1 Reasoning Handbook Dona Warren 2 TABLE OF CONTENTS Recognizing, Analyzing, Evaluating, and Constructing Arguments Argument Recognition ………………………… 3 Argument Analysis ……………………………. 4 Identify Important Ideas …………………… 5 Identify Argumentative Role ……………… 8 Identify Inferences ………………………… 9 Reconstruct the Argument ………………… 11 Argument Evaluation …………………………. 11 Appreciate Structure of Argument ………... 12 Evaluate Premises …………………………. 13 Evaluate Inferences ………………………… 14 Evaluate Argument ………………………… 16 Argument Construction …………………………16 Determine Ultimate Conclusion …………….16 Construct Chain of Reasoning ………………17 Communicate the Argument ………………...18 Spoken Arguments, Reading Advice and Writing Tips Spoken Arguments …………………………….. 20 Reading Advice ………………………………… 21 First Reading ……………………………….. 22 Second Reading ……………………………. 22 Third Reading ……………………………… 23 Fourth Reading …………………………….. 24 Writing Tips ……………………………………. 24 Characteristics of a Good Paper …………… 24 Process of Writing ………………………….. 26 3 RECOGNIZING, ANALYZING, EVALUATING, AND CONSTRUCTING ARGUMENTS I. Argument Recognition An argument is a unit of reasoning which attempts to prove that a certain idea is true by citing other ideas as evidence. The idea that the argument tries to prove is called the “ultimate conclusion.” Ideas which the argument uses as evidence for the ultimate conclusion, but which the argument assumes to be true without providing proof, are called “premises.” Intermediate ideas on the way from the premises to the ultimate conclusion are called “subconclusions.” The connection that holds between a set of ideas, S, and another idea, I, when the truth of the ideas in S is supposed to establish the truth of I is called an “inference.” In order to identify an argument, we ask “Is this passage trying to convince us that something is true?” If so, the passage contains an argument. If not, it doesn’t. Tips: Use Inference Indicator Expressions Since all arguments have inferences and since inferences are sometimes expressed by inference indicator expressions, we can sometimes recognize an argument by spotting inference indicator expressions. 4 Reason indicator expressions show that X is being given as evidence for Y. Some examples: “Y because X” or “Because X, Y.” “Y, since X” or “Since X, Y.” “Given that X, Y” or “Y, given that X.” “Assuming that X, Y” or “Y, assuming that X.” “Inasmuch as X, Y” or “Y, inasmuch as X.” “In view of the fact that X, Y” or “Y, in view of the fact that X.” “Y. The reason is that X” “Y. After all, X.” Conclusion indicator expressions, show that Y is supported by X. Some examples: “X. Therefore Y.” “X. Thus Y.” “X. Consequently Y.” “X. Hence Y.” “X. So Y.” “X. This goes to show that Y.” “X. It follows that Y.” “X. As a result, Y.” “X. That’s why Y.” “X, which implies that Y.” “X, which means that Y.” We should remember that some passages that contain inference indicator expressions don’t contain arguments because inference indicator expressions can appear both in arguments and in explanations of why. If the passage is trying to convince us that something is true, it’s an argument. If a passage is trying to help us understand why something is true, what caused it, or how it came about, it’s an explanation of why. We should also remember that some passages that contain arguments don’t contain inference indicator expressions. II. Argument Analysis We should always take time to understand an argument before we evaluate it. 5 Analyzing an argument is largely a matter of skill and the analysis of an argument is often an objective matter. Identifying the ultimate conclusion, identifying the lines of reasoning, identifying the other important ideas, identifying the argumentative role of these ideas, identifying the inferences, and reconstructing the argument are often intermingled in practice and are frequently done mentally. 1. Identify the important ideas We make a list of the important ideas in the argument. Ideas are complete thoughts that are either true or false, even though we might not know for certain which it is. Tips: Start With the Ultimate Conclusion We start by asking “What is the main idea that this argument is trying to get us to believe?” This main idea is the ultimate conclusion and we write it first in our list of important ideas, giving it the number “1” and putting a “U” next to it. If the ultimate conclusion of the argument is unstated, we list it as letter “a.” If we can’t identify the ultimate conclusion, we should simply list the important ideas in the order they appear in the passage. Once we draw in the inferences, the ultimate conclusion 6 will be the idea to which all of the other ideas eventually lead. Identify the Lines of Reasoning It’s often useful to determine whether or not the argument appears to have more than one line of reasoning as soon as possible. If an argument does have more than one line of reasoning, it’s helpful to count how many separate lines of