation. Until recently there were few comparative studies linking mobility measures to poverty, modal choice and trip behaviour. A broad set of typologies linking these 9 parameters has now been suggested based mainly on studies of rural trip making by motorised transport in Ghana and Malawi, with secondary data from Kenya and Zambia [Hine and Rutter 2000]. The typology is broadly based on income and distinguishes five groups: • the extremely poor; • the very poor; • the poor; • the better off; and • the rich. Interestingly, the study showed that at current service and fare levels the poorest people only made use of motor vehicle transport for long distance transportion of crops. In contrast, better off rural populations made extensive use of transport services for a wide variety of social and economic purposes. A tentative incomebased model of mobility was presented. This suggested that road investments per se might have little impact on the poorest who require other complementary measures to increase their mobility. Another literature-based study noted several gaps in current understanding of the role of mobility in the lives of poor people [Roberts et al. 2000]. Specifically, lack of understanding concerning: (i) the activity patterns of the urban poor, and the relation of these to household attributes and mobility needs; and (ii) the importance of urban-rural linkages and the role of transport in supporting them. The study of (i) is likely to be particularly challenging because of the complex structure of families and extended households [with or without rural-urban linkages]; diverse cultural and religious attitudes; the informal nature of much employment; and the gainful employment of both the young and old [Fouracre et al. 1999]. 3. RESEARCH DESIGN This study has been designed in the light of the above cited livelihoods literature as well as the existing conventional transport and poverty debates. The methodology endeavours to discern patterns of movement on the basis of economic strata, highlighting to what degree the poor’s mobility, in contrast to other groups, is directed at livelihood pursuits and how they combine their mobility options with livelihood pursuits. We explore the seemingly contradictory premises of the poverty and livelihoods literature, namely, that the poor’s mobility is relatively restricted at the same time as their diversified livelihood strategies are requiring them to be more mobile. The projected research aims of this study are four-fold: [i] establishment of mobility and accessibility concepts and a viable research methodology for the study of mobility and accessibility within the sustainable livelihoods framework; 10 [ii] documentation of the relative importance and nature of mobility patterns in relation to livelihood pursuits of stratified economic strata; [iii] exploration of the influence of rural-urban linkages on mobility patterns and how rural-urban differences affect mobililty and livelihood options, especially of the poor; and [iv] identification of measures to ensure mobility and accessibility policies to enhance the poor’s livelihood prospects. The next sub-section provides some background about continental economic trends, before outlining some key analytical concepts that will be employed for observation and measurement in the study. This is followed by a short review of the two selected study areas in Uganda and Zimbabwe. The study’s methodology and research schedule are outlined thereafter. 3.1 Contextual background Over the last decade under the influence of structural adjustment and liberalisation policies, the continent’s national economies have undergone radical change and structural transformation, which has impacted on the welfare of the population [Bryceson 1999 and 2000]. Schematically, the major occupational tendencies are: first, drastic reductions in the proportion of the population that are employed in the urban formal sector. Second, rural smallholder commodity production has declined in terms of labour-time and income with retention of agricultural subsistence production. Third, there has been a proliferation of rural and urban informal sector work in trade and services. In the process of these economic transformations, both rural and urban households have been actively restructuring their livelihoods. Individual and household income sources have been actively sought with emphasis on diversification to reduce risk of loss of income from any one source. African survey evidence suggests that there has been a reduction in household members’ sole or main reliance on male head of household income at the same time as there has been increasing labour force participation of women and children. In some instances household size and composition has been altered to accommodate livelihood restructuring. Despite households’ strenuous efforts to retain their living standards, signs of growing impoverishment are surfacing within the restructuring process as indicated by: widening income differentiation and growing proportions of population classified as poor related to cutbacks on social and physical public services, and/or declining amounts and regularity of income. Locationally, with respect to rural and urban areas, the picture is far less clear. Prior to the implementation of economic structural adjustment programmes the prevailing view was that rural areas were populated by farmers producing both subsistence and cashcrops. Conversely urban areas were populated by both 11 formal and informal sector workers who tended on average to earn relatively higher incomes and enjoy better infrastructure than rural farmers, hence the tendency for a drift of population from rural to urban areas. Now Sub-Saharan Africa livelihoods literature [Berkvens 1997, Iliya and Swindell 1997, Gaidzanwa 1997, Bryceson 1997 and 1999], suggests