PAASE Members Give Talks on Disaster Risk Modelling
by K. Aviso & R. Tan / Aug 17, 2012
A seminar/workshop hosted by De La Salle University, entitled “A Systems Perspective
on Disaster Risk Management,” was conducted last August 17, 2012 at Trader’s Hotel in
Manila, Philippines. This event was intially conceived as the culminating event of the
recent visit of DOST Balik Scientist and inoperability input-output modelling (IIM)
expert, Dr. Joost Santos of The George Washington University. It was originally
scheduled to take place on August 10th, but had to be postponed following heavy flooding
in Manila during that week; as a result of the delay, talks by Dr. Santos and Krista Yu of
the DLSU School of Economics were cancelled. A series of lectures was given by a team
of researchers from the Center for Engineering and Sustainable Development Research
(CESDR) at DLSU, led by PAASE member and University Fellow, Prof. Raymond Tan.
A talk on water footprint-constrained supply chain optimization was given by PAASE
associate member Dr. Kathleen Aviso, while Dr. Michael Promentilla gave a lecture on
decision analysis for estimating local climate change vulnerability indices.
The seminar/workshop showcased IIM as a systematic framework for modeling and
analyzing how the impact of disasters propagate through an economic system, causing
“ripple effects” that manifest as lost output. IIM highlights how system losses are
magnified due to the interlinkages between economic sectors. The conference was well
received and it generated a lot of interest from participants coming from various
government agencies, such as DOST (including Assistant. Secretary Maria Lourdes
Orijola), the Department of Energy, and the Climate Change Commission. There were
also participants from academia and industry.
Participants of the recent seminar on "A Systems Perspective on Disaster Risk Management"