reasoning the argument has and to determine which ideas belong to each line. This will substantially reduce the complexity of the diagramming process. Identify the Other Ideas After we’ve identified the ultimate conclusion, we go back and record all of the other ideas that strike us as relevant to establishing the truth of the ultimate conclusion, and number them starting with “2.” If we aren’t sure whether or not an idea is important, we should include it just to be safe. It’s okay if some of the ideas in our list aren’t included in the eventual diagram. Sentences and Ideas Sentences which convey ideas are usually statements. To be complete, a statement must have a subject and a predicate, and all sentence connectors must be connecting sentences which are themselves complete. Masking statements, unlike normal statements, convey ideas they don’t actually state. If the idea is important, we should rephrase the statement and include it in our list of ideas. 7 Unimportant statements aren’t relevant to establishing the truth of the ultimate conclusion. We won’t include them in our list of ideas. Normal questions don’t convey ideas. Statement questions do convey ideas. If the idea is important, we should rephrase the question and include it in our list of ideas. Normal commands don’t convey ideas. Statement commands do convey ideas. If the idea is important, we should rephrase the command and include it in our list of ideas. Sometimes a sentence contains more than one idea. In general, sentence S conveys idea I if the truth of S ensures the truth of I. We must divide a sentence into its component ideas around inference indicator expressions. We may divide a compound sentence around connectives like “and,” “but,” “yet,” “however,” “although,” “even though,” “moreover,” and “nevertheless.” We should split a sentence into its component ideas if the component ideas significantly differ in their plausibility or if one of the component ideas appears without the others elsewhere in the argument. We can’t divide a compound sentence around connectives like “if…then…,” or “or.” Sometimes multiple sentences in an argument convey the same idea. S1 and S2 convey the same idea just in case if S1 is true then S2 is true and if S2 is true then S1 is true. We write down each important idea only once, even when it’s conveyed by more than one sentence. Use Inference Indicator Expressions 8 Inference indicator expressions can help us decide if an idea is important. If an idea is the object of an inference indicator expression, then it’s either the reason or the conclusion of an inference and so needs to be included in the argument. 2. Identify the argumentative role of these ideas If we know what the ultimate conclusion of the argument is, we put a “U” next to it. For each of the other ideas in our list, we ask “Does the argument give us reason to believe this, or does the argument just take it for granted?” If the argument doesn’t give us reasons to believe an idea, it’s a premise. We put “P”s next to the premises. If the argument does give us reasons to believe an idea, it’s a subconclusion. We put “S”s next to the subconclusions. If we don’t know what the ultimate conclusion is, we can simply put “C”s (indicating generic conclusions) next to ideas which the argument gives us reason to believe. Tips: Use Inference Indicator Expressions If an idea is the object of a reason inference expression, it might be a premise or a subconclusion but can’t be the ultimate conclusion. If an idea is the object of a conclusion indicator expressions, it might be subconclusion or the ultimate conclusion but can’t be a premise. Note Inference Erasers 9 The connectors “and” (not “and so”), “but,” “yet,” “however,” “although,” “even though,” “moreover,” and “nevertheless,” tend to show us that an inference is not present between the ideas they connect. 3. Identify the inferences We can focus on the conclusions (whether the ultimate conclusion or a subconclusion) and ask “What reason does the argument give us to believe this?” or we can focus on the reasons (whether a premise or a subconclusion) and ask “What is the argument taking this to establish?” We draw an arrow pointing from an idea to the idea that it’s taken to support. I1 and I2 are dependent reasons in support of I3 if neither I1 nor I2 can support I3 alone but together they can support I3. We connect dependent reasons with a bracket and draw one arrow from the bracket to the conclusion of the inference. I1 and I2 are independent reasons in support of I3 if both I1 and I2 could support I3 alone. We draw separate arrows from independent reasons or lines of reasoning. Tips: Use Inference Indicator Expressions 10 We should make use of inference indicator expressions, if the passage has them. Note Inference Erasers We should be alert for inference eraser expressions. Arrow In and Out Rules The ultimate conclusion must have at least one arrow pointing to it but