that: [i] agrarian activities are not delimited to rural areas nor are informal sector activities to urban areas; [ii] people are more mobile in connection with their livelihood diversification strategies in terms of rural-urban movement as well as inter-urban and inter-rural movement; and [iii] there are new types of, and perhaps more, movement of people between rural and urban areas due to livelihood diversification. On the other hand, the literature on the poor continues to view them as lacking mobility and accessibility to goods, services and information. The removal of such impediments is thus said to be a key aspect of poverty-alleviation. In the search for viable livelihoods, a lack of mobility can undermine poor people’s access to: [i] necessary production inputs - raw materials, spare parts; [ii] market information - relative prices, market opportunities, innovative products; [iii] credit and training; and [iv] employment per se. While lack of information undoubtedly remains a factor, the advent of the cellular phone is making inroads in both urban and rural areas.9 3.2 Key conceptual parameters and methodological tools The rate and extent of economic change in Sub-Saharan Africa has altered conditions to the point that many longstanding concepts have lost their clarity, while others have taken on new meanings without due recognition of their analytical implications. Clarification of the concepts of mobility and accessibility was undertaken in the preceding section. This sub-section explores the meaning of other key concepts and outlines some proposed methodological tools related to the new livelihoods literature. 3.2.1 Discerning rural-urban linkages between nodes within a transect corridor This study will be observing access to formal and informal employment opportunities, natural resources and markets that are influenced by population density and settlement location through a comparison of primate cities, their periurban areas, secondary cities and rural settlements. Rapid changes have been observed in Soweto with the setting up of cellular “phone shops”, that are transforming the lives of the poor as well as the rich [The Economist 1999]. Even more dramatic has been Grameen Telecom’s experience with its ‘village pay phone’ programme in Bangladesh. Between March 1997 and January 2000 it has provided access to nearly 3 million poor villagers [in 1100 villages] out of reach of the main network [Lawson and Mevenn 2000]. 9 12 In the two selected case study countries, nodes will be selected from within a single transect corridor. The designation of a single transect corridor for the selection of study sites has four aims: first, it limits the degree of climatic and natural resource variation for comparison of study site mobility patterns. Second, because the corridor is selected to embrace all four settlement types and is situated in a relatively densely populated part of the country, it offers a diverse sample of livelihood, transport and economically stratified household patterns, with anticipated marked contrasts between rural, urban and peri-urban poverty. Third, it provides a coherent geographical unit for tracing the degree of connectivity between adjacent rural and urban study sites. Fourth, it demonstrates differences between rural and urban livelihood pursuits and accessibility to capital assets. We use the terms ‘rural-urban linkages’ to refer not only to the physical movement of goods, people and information between rural and urban locations. Transport conditions, mobility patterns and types and degrees of ‘rural-urban connectivity’ are traced within and beyond the transect corridor to facilitate the determination of relative ease of movement and proximity to resources for the development of individual and household livelihood portfolios. It is important to stress that the study of the sampled population’s mobility will not be geographically restricted to the transect corridor. Their daily and extraordinary mobility will be recorded regardless of destination. Differences and similarities in urban, peri-urban and rural transport conditions and mobility patterns will be highlighted. The use of a rural-urban transect corridor may help to discern the relative importance of personal mobility per se versus proximity [accessibility] to assets for livelihood pursuits. We term the latter ‘accessibility to livelihood assets’ [ALA] that can be delineated as proximity to: natural, social, human, physical and financial resources. The rural-urban transect may reveal biases in the availability of livelihood assets along the rural-urban continuum [see Table 2]. It is possible that increased mobility may be offsetting worsening or higher demand for accessibility to productive assets. This study will endeavour to shed light on this potential trade-off. Furthermore it will attempt to document the possible tradeoffs that may be occurring between transport and the use of improved communication, notably cellular phone usage. 