Submission by Portsmouth Water to Hampshire County Council Climate Change Commission The Future of Water Resources in South East Hampshire and West Sussex SUBMISSION BY PORTSMOUTH WATER TO HAMPSHIRE COUNTY COUNCIL CLIMATE CHANGE COMMISSION THE FUTURE OF WATER RESOURCES IN SOUTH EAST HAMPSHIRE AND WEST SUSSEX Background Portsmouth Water, established in 1857, has a long history of providing high standards of water quality and customer service to the people of South East Hampshire and West Sussex. It has the lowest water supply charges in England and Wales (the only Company with an annual average household bill less then £100) and has only once in its history imposed a hosepipe ban, that being during the drought of 1976. The Company's principal sources of water are derived from the South Downs Chalk via wells and boreholes (50%), natural springs at Havant and Bedhampton (35%) and a river abstraction from Gaters Mill on the River Itchen, near West End, Southampton (15%). The Company has no large surface water storage reservoirs. It therefore needs sufficient capacity from its sources to meet seasonal variations in the demand from its customers, the peaks usually occurring during the summer period. PORTSMOUTH WATER Average Daily Distribution Input - Ml/d DISTRIBUTION INPUT (1955-2004) 240 220 200 180 160 140 120 100 1955 Portsmouth Water 1959 1964 1969 1974 1979 1984 1989 1994 1999 2004 Page 1. June 2007 Submission by Portsmouth Water to Hampshire County Council Climate Change Commission The Future of Water Resources in South East Hampshire and West Sussex Following the Company's amalgamation with other smaller water undertakings in the 1950s and 1960s, it has done much to interconnect the inherited networks such that it now has a flexible integrated supply system which enables it to meet the challenges of ensuring that its customers continue to receive safe and secure water supplies of very high quality. The Company and its staff have always been forward thinking, such that by developing new sources and new Treatment Works and storage, it has been able to meet the increasing demands of both customers, and more recently regulators, without impacting upon customer service. Portsmouth Water's customers have grown up with an expectation that supplies will always be there and that has been the challenge for those in the Company to deliver. Planning for the Future Portsmouth Water is a highly regulated business. The Water Services Regulatory Authority (Ofwat) regulates water charges and monitors service standards, the Environment Agency (EA) controls impacts upon water abstractions through licensing, the Drinking Water Inspectorate (DWI) ensures compliance with the Water Supply (Water Quality) Regulations, whilst the Consumer Council for Water (CCW) represents customers' interests. Water companies are principally funded through the charges made to customers, and much of the profit they generate is reinvested in new capital projects to improve services or meet new standards. To ensure that the companies are planning for the future, they are required every five years to set out their water resource requirements in a 25 year Water Resources Plan and their investment and operational forecasts in a 25 year Business Plan. Both Plans result in a 'Final Determination' from Ofwat which determines the price adjustment formula for customers' water charges. The Water Resources Plan 2004 In 2004 all of the water companies set out their Water Resources Plans incorporating reviews of the availability of their resources and forecast demands for the 25 years ahead. Where potential deficits were identified, the companies were required to evaluate a range of options on an economic basis in order to determine those which would have least impact upon customer bills, whilst also taking into account both social and environmental costs. The key issues which were identified by the Company were: Supply Side Portsmouth Water's long history enabled it to project its source yields with confidence, although the impact of climate change upon groundwater yields was largely unknown. Although there were a number of concerns about the level of 'outage' (unavailability) of sources from a variety of events, the principal concern was the EA's Habitats Regulations Review of Consents. In Hampshire there exist a very high proportion of designated European Habitats sites and the EA has been tasked with reviewing the impact of both abstractions and waste water discharges on the habitats and species designated. Despite considerable studywork, the impact of the results of the review upon the Company's abstractions was not incorporated in the 2004 Water Resources Plan. Demand Forecasts Commercial demands have been falling over many years and this trend is expected to continue as less manufacturing takes place in the UK. Total Demand from domestic households is expected to rise Page 2. June 2007 Submission by Portsmouth Water to Hampshire County Council Climate Change Commission The Future of Water Resources in South East Hampshire and West Sussex partly due to the rise in population and households, and also because of a significant rise in each individual's use known as per capita consumption. At the time of preparation, the Draft South East Plan projections had not been published and therefore the Company utilised RPG9 projections for housing and population forecasts. The principal issue for domestic demand is the rising per capita consumption resulting from forecast lower occupancies in the future and this is demonstrated by the wide variation outlined in the results from our Domestic Consumption Monitor. 