no arrows pointing from it. Premises must have arrows going from them but no arrows going to them. Subconclusions must have arrows going to them and from them. (Premises can be re-used, but seldom are.) Identify Dependent Reasons There are six tests for dependent reasons: 1) The Ophthalmology Test, 2) The Try It Out Test, 3) The Puzzle Piece Test, 4) The Normative Conclusion Test, 5) The Comparative Conclusion Test, 6) The Means / Ends Test. Identify Independent Reasons To identify independent lines of reasoning, we ask “How many separate lines of reasoning are we given?” We can answer this question by identifying distinct “themes” that are advanced in support of the conclusion. These themes are roughly identical with the notions shared be different ideas. Instances of a generalization may be treated either as examples or as evidence. If they’re treated as examples, they shouldn’t be included in the 11 diagram. If they’re treated as evidence, they should be included in the diagram. Double-Checking the Inferences We double check the inferences by reading down the arrow with a conclusion indicator expression, by reading up the arrow with a reason indicator expression, by reading the bracket as an “and,” and by comparing our inferences against the original argument. 4. Reconstruct the argument We refer to the ideas by number, put the number of the ultimate conclusion at the bottom, the numbers of the premises at the top, numbers of subconclusions in the middle, and use arrows to represent the inferences. We connect dependent reasons with a plus sign and we draw separate arrows from independent reasons. We label the arrows with capital letters to make them easier to refer to later III. Argument Evaluation There is an element of art to evaluating an argument and reasonable people can disagree about the correct evaluation of some arguments. If we’re evaluating an argument mentally, we first figure out what the ultimate conclusion is and try to determine how many lines of reasoning there are. Then we focus on each line of reasoning, one at a 12 time, and identify the important ideas contained in it. If we think that an idea is a premise, we ask ourselves whether or not it’s true and acceptable to the argument’s audience. If we think that an idea a subconclusion, we ask ourselves whether or not it’s well supported (e.g. whether or not the reasons and inferences supporting it are strong). If we think that an idea is the ultimate conclusion, we ask ourselves whether or not it’s well supported (e.g. whether or not the reasons and inferences supporting it are strong). 1. Appreciate the general structure of the argument A good argument establishes the truth of its ultimate conclusion and gives its audience good reason to think that the ultimate conclusion is true. A bad argument either doesn’t establish the truth of its ultimate conclusion or else doesn’t give its audience good reason to think that the ultimate conclusion is true. For arguments with only one line of reasoning, one bad premise or one bad inference is enough to make the argument bad. Arguments with independent lines of reasoning are good if even one of the lines of reasoning is good. Tips: The Hanging Man Model We can imagine that the ultimate conclusion of the argument is a fellow hanging onto one or 13 more ropes (inferences) suspended from one or more beams (premises). The beams may have parts which could differ in strength, corresponding to dependent reasons. Each inference corresponds to a different segment of the rope, and these segments can differ in the strength. An argument is good if it holds the fellow up and bad if it lets the fellow fall. Evaluating Subconclusions We should never evaluate subconclusions as a part of the final evaluation of an argument. We may look at subconclusions in the process of evaluating an argument. If we disagree with a subconclusion, we should examine the premises and inferences above it. 2. Evaluate the premises Good premises are true and recognizable by the argument’s audience as true. Thus, when evaluating a premise, we should always ask ourselves two questions: 1) “Do I believe that this premise is true?” and 2) “Could the argument’s audience, including people who don’t already believe the ultimate conclusion, recognize this premise as true?” If the answer to both questions is “yes,” then the premise is good. If the answer to either question is “no,” then the premise is bad. Tips: Evaluating “If…then…” Sentences 14 In order to evaluate an “if… then…” sentence, ask yourself “Could the first part be true and the back part be false at the same time?” If the answer is “Yes,” then the “If…then…” sentence is false. If the answer is “No,” then the “If…then…” sentence is true. 3. Evaluate the inferences To say that the inference between S and I is valid is to say that if S were true then I would have to be true as well. To say that the inference between S and I is good is to say that if