3.2.2 Defining the poor in relation to mobility Three main methods will be employed to identify the poor and contrast their livelihood and mobility patterns with other higher and middle-income groups. Categorisations of economic strata will be done on the basis of: [i] rural and urban participatory poverty assessments elicited during focus group interviews; 13 [ii] urban income groupings associated with residential neighbourhoods and house ownership or rental status; and [iii] use of poverty indicators assessed by degrees of transport mobility referred to as ‘transpov’ indicators. A concept of transport mobility based on modal choice will be elaborated to discern the extent to which variation in mobility may impinge on livelihood pursuits. Tentatively, the ‘transport rich’ will be designated as those who have an operative motorised vehicle directly at their disposal [although clearly within a household degrees of accessibility are likely to vary]. The ‘transport poor’ are identified as those without modal choice and restricted primarily to walking, whereas the ‘transport median’ are those with ownership of non-motorized vehicle transport and/or purchasing power for hired public transport. The validity of these distinctions will be examined in the field. This study’s point of entry will be two-pronged. First, with an examination of the influence of mobility and accessibility variables in Zimbabwe and Uganda. By sampling different locations along the rural-peri-urban-urban transect, accessibility will be considered. Second, special attention will be given to the mobility of informants in an effort to discern gender, age and wealth-differentiated patterns, which will then be linked to employment patterns and incomegenerating prospects. The mobility variables which will be recorded and analysed will include: number of trips and purpose of travel; mode of transport; and cost, distance, time and, where possible, speed travelled. Measurement of these variables will assist in arriving at an understanding of the ease of movement to formal and informal employment activities, i.e. the ‘work mobility’ possessed by the transport poor relative to medium and high-income groups. 3.2.3 Activity-based model of travel demand While emphasis in this study will be placed on tracing the interaction between mobility and economic livelihood, we will endeavour to capture a full picture of the functional nature of mobility on the part of the rich, poor and median populations sampled. In this way, the relative importance that ‘work mobility’ plays in the mobility patterns of the poor will become apparent. To this end, we will employ an activity-based model of travel demand that entails data collection about the full range of people’s daily activities that involve movement outside the confines of their houses. Activity-based models can fall victim to bewildering detail, in the absence of some attempt to analytically streamline the meaning of ‘activity’ [Benwell 1981, Jones et al. 1987]. We therefore delineate mobility associated with five broad categories of functional activity, namely: [i] livelihood activities - any output of services or goods that results in income or material sustenance in the short and medium-term; 14 [ii] maintenance activities – necessary expenditure of effort to renew one’s daily living requirements which includes firewood and water collection, and shopping; [iii] improvement activities – attendance at health, education and other personal-enhancing services [human capital]; [iv] social networking – visits to kin and associational ties be they friends or business contacts [social capital]; and [v] leisure and recreational activities – sports, dancing, and cultural events that are pursued for individual or group enjoyment rather than for instrumental associational ties. A degree of overlap is readily apparent from these categories, necessitating consistency in categorisations during data collection and analysis. Our focus will specifically be on the first category of livelihood activity, and while recording the incidence of mobility associated with the four other spheres of activity, we will nonetheless, not seek to measure their associated mobility with the same degree of detail as that of livelihood-directed mobility. However, we will explore the relative distribution of transport-related activities vis-à-vis economic strata to test if the poor’s mobility is heavily weighted, as is believed, to livelihood and maintenance activities. The mobility patterns connected with livelihood will be examined with respect to the parameters defined previously. We intend to collect retrospective data about past travel connected with livelihood in order to reveal the role that transport plays in occupational change over time, and to seek a better understanding of the dynamics of mobility in African local economies. Furthermore, mobility patterns will be analysed in terms of gender, occupation, income and residence/workplace location. 3.3 Study Locations The transect corridors proposed for the study are in Zimbabwe: Harare-Bindura and Uganda: Kampala-Jinja. Both corridors comprise distances of about 80 kms between the respective capitals and nearby secondary cities. Choice of study locations was based on a number of criteria: nature of recent occupational change, degree of urbanisation, nature of rural-urban linkages, and changing prevalence of poverty. 3.3.1 Zimbabwe Zimbabwe is a medium-sized African country [391,000 km2] with a population of approximately 12.5 million [32.0 persons/km 2], an average GNP of US$662 and life expectancy at birth of 53 years [1995-96 statistics]. Roughly three-quarters of the population live in rural areas. The national economy has been fairly diversified with a significant industrial base in addition to agriculture, mining and tourism sectors. However, the country has been facing declining terms of trade during the 1990s at the rate of minus 2.0 per 15 cent per annum [African Development Bank 1998]. Most recently, it has experienced a protracted economic and political crisis leading to substantial foreign disinvestment, devaluation of the Zimbabwean dollar and declining agricultural productivity and exports. Inflation and interest rates for the last 12 months have hovered between 55-65 per cent. The country’s foreign currency reserves have been depleted making the importation of fuel, and necessary raw materials and equipment extremely difficult. Although there are no official records, unemployment, most acutely felt in the urban areas, is currently estimated at approximately 50 per cent. Most of those retrenched [related to the implementation of structural adjustment] are believed to be returning