Corporate Performance Management – Social Care & Inclusion Information & Analysis Team Title Health Inequalities Subject The difference in health inequalities in Walsall Creator E Pearson Status Draft – version 1 Date May 2008 1 Introduction 1.1 This report looks at a few key health data sets to assess the health inequalities of people living in Walsall. The data covered includes: Older people population Life expectancy – males / females Cancer mortality Circulatory disease mortality Smoking Obesity Disability Living Allowance (DLA) claimants By evaluating the data over a period of time, we can evaluate whether or not health inequalities have got worse or better in Walsall. 2 Summary – Key Points The information in the report on health inequalities, picks up the following key points: Older people in Walsall have increased in number and this trend is set to continue by almost 10,000 by 2026. The majority of older people live to the East of the borough Life expectancy in men has improved over time however the gap compared to regionally and nationally has widened Life expectancy in women has also got better and the gap compared to national levels has narrowed Geographically, men and women don’t live as long in the more deprived areas of the borough compared to those in less deprived areas The cancer mortality rate has fallen over time but is still higher than the regional and national rates The circulatory disease mortality rate has reduced over time but the gap compared to nationally has fluctuated The most recent lifestyle survey showed that smoking in Walsall has reduced and the gap has narrowed. Geographically, smoking rates vary, however it is thought the recent smoking ban in public areas may have a positive effect on future rates There is a slightly higher proportion of people who are overweight in Walsall compared to regional figures Disability Living Allowance claimants are greater to the West of the borough, 1 particularly in the more deprived areas. increases with age Nationally, disability prevalence Generally speaking in Walsall, health inequalities have reduced. The data in the report shows how Walsall has over time reduced and key health indicators have shown how Walsall in comparison to nationally has narrowed the gap. Key Data Older People Population: Past population trends have shown that the older population is increasing in Walsall. Current 2006 mid-year estimates illustrate the over 65 population in Walsall is 43,000 (16.9% of the total population) compared to 41,022 (16.2%) at the last Census. 2004 based Subnational Population Projections - Older People 16.0 14.0 12.0 Thousands 10.0 8.0 65-69 6.0 70-74 4.0 75-79 80-84 2.0 85+ 2028 2026 2024 2022 2020 2018 2016 2014 2012 2010 2008 2006 0.0 2004 3 3.1 Year Source – 2006 MYE This pattern is expected to continue as shown in the population predictions above with older people (aged 65 and over) predicted to increase from 43,100 in 2006 to 53,000 in 2026 – almost 10,000 people. 2 When the older people population is mapped geographically – at ward level – it clearly shows a greater number to the east of the borough compared to the west. In particular, Aldridge Central and South, Streetly, Pheasey Park Farm and Bloxwich East wards have a greater number than wards central to the borough. 3.2 Life Expectancy: 78 77 76 75 74 73 72 71 70 1991- 1992- 1993- 1994- 1995- 1996- 1997- 1998- 1999- 2000- 2001- 2002- 20031993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 England and Wales West Midlands In the 1995/1997 baseline year, Walsall men had a life expectancy of 73.5 years compared with 74.49 years in England and Wales. The target is for life expectancy in Walsall men to reach 77.6 years by 2010. Walsall Source: Compendium of Clinical and Health Indicators Life Expectancy at birth for men in Walsall is lower than the West Midlands and England and Wales. Overall, taking into account yearly fluctuations, the rate is increasing, mirroring the national trend. The gap between Walsall and England has increased by 0.2 of a year from 1995/1997 to 2003/2005. 3 Figure 5: Trends in Life Expectancy in Women 82.00 81.00 80.00 79.00 78.00 77.00 76.00 1991- 1992- 1993- 1994- 1995- 1996- 1997- 1998- 1999- 2000- 2001- 2002- 20031993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 England and Wales West Midlands In the 1995/97 baseline year Walsall women had a life expectancy of 79.2 years compared with 79.61 years in England and Wales. The target is for life expectancy in Walsall women to reach 86.06 years by 2010. Walsall Source: Compendium of Clinical and Health Indicators Life expectancy at birth for women in Walsall is marginally lower than in the West Midlands and England and Wales. Overall, the rate in women is increasing at a faster rate than nationally and regionally. Therefore, the inequalities gap between Walsall and England is decreasing and Walsall is expected to meet the 2010 target if it continues to increase at the current rate. Life expectancy in Walsall varies with levels of deprivation. In Walsall it is shorter in the North and West of the borough, with people tending to live longer in the East. In men, the longest life expectancy occurs in Aldridge Central & South Paddock, Pelsall, and Pheasey. The lowest life expectancy in men occurs in Blakenall, Bloxwich East and St Matthews. The range of life expectancy in men living across Walsall is estimated to be between 72 and 80 years. The absolute gap in life expectancy across Walsall wards has fallen from 9.4 years in 1996-2000 to 8.4 years in 2001-2006. This gap in life expectancy slightly increased between 2000-2005 and 2001-2006 by 0.3 years. The longest life expectancy in women occurs in Paddock and Pelsall to the East. The lowest life expectancy is in Blakenall, Bloxwich East and Palfrey. The range of life expectancy in women living across Walsall is estimated to be between 77 and 85 years. The absolute gap in life expectancy in women across Walsall wards has fallen from 9.5 years in 1996-2000 to 7.6 years in 2001-2006. This gap in life expectancy slightly increased between 2000-2005 and 2001-2006 by 0.2 years 3.3 Cancer Mortality: Cancer accounts for around one third of deaths in under 75 year olds. Reducing the number of people dying from cancer will have a significant impact on increasing life expectancy. In recognition of the inequalities gap, Walsall set the year 2010 target to reduce cancer mortality in the under 75s by 27.5%. Since 1995-97 the rate has fallen by 13% from 150.3 per 100,000 to 130.8 per 100,000 in 2003-05. This means that 50 fewer Walsall people are dying each year from cancer than in 1995-97. Despite year on year fluctuations, Walsall tPCT is still on track to meet the 2010 target. 4 Figure 6 and 7: Age Standardised Mortality Rates for Cancers and targets, all persons, Walsall, West Midlands, England & Wales 1993 – 2004 Ra t e pe r R a t e pe r 10 0 , 0 0 0 10 0 , 0 0 0 16 0 180 160 14 0 140 12 0 120 10 0 100 80 80 60 60 40 40 20 20 0 0 19 9 5 - 9 7 W al sal l 2003- 05 M i l e st o n e Ta r ge t 2005 2 0 10 W est M i d l and s Eng l and 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 W alsall 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 W est M id land s Eng land Source: Compendium of Clinical and Health Indicators and Birmingham and Black Country StHA Cancer mortality in the under 75s has fallen slightly faster in the West Midlands as a whole and in England than in Walsall. This means that the inequalities gap between Walsall and some other West Midlands districts and the national average has widened. In 2003-05 the Walsall rate remained 10% higher than the England average rate (14% higher for men and 4% higher for women). Eliminating the inequalities gap would save an additional 33 lives per year in Walsall. 3.4 Circulatory Disease mortality: Death rates from circulatory disease (coronary heart disease, stroke and related disease) are over 25% higher in the North West than in the South East of England. In recognition of the inequalities gap, Walsall set a year 2010 target to reduce the cardiovascular mortality rate in the under 75s by 51%. For more than a decade there has been a relatively steady decline in this mortality rate. By 2003/2005, a 38% reduction had been achieved against the 1995/1997 baseline, resulting in 189 fewer annual deaths. The 2010 mortality rate target will be achieved if this trend continues. Although a substantial percentage reduction in cardiovascular disease mortality has been achieved in Walsall, there has only been a small reduction in the inequalities gap. In 1995/1997 the Walsall rate was 19.5% higher than the national rate. In 2003/2005, the Walsall rate remained 16% higher than the national rate suggesting that the gap has reduced by 3.5% from the 1995/1997 baseline. If this gap was eliminated, Walsall would save an additional 40 lives per year. 5 Figures 8 and 9: Age Standardised Mortality Rates for All Circulatory Diseases and targets, all persons under 75 years, Walsall, West Midlands and England 1993 – 2005 180 Ra t e pe r 10 0 , 0 0 0 18 0 140 16 0 120 14 0 Rate per 100,000 160 12 0 100 10 0 80 80 60 60 40 40 20 20 0 0 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 19 9 5 - 9 7 2003- 05 M i l e st o n e 2005 Walsall West Midlands England W al sal l W est M i d l and s Ta r ge t 2 0 10 Eng l and Source: Compendium of Clinical and Health Indicators With regards to angina and heart failure, more women die of these than men (211 women compared to 117 men between 2001/02 to 2005/06). However, when the age structures of both genders are taken into account, the age specific mortality rates are higher in men than women for all age groups. Coronary heart disease (excluding angina) kills about 500 Walsall adults every year (1 in every 5 deaths), the majority of which are in people aged 65 and over. There are higher age-standardised mortality rates in the centre of the borough and Bloxwich East compared to the lowest rates in Streetly and Aldridge Central & South wards. Between 2001/2002 and 2005/2006, Walsall’s overall rate was 178 deaths per 100,000 population. Walsall tPCT’s Public Health department is in the process of completing a report which will provide detailed information of the long term conditions in Walsall. 3.5 Smoking Smoking is the principal avoidable cause of premature death in the UK. A recent 2005 West Midlands Lifestyle Survey showed smoking in adults in Walsall had reduced and has narrowed the gap with regional levels (19.5% compared to 20.4% regionally). The survey also shows that men are more likely to smoke than women (21.0% compared to 19.9% for women). Smoking rates across Walsall vary considerably. The 2005 Lifestyle Survey suggests that the highest rates are in the north and west of the borough including Bentley and Darlaston North (31.5%), Blakenall (30.7%) and Willenhall South (26.8%) and lower rates in Aldridge North (9.7%), St Matthew’s (11.0%) and Streetly (11.9%). It is anticipated that the recent smoking in public places ban will have a knock on effect on cutting down the number of people who smoke. This ban has also had a 6 positive effect on reducing the risk of disease through passive smoking. 3.6 Obesity Obesity and being overweight increase the risk of diseases such as heart disease, cancer and diabetes. The prevalence of obesity has trebled since the 1980’s and if the current trend continues, at least one third of adults, one fifth of boys and one third of girls will be obese by 2020. BMI recordings of adults in Walsall show that 32% are overweight; this is slightly above 30% for the West Midlands region. 3.7 Disability Living Allowance claimants Figure 10: Disability living allowance Claimants, 2005 by Wards in Walsall Disability Living Allowance claimants in Walsall are higher than average in the more deprived areas including for example Blakenall and Birchills Leamore. Source – Job Centre Plus Nationally the prevalence of disability increases with age, approximately 75% of men and women aged 85 and over have a disability. Nationally, 20% of those with a disability are under 45. Although on average females live longer than males, a greater proportion of a female’s lifespan is lived in ill health (15% compared to 12%). 7