S were true then I would most likely be true as well, although it wouldn’t have to be true. To say that the inference between S and I is bad is to say that even if S were true, I could very easily be false; it’s to say that the truth of S has virtually no bearing upon the truth of I. Tips: The Bob Method Bob is a perfectly gullible but perfectly rational person. We tell Bob to believe S and then ask ourselves “In light of his belief in S, how likely is Bob to believe I?” If Bob is compelled to believe I, then the inference between S and I is valid. If Bob is inclined but not compelled to believe I, then the inference between S and I is invalid but good. If Bob is not at all inclined to believe I, then the inference between S and I is invalid and bad. 15 The Counterexample Method When evaluating argument A1, see if you can find a structurally similar argument, A2, that has true premises and a false conclusion. If you can find such an argument A2, then there’s something wrong with at least one inference in A1. The Formal Method Determine if an inference has one of the following forms and evaluate it accordingly. “If P then Q. P. Therefore Q” is valid. “If P then Q. Not Q. Therefore Not P” is valid. “If P then Q. Q. Therefore P” is invalid. “If P then Q. Not P. Therefore Not Q” is invalid. “If P then Q. If Q then R. Therefore if P then R” is valid. “Either P or Q. If P then R. If Q then R. Therefore R” is valid. “Either P or Q. If P then R. If Q then S. Therefore either R or S” is valid. Find Missing Subconclusions If an inference forces us to add together more than two dependent reasons at a time, and if the inference isn’t a simple dilemma (Either P or Q. If P then R. If Q then R. Therefore R.) or a complex dilemma (Either P or Q. If P then R. If Q then S. Therefore either R or S.), we can add missing subconclusion to reduce that inference into multiple smaller inferences that are easier to evaluate. To find missing subconclusions, we ask “What two ideas go together nicely?” and “What subconclusion follows from these two ideas when we snap them together?” This idea is the missing subconclusion. We add the missing subconclusion 16 to our list of ideas and diagram, designating it with a lowercase letter instead of a number, and allowing it to play the same role that its two parent ideas jointly played before. We can proceed in this fashion until the inference adds together only two ideas at a time. 4. Evaluate the argument We evaluate the argument in light of our evaluation of the premises and the inferences. Finding out that an argument is bad gives us no useful information about the ultimate conclusion because bad arguments can have true or false conclusions. Finding out that an argument is good does give us useful information about the ultimate conclusion because good arguments must have true conclusions. If we think that an argument is pretty good but not perfect, we should think that the conclusion is probably, but not definitely, true. If we’re faced with arguments for competing positions, we should believe the position supported by the strongest arguments. IV. Argument Construction 1. Determine the ultimate conclusion We determine our ultimate conclusion by posing a question, considering various answers to the question, learning and thinking more about the issues involved, and formulating our answer to the 17 question. The answer we settle on will be the ultimate conclusion of our argument. 2. Construct the chain of reasoning We construct our chain of reasoning by asking “What are some reasons to think this idea is true?” Once we have some ideas down, we construct our argument by determining what argumentative role we intend each of each of these ideas to serve, deciding how we want our inferences to run, and then diagramming our argument. We evaluate this chain of reasoning by first assessing the inferences. If an inference is weak, can we repair it by adding a dependent reason to plug the gap. We can use the tests for dependent reasons to find the dependent reason needed to strengthen an inference, however, we should add the dependent reasons necessary to perfect an inference in our argument only if the original inference was sufficiently weak to justify the additional complexity involved in supplying extra ideas. After we’ve repaired our inferences, we assess our premises. If a premise isn’t true, we change it to something that is. If a premise is true but might not be acceptable to the argument’s audience, we make the premise a subconclusion by asking “What are some reasons to think that this idea is true?” and returning to the beginning. We then evaluate the 18 new inferences, and new premises, repeating the process until our argument is good. In order to supply independent lines of reasoning for an argument of our own, we recognize the theme of the argument we’ve already constructed and try to construct and argument of a completely different type to support the