to their home areas to settle [Potts 1995, 1999, 2000]. Income diversification activities are becoming widespread in rural areas [Pedersen 1997, Kinsey 2000]. In spite of social restrictions and public censure of women’s involvement in various avenues of income-earning, women are increasingly seeking a livelihood from trade in towns and cross-border trade in South Africa (Gaidzanwa 1997, Muzvidziwa 2001). In Tafara, a suburb of Harare housing mainly low-income unskilled labourers, a 1996 household survey recorded over 90 per cent of households had resorted to ‘vending’ as an urban survival strategy [Matshalaga 1997]. A nation-wide Poverty Assessment Study Survey conducted in 1995 [Zimbabwe 1997] revealed that 62 per cent of the population was living below the modest poverty lines established for the survey with an urban/rural differential of 46 and 72 per cent. It is likely that this has deteriorated further in more recent years. Table 3: Basic Social Indicators in Uganda and Zimbabwe Indicator Uganda 2 country area [km ] 236,000 population [1997] 20,800,000 population density [persons/ km2] 88.1 urban population [% of total] [1996] 12.8 urban population annual growth [5] 5.5 population in largest city as % of total urban 40 life expectancy at birth 44 access to sanitation [% population] [1995] 60 access to safe water [% population] [1995] 42 access to health services [% population] 49 [1995] Adult HIV-1 seroprevalent per 100 adults 9.5 [1997] Sources: 1 African Development Bank [1998] 2 World Bank [2000], Statistical Annex, Table D.1 3 World Bank [1997/98] 16 Data Zimbabwe source: 391,000 1 11,700,000 1 22.9 1 32.5 2 4.7 2 40 2 53 1 n.a. 1 74 1 85 1 25.8 3 Harare, the capital city of Zimbabwe is situated in an area of good farmland, most of which is being cultivated by large-scale commercial farmers using large wage labour forces. The transect corridor heading northwards from Harare to Bindura, however, while initially passing through this zone, does cross the Chinamora communal area [CA] of smallholder farming. It includes a peri-urban squatter settlement within Hatcliffe located about 15 kilometres from Harare as well as Domboshawa settlement in Chinamora CA which is characterised by small-scale agriculture, market gardening and livestock keeping primarily for the Harare market. Between Domboshawa and Bindura the area is relatively non-productive bush/scrubland mainly farmed by smallholders generating small incomesurpluses over subsistence needs. There are two additional small roadside residential settlements situated between Domboshawa and Bindura, namely Showground and Super Service Centre. Bindura is a secondary town with a population of approximately 32,000, surrounded by mines and commercial farms. As a higher-income African country, Zimbabwe enjoys a relatively good road network, with car ownership strikingly higher than Uganda [Table 4]. However, motorized vehicle ownership is entirely out of the reach of the poor and the urban population has to contend with the dispersed black settlement patterns inherited from Zimbabwe’s former racially-based planning. 3.3.2 Uganda Uganda is a relatively densely populated, small-to-medium sized African country [236,000 km2] with a population of 20.8 million [88.1 persons km 2]. Its average annual GNP is less than half that of Zimbabwe at US$300 per person. Life expectancy at birth is also lower at 44 years. Its economic base has been primarily reliant on the efforts of smallholder peasant farmers. The Ugandan economy’s heavy reliance on agriculture has meant that it has had to contend with even greater declining terms of trade at the annual rate of minus 2.9 per cent during the 1990s with disincentive effects on Uganda’s smallholder farmers [Bigsten and Kayizzi-Mugerula 1995, African Development Bank 1998]. Morrissey [2000] notes the burden of Uganda’s land-locked transport system in terms of raising the volume and value of the country’s agricultural exports. The country has a substantial trade deficit [DANIDA 1998]. Nonetheless, since the Musuveni government’s implementation of the Economic Recovery Programme in 1987, the World Bank has considered Uganda to be a model of economic reform for emulation by other African countries. 17 Table 4: Transport Indicators in Uganda and Zimbabwe Indicator Uganda commercial energy consumption/capita [giga joules] [1992] 1 density of railway [km/1000 km2] [1991] 4.7 density of road network [km/1000 km2] [1991] 122 road/population ratio [road1000 km/ 1 million persons] [‘92] 1.7 % paved roads [1991] 15 motor cars [per 1000 population] [1991] 2.0 Source: 1 UN Habitat [1996], Statistical Annex Table 20 2 World Bank [1997/98] Data Zimbabwe source 21 8.7 202 1 1 1 8.9 17 37.8 2 1 1 The Kampala-Jinja corridor, spanning Kampala, Mukono and Jinja districts, is the country’s most populous and wealthy region, and the site of Uganda’s two biggest cities. The corridor represents a concentration of rich agricultural land with high rainfall and a multitude of service sector activities connected with urban life. The major export crops are coffee, tea, cotton and sugarcane. There is also a wide array of food crops grown for subsistence and the urban market, namely: beans, cassava, maize, finger millet, sorghum, bananas, pineapples, sweet potatoes, yams, soya beans, cowpeas, pigeon and field peas, and groundnuts. In addition commercial and subsistence fishing is widespread along the shoreline of Lake Victoria. Before Idi Amin’s rule in the 1980s, Jinja was a centre of considerable industrial development, most of the businesses being in Asian hands. Industrial production collapsed under Amin and Jinja continues to struggle to reinstate its industries. At present, Jinja’s and Kampala’s industries are directed at processing agricultural products, notably: tea, coffee, sugar cane [manufacture of