210 200 190 PCC (i/h/d) 180 170 160 150 Actuals Average Year 140 Wet Year 130 Dry Year 19 91 /9 19 2 93 /9 19 4 95 /9 19 6 97 /9 19 8 99 /0 0 20 01 /2 20 03 /4 20 05 /6 20 07 / 20 8 09 /1 20 0 11 /1 20 2 13 /1 20 4 15 /1 20 6 17 /1 20 8 19 /2 20 0 21 /2 20 2 23 /2 20 4 25 /2 20 6 27 /2 20 8 29 /3 0 120 Year Initial Supply/Demand Balance Comparing Supply and Demand Forecasts for the period through to 2030, it was apparent that although at average demand the Company could meet forecast demands, during the critical period period this would not be the case. Initial Supply Demand Balance 400 Ml/d 350 300 250 200 2006/7 2010/11 2014/15 2018/19 2022/23 Supply Av ailability Bulk Supply to Southern Water Demand Uncertainty 2026/27 Works Washwater By 2019/20 the Company would need frequent hosepipe bans and in a peak demand dry summer of a drought year much more stringent measures such as Non-Essential Use Drought Orders and possibly standpipe or rota cuts might be needed. The Company believed that such measures were likely to be unacceptable to customers and a range of options were considered. Page 3. June 2007 Submission by Portsmouth Water to Hampshire County Council Climate Change Commission The Future of Water Resources in South East Hampshire and West Sussex Options Assessment In total 15 different options, both covering Demand Management and Resource Development were evaluated for costs and benefits including social and environmental costs. A number of Demand Management measures, those constraining the rise in demand, were considered and costed. These included increased rates of domestic metering, reduced leakage, progressive and active water efficiency programmes including retrofitting low flush toilets. Water Resources options considered ranged from the development of new groundwater boreholes (difficult in an area largely considered over-abstracted or over-licensed), desalination, effluent re-use and the development of winter storage reservoirs. Final Solution The final solution which was adopted incorporated a range of twin-track measures, the majority of which are not needed until after 2015 when the supply/demand deficit is due to occur. Reduction of Outage resulting from commissioning of cryptosporidium removal treatment plant in 2008 Continued Promotion of Water Efficiency Metering New Households from April 2005 Leakage Savings Initiative from 2018 Progressive Water Efficiency Programme 2018 Farlington Washwater Recovery Plant 2019 Havant Thicket Winter Storage Reservoir 2021 The final solution ensures that the Company remains in balance through to 2030 although it appears likely that future resources will be needed, some after 2030. Final Solution 400 Ml/d 350 300 250 200 2004/5 WAFU 2009/10 Demand 2014/15 Losses 2019/20 Bulk Supply 2002/25 2029/30 Headroom As a result, the Company has continued its water efficiency measures through Newsletters, the website, Water Festivals and initiatives with several Local Authorities. All new households have been metered since April 2005 and the Company has begun the 15 year programme associated with the development of the Havant Thicket Winter Storage Reservoir. Hampshire County Council is one of many organisations represented on the Reservoir Stakeholder Group. A number of options for the reservoir are being considered. Page 4. June 2007 Submission by Portsmouth Water to Hampshire County Council Climate Change Commission The Future of Water Resources in South East Hampshire and West Sussex One of the options for Havant Thicket Winter Storage Reservoir Future Pressures Since the development of the 2004 Water Resources Plan a number of further developments have occurred. Habitats Review of Consents The EA Habitats Review remains uncompleted although decisions are expected to be announced shortly. The Company has been working very closely with the Agency to try to devise options which will meet environmental obligations, whilst minimising the impact upon its abstraction capabilities. South East Plan The Draft Plan projections and further initiatives by Local Authorities through PUSH are likely to result in increased housing numbers but no changes to forecasts will be made until more is known in the Final Draft expected in February 2008. Water Resources in the South East Following the development of a Bulk Supply to Southern Water Services in 2004 and the subsequent drought conditions in 2005/06, a collaboration between companies and regulators is developing a range of scenarios which seek to maximise the sharing of resources across the South East. This may result in further Bulk Supplies from Portsmouth Water to other companies. Climate Change More data has been published which confirms that summers are likely to be hotter and drier and winters milder and wetter. These suggest that in the longer term there will be the need for more winter storage, both for the environment and for water supplies. Page 5. June 2007 Submission by Portsmouth Water to Hampshire County Council Climate Change Commission The Future of Water Resources in South East Hampshire and West Sussex Sustainable Buildings Code Whilst there is a need and desire from those within the Industry to curb rising demands, the Government appears to be minded to introduce voluntary arrangements for constraining per capita consumption in new households. The companies have been pressing Government to make the Code mandatory. Water Resources Management Plan 2009 The Government has recently introduced regulations requiring the companies to prepare statutory plans from 2009 onwards. Guidelines have been set out which require significant public consultation in the period between March 2008 and their submission in April 2009 Customer Perspective The Company recently conducted customer research which confirmed a significant majority of its customers believe that they receive good service. It also reveals that whilst customers believe that some improvements are necessary to the water supply service, they only expect to spend a little more, around £3 p.a., on water bills to fund improvements. The key priorities outlined in the research were: Maintain reliable, safe and continuous water supplies Improve the taste and smell of tap water Maintain water supply networks and reduce leakage Reduce sewage works' smells and relieve sewer flooding (not directly relevant to Portsmouth Water) Conclusion Significant challenges lie ahead for the Company due to the uncertainty of Regulatory guidance such as the Habitats Review of Consents, South East Plan and the effects of climate change. The Company will work closely with its Regulators to provide a 'twin-track' approach of both managing demand whilst also providing additional sustainable resources in a timely manner. The final solution incorporates a package of measures which ensures a positive Supply/Demand surplus for the Company and its customers. It also enables the Company to play its part in effectively managing the water resources of the South East by considering the possibility of bulk supply transfers to neighbouring companies. Page 6. June 2007