conclusion at hand. If our argument doesn’t work, we can try to find another argument to support our ultimate conclusion. If we can’t find a good argument for our conclusion, our answer might be wrong and we should consider other answers to our question. If we can’t find a good argument to support any answer to our question, our question might be wrong and we should reconsider it. 3. Communicate the argument The passage containing our argument should be well-written and easy to diagram. Tips: General Writing Advice To help ensure that our passage is wellwritten, we should use complete sentences; we should make sure that all of our simple sentences have a subject and predicate, and that all connectives in our compound sentences are connecting smaller complete sentences. 19 We should use our working vocabulary, and we should avoid specialized terminology like “ultimate conclusion,” “subconclusion,” “premises,” or “inference.” If we wish, we can use unimportant statements to set the stage for our argument, and express some important ideas as statement questions, statement commands and masking statements. We can also add some normal question or command sentences for rhetorical flourish. Placement of the Ultimate Conclusion If we decide to state the ultimate conclusion, we should generally put it near the beginning of the argument, unless it’s controversial, in which case we should put it near the end of the argument. We may put our conclusion near the middle of a passage, as long as we put it between independent lines of reasoning. Placement of the Other Ideas To make our argument as easy as possible to diagram, the proximity of the ideas in our passage should reflect the proximity of the ideas in the diagram. We may repeat ideas, if this will help our reader to understand how these ideas work together. Leaving Conclusions Unstated We can leave a subconclusion unstated if it’s pretty obvious, given the reasons from which it comes, and the inference that uses the two “parent reasons” instead of the subconclusion is not much 20 harder to follow than the inference that uses the missing subconclusion. We can leave our ultimate conclusion unstated if it’s pretty obvious, given the reasons from which it comes, and if we believe that it would be more persuasive to allow our readers to draw this conclusion themselves. Highlighting Inferences To make the inferences easy to spot, we should use inference indicator expressions whenever we think that an inference would be hard to recognize without them and we should write the argument “vertically,” up and down the arrows, rather than “horizontally.” Highlighting Independent Lines of Reasoning If our argument has independent lines of reasoning, we should take care to help our readers to individuate them. SPOKEN ARGUMENTS, READING ADVICE, AND WRITING TIPS Spoken Arguments We start by making an unnumbered list of the speaker’s important ideas. After the we’ve heard the argument, review the list, we identify the ultimate conclusion, and start our numbered list with that. We complete the numbered list of important ideas by following the ultimate conclusion with any 21 other ideas from our original notes that still strike us as important. We can then analyze and evaluate the argument as usual. Reading Advice General Tips: We should be patient, both with the author and with ourselves, if we don’t understand a reading as well as we’d like to. We should do our best to understand the words. We should look up words that we don’t understand, and if we are familiar with a word, we should remember that the author may be defining her terms in particular ways, instead of relying on their everyday meanings We should do our best to understand the sentences. We can break down complex sentences into their parts. We should remind ourselves of the referents of any pronouns in the sentence. We should try to rephrase confusing sentences. If a sentence is a general claim or principle, we should find specific examples for it. We should focus on units of the right size. As a rule of thumb, we look for the important ideas in passages that are one step smaller than the passage that contains the argument we’re analyzing. 22 The author may present multiple, interrelated, positions and arguments, and adopt a different attitude toward each. We should apply the principle of charity. We should tolerate mess and disagreement. We should be honest with ourselves. We should not try to fool ourselves into thinking that we understand something that we know, on some level, we don’t understand. 1) The First Reading Read through the writing, if it’s an article. If it’s a book, read through the chapter or chapter section. If it’s your own copy, you might want to mark particularly interesting or important bits with pencil. Just try to get a sense of what the author is saying and decide whether or not the piece is interesting or important enough to read again. 