jaggery], cotton [textile and blanket production], wheat and maize [bread, animal feeds], oil milling, leather tanning [footware], as well as consumer goods directed at import substitution: soft drink and alcohol production, cigarettes, pharmaceuticals, paraffin wax, foam mattresses, printworks, steel and metal fabrication, bicycle manufacture, motor vehicle bodies and trailers, tyres and tubes, knives and household utensils, hoes, charcoal stoves, baby diapers and soap production. Finally, this region has a considerable expatriate population connected with Uganda’s numerous aid programmes, as well as some degree of tourism related to its international airport and tourist sites like the source of the Nile. The area has clearly benefited from being less affected by Uganda’s on-going civil war over the past 25 years than other more war-ravaged regions in the north and west [Rwabwoogo 1998]. Poverty lines in Uganda are highly differentiated by rural and urban categorisations. Kampala had a poverty line of Ug.Sh 17,310, Jinja Ug.Sh 18 16,550, and the intermediate rural areas Ug.Sh 15,950. Food poverty lines and their proportion of total poverty lines were Ug.Sh 14,840 (86%), 11,300 (68%) and 13,970 (88%) respectively, indicating that food costs in the peri-urban and rural areas close to the capital are high. Between 1992 and 1997, there was a reported declining trend in poverty nationally, with consumption estimated to have risen by 10%. In our study area the decline was more prominent. In 1992/93, 22, 41 and 53 percent of, primate city [Kampala], secondary city and rural populations in the area respectively were estimated to be below the ‘total poverty line’ of the Ugandan government. By 1997 this had decreased to 12, 25, and 34 per cent [Uganda, Bureau of Statistics 2000]. However, these official Ugandan government statistics optimistically contrast with the World Bank’s estimate of 55 per cent of the entire population being below the national poverty line [World Bank 1998/99]. Both Kampala and Jinja experienced inflation rates below 9 percent throughout the period. Considerable attention has been devoted to the nature of rural transport in Uganda [Barwell 1996, Akidi et al. 1997, Baza Tanzarn 1999, COWI 1999, Kleih et al. 1999, Leyland 1999]. It is characterised by seasonally impassable roads, bicycle ownership limited to only wealthy segments of the rural community, and some degree of disapproval of female bicycle riding. 10 The Kampala-Jinja transect corridor by contrast is more advantaged in terms of road and transport infrastructure and has special interest in terms of transport innovation. Despite its hilliness, the commercial use of bicycles for commodity transport, particularly agricultural crop transport to market, is very pronounced [Malmberg-Calvo 1992, Grisley 1995, Heyen-Perschon 2000]. Grisley [1995] estimated that roughly 18 per cent of agricultural tonnage into the Bombo market in Kampala was by bicycle. Most of the drivers are small businessmen who earn their livelihood by trading small quantities of agricultural products. They either own or rent the bicycle on a daily basis. Interestingly, bicycles are extensively used for passenger transport as well [Malmberg-Calvo 1992]. Boda boda services in which bicycles are used to taxi individuals around the area began with the illicit ‘border-border’ trade between Uganda and Kenya during the 1980s and has blossomed into a flourishing trade since then transporting people up to 20 km, with an average travel distance of 2.5 km. In Jinja there are more than 1000 registered boda boda [Heyen-Perschon 2000]. FABIO [First African Bicycle Information Office], a Ugandan-German NGO has been established in Uganda during the last ten years and has distributed more than 6500 bicycles to low income households. More recently motorised boda boda services have appeared in the main urban areas based on mopeds and low-engine powered motorcycles. These have 10 Leyland [1999] noted that between 1-12 per cent of cyclists surveyed at different rural sites in western Uganda were female. Disapproval of women and girls cycling is largely restricted to Bugandan people (Tobias Onweng, Makerere University, 2000 personal communication). The Bugandan ethnic heartland is found in our transect corridor, however the transect is the site of a rich ethnic mix now and women of other ethnic groups are far less constrained from riding bicycles. It is anticipated that female cyclists will be encountered in our survey. 19 created a bifurcated market with faster and more extensive services, albeit at an increased cost. It is likely that both forms have also extended services into lowdensity demand areas that more conventional motorised vehicles cannot service. Uganda thus provides an interesting example of mobility enhancement whose effect on livelihoods will be investigated in this study. 3.3.3 Comparative aspects of the two case studies Uganda and Zimbabwe provide interesting economic contrasts for this study. Both are land-locked countries which influences transport facilities. Until relatively recently Zimbabwe enjoyed considerably greater economic success, higher levels of GNP albeit with significant income inequality, and a more diversified and complex economy. However, both countries have been facing severe livelihood challenges. Both have been subject to rapidly fluctuating levels of welfare as well as enormous economic restructuring. In Zimbabwe’s case, retrenchments in the formal sector have been pronounced during the 1990s. Industry has decreased over the past 25 years with services making up the difference [Table 5]. In Uganda, agriculture has been shrinking in value terms and as an absorber of labour. A de-agrarianisation process, already documented for other countries in Africa, has gained momentum [Bryceson 1999]. In Zimbabwe, smallholder farming has been constrained by land availability, an issue that now threatens the stability of the country. All of these features of economic restructuring are likely to have spurred occupational experimentation and possibly geographical movement on the part of economically displaced individuals. 20 Table 5: Economic Indicators in Uganda and Zimbabwe Indicator Uganda GNP per capita [US$] 300 % of population below national poverty line 55 1997 terms of trade [1995=100] 65 terms of trade [annual growth rate 1991-97] -2.9 total debt/GDP [1996] 60.1 agriculture / industry / services as % of GDP: A I S 1976 73 8 19 1986 57 10 33 1996 46 16 39 1997 average annual growth in: agriculture 1.3 industry 14.5 services 5.9 economically active population by sector [%] M F agriculture (1980 / 1990) 63 /58 85 /81 industry (1980 / 1990) 19 /13 4 / 2 services (1980 / 1990) 18 /29 12 /17 income distribution [% of population] [1986-95] richest 20% 48.1 middle 60% 54.9 poorest 20% 6.8 Sources: 1 African Development Bank [1998] 2 World Bank [1998/99] Zimbabwe 610 26 106 -2.0 51.4 A I S 17 38 45 18 31 51 22 25 53 Data source 1 2 2 1 2 -1.8 1.8 3.3 2 2 2 M F 84 / 81 91 / 88 7/ 2 2/ 2 10 / 12 8 / 10 2 2 2 62.3 33.7 4.0 2 2 2 Naturally, informants’ economic and social history will influence the pattern of occupational experimentation. Given the well-entrenched pattern of circular migration in Zimbabwe it is expected that there will be a high rate of rural-urban movement and connectivity in the flow of goods and services. In Uganda, circular migration associated with a formal labour force dominated by men has long disappeared. Sex ratios in both Kampala and Jinja are balanced [Table 6]. The rural-urban interactions and mobility patterns more generally are not so readily conjectured. To some extent the legacy of civil war may have dissolved many people’s roots with their home areas. The country’s longer experience of the AIDS epidemic may have caused further disruptions to people’s identification and interaction with rural home areas. 21 2 2 2 Table 6: Population of Primate and Secondary Cities [2000 estimated] Sex Cities Population Ratio 1 Harare 1,500,000 1.09 Kampala 902,9002 1.05 Secondary Bindura 32,000 1.05 Jinja 80,893 1.00 Sources: 1 Zimbabwe, Central Statistical Office 2 Uganda, Bureau of Statistics 2000 3 Rwabwoogo 1998 Type of City Primate % below poverty line 1992/93 1997 21.5 11.5 40.6 24.8 Data Source 1 2&3 1 2&3 Population at the time of Zimbabwe’s 1992 census was 1,184,169 [Zimbabwe, Central Statistical Office 1992]. 2 Population at the time of Uganda’s 1991 census was 774,241 [Uganda, Bureau of Statistics 2000]. 1 3.4 Research methodology and study phases 3.4.1 Phase I: Identification of transect corridors and general mobility patterns [projected October 2000-March 2001] Phase I is designed to broadly map out mobility and the role of transport in households’ everyday lives. Four sites are chosen to compare and contrast the transport modality choices and mobility patterns of household members vis-à-vis the five major activity categorisations listed above. • Identification of transect corridors in the study area [Ccc]_[SScc]___[PUcc]___________________[V]______________________[SC] • Capital city [CC] - Capital City centre [C] – high and middle income populations - Squatter settlement within city [SS] – low income populations • Peri-urban area [PUcc] [approximately 5-15 km away from capital city] – high, middle and low income populations • Village [V] [approximately 40-50 km away from capital city]– high, middle and low income populations • Secondary city [SC] - high, middle and low income populations • Collection of background data and statistics on the politics and economics of Uganda and Zimbabwe as well as published material on the localities within the transect corridors 22 This is directed at understanding the policies, institutions and processes (referred to in the livelihoods approach as ‘PIP’). • Key informant interviews These interviews will be conducted by the senior national researcher of each study with the intention of providing a picture of general mobility patterns by locality and economic strata and identification of mobility constraints and transport problems. The people to be interviewed should include: • Local government officials (including those of the Rural District Councils and Transport Commission) • Local teachers • Market traders, bus drivers and transporters • Police and driving license authorities. • Focus group interviews about transport, livelihoods and self-assessed poverty indicators [urban squatter settlement, secondary city, village] [Senior and Assistant Researchers] • Age/Gender groups: youthful [15-25 years], married [25-50] M/F • Primary school focus group discussion amongst final year students • Inventory of local transport services [Assistant Researcher] • Mapping location • Frequency of services • Traffic periodicity: peaks and lulls 3.4.2 Phase 2: Research on relationship between transport modal choice and daily life by economic strata [projected April-July 2001] This phase is primarily directed at a large household survey that will collect basic occupational information and data on trip patterns, purpose and timing of all members on the previous weekday. • Survey of transport modes, trip purpose and economic livelihoods along the study area transect corridor [total sample survey = 360 households • Capital city centre[Ccc] = 90 households - high-income neighbourhood [30 households] - middle-income neighbourhood [30 households] - squatter settlement [SScc] – low-income [30 households] • Peri-urban area [PUcc] = 90 households - high-income [30 households], - middle-income [30 households] - low-income [30 households] • Village [V] = 90 households - high-income [30 households] - middle-income [30 households] 23 - low-income [30 households] • Secondary city [SC] = 90 households - high-income neighbourhood [30 households], - middle-income [30 households] - low-income [30 households] Data collection at household level from senior male or female: • Age/Sex head count • Currently ‘absent’ members of household – Where are they • Major means of transport used by household • Means of transport owned by household • Location and distance to medical centre, school, work • Would this household be willing to participate in a further study of travel and economic activities? Each household member present over 12 years of age [or in their absence reported by the head of household] asked: - How long have you lived in this house? Where did you live before? - Where is your home – how often visited per year? - Places visited outside city in last year/mode/time away - Most distant place ever visited – Why? When? How often? - Do you travel to or from city more/less/same than 10 years ago? Why? - Listing of modes of transport and trip purpose on previous weekday - Listing of livelihood activities previous day – what form of asset availability is critical to each activity? - Present occupational identification - List of ancillary economic activities over the past year - Occupational identification 10 years ago - What is your most important material possession? - What do you feel you should own but can’t afford to buy? - Do you consider yourself a high, average or low-income earner? - Over the past 10 years has your life improved, stayed the same, or worsened economically? Why? 3.4.3 Phase 3: Survey of Transport-Livelihood Inter-relationships [projected August-October 2001] During this phase, a smaller select sample of households will be surveyed in order to ascertain the inter-connections between mobility patterns and livelihood pursuits. • Detailed survey of intra-household transport/livelihood patterns and transport diaries of key informants by economic strata and occupation [10 households lower income, 10 households middle and 10 households upper income group in each location = 120 households] 24 • transport activities of senior male and female and one younger male and younger female (under 20 years) over the past week • origin/destinations, duration, mode of transport, cost • household ownership of vehicles/means of transport • most distant location travelled analysis • attitudes: transport problems, most important accessible service, how transport needs have changed over last 10 years • income/expenditure for one week. 3.5 Research dissemination Dissemination will involve distributing the study’s research findings to a varied readership of policy makers, development practitioners, academics and the general public in the immediate study area and country-wide. Target audiences will be designated by DFID and the research team. In the early stages, this will entail the physical availability of our six-monthly progress reports11 and provisional findings to local stakeholders. Interim working papers and a project website will provide provisional findings emanating from the pilot studies and the full-scale survey. Over the course of 2001/02 team members will endeavour to make presentations and write conference papers for various transport studies fora including SSATP, SATC, RTTP, ITDP, IFRTD, TRB, UNHABITAT and CODATU. Following data analysis and report drafting, local workshops will be held in Uganda and Zimbabwe with stakeholders and interested parties. Feedback from the workshops will then be used for the final output which will be published as a TRL report and summarised for various journals and professional institutional publications. 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Turton [1995] Transport systems, policy and planning: a geographical approach. London. Longman. Uganda, Bureau of Statistics [2000] 2000 Statistical Abstract. Kampala. June 2000. World Bank [1998/99] World Bank Africa database 1998/99, CD-ROM. Zimbabwe, Central Statistical Office [1992]. Census 1992, Census preliminary Report. Harare. Zimbabwe, Ministry of Public Service, Labour and Social Welfare [1997]. 1995 poverty assessment study survey, Main Report. Harare. 31 ANNEX A: RESEARCH PROPOSAL LOGFRAME Narrative summary Goal (F1): As defined in 1.c) Improve the mobility of the rural and urban poor for meeting their livelihood needs Measurable indicators F1): Means of verification (F1): 1. Mobility and access needs quantified. 2. Indicators established for comparative assessment of mobility and access needs International comparison with alternative assessment procedures Purpose: As defined in 1.b) Investigate the utility of the sustainable livelihoods approach in identifying the mobility and access needs of the poor with specific reference to rural-urban linkages. Outputs: 1. Establishment of logically consistent mobility and access concepts within the sustainable livelihoods framework, supported by empirical evidence. 2. Successful dissemination of authoritative and practical knowledge and guidelines which demonstrate: a. How the sustainable livelihoods approach can be used to identify the mobility and access needs of the poor necessary to sustain livelihoods. b. The nature of ruralurban linkages, the activity patterns they generate, and the role that transport plays in supporting the livelihoods of the poor. c. Measures that can be adopted to ensure pro-poor mobility and access policies. Important assumptions No input required (Purpose to goal) Donor agencies in collaborating (and other) countries adopt guidelines within two years of project completion. Verify their existence and quality 1. A final report , published by TRL/IHE which records the findings and recommendations from the work. 2. Associated papers for journals and/or conferences. 3. Web-site page indicating progress and findings. 4. Local workshops to disseminate findings. 5. Increased research capabilities of the Ugandan and Zimbabwean collaborators 1. The number of reports requested through TRL/IHE library records and web-site hits. 2. Conference proceedings. 3. Web-site hits and follow-up. 4. Number of participants attending workshops, and evaluation of their content and presentation. 5. Local collaborators coauthor and present papers 32 F1): That the sustainable livelihoods approach provides a viable means of identifying the mobility and access needs of the poor (Output to purpose) 1. That the sustainable livelihoods approach provides a viable means of identifying the mobility and access needs of the poor. 2. That the findings are robust, rigorous and relevant. Activities: Narrative summary 1.Confirm research approach and case-study locations. 2.Establish web-page to be up-dated periodically over project life 3.Prepare survey procedures and instruments. 4.Undertake pilot work with overseas collaborators 5.Revise survey procedures and materials as appropriate 6.Implement full-scale surveys in case-study areas. 7.Analysis of results and preparation of working reports. 8.Undertake local workshops with DFID made aware of participants. 9.Preparation and dissemination of final documentation. Measurable indicators 1. Quarterly progress reports will monitor the status of activities. 2. Functioning web-site. 3. Working Paper detailing survey instruments and procedures. 4. A Working Paper will be produced for each case-study area. 5. Proceedings of workshops produced. 6. Draft final report produced. 7. Final report produced and published by TRL/IHE. Means of verification Management information sources, and the normal reporting procedures required by DFID. 33 (Activity to output) Important assumptions 1. Opportunities for case study work can be effected. 2. Staffing is stable. 3. Overseas collaborators can meet their assignments in an effective manner. 4. Stakeholders take a positive interest in the work. ANNEX B: MOBILITY AND WELFARE12 Since, fundamentally, we are concerned with the role of transport policy as welfare policies in the broadest sense, it is useful to relate what is known of the operation of transport demand (D) to welfare theory. This can be done at a simplistic level by taking the simple welfare model: Utility = f(I,P,S) / D and expressing it in the following form: Figure 1 The relationship of transport demand to welfare theory Income Preferences Supply Constraints Consumption Welfare level From such a model it becomes possible to show how welfare is determined in terms which relate to the activity system and to transport (Figure 2). 12 Based on the work of Benwell 1981. 34 Figure 2 Welfare levels as determined by the activity and transport systems (A) Mobility Characteristics (B) Preferences (C) Supply income, personal mode availability, personal physical characteristics, etc. activity, preferences, the extent to which they are discretionary, their substitutability and relative value. spatial and temporal distribution of facilities, transport supply, timing of availability, etc. Activity system Welfare level Of the three components cited, the spatial interaction component (C), suggested under the term 'supply characteristics', is undoubtedly, the best developed and the most familiar. Knowledge about personal mobility or potential mobility (component (A) in the framework) can be derived from movement-focused studies of transport. However, the actual relationship between movement levels and personal characteristics has often been inferential with the consequent absence of a conceptual link. Nevertheless, there is a reasonable base suggested here within which this explanation can be developed. Component (B) (figure 2) forms the set of factors about which the present state of understanding is limited. The reason for this is that this group, expressing preferences and motivations, constitutes the most distinctive component of a welfare perspective on transport as opposed to one based in revealed demand. This requires an understanding of both the contents of the activity budgets of individuals and sub-groups, and of the ordering of their priorities and their trade-offs among these activities. In particular, an examination of any systematic patterns of association between preference patterns and more visible indicators is essential. The general model presented here might tend to imply that we can examine the factorsets independently. This is not so. One of the problems that we have to face is the complex interactions which exist between the separate components in figure 2 (for example, the lowering of expectation which occurs among populations with low levels of fixed facilities provision, a variable developed by feedback between components (B) and (C)). A number of important functions can be claimed for this framework, given the current state of knowledge: 35 [i] By disaggregating the components of welfare in transport-relevant terms, the formulation is highly suggestive both of general research areas and of particular research designs. It highlights the need for control of potentially intervening variables, both within one factor set and in their across-set interactions. [ii] It provides an integrative framework (albeit at present at far too general a level) against which to appraise existing areas of knowledge, and to specify future research needs in relation to that knowledge. [iii] In relation to policy design, it enables us to take account of the fact that transport-relevant policies may operate at the level of the individual, the household, or the transport-land use system. Indeed, it may not necessarily fall within a 'transport' remit in terms of relevant policy instruments. [iv] The framework can also constitute a common conceptual base for both researchers and practitioners in policy-making, and allow a dialogue to take place. 36