WEATHER FORECASTING Intro to Earth Science (Sanders) 1) The colored lines represent fronts. Which line represents warm fronts? cold fronts? 2) Examine the warm fronts and note which side the teeth are on. For each, compare the temperatures on either side of the front. Record your observations by keeping a tally in the spaces below. Keep going until you feel confident that you can answer this question: Which side is the warmer side--the side with teeth, or the other side? Warm fronts: Which side is warmer? The side with teeth The other side CONCLUSION: For warm fronts, the temperature is usually warmer on… (circle one) the side with teeth the other side about the same for both 3) Examine the cold fronts and note which side the teeth are on. For each, compare the temperatures on either side of the front. Record your observations by keeping a tally in the spaces below. Keep going until you feel confident that you can answer this question: Which side is the colder side--the side with teeth, or the other side? Cold fronts: Which side is colder? The side with teeth The other side CONCLUSION: For cold fronts, the temperature is usually colder on…(circle one) the side with teeth the other side about the same for both Something to know: Cold and warm fronts move in the direction the teeth are pointing. ANSWER: If the teeth of a warm front are pointed toward Chicago, in time, the temperature in Chicago probably will… rise fall stay the same ANSWER: If the teeth of a cold front are pointed toward Chicago, in time, the temperature in Chicago probably will… rise fall stay the same 4) Look at all the warm fronts over the whole period. For each warm front, record the direction the teeth point (use N, S, E, W, NW, NE, etc. to indicate direction) Direction Tally of how many warm fronts are moving this direction CONCLUSION: Warm fronts most often move to the _______________, sometimes to the __________________________, and rarely or never to the _______________. 5) Look at all the cold fronts over the whole period. For each cold front, record the direction the teeth point (use N, S, E, W, NW, NE, etc. to indicate direction) Direction Tally of how many warm fronts are moving this direction CONCLUSION: Cold fronts generally move… [tell what direction(s)] ______________. 6) Look at the areas of precipitation (snow or rain). Record the number of times that precipitation a) seems unrelated to cold/warm fronts, and b) the number of times that precipitation is either falling right on/at a front or along the side of a front (either just before or just after). This one is a bit tougher, and calls for some judgment! Precip either right on, or along a front Precip unrelated to a front (before or after) CONCLUSION: ________________________________________________________ 7) Now examine locations of fronts as related to HIGH and LOW pressure zones. Record how many time you see a LOW connected to a warm or cold front (count each front separately), and record how many times you see a HIGH connected with a warm or cold front. Keep a tally in the table below. LOW connected to a front Warm Cold HIGH connected to a front Warm Cold CONCLUSION: _______________________________________________________ 8) Now focus just on the HIGHS and LOWS. Using the USA map that appears at this link (for best results, switch to landscape page format and “Custom” print at 135% of the original size) , record the positions of the highs and lows over a period of several days. When possible (sometimes it is, and sometimes it isn’t!), “track” them as they move by connecting their positions from one day to the next, showing in what direction they move. For example: L L H H CONCLUSION: The direction LOWS generally move is ____________________. CONCLUSION: The direction HIGHS generally move is ____________________. 9) Find a series of 3-4 days of maps where you can track one single LOW pressure zone as it moves. This time, pay special attention to the fronts associated with the LOW. Describe the motion of the FRONTS as the LOW moves (you may find it helpful to draw this on a map; use red and blue pencils if it helps). Find another series of 3-4 days where you can follow a different LOW. See if it follows the same pattern. CONCLUSION: Cold and warm fronts move _____________________ with respect to LOW pressure zones. 10) Based on your answer to the previous question, describe the wind direction in an area that lies …to the EAST of a LOW. ___________ …to the SOUTH of a LOW. ___________ …to the WEST of a LOW: ___________ …to the NORTH of a LOW: ___________ 11) Look again at the areas that show precipitation (snow or rain). This time, examine precipitation and LOWs and HIGHs. Record the number of times precipitation is associated with LOWS, and the number of times precipitation is associated with HIGHS. Precip associated with LOWS Precip associated with HIGHS CONCLUSION: ________________________________________________________ 12) Next step: In a group, come up with a series of "rules" or patterns that the weather seems to follow. You may find it helpful to look at your conclusions from above, but don’t limit yourself to these. Consider these aspects, and write as many rules as you can! warm fronts cold fronts highs lows precipitation temperatures wind directions (HINT: consider how fronts move) Example: “Wind from the south is generally associated with ____ temperatures, _____ pressure systems, and _____ fronts; this often brings ________ weather.” Keep these “rules” handy: they will help you forecast the weather!