2) The Second Reading Go through the reading again, either marking the text, preferably in pencil, or taking notes, preferably using a word processor. Take special care to mark in the text or include in your notes: 1. Organizational cues - This includes summaries of what will be or has been done, section headings, transitions, and subject-changes. 2. Background material - This is anything that will help you to understand the arguments, including 23 guiding questions, definitions of specialized terminology, description of positions, and important distinctions. 3. Argumentative material - This includes answers to the guiding questions, important ideas, obvious inferences, obvious arguments, objections to ideas or arguments, and objections to the objections. 4. Your own responses – This includes reactions of uncertainty, disapproval, recognition, and curiosity. You should ignore: 1. Repetitions of ideas and arguments 2. Clarification of ideas and arguments, including examples 3. Explanations for why the author or others believe or do something 4. Tangents 3) The Third Reading Go over what you’ve marked in the text and polish your markings, or review the notes you’ve taken and polish your notes. Pay special attention to: 1. Organizational cues you’ve noted Do you want to reorganize or cut any of this material? 2. Background material you’ve noted Do you want to reorganize or cut any of this material? 24 3. Argumentative material you’ve noted Can you represent the arguments in diagram or numbered-line form? 4. Your own responses. Do you want to cut or add any responses of uncertainty, disapproval, recognition, or curiosity? 4) The Fourth Reading Take a serious look at your responses of uncertainty, disapproval, recognition, or curiosity. Try to resolve or develop these responses. Writing Tips A good position paper should have the following ten characteristics: 1. The paper should be in the author’s own words. 2. The paper should have a clear purpose. There are four basic kinds of papers, each with it’s own objective: i. Expositive writing consists of summarizing or setting out a position, an article, an argument, or the ideas of a given philosopher, in your own words ii. Comparative writing compares two or more positions or arguments, discussing their connections, what they have in common and how they differ. 25 iii. Evaluative writing assesses the merit, or relative merit, of one or more positions or arguments iv. Constructive writing defends a point of its own. It takes up a question, presents a conclusion, and defends it with an argument. Usually this will involve an analysis and evaluation of particularly relevant and influential work in order to elucidate or advance your own position, and it will often involve a response to actual or potential objections. 3. The paper should be well organized. 4. The paper should flow well. 5. The paper should be clear. The positions and arguments should be stated in such a way that they would be understood by a reasonably intelligent reader who is unfamiliar with the material. If you are going to set out an argument (either your own or another person’s) make certain to include all of the important ideas and ensure that the connections between the ideas are as clear as possible. 6. The paper should be complete. Flesh out all ideas and arguments in sufficient detail and ensure that you adequately defend claims that need defending. 7. The paper should be focused. Try not to include irrelevant or inessential material, unrelated the attainment of the paper’s purpose. 8. The paper should substantively correct. 26 Attribute positions to the right person and represent those positions correctly. Ensure that your own reasoning avoids serious errors of fact or logic. 9. The paper should be mechanically correct, adhering to the rules of style and usage. 10. The paper should (ideally) be creative. The process of writing a good paper can be considered to have six steps. 1. Find something to write about. i. Find a general question or topic that interests you. ii. Locate material on this question or topic. iii. Decide which material looks most promising. iv. Read the most promising material, following the reading advice. v. Follow the literature trail. vi. Focus on your response to those readings to formulate a paper topic. vii. Articulate your thesis as simply and as clearly as possible. 2. Defend your position to yourself. Construct an argument to support your position. Consider how someone might object to your position or argument and think about how you might respond to those objections. 3. Organize your paper. i. Plan to present your material in an order that will be easy for your readers to follow. ii. Plan to present one point at a time. 27 iii. Plan to develop each point in sufficient detail, and iv. Plan to finish one thing before starting another. 4. Write your paper. 5. Review your paper, comparing it to the characteristics of a good paper. 6. Revise your paper. 28 Notes: